*Disclaimer - This analysis alone DOES NOT warrant a buy or sell trade immediately. Before you enter any trade in the financial market, it is very important that you have a proper trading plan and risk management approach.
The sharing of this idea is neither necessarily indicative of nor a guarantee of future performance or success.
GBP False Long?
- Brexit optimism in the public eye. Pound surges suspiciously in such uncertain times.
- False breakout potentially?
- LogicStrategy Quant score: -14
- COTA reading: 54% of funds are net short on GBP
- The People's bank of China has reported its second month of gold buying. Showing a potential appreciation on AUD
- Quant score:...
This weekly chart of the EURUSD may be a bit cluttered but the EURUSD is showing some mixed signals and requires a bit more detail to try to understand the potential trend. Using the Larry Williams COT Index we see that USD Commercial Interest is at extreme lows, indicating a potential for selling of the USD to step in. However, these extreme levels could be held...
2018/09/11 It seems that MM are getting into shorts heavily, while still at their maximum in terms of total contracts.
So they are not exactly exiting gold for better opportunities. But they are a fast reacting category, so I see this as an opportunistic position of them, that might change rapidly. To watch
hello guys here's a new idea on the NZD/USD exchange rate. First, we're approaching the 200dma which will act as a resistance level, secondly, we are in a spot where support turns into resistance giving us the possibility to short the NZ$. The first target is at 0.66385 then we can go for a retest of the 0.65722 level. Lastly, the COT suggests a bearish approach....
Anyone familiar with the Commitment of Traders Report knows that the commercials have reached an extreme range that leaves much room for rising prices. Added to this is that the chart image with the recently formed double bottom looks bullish.
This is what a trade might look like:
- Entry immediately
- Stop Loss below the last local low
- Take profit with multiple...
Using the FXCM volume (as well as with OANDA), you can see that the strength of increases is getting weaker, while sales are getting stronger. You can also refer to the COT report, according to the latest JPY should be stronger than CAD.
This is a short-term forecast.
The idea ceases to be valid after breaking the resistance on a large...
hello guys, new trade here, the idea is to short pound due to a series of fact: we're testing the 200 ma, and recently has been a clear resistance level, then CFTC COT is bearish on the pound with short sellers increasing their position for the 5th straight week, even the inverted hammer suggest reversal price action coming.
Leveraging funds last week made large sales of contracts for Euro (Contracts for Euro against USD). However, also in the same week, these funds reduced the number of contracts for NZD sales, which in combination with the analysis of the chart may mean a drop in the price on EURNZD
The chart shows that the price of platinum is at a very low level, according to the COT report analysis, it shows that compared to the previous publication, the number of open sales positions increased, but it is much smaller activity of sellers than in previous reports. This may mean that the downward trend is coming to an end. An additional factor to buy can be...
Last week options volume pointed at increased downside protection. Which translated into a yen rally or cadjpy drop.
This theme is still in play on top of that. opec is relaxing supply cuts and thus driving oil lower over the coming month, which will drag CAD$ with it.
I line with that we had a weekly bearish engulfing bar pointing at 82-80 area.
For more free...
My Idea is to buy the break of the 0,7575 level with a target at 0,7680/0,77. I expect a weak US Dollar this week, a higher Iron Ore price will help the AUD to push higher (Iron ore continues to climb higher).
Commitments of Traders Report Sentiment. Neutral
Retail Traders Sentiment: Bearish
Have you some questions, comment below :)
hello all here we see gj is starting a clear long pattern. to hit the upside 618 fib to give a two time hit of the top and bottom symmetrical triangle or pennant if you like that. i have used mfi, support and resistance, a special cot indicator, triangle pattern, and double bottom for my theory. Therefore as the triangle is tightening we may only see a move to the...
The US Dollar has been in distribution with large speculators unwinding their net long positions (COT Report) that had been building since mid 2000. Currently the longs and shorts are matching each other and there is no commitment in the US Dollar. The volume signature has also decreased. The correlation with the 10 year bond yields has also shown a significant...