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Fractal

USDCHF - Buy the Retrace?Daily Chart The daily structure on USDCHF remains bearish, both in the swing view and the fractal view. Price is currently testing a daily FVG, but this zone feels weak considering there is another daily bullish FVG below, aligned with an untested daily BB. That deeper zone is where I would ideally like to see price react to the downside from in the future. For now, price just swept the equal lows resting beneath and immediately reacted to the upside — a potential sign of short-term relief before any continuation lower. 4H Chart On the 4H chart, we don’t get many standout signals — however, we can clearly see a shift in fractal structure. Notably, the previous bearish fractal break appears to have been a liquidity play, as the very next candle shifted the structure back to bullish. From my perspective, this opens the door for a countertrend long, with my entry positioned around the 0.50 retracement of the current bullish 4H fractal structure. My SL is placed below the protected low that already swept liquidity, and my TP sits at 2R, aligned with the 4H BB. Risk: 0.5%, since: it’s a countertrend setup, DXY is choppy and not strongly bullish, and we still have a daily bearish FVG overhead.
Long
by AlessioRO
AUDUSD - Trap Set, Bears ReadyDaily Chart AUDUSD remains in a strong bullish swing and fractal structure. Although price has just tapped into the daily bullish FVG, the current POI sits within the premium area of the fractal leg, suggesting that a deeper retracement would offer a healthier correction before continuation. Price recently swept major daily liquidity highs, and we are now seeing the first signs of a reaction. Below the current daily FVG, and inside the discounted zone where I want to position longs, we have another daily bullish FVG overlapping a daily OB — a strong long-term demand confluence if price retraces deeper. 4H Chart On the 4H chart, the double liquidity sweep becomes more visible — first on the daily structure, then again on the 4H where early buyers were liquidated. The fractal structure has shifted bearish, but at this stage I consider the confirmation weak. Why? Because the break came through a rollover candle, not a clean body break. I would prefer a full body close below the previous day’s low to validate the bearish fractal break. If that happens, my plan is to draw a Fibonacci retracement and look for entries at the premium area of the break (around 0.50) to target the next 4H POI — the Breaker Block, which lies inside the current daily FVG. Despite being a countertrend idea, the confluence is strong enough for me to consider risk. Additional Notes On the 1H chart, the entry aligns nicely with a supply zone formed by the 1H fractal break, covered by: 1H FVG 1H OB at the top The only concern: the 1H reacted after liquidating a 1H bullish OB inside a daily bullish FVG, which adds some complexity — but does not invalidate the setup.
Short
by AlessioRO
WTI Crude Oil 4H Setup – Liquidity Zones & FVG ReactionThis 4-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (FXCM) highlights a potential trade setup based on liquidity structure and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). Key zones include Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Sell Side Liquidity (SSL), and both 4H and Daily FVGs. An Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) is marked, with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels clearly defined. Price action suggests a reaction from the FVG zone, with structure favoring a move toward the next liquidity pool. The setup reflects Smart Money Concepts and precision-based execution.
FX:USOILLong
by ZayanHassan7
USDCAD - Dip Buy → Then Sell?Daily Chart On the daily chart, the market remains bearish — both in the swing view and fractal view. Below the most recent low, we have a daily demand zone / OB, which could provide a future swing long opportunity if price reaches it. For now, however, a countertrend long makes sense before any deeper move lower, as price appears overextended and may push higher to fill the daily FVG and connect with the 0.50 retracement of the current downside leg. 4H Chart The 4H chart aligns with the daily perspective, but with one important detail: fractal structure turned bullish today after reacting to an old daily FVG, adding weight to a countertrend long idea. We currently see a reaction at the bearish daily FVG, meaning sellers are still active — but I expect price to push higher, potentially to complete the FVG fill and connect with the 4H BB. That’s the zone where I would look for shorts in line with the higher-timeframe trend. Until then, the long retracement setup remains valid.
Long
by AlessioRO
NZDUSD - Bulls Said ‘BRB’, I WaitDaily Chart The daily structure remains bullish, and price has just taken liquidity at an important level before tapping into an unmitigated daily BB, where we’re now seeing a solid reaction. Price has already reached the 0.50 retracement of the current daily fractal leg, filled a nearby daily FVG, and is now resting below another daily FVG — a zone where long setups could develop if price retraces deeper. 4H Chart Since the daily trend is bullish, the overall directional bias remains upward. However, the 4H fractal structure is currently bearish, meaning the ongoing move is likely a retracement within the higher-timeframe trend. The key now is to see how deep this retracement goes before the market resumes higher. The current 4H bearish fractal has left behind another 4H bearish FVG, from which additional short-term selling pressure may appear. The risk here is that if the current fractal low breaks, the fractal structure will flip, making the 4H FVG less relevant as bulls could simply override it. The ideal scenario for longs would be to see continued bearish momentum during the Asia session, allowing price to tag the major 4H POIs (FVG + OB), while also tapping into the daily bullish FVG. From that confluence, I’ll monitor fractal structure shifts to time potential long entries back in line with the bullish daily trend.
Short
by AlessioRO
EURUSD – First Insight | Market Reaction Expected at Supply ZonePrice on the Daily timeframe has tapped into a fresh Supply Area (Decision Point), where sell-side orders historically sit. This marks a key region where institutional flows may begin to shift — but because this is only the early touch of the zone, confirmation becomes essential before taking directional positions. Dropping into H4, structure shows a clear ascending trendline supporting price. A clean break below this trendline would suggest a corrective move, with potential downside toward 1.17200 – 1.17150 — the near-term liquidity pocket and zone where green demand sits. However, should buyers gain control and we see a confirmed candle close above 1.18095, the bullish leg could extend toward 1.18379 — the next area where unmitigated orders remain. This is not a signal — it’s a perspective. I trade based on RTM principles, reacting only where real orders likely exist — not prediction, reaction. If you're following this breakdown, stay tuned — updates will come as structure unfolds. Your support keeps this journey evolving — more deep dives and higher-quality breakdowns are on the way. `pouryaabdi
Short
by fxpouryabdi
1
7 period fractals, the real CycleThe concept of 7 isn’t new, it has been identified it all kinds of assets for Gold to S&P 500. Bitcoin followed the stock market, pivot at similar price points with a decimal shift. The pivots up and down seem to occur in fractals of 7. Go check the charts yourself. The 7 seems to moreso align with time frame from tops to bottoms, and bottom to tops. Bitcoin double tops in 2021 occurred 7 months apart. Dogecoin topped 7 months before bitcoin, lagged 7 months before bitcoin, and took 7 months to top starting from the start of its macro Elliot Wave 1. Since the 4 year cycle is waning, a drift to a 7 year cycle from bottom to top seems the mostly likely shift. Here I show how Dogecoin seems to be following the same fractal pattern.
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by LofiBear84
1
The Macro Setup: Why Gold Is Gaining GroundThe Macro Setup: Why Gold Is Gaining Ground Gold has always been a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability. But the current setup is unique: - Global debt is at historic highs, with central banks continuing to inject liquidity into fragile economies. - Inflation remains sticky, even as rate hikes attempt to cool overheated markets. - Geopolitical tensions — from trade wars to regional conflicts — are pushing investors toward safe-haven assets. - Central banks are buying gold aggressively, especially in emerging markets like China, Russia, and Turkey, as they diversify away from the US dollar. These factors create a “perfect storm” for gold to rally — not just in short bursts, but in a sustained multi-year uptrend. Technical Momentum: What the Charts Say From a technical perspective, gold has broken multiple all-time highs in 2025, with price action showing strong bullish structure. The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are trending upward, and RSI levels remain elevated, indicating persistent buying pressure. Short-term forecasts suggest gold could reach $4,800 within the next 3–6 months. But if momentum continues and macro tailwinds persist, the $6,000 target becomes a realistic long-term milestone. Institutional Insight: JPMorgan’s $6,000 Call JPMorgan’s analysis is particularly compelling. They argue that even a 0.5% reallocation of global financial assets into gold could push prices toward $6,000. That’s not a market meltdown scenario — it’s a modest shift in portfolio strategy. Their thesis is built on: - Rising real interest rates are making fiat less attractive. - De-dollarization trends among global central banks. - Gold’s role as collateral in a world increasingly skeptical of sovereign debt. What $6,000 Gold Means for Traders and Investors If gold hits $6,000, it’s not just a win for long-term holders — it’s a seismic shift in how markets value risk. - For traders, volatility will spike, offering massive intraday opportunities in XAU/USD and related instruments. - For investors, gold ETFs, mining stocks, and physical bullion could outperform traditional equities. - For governments, it could mean a rethinking of monetary policy and reserve management. Risks and Realities Of course, no forecast is guaranteed. Gold faces headwinds too: - If inflation cools faster than expected, gold could lose its appeal. - A strong dollar or aggressive rate hikes could suppress demand. - Technological disruption in financial markets might shift investor behavior toward digital assets like Bitcoin. But even with these risks, the structural case for gold remains strong — especially as fiat currencies face long-term credibility challenges. Final Thoughts: Positioning for the Future Gold at $6,000 isn’t just a number — it’s a reflection of deeper shifts in global finance. Whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or long-term investor, understanding the forces behind this potential move is critical. Key takeaways: - Watch central bank activity — their buying patterns often precede major moves. - Monitor inflation and real interest rates — they’re the heartbeat of gold’s macro narrative. - Use multi-timeframe analysis to align short-term trades with long-term trends. In the end, gold isn’t just a commodity — it’s a mirror of global trust. And if that trust continues to erode, $6,000 might not be the ceiling… it could be the floor. Sources: CoinCodex XAU/USD Forecast FXStreet XAU/USD Forecast JPMorgan $6,000 Gold Prediction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZayanHassan7
EURUSD - Bears can't keep the pace with bullsOn the EURUSD chart, we can see clearlly that bulls have more power on the long run. Daily chart present to us more liquidity zones higher, arround 1.18199 (and the last high) wich both form EQ highs. Fractal point of view, daily chart is bullish, with the fractal low at 1.17022. From the fractal low to fractal high we do have daily FVG wich can act as a magnet for the price. Also daily fractal can change, making it bearish because the last fractal is actually a liquidity point itself as bellow it is resting a fresh demand zone protected by another FVG. Moving on to the 4h chart, fractal wise we still have bullish momentum, fractals are bullish but last low fractal is looking very much likelly that it will be liquidated so that also the 4h chart can link-up with the 4h FVG (inside the daily FVG). So a quick 1:1 trade for eu is very much likely to happen in my point of view, as a countertrend short for a market that is looking for a strong 2026 bullish movement. As a confluence, the 1h chart is already changing to bearish for today, as price already reacted from the BB from the zone 1.17873 with another confluence that fractal is bearish on 1h chart. Right now we do have another BB close to our price right now, wich i am considering to resist and give the price more power to move to downside respecting the 1h fractal high. It is a quick trade, looking to make a connection with internal liquidity for a future long plays.
Short
by AlessioRO
EURUSD - Bulls in Control… But For How Long?OANDA:EURUSD Daily Timeframe Swing Structure: Bullish Fractal Structure: Bullish Price continues to respect the daily bullish swing structure, with two upside liquidity pools (previous highs) acting as longer-term objectives. Our primary Point of Interest (POI) sits within the daily fractal structure, aligned with a Daily FVG, where an immediate bullish response is expected — contingent on LTF confirmation. Below the daily fractal low, price intersects a confluence of Daily FVG + BB + OB, which could provide another bullish reaction point. However, if price reaches this zone, the daily fractal structure shifts into a potential bearish transition, and therefore stronger confirmation is required before considering long positions. Invalidation: A clean break below the Daily OB would weaken the current bullish narrative, suggesting the need to reassess the structure as bearish on the higher timeframe. 4H Timeframe Swing Structure: Bullish Fractal Structure: Bearish On the 4H chart, early short positions taken on the bearish daily fractal structure have been liquidated, followed by price entering a small consolidation phase. From there, we observed a fractal shift from bullish to bearish, aligning the 4H direction with the potential HTF pullback. The immediate reaction zone is the Daily bullish FVG, where price may deliver a short-term move higher. The ideal setup would involve a touch of both the Daily FVG + 4H FVG, allowing for structural alignment. Execution Plan: Conservative: Wait for 4H bullish fractal confirmation before entering longs. Aggressive: Look for a dual fractal break to the upside on the 1H as early confirmation. If the Daily FVG fails, the next POI becomes the next 4H FVG in confluence with a nearby OB. Again, long positions require 4H bullish fractal change or the same 1H double-break confirmation. Deeper retracement scenario: A move below the Daily fractal low places focus on the next Daily FVG + BB + OB confluence, ideally aligned with 4H BB + 4H OB. In this case, LTF confirmation becomes insufficient — I would require either: Double 4H fractal break → bullish, or 1D fractal break to the upside to signal a shift in orderflow.
Long
by AlessioRO
CADCHF - Only way is up!CADCHF on a daily view seems to be super bullish latelly, last high actually left behind liquidity, EQH, for me a clear target after this retracement. Right now, price is stalling inside the Daily bullish OB after closing the FVG above. We see that the price was squizing inside, leaving a lot of trendline liquidity just bellow the most recent bearish OB. Moving to the 4h chart, we can see even better the liquidity that we have above us, with the price kinda wanting to react from the 4h BB wich is inside the 4h FVG wich is inside the daily OB (bullish all). Only scarry thing is that on the left , on a zoomout chart we still have some EQ lows developed as a trendline liquidity wich actually is resting to the next daily OB. I see a bullish intent as the fractals on daily remained bullish, 4h just switched to bullish and also the 1h is bullish. Will look closelly at this trade to see a good bullish development and move my sl as soon as posible to BE as Christmas aproaches and don't want to get caught on offside.
Long
by AlessioRO
ETHUSD - Is the bear market over for ETH?I am considering that the bear market is not over, we see bears stepping in for the remaining of the month / year. We have clear bearish reactions from the daily FVG / 4h FVG with both fractal structures on both timeframes beeing bearish. I am expecting that ETH will continue it's movement for at least the 4h bullish FVG connection, where i will be moving my SL to BE and let the trade run with 0 risk. The last low, in my point of view, is far from beeing protected and we can see another round of sells before anything else.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by AlessioRO
3
Fractal Session Theory - Traders with 3 years or more !Core Thesis It’s a structured model of market behavior built on real, observable mechanics — but it behaves theoretical to anyone who hasn’t seen the same repeating patterns enough times. The market repeats a complete cycle of accumulation→ manipulation → expansion → distribution inside every 24 hour day. Each global session forms a fractal leg of that cycle. In short price will look random until price eventually moves where it needs to and with large amount volume (energy) aka ticks/points/pips🤑 * I’ve identified the repeatable rhythm caused by time-based liquidity cycles. * We’re aligning the execution to where and when volatility transfers between regions. * I’ve documented it and proved it visually — not guessing. pattern recognition, structure discipline, and statistical observation — the exact skillset that separates intuition from edge. 
My strategy is really session-based, I see the market like a relay race : the Asia session sets the initial structure, kind of like the foundation or first swing. Then the London session picks it up, often creating that volatility and expansion, and finally New York comes in to finish the move or reverse it. You’re looking for these handoffs between sessions—like a baton —because each session is influenced by the one before. So you’re entering trades based on how Asia sets the stage, and how London or NY will either run with it or flip it. It’s all about timing those transitions and understanding how each session plays its role. Back test what's explained here👇 (TEXT FROM CHART EXAMPLE) 
1) Usually start my trades in ASIA 7:45pm using the previous session as a support / resistance. also take note of the direction finish by 12am 2) always measure your targets. here's an example of 200 pip move. if you missed it wait for London or NY 3) if you measure the low & high of Asia. you can see the 382 level, it will be idea for an entry point London or Pre NY or NY open.

What I’ve mapped is a real, recurring liquidity structure — not some imagined pattern.
ALCHEMY:XAUUSD.REducation
by Theworst_fx
2026 BTC Bear Market Begins...This chart predicts that BTC is now in a bear market based on a simple mathematical analysis of price & timescale in past bull/bear markets. From 2018 to 2019 From 2022 to 2023 Now, from 2025 (Oct.) to 2026 (Dec.) There is also an Elliot Wave hypothesis on the chart, suggesting we've seen 3 waves up (with mass awareness). EW analysis isn't my strong suit, hence me sticking with the math averages on the chart which suggest we could see prices as low as $25K as soon as Dec 2026. On the fundamentals side, we are seeing headwinds against new pulls on datacentres as AI is taking the forefront of demand with new perspective on China vs USA from both an economic and military standpoint. In other words, governments are now needing data centres for other, more pressing ideas. That is why I suggested Cameco Corp. as a long idea back in 2021-2022 -- one of the world's major sources of uranium (a more pure form of energy). Now that CCO/CCJ has played its hand, I'm confident in my technique and my prediction that BTC's next bear market is now in session, and will progress to some mathematical average of past bear markets, which are illustrated on the chart today. The bottom of the regression line gives us a $45-55K target, while the math average leads to $25K . Respectfully, Bluedog360 PS: After 8 years of watching this sector like a hawk, the most important finding I can share is that most people should not concern themselves with analysis, trading, or bitcoin technology unless they are first-hand affected by the technology itself (IE: you are building something innovative (coding ETH/XMR for example), working in BTC datacentres directly , or working as a professional money manager. That's because life is short, and what brings us happiness is generally something more akin to stability, routine, and connection with others. The reason I post this chart, which may seem obvious to some, is not to showcase prowess but hopefully bring sanity to the minds of retail traders and fund managers around the world. Family values, etc.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bluedog360
BTC NEXT CYCLEFor BTC/USD, I have two plans for preparing for the next cycle. If the price is able to break through the FAIR VALUE GAP WEEKLY and turn it into an INVERSE FAIR VALUE GAP first, then it is highly likely that BTC/USD will enter a SUPER CYCLE. However, if the price breaks through the WEEKLY ORDER BLOCK first, BTC/USD will return to the 4-YEAR CYCLE. In this cycle, I will buy BTC/USD at the WEEKLY ORDER BLOCK or MONTHLY BALANCE PRICE RANGE. My TP target for both cycles is USD 229,780.00. However, I will partially take profit at 200,000.00 USD. I obtained this target from STANDARD DEVIATION - 4, which is the result of marking FIBBONACCI RETRACEMENT on the ATH cycle 2021 to SWING LOW cycle 2025. Why did I use this? because in the previous cycle, after BTC/USD touched around the STANDARD DEVIATION - 2 area, the price immediately dropped below and ended the cycle, so I use this as my reference for TP in this cycle. (DISCLAIMER ON)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by akbarrangga499
1