XAU/USD 23 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. This is continuing.
As per my analysis of yesterday, dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,780,515.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs.
Although price has printed a number of bearish CHoCH's, I will apply discretion and not classify them as such due to the insignificance of the pullback relative to recent price action.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Fractal
Nemetschek / Fractal and Seasonality / LongHere is my view on that stock:
Until end of november we should see a bullish seasonal move.
There might be some retracements but a drastic extended bearish period I expect to start June 2026 (PE+2).
The target areas are derived from the spotted fractal. Did I pick the right one? Did I alling it right? Let's discuss.
XAU/USD 22 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price previously, and has now for the third time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I have again marked this in red.
Price has again continued with it's bullish trajectory. We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low. ChoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH, then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,720,020.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
EURUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Price is maintaining clean bullish structure, breaking previous weekly highs. Watching closely to see if price holds this momentum.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Refined structure + liquidity buildup noted. Eyeing the sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be taken before confirming continuation.
LTF (30M/5M):
Will wait for confirmation once price trades into refined zones. Looking for inducement → mitigation → 5M structural confirmation.
Entry Zone:
Pending refinement once SSL is swept and HTF OB aligns with LTF confirmation.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Patience is key — waiting for that SSL sweep keeps you out of fake momentum. Let structure guide the entry, not the impulse.
$AAPL: Structure SurgeryResearch Notes
Original Structure:
Altering structure for experimental purposes
Angle of fib channels that rises from cycle low, has been pushed into the past to the top of first major reaction. blue area resembles the change
Reason
The the angle of Fibonacci channels which cover the general decline (from perspective of ATH to end of cycle), are adjusted to the angle of the first bear wave of smaller scale.
Therefore, when it comes to measurements of opposing forces for working out interference pattern, having this symmetric approach of mapping interconnections is fair.
XAU/USD 19 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 18 September 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red.
Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established range, however, I shall continue to monitor price action with respect to depth of pullback relative to recent price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,703,240.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 18 September 2025.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs.
Previous price action printed a bearish CHoCH, subsequently printing higher, however, due to the insignificant depth of the pullback, relative to recent price action, I shall again apply discretion and not classify this an an internal high. This marked this in red.
Price has since continued bullish, printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has reacted from an M15 demand zone, within discount of 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal high priced at 3,703. 240
Alternative scenario: All HTF's require a corrective move, price has since failed to target and close above weak internal high therefore, and in order to confirm HTF bearish pullback phase, price could target strong internal low, priced at 3,612.240.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Side way Breaks to new all time high Hello Traders,
i can see big volume compared to the monthly trading at the ending of side way markets which will lead for a continuation for the bullish trend targets is already mentioned and it depends what you are investing for short intermediate long if we break the discount area we well go for big correction advice to sell with the retest however if we breaks the discount area huge profits coming. if you like the idea kindly show your support for more ideas to come good day.
DOUBLE PATTERN:Cup and TriangleHello Traders,
All the eyes now on the next leg for the copper if Trump did not Finalize the Tariffs copper will go back to at least the bottom again 3.4 3.1 as every one kept loading up for the imports now the states is overloaded with loads of materials and minerals imagine what could happened if he didn't sign up this Tariffs on the mineral! they will be selling it for so cheap to cover the losses dramatically same like what happened with the oil its a commodity right !that's one scenario, the other one is every thing move as planned and the copper get back to the bottom of the triangle and shoot straight up so lets see what could happed I'm in short for now good luck, kindly support my idea if you like and make your decisions based on your research
XAU/USD 18 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red.
Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established range, however, I shall continue to monitor price action with respect to depth of pullback relative to recent price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,703,240.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs.
Previous price action printed a bearish CHoCH, subsequently printing higher, however, due to the insignificant depth of the pullback, relative to recent price action, I shall again apply discretion and not classify this an an internal high. This marked this in red.
Price has since continued bullish, printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has reacted from an M15 demand zone, within discount of 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal high priced at 3,703. 240
Alternative scenario: All HTF's require a corrective move, price has since failed to target and close above weak internal high therefore, and in order to confirm HTF bearish pullback phase, price could target strong internal low, priced at 3,612.240.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
playing on C macroIt seems that we are on c macro, also the price just confirmed that we are on phase D. We only have to wait for the shakeout. start covering at 65.448 at least half of the position, then play aggressively with your st because we are facing a wall, however, it the wall is broken, we will start reaching higher prices till at least 68.262
this is not financial recommendations.
$GLQ: Two Roads, One Destination - HIGHER𝐅𝐢𝐛 𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧
• 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝟏: Price didn’t stop at the 𝟐.𝟔𝟏𝟖, 𝟑.𝟔𝟏𝟖, or even the 𝟒.𝟔𝟏𝟖.
It blew past them - then ripped another ~𝟗𝟑% 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿.
• 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝟐: If the same behavior plays out, the 𝟐.𝟔𝟏𝟖 ($𝟎.𝟓𝟑) and 𝟑.𝟔𝟏𝟖 ($𝟎.𝟕𝟐) become pit stops.
The 𝟒.𝟔𝟏𝟖 ($𝟎.𝟗𝟐) acts as the launch pad.
A similar 𝟗𝟑% extension above that puts 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝟑 𝗮𝘁 ~$𝟏.𝟕𝟕.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐅𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐚𝐥
Move 1: 14x from low to high
Move 2: 54x from low of move 1 to high of move 2.
Move 2 is the same structure as move one, just on an expanded timeline.
That’s nearly 4x the multiple from Move 1 to Move 2.
If that progression continues...
Move 3 = ~200x from the base (~$3.77 AMEX:GLQ )
The targets don’t perfectly align…
…but they tell the same story: 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐧𝐞𝐱𝐭 𝐦𝐨𝐯𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐯𝐢𝐨𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐭, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐮𝐩𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐯𝐞.
Fed Catalyst: The Bear AwakensGold rebounded after touching 3660 and is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3685. Gold is currently trading relatively cautiously, apparently waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to indicate its short-term direction.
How to formulate a trading plan for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision market? In fact, in the short term, I think there will not be much room for gold to continue to rise, and the short-term peak may be in the 3705-3715 area; in addition, regarding the expectation of interest rate cuts, I think the Federal Reserve will adopt a step-by-step approach to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut, and as for Powell’s attitude, I think it may rely more on the feedback from US employment data and inflation data to decide whether to continue to cut interest rates within the year. The attitude may not be obviously dovish, so I think there is limited room for short-term increases.
Since I think the short-term peak of gold is in the 3705-3715 area, and the short-term resistance area is around 3690. Therefore, I will definitely ambush and short gold before the news is announced. Of course, the transaction needs to be set up in combination with the risk resistance ability of my account.
At present, I tend to divide the upper space into two areas, namely 3685-3695 and 3705-3715. I will mainly short gold in batches around these two areas. Once gold falls as expected, I think it will first test the intraday low around 3660. Once it falls below this area, I think gold is likely to continue to test the area around 3635-3625.
As for whether gold can take advantage of this opportunity to test the area around 3600. I believe I will overcome my greed and will not take risks to gamble for gains beyond my cognition. I will need to make a secondary judgment based on market fluctuations at that time.In any case, I would favor a short gold setup, so let’s hope for a bearish recovery!
UNITEDHEALTH UNH Long Scenario based on Seasonality and FractalsFrom a fractals Perspective I expect a chance for around 30% gain from an upcoming upmove.
From a Seasonal Perspective I expect a retracement mode until End of Mid/September and then upside until early December.
I hope we make the bigger upmove in this time and complete that move otherwise this fractals target could take some time/moths/years.
Feel free to like / support the Idea, leave a comment or contact me in the chat.
Good luck to all
*this is not a trade call*
Cheers!
A dive into INTU (Intuit Inc.) seasonality and fractal analysisinto <> intu .... haha. me funny dude...
Here you can see my prjection for the price upmove.
It is based on seasonality which should give us some positive boost with high propability for the rest of the year.
In addition I how to have identified 2 fractals correctly which support the idea of an upmove from at least 15%.
Upmove going to start now or after closing the gap (see chart)
Feel free to contact me, to like/support the idea or discuss in the comments.
Cheers!
*this is not a trade call and no financial advice in any way. just for educational purpose...
CRM / SALESFORCE / Fractal inspired trade LONGFrom my nooby fractal understanding we have made a low and should head to some 13% gain.
From my seasonality understanding we are expecting some same upmove until the end of the year.
There was an insider buy (spotted via openinsider website) which gives more support to the general bullish feeling.
Risk to reward for the trade is not bad a all considering the confluence for a bullihs view.
CRM is in general a stock to have on watchlist or in a longerterm portfolio, so the stopploss could even be bigger or ignored, depneding on your investment horizon.
(this is not financial advice, trade at your own risk of course....)
HIFI vs Binance: From Delisting Shock to Fractal Comeback
On September 3rd, Binance announced it would delist HIFI from spot trading. The market reacted instantly with a brutal bearish candle.
But what happened next is what really mattered... HIFI investors didn’t back down. Instead, they pushed the coin 700% above the high of that same bearish candle. A clear middle finger to the delisting news.
Eventually, price dropped back to retest that candle high, And now, the chart is aligning with a powerful fractal pattern.
If this fractal keeps unfolding, HIFI could be setting up for another big chapter, maybe even aiming toward the $17 zone. Nothing’s guaranteed, but the structure is worth keeping a close eye on.
THE 4-YEAR CYCLE WILL NEVER ENDTHE 4-YEAR CYCLE WILL NEVER END.
As I’ve said many times before, I now think this cycle will push into late January / February 2026, similar to 2017.
As I’ve written extensively about, the macro setup is nearly identical to 2017.
Read that here.
The funny thing is, when we do push into early Q1 ‘26, all your favorite “influencers” will proclaim “this time is different”, because most weren’t here during the 2017 cycle or before.
There is ZERO EVIDENCE that the 4-year cycle is dead.
Since the GFC in 2008, the Fed was redesigned for these boom and bust cycles to counter inflation and unemployment.
At this point, unless the US completely dismantles the Fed, the 4-year cycle will live on in perpetuity. We see the effect of this on TradFi as well.
See the comparison here.
The Fed is set to cut interest rates for the first time in a year at tomorrow’s FOMC. This is a liquidity positive catalyst for markets.
The next ISM PMI print on October 1st should be ~50, which will be the start of the business cycle.
That would give us ~5 months of a surging business cycle, which will pump risk assets to VALHALLA.