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Gold Breaks above $4050, what is next? Gold prices continued to edge higher on Monday amid growing market speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in December. Despite earlier comments from several Fed officials suggesting no rate cuts this year, the probability of a December cut has strengthened. This renewed optimism has once again boosted gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, in my view, the recent price rise isn’t solely driven by expectations of rate cuts. There are several broader macroeconomic and geopolitical factors contributing to gold’s bullish momentum. Following the recent meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, markets were initially hopeful that a significant trade breakthrough would ease tensions between the U.S. and China. Investors expected that China might resume exports of rare minerals and critical raw materials, which are essential for semiconductor production. While China has indeed decided to extend the export suspension of certain materials—particularly gallium and antimony—until 2026, the uncertainty beyond that timeframe has created further anxiety in global markets. This uncertainty, combined with expectations of slower global economic growth into 2026, is strengthening demand for gold as a long-term hedge. In addition, major central banks such as China, Russia, and Turkey have been steadily increasing their gold reserves. This accumulation provides additional support for gold prices, as these institutions are likely to continue buying on dips to diversify away from dollar exposure. Fundamentally, the overall outlook remains strongly bullish for gold. From October 20 to October 28, gold experienced a short-term pullback. Despite that correction, price action consistently respected the key support zone near $3,990–$4,000, never forming a stable close below it. The market repeatedly failed to break below that base, showing buyers’ strength. On the upside, the immediate resistance zone around $4,030–$4,050 had held firm for several sessions. However, during today’s early trading session, gold successfully broke above this resistance, establishing stability above the breakout level. Currently, the next short-term target lies near the $4,130–$4,150 range. If the daily candle closes bullishly, even a minor correction could be followed by another leg upward toward that zone. Given that $4,150 represents a strong resistance area, a brief pullback is possible once price reaches it. But if gold can sustain a stable close above $4,150, the next psychological target would be around $4,200–$4,230, with a potential final upside target near $4,280–$4,300. Support & Risk Levels Immediate Support: $4,050 Next Strong Support: $3,970 – $4,000 Major Support (Invalidation Zone): $3,880 – $3,900 As long as gold holds above the $3,880–$3,900 range, a major downtrend remains unlikely. Buyers continue to defend lower levels aggressively, and momentum remains positive both fundamentally and technically. Gold remains underpinned by a mix of fundamental optimism (potential Fed rate cuts, central-bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty) and technical strength above its breakout levels. A sustained move above $4,150 could open the path toward $4,300, while a break below $3,970 might trigger a temporary correction.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Trading_Expert
USD/JPY Consolidating Below Resistance Near 155USD/JPY is starting the week on slightly stronger footing in the wake of the news that a tentative deal had been reached in the U.S. Senate to end the longest government shutdown in history. While the U.S. Dollar has firmed versus most of its counterparts, the downdraft in U.S. Treasury yields over the morning session on Monday has allowed the Japanese Yen to recoup some losses. On the Yen side, Japanese government bond (JGB) 10-year yield reached its highest level since June 2008 as fiscal concerns mount across the Pacific. In the above chart, USD/JPY rates have struggled to breach the February 2025 swing high near 155, having paused below said resistance since late-October. That said, momentum remains to the upside, with USD/JPY well-supported by uptrends in both the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and 50-day EMA. A breach of 155 would suggest continuation to the upside back to the 2025 highs would be in focus; a drop below the 20-day EMA would initially expose the late-October swing low below 152.
by tastyfx
SPY: The Rebound to All-Time Highs is Just Getting StartedSPY has been respecting this rising channel for months now. Each dip to the lower trendline has been a solid buying opportunity, and the latest pullback looks no different. The recent breakdown scared some traders out, but the quick recovery and reclaim of structure show strong underlying demand. We’ve seen two major touches at the lower boundary of the channel (highlighted in blue), both followed by strong recoveries. This latest retest is setting up the same way — except this time, the catalyst is even more powerful. With the government shutdown ending, liquidity is flowing back into the markets. Federal spending restarts, delayed projects resume, and that injection of capital tends to ripple through equities. Historically, when the government reopens after a shutdown, SPY sees a notable uptick in volume and sentiment. That incoming money flow, combined with institutional repositioning into year-end, sets the stage for a strong Q4 rally. Momentum traders will start chasing once SPY reclaims key resistance levels, and fund managers will likely push to close the year strong. Support Zone: Around 670–675 (bottom of the channel) Resistance Levels: 700 short-term, 715–720 as the upper bound of the channel Pattern: Bullish continuation within a rising parallel channel Volume: No panic-selling signs, just rotation and consolidation The short-term consolidation you see on the chart is typical after a brief correction inside an established uptrend. The smaller arrow shows a possible short pullback before the real breakout happens. Once price clears the descending mini-trendline (shown cutting across the recent highs), we’re likely to see momentum build fast. My thesis is simple. SPY is heading back to all-time highs in November, and I expect we finish the year at or near record levels. The technicals and the macro backdrop are lining up perfectly. If this channel holds, the upside target points toward the 710–720 range in the near term, potentially extending into 730+ before year-end if the market accelerates.
AMEX:SPYLong
by FindBetterTrades
$CNIRYY -China CPI (October/2025)ECONOMICS:CNIRYY +0.2% October/2025 source: National Bureau of Statistics of China -China’s consumer prices rose 0.2% yoy in October 2025, defying expectations for no change and rebounding from a 0.3% decline in the prior month. It was the first increase in consumer inflation since June and the fastest pace since January. Non-food inflation accelerated (0.9% vs 0.7% in September), lifted by the expansion of consumer trade-in programs and increased holiday spending during the Golden Week, both of which helped boost domestic demand. Prices continued to grow for housing (0.1% vs 0.1%), clothing (1.7% vs 1.7%), healthcare (1.4% vs 1.1%), and education (0.9% vs 0.8%). Meantime, transport costs fell at a slower pace (-1.5% vs -2.0%). On the food side, prices logged the smallest decline in three months (-2.9% vs -4.4%). Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose 1.2% yoy, the highest in 20 months, after September's 1.0% growth. On a monthly basis, consumer prices also increased 0.2%, following a 0.1% gain in September, reaching the highest level in three months. source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
ECONOMICS:CNIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
brrrr - ETH weekly update Nov 10 - 16thThe Deutsche Bank expects the Fed to start printing money in the beginning of December. In addition to that, we already saw a liquidity shortage in the past weeks, with the Fed reacting with a $21B liquidity injection into the system to keep the system running and prevent a bank run. After all that, there is also the massive debt of the US, which can't be paid off properly anymore and needs to be monetized by inflation. These factors lead to this point, where liquidity needs to be injected. Funding Rates show local highs, suggesting the local top is in. The liquidity heatmap shows liquidity above us, which leads to the thesis that after this move most traders are entering leveraged short positions now. The bottom could be in when Funding Rates flip negative. The current count as seen on the chart shows that the corrective movement isn't over and this has to reasons: Firstly, the indicators of the superior timeframe and cycle do not show signs of the end of this corrective movement and secondly, the current structure doesn't show the impulsiveness I'd like to see of a first wave. The alternative scenario is invalidated as we break the red market low, but the chances for the alternative scenario already lowered massively because of the big candle facing downwards. My favored position here is definitely a short but the chances getting liquidated or stopped out are very high. Stop loss would be at one peercent above the high of the X and take profit at the low of the Z.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by Phillipklh
The gold price trend is clear; opportunities lie in the timing!At the start of the week, the gold price chose a clear upward direction, breaking through key resistance levels at 4030 and 4050, reaching a high near 4095. From the overall trend structure, the bullish momentum remains strong, and the short-term trend is still robust. However, the upside potential is gradually being limited. The biggest mistake in trend trading is chasing emotions. I personally prefer to focus on resistance signals in the 4100-4120 area. If signs of resistance appear, consider shorting at higher levels. If the price retraces to the 4050-4030 area and stabilizes, that would be a more stable entry point for long positions. After the breakout, the pace accelerates. The key now lies in entry points and execution. Avoid chasing highs and blindly shorting; steadily follow the rhythm and wait for market confirmation. True stability lies not in prediction, but in the unity of execution and rhythm.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
EURUSD SHORTWith the US Dollar back in focus (CPI). Alot of investors will be seeking safety and move to the US Dollar. This will correlate with EURUSD decline. Price has broken what seemed to be a uptrend forming. With higher highs & higher lows being formed. However price created a lower high during London session and I believe this level will hold as we go down. My stoploss is 1 pip above the lower high. If price breaks the black line seen on the chart then it will be open season for the EURO
Short
by MrHowMuch
AUD/NZD one of the strongest trends in FXIf you are looking for a clean, strong trend in FX then look no further than the AUD/NZD, thanks to a hawkish RBA and dovish RBNZ. This pair had been going side-ways for 10 - TEN - years after repeatedly finding support around 1.0000 to 1.0500/0600 area since 2013. But every time it tried to rally, it hit repeated resistance around the 1.1400/1.1500 area, with the pair spending most of the time oscillating around 1.1000. BUT this year, something has changed: we are seeing a bullish trend emerge after rates bottomed in April around 1.0650ish. Since then, a number of higher highs and higher lows have been created. The pair has established a trend line and broken above its moving averages including my favorites 21 and 200 day MAs. More important, it has now broken the highs from 2015 and 2022, both just beneath the 1.1500 area. Therefore, any dips back into the shaded region on the chart in the coming days could potentially lead to a nice bounce trade that could take us near the 1.20s in the weeks ahead. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Long
by FOREX.com
EUR/USD Is Indecisive ?EUR/USD is trading with a bearish overall market structure on the 1-hour timeframe, currently below the key 1.1600 level. The pair is consolidating near resistance, with technical signals pointing to potential downside continuation unless new bullish catalysts emerge.​ Technical Market Structure Recent price rallied off the November low, with the current session showing consolidation just below resistance around 1.1565–1.1610. Key support levels to watch are 1.1538 (recent H1 swing low), 1.1520, and 1.1460. A break below these could accelerate a move towards 1.1405. The moving averages on the chart show a crossover pattern, suggesting short-term bullish exhaustion and possible transition back to bearish momentum. Short-term corrective moves are possible up to 1.1590–1.1610, but rejection here could favor another wave down.​ Elliott Wave and price envelope analysis forecast consolidation or short-lived correction followed by decline toward 1.1450 or lower. Fundamental Analysis Fed rate cut bets are driving market dynamics. The FOMC lowered rates by 25 basis points at the last meeting, and although another cut in December is possible, the decision is split among policymakers, causing uncertainty.​​ Recent weak U.S. labor data and political gridlock are weighing on the dollar, supporting euro strength in the very short term.​ ECB policymakers are signaling steady rates, with limited downside for the euro and potential for euro strength over the coming months if the Fed enters a rate-cutting cycle.​ Upbeat Eurozone data (ZEW sentiment, GDP, investor confidence) due this week could boost EUR/USD, but bearish risk remains if Fed rate cut expectations fade or U.S. macro data improves. Potential Daily Movement Bias leans bearish for the day unless EUR/USD can break and hold above 1.1590–1.1610, which could open upside to 1.1700. Downside targets for further weakness include 1.1530, then 1.1460, and potentially 1.1405 if support fails. In the event of renewed risk-on sentiment from U.S. shutdown resolution or positive Euro data, a push to the next resistance zone (1.1610–1.1690) is possible, but strong sellers remain active at these levels.​ Key Levels Table Zone Level Action Resistance 1.1590–1.1610 Sell/reject if fails Resistance 1.1690–1.1770 Strong sellers above Support 1.1530–1.1460 Watch for breaks down Support 1.1405 Bearish extension zone Upside Target 1.1700+ Bullish if breakout Overall, expect choppy intraday price action with a bearish tilt unless external fundamentals force a decisive bullish breakout above 1.1610 resistance.
by GlazeInvestments
Mina , the game changer .It’ll probably be wise to have some in this price. The tech behind it is crazy although it held down for long , the first ones always made huge profits made for investors sadly for mina it launched in a terrible time with the team underestimated the complexity of delivering promises for an advanced tech like Mina . I’m personally in a deep loss despite adding frequently from 0.60 $ . The first zk layer 1 constant size blockchain which you can build almost everything in crypto world zero to the top ZK . It’s no doubt undervalued and probably one of the most undervalued projects in the market . With the geek genius team busy coding and transparent governance it’ll find the real price soon .
CRYPTO:MINAUSD
by mastershark
Nokia:Inverted Head and Shoulders Structure + Retest of BreakoutOn the weekly chart of Nokia, a classic Inverted Head and Shoulders reversal pattern has formed. The breakout above the neckline occurred with increased volume, confirming the strength of the move. Currently, the price is undergoing a standard technical retest of the neckline from above — a typical phase before a potential continuation higher. The structure remains active: the projected height (H) points to an initial target at $5.48, based on the distance from the neckline to the head. If momentum continues, Fibonacci extension targets are located at $6.18 (1.272), $6.55 (1.414), and $7.08 (1.618). Technical view: the retest of the neckline is happening on declining volume, strengthening the probability of a bullish reversal. EMA 50/100/200 are beginning to align in a bullish crossover. The ascending channel structure also supports the upward movement. Fundamentals: Nokia is progressing with its strategic programs in 5G and upcoming 6G network technologies, reinforcing its long-term growth prospects. Improved financial performance and the recovery in demand for telecommunications infrastructure amid global digitalization trends continue to support investor interest in the stock. The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is confirmed by the breakout and current retest. As long as the price holds above the neckline, the bullish scenario toward $5.48 and beyond remains intact. This is a medium-term trend reversal structure — strong setups like this form the foundation for major moves. Don’t miss them.
NYSE:NOKLong
by TotoshkaTrades
$LLY: Decision Zone — Wedge Breakout or Retest of 685Eli Lilly (LLY) rebounded off the long-term trendline and weekly demand box (≈622–686) and is compressing inside a descending wedge. Bullish path (blue): a clean break and retest of wedge resistance opens room toward the prior extension/marker near ~970. Bearish path (red): rejection at the wedge cap could send price back to the green trendline for a higher-low around ~685 before another attempt up. News supporting the bullish path: 1- Mounjaro (tirzepatide) UK price hike: Lilly will lift UK list prices by up to ~170% from Sept 1, 2025 (e.g., highest doses from ~£122 to ~£330), with pharmacies flagging stockpiling/shortages. This supports revenue/ASP but may draw scrutiny. 2- Phase 3 ATTAIN-2 (orforglipron, oral GLP-1): trial met primary & key secondary endpoints in patients with obesity/overweight and Type-2 diabetes; company guiding to global regulatory submissions this year. Reports cite ~10.5% mean weight loss at the top dose. Sentiment tailwind for the obesity franchise. Invalidation: weekly close below ~622. Not financial advice :)
NYSE:LLYLong
by pluckyHead76994
8
Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. (ORKA) AnalysisCompany Overview: Oruka Therapeutics NASDAQ:ORKA is a clinical-stage biotech focused on next-generation monoclonal antibody (mAb) therapies for psoriasis and autoimmune/inflammatory diseases, positioning itself in one of biotech’s most durable, high-value markets. Key Catalysts: Breakthrough Half-Life Data: Lead asset ORKA-001 achieved a record 100-day half-life in Phase 1, opening the door to once-yearly dosing — a massive convenience and adherence advantage over current standard biologics like Skyrizi and other IL-23 inhibitors. A Phase 2a trial is slated for late 2025, serving as the next major value-inflection point. Deep Immunology Pipeline: ORKA-002 (IL-17A/F) expands the platform into another validated inflammatory axis. Additional programs targeting broader inflammatory pathways give ORKA multi-shot-on-goal potential across dermatology and immunology. Strong Balance Sheet & Runway: Backed by $455M in funding and cash runway through 2027, the company can run multiple trials in parallel without near-term dilution pressure — a key edge for a clinical-stage biotech. Massive Market Opportunity: The global psoriasis market is ~$30B, dominated by biologics — making a once-yearly, high-efficacy therapy highly disruptive. Investment Outlook: Bullish above: $22–$23 Target: $55–$56 Driven by best-in-class dosing potential, multiple upcoming clinical readouts, and strong funding to reach value-creating milestones. 📢 ORKA — aiming to redefine psoriasis treatment with ultra-long-acting biologics.
NASDAQ:ORKALong
by Richtv_official
AUDUSD AT SELL ZONE, POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITYHello traders, November is a great month to trade. Here's my point of view about OANDA:AUDUSD TECHNICALLY: Last weeks we had a massive drop followed by a consolidation and this week we started to retrace however higher time frames scream bearish momentum due to dollar strength. I personally did a full breakdown explaining the US DOLLAR TECHNICAL SETUP. This week price IN OANDA:AUDUSD started to retrace. Right now, price is near a strong orderblock I personally see more DOWNSIDE IN THIS PAIR. I'd like to see OANDA:AUDUSD drop from here. As I have been... and will be until proven otherwise. I will continue with my bearish biais only if price stay Below the red zone H4 BEARISH orderblock. Always with strict risk management & psychology FUNDAMENTALLY: The record-breaking U.S. government shutdown is nearing an end after moderate Senate Democrats agreed to back a deal to reopen the government and fund key departments. This might be bullish for the dollar and that BY NEGATIVE CORRELATION .../USD BEARISH. Also bullish for indicies... KEEP an eye ON! All eyes on the market sentiment everything can change quickly! adapt & capitalize it ! We have seversal years trading the financial markets You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
Short
by AIRFOREXONE_
DXY — Range Structure HoldsThe US Dollar Index (DXY) started the week trading just below a bearish distribution fractal low at 99.321. Price holds inside a short-term bearish range between 99.000 (low) and 99.500 (high) while still operating within the broader daily bullish structure. DXY is currently moving through the daily imbalance cap near 99.035, sitting in the premium zone — compression remains active as larger participants stay patient. Market Structure Mapping (MSM) shows price tightening in that upper zone — the calm before the bigger players step in. Market Structure Mapping (MSM) shows price pressing into the daily imbalance high near 99.035, lining up with the range-low fractal around 99.032. That’s the lower edge of Monday’s structure — tight, clean, and holding steady. Volume Flow Analytics (VFA) points to order-flow absorption — buyers keep hitting the tape, but liquidity keeps taking the other side. It’s that slow-burn type of session where participation fades and bigger players quietly build positions under the surface. If that pattern holds, price could drift back toward the discount area once participation increases. No rush — London already had its short trade this morning. Now it’s just about waiting for confirmed order flow before taking the next setup. The dollar’s steady as Washington works on a funding deal to end the government shutdown, calming market nerves. Ten-year Treasury yields hover just above 4.1 %, keeping a floor under USD as investors still get paid to hold dollars. Inflation’s sitting near 3 %, growth data is mixed, and delayed reports mean traders are reacting more to headlines than numbers. For now, yields and improving political tone offer support — but it’s not bulletproof. If debt or growth headlines turn sour again, that support can fade fast. 🦅 CORE5 RULE: Slow days build strong traders. Wait for the flow, not the noise. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
Modine Manufacturing Co. (MOD) AnalysisCompany Overview: Modine Manufacturing Co. NYSE:MOD is a global leader in thermal management solutions serving automotive, industrial, commercial, and now rapidly growing AI data center markets. The company offers investors exposure to the electrification, energy-efficiency, and digital infrastructure megatrends. Key Growth Drivers: AI Data Center Tailwind: MOD is riding the AI infrastructure boom, with Q1 2026 sales up 3% YoY, driven by demand for its precision cooling systems that support high-performance computing environments. Margin Expansion via Mix Shift: A deliberate focus on high-margin segments—notably data centers and EV thermal systems—has pushed profitability to 24.8% gross margin and 10.7% EBIT margin, underscoring operational excellence and strong cash generation. Electrification & Energy Efficiency: MOD’s solutions align with ESG and sustainability initiatives, providing energy-efficient heat transfer systems for EVs, buildings, and industrial applications. Diversified Portfolio: Global footprint and multi-end-market exposure reduce cyclicality and support durable, long-term growth in green and digital infrastructure. Why It Matters for Investors: ✅ Direct play on AI data center cooling ✅ Strong, improving margins ✅ ESG-aligned, electrification-driven demand ✅ Disciplined portfolio optimization (80/20 execution) Investment Outlook: Bullish above: $140–$142 Upside Target: $230–$235 Driven by AI infrastructure growth, premium thermal solutions, and continued margin expansion. 📌 MOD — powering the thermal backbone of AI, EVs, and sustainable infrastructure. 💡🌍
NYSE:MODLong
by Richtv_official