Company Analysis And Trading Ideas

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Company Analysis And Trading Ideas

Company analysis looks at slew of data, from quantitative information in the financial statements like the balance sheet (assets, liabilities and equity), income statement (revenues, expenses and profit) and cashflow (cash inflows and outflows) to qualitative information about the business model, management, the goods and services, competitive advantage and the industry in which it operates. Understanding how these elements work together provides an edge in understanding where a stock price may go.

This information is used to determine the fair value of a stock and if this differs from the current market price, this means the company is over- or undervalued. Certain measures like price to earnings help to find bargain stocks with upside potential while the debt to equity ratio is used to find investments with little risk. TradingView has a helpful feature called the earnings calendar that ties earnings, earning estimates, dividends and splits to the time scale in an intuitive way.
LazyBear LazyBear PRO KING, D, Long ,
KING: KING - Possible upleg soon
1906 9 17
KING, D Long
KING - Possible upleg soon

Today's sells don't make much sense to me (such low volume too!), expecting a leg up in KING. Especially with ER around. More details on chart. 4hr view:

Bubba3310 Bubba3310 KMI, D, Short ,
KMI: Looking for a KMI Short before Earnings.
16 0 4
KMI, D Short
Looking for a KMI Short before Earnings.

Based off of price action and the increased volume. I am expecting to kmi drop after earnings.

NFLX: Which one will you trade? Bearish pattern or the bullish trend?
95 1 10
Which one will you trade? Bearish pattern or the bullish trend?

NFLX earnings- 2 technical signals: 1) Weekly Bearish Crab Pattern 2) Bounce from weekly MA line (bullish sign) Which one will you trade today?

WFC: Testing a weekly resistance zone before earnings
22 0 5
Testing a weekly resistance zone before earnings

WFC is testing the top of a consolidation range before earnings. WFC has been consolidating since it broke below a weekly uptrend line. Bearish? Short as long as below 60$ Bullish? Buy the breakout?

XLE: Head and Shoulders Vs. Bearish Bat
116 1 12
Head and Shoulders Vs. Bearish Bat

XLE is slowly making its way towards a very interesting weekly support zone - 60-62$ Notice that this price zone is the 61.8 Fibonacci level from 2009 low and from 2016. Also notice that it is the neckline of a weekly H&S pattern. If it will break, XLE can fall to 55$ and maybe even 50$ If it will hold as support, the extremely bullish scenario is that it will ...

NKE: Resistance Zone - Preparing for earnings
58 0 9
Resistance Zone - Preparing for earnings

NKE bullish run started following the completion of a bullish Bat and re-test of a broken channel. Now NKE reached a weekly resistance zone. Here are two scenarios to monitor towards earnings

cguthrie922 cguthrie922 PRO COST, D, Long ,
COST: Bullish On Costco, But Earnings First
60 0 8
COST, D Long
Bullish On Costco, But Earnings First

On May 17, Costco bounced off of its reoccurring support level. This has been solid support since August 2015. Costco also has earnings in focus this week. The estimated EPS is nearly where it was during the previous quarter's EPS which was a massive miss. A similar massive miss this time around will yield the analysis contained herein almost worthless. However, ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines XOP, W,
44 0 9

EARNINGS HPQ, LOW, BBY, and GME are all up for earnings announcements. Out of these, BBY and GME appear to be the best candidates for premium selling, given their implied volatility rank and background implied volatility metrics, although virtually every liquid underlying with an earnings announcement bears watching; implied volatility can pop at the last ...

Alex_Zamory Alex_Zamory PRO MCHP, D,
MCHP: Microchip Technology ($MCHP) Earnings Beat?
52 0 5
Microchip Technology ($MCHP) Earnings Beat?

Thinking about buying this stock because of its earnings coming up aftermarket tomorrow. The last three quarters they have killed their earnings with a short term 7% gain which is what I would be looking for with this trade. Not quite sure about how well things will go because of AMD's earnings but with a few big players going tomorrow in the semiconductor ...

SNAP: Are you extremely bullish?
93 0 4
Are you extremely bullish?

SNAP will have its first earnings report this week. For those of you who are extremely bullish about SNAP, perhaps this potential bearish Bat will interest you. This is an Aggressive C trading scenario in which you buy point C and expect the price to reach point D (complete the pattern) Obviously earnings are risky and as you can see this setup requires a wide ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO TSLA, 15,
TSLA: Earnings trade on Tesla (Custom)
151 3 12
TSLA, 15
Earnings trade on Tesla (Custom)

Made a custom Earnings trade on TSLA. Originally was going to make a bearish trade, but since today we had a over 2% negative move down, I decided to add the ratio spread to the downside. Sold the 330/340 Call spread for $1.40 and the (1)302.5/(2)295 Put ratio spread for $.20 Total credit $160 Max win is $905 at 295 price Max loss to the upside is $840 Naked to ...

FB: Earnings trade on Facebook (Strangle)
99 0 9
FB, 60
Earnings trade on Facebook (Strangle)

Sold the 155/145 Strangle for $2.50 on the weekly (May 5) cycle. Since Facebook has been on a big rally as of yet, I skewed the strangle a little to the downside (The Calls are closer to the money than the Puts). Lets see if we can continue our flawless earnings trade.

GILD: Earnings trade in GILD (Spiked Lizard)
100 4 11
Earnings trade in GILD (Spiked Lizard)

This is a neutral trade with no risk to the upside. Its like a straddle with protection to the upside, then selling a ratio spread to move our break even down (Doubling our risk to the downside) The trade is called a spiked lizard by Liz and Jenny. The expected move is around $3 and we have an IVR of 60. With an expected 40% vol crush, lets see how this trade ...

cguthrie922 cguthrie922 PRO MET, D, Short ,
MET: Bears are out For MetLife
24 0 4
MET, D Short
Bears are out For MetLife

On April 28, 2017, the MetLife 20 day moving average (DMA) crossed below its 150 day moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 24 times and the stock drops a minimum of 1.184%. The median drop is 3.894% and maximum drop is 10.709 % over the next 12 trading days. When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at ...

AAPL: Is it going to hit 160$... or 130$
106 0 7
Is it going to hit 160$... or 130$

Apple's is looking strong as we are heading to earnings. Since it broke the neck line of an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern that I've mentioned to my Elite Zone members before its previous earnings, AAPL didn't look back. It looks like AAPL is heading towards the PRZ of a bearish Crab pattern near 160$ Will it reach there? Well... that's depend on its ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO BIDU, 15,
BIDU: Earnings trade on BIDU
146 0 10
BIDU, 15
Earnings trade on BIDU

Sold the 195/175 Strangle for $3.08. We are betting it won't move more than the $9.50 expected move.

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO MSFT, 15,
MSFT: Earnings play on Microsoft
155 0 10
MSFT, 15
Earnings play on Microsoft

Neutral to bearish earnings play on Microsoft Short the 68 straddle and bought the 66 Put (No risk to the downside) Max profit $201.

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO SBUX, 15, Short ,
SBUX: Earnings trade on Starbucks
134 0 11
SBUX, 15 Short
Earnings trade on Starbucks

Bought 61.5 Call Sold 2 62.5 Call for .35 credit. Max win is $135. Our break even is at 63.85

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