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US30 Pullback Toward 44,600 Within Ongoing UptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 44,600 zone. Dow Jones (US30) is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is pulling back after recent highs. Key level in focus: 44,600 — a significant area where buyers may look to step in and continue the upward trend. Fundamentals: Market sentiment remains broadly supportive for equities, with risk appetite steady as investors weigh U.S. economic data and central bank policy outlook. Trade safe, Joe.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by JoeChampion
5
US30 Pullback Toward 45,100 as DXY Weakens on Dovish Fed ToneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 45,100 zone. Dow Jones (US30) remains in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias is bullish, though price is retracing after recent highs. Key level in focus: 45,100 — acting as a key zone within the ongoing trend. Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) faced strong rejection at 98.700 following the Fed’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole symposium. This bearish dollar sentiment could support US equities due to their negative correlation. Next move: Holding above 45,100 may keep US30’s bullish momentum intact, while a decisive break lower would suggest deeper retracement. Monitoring price behavior at this level to gauge whether buyers step in. Trade safe, Joe.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by JoeChampion
25
K-Pop: Demon Hunters to Drive Netflix Higher?The recent success of global hits like K-Pop: Demon Hunters and strong fundamentals give the stock a tailwind, and technically, the corrective and consolidative phase appears to be maturing. Netflix is consolidating between $1198 and $1243, after rebounding from the $1,144 support level, which has proven to be a strong floor following the sharp correction from the $1341 high. Price is currently trading under the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the last down leg. The structure suggests that the market is in a decision phase. The RSI on the 4H timeframe is stabilizing in mid-range territory. If the price continues to hold above $1198, this keeps the bias bullish. A breakout above $1243 would likely trigger a move and possible retest of the prior high near $1341. In my view, the most probable scenario is a move higher as long as the support holds. My projection is for a period of consolidation, followed by a breakout toward $1340 in the coming weeks, provided $1198 is not broken.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by JinDao_Tai
2
SWING IDEA - AKZO NOBEL INDIA Akzo Nobel India , a subsidiary of the global paints and coatings giant AkzoNobel N.V., is a leading player in India’s decorative and industrial paints market. Known for its premium brand Dulux , the company has strong brand recall, a wide distribution network, and consistent profitability.A strong brand, steady margins, and a bullish chart make this a candidate to watch for a short- to medium-term swing trade. Reasons are listed below : Bullish engulfing candle spotted on the weekly timeframe, signaling a potential trend reversal. Accompanied by the highest-ever volume spike, adding strong conviction to the move. Price is bouncing off the golden Fibonacci support (0.618), a classic retracement zone where strong reversals often occur. The level of 3100 acted as a solid support. The stock is trading above its 50 & 200 EMA on the weekly chart — a sign of long-term strength. Target - 3812 // 4520 Stoploss - weekly close below 3000 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:AKZOINDIALong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
Tesla (TSLA) | Short-Term Compression, Long-Term ExTesla’s daily chart is coiled, with price currently trading at $316, sitting along the 200-day moving average. This looks like a consolidation phase with significant moves building up. Price Action Snapshot TSLA sold off last week, rejecting the $335 resistance level before finding footing around $300. The previous range of $280 and $365 is now tightening. Immediate resistance sits at $335 with a clean breakout above that zone likely triggering momentum back toward the upper range of $365. The recent drop does not seem like a capitulation move; it's likely institutional redistribution. Smart money is repositioning, not exiting. Market Is Focused on the Wrong Data Tesla’s Q2 earnings were objectively weak. Revenue fell 12%, deliveries dropped, and operating margins got clipped. But this correction isn't all about fundamentals. It is about the market adjusting to a company evolving beyond traditional valuation models. While most investors are trying to value Tesla like a car company, it’s spending this entire phase retooling itself into an AI and autonomy-first enterprise. That transition doesn't show up in EPS yet (but it will). The Bigger Picture is Being Missed The robotaxi rollout in Austin is live. Expansion into California, Phoenix, and Florida is on the roadmap. Tesla is building a vertically integrated, owner-driven ride-hailing model that could eventually bypass both Uber and legacy OEMs entirely. Optimus is no longer a lab prototype—it’s moving toward scalable production by 2026. If Tesla even partially succeeds in general-purpose robotics, it will unlock a Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) that dwarfs the current EV narrative . Daily Technical Outlook We’re currently in a bullish compression, with higher lows forming against the resistance area of $365. If $280 holds and the price continues to grind within this wedge, it sets up a volatility breakout scenario. The breakout level to watch is $335. A daily close above that reopens $365. And beyond that, the resistance level is at $426. My View Tesla is compressing, both in price and narrative. The long game is quietly coming into focus, where the risk/reward skews asymmetrically in favor of the upside. This daily compression won’t last forever, and when it resolves, the move will likely be outsized.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by JinDao_Tai
META Slows Down For A Correction Within UptrendMeta has seen a strong recovery recently, but barely retested February highs around 740, from where we can see some nice pullback, but it appears corrective, since it’s unfolding in three waves, and forming a potential bull flag — likely wave 4. A breakout above the downward channel on a daily close could signal the start of wave 5 and a push to new highs. However, keep a close eye on the 666.1; a break below this level would invalidate the bullish view and suggest a deeper consolidation phase may follow. Highlights: Direction: Up (pending breakout) Structure: Wave 4 bull flag; wave 5 possible soon Support: 680 / 690
NASDAQ:METALong
by ew-forecast
OIL INDIA BUY VIEW OIL INDIA - BUY PROJECTION Trade Setup : Fundamental Analysis Stock PE - 9.22 Industry PE - 20.7 Low Debt Promoter Holding - 53 % DII Holdings - 17 % Regularly Paid Dividend - 2 % Strong Fundamental - Stock Possible to Doubled - (Current - 474 ) (Target - 948 ) for Long term 5 years Holding .. Technical Analysis Monthly - Strong Support & Fib 50 % Day - Wait For Candle Close in Black Line Entry - 507 Rs Target - 740 Rs Stoploss - 408 Rs Happy trading .. Thank You ...
NSE:OILLong
by Dreamtrader00
2
S&P 500 Outlook. Best Quarter Since 2023… But What Next?The S&P 500 just logged its best quarterly performance since Q4 2023 , surging on optimism around global trade negotiations and growing expectations that the Fed may begin cutting rates as early as September. US futures are green this morning, thanks to developments like Canada backing off digital taxes, ongoing dialogues with China ahead of the July 9 deadline, and risk-on sentiment is pushing yields and the dollar lower. But as traders, we need to ask: Are we witnessing a genuine economic inflection point? Or is this just a liquidity-driven rally that’s pricing in a best-case scenario? Technical View Support Zone: 6,150 was just broken through. And 6000, the round number level, coinciding with the 20-day EMA and previous swing level. Resistance Levels: 6,235 is the next critical ceiling, a clean breakout could see price reach the extension level of 6,415. Momentum Indicators: RSI remains elevated and is creeping toward the overbought. While momentum is strong, watch out for the possible development of a divergence. Possible Scenarios The 'Soft Landing’ Is Now the Base Case Markets are trading as if the Fed has successfully engineered a soft landing. But that’s now fully priced in, and historically, the most dangerous trades are the ones everyone agrees on. If trade talks stall, inflation re-accelerates, or earnings disappoint, the reversal could be brutal and fast. Risk-on Sentiment Without Volume Is a Yellow Flag Despite the price strength, volume has been tapering off. The S&P’s recent leg up occurred on lighter-than-average participation, suggesting institutions may be watching, not chasing. That’s often the case in low-volatility summers, but it also implies that any negative catalyst could cause outsized downside moves. Macro-Fundamentals May Not Justify Valuation Expansion Yes, inflation is slowing, and the Fed might cut. But if they do, it’s likely because growth is weakening, not because the economy is roaring. So the very condition that triggers rate cuts could also cap earnings growth! Projection Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 6,280 could carry us toward 6,400–6,500 by mid-Q3, especially if the trade deals progress, July inflation comes in soft, and the Fed signals accommodation. Bearish Risk: If price fails to hold above 6,120, especially if trade optimism fades, or inflation growth spikes or Fed rhetoric shifts hawkish again, this could then open a quick pullback toward 6,000 or lower, which also aligns with the 50-day SMA. Key Events to Watch July 9 Trade Talks Deadline: Any sign of stalling could bring volatility back fast. June CPI Print (July 10): Crucial for confirming the Fed's next move. Earnings Season Kickoff (mid-July): Tech-heavy expectations may not be easy to beat after such a strong run. Conclusion A record-setting quarter is impressive but not necessarily predictive. This quarter’s rally has been built more on relief and expectations than hard data. When expectations (not earnings) are doing the heavy lifting, any misstep from central banks or geopolitics could unravel gains rapidly. A rate cut might be delayed, or inflation re-accelerates, or trade talks stall; any of these could leave equities hanging. Remember: the higher the climb without real earnings growth, the harder the fall when sentiment shifts. It's not just about the chart. It is about the narrative behind the price. What’s your bias for Q3? Are you buying this breakout or fading the optimism? Drop your thoughts below.
SP:SPX
by JinDao_Tai
2
$DXY Repeating 2016 Post-Election I have highlighted the 2016 to 2020 Presidential Elections time period and then pasted that timeframe onto the 2024 election and found that the pattern is going along very similarly to Trump 1.0. If we assume that the future unfolds the same as last time, which is low probability, of course, then the future will unfold as shown in the yellow bars going into the future, as shown. Initially in 2016 post election there was a 7% rally in the U.S. Dollar Index and then a 15% retreat for the following year. So far in 2025 we have seen the same rally and a similar decline, but only faster this time. It would appear as thought the bulk majority of the declines in the TVC:DXY are over at this time with perhaps 4% further downside over the balance of the year. The Dollar Index has been useful for predicting changes in the earnings estimates for the S&P500 in the USA due to the high percentage of earnings coming back to the US for quarterly reporting. I have posted a few charts in the past which have been helpful at determining the risk in the stock market. The behavior of the global central banks has certainly had its impact on monetary aggregates and inflation. The policy response since the Covid Pandemic has been for maximum liquidity and maximum Government spending to keep the global economy afloat. The post-Covid response is now coming to a head along with new policy directives to cut wasteful Government spending and to reduce inflation (caused the Gov't spending). Global investors have flocked to the US for access to high technology stocks and have driven up the value of US assets to extreme levels compared to other markets. This adjustment phase where investors remove money from overvalued, or highly valued, US assets back to other markets has created a wave of selling in the US Dollar and US listed equities. What does the future hold? We never know but we sure can learn from what happened in the past by looking at charts just like this one to see what may happen. Looks like a bounce in the TVC:DXY from here, followed by a new low and then a rebound into the next few years. All the best, Tim April 22, 2025 1:16PM EST TVC:DXY 98.78 last
TVC:DXYShort
by timwest
7