NVIDIA ($NVDA) Elliott Wave Outlook: Larger Pullback on the HoriNvidia (NVDA) continues its remarkable ascent, consistently reaching new all-time highs and reinforcing a robust bullish outlook. The ongoing rally, which began from a significant low on April 7, 2025, remains structured as an impulsive wave pattern, indicative of strong upward momentum. However, despite the potential for further short-term gains, the cycle appears mature. This suggests a larger-degree pullback could be imminent. Investors should exercise caution when considering chasing this rally in shorter time frames, as the risk of a corrective move grows.
In the short term, the cycle initiated from the June 2 low is progressing as a lower-degree impulse. From this low, wave ((i)) peaked at $144, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) that concluded at $137.88. The stock then surged in wave ((iii)) to $159.42. The subsequent wave ((iv)) correction unfolded as a double-three structure, with wave (w) ending at $151.49, wave (x) at $154.98, and wave (y) completing at $151.10, finalizing wave ((iv)). Currently, Nvidia is advancing in wave ((v)), exhibiting a five-wave subdivision. Within this, wave (i) of ((v)) reached $160.98, with a minor pullback in wave (ii) concluding at $157.34. As long as the pivotal low at $142.01 holds, any near-term pullbacks are likely to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, supporting further upside potential. This technical setup underscores Nvidia’s strength but highlights the need for prudent risk management.
Economic Cycles
#Bitcoin 3 Phases Theory 🚦Today I saw a headline that surprised me "The current bear market has become the longest in the history of the crypto industry"📰
And I had a question about whether they were living in the past, or where they saw the bear market.🤔
💡I want to remind you that it ended with a duration of exactly one year, just like the last cycle. And it was much shorter than in 2014.
Now CRYPTOCAP:BTC is +70% from the bottom, this is a classic phase of accumulation.
Are we in for a 3-wave cycle in BTC? 👀#Bitcoin Keltner Channels 📈
The current BTC cycle is often compared to the cycle of 2020 or 2016. Well, let's consider what if this cycle is different.
In the first cycle, we did not have substantive and protracted corrections. The second cycle had a more pronounced mid-cycle peak, and a longer consolidation after it, and even then the 2nd wave of movement.
The current cycle can have a 3-wave movement. What does this indicate?
💡For example, if now the ETF inflow continues to be positive, and in a month everyone will understand that the halving is very soon, this may lead to the fact that there will be no substantial corrections for another 2-3 months.
📝The third wave will begin already after a decrease in sales from miners and an increase in liquidity from lowering interest rates and infusions into the economy.
COFFEE - My Commodity of ChoiceI've laid out a plan I'm looking at on one of my favorite commodities - COFFEE ☕😍
What makes it so hard is the predictability of the weather - nearly impossible for the future. However, it is odd to see that the price still bonces at key support and resistance zones, almost like any "stock". Which tells me regular market trading still applies despite the odd weather event.
The reason Coffee has fallen so hard over the past few months is supply - due to extremely favorable weather conditions, coffee supply is more than demand. Resulting, as market dynamics goes, in a drop of price.
It's unfortunate though that my favorite pack of beans at the supermarket has not gone down - weird how that works 🙄 I like a medium roast, Columbia single origin.
It's dropped -33% already, but I can clearly see the market structure entering bearish phase after the bullish phase, peak (the new high) and now likely a multi-month bearish season. The question is just where the price can bottom for such a well loved commodity.
I looked at past cycles, not too long ago we dropped roughly 44% during the bearish cycle, taking 2-3 years to move into accumulation before another impulse wave up. That places a target for entry exactly in the highlighted zone around $250ish.
But I wouldn't get too greedy on my favorite commodity, buying orders can't be too low either. This would likely have to be a multiyear hold. Pepperstone sells coffee on cash contract but I usually do futures. Pity that I didn't get in sooner, bullish cycles is also at least a 2 year journey. I'll sell when the weather is bad 😅
Next up? Chocolate for sure...
XMR 3 Month Heikin Ashi Trend ChartWe have here a trend outlook chart for Monero on a 3 monthly timeframe (Heikin Ashi candlestick chart). XMR is one of a handful of high market cap coins which have showed signs of strength on a variety of indicators (despite high volatility with various other high market cap coins), including the positive MACD and RSI indicators as shown in this chart.
In addition, there has been significant buy volume in the 170 - 277 price range, as can be seen in the Price-Volume indicator to the right of the chart, keeping the price up.
Monero has withstood the political and economic turmoil in recent months making it a strong contender against some of the largest market cap coins. With the current price sitting at approximately USD$315, there is potential for further upside in the long-term.
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This publication and the information contained in it are for educational purposes only, and is not meant to be nor does it constitute financial, investment, trading or other types of advice or recommendations.
MINA : Is the shedding over ?Hello friends
Given the heavy fall of this and the prolonged price correction, you can now see that the price is supported within the specified support range, which is a good sign...
We have identified important support areas for you, where you can buy in steps and with risk and capital management.
We have also identified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
Banana zone starts when PMI is above 53.Check your charts to verify this fact.
Total 2 with the US Purchasing Managers Index overlain.
The PMI is one of the most reliable leading indicators for assessing the state of the U.S. economy.
Previous Banana zones have coincided with the PMI above 53.
so not just when the economy is growing, but when the economy has entered humming along approaching full acceleration.
This is when most people will feel confidence and WANT to take on more risk as they are most optimistic about the future when the economy is in this state of being.
DOW Jones go upCMCMARKETS:US30
Reaching the price level of 45,082.74 is inevitable. From the current closing price, there is a high probability of continuation toward the ATH.
However, the price levels 44,440 and 44,344.95 are also acceptable zones from which the move toward 45,082.74 may begin.
At the start of the upcoming week, as soon as the market opens, we are likely to move toward the ATH from one of these three levels.
SP500: Fib Channels on Fractal Corridors Research Notes
Testing angle of trendline which acts as support then defines resistance.
Structural reference
Pattern expressed in Fibonacci:
Ascending:
Descending:
Fib Channels on Fractal Corridors supposed to show alternative mapping method which differs from following approach.