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Fibonacci

This $PENGU Can Fly Summary COINBASE:PENGUUSD has traced a broad 2025 “cup” base, with April setting the low and price now back to the January supply shelf. Price forming a bullish wedge just below all-time highs. As we retest what I call the "blue sky" box, we attempt to resolve a contracting wedge to the upside, printing a fresh daily higher high (HH). While price accepts above local resistance, the path of least resistance is higher with an initial magnet toward the ATH "blue sky" box. Market Structure and Setup The higher-timeframe structure is the completed cup + reclaim of the former supply shelf ("blue sky" box). On the daily, the sequence is: retest of the shelf as support → wedge compression → upside break → HH. This multi-timeframe alignment (HTF reclaim + D1 momentum) provides defined risk against the shelf and clear upside reference points (ATH → extensions). Fibonacci-Based Upside Roadmap Anchor the swing from the April handle low to the August/September impulse high. The roadmap is: First waypoint: prior ATH band / 1.00 extension (supply; expect reactions). Continuations: 1.272 and 1.618 extensions of the April → August leg as conditional targets if ATH is accepted and weekly momentum persists. These are waypoints, not promises—active only while price holds above the reclaimed shelf. Microstructure: Acceptance > Expansion The break produced a HH, but the higher-quality entry often comes from acceptance: a shallow pullback that holds the top of the blue box and forms a D1/4H higher low (HL). That HL becomes the pivot to trail against. If momentum continues without a pullback, treat local range highs as a go-with trigger and manage tightly. Execution Plan Setup A – Retest Buy (preferred): Accumulate on a controlled retest into the blue breakout box, then look for a 4H reclaim and higher low to confirm buyers. Invalidation is a daily close back below the shelf or loss of the HL. Distribute into the ATH band first; let a runner work toward 1.272/1.618 if acceptance above ATH materializes. Setup B – Continuation Buy: If there’s no retest, enter on a clean break-and-hold above the recent HH as a momentum trigger. Invalidation sits under the breakout pivot (last 4H swing). Use smaller size and trail faster given the paid-up entry. Setup C – Failed-Break Short (contingency/hedge): Engage only if price loses the shelf on a daily close and then rejects on a reclaim attempt from below. Invalidation is re-acceptance back above the shelf. Targets are the cup’s midpoint and the 50–61.8% retrace of the April → August impulse. Invalidation Criteria Near-term: a daily close back below the blue shelf = reclaim failed; stand down and wait for fresh structure. Structural: a weekly close back inside the mid-cup range would negate the completed base and argue for more time/width. Risk & Sizing Risk ≤1% per idea; position size = account_risk ÷ (entry→stop). Cut risk further if liquidity is thin or wicks are frequent. Use reduce-only stops and avoid clustering at obvious lows/highs. Take 30–50% into ATH supply; trail the remainder beneath 4H HLs or a fast EMA pair (e.g., 8/21) to self-finance the trade. Fundamental/Flow Linkages As a high-beta crypto/NFT-adjacent asset, PENGU’s tape is sensitive to broad crypto liquidity, meme-beta flows, and listing/funding dynamics. A trending BTC/ETH backdrop and favorable risk sentiment are supportive; adverse headlines, liquidity air-pockets, or exchange changes can truncate moves abruptly. Key Risks Crypto beta: a risk-off impulse in majors typically unwinds alt momentum irrespective of local structure. Liquidity/venue risk: thinner books can produce stop-hunts and gap moves; listing or market-maker changes can impact spreads. Narrative fatigue: meme/NFT-linked tokens can overshoot then mean-revert sharply as attention rotates. Technical failure: acceptance back below the shelf converts today’s support back into resistance and invites a deeper cup-middle retrace. Conclusion While PENGU consolidates around ATHs, I want to be long on retests that form higher lows or on clean continuation through range highs. First distribute into the ATH band; if acceptance builds above it, press runners toward the 1.272 → 1.618 roadmap. Lose the shelf on a daily close, and the trade is off until structure rebuilds. Not financial advice. Levels and sizing should be adapted to your process and constraints.
PYTH:PENGUUSD
by seaphoss
Short Setup on AUDUSD | Key Level at $0.667 TestedToday I want to share with you a Short position on the AUDUSD ( OANDA:AUDUSD ) pair. In the previous idea on AUDUSD, I managed to find the first part of this uptrend rally . AUDUSD is currently trading in the Resistance zone($0.6714-$0.6622) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Resistance lines . Also, one of the reasons why I took this Short position on the AUDUSD pair is that the AUDUSD is approaching $0.667 , which is an important number in previous rallies (in terms of trading volume ) on the daily and weekly time frames. I expect AUDUSD NOT to break the $0.667 level without a correction (at least), so a drop to $0.6614(First Target) is at least possible . Second Target: $0.6580 Stop Loss(SL): $0.6723 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze (AUDUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
20
Eigenlayer EIGEN price analysisLooking at the OKX:EIGENUSDT chart, we can see that the growth amplitude is “choking” and trading volumes are decreasing. Therefore, at the current price, we would not risk buying #EIGEN But at $0.90, it's safer! Or at $1.80-1.90, but only after the price breaks through and consolidates above the trend line. #Eigenlayer is based on the #Ethereum ecosystem and has “come alive” following the price of CRYPTOCAP:ETH _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
Ericsson - another of my favorite charts - bull caseYes, Ericsson has been facing a long period of challenges but I believe that the future is bright for the company at least based on the chart I see. Some fundamental data looks fairly good as well e.g. EPS, book value, dividends meanwhile debt is predicted to rise, CAPEX too ... just some numbers for background information. The chart however, is rather beautiful if you ask me. Clearly an impulse for the (blue 1) followed by many overlapping waves indicating corrective price action. Lately, we have gotten 3 higher lows, bounce of trend line and nice reactions to important fib levels. I predict at least 10-20% upside in the near future and if we are extremely lucky over the next years we might see up to 300-400% increase which is the moderate target assuming that the move to the upside is only corrective. Stop loss = 65.44
OMXSTO:ERIC_BLong
by Staggi10
SENSEX Intraday Levels for 18th SEP 2025SENSEX Intraday Levels for 18th SEP 2025 # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
BSE:SENSEX
by DSKF16
NIFTY Levels for 18th SEP 2025 onwards.NIFTY Intraday Levels for 18th SEP 2025 Market Short View: Nifty 50 Index is currently showing a Bullish Trend as indicated by the formation of an Ascending Channel. This pattern is characterized by Higher HIGHs and Higher LOWs, technically suggesting a continued UPward momentum. The price is well above 20 EMA 50EMA as well as 200 EMA, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Chart Patterns: Ascending Channel Higher HIGHs Higher LOW Indicator View: Opportunity for further gains. RSI < 70 => Overbought, Technical mening CCI => 111.58 Crossed above 100 from Low. MACD => witnessing a Bullish Crossover. SWING levels: Supports: 25090 – 24846 – 24530 Resistances: 25421 – 25670 – 25985 My personal View: NEUTRAL Stance. # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
NSE:NIFTY
by DSKF16
1
GOLD → Rates have been cut. Will growth continue?FX:XAUUSD , following the Fed's decision on interest rates, caused a shock, updating the ATH to 3707, then updating the minimum to 3633. Since the opening of the European session, the market has been recovering, but there is a BUT... The Fed's Dot Plot confirmed the forecast of two additional rate cuts before the end of the year, which provides long-term support for gold. The USD remains under pressure after the Fed's decision, despite a short-term rebound. Trump's statements and the escalation of conflicts continue to fuel demand for safe havens. After rising to a record high of $3707, a short-term correction is possible. If today's jobless claims come in better than expected, it will temporarily strengthen the USD. As for Powell, his emphasis on “meeting-to-meeting decisions” may limit appetite for risky assets. Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3688.6 Support levels: 3654.5, 3633, 3626.8 Technically, since the opening of the European session, gold has spent its intraday ATR reserve. From the specified resistance level of 3675 (psychological level), a correction to 3660-3655 may form before continuing to grow to 3675-3688. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
EURUSD H1 09/18/2025This chart displays the price movement of the Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair on a one-hour (1H) timeframe. The chart shows a strong uptrend, followed by a price correction or retracement. Here are some key things visible in the chart: Uptrend Line (Dashed Slanted Line): Indicates that the price has been consistently moving upwards. Fibonacci Levels (Dashed Horizontal Lines): The green line at the 0.5 level (1.17699) and the green line at the 0.618 level (1.17691) are Fibonacci retracement levels. These are areas where the price often pauses or bounces after a correction. Buy Zone (Green Box): A green box indicates a suggested "buy" area. This zone starts from the 0.5 Fibonacci level up to the 1.18591 level. Stop Loss Zone (Red Box): The red box indicates the area where a stop loss (loss limit) is placed, which is below the 0.618 Fibonacci level, specifically at 1.17600. This is the point where you would exit the trade to limit losses if the price continues to fall. Overall, this chart illustrates a trading strategy that attempts to capitalize on a price reversal after a correction, using Fibonacci levels to determine the entry point, target, and loss limit.
Long
by vrbnca
1
EURNZD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
GBPAUD → False breakdown. Return to bullish trend FX:GBPAUD is forming a false breakdown of support and returning to a bullish trend. The market has seen a breakdown of the local structure, signaling the end of the correction. The pound sterling has consolidated above the consolidation resistance, thereby showing bullish signs, which has a positive effect on the GBPAUD currency pair. False breakdown of the trend and support of global consolidation. The price returned to the range and closed in the long zone. Bulls may provoke continued growth after the formation of local patterns... Resistance levels: 2.0746, 2.103 Support levels: 2.04788, 2.0301 Consolidation of the price above support and a breakout of local consolidation may trigger further growth. The trend is bullish, targets are indicated on the chart. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: A New Trend Taking ShapeGold has entered a new phase, beginning a sharp correction following Chairman Powell’s announcement of a Fed rate cut. On the H1 chart, a bearish Dow structure is clearly forming, suggesting the potential for sustained downside in the medium term. Most buy-side liquidity has now been cleared, leaving limited scope for a strong recovery – aside from a brief FVG that appeared immediately after the news. Market sentiment indicates that activity during that phase carried little weight. The appearance of a gap highlights growing confidence among sellers in seizing control after the Fed’s statement. This decline could drive gold towards the 363x area, and potentially extend to the 361x region. A critical level to watch remains 3651, a strong support where price previously rebounded by more than 20 dollars immediately after the announcement. Trading plan for today: Sell 3656 – 3659, SL 3666, TP 3651 – 3646 – 3638 – 3634 – 3626 – 3615 Buy 3634 – 3632, SL 3628, TP 3640 – 3652 – 3660 Buy zone 3607 – 3604, SL 3600, TP 3616 – 3625 – 3638 – 3647 – 3660 This is my personal view on XAUUSD for today. Please use it as a reference for your own trading. If you find it useful, follow me for further updates and gold market scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 24574.25 - PR Low: 24495.25 - NZ Spread: 176.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 9/18) - Session Open ATR: 279.81 - Volume: 29K - Open Int: 249K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 25217 - Mid: 22503 - Short: 21790 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Long
by mv3trader5
FED countdown | Buy at support, Sell at resistanceXAU/USD – 17/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context 18/09, 01:00 (US time) : FED rate decision + Dot Plot → policy outlook for upcoming meetings 01:30 : Powell’s speech – the key market focus Market consensus: FED almost certain to cut -25bps . However, the -50bps scenario still exists → if it happens, it will be a “big boost” for Gold During Asia–Europe session, Gold faced early profit-taking, dropping quickly to 3,677 – 3,675 , reflecting caution ahead of the FED ⏩ Captain’s Summary Gold is making a technical correction before the FED. Medium-term trend remains bullish , but patience is needed to wait for pullbacks for safer Buy entries. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) Nearby OB: 3,693 – 3,695 (short scalp) ATH Zone: 3,717 – 3,720 (strong resistance, potential heavy selling) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Shallow Dock: 3,656 – 3,657 (short-term) Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 Market Structure Multiple BoS confirm the bullish trend Price retracing to support, likely to bounce back and test 3,693 – 3,717 Break above 3,720 → new ATH confirmed 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,656 – 3,657 SL: 3,648 TP: 3,675 – 3,693 – 3,717 Buy Zone 2 Entry: 3,629 – 3,630 SL: 3,618 TP: 3,656 – 3,690 – 3,717 ⚡ Sell (only at resistance) Sell Zone OB Entry: 3,693 – 3,695 SL: 3,705 TP: 3,675 – 3,662 Sell Zone ATH Entry: 3,717 – 3,720 SL: 3,727 TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675 ⚓ Captain’s Note “Before the FED countdown, profit-taking waves pulled the Golden ship near Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,656 – 3,629) . But the main current still flows north, the bullish trend remains intact. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,693 – 3,720) is the high wave, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Sailors must stay patient – the FED wind could be the power to propel Gold beyond new peaks.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
$GLQ: Two Roads, One Destination - HIGHER𝐅𝐢𝐛 𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 • 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝟏: Price didn’t stop at the 𝟐.𝟔𝟏𝟖, 𝟑.𝟔𝟏𝟖, or even the 𝟒.𝟔𝟏𝟖. It blew past them - then ripped another ~𝟗𝟑% 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿.⁣⁣ ⁣⁣ • 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝟐: If the same behavior plays out, the 𝟐.𝟔𝟏𝟖 ($𝟎.𝟓𝟑) and 𝟑.𝟔𝟏𝟖 ($𝟎.𝟕𝟐) become pit stops. The 𝟒.𝟔𝟏𝟖 ($𝟎.𝟗𝟐) acts as the launch pad. ⁣⁣ A similar 𝟗𝟑% extension above that puts 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝟑 𝗮𝘁 ~$𝟏.𝟕𝟕.⁣⁣ 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐅𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐚𝐥 Move 1: 14x from low to high Move 2: 54x from low of move 1 to high of move 2. Move 2 is the same structure as move one, just on an expanded timeline. That’s nearly 4x the multiple from Move 1 to Move 2. If that progression continues... Move 3 = ~200x from the base (~$3.77 AMEX:GLQ ) The targets don’t perfectly align… ⁣ …but they tell the same story: 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐧𝐞𝐱𝐭 𝐦𝐨𝐯𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐯𝐢𝐨𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐭, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐮𝐩𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐯𝐞.⁣
Long
by charley1215
1