Elite | XAUUSD | 30M – Break & Retest Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD
Price consolidated for an extended period before delivering a strong impulsive move through resistance. Such breakouts typically invite a pullback or consolidation above the broken level before continuation. As long as price holds above the former resistance zone, bullish continuation remains valid.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
A successful hold above the broken structure zone (≈4375–4385) opens the door for continuation toward higher highs.
🎯 Target 1: 4420
🎯 Target 2: 4450
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Failure to hold above the broken level could lead to a deeper retracement toward institutional demand.
🎯 Downside Target: 4320–4300
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4420 – 4450
Support 🟢: 4385 – 4300
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Flag
EGCH - is that a game ?! - its stocks market .EGX:EGCH - 1-week timeframe
Multiple patterns and indicators show conflicting results.
Prices often closed daily above 12.00 but failed to do so weekly.
My recommendation from two months ago:
Sell around 11.00 and rebuy if prices close weekly above 12.00.
So far, prices haven't closed weekly above 12.00.
However, this approach may reduce readability for investors.
Bullish Airlines Cleared for Altitude!After squinting at the 4H chart like Sherlock with a caffeine addiction, I’ve confirmed: our price broke out of a flag pattern like it was tired of napping. It even did the polite thing—came back to retest—like, “Excuse me, just checking if I actually broke out. Yep. Cool.”
Now it’s back on its bullish treadmill, charging uphill like a gym bro after pre-workout.
As long as we’re above 3200, this beast might just pump harder than Bitcoin on caffeine and hopium.
🎯 Final destination? 161.80% Fib extension at 3580.22—aka “Mount Take Profit.”
Pack snacks. It’s a climb.
USDJPY rallies on BOJ's "dovish hike": Is 158.00 next target?USDJPY is surging past 156.00 despite the BOJ raising rates to 0.75%, the highest level since 1995. This classic "buy the rumour, sell the fact" reaction is fuelled by Governor Ueda's cautious guidance, signalling no rush for further hikes. A lack of commitment to a neutral rate path has kept the carry trade alive.
Key drivers
"Dovish hike" Reaction : The BOJ raised rates to 0.75% as priced in, but Governor Ueda emphasized a "data-dependent" approach with "no pre-set path," disappointing hawks hoping for a rapid tightening cycle.
Neutral rate uncertainty : Ueda admitted it's "challenging to pinpoint" the neutral rate and wants to observe the economy's reaction first, implying a pause that leaves the wide yield gap with the US (3.5%+) intact.
Technical breakout : USD/JPY has cleared the 156.00 resistance zone, confirming a bullish flag breakout on the daily chart. RSI resetting near 50 supports further upside potential.
Key targets : Immediate focus is on the swing high at 157.00, followed by the 2025 peak at 157.93 and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension at 158.77.
Trade plan : Bias is bullish above 156.00. Look to buy pullbacks into the 156.00–156.20 support zone, targeting 157.00+; invalidation below 155.00.
Are you buying the BOJ breakout? Share your USD/JPY targets in the comments and follow for more central bank and technical trade setups.
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PDD shortDowntrend + Flag (continuation pattern ), trendline break + retest
Looks like ABC Pattern.
Estimate: Quick drop after consolidation in downtrend.
Stop 120,
Short entry 116
Target 96
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
GBPJPY: Bullish Wave Almost Confirmed?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY turned bullish after the news today.
The price is currently breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern.
If a today's daily candle closes above its trend line, there
will be a high chance to see more growth.
Next resistance will be 209.5 then.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Another BoS
Silver did it again.
The price updated the ATH yesterday, breaking and closing above
a major horizontal resistance.
It opens a potential for more growth.
Next resistance will be 68.0
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Bitcoin - Bear flag, 74k confirmed! (warning, must see)Bitcoin has just completed its bearish flag formation. What now? The probability of going down is now around 70%, while the probability of going up is only 30%. Many times we see a bullish breakout of a bear flag. How does it look? Something like that:
We see that for a bullish breakout, the bulls need to completely go above the flag's resistance, which is much harder than simply going down, especially in a strong bear market, like in this Bitcoin's case.
Bitcoin's price and development are completely controlled by the banks and huge institutions that control this planet. To make money, you have to identify their actions on the chart.
On the chart we can also see a completely unfilled FVG (Fair Value GAP). Precisely between 90600 and 92060. There is a possibility for Bitcoin to partially or completely fill this GAP before starting the upcoming drop! Longs are riskier at this point, because we want to trade with the bearish trend. But if the price increases in the short term, we can have a much better entry point for our short position on futures. It's also a possibility to retest the long-term blue trendline from the all-time high.
From the Elliott Wave point of view, this bear flag seems to be a complex corrective pattern. To be honest, I don't see any signs of strength, such as an impulse wave or a leading diagonal wedge pattern. I am currently bearish on Bitcoin, and I expect a pretty significant drop in the coming weeks! Especially January is statistically an extremely weak month for Bitcoin.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD SHORT SELL MOOD NOW.
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion, please feel free command me.
Is everyone too bearish on BTC? Up to $108k before down?Everyone is extremely bearish on BTC here calling for new lows, but the chart and indicators don't look like they support a move straight down.
Even though we're technically consolidating in a bear flag, I don't think we actually break to the downside (yet).
To me, it looks like we should see a large bounce first up to the $103k-108k range, then I think a larger downside move can play out down to the lower support levels.
The reason why I don't think we see a move straight down is because we're so oversold on high timeframes (weekly) and we're still above key support levels. It makes more sense to me to see a fake out move up that makes everyone bullish again before we see the large move down.
As long as we remain above that $86.1k support level, then I think this is a strong possibility of an outcome.
Let's see if we can hold that level and how it plays out.
USDJPY Shorting IdeaThis Trade idea is inspired by Wyckoff Heuristics
& Common Smart Money Knowledge.
My prediction with JPY Rates ahead of time, beginning to gather strength
we will first begin with a campaign that requires the build up to drop
The floor to lower prices as mentioned in the format of the chart.
Updates soon as time developes toward Thurdays Japanese Yen Interest
Rate Decisions
Gold continuation underway?On a 4 hour time frame, looking like we potentially completed a reacc model.
Price potentially continuing to retest and blow through highs.
Will be looking for entries on day trades in the green highlighted area if we start to squeeze.
Ultimate target will be the 1.61 fib of the range. (I use fibs as targets when we are running blue skies.
I will want to see us riding the 10EMA on the hour, entries will be made on the 1 min on flag breakouts while above and riding the 10EMA on the 1 min.






















