10Y YIELD CRATERING SOON? EXTREME FEAR EXPECTED IN 1Q OF 2022Hello traders & investors!
As we look into the beginning of 2022 and use 10Y as our guide - expect enormous amount of fear coming to the markets/news channels/politician speeches..
I am expecting 40-50% correction on this 10 Year treasury. Cash will flow into bonds and DXY should strengthen at the same time too :)
That being said, I expect this to unfold in first half of 2022. Multi-year and decade long views does not change - rates will climb much faster & higher.
We have nice place to enter the markets in the times of extreme fear.
Levels to watch: 1.52% & 0.90%
Take care! This is not a financial advice.
Fear
BTC (Last Key Support, will the bull show up?)This is the most important BTC support level, key support which is the light blue line (40536.66) which is previous higher low on the 21 Sep 2021. And now we are right back at it. Testing support. If we were to lose this key support. I'm calling bear market. It's not premature to call it, look at daily chart of BTC. If this is bottom out, and bull step in, then it would be amazing. Market is in extreme fear.
BTC daily
$BTC Extreme Volatilityfinally $BTC picked a direction this is normal don't think about todays price think about the price in 2-5+ years
if 42k become resistance Bitcoin Algos will flip to sell again
The Stock market is controlling the narrative its all bunch of bull shit
don't be a scared paper hands pussy
buy the dips
HODL this is financial advice don't be a pussy
will get worse before it gets better high probability BTC trades towards 37k next few weeks as the stock market shifts sentiment away from growth into value energy etc...
buy the fear IMHO hold as long as it takes YOLO
CASH IS TRASH
bitcoindown / bitcoinThis chart of torture is gunna hurt some butts in one way or another in the weeks ahead
Daily Crypto Update - This 1 news story may be influencing priceIn this video:
* I discuss what the crypto market might be waiting for
* On Monday, we must observe the stock market's reaction to this news item
* The stock market's reaction and confluent price action will likely spill over into the crypto market
Fear and Greed indicators for SPX broader market - Crash 2021?Looks like the indicators are pointing very much downward.
During the last five trading days, volume in put options has lagged volume in call options by 38.17%, among the highest levels of put buying seen during the last two years, indicating extreme fear on the part of investors.
Bonds have outperformed stocks by 4.09 percentage points during the last 20 trading days. This is close to the weakest performance for stocks relative to bonds in the past two years
During the last month, approximately 14.93% more of each day's volume has traded in declining issues than in advancing issues
Only junk bonds are not following the fear trend... yet?
VIX pushing higher as VOL returns As Stocks & Crypto push higher, even yields ticking up with a hint of a Gold rally.
It is my opinion that stocks simply can't be this inflated for long. Yes we need to wait for the Fed to reduce QE pace. However, one needs to get Volatility while it's cheap.
Looking for a short term bounce in the #VIX to $24 with this beautiful double bottom / W pattern.
SELL YOUR BITCOINS Because...Hello Dear Crypto Traders or Holders.
How much you know about BTC Fear & Greed index?
Do you know when the market is in Extreme Fear or Greed what will happen?
I am here to learn you a little this type of market analysis .
Well, if you see this idea, congratulations, you are far ahead of many in this market who understand the use of Trading View.
You can tell the difference between analysis and good prediction.
let's get to the point
Not all tools are always used to analyze the market more accurately, and you need to integrate them properly according to your own strategy.
For example, indicators are not used alone, you have to combine the technical with it or ...
I am here to tell you that bitcoin will not go higher than its own ATH at this time, as many expect, you ask why?
I combined the technical and classic RSI indicator and another useful tool called BTC Fear & Greed index.
Well, you know that markets often react to their own past
What does this market tell us now?
He says that whenever the BTC Fear & Greed chart penetrates above 80 and reaches Extreme Greed mode, most of the whales and big ones in the market start selling their possessions when simple people are greedy, and look back at the market in this situation. crash and experience deep shaving
Or vice versa, when people are in deep fear and this tool goes to the numbers 30 and below, whales use people's fear and get their property cheaper than they grab.
Conclusion:
1. Bitcoin has reached its greatest resistance.
2. The RSI indicator from 6 OCT 2021 shows a negative divergence.
3. The BTC fear & Greed index tool has reached over 80.
4. People who bought bitcoin for 64,000 are selling.
5. In the lower time frames formed a twin hills (Double Top).
6. In the 4-hour candlelight we see that the candlesticks do not have the power to break this important level at the moment.
7. And more importantly, the whales are thinking of trapping traders.
You can save your profits and wait for lower prices.
Now you ask what if he did not correct and BTC hit the ATH ? Because in this market, nothing is 100%. In my opinion, if 10% of this happens, after hit the ATH btc will return to 64000 and when the pullback completed you can enter again.
BE SAFE
CTS - #TAIEXThis analysis is designed to provide information that CTS believes to be accurate on the subject matter, but is shared with the understanding that the author is NOT offering individualized advice tailored to any specific portfolio or the particular needs of any individual.
The author of the analysis specifically disclaims any responsibility for any personal or other loss or risk incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, of the use and application of any of the contents of this analysis.
BTCUSD "Economic Bubble"?Thought it fitting to sketch Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue "Economic Bubble"model over BTCUSD Weekly TF.
Imagine how fast this would move once "FEAR" was to properly set in.
Thoughts on price action over the next month?
"DISCLAIMER: NO ADVICE. The information presented here is general in nature and is for education purposes only. Nothing should be considered to be advice. You should consult with an appropriate professional for specific advice tailored to your situation."
Just an observation on VIX for this yearSo far January has been the most volatile month, followed by Feb, Mar and May. September, at times felt like, might really do some damage - but we lacked in volume to do any real damage. But check out the natural curve thats forming for this whole year. We are now towards the tail end of it - maybe we end September on a mild note, and then Oct, Nov, December - we see some extreme volatility rise along with the curve.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Biggest problem with beginner tradersHi Everyone, today I wanted to ramble a little more on something that I struggled a lot with and still do to this day, that is the fear of missing that one big trade that your one hundred percent sure that this is the one that will make you a millionaire. This is where the problem comes in many people think of trading as such a simple thing but also over complicate it at the same time. When you ask another trader they may be using ten different indicators on their chart at once they will tell you that it helps them time the market better and is their way of approaching the market, this approach is perfectly fine if that your personal style. But, on the flip side if you ask that same trader if they are willing to create a simple trading plan to make sure that their emotions are in check before taking the trade and this is the trade they really want to be taking. A simple trading plan can really make a difference in anyone's trading career but this is not the main focus for today, I will be posting more on a strict trading plan to do exactly that, keep you in check and allow for your edge in the market to really reveal itself.
Fear of missing out, this is something that many of us have personally struggled with whether we like it or not some of us including myself even struggle with it to this day. This is when you are looking at the chart and without doing a full analysis on the pair you go into it already having a bias on the pair and this will only allow you to see the market in one single way. This causes you to think there is a good trade but in reality there is nothing really even going in your favor, but you think oh no I know for a fact this thing is going down and I need to get in now for a better risk to reward ratio. This causes you to be blinded to what is actually happening in the market and leads you to taking a stupid trade that could have easily been avoided.
Some of you may be following me already and have already seen some of my analysis and post these previous few weeks, while a lot of them went against my initial analysis I did not take half of the trades on my account. For me to take a trade I want to have confirmation which would be a close above the zone of recent highs or lows and after that close confirming that there is more momentum in my favor, only then will I actually take the trade. I have this "Rule" in place to allow for better trades and try to limit me to my stupid trades due to my fear of missing out. I even started to literally sit on my hands or not even look at the charts for a while waiting to see if my trade that I would want actually lines up or if it is a false breakout, waiting for that confirmation has allowed for me to take a lot less losing trades and this is something that I would highly suggest doing in your own trading strategy as well.
You should be able to close your eyes and imagine your perfect setup right now, and that is the only conditions you should take a trade under. If you are taking trades based on emotions that is never going to go well, so many different things can happen in someone's life that can effect their personal trading routines and overall psychology. It is very very very important to have rules set in place to help better your trading and help you along that journey of becoming a break even trader and even a future profitable trader. While this will allow for a person's strategy to really thrive, risk management and the proper set up rules will really improve any trading strategy no matter how good or bad it may be.
Thank you all for the support the trading community has already showed me while I have been trying to share my trades for my own personal benefit and the benefit to whoever may take a peek at my information. Hope you all had an amazing trading week and I will be posting more about suggested topics or whatever I feel like writing about that day, hope you had a good day.
Thanks again,
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