XAUUSD – Daily Structure, Order Blocks & ReactionsThis chart presents an educational technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the daily timeframe, focusing on market structure, liquidity behavior, resistance and support zones, and the potential significance of institutional price areas. The purpose of this analysis is to study how price has historically reacted around key regions and how traders may interpret evolving structure — not to predict exact outcomes.
From a broader perspective, Gold previously experienced a strong bullish expansion, where price consistently formed higher highs and higher lows. This upward movement demonstrated strong buying momentum and market imbalance, eventually pushing price toward a major resistance area and a previously established strong high. Such aggressive movements often attract attention from market participants because impulsive trends can eventually transition into periods of consolidation or correction.
After reaching the highlighted strong high region, price started showing signs of reduced momentum. Instead of continuing with the same bullish aggression, the market began producing more corrective movement, which may indicate temporary exhaustion, profit-taking, or the beginning of structural transition. In technical analysis, traders often observe these moments carefully because market sentiment can shift gradually rather than instantly.
A key feature marked on the chart is the Change of Character (CHoCH). In market structure terminology, CHoCH is often used to describe a possible shift in short-term directional behavior. It generally occurs when price stops respecting its previous structure and begins moving differently than before. However, it is important to understand that a CHoCH is not confirmation of trend reversal by itself. Many traders use it as an early observation signal and combine it with additional confirmations such as momentum, candlestick behavior, volume studies, or higher timeframe context.
The chart also highlights equal lows (EQL) and liquidity-related areas. Equal lows are frequently observed by technical traders because markets often move toward regions where liquidity may exist. Since many stop-loss placements can accumulate near equal highs or equal lows, price sometimes reacts around these zones before determining direction. This concept is widely discussed in market structure and liquidity-based trading methodologies. Nevertheless, liquidity concepts should always be treated as observations rather than guarantees.
Another important component visible on the chart is the presence of Order Blocks (OB) and a marked Selling OB zone. In technical analysis, order blocks are areas where strong price reactions previously originated and may represent historical supply or demand participation. Traders often monitor these regions to observe whether price reacts similarly if revisited in the future. A selling order block may suggest an area where bearish pressure historically entered the market, but no technical level remains valid forever. Price can reject, consolidate, or break through depending on broader market conditions.
The resistance zone shown on the higher side of the chart may be interpreted as an important area where price previously struggled to maintain upward momentum. Resistance levels often become areas of observation because sellers may become active there, or market participants may choose to reduce long exposure. However, if price eventually reclaims such levels with strong momentum and structure support, market behavior can shift significantly.
On the downside, the chart identifies a support region near the weekly low, which currently appears to be an important decision point. Support zones are commonly monitored because they represent historical regions where buyers may previously have entered the market. If price respects support and begins forming stronger bullish candles or constructive structure, some traders may interpret it as stabilization. Conversely, if support fails to hold and price begins establishing lower lows, bearish continuation may become an area of observation.
From an educational viewpoint, this chart can be studied through multiple scenarios rather than a single directional bias.
Scenario 1: Support Reaction and Recovery
If price stabilizes near the current support region, buyers may attempt to defend the level and potentially create a recovery phase. In such situations, traders often observe whether market structure begins shifting from weakness toward strength through stronger lows, reclaiming resistance, or momentum improvement. Confirmation is often considered important rather than assuming immediate reversal.
Scenario 2: Continued Weakness Below Support
If the highlighted support zone loses strength and bearish pressure remains dominant, market participants may monitor whether price continues respecting the recent lower-high pattern. Technical traders often wait for additional confirmation before assuming continuation, as false breakdowns are also common in volatile markets like Gold.
Scenario 3: Consolidation and Range Behavior
Markets do not always move aggressively in one direction. Sometimes price consolidates between resistance and support while liquidity builds over time. During such phases, traders often focus on patience and wait for clearer directional structure before making observations.
An important lesson from this analysis is the relationship between market structure and patience. Strong trends do not continue indefinitely, and corrections are a natural part of financial markets. Observing how price reacts at major zones often provides more useful information than predicting direction too early. Traders frequently emphasize waiting for confirmation rather than forcing bias into uncertain conditions.
It is also worth noting that Gold can be heavily influenced by external macroeconomic conditions, including inflation expectations, central bank commentary, interest rate policies, geopolitical uncertainty, and broader market sentiment. Because of this, technical structure may react differently during periods of heightened volatility or major economic releases.
Risk management remains one of the most important concepts in trading education. Even technically strong setups can fail, and no analysis method guarantees outcomes. Many experienced market participants focus more on controlling risk than trying to predict every movement correctly.
Educational Note:
This chart analysis is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The zones, structure labels, and technical concepts presented here are based on historical price action and should be viewed as market observations rather than trading instructions. This is not financial advice, investment guidance, or a promise of future performance. Always perform independent research, consider multiple confirmations, and practice disciplined risk management before making any financial decisions.
Educational
BTCUSDT Technical Analysis Structure, FVG & OB ZonesBTCUSDT on the 4-hour timeframe is currently displaying an interesting market structure following an extended bearish phase. After experiencing a noticeable decline and multiple structural breaks, price appears to be consolidating near a short-term support region, suggesting that the market may be attempting to build momentum for a potential recovery move.
From a price action perspective, the chart reflects previous bearish control, highlighted by market structure shifts and breaks of support. However, recent candles indicate that sellers may be losing some momentum as price begins to stabilize around current levels. This type of behavior often attracts attention toward possible retracement opportunities, especially when higher liquidity zones remain untested above price.
One of the key areas visible on the chart is the highlighted order block (OB) region above the current market price. If buyers continue to maintain short-term momentum and price successfully establishes higher lows, BTC could potentially revisit this supply area. Such zones often become important reaction points where traders observe whether momentum continues or faces rejection.
In addition to the order block, there are also imbalance and liquidity areas positioned at higher levels. The presence of a fair value gap (FVG) and liquidity pool suggests that the market may eventually attempt to revisit inefficient price zones before deciding on a stronger directional move. In many cases, price seeks liquidity before forming a clearer trend continuation or reversal structure.
Despite the possibility of bullish retracement, caution remains important. The broader structure still reflects previous downside pressure, meaning confirmation should be prioritized over assumptions. A strong break and hold above nearby resistance areas could increase confidence in a recovery scenario, while weakness or rejection near key zones may reinforce bearish continuation.
Key Technical Observations:
Market structure previously shifted bearish after multiple breakdowns
Price currently attempting stabilization near recent lows
Potential upside movement toward the marked order block zone
Liquidity and imbalance areas above remain important regions to monitor
Confirmation through candle behavior and structure remains essential before directional bias changes
As always, market conditions remain dynamic and price action can shift rapidly depending on momentum and liquidity. This chart reflects a technical observation based on structure, liquidity concepts, and historical price behavior rather than certainty of future movement.
Disclaimer: This content is shared for educational and market discussion purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or guaranteed outcomes. Always apply proper risk management and conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions.
BTCUSD | Consolidation Structure Near Key Resistance ZonesBitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently showing a period of consolidation after experiencing a noticeable bearish movement from the higher resistance region. Price action has slowed down and is now trading inside a clearly defined sideways range, indicating temporary market indecision as buyers and sellers continue to compete for control.
The highlighted blue zone represents a short-term consolidation area where BTC is currently establishing structure. Sideways movement often signals a phase of accumulation or rebalancing before the market attempts its next impulsive move. As long as price remains within this range, traders may expect choppy movement and short-term volatility.
From a technical perspective, the chart highlights an important supply/resistance zone above the current market price. If bullish momentum strengthens, BTC may attempt to revisit the marked selling zone, where price reaction could become important for determining future direction. A successful breakout and sustained movement above this area could open room for further upside exploration toward the higher resistance region.
On the other hand, if the market fails to maintain momentum near resistance, price may continue respecting the current range structure or revisit nearby support levels. Monitoring price behavior, candle confirmations, and overall momentum around these zones may provide additional clarity regarding the next potential move.
This chart focuses on market structure, resistance areas, and possible technical scenarios based on observed price action. The marked zones are intended to highlight areas of interest where volatility or reactions may occur, rather than predict a guaranteed outcome.
Traders and analysts may choose to observe how BTC reacts within the current consolidation phase and around the highlighted zones before forming any directional bias. Patience and confirmation often remain key elements when navigating range-bound market conditions.
Educational Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared for educational and informational purposes only. It reflects a personal technical view of market structure and price action and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research and apply proper risk management before making trading decisions.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #MarketStructure #SupportAndResistance #CryptoTrading #Education #TradingIdea
Bitcoin Signal for Short Lets Make Some Real GameThis is an educational trading setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), focusing on a short position opportunity between the $82,000 and $80,000 price levels. The analysis is based on technical indicators, price action strategies, and current market sentiment. Please note: this is not financial advice, strictly for learning purposes!
📉 Trade Concept:
Entry Zone: $82,000
Target Zone: $80,000
Setup Type: Short / Sell
Timeframe: Short-term / Intraday
Market Context: After an extended bullish rally, BTC/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance. High probability retracement expected towards the $80,000 support area.
🔍 Educational Insights:
Technical Indicators: Overbought RSI levels, bearish divergence, and candlestick reversal patterns around $82,000 zone.
Psychological Levels: $80,000 is a major psychological number where buyers may step in.
Risk Management: Always use stop-losses and proper risk-reward ratios in live trades.
💡 Purpose of Sharing:
This setup is shared purely for educational purposes to help traders understand how to spot potential short opportunities in volatile markets like Bitcoin. Learn how to analyze resistance zones, manage risk, and read price action effectively.
📢 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making financial decisions.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #ShortTrade #BitcoinSignal #PriceAction #Educational #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoEducation #LearnTrading #RiskManagement
Split entries Protect and safeguard capital.Vishal Baliya is Author of the book: The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. (Available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version)
Split entries Protect capital and reduces losses:
Many times I get the question: What are the best friend of investors?
My answer here would be: Stop losses, trailing stop losses and Split entries.
We will talk about Stop loss and Trailing stop loss in a separate article but today we will talk about Split entries. On the onset let me clarify this is not a call of any company. The chart used below is to explain the process of Split entries in stock market. Breakouts are a great thing. Lot of people make money through breakout trading and lot of people make even more money through breakout investing. But even after selecting a stock after proper due diligence, consulting your financial advisor, reading intrinsically about the company, making charts, studying fundamentals there is a possibility that breakout still might fail. No one can be 100% sure otherwise all investors would be multi Billionaires.
This is because there is inherent risk in investment whether it is equity or any other form of investment. More so in equity as there are many macro and micro economic and factors at play. Some or most are beyond control of even the promoters of the company or mega investors. Thus when you are not 100% sure of a breakout and there are important resistances still at play, you can opt for split entries.
Now have a look at the chart below.
In the chart you can see how this stock took the support of 200 days EMA Father Line after making a bottom near 3311. Zone A to Zone B is the area where we feel that the stock has completed the process of bottom formation and is turning around. Say you want to invest Rs. 21,000 in this company. Your X here is 21000. X/2 = 10,500 and X/3 = 7000 and so on. (X being the money you want to invest in a particular company.) Instead of going all in between zone A and Zone B shown in the chart. You can go X/2 between zone A and B. Why so? Because there is an important hurdle of Mother line at 50 days EMA still to be crossed. Suppose the Mother line acts up and stops the rally and stocks turns bearish your X/2 capital is still intact. To protect remaining X/2 there is a stop loss. In case the stock turns bearish, your Rs. 10,500 is intact. Suppose you have kept stop loss at 10% of your capital deployed. 90% of your X/2 is safe plus 100% of your X/2 capital which you are yet to invest is also safe. Thus Split entry protects your capital. Now ideal scenario in my opinion would be X/2 entry between Zone A and B. Second X/2 entry between zone B and C where you got a breakout confirmation when the stock has confirmed its bullishness as the stock has given a closing above Mother line which is 50 days EMA. To know about the Mother, Father and the Small Child Theory please do read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation which is available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. Which explains in depth many such concepts which will help you as an investor.
The argument against such an investment would be: Ah! If I would invest my full capital between Zone A and B. And cruise till Zone D. I will make more money. Definitely you would. But there was a greater risk compared to split entry. Even if you take a split entry between Zone A and B and Second X/2 entry between zone B and C and cruise till Zone D, you will still make a good amount of money. The risk you would have taken in case of split entry would be much less compared to having invested all your capital in one go.
Pyramiding Split Entry Approach:
Another kind of split investment is Pyramiding. In Pyramiding you gradually increase your investment in an equity after every positive breakout. Usually at a price higher than the previous one. Like base of the pyramid is large your first investment is high and gradually decreasing the quantum of investment. I personally use split entry/pyramiding split entry approach in many of my equity related investments.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any
NSE:CERA India toilet boom 🚽 get set go..Half of India couldn't access a toilet 5 years ago. Modi built 110M latrines
Incorporated in July 1998, Cera Sanitaryware Ltd is headed by Mr Vikram Somany; the company manufactures sanitaryware and faucets and outsources wellness products and tiles. The sanitaryware and faucet plants are in Kadi, Gujarat, with capacity of 36 lakh and 18.5 lakh pieces per annum, respectively.
#
The Company has been constantly launching new designs in Sanitaryware, Faucets and Tiles. The new designs are indigenously developed by in-house teams, after feedback from the market. This helps the Company to be seen a leader in product offerings. #
NSE:CERA
HOW TO BALANCE YOUR LIFE AND TRADINGHey! When we all started we passed trough some difficulties in trading.
Usually we face this problems during first year of trading. Most of people by the end of year losing all of money and quit trading forever.
Basically this caused by overtrading and having no idea what to do. Like many business in our lives trading require some abilities and technics which you can study and apply to get good results. But when you are novice trade you probably don't even know where to start.
So on the pic you see basic problems and solutions to start from:
PROBLEMS:
- Worried about trades all day and night
This point distracts from important things and giving huge depression in your live.
- Losses affecting personality and mood
When you starting to losing too much, it often hard to get money back, moreover trying to recoup will give even more loss.
- Mindset confusion
Like every depression in our lives it confuses our abilities to think clear.
- Rushing for new trades
Overtrading is common mistake, causing huge losses from impatient traders/investors.
- Trading assets for all of your money
I f you ever tried trading for 100% of your money — write me a comment!
This problem causing new traders losing too much, and trading become gambling.
SOLUTION:
- Plan your trades
Focus on the future trades, plan your entries, take profits, stop loss. Like every business it should be planned and if something not working you have to fix it and try again.
- Take small trades
In trading Small is BIG, start with small trades, don't give rush, if you will not be rich till the end of year it is okay. But first learn how to trade and make sure you learned from mistakes and wins.
- Focus on affordable risk
Yeah, just 10% from traders have profits every month, rest of traders struggling somewhere in the middle. To make sure you will be in 10% winners, try to understand your risks before opening new trades.
- Use trading system
Trading system is something which suits your personality, you have to try different strategies and technics before understanding your trading criterias. But once trading system is setup, you will be fine and closing months in solid profits.
- Take breaks in trading
Make sure you have some time for other activities, try to plan your trading time and sometimes on the market is nothing to do, so take a breath and relax. Market won't go away :)
👍I appreciate your likes and comments below this post, lets discuss our problems in trading! 💬
Education: The 90-90-90 rule - Why do traders fail?" Many are called, but few are chosen ". Ever heard this proverb?
This is certainly true for trading, in fact, there is even a rule in trading about this, the 90-90-90 rule. So what does this rule say?
" 90% of traders lose 90% of their money in 90 days "
😱😱😱
That's right, statistics show that 90% of people who start trading lose the majority of their money in less than 3 months. But why is that so? In this post I will try to lay out the reasons for failure, if you are a new or struggling trader, I'm sure you'll find this useful. Let's get into it ...
🤯 EXPECTATIONS
Many start trading because they've seen or read about success stories, people becoming rich overnight, they might even have a friend who has been successful in trading and they think (to say it in Jeremy Clarckson's famous words) " How hard can it be? . With this approach, failure is imminent...
📐 NOT HAVING A PLAN
" If you fail to plan, you are planning to fail - Benjamin Franklin. Trading without a plan results almost certainly in failure. Your trading plan should include the definition of your setup, entry, stop loss, profit taking, trade management, risk management and money management.
🔄 NOT TESTING YOUR PLAN
OK, you have determined how you will trade, what defines your entries and exits, how much of your capital you will risk and how you will manage your trades. But do you know what is the expectancy of that plan? Do you know how much trades you will win on average, and how many you will lose? How much money can you expect to make?
Backtesting your plan, executing it flawlessly time after time on historical data will give you that information and the confidence to execute your plan time and time again without hesitation.
😱 EMOTIONS - THIS IS THE BIG ONE!
If did not take the time to create a trading plan and backtest it, you don't really know what you are doing and emotions will have the best of you.
Fear, greed, hope, excitement, anxiousness, boredom and frustration will drive your hard earned capital away from you.
Results of these emotions are : trading too much, letting your losers run and cutting winners short, revenge trading, overleveraging etc...
I could write an entire post about each of the emotions and how they can affect you while trading, but it would make this post too lengthy. Just know that emotions are your biggest enemy when trading, for best results you should be in a stoic state when trading.
🕺 EGO
" The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. ". If you want to prove the market that you are right, you are doomed to fail. The market is always right, no matter what happens, so you better learn to accept that your analysis or prediction of what would happen was wrong and cut your losses. Fast!
📚 LACK OF EDUCATION
It takes many years to learn a skill or a profession, trading is no different. If you think about making lots of money without putting the time in to learn and test, you pretty much guarantee yourself to fail.
You wouldn't want a lawyer without education to defend you in court, or a self-proclaimed surgeon who learned on YouTube to operate on you, would you?
💰 STARTING CAPITAL TOO LOW
If you're starting with a low capital, you will tend to try and make it grow fast, resulting in taking too many trades, too high of a risk, too high leverage. If you start with a low capital, you'll have to be OK with the fact that it will grow slowly and that it will take (a lot of) time to build up a sizeable account.
🚦 BUYING OR FOLLOWING SIGNALS
" There is no such thing as easy money. " You might think that you don't have the time to learn about trading, making and backtesting a trading plan. So why not follow signals?
Ask yourself what you know about this service? How profitable is it (and don't just go from the claims they make)? Do you know anything about the reason for a signal, why was it triggered?
Have you talked to other users who used the service, what do they think about it? Why is this person/company selling signals if they are so successful as they claim? Philanthropy ? 🤔
📉 INDICATORS OVERLOAD
Indicators can help you make decisions for trading, but too many indicators can and will lead to opposite signals or " analysis paralysis .
Most indicators are derived from price, so it makes sense to learn how to read price action and discover the story behind the candles.
🆕 THE NEXT SHINY OBJECT SYNDROME
You took the time to develop a trading plan and even tested it, but you run into a drawdown... Rather than counting on your experience and the expectancy that you know is there, you look for a new shiny method of trading, until the same thing happens again with this new method ... Rinse & repeat, never giving the chance for your original method, which you know was working when you tested it, to prove its worth ...
Alright, I think I have provided the main reasons why new or inexperienced traders fail. Knowing why they (or you) fail is one thing, doing something about it is not a small feat. But with enough dedication, persistance and the right mindset, you can prove these statistics wrong!
Feel like reasons are missing, let me know in the comments below.
" Trading is a ruthless business that does not take any hostages, better come prepared. - Nico Muselle
So what is your story?
Are you a successful trader now but recognize these reasons for failure?
Are you a new trader? Was this helpful?
What did/will you do to overcome this?
What did/do you struggle most with?
Help the TradingView community by commenting below.
"Trading is a ruthless business that does not take any hostages, so you better come prepared." - Nico Muselle
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Candlestick Reversal Patterns of Technical Analysis !!!👨🏫 In this post, I tried to show you the most important Candlestick Reversal Patterns of Technical Analysis with Entry points & Stop loss points . you can use these patterns for Triggers of your traders at any timeframe ⏰ (These patterns are more valid at higher timeframes).
Please do not forget the ✅ 'like' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends, Thanks, and Trade safe.
What Is A Candlestick ❗️❓
A candlestick is a type of price chart used in technical analysis that displays the high, low, open, and closing prices of a security for a specific period. It originated from Japanese rice merchants and traders to track market prices and
daily momentum for hundreds of years before becoming popularized in the United States. The wide part of the candlestick is called the "real body" and tells investors whether the closing price was higher or lower than the opening price
(black/red if the stock closed lower, white/green if the stock closed higher).
Bullish Pattern 🌅:
🟢 Hammer Pattern : A hammer is a price pattern in candlestick charting that occurs when a security trades significantly lower than its opening, but rallies within the period to close near the opening price. This pattern forms a hammer-shaped candlestick, in which the lower shadow is at least twice the size of the real body. The body of the candlestick represents the difference between the open and closing prices, while the shadow shows the high and low prices for the period.
🟢 Inverted Hammer Pattern : The inverted hammer candlestick pattern (or inverse hammer) is a candlestick that appears on a chart when there is pressure from buyers to push an asset’s price up. It often appears at the bottom of a downtrend, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The inverted hammer pattern gets its name from its shape – it looks like an upside-down hammer. To identify an inverted hammer candle, look out for a long upper wick, a short lower wick, and a small body.
🟢 Bullish Engulfing Pattern : A bullish engulfing pattern is a white candlestick that closes higher than the previous day's opening after opening lower than the previous day's close. It can be identified when a small black candlestick, showing a bearish trend, is followed the next day by a large white candlestick, showing a bullish trend, the body of which completely overlaps or engulfs the body of the previous day’s candlestick. A bullish engulfing pattern may be contrasted with a bearish engulfing pattern.
🟢 Bullish Piercing Line Pattern : A piercing pattern is a two-day, candlestick price pattern that marks a potential short-term reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. The pattern includes the first day opening near the high and closing near the low with an average or larger-sized trading range. It also includes a gap down after the first day where the second day begins trading, opening near the low and closing near the high. The close should also be a candlestick that covers at least half of the upward length of the previous day's red candlestick body.
🟢 Bullish Harami Pattern : The Bullish Harami candle pattern is a reversal pattern appearing at the bottom of a downtrend. It consists of a bearish candle with a large body, followed by a bullish candle with a small body enclosed within the body of the prior candle. As a sign of changing momentum, the small bullish candle ‘gaps’ up to open near the mid-range of the previous candle. The opposite of the Bullish Harami is the Bearish Harami and is found at the top of an uptrend.
🟢 Morning Star Pattern : A morning star is a visual pattern consisting of three candlesticks that are interpreted as bullish signs by technical analysts. A morning star forms following a downward trend and it indicates the start of an upward climb. It is a sign of a reversal in the previous price trend. Traders watch for the formation of a morning star and then seek confirmation that a reversal is indeed occurring using additional indicators.
🟢 Three White Soldiers Pattern : Three white soldiers is a bullish candlestick pattern that is used to predict the reversal of the current downtrend in a pricing chart. The pattern consists of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that open within the previous candle's real body and a close that exceeds the previous candle's high. These candlesticks should not have very long shadows and ideally open within the real body of the preceding candle in the pattern.
Bearish Patterns 🌄:
🔴 Hanging Man Pattern : The hanging man is a type of candlestick pattern. Candlesticks display the high, low, opening, and closing prices for a security for a specific time frame. Candlesticks reflect the impact of investors' emotions on security prices and are used by some technical traders to determine when to enter and exit trades. The term "hanging man" refers to the candle's shape and what the appearance of this pattern infers. The hanging man represents a potential reversal in an uptrend. While selling an asset solely based on a hanging man pattern is a risky proposition, many believe it's a key piece of evidence that market sentiment is beginning to turn. The strength in the uptrend is no longer there.
🔴 Shooting Star Pattern : A shooting star is a bearish candlestick with a long upper shadow, little or no lower shadow, and a small real body near the low of the day. It appears after an uptrend. Said differently, a shooting star is a type of candlestick that forms when a security opens, advances significantly, but then closes the day near the open again. For a candlestick to be considered a shooting star, the formation must appear during a price advance. Also, the distance between the highest price of the day and the opening price must be more than twice as large as the shooting star's body. There should be little to no shadow below the real body.
🔴 Bearish Engulfing Pattern : A bearish engulfing pattern is a technical chart pattern that signals lower prices to come. The pattern consists of an up (white or green) candlestick followed by a large down (black or red) candlestick that eclipses or "engulfs" the smaller up candle. The pattern can be important because it shows sellers have overtaken the buyers and are pushing the price more aggressively down (down candle) than the buyers were able to push it up (up candle).
🔴 Bearish Dark Cloud Cover Pattern : Dark Cloud Cover is a bearish reversal candlestick pattern where a down candle (typically black or red) opens above the close of the prior up candle (typically white or green), and then closes below the midpoint of the up candle. The pattern is significant as it shows a shift in the momentum from the upside to the downside. The pattern is created by an up candle followed by a down candle. Traders look for the price to continue lower on the next (third) candle. This is called confirmation.
🔴 Bearish Harami Pattern : A bearish harami is a two-bar Japanese candlestick pattern that suggests prices may soon reverse to the downside. The pattern consists of a long white candle followed by a small black candle. The opening and closing prices of the second candle must be contained within the body of the first candle. An uptrend precedes the formation of a bearish harami.
🔴 Evening Star Pattern : An evening star is a stock-price chart pattern used by technical analysts to detect when a trend is about to reverse. It is a bearish candlestick pattern consisting of three candles: a large white candlestick, a small-bodied candle, and a red candle. Evening star patterns are associated with the top of a price uptrend, signifying that the uptrend is nearing its end. The opposite of the evening star is the morning star pattern, which is viewed as a bullish indicator.
🔴 Three Black Crows Pattern : Three black crows is a phrase used to describe a bearish candlestick pattern that may predict the reversal of an uptrend. Candlestick charts show the day's opening, high, low, and closing prices for a particular security. For stocks moving higher, the candlestick is white or green. When moving lower, they are black or red. The black crow pattern consists of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that have opened within the real body of the previous candle and closed lower than the previous candle. Often, traders use this indicator in conjunction with other technical indicators or chart patterns as confirmation of a reversal.
SPX. The Certainty Trap ‘Never’ &‘always’ have no place in MKTS!Just passing this cool info written by a guy called Ben Carlson.
- Ben discusses the differences between probability and certainty:
"There are two arguments I see on a regular basis that show up as a result of data overload:
…because that’s never happened before.
…because that’s what’s always happened before.
-The problem with this line of thinking is that it can lead investors to fall into what I like to call the certainty trap. It’s this all-or-nothing line of thinking that causes so many to constantly attach extremes to every single market move or data point they see. The beginning of the recovery or the end of the world is always right around the corner. The assumption is that we’re always either at a top or a bottom when most of the time the markets are probably somewhere in the middle."
-The reason the investing certainty trap is so easy to fall for is because historical data can feel so safe and reassuring. Look here, my data says that this has never (always) happened in the past. Surely this trend will continue. I’ll just sit here and wait for my profits to start rolling in.
-‘Never’ and ‘always’ have no place in the markets because no one really knows what’s going to happen next. ‘Most of the time’ is a much more reasonable goal, because nothing works forever and always in the markets. If it did everyone would simply invest that way. I think a much more levelheaded approach is to follow the Jason Zweig 10 word investment philosophy:
-Anything is possible, and the unexpected is inevitable. Proceed accordingly.
This is exactly where ETH will bottom!!!Traders,
This is not a post to start the bears on a name calling rampage. This post is not to get validation from the bulls. This is simply my opinion based on a few different technical theories. Yes, we had another push down, now everyone is saying..... "See, I have been telling you that we are going to $14k and nobody listened, you all cussed me out and now look at you!" "$10k is on its way, just like I have said from bitcoins top at 70k, I am right always because I am the Chart God's son, Ben Liquidated.... f0ll0w me on P@treon for $9783264238976423897 a day. I have never been wrong!".
The fact of the matter is, we have had one Black Swan event after another and you can't chart that. You can do your best to apply your technical analysis which works as well as your average win/loss ratio should tell you from your trading journal.... YOU DO HAVE A TRADING JOURNAL CORRECT?? Yet, sure, you may have called the drop, or the pop and can fell vindicated when the price hits your analysis prediction but, the simple fact is we all have our good calls and our bad ones, some more good than others but, a lot of traders are just starting this journey and opposed to ridiculing them for an opinion based on the TA they know up until this point... give them some sound knowledge, send them a link to a nice educational post on here that could help them grow as a trader. Because at the end of the day, what you scream is wrong in their idea of where the price action will go could end up being right even if they got there the wrong way.
Bottom line, yes, I do believe this is the bottom, I do have TA to back my thoughts up but, this post is to remind everyone on here that this is a community to help people grow as a trader. Not just with the tools that the Dev's have created for us but, also the community they have built and we all provide. So let this be an educational post on ethics and etiquette to be the best person you can be and be helpful. Nobody likes a keyboard warrior nor a d bag. I know that I could be wrong but, the main point of technical analysis is to give you a plan and if it doesn't work in the way you looked forward to, then you have another plan based on it not working out to protect your capital, simple as that.
With all of that said, lets discuss what you think about my bottom prediction and what you think could happen from here forward. I will post my TA in the comments after we get a discussion going.
I look forward to hearing your analysis!
Savvy
Parabolic SARHello, Let us talk about 'Parabolic SAR.'
On this chart: We will read about who developed it, how it works, and how it helps us.
Those who read the book called 'New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems' know that Parabolic SAR was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and published in 1978.
Who is J. Welles Wilder?
He is the creator of several technical indicators that are currently the leading indicators in technical analysis software. These indicators include the Average True Range, the RSI, the Average Directional Index, and the Parabolic SAR.
Let us get to Parabolic SAR:
It stands for Parabolic Stop And Reverse.
In technical analysis of the stock market, Welles Wilder designed Parabolic SAR to find potential changes in the pricing of traded goods such as stocks or currency exchanges such as Forex. It is a trend-track indicator (trend or price tracker) and can be used to determine the break-even point or entry or exit points based on prices that occur during a strong trend in a parabolic curve.
In preceding research based on 17 years worth of data, the parabolic SAR showed a 95% success level.
The indicator appears as a set of points located above or below the price bars in the chart. The point below the price is considered as an uptrend. Conversely, a higher price indicates that bears are in control and likely to remain down. When the points rotate, it indicates that a potential change in price direction occurs. For example, if the points are higher than the price when they go lower, it can increase a higher price. As stock prices rise, make the points, first slowly, then rapidly, and accelerating. SAR starts to move faster as the trend progresses, and the points get priced soon.
When the position of the points moves from one side of the asset price to the other, it produces a parabolic indicator of buy or sell signals. For example, a buy signal occurs when points move from the top to below the price, while a sell signal occurs when points move from the bottom to the top of the price.
The formula of calculation:
Uptrend: PSAR = Prior PSAR + Prior AF (Prior EP - Prior PSAR)
Downtrend: PSAR = Prior PSAR - Prior AF (Prior PSAR - Prior EP)
EP: Extreme Point in a trend
AF: Acceleration Factor (with a default value of 0.02)
How accurate is it?
As we said before, the parabolic SAR showed a 95% success level.
The main advantage of this indicator is that during a strong trend, the indicator indicates that traders should maintain their position.
This indicator also shows the output when there is a move against the trend, which indicates a reverse.
The downside is that it does not provide good trading signals in the side market conditions. The indicator constantly moves up and down the price without a clear trend.
Traders should only trade in the dominant trend direction and avoid trading without a trend. Also, using other indicators such as moving average and parabolic SAR can help prevent such losses.
Suppose you are interested in using this great indicator. In that case, you can go on your TradingView chart and the dashboard, click on 'Indicators & Strategies' and search for Parabolic SAR and find the best one suited for you.
Have you ever used this indicator? What do you think the pros and cons are?
Let us know your ideas.
Good luck.
FLong
Two Types of Elliot Wave CorrectionsWhen it comes to Elliot Wave Theory, we know of two different correction patterns .
On the left you can see the classic correction, which is less common in real market situations. On the other hand, the flat correction (right) occurs more frequently in the market, since modern price action is often characterized by fakeouts . In this case, a fakeout looks like a wave B making a new high above wave A. In most cases, traders would open a trade here due to a structural break, which then runs against them (bull or bear trap).
In the following table you can see how the respective correction patterns differ from each other and what you need to pay attention to.
It is very important that you learn how to use Fibonacci tools correctly so that you can calculate the wavelength properly. Maybe I'll do a separate educational post on the proper use of those tools in future.
Thank you very much for your attention,
Your RT
The Investor Mentality: Are You a Worthy Investor?There are two types of people: people who will read through this entire post and put themselves on a life-changing path towards generational wealth by understanding the essence of investing, and people who simply won't read this post. This post may be lengthy and abstract, but I guarantee you that comprehending the concept of what it means to invest, and how to do so, can change your life forever.
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Capitalism is much simpler than you think. The goal of the game, as the name suggests, is accumulating as much capital as possible. Interestingly enough, there are only three ways to achieve this goal, and if anyone tells you otherwise, they're either lying or they're a crook. The method is simple - you need to own the three means of production: land, labor, and capital.
Land: Only 30% of earth's surface is covered by land. Land, contrary to common belief, is rare in the sense that it's limited. If you own land, you can have factories and houses built on your land, through which you can receive rent. This was also prevalent in the past where aristocrats allowed peasants to farm on their properties, taking a certain percentage of the crops that were harvested without even breaking a sweat.
Labor: When you own labor as a means of production, it essentially means that you run a business. What this implies might not be intuitive, but it simply means that you're paying money to buy someone's time. Time is a resource that is much more important than money. Money is infinite, and can even be printed. As for time, both Jeff Bezos and a freshman at college both get 24 hours a day. The difference between the two, is that Jeff Bezos can pay the freshman and hire him to work on whatever needs to be done. Essentially, Jeff is paying to buy the freshman's time, a limited resource.
Capital: Capital is the magic sauce that allows all of this to happen. You can buy land, buy someone else's time, and even buy companies that do all of the above on your behalf. But, capital is no good if you don't make that capital work for you. You can lend capital to someone who needs it, and receive interest payments. In this case, interest is simply understood if you think about it as the cost of borrowing money. The name of the game is to either make the capital work for you, or convert that capital to other means of production, which then bring you more capital, ultimately creating a virtuous cycle.
When people invest in stocks, oftentimes they get too caught up and focus only on the price action, and forget the fact that buying a stock represents ownership of the company. In other words, if you own 10% of Tesla's shares, you have ownership of 10% of the company whether the company is valued at $800B or $2T. So what do you do when a company that's supposed to be worth $1T, judging by the amount of money it makes (cash flow) and the growth it's showing, drops to $800B? The most logical course of action is to buy more shares. You want to buy more ownership of the company for a cheap price, because you know that the company is going to buy other people's time (labor) and use that to generate more capital for you.
It seems so easy, but there's a reason why most people fail at investing. Our brains are biologically wired to focus on short term consequences, and we fail to look at what's best for us in the long term. Thus, we make dumb mistakes like selling perfectly good assets just because "the price dropped too much".
"A price drop is an opportunity to buy more of a good prospect at cheaper prices." - Peter Lynch
Unfortunately, most people sell when the price drops, because fear, uncertainty, and doubt take over their mind. There is a reason why billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman bought over $1.1B worth of Netflix stocks when the price dropped. He saw no fundamental changes to the company, yet the price dropped due to certain people's irrational decision to sell. And I'm very positive that there's a high chance that Bill will be the last one laughing in the end.
I believe that there are only three reasons for you to sell a perfectly good asset: 1) when the narrative has changed (fundamental change in the asset), 2) when you find a better asset, and 3) when selling is inevitable to save your entire position (ex. selling to pay taxes). Unless there is a clear reason for you to sell that fits into one of these three criteria, selling is probably not the best idea. If you truly understand what it means to invest, and convince yourself on why you should be buying or selling at certain levels, you can, and will become a successful investor. Think big, be optimistic, and have patience.
If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
TESLA - just an idea. It may happenTesla stock is showing some bearish signals. Is forming a double top with two big weekly reversals candles. Also shows bearish divergence against the RSI in the weekly timeframe. On the other hand, price is trading within a huge megaphone bearish pattern. The price is hanging by a thread. If it breaks the support, is going down hard. Personally, I don't think Tesla is making ATH again. That's it for Tesla. I'm not short or long in this stock, too speculative for me, but the chart doesn't look pretty for holders.
Lets talk prop firms❗Its the buzz words and hot topic of the moment! PROP FIRMS
Before I start on this topic I want confirm I am a funded trader. This post isn't to promote this style of trading or prop firms.
I am writing this post for those who may not understand what a prop firm is and to share my own experiences on the route to being a funded trader.
What is a prop firm?
Proprietary trading is where a firm trades for its own financial gain instead of earning commissions for clients.
What is a prop trader?
A prop trader is someone who uses that firms money to trade with and in exchange receives a wage or a percentage of the profits.
Now those two statements above probably ring more true for those who work for financial institutes on trading floors all around the world.
The propriety trading firms I want to talk about are the retail prop firms that usually for a subscription or a challenge fee will allow you as a trader to trade funds provided by them.
Any profits you make on that account you as the trader will receive a share of the profits. Usually 70-80%.
The business model has drawn a lot attention some good and some bad.
So this seems a good starting point to discuss what we know of the business model.
To become a funded trader with these companies you must either pay a subscription or take a challenge.
You rules and conditions of which you have to abide by in order to gain and keep funded accounts.
Subscriptions model
This route to prop funding tends to be a monthly reoccurring payment. You are then given an account to trade with stipulations attached.
For the subscription model the rules on the account tend to be very tight/strict and the fee can be quiet hefty.
Challenge model
This route to funding is where the trader pays an entry fee in to a challenge to prove their trading credentials.
The trade will be set targets to meet over one or two phases in order to secure funding.
The account will have rules and stipulations applied for example 10% overall draw down.
If funding is secured then most companies refund the entry fee and you then as a funded trader earns money of any profits made on your funded account.
So that's the options to becoming a funded trader.
The retail prop firm business model has been criticised because some of these funded accounts are demo accounts once gained.
Some say these companies only make money off failures and that's why even their funded traders who have passed are only ever trading demo accounts.
Some prop firms on completion of challenges give you real accounts. But do we truly know they are real or does it just say real?
A prop firm most definitely makes money from failed challenge attempts as part of it's business model. No one will ever know for real if they copy trade their top funded traders either.
But in my opinion they would be daft not to copy trade consistent performers that take payouts of these firms every month because they exists.
Prop trading pros and cons.
Their is pro and cons to any choice in life and prop trading is no exception.
I'll cover my personal pro and cons to the prop world below.
PROS
-For traders who are consistent and proven but only have small capital available, Prop trading is a good route to potentially larger trading pots.
-Most prop firms have scaling plans
-Prop firm gives trader the opportunity to funding most would never of got if they didn't exists. Most would never get an the opportunity to trade for a big institute. Prop firms bridge that gap.
-Given the amount of firms popping up a consistent trader could soon find themselves with a diverse portfolio of accounts giving some life changing chances and monthly profit opportunity.
-Most prop firms have favourable commissions and spreads with some having no commissions what so ever.
-Reduced personal risk . Worse case scenario for a funded trader is losing the account rather than massive personal losses.
CONS
-Even when funded you have to adhere to rules and terms of the prop firm
-You could spend big money getting traded
-The health of the prop firm you trade for is unknown and one prop firm has already dis-appeared.
-In reality the targets set are gain the funded account is quiet high at 8-10% in 30 calendar days.
-Violation of rules ends in account loss.
Summary
I can only speak of the journey I have taken myself.
For me the pros out weighed the cons when it came to seeking funding via these prop firms and the opportunities they offer.
I personally don't mind paying a fee to enter challenges as you need some emotional attachment to the challenge in order for you to play your best trading game.
If these were free to enter then everyone would just go big and all out to get funded then would do exact same if managing to get funded. That would be sustainable for no one.
That's not what trading is about it's about risk management and emotional control which helps lead to consistent trading results.
For a 100k challenge most prop firms charge between £400-£500 that is still a fair amount of money for anyone and you should be treating it as a serious venture if your not then you are simply gambling.
Funded accounts being a demo account hasn't bothered me. I get paid when I'm in profit and that's all that matters.
Spreading accounts over different prop firms lowers risk and exposure to losing all your funded accounts.
One well known firm has gone and thankfully I wasn't with them but aiming for a few accounts with different firms lowers risk of finding yourself funded one minute then not the next.
Are they a scam? In ever growing market place bad apples will be operating in the sector.
As traders you have to do own research but plenty have been round for a while now with good reviews to boot.
Trading in general is hard and gaining 8-10% in one month to pass then doing 5% the following is no easy feat.
Get a game plan and strategy together, back test and forward test the live out of it and when consistency is there only then is it worth attempting funding challenges.
Love them or hate them prop firms are here and making some noise.
They offer opportunity a plenty but they do come with mystique attached.
You as a trader and an individual have to judge if they are for you or not.
Simple way I looked at the opportunity
1 Funded 200k account
3% profit per month = $6000
80% profit split= $4800
GBP= £3478
Approx equivalent to 57k GBP a year!
Freedom can be closer than you think.
Thanks for taking time to read my idea
Darren.






















