Why is $PG Procter & Gamble NOT good for Dividends nowFor dividends, companies need to have a relatively stable chart, or even some ups/downs are even better, but do NOT gamble (pun intended) on price.
P&G specifically MAY have reached the bottom of the fall, and get a short-term uptrend, but after that double-top and being within a descending channel, my feeling is that the downtrend will continue.
I would NOT get this risk for a little 3% dividend.
WHY?
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Fibonacci
CRK - Movement PotentialThe correction is continuing, and wave C has started to develop.
Wave C is expected to unfold as an impulsive move, pushing well below the end of wave A , while also being approximately equal in length to wave A.
Primary target: 10.3
Intermediate target: 17.1
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BULLISH MOMENTUM-The market has tensing up for almost 5 days before finally breaking its structure with the buy move.
-On a weekly & Daily there is still a BUY bais.
-The market has been hinting for sells for a while but gave us nothing as the buyers are still in control.
-Im expecting a contiuation of our buys. This can only be confirmed with a pullback into the marked entry & a push up to the daily swing high.
MARKET BAIS⬆️
:WEEKYLY=⬆️
:DAILY=⬆️
:1HR=⬇️
NB:Whatever sells comes before the daily swing high has been swept/broken above is only temporary. Therefore any sells taken will be trading against the trend automatically putting me at a disadvantage.
Tesla - Falling DownThe bullish five-wave advance from Apr–Dec 2024 is complete.
Since Dec 2024, Tesla has been in a corrective phase.
Wave A (Dec 2024 - Apr 2025) was a five-wave corrective move.
Wave B (Apr - Oct 2025) formed a clear three-wave correction.
Sub-wave (C) correction is finishing. A brief upside attempt is still possible, but any short-term rise above 489 will likely make the subsequent decline of C deeper.
Tesla is in a major reversal zone.
A large wave C is expected, forming a five-wave impulsive decline to 210 or lower.
Summary:
A 50%+ decline in Tesla shares is expected in 2026.
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Amazon - Continuing CorrectionThe correction is ongoing, and wave C has started to form.
Since wave B is longer than wave A , wave C is expected to move below the low of wave A .
Main target: 142
Intermediate target: 187
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Silver approaching a 0.618 fib line weekly chartDec 13 2025
I decided to have a look at Silver again using Fibs, so I made a retracement in the 2008 to 2011 price gain, and using prior analysis from Feb 25 2025 determined that the price and pattern on the Feb 25 analysis is around a 0.236 fib line, so if allis somewhat equal, and the fib is a little correct we may be approaching an area of consolidation in the Dec 13 2025 fib at line 0.618. Ultimately price would be what ever it is but may top out in $100 per ounce range, may be a good time to buy dips? or visit a silver etf?
Silver Short: Completed Wave 3, Wave 4 StartsFrom the Fibonacci extension confirmation and the completed wave counts, I believe we have seen Silver's top for the year. The expectation is for a sharp downturn (likely a Zig-Zag) as we use alternation (Wave 2 is complex and flattish). The target of of $45.53 may be conservative. But let's review when price nears there.
Stop above the high.
Good luck!
#ETH H4 HH (BOS) long update to 3900BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
After a prolonged and structural decline according to wave theory, the price reversed on abc and updated its HH twice. The trend line that the price had been building through its short movement was broken on h4.
I expect a retest at 0.618 on the Fibonacci level, confirmed by strong HVN and the trend line as support in this case.
Based on the extended Fibonacci, I noted the first target of 3800-3900. If the price manages to hold at these levels, we can hope for a new long-term long scenario and an update of the record HH ETH.
ETH/USDT 1D CHart Long-Term.
🔍 Market Structure (Price Action)
1️⃣ Trend
Long-term: The uptrend has been broken (a downward breakout from the black trend line).
Medium-term: A sequence of lower highs and lower lows → a downtrend.
The current rebound is a correction in the downtrend, not a confirmed reversal.
📐 Key Levels (very well marked)
🔴 Support
2768 USDT – key support (current local bottom).
2157 USDT – final support from the previous structure (if 2768 breaks → a very real pullback).
🟢 Resistance
3506 USDT – current nearest resistance (retest after a downward breakout).
4101 USDT – strong supply zone + former support.
4477 USDT – main structural resistance (region of previous highs).
👉 Price is now exactly in the decision zone between 2768 and 3506.
📉 Trendline
Breaked and rejected (retest ended with a decline).
This is a classic signal of a downtrend continuation.
Until the price returns above 3506 and sustains, there is no uptrend.
📊 Stochastic RSI
The oscillator frequently reaches the 80–100 zone.
Currently: Moving out of overbought → signal of weakening upward momentum.
No bullish divergence → no confirmation of a trend change.
🧠 Scenarios
🐻 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Rejection of 3506
Return to around 3000 → 2768
Breakthrough of 2768 = open path to ~2150
🐂 Alternative (conditional) scenario
Daily close above 3506
Retest of 3506 as support
Only then is a move towards 4100 possible
🎯 Final conclusions
This is not a market for longs without confirmation.
The current rebound looks like a pullback in a downtrend.
Safeest:
Short at resistance (3506 / 4101)
Long only after a breakout and holding of 3506
GOLD - Distribution phase. Target - ATH (4380), 4400...FX:XAUUSD is rallying after breaking through consolidation resistance. The fundamental background is positive, with the train heading for an all-time high.
Expectations of a soft Fed policy remain, with the market pricing in two rate cuts in 2026. India's pension fund regulator has allowed investments in gold and silver ETFs. An increase in US unemployment claims (+44,000) has heightened fears of a slowdown in the labor market.
A reversal in the Bank of Japan's policy (rate hike) and a pause by the ECB are boosting the appeal of gold.
Any correction is likely to be short-term and will be met with support from buyers. The baseline scenario remains bullish amid soft monetary policy and a weakening dollar.
Technically, it is dangerous to sell in the current market; it is worth looking for buying opportunities after corrections or pullbacks...
Resistance levels: 4325, 4335, 4380
Support levels: 4300, 4285, 4265
The rally phase is quite aggressive due to the long period of consolidation that the market has been in. All possible factors are supporting growth. In such a market, one can only buy on pullbacks. I expect a pullback from the indicated zone, within which growth to ATH can be considered.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Downward trend pressure. 86K - 84K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P sold off all the gains associated with Tuesday and Wednesday's news. Technically, a false breakout of resistance is forming against the backdrop of a downtrend. There is no fundamental support.
Bitcoin failed to consolidate above 91800 - 94200, a false breakout was formed, and the price returned to the range. There is an imbalance zone on the chart, which the price may test before falling (weak technical and fundamental background).
The trend is downward in the medium term. A countertrend correction is forming, within which the market is facing pressure in the 94K - 95K zone. Zone of interest is 91850. I expect a retest, liquidity capture, and another phase of selling down to 88K - 86K.
Resistance levels: 91850, 92500
Support levels: 89550, 87980, 86260
The price is in the trading range of 84K - 94K. Resistance has been tested, and a double top reversal pattern has formed. Currently, a distribution phase is forming relative to the specified pattern and consolidation at 91850 - 94200. A retest of the nearest resistance could trigger a rebound and cause the price to fall further to the next zone of interest.
Best regards, R. Linda!
VIX | Major Volatility and Market Correction Incoming | LONGThe VIX Index, formally known as the Cboe Volatility Index, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility for the S&P 500 index. It is widely known as the "fear gauge" because it tends to rise sharply during periods of increased investor fear and market uncertainty.
Is This a Bullish Structure Shift?After analyzing the 1-hour chart, price had been trading in a downtrend. Following a break of the descending trendline, price began to shift structure and found strong support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which has been respected multiple times in the past, confirming its validity.
Currently, price is trading around 155.799. A confirmed breakout above the marked breakout level (as shown on the chart) would indicate renewed bullish momentum, with price expected to accelerate toward the projected targets highlighted on the chart.
Traders should watch for strong candle closes and volume expansion to confirm continuation.
Happy Trading
SpicyPips
Ascending Channel | Golden Zone Retracement SetupAfter analyzing the chart on the 2-hour timeframe, price action has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel since Tuesday, 25 November 2025. The upper boundary of the channel has been consistently respected, confirming the strength and validity of this bullish structure.
Following a rejection from the upper boundary, price is currently trading around 1.17403. At this stage, the market appears to be developing a bearish corrective structure, resembling either an upper flag formation or a falling broadening wedge, which is still in progress and not yet completed.
Based on this structure and overall market behavior, we anticipate a potential retracement toward the Fibonacci Golden Zone, which aligns with our projected price target. This area may act as a key decision zone for the next directional move, especially if supported by price action confirmation and volume reaction.
Traders should monitor price behavior closely around the channel boundaries and Fibonacci levels for high-probability setups.
Happy Trading
SpicyPips
Breakout and Retest13-12-2025
1211 is retesting breakout zone near 57.7
aligned with Fib golden pocket
hidden bullish divergence can be seen
price is respecting EMA 89
good to enter with SL 57 or watch for descending channel breakout
it can hit 65, 67.5. Long term it can hit 75/79
# this is not a financial / investment advice. Only meant for tracking technical analysis
Potential Trend Reversal ongoing13-12-2025
expected Trend reversal ongoing
on higher TF
made a new high at 9.48
took support near 7 at 78% fib retracement level
HH/HL pattern on hourly TF
good volume on the rally while dried volume on the retracement
accumulate near 7 with tigh SL below 7
TP1: 7.6
TP2: 8.1
TP3: 8.6
crossing and sustaining above 9.5 will confirm trend reversal
#This is an analysis for learning purposes, not a financial / investment advice
EUR/USD Analysis – 4H OutlookEUR/USD remains in a strong bullish trend, with both technical structure and the broader fundamental backdrop continuing to support the upside. At the moment, however, price is in a corrective downswing within this larger uptrend, which opens the door to two main scenarios.
Scenario 1 – Direct move into liquidity and demand
From the current level, price may extend lower to sweep the downside liquidity resting beneath the recent lows and tap into the highlighted demand zone. This area aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulsive leg, making it a high‑probability support zone for a potential bullish continuation.
Scenario 2 – One more push up before the deeper correction
Alternatively, price could first push higher from the current area, break above the marked weak high, and create a new short‑term high. After that, a reversal from above could trigger a break of the intervening low (the low that breaks the high), followed by a continuation lower into the same liquidity pool and finally into the demand zone around the 61.8% retracement, before a strong upside leg resumes.
Execution plan and disclaimer
The plan is to look for long positions only from the marked demand zone, and only if clear bullish reversal signals appear (e.g., rejection wicks, structure shift, or strong bullish candles). This is a personal technical outlook for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
ZEC — Another -50% Drop AheadZEC has had one of the wildest runs this year, a +2000% explosion from August to November, all in just 80 days, before topping out at $750. Moves that go vertical like this tend to unwind just as aggressively, and ZEC did exactly that: a sharp –60% correction back into the $300 support zone.
That reaction wasn’t random, $300 was a major confluence level:
0.618 Fib retracement of the entire +2000% move
Weekly level lining up cleanly
0.786 Fib of the smaller impulsive wave
Altogether, an ideal spot for a bounce and that’s exactly what we saw. Looking at the current structure, here’s what I’d like to see next:
1. A move toward $500 → Short opportunity
$500 should now act as a psychological resistance level and would be the perfect area for a rejection.
2. A drop into the $250 region → Long opportunity
This zone is stacked with confluence:
0.702 Fib sweet-spot entry of the entire move
0.886 Fib retracement (deep retrace zone)
Weekly order block
Anchored VWAP
Monthly level
POC
This makes $250 a very attractive long-entry, with a simple target back toward $300.
Educational Insight
Parabolic moves like ZEC’s +2000% rally in such a short time almost never resolve sideways. When price accelerates this fast, the market typically needs time to rebalance value. This usually happens through deep retracements and distribution structures.
The first major retrace to the 0.618 Fib often acts as a relief bounce, which we already saw around $300. This bounce doesn’t mean the trend is healthy again it usually represents short covering and dip-buyers stepping in early. Structurally, these bounces often lead to lower highs, forming patterns like Head & Shoulders or broader distribution ranges.
Deeper retracement levels such as the 0.786 and 0.886 Fib tend to be where strong hands accumulate, especially when they align with:
Anchored VWAPs (fair value over time)
High-volume nodes (POC)
Higher-timeframe order blocks
Monthly or weekly levels
This is why the $250 zone stands out. It’s not just “another support”, it’s where multiple market participants agree on value, which increases the probability of a meaningful reaction.
On the flip side, psychological levels like $500 often attract late buyers and breakout traders during corrective rallies. When momentum fades into these areas, they frequently become ideal zones for short entries, especially if volume dries up or rejection wicks form.
Key takeaway:
Instead of chasing fast moves, focus on where value is likely to be defended or rejected. High-probability trades are built where structure, Fibonacci, volume, and VWAP all align.
In summary:
ZEC is offering two solid setups → one on the short side near $500, and one long near $250. Set alerts on both levels and wait for the reaction.
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Gold Short: Ended Corrective Move upOver in this analysis, I point out 2 ways that the Gold Elliott waves can be plotted and I went through the breakdowns as well as 2 interesting Fibonacci extensions that both points to where the recent high of Gold ended.
The idea is invalidated at the recent high so stop should be placed above that.
Good luck!
$BTC Bearish Pennant Or Higher Low Breakout?₿itcoin continues to struggle to reclaim the 9DEMA.
Is this a bearish pennant that will trap bulls?
Or will these higher lows lead to a violent breakout to the upside?
If PA can start trading within the POI above the .618 Fib then there’s a chance for a nice relief rally going into Christmas. Gut says it might breakthrough on the 5th attempt.
Confirmation will be CRYPTOCAP:BTC closing above the 50MA and 50% Gann level.
XAU/USD Hits Record Close- High-Stakes Year-End Breakout LoomsThe gold advance extending into resistance on Friday at the record high-day close (HDC) and the 100% extension of the late-October advance at 4356. Despite the late-week surge, gold pulled back more than 1.2% off the highs and the immediate focus is on inflection off this threshold in the weeks ahead with the recent advance vulnerable while below. A decisive reaction here will be critical in determining whether the next leg of the rally can take hold into year-end or if a pullback is needed to reset momentum.
Initial weekly support now rests with the 38.2% retracement of the late-October advance at 4175 and is backed by the record high-week reversal close at 4112- losses below this threshold would threaten a more significant correction. Subsequent support rests at 4000 with broader bullish invalidation at the October low at 3886. Note that the lower parallel of the yearly pitchfork converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and break below would suggest a larger trend reversal is underway.
A topside breach / close above 4356 would be needed to mark resumption of the yearly uptrend with subsequent resistance objectives eyed 75% parallel (currently near ~4430s) and the 1.618% extension of the 2024 December rally at 4603. Note that the upper parallel converges on this threshold next week- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: Gold stretched into resistance at the record high-day close today and the focus is on a reaction off this mark into the close of the year. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 4112 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a weekly close above 4356 needed to fuel the next leg of the gold rally.
-MB






















