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BTCUSD – Long-Term Uptrend Still Intact👋Hello everyone! What’s your view on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD right now? In this analysis, I’ll share my long-term perspective on Bitcoin. Currently, BTC is trading around $111,600. Although the market has seen some short-term pullbacks, the overall weekly structure still shows a strong medium- to long-term bullish trend. On the chart, price is reacting well to the support zone around $106,000 – $105,000, which was a previously broken resistance area. This zone now aligns with the 34-week EMA, forming a solid technical base that continues to support the bullish outlook. As long as Bitcoin holds above this area, its growth potential remains optimistic. From a technical standpoint, BTC is likely to consolidate within the $106,000 – $120,000 range before making a potential breakout toward the $130,000 – $150,000 region. This scenario is reinforced by growing institutional inflows, consistent ETF accumulation, and a generally positive market sentiment. On the fundamental side, expectations of a Fed rate cut in the coming quarter and a shift toward looser monetary policy continue to support risk assets like Bitcoin. Meanwhile, BTC reserves on exchanges are decreasing, and whale accumulation is rising — both bullish signals that strengthen the long-term uptrend. I remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s outlook. What about you — do you believe BTC will soon return to the race and reach new highs? 💬 Share your thoughts below!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
5
DASH/USDT Market Update – Breakout Tested, Pullback ExpectedDASH/USDT recently confirmed a breakout above the previous resistance zone near 46.9–47.0 USDT, showing strong upside momentum. However, after this breakout move, the market is currently cooling down, suggesting a potential pullback retest before continuation. The key support zone sits around 46–47 USDT — holding this level would confirm healthy consolidation and prepare the structure for a potential next leg up toward the 52–66 USDT range. If price fails to hold the zone, a deeper retracement toward 39.3 USDT remains possible before another attempt to push higher. 📊 Summary: Support zone: 46.0 – 47.0 USDT Resistance target: 52.0 – 66.0 USDT Structure: Breakout → Retest → Potential continuation Bias: Bullish, but expecting short-term correction first 🔎 Focus: Watching for retest confirmation and buy pressure re-entry around the support range before any renewed upside.
Long
by SatochiTrader
SHIBA INU, Why it needs One more highThis is my all-time elliott wave structure for SHIBA INU, and the reason why i think it needs one more high to complete 5 waves since it's creation. The structure shows how SHIBA has hit extension 2,382 to end wave 3. If we look at the internal structure —12345 white— we can see 5 waves of internal wave 3 hitting exactly the 2,618 extension. So, we have a nice confluence of 2,618 extension corresponding to all of wave 3 and 2,382 extension. SHIBA is now in a very long wave 4. Either it is a very large triangle where waves d and e are still needed or this correction is almost over. Also we have a classic bull flag. It's just a matter of time before SHIBA decides to go up and complete wave 5 to at least 2,618 extension
CRYPTO:SHIBUSDLong
by ulrichniederhausser
Eth Short :: ETF Outflows / DAT RiskETH is in a descending triangle on the 4 hour chart which is a bearish pattern. A few other factors outside of price action that suggest a possible correction: Net weekly ETF outflows. -63k ETH last week. Potential multi-year double top playing out but that won't be invalidated until price falls below $1,000ish which is highly unlikely. ETH validator exit queue at record high level of 43 days with roughly 25 million ETH queued to exit staking. Not all is likely to be sold, but the record exodus can't be bullish. www.validatorqueue.com Proliferation of Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) that add very little value to the ecosystem to justify a premium over readily available ETFs. Given the recent decline in ETH price, many are now trading at a discount to NAV. This creates the potential for a negative spiral by forcing sales of assets which adds further pressure to others. Tom Lee who has a vested interest in DAT success said the DAT bubble has started to pop (DAT bubble..not specifically ETH). This by far is the biggest risk to the space. It may take some time to materialize but if it does, I suspect that it will be unwind rapidly. There are many incredibly bullish counterarguments that could easily take this back up quickly, so this idea will be invalidated when the upper trend line is broken on volume. My long-term view is bullish but there is a lot of hype and excess in the space that periodically needs to be cleared out. If the descending triangle plays out, we could see another ~20% drop to the $3,000 range. I am already short but the more cautious approach is to wait until the lower support is broken on volume.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by proteus_1
Latest BTCUSDT Update Today👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on BINANCE:BTCUSDT today? After several days of volatility, Bitcoin (BTC) has reclaimed the $110,000 level, marking a notable rebound after being rejected from a key resistance area earlier this week. Previously, BTC dropped to as low as $106,000, but quickly bounced back, showing that buying momentum is gradually returning to the market. Although the recovery isn’t yet significant, it signals that risk appetite is improving across the broader crypto landscape. Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETF flows remain mixed, reflecting a certain level of hesitation among institutional investors. However, when viewed through the lens of historical patterns, the current setup resembles accumulation phases that preceded major rallies. This opens the door to a potential uptrend in the coming weeks, especially if Bitcoin can hold firm above the $107,000–$110,000 support zone. What about you — what’s your outlook on BTCUSDT? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
12
BTC Intraday Trap? Price Spikes, Volume Stalls 🕵️‍♂️ Observation: - Price made a sharp spike upward, grabbing attention. - But behind the scenes, volume told a different story—slow, hesitant, and lacking buyer aggression. - CVD showed no real pressure from buyers; AO momentum faded quickly after the spike. - This looks like a classic liquidity grab or engineered move to trap breakout traders. - No follow-through from buyers = no conviction. - Price structure remains vulnerable, especially near supply zones or previous POC.
Short
by jshafx
2
Everyone Thinks the Cycle Is Over — $300K–$450K Q4 2026Sentiment is mostly bearish with everyone calling the cycle top because 1064 days have passed. It seems everyone has finally cracked the Bitcoin code based on historical data and simple mathematics. Apparently, it has become so easy to time Bitcoin that everyone must be right. But if you have been around long enough, you know Bitcoin always does the unexpected. When everyone is watching the same pattern and timeframe, the market tends to move in the opposite direction. History has shown this repeatedly, and I believe this time will be no different. My target remains 300-425k by Q4 2026 with ETH between 25-33k. To understand how I arrived at this timeframe and prediction, check the ETH TA below for context. The model shown above is the Bitcoin Power Law Corridor model. If you have followed me for a while, you know I normally use another model shown below. Unfortunately, the BLX Bitcoin chart is no longer being updated and that model only works with that data, so it has to be retired. Months ago, my take aligned with the Bitcoin cycle ending around this time, but new data has shifted the outlook toward an extended cycle into 2026 or possibly the completion of the standard four-year cycle. From the chart above, you can see that whenever Bitcoin breaks the center line of the Power Law model, it enters the final phase of the cycle. This cycle has not yet closed a single monthly candle above that line. Historically, once it does, the final move begins and usually lasts about a year. Each move from the center line has been smaller over time, averaging around -48 percent per cycle, implying a potential 130-145 percent move this time, which aligns with a 300k Bitcoin target. RSI currently sits at 67. $111,191.670 — Mayer Multiple 1.03 Mayer is at 1.03, yet I am supposed to believe the herd that the cycle top is already in. It would be wild to top out with such a low count. No Pi cycle cross. Until we break and close a weekly candle inside the Gaussian channel, I will say the run is not over. In the last cycle, we touched it twice before falling in on the third attempt. Perhaps the same happens again and it marks the top, but this analysis will only be invalidated if we get that close inside. Until then, there is no reason to worry.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Sporia
1
BTC/USDT — New Low-Timeframe Expansion Forming, Potential 114k+Bitcoin is beginning to show strength in the new low-timeframe structure, reclaiming the $108K zone with rising momentum. This confirms a short-term bullish shift after the recent consolidation. The key resistance range between $110K–$114K remains the main obstacle, but if BTC maintains higher lows and continues to push within this structure, a move toward $118K becomes likely. 📊 Technical Overview: Support: $106K–$108K Range Resistance: $110K–$114K Next Upside Target: $118K Bias: Bullish on low-timeframe momentum BTC’s ability to sustain above the $108K region suggests growing buyer confidence — confirmation above $110K could trigger continuation toward the upper range. 📈 Outlook: Low-timeframe expansion 🎯 Targets: $110K → $114K → $118K
Long
by SatochiTrader
SOLUSDT: Technical Factors Remain Bearish👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at BINANCE:SOLUSDT ! SOLUSDT is currently trading around $181, continuing its multi-day correction. This pullback comes as the overall crypto market weakens following Bitcoin’s sharp decline and broad profit-taking among major altcoins. Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the upcoming U.S. PCE data and clearer signals from the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy. On the technical chart, SOL is moving within a falling wedge pattern. The $190–$200 area serves as the main resistance zone, while momentum indicators like EMA34 and EMA89 are still pointing downward, confirming that sellers remain in control. The current structure suggests SOL may continue consolidating near the lower boundary of the wedge before a possible technical rebound. However, from a fundamental perspective, the Solana ecosystem remains resilient. Capital inflows in DeFi and NFT sectors are stable, and trading volume stays above average — signs that investor interest is still strong. The $175 zone could be an attractive area to watch for price reactions. Once the broader market stabilizes, Solana is likely to be one of the first altcoins to recover. What about you — what’s your outlook on SOLUSDT? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
8
ETH - NEUTRAL, but bearish bias#ETHERUM - price update: 👉Monthly = bullish, if bulls stay above 3185$ | Double top resistance Monthly around 4800$ (no breakout). 👉Weekly = Neutral area: 4200 | 3185$ 👉Possible bearish retest daily completed under 4080$ ✅📉 My bias: Consolidation phase (monthly). Neutral area, lower support haven"t been tested yet. 📉 I expect to slee a slow correction toward 3200 - 3100$ to grab liquidities, before to see another potential leg up! Under 4100$, bear may be in control. A daily candle close above 4800$ is required to confirm bull breakout HTF. Possible setup & important levels in my charts.
Short
by Cryptojobs
Ethereum’s Hidden Fractal Points to $33K by November 2026Most of the space seems to think that the bull market is officially over, that the four-year cycle has come to a close. For most of the cycle, I have thought that way too. 1,064 days is up, and that’s the longest a Bitcoin cycle has ever gone for. So, the idea that the same thing will play out again is very valid, and it’s entirely possible that it is indeed the end. However, my stance is very different — I still think we have one year left in the tank, and I will present a lot of evidence to support why I believe this and why I’m sticking to it. If you’ve been following me for a while, you know that we’ve found some very interesting bar patterns in history that keep on repeating, and this will be the primary source of evidence used in my thesis. Bar Pattern Fractals I have tested hundreds of indicators over the last six years and bought thousands of dollars’ worth of indicators, and in the end, the highest success rate has come from simply following bar pattern fractals. They repeat over and over. They are hard to find, but once you do, you can ride them for months. ETH 2017 Fractal What you see above is a fractal I have been following for months now. It has been mirroring the 2017 cycle, with some parts nearly identical in movement and timing, with only a few small deviations here and there. The macro pattern continues to play out like clockwork. Take a look at this TA from March 2025. We caught near the bottom, called for max pain, and discussed this fractal that could be playing out. The ETH call was under 2000 back then. I also published TAs on Chainlink and its repeating bar patterns. It was straightforward for catching big macro moves for LINK. As you can see, these are just two examples of many fractals I’m following. The main one is ETH because it’s been a 1:1 mirror for the most part. The last spike down was a deviation for sure — well, at first I thought it was on the Bitstamp chart because it has the most historical data for ETH, but when I switched to the Binance chart, I found something very interesting. A view of the bar pattern fractal is telling us where we are. When switching to the Binance chart, we see a very interesting wick of 26% that nuked the market during that time — very similar to what Binance has done this time around. You cannot make this stuff up. So at first, I thought it was a small deviation, but in fact, after looking at this chart, it’s still a mirror, even including that huge scam wick of 27%. Amazing. So as you can see, in terms of the bar pattern fractal, I simply cannot ignore the fact that this keeps mirroring, and if it continues, it’s possible that we have one more year left in this bull market, and that this four-year cycle thesis is, in fact, a massive bear trap. If we take a look at the monthly candle that shook a lot of players out last cycle before the run-up, we can see that we printed a candle with wicks on both ends — very similar to what we are forming right now. If we zoom into that moment on a smaller timeframe, you can now see the moves are similar — a big drop into a double bottom followed by a slow grind up. This is how ETH normally puts in bottoms. Looking at ETH’s RSI levels on the monthly chart — during the first cycle, when it broke the all-time high, RSI was extremely overbought at 87. On the last cycle, it was 82. This cycle, ETH is at an all-time high and the RSI is only 59. We’re not even in the overbought range yet — there’s so much room for ETH to expand, it’s crazy. Since its inception, ETH has always pulled off the same move: one very aggressive wave with an aggressive pullback, followed by one smaller wave that creates a higher high to finish off the cycle. It’s done this every time. Which means that if the bar pattern fractal continues to mirror, then wave 1 tops in the first week of January 2026, followed by a massive correction that will again fool everyone into thinking the four-year cycle is 100% over. But what if ETH puts in a bottom in February 2026 and rallies back up to all-time highs? Nobody would believe it — the disbelief would be strong because everyone would have sold the top in Q4 2025 due to the four-year cycle theory. The second major piece of evidence I’m leaning on is the Russell 2000. Since its inception, the Russell 2000 has done the exact same thing before expansion comes: Double top Second drop bear trap V-shaped recovery back to all-time high Expansion breakout Same thing every time. Look at the chart and tell me we’re not going into expansion — there’s a very high chance. The last two times, we got that massive monthly candle breakout in November. Which brings me to the main point — every time the Russell goes into expansion, Bitcoin has started its most aggressive run. The last three times, Bitcoin went on to break its all-time high and put in a cycle top within an average of 355 days. Gold, shown above, is so close to the 4.236 extension right now that it would be crazy to buy here. There’s a high chance of a major top coming in, and we’re about to see a major rotation back into Bitcoin with those gains. Just take a look at the Power of Law model for Bitcoin — the bull market hasn’t even started yet. It’s crazy that people are calling the cycle top with the Mayer Multiple sitting at 1.19. Conclusion My view is that there is one more year left in this uptrend in crypto. Bitcoin has turned into a different beast. It has completely detached itself from the rest of crypto for the most part, but the first expansion is coming in 2026. If the bar pattern does not deviate, then greatness lies ahead.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Sporia
22
Leverage is a Double-edged SwordCME: Micro Bitcoin Futures ( CME:MBT1! ) On October 6th, Bitcoin spot price hit a new all-time-high record at $126,198.07. The King of Crypto seemed unstoppable. Just four days later, President Trump escalated trade tension with China by threatening 100% additional tariff. This sparked a broad market selloff. The crypto market was among the hardest hits. Bitcoin plunged 11% for the day. A post on X by The Kobeissi Letter captured the latest crypto crash: "It's official: Crypto just saw its LARGEST liquidation event in history with 1.6 MILLION traders liquidated. Over $19 BILLION worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, 9 TIMES the previous record." It notes it marked a single-day swing in Bitcoin's market cap of a $380 billion. Leverage: A Double-Edged Sword Leverage allows investors to amplify returns by borrowing funds, but it also magnifies losses, as seen in this crash. In crypto, traders often use 10x, 50x, or even 100x leverage, controlling large positions with very minimal capital. It was this overexposure, fueled by excessive leverage, that led to the $19 billion liquidation. Margin trading can boost gains, but risks margin calls if prices suddenly drop, forcing asset sales at a loss. The risks of leverage are stark: a mere 2% price drop on a 50x leveraged BTC position wipes out 100% of the initial investment. Volatility, already high in crypto, makes leverage treacherous. A sudden drop of 5%, very common in cryptos, will overblow a $100K investment into negative balance of $150K for the same account. While there are no regulatory limits in the U.S. restrict retail crypto leverage, few exchanges offer it. On the other hand, offshore crypto trading platforms offer much higher ratios, increasing exposure. Without stop-loss orders or risk management, leverage can turn a manageable dip into a total loss. Some crypto platforms offer Derivatives contracts. The name is often misleading. Many so-called “Exchanges” are not registered nor regulated by financial regulatory authorities. These contracts do not have the financial safeguard in place to protect the investors. Investing in bitcoin is like riding a roller coaster. Taking on high leverage will be like not wearing a seatbelt. You could get thrown out of the ride every time it takes a turn. Protecting your Bitcoin with CME Futures As of October 18th, Bitcoin is up nearly 12% year-to-date. However, the gain was 32% when Bitcoin hit ATH. In less than two weeks, we have witnessed an 18% drawdown. Despite the crash, Bitcoin’s long-term potential remains high. Its fixed supply of 21-million-coin and growing institutional adoption through exchange-traded funds and corporate treasuries support its "digital gold" narrative. Traders who are bullish on bitcoin could explore CME Micro Bitcoin Futures ( PSE:MBT ). The MBT contract has a notional value of 0.10 bitcoin, as defined by the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR). On October 18th, the December contract (MBTZ5) is quoted at $108,495. Each contract has a notional value of $10,850. To buy or sell one contract, CME Group requires an initial margin of $2,590. By design, this futures contract has a built-in leverage of 4.2-to-1. When bitcoin goes up, futures positions could enhance the return by four times compared to spot bitcoin positions. What happens if bitcoin drops? For price protection, traders could enter a buy order with a stoploss. For example, a long order at 108,495 with a stoploss of 100,000 limit the maximum loss to $849.5 (= (108495-100000) x 0.1). In addition to margin (leverage) and stoploss (loss protection), Micro Bitcoin has a daily price limit at 10%. This feature is particularly helpful when the market is panicky. Price Limit or Circuit slows down the irrational price movements until cooler heads prevail. To recap: 1) Always invest in Exchanges regulated by a national financial regulatory authority. 2) Employing bitcoin futures and options could enhance investment return. 3) Use stop loss to set maximum loss at a level within your tolerance. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:BTC1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
BNB Game Plan - TBKZ ModelBNB Game Plan – TBKZ Model 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is currently volatile, heavily influenced by U.S. foreign policies. With the U.S. entering a quantitative easing (QE) phase, the long-term outlook remains bullish, as more liquidity is expected to flow into risk assets. However, the short-term sentiment is bearish due to renewed trade tensions and Chinese tariff concerns. Overall, sentiment is slightly bearish short-term, but bullish long-term as macro liquidity expands. 📈 Technical Analysis Price tapped the HTF bullish trendline and faced a rejection wick during the Chinese tariff announcement. This reaction confirms the trendline’s significance as a major dynamic support zone. Now, I’m watching for another price leg toward the HTF trendline, expecting a possible retest and bounce from the HTF Key Zone around $1005. 📘 Model to be used – TBKZ Model (Trendline Bounce at Key Zone) 1️⃣ Identify the HTF trend — trade only in that direction. 2️⃣ Map out the HTF trendline that may act as dynamic support. 3️⃣ Locate the HTF Key Zone containing significant liquidity and structure. 4️⃣ Wait for a bounce and LTF confirmation before entering the position. 📌 Game Plan I will be waiting for price to return to the HTF trendline and retest the HTF Key Zone near $1005. Once price gives confirmation (12H–4H structure break), I’ll look for a long setup. 🎯 Setup Trigger Break of structure on 12H–4H timeframe after testing the $1005 zone. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: 12H–4H swing low that breaks structure Targets: TP1: 1220$ | TP2: 1375$ (ATH) Move stoploss to breakeven after TP1 hits. 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Ethereum Key Buy Zones 💠 Ethereum (ETH/USD) – Key Buy Zones Ahead ETH is showing a major rejection from the same price zone that has only been tested twice in history — near the $4,000–$4,100 resistance area (highlighted in circles). Both previous visits led to sharp corrections, making this a historically strong resistance zone. ⸻ 🔹 Current View • ETH rejected the $4,000–$4,100 zone — same level as the 2021 top. • Price is now trading around $3,770, below the 50 & 100 SMAs, signaling short-term weakness. • The RSI is trending down from mid-levels, suggesting more room for a correction before a potential bounce. ⸻ 🔹 Buy Targets • First Buy Target: $2,590 • Second Buy Target: $2,160 • Third Buy Target: $1,715 These levels line up with strong historical support zones and key moving averages, ideal areas to start accumulating if ETH continues to pull back. ⸻ 🔹 Outlook The long-term structure for Ethereum remains bullish, but a deeper correction could provide much better risk-reward entries for the next cycle. My plan: accumulate gradually at the marked levels, focusing on patience and strong technical confirmation. ⸻ 🧠 “Smart investors don’t chase green candles — they buy when fear returns.” 📜 Disclaimer : This is general information only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Amer_Shouaeb