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Fundamental Analysis

The price of gold will continue to fall to $4,000, shorting.The following only represents my personal thoughts. If you find it helpful, please like and follow to show your support! Please note that any strategy is time-sensitive. As market conditions change, the strategy will also change. I will notify you in the channel based on the actual market conditions! At the opening of Monday, gold changed its previous upward style and fell to the 4000 integer mark at one point in the session. This is very consistent with my short-selling strategy and fully meets my trading expectations. I shorted gold at 4090 and the decline was more than $100. This is a good start for this week. Gold's recent decline was expected. Ebbing risk aversion and profit-taking by bulls are the likely reasons for the decline. To put it bluntly, gold's recent surge was too strong and needed a break, which is the direct reason. From a technical perspective, gold has now turned to the short side. The trading strategy will undoubtedly follow the trend and focus on short selling. For short selling of gold, you can consider building positions in batches in the 4015-4035 area, focusing on the support line of 3970 below.
FOREXCOM:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide
10/28/25 - $rbrk - okay. i'm convinced. small... 4 now10/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:RBRK okay. i'm convinced. small... 4 now - thanks to @livedbackwards i had to take a closer look - and the momentum these guys have esp after the last earnings is basically undeniable - i still have to hold my nose w/ valuation, but take the point that inflection on cash isn't necessarily the focus here - how many other one-of-one cyber names can you buy that are doing >30% growth for near 10x sales; an AI disruptor, not the other way around - i'd like to own more, but i'm keeping it small for now bc i'd still like to hold a high cash balance, more on my sizing for a follow up but for now it's about a 2% position (and LT meriting more deep dive on my part). - so for now the 2026 cyber portfolio is $S (larger) and NYSE:RBRK V
NYSE:RBRKLong
by VROCKSTAR
Alphabet Is Up 90% Since April. Here's What Its Chart SaysGoogle parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL is set to report Q3 results this week at a time when the tech giant's stock is trading at or near all-time highs and has risen some 90% since its April lows. The stock has beaten the S&P 500 SP:SPX in virtually every time period from the past one month to the previous five years. What does its chart and fundamental analysis say? Let's see: Alphabet's Fundamental Analysis GOOGL plans to release quarterly numbers after the closing bell on Wednesday, with the Street expecting the firm to report $2.28 of GAAP earnings per share on slightly more than $100 billion of revenue. If correct, those numbers would compare well with Alphabet's year-ago comps, with GAAP EPS rising 7.5% from Q3 2024's $2.12 and revenue gaining about 13.4% from the $88.3 billion GOOGL that reported 12 months earlier. Revenue growth like that would be in line with Alphabet's sales trends for years now. In fact, 28 of the 49 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover GOOGL have revised their earnings estimates higher since the period started. (Fourteen lowered their forecasts and seven have left their numbers unchanged.) Alphabet's Technical Analysis Next, let's look at GOOGL's chart going back some 11 months and running through Friday afternoon: Readers will first note the large, well-defined cup-with-handle pattern that stretched from late January into August, marked with a purple curving line at the chart's center. That pattern provided GOOGL with a breakout in early September from a $106 pivot. However, Alphabet hit resistance by late September and spent about a month developing a bull-flag pattern of bullish continuance, marked with two purple diagonal lines and a purple box at the chart's right. This flag has a $256 pivot, which GOOGL broke through in recent days. (The stock closed $269.24 on Monday after hitting a $270.06 all-time intraday high.) Should Alphabet manage to hold that pivot, then many analysts likely would adjust their price targets considerably higher. But should the pivot fail, GOOGL would next look to its moving averages for support. The swing crowd would likely come into play at the stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line). Meanwhile, portfolio managers would be down around the 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line at $236.60 in the chart above) if not forced to chase on momentum. Looking at the Alphabet's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is quite robust, but not yet in a technically overbought state. At the same time, Alphabet's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom), looks like it might be trying to take on a more bullish posture. The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) has just moved back into positive territory. That's short-term bullish. Similarly, the 12-day EMA (the black line) has just crossed above the 26-day EMA (the gold line), with both lines above the zero-bound. That, too, is a short- to medium-term bullish technical signal. An Options Option Investors exploring options strategies might consider evaluating a "bull-call spread," depending on their market outlook. That's where you buy one call and sell a second one with a higher strike price and the same expiration date. Here's an example: -- Buy one GOOGL $262.50 call with an Oct. 31 expiration (i.e., after the earnings come out). This costs about $8.45 at recent prices. -- Sell (write) one Oct. 31 GOOGL $282.50 call for roughly $2.30. Net debit: $6.15 The options trader in this example is risking $6.15 to try to make $13.85, for a 225% maximum profit. If said trader is also interested in taking on equity risk at a discount, the person could also add a put to the above trade. Example: -- Sell (write) one Oct. 31 GOOGL $252.50 put for about $5. This would reduce the trader's net debit to $1.15. While this greatly enhances the spread's potential profitability, the trader is exposed to possibly having to purchase 100 GOOGL shares at expiration at $253.65 net basis at a time when the stock would be trading below $252.50. The maximum theoretical gain would increase to $18.85 x 100 (options multiplier) for a total of $1,885. The maximum theoretical loss would also increase substantially to $25,365, as although unlikely, the stock could potentially fall to zero. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long GOOGL at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by moomoo
1
BTCUSD — New York Cleans London Highs 🧭 Context New York came in aggressive and swept the London highs — a clean stop-hunt above the morning range. After the sweep, price slipped back inside structure, confirming it was liquidity collection, not breakout continuation. Same playbook we’ve seen all week: clean liquidity, reset the board, and wait for direction. 📐 Technical Map Structure: Still inside a bearish daily range, rotating between 116,077.51 – 103,516.75. Geometry: We remain in an internal bullish bias as long as price holds above 114,128.30. If we close below 114,128.30, that’s the first sign of weakness in price action — an early signal the range may start to roll over. Confirmation: A decisive close below 112,885.20 confirms breakdown; holding above keeps the range intact. Bias: Neutral-to-bearish unless we see strong volume confirmation to either side. 🌐 Fundamental Pulse Dollar strength persists after Monday’s yield rebound — the 10-year Treasury hovers near 4.58%. CPI miss remains in play and crypto liquidity stays tight. Risk tone across markets leans defensive — institutions hedging more, speculating less. 📊 Volume & Order Flow Map The sweep showed a clear volume burst but no continuation. Footprint data suggests liquidity taken from the highs and absorbed back into range — a controlled event, not momentum-driven. 🎯 Plan No need to rush trades after a sweep. Let price confirm with a clean close — below 114,128.30 signals early weakness; below 112,885.20 opens range extension lower. Above 114,128.30, we stay inside the current rotation. Patience here protects capital. 🧠 CORE5 Note — For Traders Sweeps are designed to pull emotion. Your edge is to let them happen, then read what survives after. Stay patient — control builds confidence. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
One year in BITCOIN- easy graphic may show whats next Nothing complicated here. The Box on the left is October Last year Hardly UpTober was it ? PA dived towards the end of September and it recovered 10% by the end of October. It also had a Red start as can be seen if you look close This year, we have gone a little deeper into the Red but we do seem to be climbing back out of it and, so, we may well see a Big Take off in the near future. However, at time of writing, we are still at -7% off the high at end of September before PA dived. So we do need to remain CAUTIOUS and the fact that we currently have a DOJI Green candle, just recovered from RED on the monthly chart adds to the need to take Care Last year, we reached the ATH in December as is the traditional Habit in Bitcoin Cycles. I see no reason as yet why we cannot try this again. BEAR signals do exist but they are not as strong as the Bullish ideas It is the Blue line on the chart below that we need to cross and remain above Time will tell Lets see what happens after the FED annoucement tomorrow But, again, remain cautious. The initial response from markets may be False.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
$BYND - The Next GMELet's look at the thesis behind this idea :- 1) Massive Short interest. 2) Falling Wedge Pattern. 3) Diamond Hands are back again and This time they are supporting BYND. 4) Untapped Liquidity Resting above and possibility of liquidating Shorts would also be appealing to Market makers to supply Liquidity to HIGHER Bidders for building new Short positions. From my speculation, this is highly risky play. But how to play it? No need to go full APE. Risk Assessment can be used. Assess your risk. Use a Stop loss. Accept your Risk. Always use a Stop loss with risk in mind of what you can afford to lose. This is not a Financial Advice. Your gains and losses are your responsibility. I wish you good luck. This idea is for educational purposes only. DYOR. If you like this idea then Follow me please.
NASDAQ:BYNDLong
by StunnerStock
4
NTSK Netskope: the rocket is on the padNetskope’s shares (ticker NTSK) are trading after a successful IPO, but the chart suggests we’re still in early accumulation phase. The price is hovering in the ~$21-24 zone, and a breakout above near resistance is needed to confirm strength. The first target is $28, with potential extension toward $35–40 if the structure holds. Given IPO volatility, entry requires careful stop-management and confirmation of trend support. Netskope operates in the rapidly expanding cloud security market (SASE/Zero Trust). With revenue growth exceeding 30% and narrowing losses, the company is well-positioned in the AI-security wave. While the TAM (total addressable market) is large and growth prospects strong, the business still faces profitability and competitive risks. The rocket may not yet be launched, but the launchpad is set. Stay patient, wait for the “ignition” signal, and let the engine build thrust before liftoff.
NASDAQ:NTSKLong
by InvestWorld_777
1
10/28/25 - $sqns - Meh, cheap BTC trade10/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: SQNS Meh, cheap BTC trade - i'd link you to their website, but tradingview would flag me for shilling ironically. so here's to DYOR, i guess with a quick google search for their bitcoin treasury dashboard - thing trades at 0.73x mnav - it has a legacy biz associated w it, so defn deserves some discount - but i like this bottoming pattern - btc is moving, idk if holds - but we've seen stuff like NASDAQ:SMLR (flagged this before) go nuts the other day (no longer own it), NASDAQ:NAKA (still have some) and others - preferred way to own my size remains OTC:OBTC at 8% discount. i'm convinced it will convert, and honestly i'm not trading BTC around, anyway. - but for s/t like sequans... it's a trade, only. i like spot here b/c the chain is so lumpy. might sell C's if this thing leaps. otherwise i'm in for a 5-15% move, let's see. V
NYSE:SQNSLong
by VROCKSTAR
USDJPY - Short (Gap fill + FOMC)If we have a look at the DXY to add confluence to the trade, it is is currently in a correction phase, approaching the upper boundary near 98.900, which aligns with channel resistance. Fundamentals: Recent data continues to show signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, with job growth slowing and unemployment ticking higher. This softening backdrop increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance in upcoming meetings, potentially weighing further on the dollar. I expect further weakening of USJPY this week, and continuation into the following week.
Short
by MB_Technicals
$HBARUSD Potential UpsideGood morning, Looks like the shakeout is over for now. Something I noticed was the force-out of leveraged players. We won't see the prices the institutions were able to scoop up, because all of those "sellers" were forced out of the market, and shares immediately bought up. I have invested in several strong utility cryptos, and I could see COINBASE:HBARUSD being in that conversation in the near future. As always, first target is the 0.888 Fibonacci. 888 = abundance Alex
COINBASE:HBARUSD
by AirborneAlex
BTC to 95 k in tow weeks BTC has the same pattern and it's repeating over and over again Btc next move is going to be a crash to the 88k to 95k area And yes its gonna be a CRASH means losing mush in a few candles Then formating a side way area for .... I ll update you later after the crash in another post For ALTS i don't think it's gonna lose much Mybe 20% from now prices It debends on the BTC dominance and its likely to drop BTC Now is 115k Likely to format a double top at 116k And it'll crash after Last chance to get out of market See You an 90S
Short
by Zoser416
Nikkei surges higher: What’s powering the market now#NIKKEI has soared above 50,000. The rally is fueled by a mix of political momentum following Sanae Takaichi’s arrival, the predictably dovish stance of the Bank of Japan, a weak yen benefiting exporters, accelerating corporate reforms, and a revival in tourism and domestic demand — all pushing profit expectations and valuations to record highs. Key drivers of further #NIKKEI growth: Weak yen + dovish BoJ : Exporters earn more when converting foreign revenue into yen; cheap credit keeps valuations and multiples strong. AI and semiconductor investment cycle : Japan is expanding chip fabs, while local suppliers of materials and equipment enjoy long-term contracts and steady cash flow. Corporate reforms & buybacks : Companies are selling off non-core assets, boosting efficiency, and buying back shares — lifting EPS and investor confidence. Tourism & services boom : Japan is affordable for travelers, spending is up, and hotels, retailers, restaurants, and transport firms are reporting record revenues. Rising wages & consumption : Households have more disposable income; businesses raise prices moderately, margins stay solid, and revenues grow steadily across sectors. #NIKKEI’s growth isn’t only about the weak yen. FreshForex analysts believe political reform momentum, loose monetary policy, renewed chip demand, disciplined corporate management, and a robust services/tourism sector are key supports. The base scenario: the uptrend could extend through 2025–2026, though risks include a sharp yen rebound or political delays.
SPREADEX:NIKKEILong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
QCOM: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in AI Chip ContenderQCOM: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in AI Chip Contender Amid Data Center Expansion – SWOT and Intrinsic Value Insights 📊 Introduction As of October 28, 2025, QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is experiencing post-announcement volatility following an 11% surge in the prior session, trading around $185 in pre-market after closing at $187.68. This movement stems from the launch of new AI accelerator chips aimed at competing in data centers, amid a broader tech rally driven by $500B in projected AI infrastructure spending and Fed rate stability at 4.75%. Sector dynamics reflect intensified competition in semiconductors, with NVIDIA and AMD also advancing, though macroeconomic factors like easing U.S.-China trade talks support chip demand, countered by ongoing export restrictions and supply chain inflation. 🔍 SWOT Analysis **Strengths 💪**: Qualcomm holds a commanding position in mobile chipsets with over 40% market share, bolstered by TTM revenue of $43.26B and net income of $11.57B. Robust financials include a 44.62% return on equity and quarterly revenue growth of 10.30% yoy, driven by diversified segments like automotive (up 20% yoy). Low beta of 1.23 indicates relative stability, with partnerships in 5G and IoT enhancing ecosystem strength. **Weaknesses ⚠️**: Debt-to-equity at 54.35% signals moderate leverage, potentially vulnerable in high-interest environments. Dependence on China for ~60% of revenue exposes risks from geopolitical tensions, while R&D costs (22% of revenue) could strain margins if AI adoption slows. Historical patent disputes add to operational challenges. **Opportunities 🌟**: The AI data center push, with new chips targeting inference markets, aligns with a $200B+ opportunity by 2027, per industry forecasts. Growth in edge AI and automotive semiconductors, backed by analyst EPS projections rising to $12.10 for 2026, supports valuation re-rating. Expansion into PCs and servers via Snapdragon platforms could capture 15-20% share from Intel. **Threats 🚩**: Fierce competition from NVIDIA's Blackwell and AMD's MI series threatens market erosion, with potential antitrust probes in the EU. Regulatory hurdles, such as U.S. export bans impacting 15-20% of sales, and broader sector volatility from tariff risks pose downside. Economic slowdowns may defer enterprise capex. 💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation Applying a value investing method for tech stocks, we calculate intrinsic value using a weighted blend of book value and earnings multiples, with a 20% margin of safety for cyclical risks. Inputs from filings: Book value per share $25.10, TTM EPS $10.36, assumed growth rate 10% (blending current 16.37% and next-year 1.71% projections). Formula: Intrinsic Value = (Book Value per Share * Weight) + (EPS * Growth Multiplier) - Weight for book value: 0.3 (asset-intensive adjustments) - Growth Multiplier: 28.5 (Graham-inspired: 8.5 + 2*10) Calculation: (25.10 * 0.3) + (10.36 * 28.5) = 7.53 + 295.26 = 302.79 Apply 20% margin of safety: 302.79 * 0.8 ≈ $242.23 At current price ~$185, QCOM appears undervalued by ~24-31% (upside to $242 fair value, aligned with forward P/E of 13.95 and comparables). Debt flags are minor at 54%, with sustainability tied to EPS growth above 10%. 📈 Undervalued. 📈 Entry Strategy Insights Institutional methods target support zones near $180-182 (near 50-day SMA) for unleveraged, long-term entries using dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Scale in on 4-7% dips, employing non-repainting volume-based signals to verify momentum shifts. Effective for 10-15% position accumulation over 2-4 months, with breakout targets above $190 for phased exits. 🚀 Spot zones. ⚠️ Risk Management Restrict sizing to 1-5% of portfolio to handle sector swings, diversifying across tech subsectors and defensives. Use trailing stops 7-10% below entry (e.g., $170) and favor long-term holds if ROE sustains, monitoring earnings reports and trade policy. Caution on 10-20% drawdowns from competitive news. 🔚 Conclusion Qualcomm's AI diversification, solid fundamentals, and undervalued profile amid tech momentum indicate potential to $242+, with safety buffers. Key takeaways: Track AI adoption for earnings uplift, independently validate growth estimates. This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
NASDAQ:QCOM
by DCAChampion