NOT Local trend. Sideways -98%. Reversal zones 27 01 26Logarithm. 3-day time frame.
The price in the main trend is still in a downward channel with a given volatility range.
Medium-term - locally , another sideways trend has formed (the third in a downward channel), but the decline is already -98% (not counting the futures long, which was previously down by -99%). Typically, such low-liquidity hype scams decline by -94-98% (with rare exceptions of -99% or a complete scam project, based on some fiction).
It's important to understand that the creators of such cryptocurrencies always sell at any price (they're created for profit, under the hype). But at low price levels (-94-99%), a dilemma arises:
1️⃣ invent a reason for a scam and abandon the project;
2️⃣ or reverse the trend and temporarily restore faith in the scam cryptocurrency. This will, in turn, continue selling.
You can exploit this and profit from it. But, in the long term, it's best to be cautious with such assets. This applies to absolutely all cryptocurrencies created for hype and with no real future use. When trading such dying former super-hypes, manage your risks. This is the foundation. If you can't manage it, avoid it.
Cryptocurrrency
NOT Main Trend. Descending Channel -98% 01/27/2026Logarithm. Time frame: 1 week.
The price is in the main trend and remains in a downward channel with a given volatility range.
It's important to understand that the creators of this cryptocurrency always sell at any price (they're created for profit, fueled by hype). However, at low prices (-94-99%), a dilemma arises:
1️⃣ invent a reason for a scam and abandon the project;
2️⃣ or reverse the trend and temporarily restore faith in this scam cryptocurrency. In order to continue sales.
You can use this and profit from it. But, in the long term, you should be cautious with such assets. This applies to absolutely all cryptocurrencies created for hype and without any real future use. When trading such a dying former super-hype, manage your risks. This is the basic principle. If you can't do this, avoid it.
NOT Local trend. Sideways. -98%. Reversal zones 27 01 26
ICP Main Trend. Dragon Pattern. Channel. June 2026A large time frame for visualization of the entire trend is 1 week. Logarithm.
🟣 Local. A local cup has formed and is pressing toward resistance. Approximately +50% to the secondary downtrend (channel) resistance in the event of a breakout (most likely a momentum event) and consolidation of the 3.16 level zone. Further away from the strong resistance reaction.
🔵🟡 Primary and secondary trends. The main focus is on the dynamic resistance of the downtrend (highlighted by the red line).
A breakout would be the implementation of the "Dragon" pattern , which has two targets: "hump" and "head." If this happens, the emphasis would be on the first target; the second, in my opinion, is unlikely in the next year and a half.
Not a breakout of the downtrend resistance —further movement within the downward channel, but most likely a transition to a sideways trend in the highlighted range in purple. Then a reversal, and the realization of these targets.
Cryptocurrency news background now.
1️⃣Internet Computer launches its 1 national subnet in Switzerland with 13 local nodes.
2️⃣DFINITY bolsters 2026 ICP roadmap with Swiss Cloud Engines, AI-powered applications, and Mission 70 to radically reduce token inflation.
3️⃣DFINITY announced the launch of the Swiss Subnet at World Computer Day in Davos on the second day of the event. As previously reported by CNF, the event was attended by world leaders, such as US President Donald Trump, French President Emmanuel Macron, and Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse.
Previous price manipulation by DFINITY fund management.
Although, during listings and market launches, there was considerable blatant manipulation by developers and price manipulation. This asset is from the same "digital supranational" group as XRP, XLM, HBAR, and UCDC. Therefore, there was a lot of hype initially, an extremely inflated price based on expectations, and the "creators" occasionally appear at Davos and similar events. Therefore, it's quite possible that the asset is interesting not only for short- and medium-term speculation, but also for investment, but with careful money management, as many tricks have been previously observed from the cryptocurrency's creators. Also, if you read their roadmap, it reads more like science fiction in many ways, given current technology. Despite this, many "non-fictional" developments are currently being implemented online; whether this is work in progress, or an imitation of it, is up to you to judge upon examination.
Price manipulations have been observed previously. For example:
1) Futures before the asset's listing on the hitbtc exchanges had a very inflated price (simply astronomical compared to the actual price, which led many to believe that buying spot at that price, or slightly lower, was normal). As soon as the cryptocurrency was listed on several exchanges, the temporary futures were immediately removed.
2) Listing on a top exchange amidst enormous hype, where the price was initially $1,200-700 per coin! Only those involved in the project were selling. Just like all previous investors, they were physically "locked in" and couldn't do so. That is, ordinary people, including the funds that invested, could only buy, as they didn't own any coins at the time, unlike those involved in DFINITY's leadership. This was noticed by the community and spread on Twitter with evidence.
3) Unlimited coin supply This is justified, as with ETH, by the idea that there will be high demand in the future, requiring an unlimited supply.
It's logical that the exchanges where the cryptocurrency was listed and the people involved in the management of the DFINITY fund are interconnected in such manipulations.
Despite all this, this cryptocurrency has a very high profile rating of -87% on the coinmarket. Something like that...
ICP Main Trend 10 2025Logarithm. Timeframe: 1 week. I'm updating my previous trading idea for the primary and secondary trends (it achieved its goals with pinpoint accuracy), published 2.5 years ago.
A patient and consistent person will be rewarded, while a restless person will not.
Locally, this reversal zone is after a futures long takeout:
Low-liquidity instruments and huge leverage (targeted by the main information traffic of "easy money" lures) are incompatible... logically... But, it's profitable for exchanges to create such futures trading instruments, as people will leave their money there. There's no real supply or demand, and exchange algorithms completely control the price (volatility), which is why "traders" are doomed.
That's why we've recently seen cascading collapses in futures liquidity and mass liquidations, which have been reflected in the spot market. Spike prices on many instruments reached -40-80%, practically in a completely empty order book.
It's quite easy to direct the price to such a massive liquidation up or down on a large exchange by manipulating the entire trading volume, given low supply and demand. However, this is impossible (considered blatant manipulation) on a single instrument, and there will be many questions and lawsuits. But if this is done on hundreds of cryptocurrencies simultaneously and across all exchanges, under a correspondingly negative news backdrop, everything is fine; it's the market and the negative news.
ARKM Main Trend. Wedge. Cup. Squeeze. 01/06/2026Logarithm. 3-day time frame. A descending wedge has formed in the main trend.
1️⃣🟢 A cup has formed in the local trend, pushing toward wedge resistance. There could be a impulse pump , driven by some fictitious positive news. It would be rational to use trigger orders for a breakout , and diversified limit orders if the breakout is false.
There could be a pullback from wedge resistance (not a breakout of the downtrend line):
2️⃣🔴 toward the support zone, and a horizontal channel could form;
3️⃣🔴 or an extremely negative scenario – entering the final zone of the descending wedge closer to August-September (optional), if there is no breakout and support from previous lows is broken.
CGPT (ChainGPT) Main Trend. Channel. AI. January 11, 2026Time frame: 1 week. Another project under the hype of AI, which is developing slightly now and will grow strongly in the future. A descending channel in which a descending wedge is forming (the second wave of the structure). A breakout of the wedge (dynamic resistance) is a trend reversal. I showed two options (working for a breakout):
1) a breakout of the wedge from the current zone (internal support of the channel of the large formation).
2) a breakout of the wedge near the external support zone of the ascending channel of the main trend.
LTC and XRP Fractals. Main Trend. Triangles 10/18/2025Logarithm. 1-month time frame. Larger time frame for comparison and clarity. XRP is ahead of LTC by 1 year, where a breakout of the 7-year formation and the first wave of strong price growth (pump impulse of 500-600%) have already occurred. There will be 3 of them.
🟣⚠️ But, perhaps a retest of the formation's breakout zone, based on a super-fabulous and funny story, will happen very soon from a trend perspective. This is, more accurately, a retest of human intelligence worldwide, the clarity of common sense (perhaps there will be no reaction, and the scenario will fail to capture the public's attention), which could impact speculative markets as a whole.
In general, cryptocurrencies like Litecoin (scam protection) should be of interest to those with common sense but who understand that trading isn't their thing. You buy in increments and forget about it. That is, for investors... Perhaps it would be of interest to positional traders (trades once a year or several months) after a breakout on a pullback, or trigger trades on breakouts of local zones.
An idea for comparison that could impact your trading strategy. Don't be confused by the large percentage pumps in 2017 to initiate the formation of the triangles of these 7–8 years. Cryptocurrency in the "reset waves" has long been redistributed. However, this doesn't negate risk management, not like some silly “book” that says to squeeze your coins out of you in reversal zones, but rather as common sense and math dictate. Also, set reasonable targets, depending on the timeframe of your trading strategy, for liquidity accumulation levels and those willing to sell. Don't set limit orders in round numbers, either sell or buy.
🟡 On Litecoin cryptocurrency, the price is still trapped , ahead of a potential breakout (highly likely). It's possible they'll make a false takeout and accumulate long liquidity under the 7.8-year formation before breaking out of the triangle, but that's not a given.
LTC ETF to be adopted in the US later . But overall, everything will be fine. Currently, with the price clamping down (over the last six months), we've seen high network activity and an increase in the number of addresses (the banking sector is “testing” + a little large capital) without price growth or positive news. Of the top cryptocurrencies, LTC is currently an underdog, which is logical, as positions are being built up in a local trend after a major redistribution (change of hands). This is a good sign.
🟡 Work in the secondary trend I'll publish later, possibly a public idea. However, here I've shown the maximum targets for both an upward breakout (more likely) and a downward breakout (rare, perhaps, perhaps liquidity accumulation).
A chart pattern (trends, figures, fractals, patterns) is formed according to the general market trend (market phase) and the asset's liquidity (money in the project). What is a projection (paragraph below).
The price movement direction is determined by:
1️⃣ real supply/demand for the "commodity."
2️⃣ manipulative supply/demand.
3️⃣ intellectual degradation of market participants and their control and predictability.
4️⃣ intellectual “insight” into how things “should” or “shouldn't” be. This is usually the result of points 2 and 3 (the formation of a dominant opinion), and very rarely a personal opinion that can be used to develop one's own trading tactics and money management.
Dirty Game (Keep Your Eyes Open)A no-KYC perp, launches token and allows traders (and themselves) 50x leverage directly from launch.
Peddles binary options and their own stablecoin
Let's not assume they abuse level 3 orderbook data (stops/liquidations/entry) to churn endless volume/'clearance fees'
And surely, hopefully, they don't build up unbacked debt in their system (god mode positions, FTX style)
It will likely play out okay, but this is one of those 'could explode' plays.
This one has a heavy duty handler.
Very experienced, very ruthless.
I see it playing out similarly to HYPE, but a lot more shameless.
There is no intention of playing fair.
They are not trying to convince you they are a long-term play like HYPE.
This is not just a harvest on gamblers/leverage traders, it is also a harvest on market makers.
Smart market makers will not touch this, most will play it double safe and lose, some will lose big.
ASTER PLAYBOOK:
Run price up hard and fast using, heavily leveraged seed money, while being immune to liquidations > ENTICE
Paint a cute chart > BUILD CONFIDENCE
Abuse level 3 data and god mode to harvest liquidations > ACCUMULATE STABILITY FUND
(run lows, tap highs, repeat)
Use stability funds to further run up price.
With HYPE;
the game slowed down when their risks got highlighted.
built up vultures who actively try to eat off their plate, limiting upside
has a 3x/10x max, where as this goes 50x
transparency makes it hard to be as shameless, but also attracted more capital that way
How high will it go?
It all depends on how much capital they fool into their game.
My guess, they will run it to some nice number while volatility is high (5$/10$), before slamming it 70-90% down.
Then low volatility churn for a year and try again.
None of this is financial advice.
ETH/BTC Main Trend. Triangle. Reversal Zones. April 2026Logarithm. 1-month timeframe.
The entire ETH/BTC trend is shown to visualize the strength of Ethereum against Bitcoin.
A huge triangle has formed within the main trend.
The price is within the formation, currently forming a “Ross Hook” at the median, below the local descending trendline.
The key reversal zones from which the trend will form are shown.
A breakout of 0.035 means reaching the triangle's resistance. A breakout of this resistance is generally positive for the market and altcoins. Typically, when ETH is being pumped, a large group of its altcoins are also pumped.
A failure to break the local descending trendline and the local resistance level is a price drop into the lower zone of the triangle, towards its dynamic support, and a return movement to the triangle's resistance.
An extremely negative scenario (unlikely), a breakdown of the dynamic long-term support of this huge triangle, and a move of the ETH price to the channel's median. This is a low-probability scenario, but in the event of its realization (a downward breakout of the triangle), I've shown a descending channel.
ETH/USD Local Trend. Reversal Zone. 04 2026Logarithm. 3-day time frame.
Main trend — ascending channel .
Secondary trend — horizontal channel.
Local trend — “microphone” pattern (a decline in an expanding cone toward the median of an ascending channel).
Very local — ascending channel toward the resistance of the microphone. In case of a breakout:
a) upward — a sloping pump cup toward the previous consolidation and slightly higher.
b) in case of a downward breakout — a descending pennant.
As always, all percentages from key reversal zones to key support/resistance zones are shown. Have a trading plan and manage your risks; don't exceed them. Be patient; the market doesn't owe you anything...
You can see this local reversal zone on the scale of the main trend of this banking-crypto asset in this previous idea by clicking the “play” button on the chart.
QNT/USDT — Long at Demand After Sell-Off Trap, Targeting Range HQNTUSDT Perpetual
Context:
QNT has been in a choppy range between 72 and 80 for the past two weeks. Price rallied to 79.30, got rejected, and sold off back to the 75 zone. But the sell-off looks exhaustive — after the initial Sell signal played out, price swept below 74.50 and immediately reversed with a strong Buy signal at the demand zone.
Why this setup works — three confluences:
Liquidity sweep and reclaim — price wicked below the obvious support at 74.50, grabbed stops from earlier longs, then snapped back above the level. That sweep-and-reclaim pattern is a classic institutional entry — clear out weak hands, then reverse
Gravity 0.618 filled — the Fibonacci retracement of the last impulse move aligns perfectly with the entry zone. When structural demand and Fibonacci gravity converge, the probability of a reaction increases significantly
Sell signal exhaustion — the prior Sell signal at 75 already delivered its move. Now a Buy signal has fired at the bottom of that move, suggesting the sell-side momentum is spent and buyers are stepping in for the next leg
A signal fired at 75.06 on a retest entry. We took it.
Trade management:
Entry: 75.06
Stop Loss: 72.21 — below the range low and demand shelf
TP1: 77.40 — mid-range resistance, 50% off, stop to breakeven
TP2: 79.73 — upper range target for 100% exit
R:R: ~1:0.8 to TP1, ~1:1.6 to TP2. Managed exit secures profit early and lets TP2 ride risk-free.
Invalidation: Close below 72.21 — range base broken, downtrend resumes.
The lesson:
When you see a Sell signal play out and exhaust at a demand zone, followed immediately by a Buy signal at the same level — that's the market telling you the selling is done. The best long entries often come right after the bears have finished their work. Don't fight the sell-off — let it finish, wait for the demand reaction, then enter with the fresh signal.
Signal fired. We took it. Currently running. Update coming with the result.
BTC Local trend. Price squeeze zone. Iran. Oil. March 21, 2026Time frame: 1 day. Local trend. Price pressure and consolidation near the 63,000 zone (average) after reaching the exact targets of the descending flag. All this is happening against the backdrop of the US and Israeli military operation in Iran (oil, future control of the Strait, weakening Chinese influence, etc.)
The idea shows reversal zones (as before, everything is the same), to key support/resistance zones, the reaction from which forms the local trend.
Practice risk management, control risks, and have a trading plan. Don't worry about the news or public opinion, whether authoritative or not. Then everything will be simple, logical, and time-saving. Place trigger or limit orders and forget about them until they are triggered.
ZK Local Trend. Wedge. Reversal Zone and %. 2025 12 27Logarithm. 3-day timeframe.
Main trend for clarity (lower zone of the descending channel).
Declines from the high ("funds are buying 458 million worth of nothing") - 90%.
The long squeeze, due to the extremely low liquidity of the former hyped "saving the world" instrument, was carried out by a phenomenal -93% on a half-empty order book.
Secondary and local trends .
The key is a breakout of the descending wedge and local resistance zone.
Reversal zones and % of key support/resistance levels for building a trading plan and risk management.
Most market participants find it very unpleasant and difficult (they can't bring themselves to) to buy low (fear) and sell high (greed). For them, it's the other way around.
Manage your risks and stick to your trading plan. Don't get caught up in market and news noise, which shapes the opinions and illogical actions of the majority, who are doomed to lose in the future.
TON Secondary Trend. Wedge. Reversal Zones. January 29, 2026Logarithm. 3-day time frame. A descending wedge (incomplete formation) is forming in the ascending channel of the main trend. The local trend shows reversal zones and local percentages to key support/resistance zones.
Currently in the TOP 29 by market capitalization. Most likely, the capitalization of this hyped altcoin will decline until the wedge is broken out and the market enters a new phase. Then, a breakout, aggressive marketing, and a reversal.
Main Trend TON Channel. Wedge. Reversal zones. 01 2026
On the one hand, there's a huge number of Telegram users, which, with the right marketing and at the right market momentum, will positively impact the price of TON itself (Telegram's internal currency) and the cryptocurrencies of this "ecosystem."
On the other hand, a large number of users will be “cut off” from Telegram in 2026-2027, potentially including Russia (possibly temporarily). This, on the contrary, could negatively impact the TON cryptocurrency and all cryptocurrencies of this "crypto ecosystem."
Cryptocurrency is interesting for “moderate” investing and for trading itself (local work and medium-term secondary trends), but with an understanding of the risks, as they are, and are significant.
BITCOIN : THE DROP IS COMING.Is this the beginning of the end ? Brutal Downtrend continues.. Every recovery attempt this year has failed...
1. All time highs formed @ 126306.5 -
2. Since ATH formed: Aggressive down movement covering lots of distance in a short amount of time
3. 2026 Candle Opens , short up move , but fails to sustain a rally
4. Since then lots of aggressive down movement with multiple weekly candles gapping lower.
5. BTC Finding it difficult to recover after each down move
6. Aggressive break below 74 406.6
7. Failure to recover above 74 406.6. BTC Has failed almost every recovery attempt this year...
8. Low forms @ 59935.8 , but again , BTC fails to sustain a rally..
9. 23 March 2026 Gaps down again..
59935.8 NEXT
THEN 48824.8
Bitcoin Slides Again — Is This Just a Dip or the Start of a DeepBitcoin is back under pressure, and this time it’s not just noise. After touching record highs near $126,000 late last year, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is now stuck in the mid-$60,000 range, shaking confidence across the market and raising a bigger question — what changed?
The answer is simple but uncomfortable. The macro backdrop has turned hostile. Strong inflation data and a firm stance from the Federal Reserve have pushed bond yields higher and strengthened the dollar, making risk assets like Bitcoin less attractive. At the same time, rising tensions in the Middle East and higher oil prices have pushed investors toward safer bets, with gold quietly outperforming.
Institutional demand, once the backbone of Bitcoin’s rally, is no longer reliable. Spot ETF flows have turned inconsistent, with several large outflow days signaling hesitation among big players. Some fund managers now say Bitcoin is behaving less like “digital gold” and more like a high-risk tech asset, especially in uncertain economic conditions.
There’s also a structural shift happening. Long-term holders who accumulated during the earlier cycle have been taking profits, adding supply into a market that lacks strong new demand. Research desks note that this kind of distribution phase often leads to longer consolidation periods.
Looking ahead, Bitcoin faces a clear test. If inflation cools and ETF inflows return, a recovery toward $70K–$75K is possible. But if macro pressure stays high and $60K breaks, the market could slide further into a deeper correction. Right now, this isn’t panic — it’s pressure building.
ETHEREUM Wyckoff accumulation March 2026As of early 2026, Ethereum appears to be in a long-term Wyckoff accumulation phase, characterized by a wide, sideways trading range (roughly $1,800–$2,200) that suggests institutional investors are absorbing supply before a potential breakout. This phase, likely following a "Spring" event, sets the stage for a markup phase toward a possible $10,000 target by end of 2026.
Key Aspects of the ETH Wyckoff Accumulation:
Structure: The price action mirrors a "textbook" Wyckoff pattern.
The market experienced a "Spring" (a temporary, sharp drop below support to trigger panic selling) when ETH dipped lower in early 2025, which has since been absorbed.
Current Phase: ETH is in the mid stages of accumulation, where the price should soon begins to show higher lows and prepares for a "Change of Character" (breaking out of the resistance).
Outlook: If the accumulation structure holds, some analysts forecasting a $2,700 price point by mid 2026.
Risk Factors: A sustained break below established support ($1,600) could invalidate the accumulation, suggesting further consolidation or a deeper correction.
TAO Main Trend. Cryptocurrency Hype in Distribution Zone 03/26Logarithm. Timeframe: 1 week.
Distribution zone (more than +200,000% now at the moment, on the chart the distribution zone from consolidation before the "stick" pump - average around +1000%). Drop waves in a descending channel after a huge pump and the coin's price being held by the market maker (limited supply 21 million the majority in "one hand" is distributed among many addresses, they always sell without loading the order book).
As a rule, such assets gradually lose capitalization, liquidity, and hype after distribution. Sometimes there are surges in capitalization increases due to local pumps of large percentages, but in the long term, capitalization loss and scams occur. Then comes the creation of new similar "cryptocurrencies." When trading hype, always keep this in mind and limit losses.
The chart also shows an ascending channel (it's not there yet), in case a less likely scenario occurs. The mid-term percentages of key support/resistance levels from reversal zones are shown.
Locally the key reversal or trend continuation zone is the median of the descending channel of the distribution zone, followed by either its support or resistance, depending on the reaction of the first zone.
When trading (snatching price movements away from reversal zones) in the distribution zone of a large asset's capital, observe risk management and limit potential losses with a stop loss.
Time frame: 3 days.






















