Preface: I'm still bearish on BTC as per my most recent analyses. The ETF launch likely signaled a major top, potentially until the halving. My most likely scenario's are shown below. That being said, I think it's worthwhile to look at the market from different perspectives. In this analysis I'm going to compare the 2016-2017 bull-run with the 2023...
In the week subsequent to the introduction of the BTC Spot ETF, the cumulative trading volume across all 11 ETFs has reached $9.8 billion, with GBTC alone contributing $4.6 billion to this total. Since its transformation from a Trust into an ETF, GBTC has witnessed $1.17 billion in outflows, as shown in this link . This trend was anticipated, given GBTC's...
So if we look at last cycles on Bitcoin and apply Fibonacci from bull cycle to bear market bottom, we have bear rallies to 0.618-0.66 area and then we reject and dump hard until halving and real bull cycle starts. We have seen the same, I had this plan since November. In my opinion most likely scenario now is slow bleed to the downside (not saying we won't have...
In this analysis I want to shed some light on an interesting relationship that I found between bear-market bottroms and the price of Bitcoin during the halving. This analysis is speculative and based on 2 previous occurences, so take it with a grain of salt. The relationship that I found is as follows: 2nd halving: price at halving = 300% off the bottom. 3rd...
Over the last few weeks I've been repeating the same message over and over: the ETF launch is NOT a moment to buy and will most likely lead to a short-term correction. The ETF, combined with long-term resistances & bearish divergence made it a statistically bad time to buy. After a ~16% correction from the top, we're now trading around the 41k area. In my...
It has been 1 year almost to the day since my last publication and what a 12 months it has been. I previously laid out the case for a pending future recession but not before we saw massive regular bullish divergence play out on the monthly time frame for Bitcoin. Since then we've seen a 187% move in BTC, a 25% move in the S&P 500 and every commentator, pundit...
Bullish flag pattern drawn with a potential buy areas. I'm not a huge fan of high dividends but thought I'd share. Always do your own DD, these patterns especially tend to fail often.
Morning folks, So, there some some jokes on the market already that BTC is becoming a stable coin... Indeed volatility has dropped drastically. But this could easily explained. If nobody is buying right now but all selling offers are swallowed by ETF whales - where coin should move? For instance, only BlackRock as bought in a single session this week more than...
Hello friends, I hope you are well. We have the gold chart in the one-hour time frame. Yesterday we said that we will wait if the support zone is broken down, the next target is the zone (2005-2008). Now in this area, with the formation of candlestick patterns, it has moved upwards. The areas that are important for us are the bottom of the previous broken area...
In many of my recent BTC analyses I've been talking about my view on the ETF. My prediction was that the ETF would be a sell-the-news event and mark a local top. Thus far, my view has been correct. In this analysis I want to take a look at the Gold ETF and its effect on the short- and long-term price movement of the underlying asset Gold. My short-term view on...
Good time friends, I hope you are great. According to last week's analysis, Bitcoin reached the range of $48,000 twice and could not go beyond this range.And from this area, it started its falling movement, this fall could be predicted both technically and the news that has come for Bitcoin during the last week. Bitcoin is forming MTR in the daily time, it has...
Nothing to say. Bullish. Phase D. Next ---> Phase E
Nothing to say. Bullish. Phase D. Next ---> Phase E
Taking a peek at the ETH coin on a weekly basis, we see a nice dominance of it where, while BTC is tanking, ETH is pushing!! With more and more rumours about Ethereum ETF, prices seem to follow up the movement of BTC (before the ETF) If we see this kind of move, we might see ETH near $3500 from where we are seeing a very high probability of downward movement or...
One of our #ETH TARGETS has been hit. The Gap is FILLED! CRYPTOCAP:ETH doesn't look as bad as CRYPTOCAP:BTC but it is weakening. Keep an eye on #Ethereum volume. Very important short term. As we've been saying for some time now, #ETF , or institutions, are NOT what #crypto is about & makes it easier to manipulate #crypto. It is what it is now. On ETF...
We are not trying to toot our own horn with this post. There have been a few accounts that were warning about a CRYPTOCAP:BTC top. HOWEVER, they've been saying it for some time. Broken clock is also right daily. We began to warn few days BEFORE the #BTC melt down. 48k target, like we stated, was likely a short term top. We rang alarm bells on the 9th & WARNED...
Last weeks high: $48987.12 Last weeks low: $45231.94 Midpoint: $41476.76 Following such a historical week with the approval of the BTC ETF's on Wednesday 10th of January. BITCOIN reached a local high of 49K, since then price has fallen towards 41.5K (15% drop). Price action this week is hard to predict as the ETF narrative has been driving BTC and crypto for...
Post the spot ETF approval, there was a notable surge in significant inflows marked by high volumes. However, a distinct trend emerged with the redemption of AMEX:GBTC , highlighting two crucial points: first, there has been selling pressure on GBTC, and second, the anticipated inflows were lower than initially expected. Weekends often witness limited...