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BTC POTENTIAL RETRACEMENT LOWERBTC currently rangin 79-82k failing to provide enough liquiodity for a bigger rally. We can see a possible rally to 86k but does not have enough for a move to 93k which is considered bullish to go to ath. At the moment Im in 20% margin x40 lev position shorting btc. My main motivation to turn bearish right at this infliction point is a bearish divergence on the monthly chart that has yet proven to not be respected. We are retesting 21 Ema for a possible bearish scenario once more. Political outview: The us is at 2022 levels when it comes to reserves in oil. The US produces 13 million of gas daily only 1 million being actual oil. The straight of Hormuz at max capacity was carrying at least 19% of global oil trade. Russia has been hit with sanctions and drones when it comes to its oil so they wont be able to help. Iran has made their position clear and this administration has not adressed this problem correctly. If by some miracle the straight opens tommorow wihtout Iran charging ships it would take months to adress energy supply shock. Iran is a very difficult country to fight with for one they are extremist and live sorrounded by mountains an invasion is off the books just saying a recent CIA report stated Iran has 75% of its militarry stock pile they can do this for months. Look at Hazbula they have been aorund for years even though Israel has killed 80% of leadership and basic structure. My point being, the US has only one option which is accept no nuclear deals and let the stright of Hormuz open again. Or lift sanctions and let them charge a fee. If they charge a fee like they have been proposing that would fund 1/5 of the Iranian Gov. So you see? The only way the US wins is if they destroy the country from the sky. In general I would say the market is giving major bearish vibes. People are euphoric suddenly everyone is calling for higher and higher on certain echanges there are very big imbalances when it comes the ratio between long and shorts. And we have a lot of liquidity at 55-70 k. Game plan 20% margin x40 lev Entry: 82,532 SL: 83,122 Tp 1: 75,600 Tp 2: 72,960 Tp 3: 67,900 Tp 4: 57,000 Reduce positions at Tp 1 due market volatily and sentiment, it will be considered our hedge. Good luck!!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SpeFab
3
Trading Boeing: Why the $217–$219 cluster caps near-term upsideThe global aerospace and defense sector is showing some serious performance differences. Supply chain troubles and strict quality control are really impacting orders coming in. After a small boost in the middle of the quarter, things dipped again. This downturn is mainly due to ongoing regulatory issues, delivery hold-ups, and investors moving away from capital-intensive industries with higher operating costs. From a technical standpoint, things look grim. The price action dropped below its short-term and medium-term EMAs the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day EMAs all act as strong resistance levels around 218.58 to 230.48. Momentum is clearly with the sellers here. The RSI is sitting at 45.39, still pretty weak and showing significant downward pressure. It hasn’t hit lows that would suggest an imminent rebound, though. The MACD adds to this picture; the line crossed below the signal line, and the negative histogram is getting bigger. This all shows that the big players are continuing to sell off. Trade Recommendation : Direction : Short Entry horizo n: 217.50 – 219.50 Primary target : 206.00 . Secondary target : 198.50. Stop loss : 223.80 Technical scenarios Bearish breakdown : A daily close below 213.50 with an expanding MACD histogram will trigger immediate downward acceleration toward the 206.00 major support zone. The dead-cat churn : If the price remains bound between 215.00 and 220.00 while the RSI flattens near 45, volatility will temporarily compress as the market digests distribution ahead of the next corporate delivery update. Bullish : A clean daily close above 221.50 with a bullish convergence curl on the MACD will pause near-term bearish momentum, potentially triggering a short-covering squeeze back toward the 225.84 line.
NYSE:BAShort
by Kearabilwe-Nonyana
WTI Crude oil: Breakout scenarios as volatility compressesConsolidation has been a theme for the energy complex due to a very structured phase in response to physical realities and evolving geopolitical themes. Coming off an extended period of pricing gains driven by the stress on transit routes through the Strait of Hormuz, the energy asset is in a compression stage. The consolidation is due to a temporary equilibrium of structurally tight supply dynamics offsetting a decline in near-term refined distillate pricing premiums. The fundamental basis is strongly weighted toward structurally tight supply conditions. Continued risks of geopolitical conflict at key Middle Eastern maritime chokepoints ensure that a tight risk premium is priced in prompt barrels, which has hindered macro liquidation attempts. Meanwhile, inventory tracking data shows continued drawdowns of barrels from Western commercial centers, while offsetting current economic growth concerns emanating from central bank meetings within the region. This macro environment has created sufficient volatility compression to allow for a technical consolidation. Technically speaking, this chart describes the market which has successfully managed to neutralize all overextended conditions that it was experiencing before. This can be seen from the fact that the RSI indicator is located precisely at the balanced level of 50.42, and thus, it is evident that the market does not have any signs of overbought/oversold states and, therefore, has quite significant potential for further development. Currently, the price action is consolidating itself into the convergence area of the short/mid-term EMAs of the market. WTI is trading closely to the moving averages’ ribbon cluster; thus, its dynamics should be considered as an accumulation mechanism. Trade recommendation: Direction : Long Entry horizon : 94.80 – 96.00 (Accumulating within the current tight EMA cluster floor). Primary target : 102.50 Secondary target : 106.80 Stop loss : 92.20. Technical scenarios Bullish range expansion : Daily close above 96.50; RSI climbs past 55. Price breaks out of the EMA cluster, targeting a swift advance toward 102.50. Dynamic floor retest : Price slips below 94.20; RSI dips toward 40. A brief mean-reversion flush down to test the 91.60 VWAP and dynamic support anchor. Extended range churn : Price remains bound between 94.50 and 96.20. Continued sideways compression as the market digests prompt inventory data before next week's session.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by Kearabilwe-Nonyana
Amazon Stock - Buy Set Up Fundamental Analysis Amazon.com continues to benefit from strong growth in its cloud division, AWS, alongside improving profitability in its retail operations. The company has maintained solid revenue growth, supported by AI-related investments, expanding advertising revenue, and continued strength in e-commerce demand. These factors position Amazon well for long-term growth despite broader market uncertainties. Technical Analysis Technically, AMZN remains in a broader uptrend and has recently pulled back toward its 50 EMA , a key dynamic support level that traders often monitor during bullish trends. The stock is also forming a bullish flag pattern , which is typically considered a continuation pattern within an existing uptrend. While the setup remains constructive, it is prudent to wait for a clear bounce and bullish confirmation from the 50 EMA before entering. Trade Setup A successful rebound from the 50 EMA combined with a breakout from the bullish flag could provide an attractive long opportunity. Traders should look for confirmation through strong bullish price action before entering and target higher resistance levels as the trend resumes. Risk Management Manage risk appropriately by placing a stop-loss below the recent swing low or beneath the flag support structure. Avoid entering prematurely and allow the market to confirm the bullish setup before committing capital.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by SmiertSpionam
Gold (XAU/USD) Testing Channel Support: Bounce or Breakout?Market Context & Technical Setup Gold is currently trading inside a large descending parallel channel on the daily chart. After hitting a local high near $5,400 earlier this year, the price has been making lower highs and lower lows, consolidating the previous massive bullish run. Currently, price is hovering near the crucial psychological level of $4,500, testing both the median line (dashed blue) of the channel and approaching key dynamic support below. Key Technical Indicators Descending Channel: The price action is contained within a well-defined bearish/consolidation channel. 200 EMA (Daily): The 200 Exponential Moving Average (white line) is steadily sloping upwards, currently sitting just below the price action near $4,300 - $4,400, acting as a major macro-support level. Active Zone (Demand Box): A primary short-term buy zone is identified between $4,100 and $4,250, coinciding with the lower boundary of the channel and the 200 EMA buffer zone. Waiting Zone (Deep Correction): A secondary macro-demand zone is marked much lower between $2,750 and $3,250, which would trigger if major support fails. Trading Scenarios Scenario A: The Bullish Bounce (Primary Outlook) Thesis: The overall macro trend for Gold remains strongly bullish. The current structure looks like a healthy consolidation (bull flag-esque behavior on higher timeframes). Execution: Look for long setups inside the "Active Zone" ($4,100 - $4,250). A confluence of the 200 EMA and the lower channel support makes this a high-probability reversal area. Targets: * Target 1: $4,800 (Mid-channel resistance) Target 2: $5,200 (Upper channel boundary) Stop Loss: A daily close below $4,000 invalidates this immediate bullish setup. Scenario B: The Deep Correction (Alternative Outlook) Thesis: If global market liquidity shifts or the dollar strengthens drastically, a breakdown below the 200 EMA could trigger a severe flush-out. Execution: If $4,100 fails to hold on a weekly close, patient traders should remain sidelined and wait for the price to stabilize in the "Waiting Zone" ($2,750 - $3,250) for a long-term generational buy opportunity. ⚠️ Risk Management Warning Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis study and not financial advice. Gold is currently exhibiting high volatility. Always manage your position sizing strictly and wait for confirmation (like a bullish engulfing candle or a hammer on lower timeframes) before entering the "Active Zone". What do you think? Will the 200 EMA hold the line, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know in the comments! 👇
TVC:GOLD
by CH_Indicator
KOSPI: Healthy Cooling-Off Phase After a Parabolic RunThe South Korean Leitindex (KOSPI) on the Daily timeframe (1D) has shown an extraordinary performance since the beginning of the year. Backed by our algorithmic dashboard in Invest Mode, which triggered a structural entry at 2,640.57 and currently tracks a massive 197.20% Signal PnL, the market trend remains primary "BULLISH" with "STRONG" momentum power. However, from a cyclical and technical perspective, the market is now severely overextended. A near-doubling of a major equity index within a matter of months is historically unsustainable without intermediate structural corrections. Therefore, we are anticipating a healthy cooling-off phase and potential technical retracements toward established liquidity pools below. Downside Scenarios & Structural Support Zones: The Immediate Trigger (Signal Line): The steep, parabolic advance is currently anchored by the ascending green dynamic signal line. A decisive daily close below this line will be the first technical confirmation that a broader mean-reversion process has begun. Support Zone 1 (First Major Target): Located around the 6,300 – 6,400 index point level (marked as Support 1). This area represents a prominent previous structural peak printed in early March. In a standard corrective sequence, this old resistance ceiling should act as the first major line of defense where buyers might re-emerge (Resistance-turned-Support flip). Support Zone 2 & Macro Confluence (Deep Value Target): Situated near the 5,000 – 5,200 index point zone (marked as Support 2). This represents a much deeper structural accumulation zone from earlier in the year. Crucially, the institutional 200-period Exponential Moving Average (200 EMA) (white line) is steadily ascending toward this pocket (currently near 5,009.82). If a broader global macro correction intensifies, this zone offers a very powerful compounding dynamic floor. Strategic Conclusion While the macro trend is undeniably strong, chasing the market at these parabolic highs carries an unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. A temporary pullback to cool down the technical indicators is highly necessary for long-term trend sustainability. Watching for a stabilization inside Support Zone 1 or a deep-value retest near Support Zone 2 and the 200 EMA will offer significantly safer structural positioning for trend continuation. Risk Management A sharp, high-volume invalidation of the local consolidation patterns that prints new all-time highs would delay the corrective thesis and signal that the parabolic momentum is extending further. Strict risk management and monitoring the price action at the green signal line is key.
KRX:KOSPIShort
by CH_Indicator
NAS100 15M — Conflict Persists, EMA200 on a Knife-EdgeMay 20 Cross-Asset SMC Read NAS100 continues its multi-week Conflict status — the most persistent of any asset in our tracking. Price sits at 29,024 with the EMA200 at 28,955, a gap of just 69 points. This is the tightest EMA200 proximity we have seen for this asset. Structure is bearish, with BoS labels to the downside visible from the 29,080 area. The broader pattern since May 11 shows price chopping between 28,640 and 29,100 — a wide range but no directional resolution. Signal: Above EMA200 + Bearish Structure = Conflict SHORT Key Levels: • Resistance: 29,080–29,100 (BoS rejection zone), 29,200 (prior swing high) • Support: 28,955 (EMA200 — critical), 28,800 (mid-range), 28,640 (range low) Context: NAS100 is one bearish BoS below EMA200 away from joining XAUUSD and EURUSD in full alignment. If 28,955 breaks, the entire cross-asset board flips to unanimous aligned SHORT — something we have never recorded.
FX:NAS100
by SmartFlow2026
EURUSD 15M — Former Bull Leader Collapses to Aligned SHORTMay 20 Cross-Asset SMC Read This is the biggest shift in today's cross-asset read. On May 11, EURUSD was the only fully bullish-aligned asset across all four — holding above EMA200 with confirmed bullish structure near 1.1771. It was the lone survivor of the broad bearish wave. Nine days later, that narrative has completely reversed. Price has dropped 181 pips to 1.1590, now trading below the EMA200 (1.1619). Multiple bearish BoS labels populate the chart. The structural damage is extensive — the decline from the 1.1660 area through 1.1600 happened in a clean staircase pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Signal: Below EMA200 + Bearish Structure = Aligned SHORT Key Levels: • Resistance: 1.1619 (EMA200), 1.1650 (prior support now resistance) • Support: 1.1580 (session low), 1.1560 (next demand zone) Context: For the first time since we began tracking, there are zero bullish-aligned assets across all four instruments. EURUSD was the last holdout — and now it has fallen.
Short
by SmartFlow2026
Nasdaq: Tech Rally at a Crossroads – Reversion Risk increasingMarket Analysis & Outlook: The Nasdaq continues to display impressive strength, as clearly shown in the attached chart. Our dashboard currently signals a "Bullish" market trend with "Strong" trend power. Since the initial entry signal at the 25,082 level (adjusted for Nasdaq pricing), the index has surged by over 17%. However, technical indicators are now flashing a cautionary signal. The price has decoupled significantly from its long-term mean. We are observing a substantial "stretch" away from the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), which historically serves as a precursor to a healthy corrective phase. Technical Analysis: Mean Reversion: The current distance from the 200 EMA suggests that the market is overextended. Statistically, such gaps tend to close through a "snap-back" effect. We are anticipating a potential pullback in the range of 5–10% to cool down overheated indicators. Momentum vs. Exhaustion: While we remain in "Invest Mode," the steepness of the recent rally suggests buyer exhaustion might be approaching. A retest of lower liquidity zones would actually strengthen the long-term bullish case by creating a more sustainable base. Strategic Execution: To capitalize on this expected volatility while protecting capital, we are working with a Short Bot. This automated approach allows us to trade the anticipated correction to the mean without the emotional bias of trying to "time the top" manually. Strategic Execution & Grid Logic: Capturing Further Upside: By using a Grid-based approach, the bot continues to scale into the position if the Nasdaq pushes even higher. This allows us to accumulate "Grid Profits" during the final stages of this rally. Targeting the Pullback: The primary goal remains the anticipated 5–10% correction toward the mean. As the market eventually retraces, the bot is positioned to close out the grid levels in profit, capitalizing on the inevitable return to the 200 EMA. Risk Management: This setup is a counter-trend play aimed specifically at the expected correction. The primary structure remains bullish as long as the price stays above the dynamic trail. A daily close above recent local highs would invalidate the immediate bearish correction thesis.
TVC:NDQShort
by CH_Indicator
NATGAS:What is the Shoulder season? Trading the TransitionThe shoulder season includes the periods of Spring (March to May) and Autumn (September to November) where demand is lower. Important Trader Concepts: Bearish Trend : Low demand in case of moderate weather usually makes the prices fall. Storage Builds : The market tends to build supplies. High stockpiles may create capitulation stages in the price. Technical Stability : The prices tend to trade in narrow descending channels while waiting for the next weather event. Knowing the shoulder season is crucial for timing momentum plays and the last flush before Summer prices.
EASYMARKETS:NGSUSD
by Kearabilwe-Nonyana
Natgas: $2.87 resistance test , 3 scenarios to watchThere is no doubt that the US Natural Gas is at the panic selling phase. With the current price at $2.72, the market price seems to be testing its lower end of the normal seasonal range. This is due to the persistent decline in the low-volume season where any anxiety about international supply does not seem to matter. On the technical end, the $2.74 area is a vital point for the bulls. The market is trapped in a descending channel with the 50-day EMA being a barrier that has capped every recovery attempt since early in March. The RSI is reading at 50.49. After having resisted at the 50-mark, the indicator signals that the asset still needs to drop by another 6-10 points before reaching the zone of deep oversold levels.. Trade recommendation : Direction: Short Entry Zone: $2.72 – $2.95 . Target: $2.45 Stop Loss: $3.12. Technical Scenarios: Bearish: Trigger: A clean break and daily close below $2.45. Potential Outcome: Acceleration toward $2.15 as technical stops are triggered. Mean Reversion: Trigger: RSI drops below 30. Potential Outcome: A tactical short squeeze rally toward $3.10 to retest the 50-day EMA. Sideways Consolidation: Trigger: Price remains trapped between $2.50 and $2.95. Potential Outcome: Choppy trading as the market digests the current storage overhang.
FX_IDC:USDNTGShort
by Kearabilwe-Nonyana
2
What a clean breakout setup looks likeOn the 1-hour timeframe, BULL is showing a textbook transition from compression into expansion, supported by alignment across structure, momentum, and participation. Structure (EMA Alignment): Price is now trading above the 10 / 20 / 50 EMAs, all stacked above the 200 EMA This reflects short-term trend control with higher timeframe support building underneath Prior consolidation phase created a tight base → now resolving higher Momentum (RSI): RSI holding in the upper range (~80+) Indicates sustained momentum rather than a single spike No major bearish divergence present → momentum remains intact Participation (OBV): OBV continues trending higher Confirms buyers are actively supporting the move, not just price drifting upward Expansion (ATR): ATR is beginning to rise after a period of contraction Signals volatility expansion → trend continuation environment 🔍 What This Setup Represents This is a classic structure sequence: Compression → Breakout → Momentum Hold → Expansion When all four phases align: Structure leads Momentum confirms Participation validates Volatility expands That’s when moves tend to sustain rather than fade quickly ⚠️ Context Note At current levels, price is extended short-term, so this becomes more about: Monitoring pullback structure Watching if EMAs continue to act as support Observing whether momentum stays elevated or begins to fade ⭐️ Final Clarity Note ⭐️: This isn’t about predicting the next move — it’s about recognizing when market structure, momentum, and participation are all aligned. That alignment is what turns simple breakouts into sustained trends.
NASDAQ:BULLEducation
by codymiller12727
$CORN (ZC) – Weekly Long - STRONG trend reversal📌 TRADE SETUP ───────────────────────────── • Entry: ~$468.55 • Target: $582.30 (+25.45%) • Stop Loss: ~$422.45 (–8.9%) • Risk/Reward: ~2.86R • Timeframe: Weekly ───────────────────────────── 📐 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ───────────────────────────── Price has broken out above a major swing high on the weekly chart with a strong bullish candle. The EMA structure is now fully bullish: • 9 EMA (453.30) has crossed above the 21 EMA (445.33) on the weekly chart — a high-conviction momentum signal • Price is trading above all three EMAs (9, 21, 50), confirming trend strength • Volume on the breakout candle is significantly above the 20-period volume SMA, validating the move with institutional participation The 50 EMA (442.03) also serves as a dynamic trailing stop reference — a weekly close below it would invalidate the bullish thesis. ───────────────────────────── 📊 WHY THIS SETUP? ───────────────────────────── ✅ 9/21 EMA bullish crossover on the weekly — one of the strongest trend signals on higher timeframes ✅ Clean breakout of a key multi-month swing high — structure shift confirmed ✅ Volume way above the 20-period average — breakout is not low-conviction ✅ Macro environment supports the move — inflation expectations remain elevated, supportive of commodity prices ───────────────────────────── ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT ───────────────────────────── • Initial stop: ~$422.45 — placed below the most recent swing low structure (–8.9% from entry) • Target: $582.30 — prior resistance zone / reward level (+25.45%) • Optional trend-trailing exits: — Weekly close below the 50 EMA, OR — ATR Stop Indicator triggered (set to 3 ATR) Size accordingly. This is a swing trade, not a scalp — give it room to breathe. ───────────────────────────── 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT ───────────────────────────── Corn has been in a prolonged multi-year downtrend since its 2022 peak. Price is now showing the first credible signs of a structural reversal, with higher lows building since mid-2024. The macro backdrop — persistent inflation, supply-side pressures, and commodity cycle rotation — aligns with a potential sustained move higher. ───────────────────────────── ⚡ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. #Corn #ZC #Commodities #Futures #TrendFollowing #SwingTrade #EMA #Breakout
CAPITALCOM:CORNLong
by TheAlphaGroup
SPY Friday 3/7 — Choppy Range Analysis The Setup: SPY gapped down aggressively at the open, dropping from the ~679-680 pre-market area straight into the low 670s. That gap-down immediately established the bearish tone for the session. Key Levels Defining the Chop: The range was essentially bookended by two levels — Previous Day Low (~675.95) acting as a ceiling and the ~671 area acting as a floor. That gave you roughly a 4-5 point chop zone, which on a 15-min chart is tough to trade cleanly. Why It Chopped: PDL as Resistance Flip — Your annotation nails it. Once SPY broke below the previous day low, that level flipped to resistance. Every attempted bounce got stuffed right at or just below 675.95. Buyers couldn't reclaim it, but sellers couldn't push through the 671 floor either — classic compression. Below Pre-Market Level (~677-678) — The declining red MA (likely VWAP or a longer EMA) was sloping down through this zone, adding a second layer of overhead supply. Even if price cleared PDL, it would've run right into that dynamic resistance. No Catalyst to Break the Range — After the initial gap-down selloff, volume likely dried up in the afternoon. You can see the candles getting smaller and more indecisive from roughly 1:00 PM onward, with wicks on both sides — textbook range-bound exhaustion. What This Tells You for Monday: 671 is the line in the sand. If that floor breaks, you're looking at a move toward the 669.84 level marked on the chart. 675.95 (PDL) needs to be reclaimed for any bullish reversal case. Until then, rallies are sells. The fact that price closed near the bottom of the range (~671.50) rather than mid-range suggests sellers still have control heading into the weekend. Scalping Takeaway: On days like this, the play is to fade the extremes of the range — short near 675 with stops above PDL, long near 671 with tight stops below. The middle of the range (672-674) is a no-trade zone. If you caught yourself getting chopped up in there, it's because the risk/reward inside that zone was garbage — the edges were the only clean entries.
AMEX:SPY
by A1TradingHub
ITOCHU (8001): Volume Profile and Deep Value AnalysisUsing the 4-hour chart, we combine Periodic Volume Profile with the 100 EMA to identify institutional value areas. Migrating POC: The 3-month Point of Control (POC) has been steadily rising. It is currently at the 2,192.0 JPY level, indicating the market is actively accepting higher prices as the new fair value. Price Rejection: The price is refusing to fall below this new POC zone. Buyers are consistently stepping in, treating the ascending trendline and POC as dynamic support. Historical Confluence: The 100 EMA aligns perfectly with a High Volume Node (HVN) block situated between 2,029.0 JPY and 2,063.2 JPY. This acts as our ultimate structural support in case of a broader market shock. The Trade Plan (Long Bias) Given the strong volume accumulation and deep value fundamentals, the bias is strictly LONG. Entry Zone 1 (Aggressive): 2,192.0 JPY – 2,230.5 JPY (Buying the current pullback into the rising POC and short-term trendline). Entry Zone 2 (Conservative): 2,063.2 JPY (Bidding at the HVN + 100 EMA confluence in case of a sudden liquidation event). The Buffett&Munger Perspective: Deep Value & Margin of Safety As Charlie Munger taught, volatility simply misprices great businesses. Itochu’s wide economic moat and resilient cash flows present a textbook deep value setup against current macro headwind. High Profitability: Consistently delivering a globally competitive ROE of >15%, paired with a strong Greenblatt earnings yield of ~6.5%. Discounted Valuation: Trading at a Trailing P/E of ~17.0x (well below the estimated fair value of 26.2x) and a highly efficient P/S of ~1.05x. Resilience & Returns: A solid balance sheet (Quick Ratio ~0.96) provides a true "margin of safety" against market shocks. Additionally, a conservative 36% payout ratio easily sustains its ~1.8% dividend yield (backed by 11 consecutive years of hikes). Target: I will trail my stop loss until we see a couple of daily closes below 100EMA. Stop Management: Initial hard stop is a daily close below 1,915.0 JPY. Once in profit, I will trail the stop loss until we see a couple of daily closes below the 100 EMA.
TSE:8001Long
by UmutTrades
XRP 15m | Structure Below 200 EMA — Compress Before ContinuationStructure is trading below the 200 EMA on the 15m timeframe. Bollinger compression expanded into downside displacement. Initial objective (TP1) has printed. Price now enters PR evaluation — participation will determine whether continuation develops or absorption begins. This analysis is derived from a proprietary structural execution framework focused on confirmation, not prediction. No bias without displacement. No aggression without structure. This is structural observation — not a call. Discipline over noise.
BTCC:XRPUSDT.P
by JarvisMSP
Bitcoin monthly —Support found at EMA55There are many things to consider. The market represents a natural force, a force of nature. It is a collective mind, human action. It represents one aspect of our collective mind. When we are thinking, being and feeling in a certain way, this is reflected in the market, that being neutral, bearish or bullish. The market never stays the same, just as nothing stays the same in our bodies, minds and world. Everything is always in a constant flux. Everything is always changing. The most basic part of this phenomena is the intrinsic duality of this world. It doesn't matter where you live, you can never miss the fact that the day changes between night and day. This basic reality is reflected as bearish and bullish in our market. When the day comes, we know night is always lurking right around the corner. When the market is bearish, we know that bullish comes next. Bitcoin found support on the monthly timeframe right at EMA55, trading five consecutive months red. A very strong bearish impulse. This is the night, now comes day. EMA55 is a very strong support. So now we get some sort of reversal, some sort of relief, some sort of bullish action. The night makes way for the appearance of the sun. The morning has come. It is a bright day. We are going up. Namaste.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDTLong
by MasterAnanda
11
CADCHF LONG SCENARIO Here I'm using a slightly different approach. So I'm using a 1:3+ RR and not the usual 1:1, because this is kinda different setup and here I'm combining the breakout of the minor resistance zone, which is now a support zone + the breakout of Daily 50 EMA + the breakout of the internal descending trend line (DTL). Now is retesting all of these 3 indicators with SL not so far below and TP is the Weekly 50 EMA + minor zone + touch of the bigger weekly DTL (I'll put screenshot of the Weekly chart). !!!- I already have an open trade from 22.12 from around this level here and I'm using only 0.4 risk for this trade, because it's a bit different from my strategy, but I like how the setup looks and everything is adding up perfectly + it's a clean setup.
Long
by JivkoXristov
BTC’s OCD means EMA by NYEWe all know the market has a little OCD. Certain levels it just has to touch before it’ll allow the next move. On the monthly BTC chart, that level looks like the 9 EMA — and it’s lining up as a likely “must-tag” into month’s end. Here’s the key observation: • The monthly 9 EMA has been sliding down ~$2k–$3k per month. • It’s already dropped from just over $100k last month to a little over ~$98k this month. • Meanwhile, this month’s high / top wick area is ~94,500. So right now there’s a gap: 9 EMA above, price wick below. For the 9 EMA to “touch” the top of this month’s candle (~94,500), one of two things has to happen: 1. EMA drops to price (hard), or 2. Price rises to EMA (much easier). To get the EMA to drop several thousand more this month, BTC would need a major dump (think the kind of move that drags the average down hard — i.e., ugly). That’s possible, but it’s the less probable path compared to a tag from price. I built a simple little calculator/tool on my chart that estimates what price would need to do for an EMA tag — and based on that, the cleaner path is BTC pushing higher into month-end to meet the 9 EMA, then potentially setting up the next move (including a possible January fade). We’re already in the final week of the month, and the tape is starting to look like that “EMA magnet” move could be underway. Bias: Looking for a long into the 9 EMA tag into year-end — with eyes open for a potential January reversal setup after the touch. Merry Christmas — consider it my gift to the chart watchers 🎁
COINBASE:BTCUSDC.PLong
by Jnobcoin
6
NZDUSD testing high resistance moving averagesNZDUSD has rallied to a series of moving averages that have the potential to create a great short opportunity. Similar to the usual BorrowedClothes plays, the pair has already rejected the Monthly 10EMA, and is now testing the weekly 20SMA and 50SMA below. With the 4H RSI overbought and a generally hawkish tone from Powell after Wednesday's fed rate decision, there's a chance this rally will correct which could lead to good profit. Of course I could be wrong. The markets do what they want to do.
Short
by BorrowedClothes
XAUUSD PATHThe possibility that will occur with gold is a temporary surge caused by uncertainty or due to the liquidation of traders who use excessive leverage. We know that after this FOMC meeting, the direction of the US economy will become clear, although there are many other factors such as global tensions between China and Japan, which have recently caused uncertainty, Japan's interest rate hike, the unresolved conflict between Iran and Israel, and the unfinished peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia. However, looking at several catalysts for 2026, I believe gold prices have already been priced in. My analysis may be incorrect if gold manages to break through the $5,000 mark due to increased uncertainty. However, what is currently visible is that 2026-2027 will be a year of weakening and ranging prices for gold. Therefore, take advantage of this for short-term trading with proper money management so that you can beat the bookies. I hope my analysis is helpful to you. Please leave your questions and comments. I will try to respond to them. Good luck
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LaurentWilvyne