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Fundamental Analysis

Can One Company Control Computing's Future?Google has executed a strategic transformation from a digital advertising platform to a full-stack technology infrastructure provider, positioning itself to dominate the next era of computation through proprietary hardware and breakthrough scientific discoveries. The company's vertical integration strategy centers on three pillars: custom Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) for AI workloads, quantum computing breakthroughs with verifiable advantages, and Nobel Prize-winning drug discovery capabilities through AlphaFold. This approach creates formidable competitive barriers by controlling foundational computational infrastructure rather than relying on commodity hardware. The TPU strategy exemplifies Google's infrastructure lock-in model. By designing specialized chips optimized for machine learning tasks, Google achieved superior energy efficiency and performance scaling compared to general-purpose processors. The company's multibillion-dollar deal with Anthropic, deploying up to one million TPUs, transforms a potential cost center into a profit generator while locking competitors into Google's ecosystem. This technical dependence makes migration to rival platforms financially prohibitive, ensuring Google monetizes a significant portion of the generative AI market through its cloud services regardless of which AI models succeed. Google's quantum computing achievement represents a paradigm shift from theoretical benchmarks to practical utility. The Willow chip's "Verifiable Quantum Advantage" demonstrates a 13,000-times speedup over classical supercomputers in physics simulations, with immediate applications in molecular structure mapping for drug discovery and materials science. Meanwhile, AlphaFold delivers quantifiable economic impact, reducing Phase I drug development costs by approximately 30% from over $100 million to $70 million per candidate. Isomorphic Labs has secured nearly $3 billion in pharmaceutical partnerships, validating this high-margin revenue stream independent of advertising. The geopolitical implications are profound. Google holds the second-highest number of quantum technology patents globally, with strategic IP covering essential scaling technologies like chip tiling and error correction. This intellectual property portfolio creates a technical chokepoint, positioning Google as a mandatory licensing partner for nations seeking to deploy quantum technology. Combined with the dual-use nature of quantum computing for both commercial and military applications, Google's dominance extends beyond market competition to national security infrastructure. This convergence of proprietary hardware, scientific breakthroughs, and IP control justifies premium valuations as Google transitions from cyclical advertising dependence to an indispensable deep-tech infrastructure provider.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by UDIS_View
GBPUSD Approaching Key Resistance Near 1.3245GBPUSD Approaching Key Resistance Near 1.3245 — Possible Bearish Rejection Ahead GBPUSD is showing a strong recovery after last week’s drop, but the overall structure remains bearish. Price is approaching the 1.3245 resistance area, aligned with a bearish pattern, which has acted as a major barrier multiple times. This is evident on the left side of the chart, where a major resistance area is located around the current price level. If buyers fail to push above this zone, a bearish rejection could follow, leading to a potential pullback toward: 🎯 1.3030 (first target) 🎯 1.2900 (second target) You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
6
Nasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US ShutdownNasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US Shutdown As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index has started the week on a positive note amid growing expectations that the longest government shutdown in US history may soon come to an end. According to Reuters, a bill has been introduced in the Senate proposing amendments to extend government funding until 30 January. The news acted as a bullish catalyst for equity markets. Still, the question remains – is the risk truly behind us? Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 4 November, we: → Drew an ascending channel; → Noted signs of momentum exhaustion, as mentioned in our previous headline. Since then, price action has evolved as follows: → The lower boundary of the channel provided support (1), prompting a brief rebound; → The 25,770 level acted as resistance (2) on two occasions, strengthening the bears’ confidence to push for a downside breakout — which ultimately succeeded. The index’s subsequent movements have now more clearly outlined the formation of a descending channel (shown in red). From the demand-side perspective: → After a false bearish breakout below 24,680 (showing characteristics of a Liquidity Grab pattern), the market staged an aggressive rally from point B; → Today’s session opened with a bullish gap, and the price has moved above the red median line. From the supply-side perspective: → The 25,500 level, where sellers gained control during the previous channel breakout, may now act as resistance; → If the A→B move is viewed as an impulse, today’s rally appears to be a corrective rebound consistent with Fibonacci proportions — suggesting that downward momentum could resume within the red channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
Gold 30m Outlook: Fundamentals Meet Technical Crossroads1. Fundamental Overview The price of Gold (XAU/USD) has recently jumped to a two-week high, buoyed by expectations of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December and growing global growth concerns. Reuters Key drivers: Weaker U.S. economic data (job losses, retail weakness) are reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold (non-yielding asset). Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty and central-bank buying. Head-winds: The U.S. dollar index (DXY) showing strength and rate-cut expectations being questioned. Recent profit-taking after strong rally: gold corrected about 11% from its October highs. Structural outlook remains bullish for medium-term, according to some institutions: large central-bank purchases, de-dollarisation flows, and weak growth support gold over time. Fundamental bias summary: Neutral-to-bullish overall, conditional on macro data and Fed policy. Short-term risk of correction is present because of recent excesses. 2.Technical Analysis (30-Minute / Short Term) On the 4-hour and daily charts the price remains below several key moving averages: e.g., 20 SMA ~ USD 4,002, 100 SMA ~ USD 4,105. Price is in a consolidation range around USD 4,000–4,050, forming a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. According to short-term technical snapshots: Upside target if momentum builds: USD 4,050+ zone. Downside risk if breakdown: USD 3,950-3,900 support area. Key pivot/resistance level appears near USD 4,050–4,060. If price fails here, it may lead to a sharp pullback. Momentum indicators (RSI, volume) show weak conviction, suggesting range-bound or corrective phase rather than strong trending. Technical bias summary: Tilt slightly bullish only if price breaks above ~USD 4,050 with volume. Otherwise, downside risks and range trapping remain higher-probability. 3. Trade Plan & Key Levels Entry Strategy (30-minute timeframe): Bullish Scenario: Enter long if price closes above USD 4,050 and retests it, with momentum. Stop: ~USD 3,995 (just below support) Target: First leg ~USD 4,150, stretch to ~USD 4,250 if strong. Bearish Scenario: If price rejects near USD 4,050–4,060 and breaks below ~USD 3,990, then short. Stop: ~USD 4,070 Target: USD 3,900–3,850 zone. Avoid/Wait: If price remains stuck between ~USD 4,000-4,050 without clear trigger—better skip until directional clarity. Support & Resistance Levels to Note: Resistance: USD 4,050-4,060 Support: USD 3,950-3,900 Intraday pivot: ~USD 4,000 Risk Management: Given the 30 m timeframe and gold’s volatility, keep position sizes conservative, place stops strictly, and avoid chasing breakout without confirmation. 4. My View for Today Given the current fundamentals and technicals my preferred bias is slightly bullish if we see a trigger. The macro backdrop supports gold (rate-cut hopes, safe-haven flows), but the technicals demand a breakout for momentum. If no breakout, the default is sideways to mildly bearish (range or pullback). I’ll lean long only after breakout above ~USD 4,050. Otherwise treat any rally as potential short opportunity. 📈 Stay patient – gold is near a key decision zone. Wait for clear 30 m confirmation before entering trades. #Gold #XAUUSD #SignalAndAnalysis30m #GoldTrading #AthensBySahan #ForexSriLanka #SmartTrading #PriceAction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
Indra Strengthens Its Defense Leadership Indra Strengthens Its Defense Leadership Amid Talent Exodus from Santa Bárbara By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Indra has intensified its commitment to the defense sector with a strategic move that marks a turning point in the Spanish industry: the recruitment of more than 15 executives from Santa Bárbara Sistemas, a subsidiary of General Dynamics, with around twenty more in the process of joining. This move comes amid fierce competition for defense talent, consolidating the Spanish tech company’s leadership in the land sector with its new division, Indra Land Vehicles. Fundamental: Growth, Diversification, and Industrial Autonomy Indra’s decision to compete independently in the development and production of armored vehicles is part of its Leading the Future 2030 strategic plan, aimed at strengthening its role as a national integrator in defense, security, and dual-use technology. The acquisition of the El Tallerón plant (Gijón) from Duro Felguera for €3.6 million, along with an additional investment of over €40 million to transform the facility, demonstrates a clear focus on vertical integration and technological autonomy. The announcement of the delivery of 57 8x8 “Dragón” vehicles by year-end represents a key milestone after delays and internal disputes within the Tess Defence consortium. In addition, Indra has secured nearly 90% of public funding allocated to the Special Modernization Programs (PEM) in defense, ensuring resources to expand its presence in vehicle projects, command and control systems, and electronic capabilities. From a financial perspective, the company maintains expanding operating margins and a strong order book, driven by contracts in defense, digitization, and air traffic management. This repositioning of its land business strengthens medium-term growth potential and reduces exposure to the civil sector. Technical: Uptrend and Key Consolidation Levels From a technical perspective, Indra (BME: IDR) has maintained a sustained uptrend since early 2024. After several upward impulses, the stock has continued its positive momentum throughout 2025, accumulating a year-on-year gain exceeding 35%. After reaching highs around €51.25, the stock entered a consolidation phase supported by the 50-day moving average (€46.67), respecting the main uptrend line. Currently, the control point is around €38.58, corresponding to the previous accumulation zone before the latest upward impulse. Technical indicators show strength but suggest a potential short-term adjustment: The RSI remains in overbought territory, stabilizing above 60%, indicating a technical pause after strong gains. The MACD is approaching a bearish crossover, with the signal line above the indicator and the histogram entering negative territory, potentially signaling a short-term correction. The 50-day moving average acts as the first significant support, with the next key level at €41.36. A break below this level could take the stock back to the control point at €38.58. On the upside, a sustained break above the current highs (€51.25) would open the door to new targets around €55, keeping the underlying bullish structure intact. Offensive in the Armored Vehicles Sector Indra’s offensive in armored vehicles and its ability to attract strategic talent from Santa Bárbara reinforce its position as a central player in the Spanish defense ecosystem. In a context of increasing European military spending and a push for industrial sovereignty, the company consolidates a long-term vision based on innovation, technological independence, and operational efficiency. With solid fundamentals and a robust technical structure, Indra stands out as one of the most attractive stocks in the defense sector in the Spanish market, maintaining the interest of both institutional and retail investors in the coming quarters. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
BME:IDR
by ActivTrades
S&P long amid positivity on US Gov shutdownPossibly long on S&P as positivity around the potential reopening of the US government. Markets gap higher Sunday open on the news and provides a good area to trade off. 4hr chart - Rejected off fib retracement - Broken counter trendline and resistance - Fill of gap and retest of trendline provides good area of support Would require confirmation on lower TF breakout Caution around earnings and missed data to be released upon the government reopening.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by ElGore18
Bitcoin Daily Outlook: Support and Resistance in FocusHey Guys, Looking at Bitcoin on the daily chart, the 105,000 to 98,000 levels are strong support zones. This means that as long as the price does not fall below these levels, a sharp decline in Bitcoin is unlikely. The price touches these areas, but whales prevent it from breaking lower with strong buying, pushing it back up again. The 113,000 – 116,000 levels are strong resistance zones. As long as Bitcoin does not fall below 98,000, my target remains 113,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at 105,887. Once my target is reached, I will provide updates. Every single like I receive from you is my greatest motivation to share these analyses. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.🙏
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by TraderTilki
21
Bitcoin is looking like November in 2017Bitcoin’s current price action mirrors its 2017 cycle structure , suggesting potential for a major breakout. Chart Structure and Pattern Recognition This chart highlights the classic Elliott Wave five-wave pattern seen in Bitcoin’s 2017 bull run: a strong impulsive sequence (waves 1, 3, and 5) bracketed by healthy corrections (waves 2 and 4).​ The move culminates in a dramatic breakout above key resistance, followed by an aggressive rally and sharp post-peak correction, capturing both trend acceleration and market psychology at a cycle top. Implications for 2025 Bitcoin’s price structure today closely resembles the 2017 formation — both cases show a multi-month consolidation leading to breakout, followed by a parabolic fifth wave. If this fractal repeats, Bitcoin may see another substantial rally after consolidation, echoing the euphoric breakout of Q4 2017. This suggests traders should watch for a decisive break above resistance and be mindful of rapid trend reversals near cycle highs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Simon-Rose
Bitcoin Daily Analysis #12 — November 10, 2025 Bitcoin has triggered our entry setup 🔔 As I mentioned before, fear during FOMO candles means nothing — what truly matters is structure and confirmation. It seems that Bitcoin has found support around the $100,000 zone and could be starting a new bullish leg 🚀 Any higher low above $104,000 will serve as a confirmation of an uptrend ✅ Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM Larry D.Kohn
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DibaPrism
EURJPY – Bullish Setup Building MomentumEURJPY – Bullish Setup Building Momentum EURJPY is creating a bullish continuation pattern after a strong bullish recovery. The price is currently testing short-term support, and a bounce from this zone could trigger another upward move. As long as the support holds, the bullish structure remains valid. I’m watching for a continuation toward the next resistance levels. Targets: 🎯 177.40 🎯 177.90 A break below support would transform this short-term bullish outlook into something larger and probably bullish again. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
2
SP 500 long after correctionSP 500 after new price highs It's making a new healthy correction. -It's not sure yet If the SP 500 will go lower than this support level, most probably we will see it tomorrow or next week It's also probably that market makers will start soon to buy the dip. -If the price will go lower than this support level we should check to enter long there with a SL as showed in the chart. Important: Carefully at this price market makers could open a long order, anytime and the price will go aggressively up!!!1
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by Marcel_Platon
Golden Anchor: The Multi-Domain Resilience of BullionThe price of gold recently surged past $4,045 per ounce, cementing its role as a strategic global asset. This upward trend, pushing the year-to-date gain above 50%, is not merely speculative. It reflects deeply rooted structural forces across multiple global domains, from macroeconomics to high-tech demand. Investors are proactively using gold as a vital hedge against accelerating global uncertainty and fiat currency debasement. Geopolitics & geostrategy: The De-Dollarization Hedge Persistent geopolitical tensions drive sustained demand for gold's safe-haven status. Heightened conflict risks and unpredictable US tariff policies create global market volatility. In this fragmented landscape, gold acts as a politically neutral reserve asset, mitigating counterparty risk. Central banks globally are strategically accumulating gold to diversify away from the US dollar, accelerating the de-dollarization trend. This shift enhances national economic sovereignty, fueling gold's ascent. Macroeconomics: Fiscal Dominance and Rate Cuts Weakening US economic indicators directly reinforce gold’s appeal. A dip in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index signals broad economic unease. This fragility increases market bets on an earlier and more aggressive Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, boosting its price. Furthermore, the fiscal dominance prevalent in developed economies promotes gold as a critical hedge against the debasement of G7 fiat currencies. Central Bank & Investment Demand Dynamics Central bank purchases provide a formidable structural floor for gold prices. Despite the recent price correction, global central banks remain net buyers. They added 220 tonnes in Q3 2025 alone, representing a strategic, long-term commitment to gold. Poland, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan are notable accumulators. Retail and institutional investors are also turning to gold ETFs and physical bullion, viewing gold as essential financial insurance during systemic shocks. Technology, Science, and High-Tech Demand Technological advancements, particularly the boom in Artificial Intelligence, subtly support gold demand. While gold's main drivers remain macroeconomic, the high-tech sector consumes gold in electronic components and specialized circuits. Industrial demand remains resilient, offsetting a decline in jewelry consumption due to high prices. The massive, energy-intensive growth of AI and data centers indirectly creates a strategic need for high-value, reliable assets like gold to back infrastructure growth and hedge associated capital risks. Technical Outlook and Consolidation Phase Gold exhibits high long-term conviction but faces short-term consolidation after its historic rally. The price peaked at over $4,380 per ounce in mid-October before profit-taking began. Analysts expect the price to remain range-bound in the near term, with a maximum pullback risk around the strong $3,500/oz support level. Key technical resistance levels above the current peak are seen at $4,420/oz and $4,500/oz. Investors should utilize short-term dips as strategic long-term accumulation opportunities.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by the5erstrading
Market Analysis: EUR/GBP Awaits CatalystMarket Analysis: EUR/GBP Awaits Catalyst EUR/GBP is consolidating and might aim for a fresh increase above 0.8800. Important Takeaways for EUR/GBP Analysis Today - EUR/GBP is trading in a positive zone above the 0.8750 pivot level. - There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance near 0.8805 on the hourly chart. EUR/GBP Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP, the pair started a consolidation phase after it failed to surpass 0.8830. The Euro traded below 0.8800 and 0.8790 against the British Pound. The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair even tested 0.8775. A low was formed at 0.8773 and the pair is now correcting some losses. It climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8816 swing high to the 0.8773 low. The pair is now facing resistance near 0.8795 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next hurdle sits at 0.8805. There is also a short-term declining channel forming with resistance near 0.8805. It coincides with the 76.4% Fib retracement. A close above the 0.8805 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8830. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.8850. Immediate support sits near 0.8770. The next area of interest for the bulls might be 0.8760. A downside break below 0.8760 might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 0.8720. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Oklo's Nuclear Surge: 500% YTD RallyOklo Inc. (NYSE: OKLO) rockets 500% year-to-date, hitting $174 highs in October before dipping 30% to $112. This volatility masks a nuclear renaissance. Investors chase Oklo's small modular reactors (SMRs) amid AI's voracious energy appetite. Founded in 2013, the Santa Clara firm pioneers fission tech with recycled fuel. Its Aurora powerhouse targets data centers, slashing carbon footprints. Yet, pre-revenue status and $0.18 quarterly loss fuel risks. Tomorrow's Q3 2025 earnings could ignite fresh momentum. We dissect drivers across domains. Geopolitical Tailwinds Fuel Growth Global tensions amplify nuclear's appeal. Russia's Ukraine invasion disrupts uranium supplies, spiking prices 50% in 2025. Oklo counters with domestic recycling, cutting foreign dependence. The US-UK $60 billion nuclear pact bolsters SMR exports, sending Oklo shares up 146% post-announcement. Beijing's tech curbs heighten US energy sovereignty needs. Oklo's DOE pilot selections secure federal backing, positioning it as a geopolitical hedge. Investors bet on Washington prioritizing nuclear amid trade wars. Geostrategic Alliances Strengthen Position Oklo forges pacts that redefine US nuclear strategy. Its October 2025 tie-up with Europe's Newcleo and Blykalla injects $2 billion for fuel infrastructure. This builds domestic supply chains, aligning with Biden's 2025 clean energy executive order. Partnerships like Liberty Energy's integrated power solution target remote sites, enhancing grid resilience. Oklo eyes emerging markets, exporting SMRs to counter China's Belt and Road dominance. These moves elevate Oklo from a startup to a strategic asset. Macroeconomic Forces Drive Demand AI's explosion strains grids, with data centers devouring 8% of US power by 2030. Oklo's SMRs deliver 15 MW baseload, matching hyperscalers' needs. Fed's steady rates curb renewables' intermittency costs, favoring reliable nuclear. Global decarbonization mandates, like the EU's 45% emissions cut, boost SMR adoption. Oklo's $18 billion cap reflects this macro shift energy demand surges 2.5x by 2035. Recession fears? Nuclear weathers them via long-term contracts. Economic Incentives Spark Investor Frenzy Oklo's shelf registration for $3.5 billion enables scaling, despite dilution worries. Insider sales add caution, but Q2's 261% gain signals confidence. Fuel recycling slashes costs 30% versus fresh uranium, yielding 90% margins long-term. Partnerships unlock $1.68 billion Tennessee facility, monetizing waste. At $100/share, the valuation dips to $15 billion, enticing risk-tolerant bulls. Economic tailwinds: subsidies via the Inflation Reduction Act credit, SMRs 30% off capex. Technological Breakthroughs Power Ahead Oklo's fast-fission SMRs innovate with liquid metal cooling, boosting efficiency 40%. Aurora deploys in 18 months, co-locating seamlessly with data centers. Idaho prototype tests real-world viability by mid-2026. Lightbridge collaboration advances metallic fuels, enduring higher burns. These edge out legacy reactors, drawing BofA's bullish buy rating on AI demand. Tech evolves; Oklo leads. Scientific Foundations Anchor Innovation Oklo harnesses physics' core: recycled fuel fissions 95% more atoms than once-through cycles. CEO Jacob DeWitte's MIT roots yield heat-pipe designs, minimizing meltdown risks to near-zero. DOE's August 2025 reactor pilots validate scalability. Science meets commerce—Oklo's closed-loop recycling curbs waste, aligning with IPCC's net-zero imperatives. Breakthroughs propel shares amid green mandates. High-Tech Synergies Ignite AI Boom AI guzzles 1,000 TWh annually by 2026; Oklo powers it carbon-free. Sam Altman's backing ties nuclear to OpenAI's grid strain. SMRs integrate with edge computing, slashing latency via on-site generation. High-tech fusion: Oklo's modular blueprint scales for hyperscalers like Google. This synergy drove September's 50% spike. Future-proof energy meets silicon surge. Cyber Defenses Bolster Reliability Nuclear's digital backbone demands ironclad cyber shields. Oklo embeds NIST-compliant protocols in SMR controls, thwarting state-sponsored hacks. Post-Colonial Pipeline, regulators mandate zero-trust architectures. Oklo complies via Atomic Alchemy's isotope tech. Resilient ops ensure 99.9% uptime, vital for AI's uninterrupted compute. Cyber fortitude reassures investors in volatile grids. Patent Portfolio Secures Edge Oklo holds 20+ patents on Aurora's core: fast-spectrum fission and passive safety systems. USPTO filings cover fuel recycling, granting 15-year moats. Rivals like NuScale lag in modularity claims. This IP fortress, valued at $5 billion, underpins 2025's 450% rally. Patents convert science into monopoly power. Earnings Spotlight: Path Forward November 11's Q3 report spotlights Idaho progress, NRC updates, and Newcleo milestones. Expect capital raise clarity and 2026 timelines. X buzz surges—overnight gains hit 5%. Dips to $100 beckon buyers; $200 looms on approvals. Oklo redefines energy. Stake wisely—volatility rewards the bold.
NYSE:OKLOLong
by TradeThePool
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Bounces BackMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Bounces Back GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave above 1.3100. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today - The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3120. - There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3070 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD, the pair declined after it failed to clear 1.3370. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the British Pound even traded below 1.3250 against the US Dollar. Finally, the pair tested the 1.3000 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3080. The pair even climbed above a bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3070. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3369 swing high to the 1.3009 low. On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing hurdles near 1.3180. The next major barrier could be near the 50% Fib retracement at 1.3190. A close above 1.3190 could open the doors for a move toward 1.3285. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3370. On the downside, there is decent support forming at 1.3095. If there is a downside break below 1.3095, the pair could accelerate lower. The first area of interest might be near 1.3010, below which the pair could test 1.2950. Any more losses could lead the pair toward 1.2880. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
US 10Y TREASURY: The 4% expected to holdWith the U.S. government shutdown limiting official data, investors are turning to alternative economic indicators to gauge the economy. A University of Michigan survey on Friday showed consumer sentiment fell to 50.3 in November, well below the expected 53.0 and near historic lows. Concerns deepened after Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported October job cuts surged to 153,074, triple September’s figure and the highest for any October since 2003. In the environment of economic data blackout, it is very hard for investors to estimate the state of the US economy. The 10Y US benchmark yields increased during the week to the level of 4,16% on Wednesday and Thursday, however, pulled back on Friday to the closing level of 4,09%. Softer private-sector job data boosted expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, which now assigns roughly a 67% probability. Considering a “blindfolded” situation with the U.S. macro data, it could be expected for 10Y Treasury yields to hold around the 4% level also in the week ahead.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Gold: Holds $4K amid uncertaintyThe ongoing U.S. Government shutdown added to safe-haven demand for gold during the previous period. During this week the gold prices rose as the U.S. dollar weakened, driven by soft private-sector job data which increased bets that the federal Reserve will cut interest rates. Markets now estimate about a 67% chance of a Fed rate cut in December, which is a bit higher from previous weeks 60% odds. The price of gold was holding around $4K during the previous week and was traded in a range between $3.929 and $4.025. The RSI dropped to the level of 45 but is reverting back above the level of 50 as of the end of the week. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days are without change, moving as two parallel lines with an uptrend. Although the first part of a week was in a short corrective mode, still gold managed to end the week by testing once again the $4K resistance. With all uncertainties related to the US Government shutdown and high AI valuations, it seems that the demand for gold still holds on the market. Some higher corrections of the price of gold are certainly not expected during this period of time. As per current charts, there is still an open path for higher grounds. In this sense, charts are pointing toward the $4.065, eventually $4,1K for the week ahead. In case of a short reversal, the level of $3.930 might be shortly tested again.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
SPX: AI valuation fears grip marketsWithout official US macro data, investors turned their eyes to AI valuations, considering its strong growth during the past years. Words like “AI bubble” are often used in the news in order to explain the current fear among investors regarding valuations of tech companies which are reaching historically highest levels. CEOs of largest US investment banks are openly speaking about expected corrections in the future period, of 10% to 20%, while the International Monetary Fund also expressed its concerns regarding such a course of action in the coming period. Moreover, there has also been the news spread that the most famous so-called “Big short” investor, Michael Burry, placed bets against Nvidia and Palantir, currently two most valued companies in the field of tech industry. It should be also noted that there are analysts and investors who see this short correction as a good buying opportunity. For the second week in a row, US equity markets are in a corrective mode. The S&P 500 reached its lowest weekly level on Friday at 6.640, however closed the week a bit higher, at 6.728. The performance of companies included in the index is mixed. On one hand, Amazon had a very good week after quarterly results. Its cloud unit, AWS, delivered 20,2% y/y growth in revenue, surpassing estimates. The company announced a multiyear deal with OpenAI, of around $38B, and a rise in its full-year capex outlook to $125B. On the opposite side was Nvidia, which entered into corrective mode, due to concerns of high valuations, of 7,2% w/w. Tesla was also traded lower by 5,8%. Overall, semiconductor companies closed the week lower and were mostly driving the S&P 500 lower. CEOs of large banks are openly commenting that the volatility should be expected in the coming period, as well as some corrections in valuations. This should be taken into account in the coming period. Certainly, some investors will see these corrections as buying opportunities.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 10, 2025 EURUSDThe euro/dollar starts the week trading around 1.15500–1.15600 amid stabilization in the US dollar. The market is reacting to a mix of softer household sentiment in the US and signs of a possible resolution to the prolonged government shutdown. Against this backdrop, the short-term impulse in favor of the dollar persists, limiting the euro’s upside potential this week. The fundamental picture in the US is mixed: some leading indicators are weakening and budget policy uncertainty is restraining risk appetite, yet expectations for monetary policy remain the key driver. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December is fluctuating, while Treasury yields stay relatively elevated—supporting the dollar against the euro. In the Eurozone there have been no fresh surprises from the ECB: the regulator signals a pause after the previous easing cycle, while consumer and industrial data remain uneven. Recent headlines show the euro strengthened on weak US labor data late last week, but today the dollar’s momentum is recovering. Overall, the balance of factors as of today tilts the tactical vector for EUR/USD downward. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.15550, SL 1.15950, TP 1.15050
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004