OTHERS data points to biggest ALT-Season Good Day Investors and traders,
This the OTHERS on the weekly and I have taken some measured moves in what could be expected in time and price.
The OTHERS chart in my opinion is the last form of the higher risk curve which generally happens at the very end of cycles The others does not include the top ten crypto, so it a very good form of risk on.
I have been looking at the OTHERS chart fairly often of recent times because this is the time for it to really outshine Bitcoin and lead the market with fairly explosive gains.
I have marked a couple of possible time lines that could occur and both seem to be lining up in sort of way or another. From what I can see, others has one big wave remaining, and it’s the one you don’t want to miss
The Indicators
Fibonacci retracement
I have placed a potential take profit zone from the 1.272 to the 1.618 levels and anywhere in between. I have added an up trending channel that OTHERS would have to hold to stay somewhat relevant or then could be susceptible to adjustment.
2.RSI
I have measured the first breakout of the RSI from the 2015-17 and 2019-21 bull runs along with this one so far. The one more relevant to us is 2015-17 as this is the cycle we are more closely following. There seems to be a recurring trend of 90 plus bars before a top to OTHERS. One more thing that really stands out to me in the RSI this the first time it has shown a very strong bearish divergence. normally it seems to maintain or gain strength. right to the very end. time will reveal the real issue here.
3. ISO
The average sentiment oscillator to also show very consistent data for us. I have two measurements. The one points to late July and the the other late October. To me this could be the potential ALT-season time frame from July as it fizzles in the October time frame.
My suggestion to you is follow what you have been taught so far, do not get greedy, take profits when they are there and trust your game plan and stick to it. ALT- SEASON can you a lot of money, or lose you a lot of money. By design, its there to take any profits you have may have, or catch any late coming stragglers. Don’t get caught up in the hoopla.
Once again, I ask you for you input, I really want to hear from you.
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Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
Cryptos
BITCOIN SITS ON CRITICAL BULL MARKET SUPPORT!!!Good day Traders and investors,
Bitcoin at the moment is sitting above VERY CRITICAL Bull market support band. In my opinion, this support needs to hold it there is going to be another leg up.
I want to add this is likely the last time it will hold this line as support. It will not play such a big roll in the future other possibly serving as resistance to the tops or top.
Please keep in mind I as talking about closing above support, so... yes it can wick down. Weekly and monthly closes are very important. If this level is lost with a monthly close, then I would call t his bull run over. Yes, it's that important.
The top shows the entire trend line, and on the bottom is the same line, just zoomed in o the daily.
Please feel free to ask or add anything down below
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WeAreSat0shi
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The elusive alt season... Is QE coming soon?The magical Alt season never seems to come. Most have thrown in the towel or lost all their money, which is a good sign the bottom is in.
The secret here is paying close attention to the FED's (FRED:WALCL) Quantitative tightening and easing.
Since the start in 2008, we have always either had QE or some sort of pause like you see in the 2016/17 bull run, but as soon as the FED flips to tightening, what happens? BTC pauses.
It is true that Bitcoin has performed very well during tightening cycles, as massive corporations like BlackRock and MicroStrategy are eating through the supply.
As for the altcoin market, it has been a bloodbath. One thing that’s clear to me is that altcoins need the FED to flip to QE in order to get things really going.
Going over the latest FED's Monetary Policy Report that came out yesterday, it hints that they are close to ending their tightening cycle and easing off a bit.
**WHICH IS HUGE NEWS!**
We can now see that this is true indeed because the red line is now starting to flatten out, just like in 2020 before the FED flipped to QE.
As far as the technicals go, the altcoin chart has now formed an ascending triangle and, for now, is still printing higher lows. 20 days left for this monthly candle to close.
If, let's say, this monthly candle breaks ATH and closes above it, it could signal the start of the alt season, and if history repeats, we’re looking at a run-up from March 2025 to September/October 2025.
So the next FOMC meeting from the FED is the most important of the year. Now that this report hints at the end of the tightening cycle, is it possible that at the next FOMC meeting on March 18th, 2025, they will announce the end of tightening and trigger the start of the alt season?
Pretty heavy upper wick for now on the BTC.D. It’s currently on the .702 retracement. Is this the top?
A chart I use a lot. Really want to see this monthly candle close back into this triangle.
**Alts/USDT.D**
This chart is one of the most important ones I’m looking at right now. Currently forming a bump-and-run reversal, and again, very bullish if we hold the neckline.
The USDT.D chart will always lead the way. It’s always one step ahead, never fails me. Until we see a break of this green support line, we won’t see ALT season. The bear flag pattern target is the same target as April 2021, which is interesting.
As I published on my ETH TA, if we close the weekly in this channel, it will be very bullish.
### Conclusion
I'm extremely bullish right now. Leverage has been reset, greed has been reset, and everyone is throwing in the towel. On social media, "it's over" talk is everywhere. This is the kind of depression I'm looking for to tell me it’s the start of ALT season and not the end.
**Invalidation of this thesis would be the following:**
- ETH closes weekly under the channel
- Bump-and-run reversal fails to hold the neckline
- FED does not flip to QE in the FOMC meeting on March 18th
If all these things happen, I will flip bearish. Until then, I'm extremely confident that this is the bottom, and you should go all out, lay all the cards down, take out loans, put all your chips on the table—it’s time to go hard or go home!
Cult Memes in 2025: SPX6900 will outperform 99% of memecoinsCult Memes in 2025 : Why They Will Outperform
Community: Cult memes have strong, loyal followings, driving demand.
Marketing: Viral by nature, they spread fast, attracting new investors.
Scarcity: Often have limited supply, increasing value with popularity.
Engagement: High user interaction keeps the token relevant.
Speculation: The crypto market loves a good story; cult memes deliver.
Great Example: $SPX6900
Crypto Market Is Still Bullish Despite A New Sell-OffCrypto market faced some deeper decline, but still looks like a complex W-X-Y correction in wave 4 within a bullish trend for wave 5. A drop came from a stock market slowdown due to end of the month flows last week on Friday and due to US tariffs. However, now that US tariffs for Mexico and Canada are delayed, we can see a strong stabilization and recovery, which can be an indication for a bullish continuation within a new five-wave bullish cycle for wave 5, at least for the first half of 2025.
CHAINLINK 200 DOLLARS BY SEPTEMBER 2025 Only up for Chainlink from this moment , do not let them shake you out , my time fib will show the way as always , for Link its showing August which is when the fractal finishes , late August .
Chainlink so far is repeating the same fractal as last cycle , its very close been using it for over one year to time the market with amazing results the fractal cycle top pattern comes in in August 2025.
The sell zone is in the yellow box , invalidation of this idea would be LINK closing a weekly under 20 dollars.
Price Is NOT RANDOM! Do You Agree? • SeekngPips • TIME & PRICE!⚠️Do you still thing price is RANDOM❓️
🌍 "You Don't need to know where the market is going to next to make money in the markets" ✅️
Were the famous words from the late and great MARK DOUGLAS 1948-2015
🟢SeekingPips🟢 agrees with the above statement very much, however what is ALSO true is that identifying key 📈PRICE LEVELS on a CHART📉 in ADVANCE BEFORE TIME and PRICE meet improves any trading edge.🚥
ShortYeah, it's pretty wild how quickly narratives shift, isn't it? A lot of these analysts seem to latch onto whatever fits their current agenda or the latest trend, and it's often the same people with different predictions based on the same factors. Like, one minute it's all about Trump's influence sending Bitcoin to the moon, and the next it's about geopolitics making a radical change in the market.
It seems like people can’t resist connecting anything and everything to Bitcoin’s price. It's like trying to predict weather patterns based on random social events.
It’s clear that a correction is overdue, and as usual, retail investors are going to jump in near the top, hoping to catch the momentum. But when the market starts to pull back, they’ll get stuck holding the bag as prices drop. The more they buy now, the more likely it is that the market will keep falling.
pepe the memecoin trade setup let see if smc concepts works on meme coins
first we have 4h ob and then we have 15min displacement and then the pullback
so with ote optimal trading setup the price action is justifying the the levels as of now
let see if it can hold the
stop loss lvl of = 0.00001314 and target lvl of = 0.00001360 - 0.00001375
ALTcoins Have Still Space For More GainsHello Crypto traders!
Crypto market remains nicely bullish as expected and if we take a look at OTHERS Crypto market cap chart, which excludes top 10 cryptocurrencies, it's looking for a bullish break into a 5th wave out of wave (4) bullish triangle pattern that can send the price into all-time highs and 500B area. Bullish confirmation is above upper triangle line and 400B area.
So, with current risk-on sentiment and while stocks have space for more upside, still watch out for more gains in the Crypto market once current consolidation fully unfolds, especially if we consider USDollar weakness.
Potential bearish drop?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 3,288.47
1st Support: 3,031.09
1st Resistance: 3,444.45
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103.100.42
1st Support: 100,108.50
1st Resistance: 107,850.01
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin at the END of January? BEARISH TREND #BTC 1-26-25What to Expect from Bitcoin at END of January? As of today all crypto market started BEARISH Reversal Trend. All positive crypto news did not help crypto move more bullish, it means all crypto turned to Bearish Trend.
#BTCUSD #BCHUSD #ETHUSD #ETCUSD #ADAUSD #TONUSD #SOLUSD
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Potential bullish bounce?The Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,928.97
1st Support: 2,347.98
1st Resistance: 3,539.16
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BITCOIN CYCLE CONCEPT, FIB ORBIT & TIME-ZONEBTC CYCLICAL pattern
1 Complete Cycle = 5 UP (green sine-wave) + 3 DOWN (red sinewave)
24 Jan 2025,
BTC entering Fib extension 0.618 (purple). Fib Circle orbit approaching 5.385 extension.
Expect 5 UP green wave to complete around jul-sept 2025 marked by red X-marks whereas Fib time-zone extension of 1.272 coincides with top of green sine-wave 5
Sine-wave cycle study was credited to Lars von Thienen at FSC
Total market cap The mega bull process started after the US presidential elections, at the end of 700 days from the December 2018 bottom confirmation of the total market cap (november 2020).
The 700-day pattern will be completed in October 2024, starting from the lower confirmation in November 2022, and the mega bull process may begin after the US presidential elections in November 2024.