GBPUSD: Are Sellers About To Take Control? Wait For It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 18 - 22nd.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD
The GBPUSD has been stronger than EU, sweeping the July 24 high. With that sweep, an External Range High, price could now turn around and offer Fair Value at Internal Range Liquidity, a +FVG. That is the potential. Mindful that price is still in "supply" and should turn bearish in theory. So there is reason to look for valid sells... when they present themselves.
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May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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Walmart Earnings Play: Cheap Calls Into Earnings
## 🚀 Walmart Earnings Play: Cheap Calls Into Earnings (Aug 21, 2025) 🚀
### 🏦 Earnings Outlook
* 📊 **Revenue Growth:** +2.5% TTM (stagnant but stable)
* ⚖️ **Margins:** Thin → Profit Margin 2.7%, Operating Margin 4.3%
* 🏷️ **Analyst Sentiment:** Still *Strong Buy*, but guidance slippage = caution
* 🛡️ **Defensive Sector:** WMT benefits from consumer staples resilience
---
### 🔎 Options Flow Insight
* 📉 **Put Activity:** Heavy flow at \$97.00 strike = hedging/defensive tone
* ⚠️ **Put/Call Skew:** Bearish leaning, but IV rising ahead of earnings
* 📈 **Opportunity:** Leverage upside surprise with cheap calls
---
### 📉 Technical Setup
* 📊 Trading **below 20D & 50D MAs** (neutral → bearish drift)
* 🔑 **Key Levels:** Support \$97, Resistance \$105
* 💥 Volume spike: 2.48x avg (earnings speculation)
---
### 🎯 Trade Setup (Earnings Play)
* 🟢 **Direction:** CALL (Bullish Bias)
* 🎯 **Strike:** \$102.00
* 💵 **Entry Price:** \$0.04
* 📅 **Expiry:** Aug 22, 2025
* 📊 **Size:** 2 contracts
* 🕒 **Entry Timing:** Pre-earnings close
📌 **Profit Target:** \$0.08 (200% 🚀)
📌 **Stop Loss:** \$0.02 (50% risk cap)
📌 **Exit Rule:** Within 2 hours of earnings OR market open to avoid decay
---
🔥 Hashtags for Reach 🔥
\#WMTEarnings #OptionsTrading #EarningsPlay #TradingSetup #SP500 #OptionsFlow #StockMarket #DayTrading #SwingTrading
DXY: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 98.147 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 38.101 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37.980.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,338.56 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,343.52.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.16163 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.16351 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Epic Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD made an epic
Bearish breakout of a very
Strong key horizontal level
Of 1.16304 which is now a
Resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
ZRX/USD Main trend. Channel. Fractal.Logarithm. Time frame 1 month. Main trend. Idea for long-term trend orientation on a large timeframe.
0x is an infrastructure protocol that allows users to easily trade ERC20 tokens and other assets in the Ethereum blockchain without relying on centralized intermediaries such as traditional cryptocurrency exchanges.
The price has fallen by -93% from the high of pumping. Pump/dump channel. Possible fractal recurrence based on the logic of the previous secondary trend. The potential is quite significant.
Suitable for position trading. Rational to work from the average buy/sell price. The price is approaching the zone of previous lows, but the slippage can be by a significant percentage at the moment of “fear peak”.
Trading volume. Holder Addresses.
Pay attention to the minimum trading volume of the last year (this whole downtrend) compared to the past cycles. To understand why it is so, trace the main mass of large and medium addresses of this coin. Activity, time of creation.
This is what it looks like on a line chart if the “market noise” is removed.
MVRV Demystified: A Guide to Tops, Bottoms & RiskFinancial nerds love to give tools weird names to make them look like fortune-tellers. Some actually are predictive—like grandma’s dreams!🌙 I’m Skeptic from Skeptic Lab , and today we’re talking about MVRV .. First off, it can’t predict the future , but it tells you four key things:🔮
Identifying market tops and bottoms
Assessing market sentiment
Trading strategies
Risk management
What is MVRV? 🔍
Imagine you have a box of chocolates. You want to know how many you have and what they’d be worth if everyone decided to buy or sell.
MVRV is a number that shows: “How the current value of everyone’s chocolates compares to the price they originally paid.”
High MVRV → people are selling chocolates for much more than they paid → expensive market.
Low MVRV → people are selling for less than they paid → cheap market, potential buy zone.
In short: MVRV is like a green/red light for buying and selling chocolates 🍫🚦.
The Formula ➗
Market Value (MV): total value of all coins at current market price.
Realized Value (RV): total value based on last on-chain transaction price — a "truer" cost basis, filtering out short-term volatility.
Why Z-Score? ✨
MVRV alone sometimes misleads:
In bull markets , it can stay high for weeks → fake sell signals.
Low MVRV can just be short-term noise.
One week after MVRV was introduced, David Puell and Murad Mahmudov created the MVRV Z-Score. It standardizes MVRV against historical mean and volatility, showing if current levels are truly abnormal.
Z > 7 → speculative top
Z < 0 → deep undervaluation, potential bottom
Applications 🎯
Spotting Tops & Bottoms:
High MVRV (>3.5) = late bull top
Low MVRV (<1) = bear bottom, strong buy
Z-Score filters extremes
Market Sentiment:
High = greed, low = fear → emotional barometer
Trading Moves:
Long-term: buy <1, hold
Medium-term: sell >3.7, buy <1
Timebound MVRV (365d, 60d) shows short vs long-term holder pressure
Risk Management:
Identifying potential profit zones Checks if BTC is overpriced/undervalued vs RV
Works best combined with SOPR, NVT, macro factors
Limitations 🌡️
Sensitive to volatility
Assumes on-chain movements = sales (not always)
Blind to shocks (regulations, macro events)
Overvaluation can persist → mistimed sell signals
Needs historical data → weak for new coins
Not standalone → combine with other metrics
Conclusion 📍
MVRV compares Market Value to Realized Value → shows over- or undervaluation
Identifies market tops and bottoms
Z-Score filters noise, highlights abnormal levels
Historically effective in Bitcoin cycles
Best used with other metrics for holistic analysis
Boost for more Skeptic takes :) 📈
Disclaimer: This article was written for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
**SOL/USD – 1H | Equal Highs & Breaker Block Above, Demand Below
Price is sliding toward lower liquidity while a breaker block sits above. Both directions are loaded with setups, waiting for confirmation.
📈 **Bullish Scenario**
* Hold above **177–178 demand zone / P1D Low**
* Push toward **186 swing high → 194 equal highs**
* Break continuation into **202–204 breaker block**
📉 **Bearish Scenario**
* Fail to hold support
* Deeper drop into **174–175 strong low / OB**
* Liquidity sweep before possible reversal
**Key Levels**
* Swing High: 186
* Equal Highs: 194
* Breaker Block: 202–204
* P1D Low: 178
* Strong Low / OB: 174–175
💬 Will Solana defend demand and run the highs, or sweep deeper before reversing?
EUR_CHF LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_CHF made a retest of the
Strong horizontal resistance level of 0.9395
And as you can see the pair is already
Making a local pullback from
The level which sends a clear
Bearish signal to us therefore
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Nifty Analysis EOD – August 21, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 21, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Bulls holding the line, but fading strength visible near 25,150
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a gap-up of 98 points at 25,144.85, continuing its bullish tone above the previous day’s high. But from the very first tick, it slipped lower to fill the gap and found support at 25,055, where it formed the IB range. A sharp recovery took it back toward the open, but multiple attempts failed to cross Day Open / Day High / IB High.
Around 2:15 pm, another breakout attempt was strongly rejected, pushing the index below the PDH, and Nifty finally closed at 25,076.95.
Though the close is higher by +33 points vs the previous day, it left behind a red daily candle (close < open). This indicates fading bullish momentum, even though HH-HL structure is still intact.
The range was narrow (≈98 points), categorising the day as range-bound, not sideways. The previous weekly expiry was also narrow yet sideways.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap-up opening at 25,144.85, above PDH → bullish continuation vibe.
Early dip → support at 25,055 → IB formed.
Recovery attempt back to day’s open, but rejection at 25,150 zone.
Second breakout attempt at 2:15 pm → harder rejection.
Index slipped below PDH → closed at 25,076.95, above support.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,142.00
High: 25,153.65
Low: 25,054.90
Close: 25,083.75
Change: +33.20 (+0.13%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open)
Body: 58.25 points
Upper wick: 11.65 points
Lower wick: 28.85 points
📚 Interpretation
Sellers defended 25,150 again.
Close still above 25,050 → buyers alive.
Lower wick shows dip-buying at 25,055.
Net effect: Mild profit booking, not a reversal.
🕯️ Candle Type
Small bearish body with lower tail → selling pressure at top, hidden demand at support.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 195.14
IB Range: 89.95 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlight: No trade trigger today.
🕵️ Range & Bias
Support Zone: 24,955 – 24,920
Resistance Zone: 25,100 – 25,140
Bias: Cautiously Bullish → above 25k, but conviction is weak.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
🎚️ Resistance Zones
25,100
25,155
25,190 (pattern target)
25,240
🎚️ Support Zones
25,050 ~ 25,030
24,995
24,955
24,920
24,890 – 24,880
💡 Final Thoughts
The market is respecting 25,050 as demand and 25,150 as supply, leaving price action compressed in a tight zone. Bulls are still holding ground, but repeated failures near resistance hint at fading strength.
📌 “Markets often whisper before they roar — repeated rejections are the whisper, the breakout will be the roar.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is my personal analysis — not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIKKEI Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NIKKEI is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Index is making a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 42,138 from where
We will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin's Tumble: How Deep Does the Rabbit Hole Go?This isn't just a correction; it's a journey down the rabbit hole. The recent "fake" ATH was a calculated move by the whales to engineer a deep pullback. This analysis maps out the key levels in this rabbit hole where Alice—and Bitcoin—might finally find the bottom and begin the climb to a new Wonderland.
After updating its ATH on August 14th, Bitcoin did not continue its global uptrend. It was merely a liquidity sweep of the previous ATH, which confirmed the formation of a large range on the weekly and daily structures. In essence, this new ATH was a deviation above the range, after which the asset began a sharp markdown, collecting all the internal liquidity.
Most likely, the recent ATH was not the final one in this global bull cycle for Bitcoin because a proper, definitive high that would look like the start of a bear cycle was not established. Instead, it was achieved through a manipulation aimed at engineering a correction for the instrument down to key institutional levels.
Three Potential Long Scenarios
General Entry Conditions for All Scenarios:
Since these are levels from a global structure, a valid entry requires a clear reversal reaction and price finding acceptance above the respective Fib level . Confirmation of this may require waiting for 1-2 daily candles to close if the 1-4H candles do not immediately confirm the reversal.
SCENARIO 1 (Primary): The 50% Weekly Fib Level
This is the first corrective level from which a reversal is possible. A key confluence here is that reaching this level would be accompanied by a sweep of the external liquidity from the lower boundary of the range, as well as the mitigation of the upper boundary of the previous range, which could provide the necessary fuel for the next major impulse up. An added plus would be the price reaching the daily FVG that lies just below this level.
SCENARIO 2 (Deeper Correction): The 61.8% Weekly Fib Level
A break of the 50% level would mean that there wasn't enough liquidity and a deeper correction is needed. The next logical target would be the 61.8% level.
SCENARIO 3 (Final Defense): The 78.6% Weekly Fib Level
This is the last line of defense for the bullish structure. A reaction here would offer the most discounted entry to join the potential continuation of the bull run.
If the final retracement level is broken, the price will most likely attack the June 22nd low at 98200 . If the price finds acceptance below this level with daily/weekly candles, it would signal the end of the global bull cycle and the beginning of a bear market, but this is a distant and less probable perspective for now. I find it more probable that one of the three long scenarios will play out, and the price of Bitcoin will set a new, legitimate ATH.
Since the price is still inside the new large range—albeit near its lower boundary—reaching the first 50% global correction level may take some time and will likely happen next week. Whether this level can withstand the assault will determine if Bitcoin's fall continues, and just how deep Alice's rabbit hole truly is.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
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ETHUSDT – TECHNICAL BUY CALL (1D TF) |21 AUG 2025 | 02:30 PM GMTETHUSDT – TECHNICAL BUY CALL (1D TF) | 21 AUGUST 2025 | 02:30 PM GMT
The coin pair has broken out of a trading range (light blue channel) and a pink accumulation channel, embarking on a bullish trend. After marking a high of 404780, it pulled back and is now nearing the end of the pullback at the retest level of 4160.
Back down to complete H&S pattern? Following on from my last idea, we've completed an ascending triangle right up to the resistance line.
Would like to see it come down now (possible fake out first) to complete the typical H&S rule of thumb.
The rate cut was expected (ie already priced in) hence the pump.
I think a few reasons:
BoE was less dovish than previously thought.
USD is weak due to soft US data (like recent PMI etc).
Break of key resistance levels triggered short covering + momentum buying - but I'm not sure how long it will last, we'll see.
We'll likely see some consolidation now for the next trading week, before making further moves down.
We've got:
CPI + UK unemployment rate acting as potential catalysts the nnext trading week.
Rising US inflation data could trigger USD strength and drag GBPUSD lower.
Higher UK unemployment or weaker wage growth could add downside pressure on GBPUSD.
Positive UK employment surprises or weaker US inflation could give GBPUSD some upside.
So yeah, let's see how this idea pans out...
I have got a conflicting idea just to be prepared, which I'll post in the coming trading days.
Comments always welcome (I'm sure I've missed something).
I LONG the technology BNKR Sitting at SupportBNKR is trading around $0.0006, right at support. This is where the risk/reward looks best to me. The value add is simple: every trade, swap, and wallet on the Base app touches BNKR. As more people start using Base, demand naturally grows.
From here, a move back to $0.0012 is a clean 2x, and if adoption keeps building, the $0.0050 level is not out of reach.
BNKR is more than hype. It is AI and Base utility combined. I’m watching this level closely.
XAUUSD – TECHNICAL BUY CALL (3H TF) | 21 AUG 2025 | 03:10 PM GMTXAUUSD – TECHNICAL BUY CALL (3H TF) | 21 AUGUST 2025 | 03:10 PM GMT
Gold is trading within a higher timeframe range (light blue channel). After touching a high of 3410, it pulled back in a bearish channel (light yellow) and has now broken out, forming a lateral pullback that appears to be complete. This structure signals potential continuation to the upside.