Fundamentals - Hun core inflation above MNB target -> rate increase probably in March - wage growth steadily above 10% - GDP growth above expectation, 5% yoy The eco picture resembles scenario the Czech case from 2017 where the central bank started raising rates (wage pressure, inflation, housing prices) and the korona strengthened 6-7%. Technical - EURHUF...
This pair has been trading inside a very long term Channel Down on 1W (RSI = 37.951, MACD = -0.084, Highs/Lows = -2.8661, B/BP = -5.8570) and has just touched the inner supporting trend line. As indicated by the July - August 2018 fractal, this trend line can provide the necessary support for a bounce towards the inner resisting trend line (321 - 322). This is an...
EURHUF is trading within a 1D Channel Down (STOCH = 44.456, MACD = -0.045) and 325.00 is its technical Lower High. However we cannot ignore the possibility of a less aggressive Channel Down that may be developed, so the shorts target should be placed accordingly. TP = 320.250.
I want to hope this low timeframe bull channel will work correctly need some upward movement tight stop comments welcome
That Hungarian forint weakens. According to the technical picture, the exchange rate consists of the last two major D1 fractal points. If you cross this shaft, a larger space will open for further reinforcement. Strength can be created in a dual ascending wave structure. The target price for the first rising structure is 332HUF. Then correction follows. Then the...
Targets and stop loss mentioned in graph
The previous forecast worked, however, the EUR/HUF exchange rate has not reached the Fibonacci 50.00% retracement at 320.26. Given that the currency pair is being pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, it is expected that the pair targets the lower boundary of a short-term descending channel located circa 319.90/320.00. Technical indicators for the short...
The Hungarian Forint has been appreciating against the Euro after the currency pair reversed from the upper boundary of a medium-term descending channel at 328.40. This movement has been bounded in a short-term ascending channel. Given that technical indicators still remain bearish in the short run, it is likely that a breakout from the junior channel occurs...
A sloppy, but valid h&s is in the making. Short target is a key level, which is also reinforced by the 200 EMA.
Last week market sentiment was very optimistic -> however, trade war destruction goes on Daily 61.8 Fib level was supported by two bullisih candles -> entry setup with 1:3 RR.
The Euro has been depreciating against the Hungarian Forint gradually after the pair reversed from the upper boundary of a medium-term channel at 328.50. By the time of this analysis, the pair had breached the support level formed by a combination of the 55– an 100-hour SMAs at 324.72. The most common scenario for such case would be a surge downwards to the...
It is time the forint regained its strength. Today's pinbar is a good entry point, the levels are clear.
EURHUF has approached the 1D Resistance (331.469) and is already pulling back. We are taking our first short now, with the second waiting on the Resistance, if the opportunity is presented. TP = 322.973 and 320.064 in extension (with the previous profit secured).
The exchange rate builds a rising wave structure. It is an extended triple wave structure. Currently, the second wave structure is built. The second wave target price is 331 HUF. Then we are waiting for ABC correction. Graph 1234 indicates a wave structure. Correction can be completed by an ATR axis. The cumulative wave structure may have a target price increase...
Two notable developments have taken place on the charts of the EUR/HUF since the last review. First, the medium term ascending channel pattern, which guided the surge of the Euro against the Hungarian Florin in June, has been broken. Namely, the support line of the pattern was passed on Tuesday. Secondly, the momentum for the passing of the support level was...
EURHUF Buy Idea @Weekly Demand Zone (320.110 - 316.846) Buy Limit: 320.419 Stop Loss: 316.602 Take Profit: 327.017 Risk Management = 0.01/$100 Close partially the contract once it reaches 50% of profit, Move stop loss over the entry level Close partially the contract once it reaches 80% of the profit
The Euro continues to strengthen against the Hungarian Forint since hitting a medium-term channel at 317.00 early in June. This appreciation has been bounded in a more junior channel which has guided the pair out of the senior channel. At the time of this analysis, the Euro was testing the 327.00 mark – its highest level in several years. Technical indicators...