TAO โ High Probability Zones AheadTAO continues to respect the fibonacci levels nicely within this downtrend, pushing back toward the 0.618, which was almost tapped around $232.6.
Right now, Iโm focused on three key zones for high-probability setups:
$250 Psychological Level
The $250 level is acting as solid resistance at the moment.โจWe already saw a clean short setup here today, with confluence from the anchored VWAP around $249.
As long as price stays below this level, it remains a valid rejection zone.
$232.6โ$229
This is the main area Iโm watching for a potential long setup.
Ideally, price makes another push down into this zone:
Tests the 0.618 Fib
Sweeps liquidity below
Shows a clear reaction
From there, a bounce could offer a solid swing opportunity targeting back toward $250โ$260.
$255โ$260
If price does bounce, the $255โ$260 zone stands out as a strong area for a potential short setup:
Prior S/R
Fib confluence
Liquidity
This would be the ideal area to look for rejection.
Quick Insight
In a downtrend, the game is simple:โจ
Short resistance
Long support but only with confirmation
Thatโs the plan for now.โจ
Let the levels play out,
wait for confirmation,
and donโt rush entries.
Clean levels.
Clear plan.
Stay sharp.
_________________________________
๐ฌโฏIf you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Fibonaccianalysis
USDJPY Intraday Trade | Measured Move & Adding to a WinnerThis is a great intraday lesson today not just a trade setup, but a demonstration of how to manage an open position and spot opportunities to add at a better price. Let's break it down.
The Measured Move Setup: 158.74
Using the Fibonacci tool to measure from the High of Wave Structure 1 to the High of Wave Structure 5, the 50% retracement level becomes our Buy Zone. This is how we use the Fibonacci as a precision tool not to predict, but to identify high probability discount zones/levels after an extended impulse wave.
Position Management:
๐ Existing Long: Opened @ 158.08 on Friday still active.
โ
New Addition: The measured move presented a fresh opportunity to add to the position @ 158.85
๐ Profit Lock: This setup also allowed us to lock in existing profits; always a smart move when the opportunity presents itself for us to do this.
Stop Loss:
During the corrective wave we saw a 100% Bearish signal. That 100% Bearish Low now becomes our stop loss level, because price behaviour demands we respect that structural point. If price breaks it, the move is invalidated.
Key Takeaway:
Trading gives you two opportunities:
To make money or to learn. If you don't make money, make absolutely sure you take the lesson. Every trade has value. ๐
Wishing you all a successful and blessed trading week ahead!
NQ NASDAQ Has Completed A W Pattern We have been bullish in NASDAQ as you know.
NQ (NASDAQ/US100/USTECH) now has filled the daily time frame gap and has completed a W pattern. it is still bullish so for any short opportunities, we need confirmation. We have 2 FCP zone which we need to watch out for.
No an advice as usual!
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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OIL Can make a bullish move againCrude OIL (WTI) can make a bullish move if can break through some of the resistance areas shown on the chart. As it has a huge up and then down move it may very well consolidate for sometime and then make it move. If it start to move upwards, it can form a W pattern and close the left over gap.
No an advice as usual!
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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USDCAD Must be watched closely for Great Long OpportunityUSDCAD does not get its fair share of recognition.
It is one of the most underrated currency pairs but from my experience, when it works, it works beautifully especially with patterns. An a lot of analyst do not realise that it is a great indicator for the OIL prices.
At the moment on the weekly time frame, I see that it trying to breakout. If this is successful and confirmed, we can see completing a smaller W and even a bigger W pattern. This will means that USD will gain strength even from CAD perspective, Watch out for DXY with it.
No an advice as usual!
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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XAU/USD Price AnalysisHello Traders,
Gold has experienced a significant correction after reaching highs near $5,600 before the escalation in the Middle East.
Strong buying initially pushed prices higher.
The start of US operations against Iran triggered the first leg down.
When President Trump paused attacks on Iran, we saw another sharp drop as risk sentiment shifted and the dollar strengthened.
This week, on Friday, price tested the Weekly Fibonacci Golden Buy Zone (highlighted in yellow on the chart) and delivered a strong bullish reaction with clear buyer absorption.
My view:
This could mark the end of the correction phase. We are seeing signs of exhaustion in the selling pressure, and more buyers are likely to step in and add positions from this discounted area. The longer-term bullish structure remains intact as long as we hold above the lower boundary of this zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support / Buy Zone: The highlighted weekly Fib golden zone (~$4,320 โ $4,420 area, depending on exact Fib levels you used)
Immediate Resistance: Red horizontal zone around $4,680 โ $4,800
Next Bullish Target (if we break and hold above $4,680): $5,000 โ $5,200 zone
Bullish Scenario:
Hold above the Fib buy zone + reclaim the red resistance โ potential strong rally as dip-buyers return.
Bearish Scenario:
Decisive break and daily close below the lower green support line โ could see another leg lower toward $4,100 โ $4,200.
The chart shows a clean reaction off the zone with some bullish price action candles. If we continue to see higher lows and strength on the 4H/daily, this setup looks promising for a reversal.
What do you think?
Is this the bottom of the correction, or do you expect more downside before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below.
Not financial advice โ always manage your risk.
DAX (GER40) Is Sitting at a Possible M PatternHi,
Last week US equity market indices fell hard and along with that world wide indices participated too. But comparatively DAX showed more resilience than US equity indices such as NASDAQ and SNP500. Now we can see that DAX is sitting at an M pattern. As the market conditions are not great at the moment for a bullish sentiment, we will have to wait and watch how the market opens this week. If this M pattern or an extended M pattern works, thus may be a good sign for US equity indices too as all of these are correlated.
No an advice as usual!
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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Gold: A Bearish View
Gold just printed a trigger wave on the 3-hour chart, with the VWAP oscillator (yellow) crossing down through the zero line, suggesting momentum may be shifting to the downside.
Price is currently trading at the Value Area High (VAH) of the volume profile built from the lowest swing low of this range. This area is acting as resistance and becomes an important level to watch.
If sellers continue defending this zone, Fibonacci extensions highlight potential downside levels. The first key area sits around 4,500, where previous imbalance and structure are located.
Below that, the next potential magnet is the naked POC around 4,245, which often attracts price if the market rotates back into the lower part of the range.
The key question now is whether price can hold above value or if this trigger wave develops into a deeper move toward those lower levels.
- Turttle.
US30 Dow Jones Is At An Important LevelStock Market this weeks opened with larges gaps and over all looking like ready for a correction. However, Dow Jones on daily time frame (as per my data feed) is sitting at 200 sma along with a few fibs. This can be the only chance for the market make a bounce from here. If this levels is broken with strength or broken and confirmed, we will see further larger correction.
Already posted about SNP500
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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SNP500 Stock Market In Trouble?SNP500 seems to be showing signs of little troubles. It has formed a rounding top and this week it has opened with a major gap. Whilst gaps are not uncommon, this is still looking very bearish.
DAX (Germany 30), NASDAQ and all other major indices seem to have followed a similar pattern this week open.
Seems like market is about to take a correction.
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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GOLD XAUUSD $GC Important Levels and Zones - UpdatedHell all,
Here are the updated levels and zones for the coming days and possibly weeks. read one level/zone at a time with price action.
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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USOIL - Weekly Chart outlookQuick take:
- Squeeze of Geopolitical where price has risen for $25 - 92 where a large choke of oil is in play.
Pullback on the daily- awaiting a reload zone:
Pullback retracements of that move:
Fib Price
0.236 ~86
0.382 ~82.5
0.5 ~79.5
0.618 ~76.5
Short term pull back:
0.236โ0.382 retracement of the squeeze
โข Prior weekly resistance / liquidity
โข Under the $90 breakout area
current state of play: at $92 which is a strong growth and hitting a zone of interest on the 50% retracement , so will act accordingly.
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
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HYPE/USDT Pullback Into Golden Fibonacci Zone โ Potential BounceHYPE is currently retracing into a strong Fibonacci support zone between 0.618 and 0.786, which often acts as a key area for trend continuation.
After a strong bullish impulse, price corrected into this demand zone and has already shown signs of reaction from buyers. This region could serve as a potential accumulation area before the next move upward.
Key Levels
๐น 0.618 Fib: 27.35 โ Immediate support
๐น 0.786 Fib: 24.35 โ Major support zone
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the 0.618 level, we could see a continuation toward:
30.00 โ Local resistance
32.00 โ 33.00 โ Previous supply zone
Break above โ Potential move to new highs
Bearish Scenario
If the 0.618 support fails, price may drop deeper into the 0.786 support near 24.35 before the next reaction.
โ ๏ธ Always wait for confirmation and manage risk properly.
$DXY Dollar Is Not Dead And Will Rise Much Higher - Breakout?I have been saying this time again and gain repeatedly that Dollar is being perceived as evil and a dead thing. But the reality is different. Dollar is getting bullish again. This is 3rd time in 6 years they said "Dollar is dead" and it has rather gained strength .
Check the charts for yourself. It is rising higher as expected and can breakout !!!!
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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CADJPY Bullish Continuation - Structural Pullback Buy Setup H1 Context:
Strong uptrend. Price held at Fibonacci T1 โ More upside expected toward T2.
M5 Setup:
TCP from Monday's high โ Invalidated โ
New Rally High above yesterday โ
Asia session pullback = Buy opportunity โ
Trade:
Entry: 115.05
Stop: 114.92 (13 pips)
Watch: 115.15 break โ 115.27 break
Targets: Fibonacci levels
Management:
"Price action will dictate behaviour" - Flexible targeting while Fibonacci provides reference.
Pullback in strong trend = High probability long setup.
๐ Boost if this analysis helps
US100 NQ USTECH NASDAQ Can form a W PatternYesterday, price went higher reached 6.18 fib level. It fell exactly from there. Now if the price comes back up and challenges that point again, it can form an W pattern. We also have a gap open which may get filled.
Ba careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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Silver XAGUSD Has completed a W patternAlthough Silver XAGUSD has more room to rise further, it is at the moment completing a W pattern. This can push the price down a bit at least in a short term.
Ba careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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GOLD $GC XAUUSD Important Levels and ZonesGold has ended the month of Feb 2026 on a bullish note. In the last 2 days, it broker out and reached the next higher level which was there in our analysis. Right now it is still sitting at a trend line resistance level along with FCP zone. Lets wait and watch how the market opens in the month of March.
Here are some important levels and zones which we need to monitor.
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GOLD XAUUSD Important Levels and ZonesGold XAUUSD has been bullish in the past couple of years but after hitting an all time high around 5600, it had a massive correction. Since then it has been consolidating and last week it tried to resume the bullish trend.
So far it has recovered 50 percent of the lost ground and is now sitting a major resistance level. This means only 3 scenarios:
1. Bullish all the way to complete a W pattern (levels and zones are there on the chart)
2. Bullish for smaller extended W pattern and then revert back to the resistance for a retest or fake out.
3. If the retest is successful, the market can again go higher for the bigger W pattern completion.
4. If rest fails, then it can come don to complete an M pattern.
All levels and zones presented are approximate higher time levels so a bit of tolerance limit is expected .
I would take these levels and zones, one at a time time and go to smaller time frame to find confirmation to enter.
Trade what you see, wait for the confirmations and manage the risk as always.
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NASDAQ NQ A Breakout Can Come, Wait For The ConfirmationAs I posted earlier, all of our FCP levels and zones have been working great and have given us tremendous opportunities. Now NQ is back at the upper zone and the momentum is looking great. If this breakouts we can test previous high and possibly go to all time highs.
I have updated a few new levels on the chart.
Trade what you see, wait for the confirmations and manage the risk as always.
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NFLX (Netflix) Possible Buy OpportunityNetflix along with several other NASDAQ stocks have been taking good levels of corrections. I posted about Microsoft yesterday too.
Netflix is running inside an ABCD pattern which can bring it down to the 50% retracement level around 75.66. However, this can only happen if the current support is broken and a bull trap is set. There are a few more levels which can be good levels to BUY or for Dollar Cost Averaging but they are not in the scope of this simple analysis as of now.
Lets wait and watch and always this is not and advice but just an observation. Risk management is extremely important as always.
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Star Cement โ The Quiet Phase Before the Next Big Move?๐ Star Cement โ Primary Wave-4 & Wave-5 Context (Elliott Wave Study)
This post is an educational Elliott Wave structure study ๐ based on the current weekly and daily chart of Star Cement.
Star Cement completed a strong multi-year advance ๐ from the 2022 lows, peaking near the โน308โ310 region . This advance shows classic characteristics of a Primary Wave-3 , including strong momentum, broad participation, and a terminal phase near the highs.
After the peak, price behaviour shifted from trending to overlapping and corrective , suggesting the market has transitioned into a Primary Wave-4 phase . Among the common corrective patterns, a Flat (A-B-C) structure currently best explains the price action.
Within this interpretation, Wave A declined from ~โน308 to ~โน245 and showed overlapping characteristics rather than a clean impulse. Wave B retraced weakly toward ~โน270 and lacked impulsive strength, which is typical behaviour within flat corrections. Wave C is currently unfolding with overlapping internal swings and reduced momentum, supporting the view that this is a corrective decline rather than the start of a new impulsive downtrend.
From a structural and Fibonacci perspective ๐, the chart highlights a broader confluence area between โน195 and โน205 , corresponding to the 0.618 retracement of the entire Primary Wave-3 and the 1.272 extension of Wave A. An extended confluence area is also visible around โน185โ190 , near the 0.786 retracement of Primary Wave-3. These zones are presented purely as areas of analytical interest where flat corrections often mature, not as signals.
In educational terms ๐, a Flat-C phase typically ends quietly rather than dramatically . Behaviour consistent with a maturing correction would include price stabilising within the โน185โ205 zone , smaller and overlapping candles, failed breakdown attempts with quick recoveries, and the emergence of a clean directional move away from the zone. In contrast, continuation of the correction would be suggested by impulsive downside expansion below ~โน185 , increasing range and volume on declines, and weak rebounds that remain capped below prior resistance zones.
The projected Primary Wave-5 ๐ต (shown in blue on the chart) is included strictly for higher-degree context. Wave-5 scenarios are only studied after Wave-4 has fully resolved and the structure transitions from corrective to impulsive. Historically, Primary Wave-5 advances tend to be more selective, often shorter than Wave-3, and occur only after prolonged consolidation or correction. The Fibonacci extension zones associated with Wave-5 are theoretical reference levels that illustrate how analysts frame potential future paths, not expectations.
At this stage, Star Cement remains in a Primary Wave-4 corrective environment . The focus is on observing structure, momentum, and confirmation rather than anticipating outcomes ๐ง . Higher-degree trend continuation can only be discussed after the correction completes and the market clearly proves a change in behaviour.
๐ Star Cement โ Blue Wave-4 on Daily Timeframe (Elliott Study)
After the advance into the โน308โ310 zone ๐, price behaviour shifted from trending to overlapping and corrective , marking the development of blue Wave-4 on the daily chart. This phase is characterised by segmented declines , frequent counter-trend bounces, and fading momentum , rather than impulsive selling.
Blue Wave-4 is interacting with a key โน195โ205 confluence zone ๐, with a deeper reference near โน185โ190 , areas where corrective waves often stabilise. Wave-4 corrections typically resolve quietly through time and overlap โณ, not sharp reversals.
This study is shared strictly for educational and analytical discussion and does not constitute investment advice โ ๏ธ.






















