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Ethereum Monthly · Bear Market Ended February 2026 & New ATHEthereum only closed more than six months red once in 2018, it closed seven months red. This happened after a major, major bull market, the biggest in its history. Ether (ETHUSD) grew from a low of $0.41 in October 2015 to a high of $1,463.72 in January 2018. A 356,786% rise. So, a very strong bear market is to be expected after such event. With that said, the bear market low happened in December 2018 at $80.76, a nice 19,591% higher compared to the start of the bull market in October 2015. Just adding some context. Ether then went on another bull market starting March 2020 and ending November 2021. In the years 2023, 2024 and 2025 there was no such bull market. The 2021 bull market led to a bear market just like 2018 but that much smaller, many times smaller. Needless to say, the bull market was also smaller compared to the previous one. Now we have a lack of new all-time highs in 2024 and 2025, no bull market in the magnitude we saw in the past. In this same vein, we can expect any bear market following such weak performance in comparison to historical standards to be weak, yet, the bearish cycle in 2025-2026 produced 6 consecutive months red, the worst since 2018. The bear market ended with a long-term higher low, a very clear and strong rising trendline. From June 2022 all the way through February 2026. With each correction and each new low, ETHUSD ends up closing higher. Which simply reveals the presence of buyers even before the previous support zone is reached. The most basic of all bullish signals. A lack of new lows. To support this lack of new lows, Ether went green the past two months. Moving within a rising channel, showing clear potential for a higher high to show up next long-term. Based on the monthly timeframe, Ethereum's all-time high happened November 2021 at $4,634. The highest close after this date happened August 2025 at $4,393. No new all-time high as you can see. With a lack abnormal growth, there is an even stronger lack for a wild bear market. With improving fundamentals and regulatory conditions, there is a complete absence of any need for more correction. A correction is only necessary to balance out an imbalance, it is implied in the term. If the market enters bubble territory, then we get a strong correction. If the market produces only normal growth, then we get a normal correction, there is no need for lower prices nor months of bearish action based on this chart. Actually, Ethereum is showing very strong bullish potential right now. The STOCH looks very similar to Bitcoin. Here we can expect long-term growth. It is not about past cycles, it is about using all the available data to know what to expect. You cannot expect to get the same price dynamics when a project just launched, at Covid or when Biden is in control, vs a Trump administration that is friendly to Crypto, and at the same time at war with Iran. Market conditions are different now. In all past cycles Ethereum behaved in different ways. There is no need nor necessity to assume that now, in 2026, Ethereum has to behave the same way it did in 2015, or 2018 or 2022... Because Ethereum isn't today what is used to be. Because you are not the same from 11 years ago; because Crypto and the world's financial markets continue to evolve. Adapt to the present... We are going up... This is my conclusion after looking at hundreds of charts. Namaste.
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
ETHUSDT. Reversal to 2000 as negotiations break downTechnical Analysis: 1️⃣ CCI — around −100; trade confirmation needed: a return to at least 0 followed by another move down 2️⃣ RSI — around 40; ideally needs a push back above 50 and then a break below 3️⃣ Levels: 🔸 Volume block — 2,253 – 2,187 🔸 Wave 1 down = 2,163 🔸 Fibo 50% = 2,133 🔸 Fibo 23.6% = 2,030 🔸 Volume 1 = 2,133 🔸 Volume 2 = 2,058 🔸 Extension 1 = 2,025 🔸 Full wave set down H1 = 2,117 🔸 Full wave set down H4 = 1,978 ‼️ Key levels: 1) Volume 1 + Fibo 50% + Full wave set down H1 2) Extension 1 H1 + Fibo 23.6% 4️⃣ Higher TF (H4) — potential break of 50 and 200 MAs will be a confirmation of a large wave down 5️⃣ Price move forecast — see chart. Entry, Stop, Target: 🔸 Entry: Sell. Break below the 200 EMA (green) from above 🔸 Stop: Tentatively above the midpoint of the volume block at 2,230 🔸 Target: Tentatively extension 1 H1 + Fibo 23.6% = 2,030 🔸 Risk/Reward: 4.82 🔸 Execution: within a week Invalidation 🔸 Resumption of negotiations or gradual de-escalation of the Iran conflict Fundamentals: The Strait of Hormuz blockade begins today — as a riskier asset than BTC, ETH is likely to take a harder hit and get dumped more aggressively. That said, ETH ETFs pulled in +$64.9M on April 10 — institutions are buying while the market in panic. Whales are treading carefully, waiting for clarity: exchange inflows keep fluctuating up and down — looks like an attempt to trade the range.
Short
by CoinRanger
Ethereum weekly timeframe, new all-time high potentialLet's explore the ETHUSDT weekly chart together. Everywhere, huge potential for a new all-time high. Think of what it means for this project and the rest of the market. Think of what needs to happen for this to happen, or how the market will be looking like when this happens. It is closer than anything we can conceive. A new all-time high is possible based on very simple dynamics; based on simple signals, based on basic technical analysis. Based on the chart structure, based on the long-term. Everything here supports a very strong phase of expansion, a bullish wave. Let's go back to the beginning, let us start from scratch. This is a mental exercise that we are doing for ourselves. It is not to prove anybody right or wrong. It is not so that others agree with us. It is for us to take action and to be able to feel confident with the decisions we've been making—the decision to buy and hold while the market trades at the bottom. The decision to accumulate, being a bull, when the majority is entertaining strong sentiments of fear and doubt. The decision to have courage, when it is not easy to do so. ETHUSDT weekly shows a shy higher high but a valid and significant one. ~$4,100 December 2024 vs ~$4,950 in August 2025. Then, we have a significant higher low—I love it. ~$1,385 in April 2025 vs $1,740 February 2026. This chart has perfect proportions between bearish and bullish waves. The size and duration of each cycle matches the previous ones perfectly. So, a continuation of the same sequence, the same long-term pattern; a strong higher low can lead to a strong higher high. This is the first basic that supports a new all-time high in the next 6-9 months. Can be sooner, but I am playing it safe because the sentiment right now is so low. The first advance reaching a target of $3,000 to $3,800 can happen within a month. Equally easy it can take 2-3 months. Then a correction, retrace or pause, can again vary between 1-3 months, and the last advance the same. That's how we get a date of 6-9 months. I would say the first advance to be fast followed by a medium sized pause. It lasts long but not a deep correction. More like a period of consolidation like it happened last year, May-June 2025. The weekly MACD on ETHUSDT also supports long-term growth. Very early, the bullish cross is not yet present but we have a strong bottom and the MACD line is starting to curve. There is no going back once this happens. Just like seeing the MACD starting to curve down after months of a growth phase and a new all-time high. Immediately we know a drop comes next. Now the ATL and reversal... In 2025 ETHUSDT created a perfect triangular bottom, v shaped. The neckline of this pattern can work as resistance/support. In 2026, using this neckline, we see an ascending triangle, and now Ether trades safely above this level. Around $2,110. It closed last week at this price and this week the action is moving higher. This is clearly highlighted on the chart. Maybe you agree with me or you can see it the way I see it—bullish. Higher lows since February, and the best prices on an active session since the last crash. The best prices and market conditions in more than two months. Even better than the highest weekly close from 9-March. This week can change everything. This is Ethereum, so I have to mention the smaller altcoins. Just like Bitcoin, what is happening with the rest of the market, supports growth here as well. The growth that we will see in Ethereum reveals what will happen to Bitcoin as well. This shows that we will not only experience a relief rally, but a full blown, complete, highly awesome, bullish market phase. Thank you for reading. I am writing for your entertainment. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
ETHUSDT. Rise to 2200 and potential pullbackTechnical Analysis: 1️⃣СCI - above +100, a trade will require a move below +100 2️⃣RSI - above 70, a trade will require a move below 70 3️⃣Important Levels: 🔸The most important level is 2000 - 2200 - 61.8% Fibonacci + set up - this is a potential reversal area 🔸Volumes = 2134, 2064, and 1950 - potential problem points for a downward move and take profit. 4️⃣Larger TF (h4) - 200 EMA broken, CCI and RSI are also above the extreme range boundaries. The average will become a support for the price during a downward move. 5️⃣Price movement forecast - on the chart. Entry, stop, take profit: 🔸Entry: On a breakout of the 2000-2200 zone 🔸Stop: No problem with the stop - nothing to hold on to. For now, 2236 is a very conditional peak. But I think the decline will be sharp, so a quick BUY is possible. 🔸Take Profit: TP based on increased volume 1 = 2152 🔸Risk/Reward: 4.92 for a volume of 1950 🔸Execution: Most likely by Thursday. Cancelled 🔸Ceasefire on the BV Fundamental: 1️⃣ Fear Index: 13 (Extreme Fear) → 🟢 Positive for ETH in the medium term. We're afraid, waiting for a trigger for an upward move. 2️⃣ ETH/BTC: 0.0309 (Binance API) → 🟢 Positive for ETH. Near multi-year lows. Significant mean reversion potential. 3️⃣ Funding Rate (ETH): +0.0062% (Binance API, April 6, 08:00 UTC) → ⚪ Neutral. Slight positive. Slight upward shift in sentiment. 4️⃣ Open Interest (ETH): ~$24.2B total → ⚪ Neutral. Moderate level. Traders aren't using much leverage for now. 5️⃣ Liquidations: >$250M in 24 hours (April 5), mostly shorts → 🟢 Positive for ETH. There's still some momentum for an upward movement. 6️⃣ ETH ETF Flows: +$71M (April 4) → ⚪ Neutral. There were inflows on April 4, but the trend is unsustainable. Fresh data will be released tomorrow. 7️⃣ Exchange Net Flow: 7,981K inflows on April 6 → ⚪ Neutral. Inflows and outflows are small and offset each other. 8️⃣ Staking Rate: ~31-33% of supply (37.25M ETH) → 🟢 Positive for ETH. A third of the supply is locked. 9️⃣MVRV (ETH): 0.87-0.93 → 🟢 Positive for ETH. The most significant positive. Below 1.0 = the average holder is losing money. Potential boost for a reversal. 🔟Whale/Top Holders: 4.3M ETH in wallets with 100K+ ETH → 🟢 Positive for ETH. Whales were actively buying on April 2nd; the number of whale transactions jumped from ~120 to 2,000+ in 24 hours (x17) – large players were buying up the decline. 1️⃣1️⃣Geopolitics: Iran → 🔴 Negative for ETH. The most important factor. The situation changes literally with every new article, whether about a ceasefire or new threats. While it's growing on rumors of a 45-day truce, what's actually happening is unclear. And this is the most dangerous factor influencing the price. Conclusion: 👈🏻 Positive for ETH in the medium term. The war in Iran is putting pressure on us in the short term.
Short
by CoinRanger
ETHUSDT. Potential reversal towards 2150Technical Analysis: 1️⃣СCI - pushing away from -100. Overall, a good entry point, but it would be better to wait for a drop below -100 and then upward move again. 2️⃣RSI - around 50. Uncertain, but during a wave continuation, movement often begins from 50. 3️⃣Important levels: 🔸78.6% Fibonacci = 2142 + high volume 1 = 2152 - potential TP 🔸61.8% Fibonacci = 2102 + full set up = 2112 - potential stop on the upside 🔸high volume 3 = 1994 4️⃣Larger TF (h4) - at 78.6% Fibonacci = 2142, potential stop at the 200 EMA on h4. 5️⃣Price movement forecast - on the chart. Entry, Stop, Take Profit: 🔸Entry: Either from current levels or wait for a breakout above the 200 EMA. 🔸Stop: Preliminary below the 2010 peak. 🔸Take Profit: TP on increased volume 1 = 2152. 🔸Risk/Reward: 1.8. The risk is quite high, so the trade may be skipped. 🔸Execution: Within a week. Cancel 🔸Sharp drop to the high volume level 3 = 1994. Fundamental: 1️⃣ Fear Index: 11 (Extreme Fear) (Alternative.me) → 🟢 Plus for ETH. 46+ consecutive days in the extreme fear zone. Historically, such values, as we recall, are a reversal zone. 2️⃣ ETH/BTC: 0.0305 (CoinMarketCap) → ⚪ neutral ETH. At multi-year lows, but +3.67% over the month (from 0.02946) – weak signs of capital rotation from BTC to ETH. The potential for mean reversion remains. 3️⃣ Funding Rate (ETH): +0.0017% → ⚪ neutral. The market is balanced – neither longs nor shorts dominate. 4️⃣ Open Interest (ETH): ~$28–30B → ⚪ neutral with a downward trend. Fall from a peak of $33.37B (March 16). Fewer highly leveraged trades. Small traders are waiting for specifics. 5️⃣ Liquidations: $98.3M total market (March 29), ETH — $24.17M, 66% long → ⚪ neutral. Liquidation pressure has eased. 6️⃣ ETH ETF Flows: -$206.58M for the week of March 23–28, 8 consecutive days of outflows → 🔴 negative for ETH. BUT: BlackRock ETHB (staking ETF) received a record inflow of +$97.73M on March 26 — rotation from ETHA to ETHB is underway. Institutions are switching to staking. 7️⃣ Exchange Net Flow: Exchange reserves at an all-time low of ~16M ETH → 🟢 positive for ETH. Traders are accumulating coins. 8️⃣ Staking Rate: ~29–31% of supply (~35.86M ETH), APY ~3.3% → 🟢 positive for ETH. The entry queue is ~1.3M ETH (institutional demand via ETFs), the exit queue is almost zero (~32 ETH). No one is leaving. 9️⃣ MVRV (ETH): ~0.82 → 🟢 positive for ETH ETH is trading 18% cheaper than the average holder paid for it – most ETH holders are sitting on a loss. 🔟Whales: Large whales accumulated until the 29th, then began selling gradually → ⚪ neutral, with a negative bias. Medium whales (100-100K ETH) are buying aggressively. Large whales (100K+) are selling. The balance favors accumulation. 1️⃣1️⃣ Geopolitics/Macro → 🔴 negative for ETH. The war in Iran is putting pressure on the ETH price. Conclusion:👈🏻 Medium-term gains for ETH. A trigger is needed for a sharp rise: ideally, de-escalation in the Middle East
Long
by CoinRanger
Ethereum · Bullish bias persist -bulls can buy, $3,000 nextSee Ether here and notice the last move, clearly a shakeout. Some participants might have been sitting on over-leveraged positions. These participants are no longer part of the market, which frees the market to move forward. A desiring situation would be a move below $2,000 as this would make for a very exquisite buy. Ethereum is a strong buy below $2,000 just as Bitcoin is a very strong buy below $70,000. So far though ETHUSDT continues to trade above $2,000, showing how traders are ready to buy everything possible at the least sign of sellers pressure. This is all good. The main low sits at $1,748. To reach this level a 16% drop is needed, which would be a major crash. After four days of bearish action, ETHUSDT is down 14% which is already a significant number, a strong retrace. But, it can go lower. While the market continues bullish, based on the rising channel and higher highs, there is plenty of time and space for further fluctuations. These should be viewed as market noise and can be used for accumulation-spot. It might be early, but I am recommending buy at current levels. Do you agree? Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
ETHUSDT. 1975-2000, as a potential turning pointTechnical Analysis: 1️⃣СCI - below -100. The decline is still continuing. We are in a holding pattern, waiting for a bottom-up move to confirm the trade. 2️⃣RSI - around 30. It has already bounced off the extreme values, but does not yet confirm an actual upward movement. 3️⃣Levels: 🔸78.6% Fibonacci on h1 (=2017) + 161.8% on m15 (=2009) + first wave on h4 = a full set of downward waves h1 (=1994) + increased volume 3 (=1975) - a very strong level and potential reversal opportunity. 4️⃣Larger Timeframe (h4) - a full set of waves h4 = 1883, nothing else interesting so far. 5️⃣Price movement forecast - on the chart. Entry, stop, take profit: 🔸Entry: Buy. Breakout from below the 78.6% Fibonacci level (2017) 🔸Stop: Preliminary for increased volume 3 = 1975 🔸Take profit: TP for increased volume 1 (2150) or increased volume 2 (2073) 🔸Risk/reward: 3.3 at the highest TP 🔸Execution: Within a week Cancellation 🔸Sharp decline after breaking through the strong level to 1883. Fundamentals: 1️⃣ Fear & Greed Index: 8–12 (Extreme fear) → 🟢 Plus for ETH in the medium term. General market signal. 2️⃣ ETH/BTC: ~0.0303 (at multi-year lows) → 🟢 positive for ETH. Potential for mean reversion. 3️⃣ Funding Rate (ETH): negative, similar to BTC → 🟢 positive for ETH. Shorts dominate – potential for a squeeze upside. 4️⃣ ETH ETF Flows: +$160.8M for the week since March 17 → 🟢 positive for ETH. BlackRock launched a staking ETF. 5️⃣ Exchange Net Flow: 336K ETH outflow for the week, reserves at a minimum of ~16M ETH → 🟢 positive for ETH. Whales are not selling. 6️⃣ Staking Rate: 30.6% of supply (~37.2M ETH), 60-day queue → 🟢 positive for ETH. High staking demand. 8️⃣ Gas Fees: 0.1–0.5 Gwei → 🔴 negative for ETH. Weak activity on the mainnet. 9️⃣ MVRV (ETH): 0.87 → 🟢 positive for ETH. This indicator fell deeper than BTC. Historically, such signals have led to mega-growth. 🔟 Geopolitics: Iran ultimatum → 🔴 negative for ETH. The most significant negative: risky instruments under pressure. Traders are shifting to oil and gas. Conclusion: 👈🏻 Medium-term gains for ETH. A sharp rise requires the end of the war in Iran.
Long
by CoinRanger
ETHUSDT. Falling to 2000 or further growth?Fundamentals: 1️⃣ Macro and risk correlation → ⚪ Neutral (with a positive bias) 🔸Fear Index 26 - (alternative.me) or 43 - Neutral (CoinMarketCap). Things have gotten a bit easier since last week. 🔸ETH/BTC at multi-year lows (~0.030) - capital favors BTC 🔸Tensions in the Middle East are still affecting, but the mass market seems to have calmed down. 2️⃣ Fed rate — 3.50-3.75% → ⚪ Neutral 🔸FOMC meeting today (March 18). Probability of holding the current rate: 95.5-96%. 🔸The first 2026 dot plot (anonymous directors' opinion on future rates) - a key focus on the impact of oil prices. 3️⃣ ETF ​​flows → 🟢 Positive for ETH 🔸3 consecutive days of net inflows. 🔸BlackRock ETHB (staking ETF) launched on March 12th on Nasdaq. The first staking ETF is an important step for institutions. 4️⃣ On-chain metrics → ⚪ Neutral (with a significant negative bias) ⚠️ Whales are selling this week. 🔸Exchange reserves: 16 million ETH - an all-time low. Whales are selling, but the majority of wallets are holding. Sales exceed purchases by ~16 times. 🔸MVRV: 0.87 - deep in the "historical bottom" zone. The previous three such signals averaged a 98% gain. However, large holders are in no rush to buy. 5️⃣ Tokenomics and Supply → 🟢 Positive for ETH 🔸Everything is fine. 6️⃣ RWA and Institutional Development → 🟢 Positive for ETH 🔸Ethereum is handling 65%+ of all real-world asset tokenization. 7️⃣ Network Updates → ⚪ Neutral 🔸The impact will be minimal until Glamsterdam in Q2-Q3. Conclusion 👈🏻 The fundamentals are fairly calm, but the whales selling are really worrying me. I'd say a flat/declining market is the priority for now, based purely on the fundamentals. Technical Analysis: 1️⃣СCI - below -100. A sharp decline is likely. 2️⃣RSI - around 50. Suspended. But there a space for falling; a downward movement will confirm a decline. 3️⃣VPVR Zones - 2316, 2061, and 1967. 4️⃣Fibonacci - the main point match: a 161.8% of the first m15 wave up, a 38% Fibonacci level on h1, and the first extension of the wave set up = a super important level at 2389. 5️⃣Moving Average Crossovers/Breakthroughs - nothing yet. But entry will be around a breakout of the 50 EMA from top to bottom. 6️⃣Elder Timeframe (h4) - Interesting things on the elder timeframe: CCI entered below +100, RSI crossed 70 from top to bottom - potential confirmation of the h4 wave in the opposite direction for current one. Entry, Stop, Take Profit: 🔸Entry: Sell. Breakout of 2298 from top to bottom. 🔸Stop: Preliminary 2409. Nothing much to hold on to, expecting a quick move to breakeven. 🔸Take Profit: At the increased volume level at 1967. 🔸Risk/Reward: 3.0 at the TP level. 🔸Execution: Most likely by Friday. Cancellation 🔸Reversal from the 50 EMA on h1 upwards at a time somewhere around the rate announce. Not a complete cancellation - we'll have to see how the price behaves.
by CoinRanger
Ethereum monthly says new all-time high, the bear market is overEthereum closed six consecutive months red, the worst ever/the best ever. Only once did Ethereum perform such an extraordinary feat, it was the year 2018, a very strong bear market. ETHUSDT closed seven months red and this marked the end of the bear market. After the seventh month, it went sideways and then started to grow for years. It's been six years since the last time ETH moved in this way. The six red months now is much more steep compared to 2018. Market conditions are extremely different. What led to this chart was a double-top. The 2017 bull market was one of the strongest in history. A strong bull market led to an equally strong bear market. The 2025 bull market was weak, no new all-time high and so the bear market that followed, late 2025 and Q1 2026 is also weak in comparison to previous cycles. The action ended as a long-term higher low. The bear market is over. This month is the first green month in years... I mean, in months. But it feels like a really long time. The market has been brutal, unforgiving since August 2025, the last major peak and actual all-time high. See this: The August 2025 wick high was $4,956 but the session close happened at $4,393. Compare this to November 2021: The wick high was $4,868 yet the close was $4,634 . This means that we have a lower high based on candle close in August 2025 vs November 2021. Ethereum's highest close ever happened almost five years ago, November 2021. So no new all-time highs. This opens the doors for everything to happen now. There is no need for anything lower because there was no higher. A bear market is a correction. A correction is a reactionary move. It reacts to a previous period of growth. If there is no growth, there is nothing to correct. If there is weak growth, we get a weak correction; strong growth leads to a strong correction. The market seeks balance. Almost 100% of the gains from the last bullish wave were removed. ETHUSDT hit bottom in February 2026 as a long-term higher low... These are all the same signals we've been discussing for months. In short: The bear market is over and we are about to experience long-term growth. There is no need for lower prices, we are going up. Namaste.
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
2
ETHUSDT. Continued decline. Target: 1805.Fundamentals: 1️⃣ Macro and correlation with risky assets. Fear Index 15-25 (depending on the source) - generally the same. BTC correlation with the S&P 500 is 0.74. Geopolitics are in place. Minus for price. 2️⃣ Fed rates. Same as last time. Neutral so far. 3️⃣ ETF ​​flows. Inflows have been positive for the second week. Institutions are increasing their positions. Price up. 4️⃣ On-chain metrics: accumulation amid fear. ETH reserves on exchanges are ~16 million, a record low. Daily active addresses are 837K/day, with 8.5 million new wallets created in February. Whales accumulated 252,000 ETH in a week (a 3,500% surge). The MVRV ratio fell to 0.81-0.87, the lowest since December 2022; historically, these levels coincided with cycle bottoms. This means that buyers mostly bought higher and are currently sitting in the red, but there are no significant sellers. A plus for ETH: smart money is buying on retail fears. 5️⃣ Tokenomics and supply. Inflation is weak – ~0.23%/year. ~36 million ETH is staked. In total, ~50% of the supply is locked in staking and DeFi (DeFi has $55.6 billion – a record). Rather, the price will have a neutral-to-positive impact in the medium term. 6️⃣ RWA and institutional investors. ~65% of all tokenizations occur on Ethereum. 35 Fortune 500 companies (BlackRock, JPMorgan, Fidelity) are building products on Ethereum. BlackRock BUIDL and Fidelity FDIT run on Ethereum. Good in the medium term. 7️⃣ Network updates. Glamsterdam (parallel execution, ZK verification) and Heze-Bogota (censorship resistance, privacy) are planned for 2026. Neutral for ETH – the updates have had little impact on the price so far. 👉🏻 Conclusion 👈🏻 In the short term, ETHUSDT is under pressure due to the US/Iran war, plus extreme fear, inflation expectations (due to oil prices), and a high correlation with the stock market. On the other hand, whales are buying heavily, MVRV is at a historic low, institutions are increasing their positions through ETFs, and exchange reserves are at a minimum. Resolution - as with all assets over the past week. Any movement in Iran toward peace/negotiations sends the cryptocurrency soaring. For now, flat and flag. Technical Analysis: 1️⃣СCI - at -100. With the current price configuration, a sharp move lower is likely - confirmation of entry. 2️⃣RSI - in the middle of the neutral zone. Often, as a wave develops, a breakout through the middle and a move to the extreme confirms the direction. I expect a move toward 30. 3️⃣VPVR zones - increased volume at 2079 (61.8% Fibonacci level and the first upward extension - excellent confirmation), 1980, and 1850. 4️⃣Fibonacci level - The 61.8% Fibonacci level is primarily important as a potential stop and key level for executing the trade. 5️⃣Moving Average Crossovers/Breakthroughs - EMA 200 breakout downwards - trade confirmation 6️⃣Larger Timeframe (h4) - Approximately the middle of the flat on h4 timeframe (often a reversal zone during a flat) + breakout of the 50 and 20 EMAs - trade confirmation Entry, Stop, Take Profit: 🔸Entry: Sell. 2012 breakout downwards. 🔸Stop: Approximately 2103 = 61.8% Fibonacci zone + extension 🔸Take Profit: TP 1 = 1919, TP 2 = 1805. Both take profits are based on the extensions of the previous wave. The latter is the lower boundary of the flat. 🔸Risk/Reward: 2.27 for the second TP. But if there's a significant decline, you can safely move the trade to 2046 or to the entry point. Due to the chart situation, the risk is well-managed. 🔸Implementation: by the end of the week Cancellation 🔸Upward breakout of 61.8% Fibonacci level. The trade will need to be reconsidered.
Short
by CoinRanger
Coinranger|ETHUSDT. Flat on h1 with a downward bias🔥News 🔹18:00 UTC+3 - US Manufacturing PMI 🔹The Middle East and Persia are in focus. Any escalation will send prices lower. 🔥ETH 🔹Ethereum is doing about the same as its elder comrade: 1️⃣ 1999 above as a dynamic level. 2️⃣ 1940 and 1895 - the first wave down. 1821 is the most realistic level of decline end. 1686 - in case the conflict escalates. Until there's progress in the settlement process (if any in the near future), cryptocurrencies will likely be pressed by a heavy moving average on h1 (green line on the screenshot). We have entered a phase of potential sharp and sudden price changes. Forecasts may change quickly in the coming days. Don't forget to protect yourself with stops orders. You can see live updates of forecast in the Minds section, so subscribe. --------------- And share your thoughts in the comments!
by CoinRanger
Coinranger|ETHUSDT. The end of pullback🔥News 🔹16:30 UTC+3 - US unemployment claims. We can ignore it unless it overperforms a forecast. 🔥ETH 🔹Ethereum has also done its pullback job, and like its older comrade BTC, it done the first downward wave on M15: 1️⃣ Ether has completed a full set of upward waves above. And now there only new levels of the new set higher: 2158, 2182, and 2222. 2️⃣ The most relevant levels for now are on M15: 2050, 1997, and 1964. The active upward movement is over for now, but sudden price spikes are possible until at least one h1 wave passes along the old trend. --------------- Share your thoughts in the comments!
by CoinRanger
Coinranger|ETHUSDT. Pullback to 1975 on the h4 🔥News 🔹No interesting news. 🔥ETH 🔹Ethereum, naturally, is following Bitcoin's lead: 1️⃣ 1975 and 2050 above (unlikely to reach the second one in the near time). 2️⃣ 1805 below and a downward trend aims on: 1773, 1715, 1673. The current movement is highly likely a pullback on h4. The downward trend on the higher timeframe still actual. But there's no need to make selling orders yet on the higher trend. --------------- Share your opinion in the comments!
by CoinRanger
Coinranger|ETHUSDT. Moving downward to 1700🔥News 🔹No major news today. Overall, we're looking toward the US-Iran rhetoric. 🔥ETH 🔹There's a triangle on Ethereum. And the price has already broken out of it: 1️⃣ Dynamic 1950 level above (will decline to 1908). 2️⃣ 1866 is taken. A small pullback is possible. The next one what we'll have there is the second set of downward waves: 1805, 1773, 1715, 1673 So far, nothing positive can reverse the price, but geopolitics could continue to exert pressure. A downward move is the priority. Pullbacks to dynamic levels are possible. --------------- Share your opinion in the comments!
by CoinRanger
Coinranger|ETHUSDT. Uncertainty at 1970🔥News 🔹US unemployment data will be released at 16:30 UTC+3. It will be important if the actual numbers differs significantly from the forecast. 🔥ETH 🔹Something new on ETH: 1️⃣ There's a dynamic 2000 and its extension at 2060 above. There's a chance of a sharp rise to 2160, but there's nothing to support it yet. 2️⃣ 1880 and 1817 are relevant below. Downward movement still has a priority. Selling trades should be making cautionly today, although the priority for a downward move remains, there is a possibility of sharp price surges upward. --------------- Share your thoughts in the comments!
by CoinRanger
Ethereum turns bullish, confirmed through price action (PP: 40%)Since the start of the drop 14-January, Ethereum never managed to close more than two days green. Clearly showing an overwhelming pressure coming from sellers. This pattern has been broken and this is good news. Ethereum already closed three days green and today is the fourth. The day started red, but all selling was quickly bought leaving the session with a long lower shadow. Bullish confirmation. The previous all-time high started from a low 22-June 2025. The end of the correction and recovery is happening right around this level. Today, Ether is moving back above this low, $2,113, showing that the bulls have gained control of this chart, with the chart the market. The bulls now have control of the market, which simply means we are going up next. Do you agree? The first target sits within a range between $2,800 - $3,000. That's a 40% move in the making short-term. Are you ready? Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
Ethereum hits bottom at $1,750 —Time to go LONGEther just hit bottom as a higher low compared to April 2025. When the lowest point came up in April, it was coupled with the highest bearish volume candle in years. When the lowest point came up in February 2026, it is coupled with the highest bearish volume since April 2025. $1385 vs $1750. On this chart you can also see a classic ABC correction. The final leg, the C wave, is extremely steep. Such a strong move cannot last that long. It lasted a long while but it looks like it already ran its course. This bearish move is ending as a higher low. This might not be the end of the bear market of course, we have some reckoning to do later in 2026. But now, the entire Cryptocurrency market is about to turn big green. Since you were with me through all the ups and down, I just wanted to be the first to let you know. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
Coinranger|ETHUSDT. Reversal or continued decline?🔥News 🔹Today, the US votes on the government budget. 🔹US manufacturing PMI at 18:00 UTC+3 🔥ETH 🔹Fell below 2170. What now: 1️⃣ Above there is 2450, but the level is dynamic. We'll look at the averages. 2️⃣ Below there are 2090 and 1970 - levels on h4 and h16. But we won't necessarily reach there; a pullback could begin around the current level. Any negative will push prices lower. Entry points from the current level are dangerous; we're waiting for one of the following scenarios (a pullback or a further decline). --------------- Share your opinion in the comments!
by CoinRanger
Coinranger|ETHUSDT. Potential reversal to 3137🔥News 🔹Fed rates at 22:00 UTC+3, FOMC press conference at 22:30 UTC+3. We can fly on this news. 🔹US earnings season is in full swing. 🔥 ETH 🔹A Bitcoin-like situation: 1️⃣ We took 3036. Above that, there are 3072 and 3137. Potential for now. This is a full set of upward waves. 2️⃣ 2950 below is the level for a move until evening. Below that: 2888, 2876, and 2768 - are a full set of downside waves. I expect a flat between 3036 and 2950 before rate issue. After that, an upward movement is very likely. --------------- Share your opinion in the comments!
by CoinRanger