Merry Christmas Traders!
We find SPY near the termination of a minor fifth subwave v of Intermediate wave (3), which in turn is part of a larger primary wave One. Primary Wave One should terminate near SPY ETF price 219 on/about 31 Dec 18, after a 28-day decline from 3 Dec wave origin.
Chart describes constituent components of Primary Wave One, including a...
EURUSD
EUR broke important support at the 1.15088 line on Friday and then collapsed in a near straight line towards the next line of support at 1.13679, after making a low 19 pips above here so far.
All these lines on DXY and Gold and here too are weeks old and none of these charts have had to be updated or amended....showing how slooooow most markets are...
EURUSD 30th May
EUR has finally reached the month-long downside target at
1.1558 just in time for the end of the May. It actually
exceeded the target by 45 pips before reversing higher and
creating the first strong green candles of buying intent the
market has seen for months now. But the counter rally is
running out of momentum now whilst DXY holds above...
EURUSD Trying For Break-Out Counter-Rally now
Using DXY as the confirming signal (please see DXY updates)
we've been short EURUSD for some time now, looking for a
test of 94.20 on DXY as the likely medium term top for Dollar
strength across the pairs. That came yesterday (too busy
shorting Bitcoin to notice, sorry for that).
But EUR didn't quite make it to...
EURUSD Update
After rallying from the downside target off the 1.1721 line
EUR has made it to the near term upside target centred
around the 1.1821 line and been met with a barrage of
persistant selling from there over the last 6 hours creating a
series of rejection spikes above the line.
If you shorted from here again lower the stop to 1.1787.
It's been sold...
EURUSD
After another rally back to the upper parallel precisely EUR has fallen to the target at 1.1915 after an intra-day low at 1.1910.
It should now attempt a feeble rally back to 1.1946 and the upper parallel at best before it falls away again. And unless it can find a double bottom at 1.1910 when it next comes off the likelihood remains that it will decline...
EURUSD: Another Counter-Rally prior to decline to 1.1915 Target
Having made the counter-rally back to the upper parallel EUR has continued its expected down-trend. It's now touching the next support line at 1.2027 and likley to make another small counter rally to 1.2067 and at highest to 1.2094 before it falls away again to the 1.1915 downside target towards mid May.
DXY Dollar Index Small counter-rally before further weakness
DXY has crashed into the near term target zone at 92.74 -
92.55 (target 92.64) and bounced. It looks like it will
consolidate by moving sideways to upwards, at best to test
the upper parallel before it falls away again. When 92.50
gives way it should fall a further 1.5% to 91.01. This move,
when...
GE Next Buy Points
We never got a chance for a long down by the lows, but we
did get the next one: the break above the small parallels
channelling the tiny corrective move yesterday and Monday.
It was a really good, painless/stress-free break too. So now,
after GE filled a small gap (left on chart) it's coming back to
support at 18.07 (tweaked by a couple...
WTI: USOIL It's not quite reached the target yet by about 11 pips but if it touches that perfect level it will likely only be a spike, so am closing out here and thinking about a counter rally long for 100 pips - still overall bearish though so still looking to short again, but hopefully from higher up - or on a break below first target as per comment.
DXY: Dollar Index Update and confirming levels for shorting USDEUR. These two go hand in glove right now. Really helpful for identifying short term USD counter rallies and resistance points.
DXY: Doillar Index - double bottom at 96.8 - loss of downward momemtum - and trying to rally as per comment - all Dollar shorts should have been closed as per last comment by now...consider getting long $ for counter rally using DXY as guide and trigger.
AUDUSD: the US Dollar looks like it's going to collapse on Monday with a strong Euro and GBP the drivers. But it will sweep AUD up in the tailwinds, creating a counter-rally and dragging it back up to .7473 (if you buy sell half here) and more likely up to .7515 (sell other half here) where it becomes a fabulous short once more.
