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Fibonacci

XAU/USD Record Breaking Rally Runs Hot- Exhaustion RiskThis week’s rally marks the largest single-week range on record and the ninth consecutive weekly advance— the first such streak since August 2020, when the yearly high was registered. Weekly momentum has also surged to its highest level since April 2006, which likewise coincided with that year’s peak in gold. These technical observations suggest that while the broader outlook remains constructive, the immediate advance may be vulnerable at these levels. Initial weekly support rests along the median-line, currently near the 4000 mark and a break / weekly close below this slope would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger correction is underway. Monthly-open support rests at 3859 with broader bullish invalidation now raise to the 61.8% extension of the May advance at 3782. Weekly resistance is eyed with the upper parallel / 2.618% extension of the 2015 advance at 4308- a topside breach / weekly close above this threshold would threaten another bout of accelerated gains with the next major technical considerations eyed at the 3.618% extension of the April decline at 4492 and the 1.618% extension of yearly advance at 4553. Bottom line: The gold breakout extended into record highs this week with multi-year extremes registered in momentum, range, and duration- the exhaustion risk is mounting. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 4000 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a weekly close above 4308 needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. -MB
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREX.com
1
BTCUSD 1D Chart • Trend: clear decline in the descending channel (yellow lines). • EMA 50/200: during a bearish cross (death cross) - medium-term bearish signal. • SMA 50 / 100 / 200: price below all key averages - a classic signal of market weakness. ⸻ 📉 1. Trend indicators 🔹 EMA Cross 50/200 (blue) • The price has fallen below EMA 200, which means that the medium-term trend is currently negative. • In addition, the EMA 50 breaks the EMA 200 from above - a sell signal. 🔹 Descending Channel (Yellow) • The price is close to the lower band of the channel, which may result in a short-term technical rebound, but the main trend remains down. • Upper channel line (resistance): approximately USD 114,000-115,000 • Bottom Line (Support): ~$101,000 📊 3. Momentum indicators 🔸RSI • RSI ≈ 37 → close to oversold zone, but not extreme yet. • Signal: Possible short bounce if it stays above the 30 level. 🔸 MACD • The MACD line is below the signal line and the negative histogram is growing → the downward momentum continues. • No signs of reversal yet. ⸻ 🔥 4. What does this mean in practice 🔻 Short-term (1-7 days): • Downward trend with a possible technical rebound in the area of ​​USD 104,000-101,000. • RSI close to oversold → possible pullback to USD 109,000–110,000. ⚖️ Medium term (2-4 weeks): • Until BTC returns above EMA 200 (approx. 115,000), the market remains in a correction/distribution phase. • If the price breaks 101,000 down, a possible decline to 96,900 or even USD 92,000 (previous macro support). ⸻ 📈 5. Scenarios ✅ Bullish (less likely now) • Maintaining above $104,000 • Breakout 109,000 → USD 112,000 → test 115,000 • Breakout of EMA 200 → trend reversal signal ❌ Bearish (more likely) • 104,000 raise → $101,000 test • If the support breaks, a decline to 96,900-97,000 is possible within a few days.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Trendline Breakout and 1year high for NiftyNifty is at 1 year high at 25709 after making an yearly high of 25781.50. The trendline breakout has been achieved. All that we need for Nifty to grow from here is that the breakout should sustain. Also no negative news on Tariff front or any Geopolitical issue will be required for Nifty to forge its way ahead. Supports For Nifty: Supports for Nifty are at 25378 (Important Fibonacci support), 24865 and 24333 (Strong Mother line support of 52 weeks.) Resistances for Nifty are at: 25843, 26044 (Important Fibonacci resistance), 26277 (Previous All time high), 26529 (Fibonacci Golden ratio strong resistance) and finally 27470. After closing above 27470 doors for 28K will open directly. To know more about Fibonacci retracement, Mother Father lines and my Mother, Father small Child theory, Fundamental analysis and how to draw charts or use Techno-Funda analysis do read my book the Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation rated 4.8/5 on Amazon. Things are looking good after a long time. Shadow of weekly candle is positive (Green). Hope some Geopolitical event or Tariff related news or weak earnings season does not spoil the chart again. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
HYPE price analysisYesterday we looked at the possible prospects of #Aster, and today let’s dive into the chart of #Hype 📉 🔥 5 consecutive red daily candles on OKX:HYPEUSDT.P — something we haven’t seen for a long time. And there are plenty of reasons for that. We’ll name just a few, and you can add more in the comments 👇 📉 Start of a broader correction on the crypto market ⚡️ #HYPE with 300x leverage on Aster DEX, while on Hyperliquid there’s only 3x leverage for their native token — a massive imbalance attracting big arbitrage volumes that push the price down 📰 A strong media campaign “Why Aster is better than Hype” → a clear example of dirty play by big money 💡 That’s why a bounce of #HYPE from $40 shows there’s still powder in the barrels. From $36 — also fine, a retest of the first ATH. But a potential fall to $29–30 would trigger a full stop-loss hunt on longs accumulated over the past six months. ❓Where do you think #HYPE will find support — $40, $36, or will it slip to $30? ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
by P_S_trade
Palladium Wave Analysis – 17 October 2025- Palladium reversed from long-term resistance level 1600.00 - Likely to fall to support level 1500.00 Palladium recently reversed down from the long-term resistance level 1600.00 (former strong support from 2020 and 2021, acting as resistance after it was broken at the start of 2023, as can be seen below). The resistance level 1600.00 was strengthened by the upper weekly Bollinger Band and by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the weekly downtrend from the end of 2022. Given the long-term downtrend, Palladium can be expected to fall to the next round support level 1500.00.
FXPRO:XPDUSDShort
by FxPro
2
GOLD Awaiting Sell Reaction at Peak & Buy Pullback Support🔍 Market Context After a series of strong Break of Structure (BoS) , gold has reached a new ATH at 4,385 USD – marking a sustainable uptrend over the past 3 sessions. However, this peak area is currently acting as a significant psychological and technical barrier . Buying momentum is temporarily slowing as the price reacts to the Liquidity Zone around 4,351 – 4,385 USD . The market is in a phase of liquidity rebalancing . The major trend remains upward, but the current price area may see a short-term correction before further wave expansion. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,385 USD Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,430 – 4,435 USD → high liquidity resistance zone, potential for short-term sell reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,284 – 4,282 USD → nearby support zone, confluence with trendline. Order Block | Fibonacci Zone: 4,226 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluencing with Fibo 0.618, high reversal potential. Overall Structure: remains bullish , but showing short-term signs of weakness as the price fails to hold above 4,360. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Rejection at peak area 4,385 – 4,433 USD Entry: 4,430 - 4,435 SL: 4,440 TP: 4,425 → 4,420 →4,415→4,410→4405 ✅ Condition: Appearance of rejection or strong bearish engulfing candles at high Liquidity zone. ➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup – sell when the price sweeps the peak and clear sell signals from major players appear. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Pullback at 4,284 – 4,282 USD Entry: 4,284 – 4,282 SL: 4,272 TP: 4,290 → 4,300 → 4,310/Open ✅ Condition: Strong H1 candle reaction at support or minor reversal structure. ➡️ Buy with the main trend, taking advantage of a slight pullback around the support Liquidity zone. 3️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – OB Deep Zone 4,226 – 4,230 USD Entry: 4,226 – 4,230 SL: 4,190 TP: 4,235 → 4,240 → 4,250/Open ✅ Condition: Appearance of bullish BoS or confirming bullish engulfing candle. ➡️ This is a deep discount zone, suitable for swing orders following the main trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at high zones (4,360+). Prioritize observing price behavior at 4,284 and 4,226 before entering orders. Sell orders at 4,385–4,430 are only triggered if there is a clear confirmation signal. Maintain moderate volume, avoid averaging down without confirmation. 💬 Conclusion Gold is accumulating after reaching the peak of 4,385 USD , this is a crucial phase to determine the correction before the new upward wave. The most effective strategy now is sell reaction at the high peak area 4,385 – 4,430 and buy with the trend at 4,284 – 4,226 USD when confirmation appears. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell Reaction: 4,385 – 4,430 → TP 4,284 – 4,226 Buy Pullback: 4,284 – 4,282 Buy OB Deep: 4,226 – 4,230
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
BTC eyes on 105.5k: Semi-Major Genesis fib is CRITICAL support Shown here is a single fib series in 3 different timeframes. The Genesis Sequience has called all major turns since 2015. We called the recent top at 125,550 by the Genesis Sequence. Prices are from Coinbase, others will vary a bit. $ 105,541.85 is the Semi-Major fib just below. $ 111,661.25 above is a minor ratio and resistance. $ 96,769.44 would be the sub-100k stop hunt level. . Last Analysis that called the EXACT TOP:
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
1
NIFTY Intraday & Swing Levels for 20th Oct 2025🚀 "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. 🌡️Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) 📊 Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . ✍🏽️ In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)
NSE:NIFTY
by DSKF16
BNB: The Party's Over. Here's the Short Setup.Yo. Quick-fire analysis on BNB/USDT, looking across the M15 to H4 timeframes. The market gave us a technical bounce, a relief rally for the amateurs. Don't be fooled. The party is over, and the bears are now in control. The Setup Let's recap the recent chaos. After last Friday's mass liquidation event, BNB staged an absurd rally, tapping a new ATH around 1375 within three days. Hope you survived the volatility. That move, however, was pure euphoria, completely detached from the broader market reality. While BNB was flying, BTC showed extreme weakness, failing to reclaim any meaningful levels. This divergence was a massive red flag. It was inevitable that BNB's gravity-defying move would correct, and correct hard. My setup is classic, no-nonsense technical analysis: multi-timeframe Fibonacci levels, a hard focus on volume profile, and a tactical eye on order flow. The blue Fib levels are drawn on the H4 chart (macro trend), and the red Fibs are for the M15 chart (micro trend since the Friday low). What's Happening Now The chart is screaming "SELL" at a major point of technical confluence. For anyone who can read price action, this is crystal clear. After a first test yesterday, the critical 0.618 Fibonacci support on the H4 timeframe was decisively broken today, October 17th. This wasn't just any Fib level; it was perfectly aligned with the Point of Control (POC) from the entire last uptrend—the area with the highest traded volume. Losing this level means the bulls have lost their single most important line of defense. The structure is broken. The Levels That Matter We've already hit our first target at 1022, which corresponds perfectly to the 1.272 Fibonacci extension from the H4 structure. The playbook from here is simple. We are now watching for a pullback to reload short positions. - Short Entry Zone: I'm watching for a weak pullback into the 1093 zone. This area represents the '1' point of the H4 Fib retracement and is the ideal spot to the bag. Any bounce to this level that shows signs of exhaustion is a gift. - Invalidation (Stop Loss): The line in the sand is a clean break and hold above 1125. A move above this level would negate the current bearish market structure and signal that the downtrend is compromised. - Targets: I’m reaching two price - The 1.414 Fibonacci extension, which brings us to the $988 area. - A full leg down to the 1.272 extension on the M15 Fib, targeting the $865 region. This level also aligns with the previous major low, making it a powerful magnet for price. I'm not betting on hope; I'm trading the evidence. The evidence shows the path of least resistance is down. Let's see how it plays out. As always, don't get rekt.
Short
by BusyHorse72
We are at a tipping point that can potentally trigger a bear run The 55 EMA is widely watched by institutions and swing traders as a medium-term trend gauge. When price tests this line after a strong run or selloff: Holding above often leads to trend continuation or strong bounce as seen in the path on my chart. Losing it convincingly tends to signal a deeper correction or even a trend reversal. Right now, ES is coiling around the 55EMA, which is the kind of tension point where volatility can explode. Lower Trend Line = Structural Support The fact that the EMA test with the lower trend line can adds weight to the downward movement. When a support trend line and EMA level line up, it becomes a confluence zone meaning breakouts or breakdowns from here are often decisive. A breakdown of this confluence could open the door to: A larger corrective Wave A or C leg down. Possibly a multi-month correction into year end if macro news doesn’t provide support. Fundamental Catalyst Is Lurking Tariff or trade-deal headlines can be the kind of fundamental catalyst that aligns perfectly with this technical pressure point. That alignment is classic in Elliott Wave: The technicals create the setup. The news provides the spark. The breakout or breakdown is fast and aggressive. ⚠️ This is why these zones are dangerous for complacent positioning both bulls and bears can get steamrolled when the move starts. Two Clear Scenarios Bullish: candle hold above 55 EMA + trend line then bounce toward upper channel, possibly Wave B or new Wave 3 Bearish: clean daily close below support with 55 EMA dropping below can trigger a multi week(s) correction, potential acceleration downward if no positive news Bull case → initial target near upper trendline / Fib extension levels. Bear case → retest of previous swing lows or even 0.618 retrace of the entire rally. Risk Management Matters Most Here This is the kind of zone where: Stops should be clearly defined — not “mental.” Position size should respect that a big move can be triggered fast. Targets should be realistic, because reactions off the 55 EMA can be sharp. “When technicals and fundamentals line up, the market doesn’t tiptoe, it sprints.”
CME_MINI:MES1!
by polarity