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BITCOIN 'From Denial of the Bear Cycle to Bitcoin going to 0'We've been showing you since September why Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was structured to start a new Bear Cycle in October, mostly based on the very accurate 4-year Cycle Theory. Recently we've published analyses of the last indicators that practically confirmed that the market has already entered this Bear Cycle. Today, with a combination of the Pi Cycle bands and the Aroon Oscillator, we basically display the investor mentality as the market transitions from Bull to Bear and again back to Bull. First of all, even the 3W time-frame has confirmed that by breaking a closing a 3W candle below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), BTC confirmed in late October the start of the Bear Cycle. As you can see that happened before on December 27 2021, May 07 2018 and August 04 2014. Every time that happened, the Bear Cycle was a fact. We are now within the 1W MA50 - Pi Cycle (green) Support trend-line Zone, which is part of the 'Denial of Bear Cycle' Phase, where the majority of the market doesn't/ can't accept the trend change. Below the Pi Cycle Support starts the 'Bitcoin going to 0' hysteria where the majority of the market starts turning from bullish to bearish, having accepted the Bear Cycle, making extravagant calls on Bitcoin's potential bottom. This is when the very reliable Aroon Oscillator turns bearish below 0.00. Once this hits its Buy Zone, it has historically been a fair time to start buying again for the long-term. That is when bearishness across the market is at its peak and of course when smart money start buying massively again. So do you think that's a good framework to follow? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
30
ZCASH expected to crash brutally to $32.00Zcash (ZECUSD) has been the revelation of this Bull Cycle as it's been the last major coin to rally from mid September to mid November, outside of the main Altseason. It broke above last Cycle's Top but for more than a month, it's been showing clear signs that the market has peaked. The last indicator to confirm that is the 1W MACD, which has completed a Bearish Cross. ZEC's main long-term pattern has been a Channel Down since the February 20 2017 Low and the recent Cycle Top is technically a Lower High, which structurally initiates a Bearish Leg. This Bearish Leg is the market's new Bear Cycle. The previous two Bear Cycles bottomed on the 1.05 Fibonacci extension, dropping dramatically by -97.94% and -95.78% respectively. As a result, we have a minimum Target of $32.00 (-95.78%) and can see an overextension to $13.00 (Fib 1.05), which is riskier. The most effective indicator for a long-term buy again regardless of the price, is when the 1M MACD forms a Bullish Cross. Also, see how well the Sine Waves grasp the cyclical behavior of this pattern, timing both the Tops and Bottoms very well. We also need to mention the 1W Golden Cross, which seems to be formed just before a Bull Cycle peaks. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ZECUSDShort
by TradingShot
1
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 19, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Bitcoin market in this week's trading session continued to trade within an Active Inner Trading Zone defined by the Mean Resistance level at 93,500 and the Mean Support level at 89,300. Given the current dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, it is advisable for traders to monitor price action in this Active Trading Zone closely. A breakout may lead to additional targets, including an Interim Inner Coin Rally at 98,000 and a subsequent Interim Coin Rally at 102,500. Conversely, on the downside, the established Mean Support levels are situated at 84,700 and 82,500, with the prospect of an Outer Coin Dip occurring at 78,500.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
1
HBARUSD lost its 1W MA200 also. Collapse imminent.Hedera (HBARUSD) is about to close its 1W candle below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since November 11 2024. This is a huge development as this has been its long-term Support, which even though it broke on 3 separate occasions in 2025, it ever closed a week below it and always recovered with a strong rally. If this time it fails, then the Bear Cycle will be confirmed 100% (pretty much is) and will move on into its 2nd Phase, in a similar way as the 2021/22 Bear Cycle did. As you can see, both Cycles are almost identical, with virtually indistinguishable 1W RSI Falling Wedge patterns (both starting after a 88.50 Resistance rejection). They are both parts of a multi-year Triangle pattern, which in 2022 bottomed on its Higher Lows trend-line on the 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level (also just above the 2.0 Fib extension measured from the second High). This time both Fibs are almost on the same level, which gives us a minimum Target for this Bear Cycle at 0.0530. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:HBARUSDShort
by TradingShot
2
SUIUSD; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing market structure or imbalances. ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
COINBASE:SUIUSDShort
by Matej_trader
2
BITCOIN Is this the 'last chance' for camp Bulls?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on its 1W MA100 (red trend-line) and as we've shown in previous posts, as long as it holds, this could initiate the first counter-trend rally of the Bear Cycle. This 'last chance for camp Bulls' is further strengthened by the fact that the 3D RSI is displaying a similar pattern as the previous two Higher Low bottoms of the Bull Cycle in March - April 2025 and July - September 2024. That is a Higher Lows 3D RSI Bullish Divergence against the Lower Lows of the price. This time isn't exactly Lower Lows for the price but the 1W MA100 has taken this part. Still it is almost identical to the previous ones and can kick-start a rally. Whether buyers can translate that into a final Bull Cycle rally to keep the hopes of the Cycle up, it remains to be seen. Extensive multi-angle technical analysis shows that 'hopes' should be very high as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) historically assumes the role of the long-term Resistance level during Bear Cycles. So can BTC rebound here and fuel a 'last chance for camp Bulls'? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
ETHUSD; Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing the market; use only two time frames. ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Matej_trader
3
BITCOIN Ichimoku red flip taking place. NOT GOOD.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is in the process of turning its 1W Ichimoku Cloud from bullish (green) to bearish (red). It has been on a consecutive green state since October 23 2023. This red flipping is a major development as relative to the previous BTC Bear Cycles, it has happened around the exact same stage that we are at right now. This technically confirms that we are already on the new Bear Cycle (something we've been talking about since September) and that the basic stages/ phases of it remain the same. The high degree of symmetry is further shown by the fact that when this Ichimoku flip takes place, the price has historically been trading around 175 days (25 weeks) away from it (green circle), supported by the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). And that has always been the stage of a counter-trend rebound/ rally that targeted and was rejected on the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). The second remarkable display of symmetry is that following this Ichimoku red flip, the Bear Cycles bottomed around 105 days (15 weeks) after it (blue circles). So what do the above data suggest for the market right now? That there is a short-term rally pending towards the 1D MA200 and that we may see the Bear Cycle bottoming around the end of September 2026. Would you agree with this thesis? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
11
XRPUSD; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing the market; use only two time frames. ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
COINBASE:XRPUSDShort
by Matej_trader
2
HYPERLIQUID Is it getting a relief rally?A month ago (November 13, see chart below), we gave a strong Sell Signal on Hyperliquid (HYPEUSD) after the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern turned into an obvious Channel Down, which easily hit our $30.00 Target: Now we see some short-term relief before the next, larger drop as not only did the price make contact with the bottom (Lower Low trend-line) of the Channel Down, but also the 1D RSI is displaying the same kind of bottoming sequence it did on October 17. Even though the resulting rebound/ Bullish Leg rose by +50.50%, even breaking above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, this time the move might be limited by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) posing as a Resistance, even though the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is the standard long-term one during Bear Cycles. In any event, our 'modest' short-term Target for this bounce is $33.00. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:HYPEHUSDLong
by TradingShot
BITCOIN following the same blueprint as all previous Bear CyclesBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been falling non-stop since its October All Time High and all the signs continue to be there that we have already entered the new Bear Cycle. We've been sharing extensive analyses with you since September on the markers of the Bear Cycle and the latest indicator that adds to the data set is the STOCH on the 3W time-frame. As you can see, it has entered a level where all previous three Bear Cycles completed roughly their 1st Phase and rebounded on a dead-cat-bounce. On average it i roughly after every three 3W candles that this happens, this time it was after two, the previous two Bear Cycles after three and the one before (longest) after six. Also this is the fastest it's reached the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) on a Bear Cycle correction and most likely it will be the same for its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3W MA100 (green trend-line). This is another sign that shows how every Cycle gets less and less aggressive. The first Bear Cycle dropped by roughly -94%, the second by -87%, the third by -84% and the fourth (last) by 77%. This decelerating rate reveals BTC's asymptotic behavior as more and more mass adoption kicks in with every passing Cycle. As the market stabilizes, becomes larger and more widespread, the volatility becomes lower and lower. This is a sign of maturity. So what does this potentially mean for us and this Bear Cycle? Well that the drop will most likely be contained at -70% maximum (-7% less than the previous Cycle), a rate that may be as low as -60% (just after contacting the 3W MA100) if ETF buying interest returns or other fundamental catalysts (bitcoin treasuries etc?) accelerate adoption. So this potential range translates into a possible buy zone of $50000 - $38000 towards the end of 2026 but that's a topic we've analyzed extensively on other studies. So do you think the 3W STOCH puts another nail on Bitcoin's coffin or there are still hopes that the Bull Cycle will be resumed? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
3
SHIBA Its first 1W Death Cross ever has been formed.Shiba Inu (SHIBUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down since the March 2024 High, which was the former Bull Cycle's Top. 4 weeks ago it completed its first ever 1W Death Cross, potentially signaling a strong bearish extension for the current Bear Cycle. Until that happens, we have a short-term Buy Signal at our hands as not only did the Channel Down price a new Lower Low, thus technically granting the start of a new Bullish Leg, but this also took place on the 4-year Support Zone, which has been unbroken since May 2021. As you can see, this Zone has offered numerous long-term buy opportunities. As in 2022 and 2023, every such rebound though is limited/ restricted by the presence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been rejecting every test since January 20 2025 (almost 1 year). Based on that, unless we break the recent low, we expect SHIB to rally on the short-term and peak near the 1W MA50 at 0.0000115. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:SHIBUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN This is the 4H Golden Cross that Bulls need at all costsBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a slow rebound following the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) test and is close to forming a 4H Golden Cross for the first time in more than 2 months. However a similar rebound attempt in December 2021, at the start of the BTC's previous Bear Cycle, after also dropping by -39.50% from the top (against today's -36.20%), failed to form a 4H Golden Cross the 'last minute' and the market resumed the bearish trend towards a new Low, completing a -50.34% total decline. So far the 1D RSI is similar to December 2021 but there is one key difference. Now Bitcoin has already tested its 1W MA100 (and rebounding) while on the previous Bear Cycle it only came close to it in February 2022. So will that favor and support the market for a little while and make that 4H Golden Cross or the 1D RSI and -36.20% identical drop fractal will push it lower? In the first case, the market will look for a 1D MA200 (black trend-line) test around $105k, which is what happened in March 2022, while in the second for a -47.30% total drop around $67000. One thing is for sure, if Bulls want to see some relief for some time, they have to defend that 4H Golden Cross. Which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
6
AVAXUSD 2-year Channel Down starting a rally to $20?Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Down which made a Lower Low bottom 3 weeks ago. The price has since then traded sideways, potentially in an attempt to price a technical Support base. If the market doesn't break below this, there are high probabilities to see this pattern initiating a new Bullish Leg. The previous two Bullish Legs showed a declining rate on their rallies with the first hitting the 0.786 Fibonacci level but the second being only able to hit the 0.618 Fib. If this decreasing rate continues, we shouldn't go much further than the 0.5 Fib this time. With the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1M MA50 (red trend-line) posing as the two main Resistance levels of this Bear Cycle, we place our Target below at $20.000. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:AVAXUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
BITCOIN Why nobody talks about this??That was the last indicator standing and now it is as clear as it can get. With last month's candle close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has confirmed that it has already started a new Bear Cycle. The reason is simple and it is one of the most basic trading indicators out there. The 1M MACD was already on a Bearish Cross since October, and November's closing widened the gap to such extent that it is not recoverable anymore. This has happened every time during a BTC Bear Cycle and in two of the past three cases, it took place while already on the Bear Cycle. History has shown that there is no coming back from this and BTC should start looking for the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1M MA100 (green trend-line) Zone. If all the Bear Cycle indicators we've shown on analyses since September were early signs, the MACD is conclusive and as mentioned, has confirmed it. But what do you think? Has the MACD Bearish Cross confirmed the new Bear Cycle beyond any doubt? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
42
SUIUSD can target $0.85 after this dead-cat bounce is over.A month ago (November 05, see chart below) we gave a strong sell signal on Sui (SUIUSD), targeting 1.4320 right at the bottom of its 1-year Channel Down: The price made direct contact with the pattern's bottom (thus hitting our Target) and rebounded, pricing a Lower Low. Right now the market is in the process of forming the Bullish Leg of the Channel Up (1W RSI almost got oversold also), which we don't expect to be completed like the previous one as this is a dead-cat bounce at the time, limited by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is technically the Resistance during Bear Cycles. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level is also at a cluster level were the 1W MA50 could reject this bounce along with the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). We believe that the next Bearish Leg will likely break below the Channel Down and target the All Time Low Higher Lows trend-line around 0.8500, which will be a -66.00% decline from the top, similar to the previous two selling sequences. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:SUIUSD
by TradingShot
LITECOIN can easily hit $43 in the next 10 months.Litecoin (LTCUSD) started its new Bear Cycle after a rejection on the 4-year Lower Highs trend-line. Now that it sits below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which was formally a Resistance during the Bull Cycle, we can claim that the next stage should be targeting the Higher Lows 1 trend-line. Given that all previous Bear Cycles lasted for at least a year and that the last one dropped less than the 2018, we can expect LTC's new Bear Cycle to last up until August 2026 at least. Even a 'modest' decline should still see it targeting Higher Lows trend-line 2, which by the end of August 2026 should have hit $43.00 at least. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:LTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
BITCOIN BEARISH FLAG STRUCTURE AND LIQUIDITY GRAB In this weekends Bitcoin price analysis, Bitcoin appears poised to close the weekly candle with an indecision doji, signaling uncertainty in market direction. On the 12-hour chart, the current candle formation combined with a stochastic cycle low suggests that price may first gravitate toward the liquidity zone near $96,388 before resuming downward momentum. Looking at the daily timeframe, price has retraced precisely to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, reinforcing the idea of a temporary pause. With both the 12-hour and weekly stochastics registering cycle lows, the setup points to continued sideways consolidation into next week. Ultimately, this structure favors a breakdown toward the $80,524 support zone, where buyers may look to re-engage. However, on 4 hours time frame I have a identified a bearish flag structure and if the structure break out of the sideways channel, then I expect Bitcoin to fall towards the initial target of $72k and ultimate target of $58k. I would like to thank you for reading my publications and supporting my analysis. Please if you find value in my presentation kindly give it a boost and comment with your thoughts in the comments section. Let's be a community that sharpens each other. Cheers and have a great trading week.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by RICHINVESTOR
BITCOIN vs S&P500 Is the Bear Cycle correlation a myth?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has entered a new Bear Cycle while the stock markets remain near their All Time Highs (ATH). The general notion is that when BTC starts a Cycle (either Bull or Bear), the stock market, which on this particular analysis is the S&P500 (blue trend-line) follows suit. But how much truth is in it? Here we see those Bear Cycles since 2011. As you can see in 2011 and 2022 both BTC and the S&P500 dropped around the same time. In 2018 even though both started falling, the S&P500 recovered shortly after, even made new ATH but dropped again remaining volatile. On the other hand in 2014, the S&P500 kept rising, even though BTC was in a Bear Cycle. As a result, the above notion isn't 100% accurate, not entirely a 'myth' but for sure not a certainty. We even plotted all previous S&P500 sequences during BTC's Bear Cycle, on today's Cycle and as you can see the worst case scenario based on that is a 2022 type correction (grey fractal), which would bring the index back to the April 2025 lows. Bitcoin will most likely have a typical Bear Cycle, especially with the last two (2022 and 2018) being almost identical. So do you think the Bear Cycle correlation is a myth or not? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
10
BITCOIN Mayer Multiple shows the way to the Bear Cycle bottom.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains on a short-term rebound, as mentioned before, a standard counter-trend/ dead cat bounce during Bear Cycles. Here you see the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB), an indicator we've used countless times to determine tops, bottoms and general trends of a Cycle. This time we plot this simple yet powerful tool to make an early estimate on the potential bottom of this Bear Cycle. We will keep this short as there is no reason to overcomplicate things, especially at this stage. BTC is as we said on a small rebound currently after almost testing the 2SD below (blue trend-line) of the MMB. On all previous Bear Cycles show on this chart, every time this happened, the market bounced and consolidated then. When the 2SD below trend-line broke, the market reached the 3SD below (green trend-line) rather aggressively and quickly. In all instances, that was the Bear Cycle bottom, with the only exception being the 2022 Bear Cycle, which gave one last short-term rebound/ consolidation and bottomed when it broke below the 1W MA300 (red trend-line). The 1W MA300 has historically had a hidden but key role on BTC Cycles. When tested, always after the initial MMB bottom, it provided a 2nd and final opportunity to enter (buy) the new Bull Cycle at such a low price. It is possible to see something like that happen again. With its course (1W MA300), assuming the current Bear Cycle also lasts for around 52 weeks (364 days) like the previous two, we estimate it to be a little under $60000 by October 2026. The MMB 3SD below though could be by that time around $40000. It is possible of course that we breach the 1W MA300 (much) earlier thus at a lower price, meaning also potentially hitting the MMB bottom a little higher. In any case the bottom range seems roughly by $60k - $40k. Since determining the Cycles (hence Tops - exits, Lows - entries) has always been more about timing and less about pricing, this is why we've discussed before that it would be a good idea to start buying (call it DCA if it suits you better) around $60k. As always, however, these are just the facts. The decision is yours. So at what price do you think this Cycle will bottom? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
13
XLMUSD can drop another -50% before it bottoms.Stellar (XLMUSD) is in the middle of its Bear Cycle and currently consolidating within its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) in anticipating of Phase 2 of the Cycle's structure. As you can see, the dominant pattern since the January 2018 High has been a Triangle, with the recent Cycle Top making direct contact with the Lower Highs trend-line and the bottom with the Higher Lows trend-line. There is a very high degree of symmetry among those Cycles. Fine example is the 1W RSI, which every time it hit 38.50, the price had always tested the 1W MA200 while on its Bear Cycle and always after breaking below the initial (dashed) Triangle, which is the first pattern post the Bull Cycle Top. As far as the bottom is concerned, there is obviously the Higher Lows trend-line to consider but at the same time, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level can also assist as the previous two Cycle bottoms were priced just above it. As a result we estimate that this Bear Cycle may bottom around 0.13000 before XLM turns into a long-term buy opportunity again. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:XLMUSDShort
by TradingShot