Fundamental Analysis
Snapchat to 100? only 7 now.Snapchat is under 10 bucks again after weak earnings last quarter.
Analysts and I still see an attractive 10 year growth potential in SNAP.
50-100 dollars over the decade or sooner.
We got Palantir correct, and it took 2 years to reach the 10 year plus potential.
Can this happen to SNAP?
from my ai agent, summary:
"Snap Inc. (SNAP) shows strong 10-year growth potential, with analyst EPS estimates rising from $0.26 in 2025 to $2.23 by 2034, implying a ~27% CAGR (capped at 25% for conservatism). At a PEG2 valuation (P/E=50), the stock could hypothetically reach $111.50 by 2034, a ~1,400% increase from the current $7.34, driven by ad revenue growth and user expansion."
QQQ Market Context – Where We StandQQQ has been grinding higher and is now pressing into a major resistance cluster at $590–$595. This is not just a random line in the sand — it’s a confluence of long-term channel resistance (weekly chart red lines) and short-term supply zones (15m chart).
Whenever price tests a heavy resistance cluster like this, the risk/reward equation shifts: upside potential shrinks while downside risk expands. That doesn’t mean the uptrend is broken, but it does mean chasing longs up here is dangerous. Smart money tends to lighten up at resistance and reload lower. Weekly structure: QQQ is still in a broad uptrend channel. Pullbacks into green support lines have consistently been bought.
Trading Scenarios
🔴 Bearish Reversal (High-Probability Play)
Look for QQQ to stall between $590–$595. Watch for reversal patterns (double tops, bearish engulfing, lower highs on 15m).
Shorts here offer defined risk/reward: Stops just above $600, downside targets at $580 → $574.
SPT will hit 25 USD (+80%) in next 4 monthsRead the Sec filing 26th August, 2025.
CEO and Board members will end their share selling plans and instead they will start buying shares. This change needs some weeks to get approved by SEC.
But once the new purchase plans are approved - i expect this to happen until the end of the year - and this news hits the street this stock will pump like crazy.
We will see at least 20 USD, im expecting even 25 USD.
Fundamentals are already good. Revenue is growing. Social media managers love Sprout Social already. Big companies will follow in future and start using Sprout Social.
Weekly Insights EUR/USD - BTC - AUD/NZD - NVDA - MSFTThe weekly video, I share my thoughts for the next week. Next week we have a highly important event which is the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. It will strongly affect the EUR/USD, S&P500, and BTC.
The common theme is that most of the assets are in the 5th Elliott wave.
Good luck to all of us.
Markets Titan
Monthly Metals Analysis:Silver (XAGUSD), Issue 209 The analyst believes that the price of XAGUSD will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Monthly Metals Analysis: Gold (XAUUSD), Issue 209 The analyst believes that the price of XAUSD will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Gold - Here we have the textbook breakout!📖Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) currently breaks out:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we saw Gold rejecting the previous all time high multiple times over the past couple of months, we are now witnessing a bullish breakout. If this breakout is confirmed in the near future, Gold will head for another parabolic rally higher, repeating the 2011 blow off top.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
ETHUSDT Breaks Downtrend, Bullish Structure HoldsEthereum has broken above the recent red downtrend line, reclaiming momentum after a brief consolidation. The broader structure remains bullish as long as price respects key daily and weekly supports. This setup offers swing opportunities with clear risk levels.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Current price: $4,433
Break above the descending red trendline confirms bullish momentum.
Supports below align with major daily and weekly demand zones.
🛡️ Support Zones & Stop-Loss (White Lines):
🟢 $3,730 – Daily Support
Key short-term defense.
Stop-loss: Below $3,536
🟡 $2,680 – Weekly Support
Stronger swing entry zone.
Stop-loss: Below $2,481
🟠 $1,848 – Daily Support (Long-Term Buy Zone)
Macro level for deeper entries.
Stop-loss: Below $1,745
🧭 Outlook
Bullish Case: Break of red downtrend + hold above $3,730 → continuation higher toward $4,600–$4,800.
Bearish Case: Break below $3,730 → correction into $2,680. Losing $2,680 exposes $1,848.
Bias: Bullish while above $3,730.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
Ethereum continues to benefit from network upgrades, growing ETH staking, and institutional adoption. Macro drivers like potential U.S. rate cuts and weaker USD also support crypto upside. Risks include regulatory pressure and shifts in liquidity.
✅ Conclusion
ETHUSDT has broken its recent downtrend and is holding bullish structure above $4,400. Support zones at $3,730, $2,680, and $1,848 provide clear swing levels for traders.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
How to seize the certain opportunity of gold?Gold prices are currently consolidating within a yellow parallel channel on the hourly chart, forming a rising flag pattern. We anticipate an eventual breakout and the start of a unilateral rally. The key short-term move lies in the middle band. If the price holds support at the middle band and 3630, a volatile upward trend is likely. A break above the upper band at 3665 could accelerate the upward trend. If the price loses control of the middle band and falls below 3630, the market will continue to fluctuate within the channel, potentially testing the lower band and support near the 10-day moving average early next week, offering a bullish opportunity at low levels.
The 3635-3630 support level should be closely monitored. If a bottoming-out rebound signal emerges, consider buying on dips. If the price effectively breaks below 3630, wait patiently for a pullback to the lower band next Monday before entering a long position. The primary resistance area above is 3665. Only a break above this level would confirm the formation of a rising flag pattern and trigger a unilateral rally. Caution is advised throughout trading, awaiting clarity on the direction of key levels.
Breakout time $TSLA$570 inbound
The start of the Energy abundance and Robotaxi era is upon us. Autonomous robots will transport everything within the next 10 years.
Optimus wave will follow shortly behind over the next 5 years.
TAM Potential: 10X autonomous transport.
How high this eventually goes is almost laughable, time to sit back and watch compound growth and all its magical glory.
Netflix | Next Episode: Testing Lower Channel SupportNetflix extended higher through April on the back of strong Q1 earnings, resilient pricing power, and traction in the ad-supported tier. That rally ran into valuation concerns by June, with analyst downgrades and questions over subscriber momentum, margin durability, and execution on the ad strategy.
Technically, the stock has since carved out a descending channel. The latest breakdown from a corrective bear flag pattern points to risk of continuation toward the channel’s lower bound. This aligns with the broader scepticism around growth visibility and rising content costs, leaving the market reluctant to re-rate the stock higher at this stage.
9/12/25 - $obtc - Move aside... $SMLR is my horse9/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OBTC
Move aside... NASDAQ:SMLR is my horse
- with OTC:OBTC trading only 8-10% discount in last few sessions, i've been able to make some room for a few BIG trades and OTC:OBTC is no longer a major position for me b/c the spread has nicely narrowed as we've picked up a lot of the ticker at the $30s-ish lows.
- NASDAQ:SMLR is btc treasury co that trades 10-11% wide and i can put this on leverage (unlike OTC:OBTC ) where it's actually quite cheap to do deep ITM leaps low $20s strikes for barely any IV depsite:
- CRYPTOCAP:BTC being pretty discounted
- NASDAQ:SMLR being shorted!? lol
- ppl not doing work and complaining about a lawsuit that's now covered (so at worst this trades at parity with 1x mnav)
- and treasury co's actually deserve to trade at premium to nav (unlike closed end funds like OTC:OBTC or etfs like NASDAQ:IBIT ) b/c of the intelligent leverage. simple math says 20% leverage gives you about 1.1 to 1.25x mnav. let's just say, it's above 1x.
- and separately yours truly has been buying 80% of the OTC:OSOL (osprey's closed end solana fund) that is at a 30% discount (and this is 40% upside to nav). and I can hedge w/ SOLZ, GSOL (which is actually at a 20% premium)
- lastly oct 10 is the decision on whether sol gets an ETF, which means you have a catalyst here... for osol going to 1x nav and gsol going to 1x nav... nice spread.
Anyway.
35% cash. still preparing for some liquidity dump in the coming 2-3 wks (remember quad witch and quarter end tends to keep healthy markets locked), so while i won't be aggressively buying any dips of say 1-2%... i'd not be surprised to see those get bot. playing on the hedged side for early oct where i think we do a mini end-mar/apr situation again (not as big, wide or long).
be well. stay hedged.
V
US500 In strong bullish momentumFundamentals
The US500 remains supported by resilient earnings and the prospect of Federal Reserve easing, yet it faces notable vulnerabilities. While softer jobs growth and weakening leading indicators strengthen the case for upcoming rate cuts, a short term tailwind for equities, they also highlight the economy’s underlying fragility.
At the same time, elevated valuations and heavy market concentration in a handful of mega-cap leaders leave the index exposed to sharper corrections should sentiment shift.
For traders, monitoring sector rotation, earnings revisions, and macroeconomic signals will be critical to navigating opportunities while managing downside risks.
Technicals
US500 price action reveals a strong bullish trend, supported by momentum indicators and consistent uptrends, though signs of overbought conditions suggest a potential for short term pullbacks.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 6,545 is a key technical support zone; below this, 6,505 is a significant psychological and trend support zone.
Immediate Resistance: 6,630 is the nearest overhead ceiling, followed by 6,690.
Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
SPX Supported by Trendline and Rate Cut ExpectationsThe S&P 500 has been climbing steadily, with the ascending trendline from April acting as a reliable backbone for the move. Despite short-term volatility, buyers continue to defend higher lows. Coupled with expectations of interest rate cuts, the trend structure remains intact unless key supports give way.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Current price: 6,584
The green trendline (since April) is guiding the advance.
Price is consolidating near highs, supported by demand zones underneath.
🛡️ Support Zones & Stop-Loss (White Lines):
🟢 6,537 – 1H Support (Medium Risk)
First line of defense for short-term traders.
Stop-loss: Below 6,513
🟡 6,018 – Daily Support (Swing Trade Setup)
Stronger base for medium-term positioning.
Stop-loss: Below 5,919
🧭 Outlook
Bullish Case: Hold above 6,537 + April trendline intact → continuation toward new highs above 6,600–6,700.
Bearish Case: Break below 6,537 could trigger a correction into 6,018. Losing that zone would weaken the April trendline structure.
Bias: Bullish while April trendline holds.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
Rate cut expectations continue to provide a macro tailwind for equities. With inflation moderating and yields easing, investors remain willing to support risk assets. A sudden shift in data or Fed tone, however, could test the resilience of the April trendline.
✅ Conclusion
The S&P 500 remains in a strong bullish structure, anchored by the April trendline. Unless supports at 6,537 or 6,018 are lost, the path of least resistance remains higher.
If you found this useful, please don’t forget to like and follow for more structure-based insights.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
Tesla Breakout? For the majority of the calendar year TESLA has been in a range between $220 - $365 with a clear midpoint of $295.
From March to the beginning of May TESLA bounced between range low and the midpoint until finally breaking through into the upper half of the range where it has stayed ever since. However, there is a clear diagonal resistance level that is preventing higher highs.
So will TESLA breakout, or will it lose the midpoint? Structurally it is clear that the bulls have a set level they are happy to buy at (Midpoint) but the bears are getting more aggressive with their selling, hence the lower highs. This compression inevitably leads to an impulse move but the direction is not so clear.
Bullish scenario: A clean breakout with volume that makes a new higher high, signaling a shift in structure. A pullback and retest of the breakout would be an ideal opportunity to go long and aim for that range high before expecting resistance.
Bearish scenario: The lower highs keep printing until the midpoint is lost and price accepts below it, that would then signify to me the new trading range is between Range Low and Midpoint.
The fakeout scenario is a risk but with price so close to the midpoint already it follows the same invalidation criteria as the bullish scenario, the midpoint is vital to both sides.
ACM Research (ACMR) —Expanding Share in China’s $35B Semi MarketCompany Overview:
ACM Research, Inc. NASDAQ:ACMR develops advanced wet cleaning and process tools that enhance chip fabrication yields, offering exposure to the fast-growing semiconductor equipment sector.
Key Catalysts:
China localization tailwinds: ACMR currently holds ~14% market share in China’s $35B wafer equipment market, with potential to reach 25% by 2030.
Technology leadership: The upgraded Ultra Cwb cleaning tool improves chip production efficiency, driving both revenue growth and margin expansion.
Scalability & supply chain control: Ongoing capacity growth at the Lingang facility strengthens operational scale and competitive positioning.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $23.50–$24.00
Upside target: $50.00–$52.00, backed by China demand, tech upgrades, and facility expansion.
#ACMR #Semiconductors #ChinaTech #Chipmaking #Localization #TechGrowth #Investing
Alphabet Is Up Some 15% This Month. What Does Its Chart Show?Readers have likely noticed the early September breakout clocked by Google parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL , which hit an all-time intraday high this week. Can the stock's nearly 15% run so far this month continue? Let's see what technical and fundamental analysis says.
Alphabet's Fundamental Analysis
GOOGL has risen 13.9% over September's first eight sessions to hit a $242.25 intraday record high on Thursday.
Most of Alphabet's September gains came on Sept. 3, when the stock popped 9.1% after a federal judge overseeing the U.S. government's antitrust case against Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG ruled that the firm doesn't have to sell off the Google search engine.
The court also said Google and Apple can retain a contract under which AAPL pre-loads Google's search engine onto iPhones in exchange for big payments from Alphabet.
GOOGL has risen another roughly 5% since then even though the company is still some six weeks out from its next earnings release.
Of the 45 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover the stock, 36 have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while three have lowered their numbers. (The other six have so far left their earnings estimates unchanged.)
Alphabet's Technical Analysis
Now let's get down to business and take a look at GOOGL's technical breakout, as shown here in the stock's year-to-date chart through midday Tuesday:
Readers will see that from late January into August, GOOGL developed a bullish "cup-with-handle" pattern that looks like it came out of a textbook.
Marked with a purple curving line in the chart above, this pattern has a $206 pivot.
For those new to technical analysis, a cup pattern's pivot is the apex of the cup's left side. Once a handle is added, that pivot moves across to the right-side peak.
While I think that GOOGL could in theory move higher from here, I do have some concerns that are starting to nag at me.
For starters, the stock created a still-unfilled gap on the morning of Sept. 3, as denoted by the orange circle at the chart's right above. Such unfilled gaps don't have to be filled, but they often are.
That said, Alphabet's bullish technical set-up remains in place in the chart above. However, it does look like the stock's recent price surge was starting to top off in the high $230s and low $240s as I wrote this Thursday afternoon.
Meanwhile, GOOGL's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is beyond merely extended. While that's a good problem for Alphabet bulls to have, it's the result of the stock's recent parabolic move and reflects a technically overbought condition.
Similarly, readers will see that Alphabet's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is postured in a seemingly bullish way.
The histogram of the stock's 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is now significantly positive and has been for a number of days.
Alphabet's 12-day EMA (black line) is also well into positive territory and has crossed well above the 26-day EMA (gold line). That's also typically a bullish technical signal.
All in, GOOGL was trading at a roughly 20% premium to its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line above) and a whopping 31% premium to its 200-day SMA (the red line) as of Thursday afternoon. That's all somewhat concerning technically.
An Options Option
How might someone try to protect themselves if they're long the stock?
Consider purchasing a "protected collar."
First, buy puts that expire later than Alphabet's next expected earnings date -- say, a contract with an Oct. 24 expiration date.
The person would pay for those puts (or at least subsidize their purchase) by selling an equal-sized covered call against their long position.
Such a set-up would create a possible escape for an investor for a reduced cost through the sale of some potential excess gains.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long GOOGL at the time of writing this column.)
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