10/28/25 - $amrz - riding long this EPS10/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:AMRZ
riding long this EPS
- builders win in this administration
- timing could be off?
- but valuation at 4.5% fcf growing solid teens+ seems good
- playing EPS here for a small SD stake
- trade but want to start putting these type names on my radar, so test driving long
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Fundamental Analysis
Integra LifeSciences Holdings | IART | Long at $12.39Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corp NASDAQ:IART manufactures and sells surgical instruments, neurosurgical products, and wound care solutions for neurosurgery, neurocritical care, otolaryngology, orthopedics, and general surgery. The stock has fallen over the past few years due to earnings misses / lowered earnings per share guidance, slow revenue growth, and operational challenges / recalls. But the company has been around since 1989 (endured many ups and downs during that time), has over 4,000 employees, a book value near $20 (undervalued), a forward price-to-earnings between 6x-9x (depending on the source), and revenue growth beyond 2025 and into 2028. Debt is slightly high with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.2x and a quick ratio near 0.8x (company may have difficulty meeting its short-term obligations with its most liquid assets), it is thus a risky play. But the valuation and potential turnaround should get some attention.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price has entered and exited my "crash" simple moving average area 3 times now (see green lines). While I think $10 is likely in the near-term, it appears the stock *may* be forming a bottom - especially given the book value is more than 60% from the current price. But, as always, medical device stocks are always a major investment risk, so due diligence is needed.
Thus, at $12.39, NASDAQ:IART is in a buy zone with a note regarding the potential for a dip near $10 before a move up. Targets will be kept low for a swing trade.
Targets:
$15.00 (+21.0%)
$16.50 (+33.2%)
Bitcoin prediction Nov 2025Bitcoin prediction Nov 2025, Bitcoin is expected to push to the upside after it broke previous high and came to test previous low and bullish order block and start to move toward previous high (Bullish Extension). This move may break previous all-time high and break record of 2025 All-time high.
Did weekly lows for GBP/JPY get put in?The exchange rate has declined a little bit less then one percent from the weekly open. In reference to the current weekly high price has declined greater then one percent. Seeing as there is not any major data for the Yen or GBP. This feels like a safe position for me considering all of the implied interest rate cuts forecasted for this week. Using UIP for directional bias and TP, hoping to roll it up if GBP03Y yields climb. SL is ATR(14)x1.5.
AUD/USD in focus ahead of CPI, FOMC and Trump-Xi summitAhead of the release of inflation data from Australia and the Fed's rate decision, both on Wednesday, the AUD/USD was among the strongest FX pairs our there today, rising in tandem with stock indices. The pair has broken out of a short-term bear channel and risen above its 21--day exponential average. Key short-term support now comes in at 0.6500-0.6530 area, and resistance around 0.6580-0.6600.
Rising expectations that the Trump-Xi meeting will result in the extension of the trade truce between the world's largest economy continues to underpin the risk rally, which has benefitted the Aussie.
The AUD/USD will face a key test, not only due to the Trump-Xi summit which is likely to take place on Thursday, but we will also have CPI data from Australia and a likely rate cut decision from the Fed on Wednesday to look forward to.
Australia's CPI is due at 12:30 GMT in the early hours of Wednesday. A 1.1% quarter-over-quarter reading is expected, up from 0.7% in the previous quarter, while the year-over-year rate is seen edging higher to 3.1% from 3.0% previously.
Earlier this week, RBA’s Gov Bullock said:
- We will have to decide whether need cut to help job market
- Unemployment Could Come Down Again Next Month
- Monthly Numbers Can Be Volatile But Unemployment Rate Jump Was Surprise
- Unemployment Rise Was Not A Huge Amount Above Forecast
- Board Is Cautious About Policy, Rates Still A Bit Restrictive
While a rate cut is not out of the question, the RBA is among the more hawkish of central banks out there, and should the US-China trade relations improve, we could see further appreciation in the Aussie dollar - especially in light of the pair breakout out of its bearish channel.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GBPUSD outlook 20 - 24 OctoberThe chart trend on GBPUSD is currently bearish on the 4H swing structure but bullish on the internal structure. I have marked out several possibilities of how price action can play out the coming week giving both cases for long and short setups. I am currently more bearish biased on GU however having a plan incase structure changed direction is always good.
The US Government is still currently shut down and because of that we are still missing key Labor data which would give us clues as to what the Fed is likely to do in the future when it comes to interest rates. The BLS have stated that they are releasing CPI data this Friday and that will be the only information we get until the Government reopens.
My prediction is that the next CPI YoY print is likely to show a slight increase, potentially landing in the range of 3.0% to 3.3%. Forecasts on Trading economics and Financialjuice
show a similar figure of 3.0 - 3.1.
Below is a summary of the data I used to generate the my prediction of the CPI figure using the ISM Services report for September. There is usually a 70 - 80 % correlation between Services prices and inflation with a 1 - 2 month lag.
Rationale:
Direct Evidence from the PMI: The ISM Services Prices Index is a reliable leading indicator for service sector inflation in the CPI. A reading of 69.4% is exceptionally high and suggests that input costs for services companies are rising at a very rapid pace. Service based inflation (e.g., housing rents, healthcare, insurance, dining out) is the most persistent component of the CPI basket. The PMI strongly suggests these pressures are not abating.
The Tariff Impact: The respondent comments are unanimous in pointing to tariffs as a key source of cost pressures. These tariffs are directly affecting consumer-facing categories like food, apparel, and electronics. As these increased costs work their way through the supply chain to the end consumer, they will exert upward pressure on the CPI.
Balancing Factors - Why it won't necessarily spike:
The report notes that some commodity prices (Diesel, Gasoline) are down, which could help moderate the energy component of CPI.
The significant weakness in demand (slumping Business Activity and weak New Orders) could eventually force businesses to absorb some of these higher costs rather than pass them all on to consumers, limiting the upside for CPI. However, the current Prices Index suggests they are still successfully passing them on.
Final Assessment:
The forces of inflation, as captured by this report, appear stronger than the forces of disinflation. The widespread, tariff-driven cost increases in the massive services sector are likely to outweigh any softening in demand in the short term. Therefore, the risks are tilted to the upside for the next CPI print. A move above 3.0% is a very plausible outcome based on the data in this report.
Disclaimer: This prediction is based solely on the ISM Services PMI report. The actual CPI is a broader measure that includes goods and is influenced by many other factors not covered here, such as housing rents and energy prices. This should be considered an analysis of one important leading indicator, not a comprehensive forecast.
AMZN cash flows are strong despite capital expendituresAMZN is valued not on earnings but on operating cash flow. Cash flows are strong with FCF and net operating income remaining robust. Capital expenditures are high in 2025 as the company invests in infrastructure needed for future competitive edge. This may be temporarily leaning on valuations.
$TMUS Earnings and Technical AnalysisUndercut and Reverse Pattern Observed in TMUS
On October 23rd, T-Mobile US (TMUS) released its earnings report, surpassing analyst expectations. Despite the positive results, the stock initially experienced a sell-off and closed down approximately 3.3%. The overall downward movement exceeded 5%, with trading on October 24th pushing the stock below its June lows. However, the following day saw a positive shift, as the stock closed higher and rallied past the previous June low. This price action meets the criteria for an Undercut and Rally formation.
Trading Strategy and Position Management
After observing these developments, I waited until today to confirm a potential follow-through day. When the stock rallied above yesterday’s high, I initiated a new position at half of my typical size, setting a stop-loss just below the most recent low to manage risk. Despite this move, TMUS remains under all of its key moving averages. It is currently attempting to reclaim the 5-day moving average (DMA). The next targets for the stock would be the 10-day and then the 20-day moving averages. Should TMUS successfully move above the 20 DMA, I plan to consider adding to my position.
Q3 2025 Earnings Performance
On Thursday, October 23, 2025, at 6:58 AM ET, T-Mobile US reported earnings of $2.59 per share for the third quarter ended September 2025, with revenue totaling $21.96 billion. These results exceeded consensus estimates of $2.42 per share in earnings and $21.73 billion in revenue. The Earnings Whisper number was $2.56 per share, indicating that TMUS beat expectations by 1.17%. Additionally, revenue increased by 8.90% compared to the same period last year.
Disclaimer
Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own analysis and to adhere to their personal trading rules. Investing in the stock market always carries risk, and it is essential to make informed decisions with your own capital.
The price of gold will continue to fall to $4,000, shorting.The following only represents my personal thoughts. If you find it helpful, please like and follow to show your support! Please note that any strategy is time-sensitive. As market conditions change, the strategy will also change. I will notify you in the channel based on the actual market conditions!
At the opening of Monday, gold changed its previous upward style and fell to the 4000 integer mark at one point in the session. This is very consistent with my short-selling strategy and fully meets my trading expectations. I shorted gold at 4090 and the decline was more than $100. This is a good start for this week.
Gold's recent decline was expected. Ebbing risk aversion and profit-taking by bulls are the likely reasons for the decline. To put it bluntly, gold's recent surge was too strong and needed a break, which is the direct reason.
From a technical perspective, gold has now turned to the short side. The trading strategy will undoubtedly follow the trend and focus on short selling. For short selling of gold, you can consider building positions in batches in the 4015-4035 area, focusing on the support line of 3970 below.
10/28/25 - $rbrk - okay. i'm convinced. small... 4 now10/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:RBRK
okay. i'm convinced. small... 4 now
- thanks to @livedbackwards i had to take a closer look
- and the momentum these guys have esp after the last earnings is basically undeniable
- i still have to hold my nose w/ valuation, but take the point that inflection on cash isn't necessarily the focus here
- how many other one-of-one cyber names can you buy that are doing >30% growth for near 10x sales; an AI disruptor, not the other way around
- i'd like to own more, but i'm keeping it small for now bc i'd still like to hold a high cash balance, more on my sizing for a follow up but for now it's about a 2% position (and LT meriting more deep dive on my part).
- so for now the 2026 cyber portfolio is $S (larger) and NYSE:RBRK
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USOIL TRADE IDEAhi all
USOIL has broken through the resistance level at 60.17 on the H4 timeframe. The current decline is likely a pullback. In my view, the 59.3–59.1 range presents a good opportunity to go long on USOIL
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Total3 \ Altcoins On the Total3 chart, the price is trapped within the 3.8-year-old major resistance and uptrend range, which hasn't been surpassed even during the recent rally.
price is holding strongly above the 4.2-year uptrend support and the 21EMA.
Even the recent downtrend wave failed to break this structure, on the contrary, it confirmed the trend.
Alphabet Is Up 90% Since April. Here's What Its Chart SaysGoogle parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL is set to report Q3 results this week at a time when the tech giant's stock is trading at or near all-time highs and has risen some 90% since its April lows. The stock has beaten the S&P 500 SP:SPX in virtually every time period from the past one month to the previous five years. What does its chart and fundamental analysis say?
Let's see:
Alphabet's Fundamental Analysis
GOOGL plans to release quarterly numbers after the closing bell on Wednesday, with the Street expecting the firm to report $2.28 of GAAP earnings per share on slightly more than $100 billion of revenue.
If correct, those numbers would compare well with Alphabet's year-ago comps, with GAAP EPS rising 7.5% from Q3 2024's $2.12 and revenue gaining about 13.4% from the $88.3 billion GOOGL that reported 12 months earlier.
Revenue growth like that would be in line with Alphabet's sales trends for years now.
In fact, 28 of the 49 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover GOOGL have revised their earnings estimates higher since the period started. (Fourteen lowered their forecasts and seven have left their numbers unchanged.)
Alphabet's Technical Analysis
Next, let's look at GOOGL's chart going back some 11 months and running through Friday afternoon:
Readers will first note the large, well-defined cup-with-handle pattern that stretched from late January into August, marked with a purple curving line at the chart's center. That pattern provided GOOGL with a breakout in early September from a $106 pivot.
However, Alphabet hit resistance by late September and spent about a month developing a bull-flag pattern of bullish continuance, marked with two purple diagonal lines and a purple box at the chart's right.
This flag has a $256 pivot, which GOOGL broke through in recent days. (The stock closed $269.24 on Monday after hitting a $270.06 all-time intraday high.)
Should Alphabet manage to hold that pivot, then many analysts likely would adjust their price targets considerably higher. But should the pivot fail, GOOGL would next look to its moving averages for support.
The swing crowd would likely come into play at the stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line). Meanwhile, portfolio managers would be down around the 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line at $236.60 in the chart above) if not forced to chase on momentum.
Looking at the Alphabet's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is quite robust, but not yet in a technically overbought state.
At the same time, Alphabet's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom), looks like it might be trying to take on a more bullish posture.
The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) has just moved back into positive territory. That's short-term bullish.
Similarly, the 12-day EMA (the black line) has just crossed above the 26-day EMA (the gold line), with both lines above the zero-bound. That, too, is a short- to medium-term bullish technical signal.
An Options Option
Investors exploring options strategies might consider evaluating a "bull-call spread," depending on their market outlook. That's where you buy one call and sell a second one with a higher strike price and the same expiration date.
Here's an example:
-- Buy one GOOGL $262.50 call with an Oct. 31 expiration (i.e., after the earnings come out). This costs about $8.45 at recent prices.
-- Sell (write) one Oct. 31 GOOGL $282.50 call for roughly $2.30.
Net debit: $6.15
The options trader in this example is risking $6.15 to try to make $13.85, for a 225% maximum profit.
If said trader is also interested in taking on equity risk at a discount, the person could also add a put to the above trade. Example:
-- Sell (write) one Oct. 31 GOOGL $252.50 put for about $5.
This would reduce the trader's net debit to $1.15. While this greatly enhances the spread's potential profitability, the trader is exposed to possibly having to purchase 100 GOOGL shares at expiration at $253.65 net basis at a time when the stock would be trading below $252.50.
The maximum theoretical gain would increase to $18.85 x 100 (options multiplier) for a total of $1,885. The maximum theoretical loss would also increase substantially to $25,365, as although unlikely, the stock could potentially fall to zero.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long GOOGL at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request.
Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved.
Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy.
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BTCUSD — New York Cleans London Highs
🧭 Context
New York came in aggressive and swept the London highs — a clean stop-hunt above the morning range.
After the sweep, price slipped back inside structure, confirming it was liquidity collection, not breakout continuation.
Same playbook we’ve seen all week: clean liquidity, reset the board, and wait for direction.
📐 Technical Map
Structure: Still inside a bearish daily range, rotating between 116,077.51 – 103,516.75.
Geometry: We remain in an internal bullish bias as long as price holds above 114,128.30.
If we close below 114,128.30, that’s the first sign of weakness in price action — an early signal the range may start to roll over.
Confirmation: A decisive close below 112,885.20 confirms breakdown; holding above keeps the range intact.
Bias: Neutral-to-bearish unless we see strong volume confirmation to either side.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
Dollar strength persists after Monday’s yield rebound — the 10-year Treasury hovers near 4.58%.
CPI miss remains in play and crypto liquidity stays tight.
Risk tone across markets leans defensive — institutions hedging more, speculating less.
📊 Volume & Order Flow Map
The sweep showed a clear volume burst but no continuation.
Footprint data suggests liquidity taken from the highs and absorbed back into range — a controlled event, not momentum-driven.
🎯 Plan
No need to rush trades after a sweep.
Let price confirm with a clean close — below 114,128.30 signals early weakness; below 112,885.20 opens range extension lower.
Above 114,128.30, we stay inside the current rotation.
Patience here protects capital.
🧠 CORE5 Note — For Traders
Sweeps are designed to pull emotion.
Your edge is to let them happen, then read what survives after.
Stay patient — control builds confidence.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
One year in BITCOIN- easy graphic may show whats next
Nothing complicated here.
The Box on the left is October Last year
Hardly UpTober was it ? PA dived towards the end of September and it recovered 10% by the end of October.
It also had a Red start as can be seen if you look close
This year, we have gone a little deeper into the Red but we do seem to be climbing back out of it and, so, we may well see a Big Take off in the near future.
However, at time of writing, we are still at -7% off the high at end of September before PA dived.
So we do need to remain CAUTIOUS and the fact that we currently have a DOJI Green candle, just recovered from RED on the monthly chart adds to the need to take Care
Last year, we reached the ATH in December as is the traditional Habit in Bitcoin Cycles.
I see no reason as yet why we cannot try this again.
BEAR signals do exist but they are not as strong as the Bullish ideas
It is the Blue line on the chart below that we need to cross and remain above
Time will tell
Lets see what happens after the FED annoucement tomorrow But, again, remain cautious.
The initial response from markets may be False.
$BYND - The Next GMELet's look at the thesis behind this idea :-
1) Massive Short interest.
2) Falling Wedge Pattern.
3) Diamond Hands are back again and This time they are supporting BYND.
4) Untapped Liquidity Resting above and possibility of liquidating Shorts would also be appealing to Market makers to supply Liquidity to HIGHER Bidders for building new Short positions.
From my speculation, this is highly risky play. But how to play it?
No need to go full APE.
Risk Assessment can be used. Assess your risk. Use a Stop loss. Accept your Risk. Always use a Stop loss with risk in mind of what you can afford to lose.
This is not a Financial Advice. Your gains and losses are your responsibility. I wish you good luck.
This idea is for educational purposes only. DYOR.
If you like this idea then Follow me please.
NTSK Netskope: the rocket is on the padNetskope’s shares (ticker NTSK) are trading after a successful IPO, but the chart suggests we’re still in early accumulation phase. The price is hovering in the ~$21-24 zone, and a breakout above near resistance is needed to confirm strength. The first target is $28, with potential extension toward $35–40 if the structure holds. Given IPO volatility, entry requires careful stop-management and confirmation of trend support.
Netskope operates in the rapidly expanding cloud security market (SASE/Zero Trust). With revenue growth exceeding 30% and narrowing losses, the company is well-positioned in the AI-security wave. While the TAM (total addressable market) is large and growth prospects strong, the business still faces profitability and competitive risks.
The rocket may not yet be launched, but the launchpad is set. Stay patient, wait for the “ignition” signal, and let the engine build thrust before liftoff.






















