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Fractal

LINKUSDT Bullish Pennant Signals Major ContinuationLINKUSDT previously printed a major all-time high around the $53 level before entering an extended corrective phase that retraced approximately 90% of the entire bullish expansion. This correction ultimately culminated in a strong structural bottom near $4.70, where demand decisively absorbed selling pressure. Since establishing this low, price has transitioned into a recovery phase, gradually rebuilding bullish structure. Currently, LINKUSDT is consolidating within a bullish pennant formation, reflecting healthy compression following the impulsive recovery leg. The pennant breakout is expected to dictate the next major trend impulse. The highlighted zone of interest represents a technically favorable accumulation region, where risk can be clearly defined against invalidation levels. A confirmed breakout above the pennant resistance would validate bullish continuation, with projected upside targets already outlined on the chart. Price behavior around the structure boundary remains critical for confirmation.
Long
by weslad
COAIUSDT Post Crash Base Forming for Next MoveCOAIUSDT previously delivered an exceptional parabolic expansion of approximately 162x, followed by a sharp mean-reversion that erased nearly 98% of the advance. After this aggressive drawdown, price action has stabilized and transitioned into a potential consolidation phase, suggesting that the market is attempting to rebuild structure. The ongoing pullback appears corrective in nature rather than impulsive, indicating early signs of a continuation setup. As long as the key structural support highlighted on the chart remains intact, the bullish bias is preserved, and the next expansion leg is expected to drive price toward the projected target zone. A clear invalidation level is defined to control risk should the structure fail.
Long
by weslad
USDCHF - Bears Taking Control?Daily Chart On the daily chart, price has finally reached the 0.50 retracement of both the initial fractal leg and the bearish swing structure. Most importantly, we saw a reaction from the last bearish daily FVG, which is aligned with an unmitigated daily BB. From this point forward, LTF price action is key to validate short entries. If sellers confirm intent on lower timeframes, short opportunities become valid. 4H Chart On the 4H chart, after tapping the daily POIs, we observed a shift in fractal structure to bearish, reinforcing the idea of immediate reaction and potential continuation to the downside. My plan is to place a sell limit at the premium area of the newly formed bearish 4H fractal structure and manage the trade from there.
Short
by AlessioRO
GBPUSD - Bulls Ready to Strike?Daily Chart On the daily chart, both the swing structure and fractal structure remain bullish, with a significant amount of liquidity resting above the current high. We also saw a clean reaction from the daily bullish FVG, which aligned perfectly with a daily demand (OB) — giving us a solid technical foundation for a potential bullish continuation in the upcoming days. In other words, the daily structure suggests momentum could build to clear the liquidity above. 4H Chart The 4H chart makes the price action even clearer. Following the news-driven move yesterday, price invalidated a false bullish fractal break, then immediately swept the 4H fractal low, and finally broke fractal structure to the upside again. In my view, this sequence shows buyers flushing out remaining sellers before attempting continuation higher — a typical liquidity play before momentum kicks in. I consider a long setup, but only if price retraces into discounted levels of the current 4H fractal structure.
Long
by AlessioRO
EURUSD - Patience Before LongsDaily Chart The daily chart currently shows bullish swing structure and bullish fractal structure. We saw a solid retracement within the fractal leg, tapping the daily bullish FVG and reacting from the last supply zone of the structure. From here, we need to see whether LTF price action confirms bullish intent, offering a valid long setup. However, depending on how price develops, the entry may form inside the premium zone of the current fractal structure — and in that case, I would personally skip the long, even if valid, as I don't want to buy within premium. We still have attractive long zones below the fractal structure, but those require a deeper retracement and fresh daily confirmation before considering them. In short, more development is needed to justify a clean long in alignment with the daily view. 4H Chart The 4H chart gives more clarity. We currently have: bullish swing structure bearish fractal structure, due to the ongoing retracement The last low aligns with resting EQL, positioned right before a supply zone (OB). If price sweeps those EQL and gives an immediate bullish reaction, shifting the 4H fractal structure back to bullish, then a valid long opportunity may form, aligning with both structure and liquidity criteria.
Long
by AlessioRO
USDJPY - Bulls Getting Baited?Daily Chart The daily chart shows bullish swing structure and bullish fractal structure. Currently, price is stalling between a bullish FVG and bearish FVG, creating a small consolidation. Neither buyers nor sellers have shown strong directional intent — LTF confirmation is required for any long setup. Price has already reached the discounted zone of the fractal leg, but taking longs now would place entries above the 0.50 retracement, which is not ideal for me. If price breaks the bullish fractal structure, there is significant liquidity below — including lows, OBs, and multiple FVGs, which could be targeted next. The daily OB and BB have already been tested multiple times, making them less reliable as long setups at this stage. Additionally, we have two sets of EQH, which may attract price to sweep liquidity before a move lower. 4H Chart The 4H chart gives more clarity. Price continues to respect both daily FVGs, and the latest bullish reaction came from a 4H OB. Below that OB we still have: a small daily FVG (less relevant due to size) a 4H bullish FVG, which could act as support if revisited Based on current structure, I would only consider countertrend longs if the EQH are swept first — giving liquidity and momentum to the upside. At the moment: Longs are questionable due to heavy liquidity resting below Shorts are questionable due to the strong bullish swing structure The only long scenario I would consider is liquidate the 4H fractal break → immediate reaction from the 4H bullish FVG → target the EQH If this does not occur, I will remain patient on the daily chart and wait for more development.
by AlessioRO
Silver is Probably Over... For NowI have been watching the most interesting price action of the end of 2025: COMEX:SI1! (Silver). On the swing timeframes price is completing a fractal of the price action from December 28th: -Big Selloff -Attempted Retest of High -HOLD of the 50% Retracement -FAILURE to retest/break the high This type of price action seriously dents momentum especially in such a volatile Rise In Price (RIP). Fractal Price Action What is interesting is that this is a fractal continuation of the price action from the Weekly open on Sunday night. The same pattern: -Big Selloff -Attempted Retest of High -HOLD of the 50% Retracement -FAILURE to retest/break the high I noted saw this Sunday and wanted to put out a short but options markets were not open and I did not feel like putting down $10,000+ margin risk on Silver. I just noted it to group chats where I have a good friends who are Silver bugs that have been diligently HODLing for over a decade as a warning. I hope they took heed. The Bubble At this point in the standard bubble model complacency has been given over to anxiety. This is still a very short term, swing timeframe, pattern at the moment however. In the long term the most probably pattern will be a full pullback on the Daily. Support may be found at multiple points along the RIP including the 50% Retracement of the recent yeet (65), the Volume Profile node (58), or the Breakout Pivot (53). Then as we get into Q1 2026 we will see the wider move playout. It may not be "over" entirely but definitely for 2025! Happy New Year!
COMEX:SI1!
by norok
USDCHF - Buy the Retrace?Daily Chart The daily structure on USDCHF remains bearish, both in the swing view and the fractal view. Price is currently testing a daily FVG, but this zone feels weak considering there is another daily bullish FVG below, aligned with an untested daily BB. That deeper zone is where I would ideally like to see price react to the downside from in the future. For now, price just swept the equal lows resting beneath and immediately reacted to the upside — a potential sign of short-term relief before any continuation lower. 4H Chart On the 4H chart, we don’t get many standout signals — however, we can clearly see a shift in fractal structure. Notably, the previous bearish fractal break appears to have been a liquidity play, as the very next candle shifted the structure back to bullish. From my perspective, this opens the door for a countertrend long, with my entry positioned around the 0.50 retracement of the current bullish 4H fractal structure. My SL is placed below the protected low that already swept liquidity, and my TP sits at 2R, aligned with the 4H BB. Risk: 0.5%, since: it’s a countertrend setup, DXY is choppy and not strongly bullish, and we still have a daily bearish FVG overhead.
Long
by AlessioRO
NZDUSD - Bulls Said ‘BRB’, I WaitDaily Chart The daily structure remains bullish, and price has just taken liquidity at an important level before tapping into an unmitigated daily BB, where we’re now seeing a solid reaction. Price has already reached the 0.50 retracement of the current daily fractal leg, filled a nearby daily FVG, and is now resting below another daily FVG — a zone where long setups could develop if price retraces deeper. 4H Chart Since the daily trend is bullish, the overall directional bias remains upward. However, the 4H fractal structure is currently bearish, meaning the ongoing move is likely a retracement within the higher-timeframe trend. The key now is to see how deep this retracement goes before the market resumes higher. The current 4H bearish fractal has left behind another 4H bearish FVG, from which additional short-term selling pressure may appear. The risk here is that if the current fractal low breaks, the fractal structure will flip, making the 4H FVG less relevant as bulls could simply override it. The ideal scenario for longs would be to see continued bearish momentum during the Asia session, allowing price to tag the major 4H POIs (FVG + OB), while also tapping into the daily bullish FVG. From that confluence, I’ll monitor fractal structure shifts to time potential long entries back in line with the bullish daily trend.
Short
by AlessioRO
EURUSD – First Outlook | Price Testing Supply Again – Weakening On the Daily timeframe, EURUSD is currently reacting to a Fresh Supply Zone that was tapped once before — and now for the second touch, price is sitting inside the H4 Supply Zone. What stands out here is the reduced strength from buyers compared to the previous approach, despite the bullish macro structure still holding. Because of that, I’m waiting for a clean break of the ascending trendline on H4 to validate a corrective move. The first downside zone of interest sits at 1.17070 – 1.16821. If this zone becomes engulfed, then — after a retracement — price may aim toward the deeper support at 1.16573 – 1.16300. On the bullish side, if we see a confirmed candle close above 1.18095 on H4, continuation of the upward leg becomes the active scenario. More aggressive traders may even consider confirmation from a 1H close — but for structural reliability, 4H remains the benchmark. This is not a trading signal — it is a market perspective based on my RTM approach, where price forecasting is driven by unfilled institutional orders left behind in the market. If this breakdown helps you view the chart differently, stay tuned — updates will follow as structure reveals more. `Pouryaabdi
Short
by pooriaabdi
1
ETHUSD - Is the bear market over for ETH?I am considering that the bear market is not over, we see bears stepping in for the remaining of the month / year. We have clear bearish reactions from the daily FVG / 4h FVG with both fractal structures on both timeframes beeing bearish. I am expecting that ETH will continue it's movement for at least the 4h bullish FVG connection, where i will be moving my SL to BE and let the trade run with 0 risk. The last low, in my point of view, is far from beeing protected and we can see another round of sells before anything else.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by AlessioRO
3
USDCAD - Dip Buy → Then Sell?Daily Chart On the daily chart, the market remains bearish — both in the swing view and fractal view. Below the most recent low, we have a daily demand zone / OB, which could provide a future swing long opportunity if price reaches it. For now, however, a countertrend long makes sense before any deeper move lower, as price appears overextended and may push higher to fill the daily FVG and connect with the 0.50 retracement of the current downside leg. 4H Chart The 4H chart aligns with the daily perspective, but with one important detail: fractal structure turned bullish today after reacting to an old daily FVG, adding weight to a countertrend long idea. We currently see a reaction at the bearish daily FVG, meaning sellers are still active — but I expect price to push higher, potentially to complete the FVG fill and connect with the 4H BB. That’s the zone where I would look for shorts in line with the higher-timeframe trend. Until then, the long retracement setup remains valid.
Long
by AlessioRO
EURUSD – First Insight | Market Reaction Expected at Supply ZonePrice on the Daily timeframe has tapped into a fresh Supply Area (Decision Point), where sell-side orders historically sit. This marks a key region where institutional flows may begin to shift — but because this is only the early touch of the zone, confirmation becomes essential before taking directional positions. Dropping into H4, structure shows a clear ascending trendline supporting price. A clean break below this trendline would suggest a corrective move, with potential downside toward 1.17200 – 1.17150 — the near-term liquidity pocket and zone where green demand sits. However, should buyers gain control and we see a confirmed candle close above 1.18095, the bullish leg could extend toward 1.18379 — the next area where unmitigated orders remain. This is not a signal — it’s a perspective. I trade based on RTM principles, reacting only where real orders likely exist — not prediction, reaction. If you're following this breakdown, stay tuned — updates will come as structure unfolds. Your support keeps this journey evolving — more deep dives and higher-quality breakdowns are on the way. `pouryaabdi
Short
by fxpouryabdi
3
AUDUSD - Trap Set, Bears ReadyDaily Chart AUDUSD remains in a strong bullish swing and fractal structure. Although price has just tapped into the daily bullish FVG, the current POI sits within the premium area of the fractal leg, suggesting that a deeper retracement would offer a healthier correction before continuation. Price recently swept major daily liquidity highs, and we are now seeing the first signs of a reaction. Below the current daily FVG, and inside the discounted zone where I want to position longs, we have another daily bullish FVG overlapping a daily OB — a strong long-term demand confluence if price retraces deeper. 4H Chart On the 4H chart, the double liquidity sweep becomes more visible — first on the daily structure, then again on the 4H where early buyers were liquidated. The fractal structure has shifted bearish, but at this stage I consider the confirmation weak. Why? Because the break came through a rollover candle, not a clean body break. I would prefer a full body close below the previous day’s low to validate the bearish fractal break. If that happens, my plan is to draw a Fibonacci retracement and look for entries at the premium area of the break (around 0.50) to target the next 4H POI — the Breaker Block, which lies inside the current daily FVG. Despite being a countertrend idea, the confluence is strong enough for me to consider risk. Additional Notes On the 1H chart, the entry aligns nicely with a supply zone formed by the 1H fractal break, covered by: 1H FVG 1H OB at the top The only concern: the 1H reacted after liquidating a 1H bullish OB inside a daily bullish FVG, which adds some complexity — but does not invalidate the setup.
Short
by AlessioRO
3
WTI Crude Oil 4H Setup – Liquidity Zones & FVG ReactionThis 4-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (FXCM) highlights a potential trade setup based on liquidity structure and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). Key zones include Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Sell Side Liquidity (SSL), and both 4H and Daily FVGs. An Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) is marked, with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels clearly defined. Price action suggests a reaction from the FVG zone, with structure favoring a move toward the next liquidity pool. The setup reflects Smart Money Concepts and precision-based execution.
FX:USOILLong
by ZayanHassan7
7 period fractals, the real CycleThe concept of 7 isn’t new, it has been identified it all kinds of assets for Gold to S&P 500. Bitcoin followed the stock market, pivot at similar price points with a decimal shift. The pivots up and down seem to occur in fractals of 7. Go check the charts yourself. The 7 seems to moreso align with time frame from tops to bottoms, and bottom to tops. Bitcoin double tops in 2021 occurred 7 months apart. Dogecoin topped 7 months before bitcoin, lagged 7 months before bitcoin, and took 7 months to top starting from the start of its macro Elliot Wave 1. Since the 4 year cycle is waning, a drift to a 7 year cycle from bottom to top seems the mostly likely shift. Here I show how Dogecoin seems to be following the same fractal pattern.
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by LofiBear84
1
The Macro Setup: Why Gold Is Gaining GroundThe Macro Setup: Why Gold Is Gaining Ground Gold has always been a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability. But the current setup is unique: - Global debt is at historic highs, with central banks continuing to inject liquidity into fragile economies. - Inflation remains sticky, even as rate hikes attempt to cool overheated markets. - Geopolitical tensions — from trade wars to regional conflicts — are pushing investors toward safe-haven assets. - Central banks are buying gold aggressively, especially in emerging markets like China, Russia, and Turkey, as they diversify away from the US dollar. These factors create a “perfect storm” for gold to rally — not just in short bursts, but in a sustained multi-year uptrend. Technical Momentum: What the Charts Say From a technical perspective, gold has broken multiple all-time highs in 2025, with price action showing strong bullish structure. The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are trending upward, and RSI levels remain elevated, indicating persistent buying pressure. Short-term forecasts suggest gold could reach $4,800 within the next 3–6 months. But if momentum continues and macro tailwinds persist, the $6,000 target becomes a realistic long-term milestone. Institutional Insight: JPMorgan’s $6,000 Call JPMorgan’s analysis is particularly compelling. They argue that even a 0.5% reallocation of global financial assets into gold could push prices toward $6,000. That’s not a market meltdown scenario — it’s a modest shift in portfolio strategy. Their thesis is built on: - Rising real interest rates are making fiat less attractive. - De-dollarization trends among global central banks. - Gold’s role as collateral in a world increasingly skeptical of sovereign debt. What $6,000 Gold Means for Traders and Investors If gold hits $6,000, it’s not just a win for long-term holders — it’s a seismic shift in how markets value risk. - For traders, volatility will spike, offering massive intraday opportunities in XAU/USD and related instruments. - For investors, gold ETFs, mining stocks, and physical bullion could outperform traditional equities. - For governments, it could mean a rethinking of monetary policy and reserve management. Risks and Realities Of course, no forecast is guaranteed. Gold faces headwinds too: - If inflation cools faster than expected, gold could lose its appeal. - A strong dollar or aggressive rate hikes could suppress demand. - Technological disruption in financial markets might shift investor behavior toward digital assets like Bitcoin. But even with these risks, the structural case for gold remains strong — especially as fiat currencies face long-term credibility challenges. Final Thoughts: Positioning for the Future Gold at $6,000 isn’t just a number — it’s a reflection of deeper shifts in global finance. Whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or long-term investor, understanding the forces behind this potential move is critical. Key takeaways: - Watch central bank activity — their buying patterns often precede major moves. - Monitor inflation and real interest rates — they’re the heartbeat of gold’s macro narrative. - Use multi-timeframe analysis to align short-term trades with long-term trends. In the end, gold isn’t just a commodity — it’s a mirror of global trust. And if that trust continues to erode, $6,000 might not be the ceiling… it could be the floor. Sources: CoinCodex XAU/USD Forecast FXStreet XAU/USD Forecast JPMorgan $6,000 Gold Prediction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZayanHassan7
EURUSD - Bears can't keep the pace with bullsOn the EURUSD chart, we can see clearlly that bulls have more power on the long run. Daily chart present to us more liquidity zones higher, arround 1.18199 (and the last high) wich both form EQ highs. Fractal point of view, daily chart is bullish, with the fractal low at 1.17022. From the fractal low to fractal high we do have daily FVG wich can act as a magnet for the price. Also daily fractal can change, making it bearish because the last fractal is actually a liquidity point itself as bellow it is resting a fresh demand zone protected by another FVG. Moving on to the 4h chart, fractal wise we still have bullish momentum, fractals are bullish but last low fractal is looking very much likelly that it will be liquidated so that also the 4h chart can link-up with the 4h FVG (inside the daily FVG). So a quick 1:1 trade for eu is very much likely to happen in my point of view, as a countertrend short for a market that is looking for a strong 2026 bullish movement. As a confluence, the 1h chart is already changing to bearish for today, as price already reacted from the BB from the zone 1.17873 with another confluence that fractal is bearish on 1h chart. Right now we do have another BB close to our price right now, wich i am considering to resist and give the price more power to move to downside respecting the 1h fractal high. It is a quick trade, looking to make a connection with internal liquidity for a future long plays.
Short
by AlessioRO
EURUSD - Bulls in Control… But For How Long?OANDA:EURUSD Daily Timeframe Swing Structure: Bullish Fractal Structure: Bullish Price continues to respect the daily bullish swing structure, with two upside liquidity pools (previous highs) acting as longer-term objectives. Our primary Point of Interest (POI) sits within the daily fractal structure, aligned with a Daily FVG, where an immediate bullish response is expected — contingent on LTF confirmation. Below the daily fractal low, price intersects a confluence of Daily FVG + BB + OB, which could provide another bullish reaction point. However, if price reaches this zone, the daily fractal structure shifts into a potential bearish transition, and therefore stronger confirmation is required before considering long positions. Invalidation: A clean break below the Daily OB would weaken the current bullish narrative, suggesting the need to reassess the structure as bearish on the higher timeframe. 4H Timeframe Swing Structure: Bullish Fractal Structure: Bearish On the 4H chart, early short positions taken on the bearish daily fractal structure have been liquidated, followed by price entering a small consolidation phase. From there, we observed a fractal shift from bullish to bearish, aligning the 4H direction with the potential HTF pullback. The immediate reaction zone is the Daily bullish FVG, where price may deliver a short-term move higher. The ideal setup would involve a touch of both the Daily FVG + 4H FVG, allowing for structural alignment. Execution Plan: Conservative: Wait for 4H bullish fractal confirmation before entering longs. Aggressive: Look for a dual fractal break to the upside on the 1H as early confirmation. If the Daily FVG fails, the next POI becomes the next 4H FVG in confluence with a nearby OB. Again, long positions require 4H bullish fractal change or the same 1H double-break confirmation. Deeper retracement scenario: A move below the Daily fractal low places focus on the next Daily FVG + BB + OB confluence, ideally aligned with 4H BB + 4H OB. In this case, LTF confirmation becomes insufficient — I would require either: Double 4H fractal break → bullish, or 1D fractal break to the upside to signal a shift in orderflow.
Long
by AlessioRO