Ethereum Eyes $5K on Rate Cuts Hopes & U.S. Shutdown ResolutionEthereum (ETH/USD) continues to show resilience as macroeconomic conditions begin to favor risk assets. With the U.S. Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates by 25–50 basis points in December, investors are gradually rotating back into crypto, anticipating improved liquidity and higher capital inflows. Lower interest rates typically weaken the dollar and boost speculative assets like ETH and BTC, making this a potential catalyst for Ethereum’s next bullish leg.
Additionally, progress toward resolving the U.S. government shutdown, which has lingered for weeks, is helping stabilize investor sentiment. Once uncertainty around fiscal operations fades, institutional activity is expected to pick up across both traditional and digital markets — further supporting Ethereum’s recovery momentum.
On-chain fundamentals remain strong. Ethereum’s staking deposits continue to rise, now exceeding 33 million ETH locked in validator contracts. This sustained demand reduces circulating supply and underpins long-term price stability. Meanwhile, the Ethereum network maintains its dominance in decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and Layer-2 scaling activity, positioning it as the backbone of Web3 infrastructure even amid increasing competition.
Technically, ETH/USD has bounced from the $3,200 support zone, aligning with a long-term ascending trendline. The chart shows potential for a sustained push toward the $4,150 resistance before retesting and targeting the $5,000 high. A clear daily close above this level would confirm a continuation of the larger bullish structure and could open the door to new all-time highs in 2026 if macro tailwinds persist.
Overall, Ethereum’s fundamentals and technicals are converging at a favorable point, and with rate cuts on the horizon and fiscal fears fading, ETH may be preparing for a powerful rally into Q1 2026.
Fundamental Analysis
USOIL: Q4/2025 Q1 2026 Action PlansSentiment:
- The broader market is cautious in a risk-off environment, which typically translates to concerns about demand and the strength of the US dollar. However, the market is not in a state of panic as the Fear Index is at around 30, opening room for either direction.
- Social Media (X/Twitter): The current tone is positive, as participants expect USOil to rise within the range of 57.50-65.00 in the near term, anticipating an upcoming upward breakout.
- The COT report shows extremely bearish sentiment regarding the latest data from 26/9 (following the US government shutdown), so we can only have a snapshot of more than a month ago. Although the current sentiment may or may not be as extreme (we need to wait for the latest data), it still reflects the state of market positioning.
- I think that Retail is unaware of positioning extremes and is more focused on technical breakout. It may lead to a sentiment shift as a result of a technical breakout and changes in the fundamental narrative.
Fundamental:
A. OPEC+ Production Shift:
- Narrative: OPEC+ has pivoted to MORE cautious supply management. After nine consecutive monthly increases, the group is now implementing only a modest 137k bpd increase for Dec 2025, followed by a production pause for the entire first quarter of 2026.
- Rationale: Healthy market fundamentals, low inventory levels, seasonal demand
- It means more supportive than what we observed earlier in 2025. Q1 2026 pause suggests OPEC+ acknowledges oversupply risks and is being disciplined. One more thing to note is that the current price is also not entirely factored into this narrative.
B. Geopolitical Risk Premium Returning:
- Narrative: Recent US/EU sanctions on Russian energy companies and escalating tension in oil-producing regions are providing price support.
- Market impact: This narrative provides a fundamental floor for price at least till the end of this year.
C. Bearish Fundamentals - Oversupply into 2026:
- Narrative: Despite the OPEC+ pause, global oil inventories are expected to rise through 2026 on weak demand growth and non-OPEC supply increases (such as the US production)
- Factors: global inventories forecast to rise through 2026, weak demand from China, tariff uncertainties and US production at record levels.
- Market impact: Bearish medium-term outlook for Q1-Q2 2026.
Technical:
- USOIL broke the small blue channel and is expected to reach the measured level at around 65, confluence with the Sep resistances.
- If USOIL can hold above 60 (retest the broken channel), it may resume its momentum to retest the key resistance at 62 first, then 65, as measured by the move upon breaking.
- Conversely, closing below the support at 59.30 may invalidate the short-term upward view and open the door for further decline, potentially retesting the swing low at 56.80.
Conclusion:
- Despite a short-term upward momentum until year-end, the prospect for USOIL in 2026 is not as promising.
- Therefore, a range of 65-70 is possible for the short term upward plan; however, any surge bejond that may open another opportunity for counter-trade setups in Q1-Q2 2026.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Ripple Labs Inc. Expands Beyond Crypto Into Traditional Finance Ripple Labs, the blockchain company behind XRP, is making a strategic shift that could reshape its role in global finance. CEO Brad Garlinghouse confirmed at the Ripple Swell 2025 conference that the firm is deepening its expansion beyond crypto, targeting traditional financial services through blockchain-driven infrastructure.
Over the past year, Ripple has spent nearly $4 billion acquiring traditional finance firms, including Hidden Road ($1.3B) and GTreasury ($1B+), as part of a long-term plan to integrate blockchain solutions into established financial systems. The company’s latest initiative — a prime brokerage offering over-the-counter spot trading for institutions — reflects Ripple’s goal to bridge crypto liquidity with traditional finance.
The timing is favorable. Under a more crypto-friendly U.S. administration, both the SEC and CFTC have eased regulatory pressures, encouraging major banks such as Citi, JPMorgan, and Bank of America to explore tokenization and stablecoin infrastructure. Ripple aims to position itself at the center of this transition by licensing its XRP Ledger (XRPL) to institutions seeking faster and cheaper transaction rails.
Technically, XRP/USD is showing early signs of basing after months of sideways movement. Price currently hovers near the $2.30–$2.40 zone, with strong support forming at $1.80–$2.00. If bulls defend this level, the setup suggests a potential mid-term rebound toward $3.60, the upper resistance zone highlighted on the chart. A breakout above that range could confirm a new bullish cycle aligned with Ripple’s growing institutional adoption.
With both technical and fundamental catalysts converging, Ripple’s ambition to merge crypto with traditional finance could make XRP one of the most strategically positioned digital assets heading into 2026.
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Targets More GainsMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Targets More Gains
USD/JPY managed to reclaim 154.00 and might aim for more gains.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above 153.50 and 154.00.
- There is a bullish trend line forming with support near 154.10 on the hourly chart.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a decent increase from 152.80. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 153.20 against the Japanese Yen.
It settled above the 50-hour simple moving average and 154.00. The upward move was such that the pair even tested 154.50. A high was formed at 154.49 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback below 154.00.
However, the bulls protected the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 152.83 swing low to the 154.49 high. The current price action is positive, and the pair seems to be aiming for more gains.
There is also a bullish trend line forming with support near 154.10. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 154.50. The first key hurdle sits at 155.00. If there is a close above 155.00 and the RSI moves above 70, the pair could rise toward 156.20.
The next stop for the bulls might be 156.80, above which the pair could test 158.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is near the trend line at 154.10.
The next area of interest could be near 153.65, below which the pair could test the 76.4% Fib retracement at 153.20. Any more losses could open the doors for a move toward 152.80.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Rebounds ModestlyMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Rebounds Modestly
EUR/USD is climbing higher above 1.1520 and 1.1540.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent increase above the 1.1520 pivot level.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1570 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from 1.1500. The Euro cleared a few key hurdles near 1.1520 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 1.1550 and the 50-hour simple moving average. A high was formed at 1.1605 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a test of the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1468 swing low to the 1.1605 high.
However, the bulls are active above 1.1550. Immediate support is near a key bullish trend line at 1.1570 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The first major key area of interest on the EUR/USD chart is near the 50% Fib retracement at 1.1540.
If there is a downside break below 1.1540, the pair could drop toward 1.1520. The next key breakdown area sits at 1.1465, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1590 zone. The next breakout region sits at 1.1605. An upside break above 1.1605 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1680.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
APPL is done!i see appl has about 7% left to go before we see a potential reversal .we have been in a bullish channel for over 5 years.in as little as 7 months appl has gained over 60% and is now time for a correction as well as the whole market as a whole also we have bearish negative reversal on the 4 week time.it looks like we will find support around the 100 day moving ave.we have all signs pointing to sell this market looks like its about to crash.
gold market daily projection gaze at 4170’sGold market sweeps through the 4100’s, reacting swiftly like a firefighter move, now setting pace on a daily candle formation that projects a bullish continuation toward the 4170’s. follow for more ideas , comment for more insights , and boost idea if you find it helpful
XAUUSD XAU/USD – Gold Analysis
After reaching previous highs, gold entered a multi-week range, consolidating within well-defined support and resistance levels. Now, price is approaching the upper boundary of that range, showing clear accumulation just below resistance, forming a cup-shaped pattern — a classic bullish continuation setup.
If gold breaks above this resistance, I expect a retest of the breakout zone followed by a potential move toward 4,195 as the first target.
Fundamentally, gold remains supported by expectations of stable U.S. interest rates, ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, and safe-haven demand, all of which continue to reinforce the metal’s bullish medium-term outlook.
$SOLUSD Eyes Key Demand Zone Before Potential Macro BreakoutSolana (SOL/USD) is approaching a pivotal technical zone that could define its next major move. After an extended corrective leg from the $254 region, the price has retraced toward key demand areas, around $140, and around $120 where prior liquidity sweeps and structural reversals have historically emerged.
The chart reveals a repeating market behavior where Solana establishes a base within strong demand zones before launching decisive bullish impulses. An external structure Break of Structure (BOS) from previous swing highs, followed by an internal Change of Character (CHOCH) confirmation, after a retracement, suggests the broader bullish structure remains intact despite short-term weakness due to macro- economic challenges.
Should price hold the $120 range, a rebound toward the $295 previous highs appears probable. However, if sellers drive price lower, deeper liquidity could be collected near the $115–$120 region, aligning perfectly with the ascending trendline and long-term support base. This would likely create a high-probability accumulation phase before another impulsive leg higher.
Volume trends show healthy market participation during both expansions and pullbacks, reflecting consistent investor interest in Solana’s price action. Fundamentally, Solana’s growing adoption across DeFi, NFTs, and high-performance dApp ecosystems continues to strengthen the bullish bias.
A confirmed reversal from current levels could set the stage for a macro breakout toward the $295 zone, which represents a higher high of the external bullish structure and a psychological milestone for market participants.
In summary, Solana’s technical framework signals that the market is in a late-stage correction within a larger bullish cycle. A clean defense of the $140 zone would reinforce the bullish continuation narrative, while a brief dip into the $115 zone could form the final liquidity trap before another surge toward new highs
btc crash is about to happenbtc is doing the same topping as in 2021-22 the bull rally is over and the top was in September will now see a slow grind and or free fall .looking bearish with huge negative reversal on the monthly RSI. this chart looks ugly!we should see btc forming a banana top so if price goes to higher highs this will in validate but the probability is the bull market is over.look for a 40-50% pullback.
XAU/USD – Bulls Face Resistance at Key Supply ZoneGold prices have shown strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, but the rally is now encountering significant resistance near the $4,148 zone. After an extended impulse leg, price appears to be losing steam, signaling the potential for a short-term pullback or correction.
On the 1-hour timeframe, price has tested the upper resistance multiple times without a clear breakout, forming a potential double-top pattern. The latest bearish candle from this area reinforces the presence of sellers and suggests a possible rejection phase before any continuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $4,148 – $4,155 (supply zone / neckline area)
Support: $4,076 (short-term demand zone), $3,995 (major demand zone)
Trading Strategy:
Short-term traders could look for bearish confirmation signals below $4,120 for potential short entries, targeting $4,076 as the first take-profit zone. However, if price breaks and closes above $4,148 with volume, it could invalidate the bearish setup and open the door for a continuation toward new highs.
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bearish in the short term while below $4,148. Watch for price reaction at this level for the next directional move.
Follow for more high-probability gold setups and daily technical insights.
clear consolidation againConsolidation Forecast
Bias: Neutral to slightly bullish
Expected Range: $4,120 – $4,180
Breakout Chance: ~40%
Pullback Chance: ~30%
Range Continuation Chance: ~30%
Gold is likely to stay sideways between these levels today/tomorrow unless a new catalyst (USD move, Fed comments, or geopolitical event) hits.
💡 Short Recommendation
⚖️ Wait for direction confirmation:
• Buy only on breakout above $4,180
• Sell/short only if $4,120 fails
• Otherwise, expect tight consolidation movement.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold consolidates in an upward channel; waiting for a correction to 4090/4041 – breaking 4145 confirms further rise
Quick Context: USD recovery causes gold to move sideways during the Asian session. Prices are moving within an upward channel, touching the upper trendline and reacting around 4100, without forming a lower low. To confirm the continuation of the upward momentum, 4145 needs to be broken; otherwise, prioritize the technical correction scenario to liquidity zones.
Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
Channel & Trendline: Channel top coincides with 4135–4145 → likely to see profit-taking pressure. Maintaining the lower edge of the channel ~4085–4090 keeps the upward structure valid.
Liquidity & FVG:
Liquidity 4090: price pull/volume attraction zone before choosing a direction.
Fibonacci Retracement + old resistance ~4041–4043: strong confluence for a bounce if a deep correction occurs.
Main Resistance: 4130–4135 (retest channel top), 4145 (pivot confirming rise), 4200 (sell scalp area if clear rejection appears).
Main Support: 4084–4086 (channel edge/liq), 4041–4043 (Fib + S/R), deeper 4020 is a defensive level for buyers.
Trading Scenarios (optimized for mobile reading)
Scenario 1 – Buy shallow pullback (trend-following priority)
Entry: 4084–4086
SL: 4078
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4135 → 4160
Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle at 4090 or an M15 reversal signal before executing.
Scenario 2 – Buy deep (Fib + S/R)
Entry: 4041–4043
SL: 4036
TP: 4056 → 4072 → 4095 → 4120
Suggestion: Prioritize when price fills the gap and leaves a clear lower wick.
Scenario 3 – Sell scalp at resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4130–4132
SL: 4138
TP: 4112 → 4100 → 4088 → 4060
Note: Only quick scalps; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4145.
Bonus – Sell scalp 4200
Condition: Clear rejection appears on smaller frames.
SL: above the nearest new peak.
Reference TP: 4185 → 4166 → 4145.
Risk Management & Invalidation
Short-term bullish bias remains valid when price holds above 4085–4090.
H2 closes above 4145 → prioritize buying on breakout, limit all sell orders.
H2 closes below 4036 → risk of deeper test around 4020.
Risk per trade 0.5–1%, move SL to breakeven at +1R, do not average down against the trend.
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the earliest updates.
XAU/USD – The Tug of War Before CPI: Sideway or Breakout?1. MARKET CONTEXT
The U.S. government reopens after a 40-day shutdown (a historical record).
Investors are on the sidelines observing ahead of tomorrow's CPI announcement → the market is likely to sideway awaiting news.
2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–M30)
Main fluctuation range: 4097–4148
Break 4097 → adjust deeply to 407x – 403x
Break 4148 → activate short-term increase, target 418x – 4205
Decision zones: 4097 & 4148
3. TRADING PLAN
🎯 Main strategy: Trade within the range (Sideway)
→ “Buy low – Sell high” according to support/resistance zones
RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:2 | SL: 10 points | TP: 10–20 points
BUY zone:
4097–4100 (strong support) → TP 4110–4120
Buy scalp: 4120–4124 → TP 4140–4145
Buy swing: 407x / 403x (if candle reaction occurs)
SELL zone:
4145–4147 → TP 4125–4100
If break 415x & retest, switch to Buy breakout
→ Entry 4140–4145 | TP 416x–418x–4205
4. SUMMARY
Main trend: Sideway awaiting CPI news
Strategy: “Break any range, trade that range”
Focus zones:
Upper range: 414x (Sell)
Lower range: 4095–4100 (Buy)
GOLD → The bullish trend continues its movement FX:XAUUSD is testing the $4,150 level, hitting a three-month high amid expectations of a resumption of US government operations and weak economic data. The weekly gain exceeded 3%.
Expectations of Fed easing - 64% probability of a rate cut in December, Consumer Sentiment Index (50.3) - lowest in 3.5 years.
Layoffs rose 183.1% in October.
The end of the shutdown will allow the release of missed data (NFP, CPI), which may confirm the need for a rate cut. All of this provides support for the metal.
Today, it is worth paying attention to ADP employment data (4-week average) — an assessment of the labor market.
Fundamentally, gold remains bullish thanks to a combination of monetary expectations and macro risks.
Resistance levels: 4150, 4160
Support levels: 4125, 4085
The trend is bullish and quite aggressive, with the market not allowing for deep pullbacks. Ahead lies resistance at 4150-4160, a fairly dense pool of liquidity that is likely to halt the current movement and trigger a small correction before continuing to rise to 4200-4250.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF → Manipulation? False breakout of resistance FX:USDCHF attempted to take advantage of the trend reversal opportunity after breaking out of a descending wedge, but the weak dollar hindered the rally...
The currency pair is facing resistance at 0.8076. There is no continuation of the momentum towards a breakout, and bearish pressure, which is intensifying as the dollar index declines, is negatively affecting the currency pair. The price has returned to the trading range, with an emphasis on 0.8057 - 0.8076. If the bears keep the price below this zone, this move could trigger further sell-offs.
Resistance levels: 0.8057, 0.8076
Support levels: 0.7957, 0.7925
The false breakout confirms that sellers currently have the upper hand and buyers lack the strength to push the price higher. Accordingly, consolidation below the key level could trigger a further decline towards the zone of interest at 0.7975.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY → Consolidation above key support. Growth?FX:USDJPY breaks the structure of downward resistance on the daily timeframe. A retest is forming as part of the correction, and bulls have every chance of growth...
The dollar is in an uptrend, which generally supports the currency pair.
Against this backdrop, the Japanese yen continues to weaken.
USDJPY is testing the previously broken resistance of the trading range as part of the correction.
However, the price was not allowed to fall and quickly returned to the long zone.
Accordingly, support at 153.0 - 153.2 plays a key role. Consolidation above this level could trigger further growth to 153.8 - 156.0.
Support levels: 153.23, 152.83
Resistance levels: 154.83, 156.0
The bullish trend may support the current movement, and a breakout of the trend resistance on D1 is a fairly strong sign of interest in growth against the backdrop of a strong dollar.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Market Outlook | GU, UJ & Gold Analysis | Nov 10–14In this video, we unpack how structure, sentiment, and events shaped last week’s price action across GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD (Gold) and what these clues reveal about where the market might head next.
The video highlights how the market reacted to the quiet U.S. week caused by the government shutdown, and how traders positioned themselves ahead of the major data coming up, from UK employment and GDP figures to U.S. CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales.
You’ll Learn:
✅Why each market moved the way it did last week in simple, clear terms.
✅How I connect fundamental sentiment with real chart structures.
✅Key price zones and levels I am watching in the coming trading week.
✅How I anticipate reactions to upcoming economic data.
Stay till the end for my outlook and mindset tip, and check the comment section throughout the week for real-time updates as I monitor price action.
Timestamps:
00:01 – Welcome & overview
01:35 – GBP/USD breakdown
06:55 – USD/JPY analysis
11:05 – XAU/USD (Gold) insights
14:05 – Closing outlook & mindset
⚠️ This isn’t a signal service; it’s my personal trading map, shared to help you think and trade smarter.






















