USD/CHF – Building the LaunchpadAfter a clean impulse higher, USD/CHF is dipping right into the zone where demand was born — the BC + WCL overlap , sitting on top of the daily imbalance .
This area (around 0.7975 ) feels like the kind of zone where price takes a breath before the next leg.
As long as 0.7923 holds, I’m hunting for longs toward 0.8270–0.8300 .
That’s the HTF target and the last unmitigated supply area above.
If the zone cracks, I’ll let it go — no need to fight the flow.
Solid structure, clean logic, fair R:R. Let’s see if the launchpad fires.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Fibonacci
CSIQ in a local resistance zonePrice has entered an important resistance zone 32-37/40, which may trigger a pullback — ideally forming another higher low within the 27–24 support area.
Structurally, despite short-term pullback potential, the uptrend from the April lows remains intact and appears unfinished as long as:
a) price holds above 24, and
b) the 44–52 resistance zone has not yet been reached.
Chart:
Silver - Short Term Buy IdeaH1 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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XAUUSD 2 scenariosXAU/USD – Gold Outlook (Two Scenarios)
Today I’m watching two possible scenarios for gold:
1️⃣ Technical View: After yesterday’s strong rally, gold may need a pullback to collect liquidity before continuing higher — no real correction has occurred yet. A retracement could offer better long entry opportunities around support zones.
2️⃣ Fundamental View: Despite the overextended move, bullish momentum could continue, driven by optimism over a potential U.S. Senate deal to end the government shutdown. Such an agreement could weaken the USD and boost risk sentiment, favoring further gains in gold.
💡 Summary: Technically expecting a short correction, but fundamentals remain bullish, keeping the 4,100 level in sight if positive news confirms.
Gold back leading the charge higher!It was interesting to see that weekend progress between Democrat and Republican lawmakers on bringing an end to the longest running federal government shutdown in US history led to a 2.6% surge in Gold, from opening levels around 4000 on Monday up to a 2 week highs of 4116, a move that has extended this morning to print a high at 4149. Traders chose to focus on the potential clarity the move could bring to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current interest rate outlook, rather than cutting back on their Gold exposure being held a safe haven hedge against the economic uncertainty and potential damage the long-lasting shutdown was inflicting on the US economy.
It is hoped that a reopening of the US government could restore the economic data flow providing updates on the health of the US labour market and direction of inflation in time to influence the decision making of Fed policymakers ahead of their final rate decision of the year on December 10th. The current market pricing of roughly a 65% chance of a further 25bps rate cut at this meeting has helped support Gold’s move higher, as a non-interest-bearing asset.
Progress on ending the shutdown seems to be speeding up with the Senate voting to approve a spending package that keeps most of the government open until the end of January, and some departments open until the end of September. The bill now moves to the House of Representatives for approval before being sent to President Trump for his signature. Two potential stumbling blocks that may add further volatility to Gold prices across the remainder of the week.
The technical outlook could also be influential after yesterday’s close above resistance at 4077, the 38.2% retracement of the October price decline.
Gold Technical Update: Signs of Upside Resumption?
Following the price drop into the 3886 October 28th low, Gold entered a phase of more balanced price action, with sideways consolidation dominating recent sessions. This suggested a pause in directional momentum as traders assessed whether the decline had run its course or if further price weakness might resume.
However, following the weekend news of a potential US government re-opening, fresh support emerged on Monday. As a result, Gold has now rallied over 6.7% from the October 28th low (3886), marking a notable recovery from the recent weakness.
Traders may now be focused on Monday’s closing break back above resistance at 4077, a level equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the October weakness. While not a guarantee of further price strength, this move may lead to a phase of recovery. Therefore, it could be useful to gauge support and resistance levels after the latest price activity for possible clues to the next directional themes.
Potential Resistance Levels:
While future price action will ultimately dictate where Gold moves next, the recent close above 4077 may suggest further upside in price. This could raise the prospect of a test of 4194, the higher 61.8% retracement level of October’s decline.
The 61.8% retracement level at 4194 is potentially a strong barrier to price strength, and if tested Gold may face sterner resistance here. However, a closing break above this level could open scope for deeper upside moves toward 4381, the October 20th extreme.
Potential Support Levels:
After the speed of yesterday’s up move, the first potential support for traders to monitor could be at 4016, a level marking half of the recent rally from the lows at 3886 (October 27th low). A pullback to this level could be a routine reaction to recent strength, however but closes below this level might signal renewed downside pressure.
While not a definitive signal of renewed weakness, a close below 4016 could open the door to retest 3886, the October 28th low and potentially even 3823, a level equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the August to October advance.
SILVER | Forming AB=CD Pattern | Strong Buy Zone Ahead!#SILVER is currently moving in a correction phase and has reached the Fib retracement zone between 0.382 – 0.5, which historically acts as a strong buying area for long-term investors.
At this zone, no major bearish signs are visible, and the structure suggests a possible formation of a bullish AB=CD pattern.
Trading Plan:
Wait for a clear breakout above the 0.5 level and resistance zone around 49.765.
On the break and retest, we’ll look for long entries with proper risk management.
Key Takeaways:
Correction phase nearing completion
Possible AB=CD bullish pattern
Watching for breakout confirmation before entry
Stay patient — the next bullish leg could start soon if confirmation aligns.
What’s your view on #SILVER? Do you think this zone will hold or break deeper? Drop your analysis below!
#SILVER #XAGUSD #TradingView #Fibonacci #ABCDPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyTheDip #Commodities
REKR: price reached resistance level. Watching for pullback Strong follow-through into the next resistance zone since the previous October updates. Watching for potential selling pressure to start building and for price to pull back toward rising EMAs.
As long as price remains above the 2.20–1.90 support zone, the trend structure continues to suggest further upside potential toward the 4.00–5.15 resistance area after a new base formation.
Chart:
Previously:
• On upside potential (Oct 14):
www.tradingview.com
• On support zone (Oct 7):
see weekly review:
• On bullish trend structure (Oct 1):
www.tradingview.com
BLK: more downside potential Price has immediate downside potential if it fails to reclaim the local resistance at 1090. A breakdown below 1050 would increase the odds of continuation toward the next key support levels at 1018 and 985–965.
Alternatively, a sustained break above 1090 would shift probabilities in favor of a larger bounce toward the declining 50-day MA.
Chart:
CRCL: watching for final leg downAnother leg down into the ideal macro support zone at 91–85/75 would be ideal to complete the corrective structure from the June highs.
A confident move above 120 would shift the odds toward the correction being complete, opening the door for at least a larger-degree bounce — or potentially the beginning of a new uptrend.
Chart:
AUS200 Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025
- AUS200 reversed from support level 8700.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 8936.00
AUS200 index recently reversed up with the daily Hammer candlesticks reversal pattern from the support area between the key support level 8700.00 (which has been reversing the price from September), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from June.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous short-term impulse wave iii of the C-wave from October.
Given the clear daily trend, AUS200 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 8936.00 (top of the previous correction ii).
Filecoin Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025- Filecoin reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 2.0000
Filecoin cryptocurrency recently reversed from the resistance area between the resistance levels 4.000, 3.465 (former monthly high from March), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downtrend from December.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the previous short-term correction ii from June.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Filecoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next round support level 2.0000.
$ESTA interesting mid-term and macro potentialNASDAQ:ESTA is showing interesting mid-term and macro potential.
Local support: 45–43. As long as price holds above this zone, I’m watching for more immediate upside potential toward 51, and if momentum sustains beyond that level — continuation to 60+ and higher.
Chart:
Macro view:
XVGUSD Livermore Accumulation Cylinder - VERGEVerge is currently ranging through a Livermore Accumulation Cylinder pattern. A breakout is expected soon.
In my opinion, as the fractal projection suggests, the future bottom will be at the level of the current ATH, $0.25.
This is not a financial advice. Do you own research.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from support level 25000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 26250.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up with the daily Hammer from the support zone between the round support level 25000.00 and the support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
This support zone was strengthened by the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from October.
Given the clear daily trend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 26250.00 (top of the previous impulse wave i).
Gold Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025
- Gold reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 4200.00
Gold recently reversed up from the support zone between the round support level 4000.00 and the support level 3900.00.
This support zone was strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band and by the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from September.
Given the strong daily trend and the still oversold daily Stochastic, Gold can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 4200.00 (target price for the completion of the active wave c).
Amazing long on XAUUSD (Gold) Looking for more continuationsAfter the crazy liquidation to the downside, gold start creating a new bullish structure, it was just a matter of time to find a great long trade for Gold. Price create a couple of MSS (Market Structure Shift) Then grab important liquidity to fuel up the bullish movement.
Fibonacci set from our high to our low and just set the Limit Order. After price taking out the level 100% of our Fibonacci, we set our trade to BE and let it run to our TP.
Keep your eyes for more continuation trades to the upside this week.
USD/CAD Rally Stalls into Trend Resistance at Seven-Month HighsThe Canadian Dollar is getting reprieve today with USD/CAD snapping a six-day rally to seven-month highs. Stronger-than-expected Canadian employment figures amplified today’s decline with a reversal off uptrend resistance now threatening a deeper correction within the July uptrend. The immediate focus is on this pullback in the days ahead with the November opening-range taking shape above the median-line.
Initial support rests with the October high close at 1.4055 and is backed by the monthly open / May high at 1.4011/17- note that the medina-line converges on this threshold next week. Ultimately a break / close below the 2022 high / 61.8% retracement of the recent advance at 1.3977/85 is needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Subsequent support rests with the 200-day moving average at (currently at 1.3940) with broader bearish invalidation steady at 1.3881/99- a region defined by the 2022 high-close and the 2023 swing high.
Initial resistance now eyed with the monthly high-close at 1.4115 and is backed by the 50% retracement of the yearly range / November high at 1.4167/78. A breach / close above this threshold would threaten another accelerated advance with subsequent top-side objectives eyed at the March low at 1.4235 and the 61.8% retracement at 1.4315.
Bottom line: USD/CAD has responded to uptrend resistance and the risk now rises for a deeper pullback within the broader July advance. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 1.3978 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.4178 needed to fuel the next major leg of the rally.
-MB
Euro Testing September Downtrend- Breakout to Offer GuidanceEuro is responding to downtrend resistance at the upper parallel of the descending pitchfork we have been tracking off the yearly high. The monthly opening-range is taking shape just below and the focus is on a potential breakout over the next few days. Initial support rests at the October swing low and the monthly open at 1.1537/42. A break / close below the 75% parallel is ultimately needed to mark downtrend resumption with subsequent support objectives seen at the 1.15-handle and the monthly low at 1.1469- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Initial resistance remains with the upper parallel and is backed by the Fed-day reversal close at 1.1601. Ultimately a breach / close above 1.1641/45 is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger reversal is underway.
Bottom line: Euro is responding to downtrend resistance with the weekly / monthly opening-range taking shape just below. From a trading standpoint, rallies should be limited to 1.16 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 1.1469 needed to fuel the next leg of this decline.
-MB
TSLA eyes on $448 above 409 below: Dual Goldens will tell ALLTSLA range bound and looking for direction.
Again testing a Golden Covid fib at $448.01
Support below is a Golden Genesis at $409.56
What happens here will signal TOP or Continuation.
Bulls want a Break-n-Retest of the dashed Covid fib.
Bears want a B-n-R of the solid golden Genesis below.
XAU/USD – Gold Retests FVG Preparing for a New Uptrend, Target..📊 Market Structure
Gold has officially broken the bearish structure (BoS + ChoCH) by surpassing the 4,025 USD zone, confirming a significant shift in market momentum.
Following a series of consecutive BoS and a break of the downtrend line, the price is entering a balanced retest phase (FVG 4,030 – 4,040 USD) .
As long as the price maintains above the 4,020 USD support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and it is expected to target the Liquidity Zone 4,070 – 4,090 USD , further extending to the Order Block 4,118 – 4,125 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• FVG Retest Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 USD
• Trendline Support: around 4,000 USD
• Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,090 USD
• Final Target (OB): 4,118 – 4,125 USD
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Main FVG Retest
If the price retraces to the FVG zone of 4,030 – 4,040 USD and forms a bullish confirmation signal (bullish candle / rejection wick):
• Entry: 4,033 – 4,038
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,070
• TP2: 4,090
• TP3: 4,120
→ Enter at the “discount” zone after the market absorbs liquidity.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Defensive (deep trendline retest)
If the price slightly sweeps the small OB zone around the trendline:
• Entry: 3,998 – 4,004
• SL: 3,985
• TP1: 4,070
• TP2: 4,120
→ The structure remains intact, this entry has a high RR, suitable for mid-term swing.
⚠️ Invalidation:
• If the price closes an H1 candle below 3,985 USD → the short-term uptrend is invalidated.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The buyers are fully controlling the H1 structure after breaking the downtrend line that lasted nearly 2 weeks.
The price is likely to complete the FVG – trendline – breakout retest before continuing to expand towards the liquidity peak of 4,120 USD.
This is the “buy-the-dip” strategic phase for this week.
“Smart money buys the discount while everyone waits for confirmation.” ⚜️🟡
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 11/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Disbelief Rally Time?A lot of extreme bearish exuberance, but fundamentals continue to go up on the Ethereum network: lower gas fees, record transactions, record stable coin and real-world asset volume (digital treasuries, digital gold, etc). Recipe for a disbelief rally given extreme low sentiment.
Bullish catalysts:
- Fusaka upgrade go-live
- Tariff SCOTUS reversal odds
- Government reopening
- Clarity act progress
- New record network stats
- New dovish economic reports






















