ETH/USD: ETH on the Edge!ETH is currently trading around $4,390–$4,430 after a summer rally and a modest pullback, reflecting broader crypto weakness linked to shifting U.S. rate-cut expectations. Demand from spot ETH ETFs has been a key support factor, with inflows continuing steadily and several trackers reporting multi-billion-dollar monthly additions.
On-chain activity also remains robust, with DeFi TVL, daily transactions, and active addresses near 2025 highs, indicating that real usage underpins price action. The completion of the Pectra upgrade and upcoming scalability improvements further support medium-term confidence, while macro developments remain the main swing factor, as crypto reacts to Fed guidance and broader risk appetite.
Technically, $4,300–$4,350 provides immediate support, with deeper support at $4,150–$4,200, while resistance sits at $4,600, above which $4,950–$5,000 becomes achievable. In the next 2–6 weeks, ETH is likely to trade in a range of $4,200–$4,950, with ETF inflows and strong on-chain metrics cushioning dips, though a decisive close above $4,600 would open a run toward $4,900–$5,000, and a close below $4,300 risks probing $4,150–$4,200.
Into Q4, the outlook remains constructive but choppy, with potential to retest and break $5,000 if flows persist and macro conditions remain favorable. Key risks include a macro downside surprise, ETF outflows, and technical or regulatory setbacks.
Market participants should watch ETF flow prints, on-chain activity, and U.S. rates data, as these will heavily influence ETH price action. Overall, near-term trading likely remains choppy between $4,200 and $4,950, with $4,600 acting as pivotal resistance and $4,300 as immediate support, while ETF inflows and real usage favor buy-the-dip behavior, and macro developments will determine whether ETH can sustainably challenge $5,000.
Cryptos
BTCUSDT Bearish Pattern with Key Support RetestAnalysis:
The chart shows Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) forming a harmonic pattern that signals potential bearish continuation. Price is currently retesting a critical support and resistance level around the 113,000–114,000 zone. If this level fails to hold, further downside movement is expected.
Pattern Formation: The harmonic structure (XABCD) suggests a bearish setup.
Support Zone: Around 110,900–111,000, a crucial level to watch.
Downside Target: If support breaks, the price could move toward the 99,000–100,000 strong supply zone.
Volume: A noticeable volume build-up supports potential continuation to the downside.
📉 Outlook: Bearish bias. A breakdown from current retest levels may accelerate selling pressure toward the 100k psychological zone.
Altcoin Market (TOTAL3) Gearing Up for a Major Test at $1.12T🔥 Altcoin Market (TOTAL3) Gearing Up for a Major Test at $1.12T 📊
Hey guys, Kiri here – the FX Professor.
If you haven’t seen my latest video post, go check it out — I broke down the full story behind Powell, Trump, and the ping-pong match they’re playing with this market. But today, let’s zoom in on what really matters: the Total Crypto Market Cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum — TOTAL3 .
🔍 What’s happening?
TOTAL3 is still trading inside its large ascending channel. What we’re watching now is the setup for the third and most decisive test at the $1.12T level.
Why does this matter? Because this level has already caused two strong rejections. A third test here could either confirm the breakout … or become the market’s trapdoor.
🧠 Context:
• S&P 500 is holding above major resistance ✅
• Rate cut decisions expected in September (Powell’s words) 🗓️
• Bitcoin & Ethereum still acting strong — ETH especially outperforming 👑
🎯 What’s the expectation?
I’m leaning more bullish right now. With the macro picture improving and equities pushing higher, I believe we’ll see another test of that 1.12T level soon .
From there, it’s all about the breakout or the rejection.
🚀 If we break out:
Target zones open up at 1.39T and 1.51T — the upper bounds of this long-term channel.
📉 If we reject:
Expect a return to the lower boundary near 898B , adjusting slightly over time since it’s an ascending level.
🧭 Final thoughts:
Markets don’t lie — levels do.
The narrative, the noise, the ping-pong politics… they’re all part of the distraction.
But price? It’s still playing within the structure.
Keep your eyes on 1.12T. That’s the battlefield.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙 🌟🤝📈
BANANA soars past to $50$BANANA 🍌 Soars past $50
How Trendline Support Trading Works Identify the Trend: Look at the price chart of a cryptocurrency (e.g., Bitcoin or Ethereum) on platforms like Trading View.
In an uptrend, draw a trendline by connecting at least two higher lows (points where the price dipped but didn’t break lower).
Use charting tools to ensure accuracy, as eyeballing can lead to errors.
Confirm the Support: A valid trendline should be touched by the price at least three times to confirm it’s a reliable support level.
The more times the price respects the trendline (bounces off it), the stronger the support.
Trading the Trendline Support: Entry Point: When the price approaches or touches the trendline in an uptrend, it’s a potential buy signal, as the price is likely to bounce upward.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the trendline to protect against a breakout (when the price breaks below the trendline, indicating a potential trend reversal).
Take-Profit: Set a target at a previous high (resistance) or use indicators like Fibonacci extensions to estimate where the price might go.
Validate with Other Indicators: Use additional tools like volume (high buying volume near the trendline confirms support), RSI (to check if the asset is oversold), or candlestick patterns (like bullish engulfing) to increase confidence in the trade.
For example, if Bitcoin’s price touches a rising trendline at $60,000 with high volume and an RSI below 30, it’s a stronger buy signal.
Monitor for Breakouts: If the price breaks below the trendline with strong volume, it may signal a trend reversal or a new downtrend. This could be a signal to exit or consider a short position (betting on price decline).
LINKUSDT – Possible Reversal After 5 Waves UpLINK has just completed a clear 5-wave impulsive move to the upside. With Wave V looking complete, there’s now a high probability of a corrective phase.
I’m watching for a potential drop towards the 17.5 USDT zone, which would be a significant percentage move from current levels.
📊 Potential Trade Levels:
Entry zone: 24.5 – 23.2 USDT
Stop Loss: 27.030 USDT
Target: 17.171 USDT
This scenario could unfold as an ABC correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is just a personal trading idea based on Elliott Wave analysis, not financial advice. Please manage risk and do your own research before trading.
SUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Channel Breakdown LoomsSUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Channel Breakdown Looms
🔍 Let’s break down the recent price action on the S/USDT 4-hour chart, focusing on the pivotal ascending channel structure and its implications for the next move.
⏳ 4-Hour Overview
S/USDT has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows. Price is now testing the lower boundary of this channel, making the 0.3127 support a crucial level. The recent uptick in volume during the downward leg hints at mounting bearish pressure.
🔻 Short Setup:
A confirmed breakdown (BO) below 0.3127 would signal an exit from the ascending channel, opening the door to accelerated downside. With channel support breached, the next key target sits at 0.2710, in line with historical liquidity and the channel’s projected lower range.
📊 Key Highlights:
- Price action is currently at the channel’s lower boundary, with a breakdown below 0.3127 required to confirm bearish momentum.
- Volume has increased on the recent downward move, supporting the idea of a channel exit and follow-through selling.
- Downside target stands at 0.2710 if the channel fails, providing a clear roadmap for action.
🚨 Conclusion:
Bulls must defend the ascending channel at 0.3127, or risk seeing S/USDT cascade toward 0.2710. Watch for volume confirmation—an exit below channel support could shift sentiment quickly.
ZKUSDT - your capital will be doubled on thisIf you want to double your capital in a short period, then ZK is the coin to focus on.
-It’s still at the bottom.
-It formed a symmetrical triangle and already broke out, now doing a retest.
-There’s also an inverse head & shoulders pattern in play.
-Currently sitting right on the 25 EMA support on the daily timeframe.
Buy it spot, and you’ll thank me later.
Best Regards:
Ceciliones🎯
BTC CAN TURN MONDAY IN A GREEN DAY..📊 Market Update
On the lower time frame, BTC is still in a downtrend. However, there is a possibility of a green day if BTC targets the first level at 113.8K, with a 1-hour time frame confirmation.
The main confirmation for BTC will be at 115.4K. A move from 113.8K could provide an opportunity to consider new day trades.
SPX 6900 looking weak , big drop coming?SPX has been a monster for most of 2025 but now showing signs of weakness , weekly lower high trend was the first warning.
Now formed massive rising wedge would be careful with this for now wait until its under one dollar to pick up some more.
This trendline is very important , see how the monthly closes on this one.
ETH/USD: Could $ETH Hit $7,000 by Year-End?As of August 25, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at approximately $4,795.60, showing a steady upward trajectory since early August. This bullish momentum is supported by several key factors, including institutional interest, ETF inflows, and the ongoing strength of decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
ETH has recently surpassed the $4,750 resistance level, indicating a potential move towards the $5,000–$5,200 range. The next significant resistance is around $5,000, which, if broken, could pave the way for a retest of the all-time high near $5,200. Conversely, support levels are found at $4,700 and $4,600–$4,400. A drop below $4,600 could signal a short-term pullback.
Ethereum's recent price surge is attributed to increased institutional demand, particularly following the launch of Ethereum ETFs, which have attracted significant capital inflows. Additionally, the Ethereum network's upgrades and the growing adoption of Layer 2 solutions have enhanced scalability and reduced transaction costs, further bolstering investor confidence.
Outlook for Q4 2025
Looking ahead, if ETH maintains its current trajectory and breaks through the $5,200 resistance, it could target the $6,000–$7,000 range by the end of the year. However, market volatility remains a factor, and investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations.
*Ethereum's current bullish trend is supported by strong technical indicators and positive fundamental developments. While the path to new all-time highs appears promising, it's crucial for investors to monitor key support and resistance levels and remain cautious of market volatility.
Bitcoin: A Tactical Long Before the Deeper Correction?After the "fake" update of its ATH, the price of Bitcoin confirmed the formation of a range on the weekly/daily timeframe, as it became clear that the new ATH was just a liquidity sweep of the previous one and a deviation at the top of this range.
Before a new, legitimate ATH is formed, I was expecting a correction on the higher timeframe to the levels I described in my previous global Bitcoin analysis: " Bitcoin's Tumble: How Deep Does the Rabbit Hole Go? ". However, Powell's unexpected statement last Friday about a possible interest rate cut in September led to an intensive weakening of the Dollar Index by 1%, pausing Bitcoin's deeper corrective dive and causing its return inside the range.
Just before this news event, the price managed to sweep the external liquidity from the lower boundary of the range (which was essentially a deviation below) and formed a 4H order block in the process. This order block, in conjunction with the 61.8% or 78.6% local retracement levels , can be considered as an intermediate long scenario , with targets at the midline of the range or its upper boundary. I consider the formation of a new ATH from this local POI (the 4H order block) a less probable scenario compared to the instrument still needing a deeper correction first.
The conditions for this local setup to form will be the mitigation of the 4H order block with a concurrent reach of the 61.8% or 78.6% local retracement levels, price finding acceptance above one of them, and the beginning of a bullish order flow on the LTF.
► Invalidation: The invalidation of the long scenario would be a break of the 78.6% level.
► Risk Factor: An important context that could affect the probability of the setup is that liquidity in the form of the Previous Week's Low (PWL) will be formed just below the order block. If the price gets too close to it when reaching the 78.6% level, this liquidity could act as a magnet and pull the price out of the range to the downside, towards the corrective levels from my global analysis.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀
Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
► Follow me on TradingView for timely updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown.
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SUIUSDT: Price Action AnalysisGiven that we had an accelerated move upwards, so it needs a break and correction. It seems that liquidity has not yet been filled at low prices, so it is expected that the trend will start to decline after reaching the 3.75 point and correct to the 3.4 point and continue its growth again.
BONK; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders!
Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach:
🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe.
🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games.
❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload.
❌ No overanalyzing market structure or imbalances.
❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen.
✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style.
✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups.
✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset.
💬 Let’s Talk:
💡Do you trade supply & demand too ?
💡What’s your go-to timeframe ?
💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ?
📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share.
Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
ETH/USD: Could ETH Surge Past $5,000 This Week?Over the next seven days, Ethereum (ETH) is projected to experience moderate bullish momentum, potentially reaching a price range between $4,800 and $5,000.
Currently, ETH is trading at approximately $4,852.49, reflecting a recent uptick of 14.33%. This positive movement is attributed to favorable macroeconomic indicators, including expectations of an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which has historically supported risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Technical analysis suggests that ETH is trading above key support levels and is approaching resistance zones. If the price breaks through these resistance levels, it could pave the way for further gains. Conversely, a failure to maintain upward momentum may lead to a consolidation phase or a slight pullback.
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with institutional interest continuing to grow. However, investors should remain vigilant, as the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility and susceptibility to sudden shifts in sentiment.
In summary, ETH is poised for potential gains over the next week, but market participants should stay informed and prepared for any unforeseen developments that could impact price movements.
Today’s Crypto Market – From Ethereum Strength to ALTS Setup📅🔥 Today’s Crypto Market – From Ethereum Strength to ALTS Setup 🚀💡
In today’s market update video, we broke down what could be the critical handoff from Ethereum’s dominance to a broader ALT season.
The sequence is clear:
1️⃣ Bitcoin led the way.
2️⃣ Ethereum took control, smashing through $4,100.
3️⃣ Altcoins now have the setup to run, with BTC dominance breaking lower.
🎯 Key Levels from Today’s Charts:
Ethereum (ETH/USD) – $4,222 with breakout above $4,100.3; upside targets $4,420 – $4,800; supports at $4,005.9 and $3,789.6.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Breaking out from wedge at $117,500; supports $115,803 & $115,054; upside potential to $120K+ and $122,795.8.
ARB/USDT – Rebound from $0.3784 aiming for $0.5380; key support $0.3500 and $0.2722.
Cardano (ADA/USDT) – At $0.8131; resistance $1.1930, then $1.4757; support $0.6799, $0.4112.
BTC Dominance – Breakdown under 60.80%, supports 58.34% & 56.91% — historically a strong trigger for ALT rallies.
📽️ Full breakdown and reasoning are in today’s video — we looked at why BTC dominance losing support is the green light for possible sector rotation, and which alts are primed.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Is ALT-season coming soon?Bitcoin’s supply schedule is punctuated by four-year “ halvings ,” where miner issuance is cut in half. Historically, the post‑halving window has coincided with the strongest phase of the cycle as tightening new supply meets rising demand. Liquidity first concentrates in Bitcoin, pushing dominance higher and volatility lower relative to alts. ALT‑season tends to appear later—often after a Bitcoin top or during a prolonged consolidation—when risk appetite broadens, profits rotate into higher‑beta assets, and narratives fragment across sectors. The featured chart compares prior cycles and frames where we might be within the current one.
Where we are in the 2024 halving cycle
At this stage, Bitcoin may be close to a cyclical high—or may already have set it—but confirmation is lacking. Altcoins have rallied meaningfully, yet at a top‑down level there isn’t decisive evidence of a new, durable alt‑season. Key confirmations I’m watching:
• CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 breaking out of large cup-and-handle formation.
• 1/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS trending up together (alts outperforming BTC both broadly and at the margin).
TOTAL2 — Cup & Handle setup
The weekly structure in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 (crypto market cap excluding BTC) resembles a maturing cup‑and‑handle. What I’ll need to see:
A weekly close above the cup’s rim with follow‑through the next week. Moreover, we need to see a weekly close above the prior 2 highs, which currently could be a double top.
Momentum has been on the decline since the rally on alts started in earnest earlier this year...
OTHERS/BTC — rotation breadth check
This ratio (total market cap excluding the top‑10, divided by BTC) gauges whether capital is rotating into the long‑tail (more speculative / smaller ALTs).
It looks like this could have fallen below long term support which suggests the lower quality ALTs may have permanently lost value against BTC during this cycle. That would be reasonable considering there are so many coins now, many of which will likely fade into dust.
1/BTC.D — macro rotation proxy
The inverse of Bitcoin dominance (1 divided by BTC.D) visualizes altcoin outperformance over the longest available history. Here we can see a recent breakout from a downward trend channel, which is definitely auspicious!
Altcoin spotlights (examples & placeholders)
Replace with your chosen set; keep a mix of large‑caps, infra, and high‑beta to illustrate breadth.
• BINANCE:ETHBTC — let's see a new ATH! There's been a blistering rally, tripling from a rough patch earlier in 2025, but momentum still needs to improve. Also concerning is a major drop off in volume in recent years.
• BINANCE:SOLBTC — Solana had an insane 10x rally early in the cycle, but looks like it could be cooling off with the makings of a head & shoulders amidst declining volume.
• BINANCE:LINKBTC — Chainlink has seen a strong price pump in recent weeks, but like Solana appears to have fading momentum. Unless something changes, it's hard to see it moving materially higher during this cycle.
• BINANCE:XRPBTC — put up a mind blowing vertical 5x rally in late 2024 / early 2025. Like Solana and LINK, it shows declining momentum, so it could very well have peaked for the cycle.
• BINANCE:DOGEBTC — ostensibly the original meme coin, unlike the more practical ALTs we've reviewed DOGE looks to have gas in the tank. Strangely it looks best poised for a breakout given historical pricing and momentum.
Analysis recap
Unfortunately there are both bullish and bearish signals making it hard to lean one way or another right now. In summary:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD - 2024 halving cycle
• looks close to complete, we may have already seen the top for the cycle
• prior cycles have been a few weeks longer since the halving so there could be a bit further to go
• during the past 2 cycles ALTs have topped once before (2016 cycle), and once after (2020 cycle) the Bitcoin top, which doesn't help us in predicting the outcome of the third (current) cycle.
High-level analysis
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 - cup & handle -- bullish
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS - break below long term support -- bearish
1/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D - breakout of downward trend channel -- bullish
Individual coin analysis
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD COINBASE:LINKUSD BITSTAMP:XRPUSD - all of these coins are technically neutral to bearish in my view, and they are heavyweights.
COINBASE:DOGEUSD - shockingly bullish! Given that this is the epitome of a meme coin, maybe it means animal spirits are lurking in the shadows. It's hard to imagine DOGE pumping without the other coins we've looked at joining the party.
Personal thoughts
I decided to take a hard look at the prospects of an ALT-season to form my own opinion, mainly because I heard someone make a dismissive statement that "ALT-season always follows a Bitcoin top", or something to that effect. I think you can see it's not nearly that simple. Personally I think the market is pretty frothy, and risk assets could take a beating in the coming months. Just in case though, I've still got the XRP moon bag!