AUDUSD – Wave Analysis OutlookAUDUSD continues to unfold within a broad corrective structure, and current price action leaves room for two key scenarios.
Primary View (Blue W–X–Y):
The recent swings suggest the pair is developing a W–X–Y corrective pattern in blue. If this count holds, price could extend higher toward the 0.6750 – 0.6800 region, which aligns with Fibonacci projections where the correction may eventually complete before the broader downtrend resumes.
Alternative View (Expanding Triangle in Wave X):
Another possibility is that wave X is evolving into an expanding triangle. In this case, price may continue to alternate in wider swings (A–B–C–D–E) before breaking out into the next leg. The triangle invalidation level sits at 0.6417—a break below this would negate the structure and open the door for further downside.
👉 For now, I’ll be watching for buy setups if price consolidates at current levels, targeting the higher Fibonacci zones (0.6750–0.6800).
⚠️ Disclaimer: This outlook is based on my personal wave analysis and shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Fibonacci
GSK | Powerful Move Going Into 2026 | LONGGSK Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the Commercial Operations, and Research and Development segments. The Commercial Operations segment has three product groups of specialty medicines, vaccines, and general medicines. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.
MET | Life Insurance Industry Will Rise | LONGMetLife, Inc. engages in providing insurance and financial services to individual and institutional customers. It operates through the following segments: Group Benefits, Retirement and Income Solutions (RIS), Asia, MetLife Holdings, and Corporate and Other. The Group Benefits segment offers group life insurance products with renewable term policies. The RIS segment contains short and long-duration products, including capital market products, pension risk transfers, structured settlements, and other benefit funding products. The Asia segment focuses on Japan only and offers traditional life insurance, and accident and health products. The MetLife Holdings segment includes traditional and universal life products. The Corporate and Other segment refers to surplus investment portfolios used to fund capital and liquidity needs. The company was founded on March 24, 1868 and is headquartered in New York, NY.
ETH/USDT 1D chart review🔎 Technical analysis
1. Trend
• You can see a clear growth trend line (orange). The price consistently reflected from her, which means that the buyers defend this level.
• Currently, the price is above trendline, which is a bull signal.
2. Support and resistance
• Support:
• $ 4,429
• USDT $ 4,556
• resistance:
• $ 4.687 USDT (current price fight - this is where the market is testing)
• USD 4,793 (strong resistance)
• USD 4,954 (key psychological resistance - nearly 5K)
3. Candles
• We have a long green up move - the momentum is strong.
• The last candles show a little indecisive at 4.687 (upper shadows), i.e. possible consolidation or back.
4. STOCHASTIC RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart)
• enters the purchase zone (> 80).
• This often heralds correction, but in strong trends the indicator can last long.
⸻
📊 Scenarios
• bull (continuation of growth):
If ETH stays above 4.687 and pierces 4.793, the next goal is 4.954 (and then psychological 5,000).
• Bear (correction):
Rejection 4.687 and descent below 4.556 can open the way to the Trendline test around 4.430.
Puncting the trend down is a reversal signal and a possible drop towards 4.200.
⸻
📌 Summary
• Main trend: upward.
• Momentum: Strong, but the indicators show buying.
• Strategy:
• Careful entrances with support (4.556 / 4.430).
• confirmed breaking 4.793 = strong signal for further increases.
• Stop loss below Trendline (~ 4,400), because it will negate the current script of the bull
BX |Bullish Momentum Incoming | LONGBlackstone, Inc. engages in the provision of investment and fund management services. It operates through the following segments: Real Estate, Private Equity, Credit and Insurance, and Hedge Fund Solutions. The Real Estate segment includes management of opportunistic real estate funds, Core+ real estate funds, high-yield real estate debt funds, and liquid real estate debt funds. The Private Equity segment consists of management of flagship corporate private equity funds, sector and geographically focused corporate private equity funds, core private equity funds, an opportunistic investment platform, a secondary fund of funds business, infrastructure-focused funds, a life sciences investment platform, a growth equity investment platform, a multi-asset investment program for eligible high net worth investors and a capital markets services business. The Credit and Insurance segment refers to Blackstone Credit, which is organized into two overarching strategies: private credit which includes mezzanine direct lending funds, private placement strategies, stressed and distressed strategies and energy strategies, and liquid credit which consists of CLOs, closed-ended funds, open ended funds and separately managed accounts. In addition, the segment includes an insurer-focused platform, an asset-based finance platform, and publicly traded master limited partnership investment platform. The Hedge Fund Solutions segment focuses on Blackstone Alternative Asset Management, which manages a broad range of commingled and customized hedge fund of fund solutions. It also includes a GP Stakes business and investment platforms that invest directly, as well as investment platforms that seed new hedge fund businesses and create alternative solutions through daily liquidity products. The company was founded by Stephen Allen Schwarzman in 1985 and is headquartered in New York, NY.
NZDCAD – Wave Analysis OutlookNZDCAD has recently completed a complex corrective structure and rebounded strongly from the 0.8070 region, signaling the possibility of a developing base.
According to wave analysis, the pair may continue unfolding higher, with projections toward the 0.83 – 0.84 zone, and potentially extending into the 0.85 – 0.86 handle in the coming phases.
At this stage, the key focus is on whether price consolidates around the current level. Such a pause would provide a potential platform for the next upward leg within the broader corrective sequence.
👉 I’ll be watching for buy setups if price consolidates at the current level.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This outlook is based on my personal wave analysis and shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
QCOM | Consolidation Almost Done | LONGQUALCOMM, Inc. engages in developing and commercializing foundational technologies and products used in mobile devices and other wireless products. It operates through the following segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT), Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL), and Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives (QSI). The QCT segment develops and supplies integrated circuits and system software based on technologies for use in voice and data communications, networking, application processing, multimedia, and global positioning system products. The QTL segment grants licenses and provides rights to use portions of the firm's intellectual property portfolio. The QSI segment focuses on opening new or expanding opportunities for its technologies and supporting the design and introduction of new products and services for voice and data communications. The company was founded by Franklin P. Antonio, Adelia A. Coffman, Andrew Cohen, Klein Gilhousen, Irwin Mark Jacobs, Andrew J. Viterbi, and Harvey P. White in July 1985 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context
📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS.
📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 .
📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority)
🎯 Entry:
FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593
FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560
OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540
⛔ SL: below 3520
✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High)
✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740
2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend)
Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break.
🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680
✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567
⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long.
3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario)
If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated.
🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
Too soon... Pump and Dump... Long Term Hold...ABTC has fluctuated highs and lows, where is the floor, how high can this go with time. I did buy under $7 and am going to hold for a while. My overall concensus is bullish simply due to my belief that Bitcoin will continually move higher and higher.
I have no timeframe on selling, this is more of a Buffet style, buy and hold forever.
I am not a trader and have no professional experience.
1D chart | XRP/USDT – Bigger 5th Wave in Play: or WXYXZ?I’m tracking the development of the larger 5th wave for OKX:XRPUSDT , which currently has a target range between 4.0600 and 5.4003 .
My main scenario is a standard 5-wave impulse. In this case, wave 3 should extend toward 4.2766 , with the full 5th wave likely pushing deeper into the broader target zone.
The alternative scenario is a complex W–X–Y–X–Z correction. This would imply a minimum target of 3.6618 , but more realistically it should go within the 4.4348–4.9888 zone before the structure completes.
For now, I lean toward the impulsive count, but I’ll be watching price behaviour near these key levels for confirmation.
💬 Which scenario do you think is more likely to play out?
BTC Long/Buysbtc has been consolidating between 107,000-113,000 for a while now and i'm expecting it to break this channel soon. i'm in btc buys from level 95,000-100,000 but still i bought some at this level as according my analysis we will retest ath soon.
its a good buying area so if you've missed out previous pumps i will suggest to buy at this level and if one wants to play safe they should wait for close above resistance area. blue horizontal lines are the areas where u can book profits.
I have said it before and i keep saying it btc and gold the only way to make money with them is to buy and forget.
still be safe and risk wisely.
Pepe Speed Resistance Fan Break OutLong time coming and good sign that pepe has broken free from the 0.7 speed resistance fan resistance.
Looking back at the last breakout with a similar breakout for confluence. Looking at 0.618 target.
Haven't spent much time on the Wave Count accuracy of late. Having said that, looking for some good and positive vibes to the upside. The other day, volume looking good, matching that "at least" close to the last all time high.
PEPE/BTC a noticeable move to the upside. Starting to gain interest. Will revert back, things are starting to look interesting again after a moment of slumber!
Stay calm. Cool, calm and collective :)
EURNZD – Wave Analysis OutlookThe structure on EURNZD suggests the pair is unfolding within a broader impulsive sequence, but the short-term leg appears corrective in nature. Price is currently reacting around the 1.96 – 1.97 zone, which aligns with a cluster of Fibonacci retracements.
From a wave perspective, the decline from recent highs looks corrective, hinting that another upward leg could still develop before the larger cycle turns lower.
If price holds above the 1.95 – 1.96 support region, an extension higher toward the 2.02 – 2.04 zone remains possible.
That zone coincides with Fibonacci projections and could serve as the completion area for the current upward phase.
Once that move matures, the broader structure points to a potential bearish transition, with deeper downside targets unfolding in line with the larger corrective path.
Wave analysis often reveals how markets expand in measured phases shorter-term corrections feeding into higher-degree swings. The key is to monitor whether price respects the current corrective floor or breaks it, which would confirm an earlier shift into the downward sequence.
👉 I’ll be looking for a sell setup if price reaches the 2.02 – 2.04 zone or if we break below the current trendline and consolidate.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This outlook is based on personal wave analysis and shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk—always do your own research before acting.
NVDA - Price ProjectionNVDA made a double top on 28/08/2025, since been making Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Althought its still just above SMA50. I see some downside in NVDA before a move up.
The question is where would I be a buyer?
I would inch in to buy for a swing trade at three levels:
- my first buy would be at around 157. This is at a long term trendline that goes back to Mar 2024
- my second buy would be 152.74. This a support level from previous double top
- my third buy would be between 147 and 148. This is a strong level and a confluence of two levels. There is gap fill at 147.90 and Fib retracement level of 38.2% at 147.55
Alternatively, my thesis will be invalid if NVDA close above 184.
USD/CAD – Wave Analysis Outlook The current structure on USD/CAD shows price unfolding within a developing corrective sequence. The market has been progressing in overlapping swings, hinting at a temporary continuation higher before a potential reversal.
Based on wave analysis, price appears to be completing a smaller-degree upward leg that could stretch toward the 1.39 – 1.40 zone.
Once that phase matures, the larger context suggests the market may transition into the next downward leg, aligning with the broader corrective cycle.
A failure to sustain above the 1.40 handle would strengthen the bearish case, opening the path toward deeper downside projections.
This perspective highlights how wave formations often build in layers—smaller moves feeding into larger corrective patterns. The key is to observe whether the market respects the unfolding sequence or extends beyond it, which will reveal the true wave count in play.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal wave analysis for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading carries risk, and you should always do your own research before making decisions.
XAUUSD | FED leaning toward 50bps cut? |Buy strategy at support XAU/USD – 12/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
Probability of a -50bps FED cut next week has risen to 10.9% (from 8%), while the -25bps scenario remains almost certain.
US Jobless Claims surged unexpectedly → reflecting labor market weakness, reinforcing expectations of FED easing.
Tonight (21:00): release of University of Michigan Sentiment & Inflation Expectations (1Y–5Y) – data that could further impact the Dollar.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Dollar weakness + declining bond yields = Gold remains supported to the upside. However, short-term corrections may appear before breaking higher.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
Weak High: 3675 – 3677 (psychological barrier)
Peak Zone: 3676 – 3680 (retest highs, possible short-term reversal)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
OB Dock: 3636 – 3638
Deep Harbor: 3621 – 3623
Market Structure :
On H1, Gold has created multiple BoS and formed Equal Highs (EqH) around 3645 – 3650.
An FVG appeared → signal that liquidity gap may need filling before continuation.
Preferred scenario: pullback to 3636 or deeper 3621 , then rebound toward 3675 – 3680.
Break above 3680 → potential expansion toward a new ATH above 3700 .
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority with trend)
Buy OB: 3636 – 3638 | SL: 3628 | TP: 3645 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 36xx
Deep Buy Zone: 3621 – 3623 | SL: 3612 | TP: 3640 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 368x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone: 3675 – 3677 | SL: 3684 | TP: 3665 – 3655 – 3645 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The dovish wind from the FED continues to carry the Golden sails forward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3636 – 3621) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before the next voyage. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3675 – 3680) may raise strong waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main journey still points north. If 3680 is broken, the Golden ship will expand its voyage toward new peaks above 3700.”
Starbucks Wave Analysis – 12 September 2025
- Starbucks broke the support area
- Likely to fall to support level 76.15
Starbucks recently broke the support area between the support level 85.00 (which stopped 2 earlier waves – 1 and i) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse wave 1 from April.
The breakout of this support area accelerated the active impulse wave c of the medium-term ABC correction 2 from the end of July.
Given the multi-month downtrend, Starbucks can be expected to fall to the next support level 76.15 (former low of waves A and (2)).
Tesla Wave Analysis – 12 September 2025- Tesla broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 414.50
Tesla recently broke the resistance area located at the intersection of the resistance level 360.00 (which has been reversing the price from February), resistance trendline of the daily up channel from July and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from June.
Tesla can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 414.50 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).