XAUUSDXAU/USD – Gold Analysis
Gold has made a strong rally today, allowing us to take some solid profits from the upside move. After this impressive push, I’m now looking for a pullback toward the 4,040 zone, which could serve as a healthy retracement before the next leg higher toward the 4,100 target.
From a fundamental perspective, gold remains well-supported. Market optimism surrounding a potential U.S. government reopening has improved risk sentiment but also raised expectations of increased fiscal spending, which may weaken the U.S. dollar in the short term. Meanwhile, Treasury yields have eased slightly, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and encouraging further upside.
Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions and global debt concerns keep investors positioned in safe-haven assets like gold and silver. The market still anticipates that the Federal Reserve will remain cautious on rate cuts, which helps maintain gold’s momentum as investors hedge against uncertainty.
Technically, I’ll be watching for a controlled retracement toward 4,040, looking for bullish confirmation to rejoin the uptrend and target the 4,100 resistance zone.
Fundamental Analysis
Headwinds persist for oil, but downside looks limitedHeadwinds persist for oil, but downside looks limited
Technical factors
Oil continues to form lower swings. Although there has been a rebound, it lacks sustained momentum, suggesting it may be only a temporary bounce; the lower-swing structure and bearish EMAs still signal a downtrend.
However, the downtrend is also losing strength, as evidenced by the price hasn’t set a new low for seven months. Therefore, if the price breaks to new lows, the downside may be limited, as momentum looks waning.
If USOIL falls from here and breaks the previous low at 55.00, the price could fall toward 50.00.
Conversely, if the pullback holds above the support at 58.00, the price may build a base before breaking above the higher peak at 62.50, targeting resistance at 66.50.
Fundamental factors
A key headwind remains supply growing faster than demand. OPEC+ members plan to raise output, stoking oversupply concerns, compounded by the U.S. accelerating production and reducing reliance on foreign supplies due to increased domestic output—currently a net import of crude oil as of October 2025, with net imports around 1.7 million barrels per day, the lowest since 1971.
U.S. crude inventories continue to rise, signaling softer domestic demand alongside higher imports.
Global economic growth is slowing, weighing on oil demand, particularly from China and other major economies.
A stronger U.S. dollar makes dollar-priced oil more expensive for other countries, dampening overall demand.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Bitcoin ($BTCUSD) Eyes Expansion as Liquidity Cycle Turn Risk-OnBitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) surged above $106,000 this week, signaling renewed optimism as macro conditions hint at a liquidity-driven expansion phase. The crypto market is catching tailwinds from a wave of bullish catalysts, including the $2,000 U.S. stimulus rollout, the end of the government shutdown and a shift in Federal Reserve policy toward rate cuts after an extended period of tightening.
Quantitative tightening (QT) has officially ended, and Treasury liquidity injections are flooding markets with fresh capital, a backdrop that historically favors risk assets such as Bitcoin. Simultaneously, the long-awaited Clarity Act is expected to provide regulatory transparency for crypto assets, potentially unlocking institutional participation. With Altcoin ETFs reportedly in the pipeline following Bitcoin’s spot ETF success, the broader digital asset market is poised for a significant re-rating in valuation.
Technically, Bitcoin remains in a well-defined uptrend, respecting a long-term ascending trendline that dates back to mid-2024. Price has rebounded sharply from the $98K support area, aligning with the trendline that has held through multiple retests, and key weekly swing low. A clean break and close above the $110,000–$112,000 zone could trigger an accelerated move toward the $126,110 all-time high, which marks the next major supply level.
Conversely, a failure to maintain trendline support could invite a deeper pullback toward $95,000 or even the $75K region where stronger structural demand sits. However, momentum indicators such as RSI and volume suggest accumulation rather than exhaustion, implying that bulls remain in control as long as macro liquidity continues expanding. More so, the confluence of fundamentals indicate that BTC could be forming a new low that could surge to a new all-time high.
With fiscal easing, monetary support, and regulatory clarity converging, Bitcoin may be entering its next major expansion leg — positioning it once again as the bellwether for a renewed risk-on cycle.
Report 10/11/25Report summary
Next week’s Tesla shareholder vote on a record $1T performance package is more than governance theatre; it’s a referendum on whether public markets will underwrite a decade-long pivot from “auto + FSD” to “physical-AI” platforms, Robotaxi networks and the Optimus humanoid line, that currently contribute little revenue but anchor most of the equity story. In parallel, Big Tech’s AI capex divergence is reshaping cash-flow visibility and equity multiples: Meta is leaning into an asset-heavy model with a near-term margin drag, Alphabet and Microsoft offset depreciation with cloud monetization, and Apple is preserving an asset-light cash-return profile. Financials add a second macro thread: Bank of America is preparing a returns catch-up plan just as its legacy low-coupon securities book rolls off into higher yields, supporting 2026 net interest income. Policy tape risks eased modestly after a U.S.–China commercial détente that paused tariff escalation and rare-earth restrictions, yet the truce is partial and fragile. Meanwhile, the U.S. labor market shows erosion at the edges but retains a firm foundation; headline inflation near 3% has not morphed into the feared tariff-shock, with effective pass-through diluted by exemptions, corporate margins, and supply re-routing. China’s strategic crude stockpiling is quietly putting a floor under oil in the mid-60s even as Western sanctions keep reshuffling barrels. Finally, escalating AI compute demand crystalized in OpenAI’s multiyear cloud commitments, reinforcing the “cash now, depreciation later” story at the hyperscalers. Net-net, the risk mix argues for staying constructive on quality growth and cloud cash engines, tactically owning U.S. cyclicals into year-end liquidity, and hedging policy and single-name event risk around Tesla’s vote and the Supreme Court tariff case.
Event rundown and market read
The Tesla vote on Nov. 6 would lift Musk’s potential stake from 13% to ~25% contingent on extreme value and operating targets (including a decade path >$8.5T market cap), effectively hard-wiring strategic control over the robot platform build-out. Street frameworks increasingly ascribe minority value to legacy auto: one bank decomposition pegs 12% of equity value to vehicles, 17% to FSD subscriptions, ~45% to Robotaxi, and ~19% to Optimus. Bulls emphasize execution speed and “touching the physical world” advantages, bears note that FSD still requires active supervision and keeps Robotaxi “in park,” lengthening the cash runway to monetization. Big Tech earnings re-ranked AI spenders: Meta’s 2025 capex moved to the low-$70B area with depreciation set to more than double as a share of revenue over the decade; Alphabet lifted 2025 capex guidance into the low-$90Bs but pairs it with accelerating free cash flow and Cloud margins; Microsoft’s Azure growth near 40% and high-40s segment profitability continue to cushion capex; AWS remains the profit engine for Amazon even as depreciation trims margins short-term. In banks, BofA heads into an investor day with a targeted lift in ROTCE toward the high-teens, aided by reinvestment of its massive low-coupon securities book at today’s yields and ongoing buybacks. On policy, Washington and Beijing declared a limited truce, deferrals on rare-earth curbs, tariff hikes paused or partially rolled back, soybean buys resumed, fentanyl-related measures softened, taking the worst-case tail from markets without resolving core tech and export-control disputes. Labor data, while thinned by the shutdown, point to steady initial claims around ~220k and an easing but not collapsing hiring pulse; inflation at ~3% Y/Y remains above target but below spring fears, with tariff revenue and pass-through running lower than headline rates implied. China has been importing >11mb/d crude with an estimated 1.0–1.2mb/d going into storage, helping stabilize Brent near the mid-$60s despite sanctions churn. Finally, OpenAI’s additional ~$38B AWS commitment (on top of very large multicloud deals elsewhere) locks in multi-year compute demand that supports hyperscaler capacity build-outs.
Strategic implications
For equities, AI capex bifurcation now matters as much as AI narrative. Asset-heavy strategies (notably Meta) structurally raise depreciation and lower reported operating margins before the revenue flywheel fully arrives; models require higher confidence in multi-year usage to justify multiples. Asset-light strategies (Apple) preserve margin and cash returns but risk falling behind in platform infrastructure if they under-index spend. Alphabet and Microsoft sit in the sweet spot where every dollar of capex can be partially monetized immediately via Cloud, smoothing FCF even as D&A climbs. For Tesla, the vote outcome determines governance risk and the market’s tolerance for long-dated, binary optionality. If approved, it likely reduces overhang and keeps the “option value” premium alive; if it fails, the market will rapidly refocus valuation toward autos, FSD take-rates, and energy storage, compressing multiples. Macro-wise, the partial U.S.–China de-escalation, muted tariff pass-through, and still-firm labor base argue against a hard-landing baseline. China’s oil stockpiling should cap the downside in crude unless domestic growth stumbles; it also keeps refined-product margins and shipping spreads interesting. The Fed’s tone, policy modestly restrictive and each meeting “live”, supports a glide path of incremental cuts so long as the jobs picture softens at the margin and inflation drifts lower. Near-term U.S. fiscal frictions are real (e.g., SNAP partial payments during the shutdown), but markets are signaling they’re transitory policy noise, not systemic risk.
Asset-by-asset impact and positioning
S&P 500 / Dow Jones. Earnings leadership is broadening beyond the megacaps, but multiples remain rich, raising the penalty for misses. The U.S.–China cooling reduces tail risk on supply chains and semis policy without granting a durable peace. Into year-end, the combination of softer-than-feared inflation, resilient employment, and Fed optionality supports an upward bias. Prefer owning quality growth with cloud monetization, cash-rich platforms with operating leverage to AI demand, and select cyclicals tied to capex and freight normalization. Dow breadth should improve if banks deliver ROTCE uplift and industrials benefit from steadier input costs. Hedge event risk around Tesla’s vote with defined-risk put spreads if concentrated exposure exists.
Tesla equity. Into the vote, realized volatility will remain elevated. Approval likely sustains the “long-dated options on autonomy + humanoids” premium and keeps multiple discipline at bay near-term; a failure would trigger a rapid de-rating toward auto + FSD fundamentals, especially with post-credit EV demand normalizing after September’s buy-ahead and a soft October print expectation. Portfolio stance: keep single-name sizing disciplined, fund upside with call spreads rather than stock in new money, and balance with short-dated protective puts into and through the meeting if exposure is material.
Big Tech complex. Meta’s trajectory becomes a show-me path as depreciation ramps; treat drawdowns as tradable rather than structural until operating leverage from AI products is clearer. Alphabet and Microsoft remain core, with Cloud monetization cushioning capex and the OpenAI/AWS compute wave reinforcing secular demand across all hyperscalers. Apple’s asset-light cash-return story should keep a floor under the multiple while it times AI feature rollouts; treat it as a low-beta core within megacap baskets.
DXY / USDJPY. A tempered tariff path and incremental global risk-on tone are dollar-negative at the margin, though the policy-rate gap still supports the greenback on dips. If the Fed leans into a gradual easing glide path while the BoJ remains slow-walking normalization, USDJPY downside is limited absent a surprise in Japanese policy. Bias is for range trading with a mild USD drift lower on better risk appetite; favor funding selective EM and Asia ex-Japan exposures on DXY rallies rather than chasing dollar strength.
Crude oil (Brent/WTI). China’s 1.0–1.2mb/d stockbuild rate and spare storage capacity keep a firm floor in the mid-$60s even as sanctions reroute barrels and the IEA projects a temporary surplus. U.S. SPR refills remain slow, so the marginal bid is more Asian than American. With sanctions-related frictions raising transaction costs, prompt spreads can stay choppy. Trading stance: buy dips into the mid-$60s on Brent with conservative profit-taking near low-$70s unless evidence emerges of a meaningful Chinese stockbuild pause.
XAUUSD (Gold). With inflation near 3% and policy still modestly restrictive, gold’s macro bid now leans more on central-bank demand and geopolitical hedging than on immediate real-rate collapse. A softer dollar on trade de-escalation helps at the margin. Use weakness driven by risk-on equity squeezes to add tactically; fade spikes that are purely headline-driven absent rate support.
Risks and alternative paths
The U.S.–China thaw could reverse quickly if export-control or semiconductor policy hardens; chip-license outcomes and any signal on Blackwell-class access will be key. The Supreme Court’s tariff case is a binary headline risk that could re-price cross-border exposures and the dollar. On Tesla, governance uncertainty is material: a failed package would compress the “option on autonomy” premium, spill over into AI-beta sentiment, and test megacap resilience. Meta’s capex path risks a longer-than-expected depreciation overhang if product revenue lags; conversely, faster AI monetization could force a rerate higher. Energy risk skews are two-sided: accelerated Chinese stockbuilding or a shipping disruption lifts crude; a growth wobble in China or a sanctions workaround oversupply pulls it back below $60. U.S. fiscal and shutdown dynamics can interrupt data flow and reduce signal quality precisely when the Fed wants clarity.
What to do now possibly
Maintain core exposure to quality growth where AI capex has near-term monetization through cloud, add selectively to U.S. banks with credible ROTCE uplift into 2026, and keep a tactical long bias in cyclicals that benefit from steadier input costs and capex. For crude, buy the mid-$60s and harvest in the low-$70s while watching China inventory signals. In FX, sell DXY strength into event relief and keep USDJPY range strategies while the policy-rate gap persists. Around Tesla, reduce gross exposure into the vote if position size is large, use options to express upside while capping downside, and pre-define stop-losses for a non-approval scenario. Maintain gold as a portfolio hedge, adding on dips when dollar strength fades.
Crude oil - 10/11/2025Oil prices rose on Monday as optimism grew that the prolonged U.S. government shutdown could soon end, boosting demand in the world’s largest oil consumer. The Senate’s progress toward reopening the government lifted market sentiment, and restoring pay to federal workers should improve consumer confidence and spending.
WTI prices could rebound to $62 a barrel as risk appetite improves, though concerns remain about rising global supply. U.S. crude inventories are increasing, and stored volumes in Asian waters have doubled amid sanctions that curbed imports to China and India. Indian refiners are sourcing more from the Middle East and the Americas, while Russia’s Lukoil faces disruptions ahead of a U.S. deadline to cease business with the company. Meanwhile, Washington’s one-year sanctions exemption for Hungary has contributed to concerns about oversupply.
On the technical side, the crude oil price is testing the resistance of $60, which is the psychological resistance of the round number as well as the 38.2% of the daily Fibonacci retracement level. Although the moving averages are confirming an overall bearish trend in the crude oil market, the Stochastic oscillator is approaching extreme oversold levels, suggesting that a bullish correction may be forthcoming in the upcoming sessions. If this is the case and the price indeed moves up, then the first area of potential resistance might be seen around $62, which is the medium-term resistance level where the price reacted multiple times in the past couple of months, making it a major technical area on the chart. On the other hand, the Bollinger Bands have started contracting late last week, indicating that we may experience sideways movement in the short term before any significant move.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
Gold review - 10/11/2025Gold jumped on Monday to a two-week high as weak U.S. economic data strengthened expectations of a Fed rate cut next month and a softer dollar boosted demand.
Recent data showed U.S. job losses in October, a surge in layoffs linked to cost-cutting and AI adoption, and consumer sentiment at its lowest in over three years, largely due to the prolonged government shutdown.
With the Senate moving to end the 40-day shutdown, markets now price in a roughly 65% chance of a December rate cut. Given gold’s appeal in low-rate, high-uncertainty environments, an overall bullish outlook is forming, with prices potentially testing the $4,120–$4,130 range soon.
From a technical perspective, the price of gold has found sufficient support at $4,000 and has since corrected to the upside, currently on its way to test the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, just below the $4,200 mark. The moving averages are confirming the overall bullish trend, while the Stochastic oscillator is approaching its extreme overbought levels, hinting that the bullish correction might be short-lived, and a bearish move could slow the projection to the upside. The Bollinger Bands are also contracting further, supporting the bullish momentum losing some steam.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
What will gold do in the US trading session?📈 Market Structure
Price Action:
Price has just broken out of the accumulation zone, moving sharply toward the main resistance area.
📊 Trendlines
Lower Trendline (Red): Long-term dynamic support — price has bounced multiple times from this level.
Upper Trendline (Red): Main descending resistance — price is now approaching this zone.
🧱 Support Zones
3,970,000: Confluence of horizontal support and the lower trendline → key reaction area to monitor.
4,030 – 4,050 (Breakout Zone): Intermediate support if price pulls back after the breakout rally.
⚔️ Resistance Zones
4,100 – 4,115: Strong resistance aligning with the upper trendline and previous highs → possible correction zone.
🎯 Scenario
If price gets rejected around 4,115, it could pull back toward the 4,030 – 4,050 breakout zone, or even retest 3,970,000.
A clean breakout above 4,115 would confirm stronger bullish continuation.
🧭 Summary
Trend: Short-term bullish — currently testing major resistance.
Strategy: Watch price action near 4,115; wait for confirmation to re-enter buys around 4,030 – 3,970.
💼 Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,030 – 4,028
Stop Loss: 4,018
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,115 – 4,117
Stop Loss: 4,127
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Dollar Index Pulls Back from a Key HighDollar Index Pulls Back from a Key High
As the Dollar Index (DXY) chart shows, the index is currently trading below its 5 November high, which formed after a false bullish breakout (marked by an arrow) above the 1 August peak — a scenario previously outlined in the post “The Dollar Index Near a Key High.”
According to Trading Economics, trader sentiment at the start of the week is being shaped by expectations of comments from ECB and Federal Reserve officials regarding the outlook for monetary policy.
A statement has already come from Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser, who noted that financial conditions in the country are now close to a neutral rate — one that neither stimulates nor restrains economic growth. The Australian dollar strengthened following his remarks.
Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart
The previously drawn ascending channel remains relevant for the Dollar Index, with several important technical features:
→ The channel median has switched its role from support to resistance (as indicated by its colour change from blue to red).
→ The QL line, which divides the lower half of the channel into quarters, is currently acting as support for the DXY.
→ The index has fallen below the psychological level of 100 points.
It appears that the 3.7% rally in the Dollar Index since mid-September has attracted sellers, while late buyers may have been trapped near the top of the recent move.
Additional support may be found near 99.45, where a double-top pattern (A–B) previously formed. However, if this level is breached, the DXY could extend its decline towards the lower boundary of the channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Day market cautiously adjusts its bullish stance The DXY cautiously maintains its bullish stance, rising 1.52% since the last week of October. With momentum building, the index now sets its path toward mitigating the 101.000 level, signaling continued dollar resilience amid shifting market conditions. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
: Bullish continuation post pullbackGold market extends its bullish trajectory, surging towards $4080/oz during the post-London session. A potential price rest around the 4040’s is being considered as a correctional sweep, setting the stage for further upside momentum. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea yall
Can One Company Control Computing's Future?Google has executed a strategic transformation from a digital advertising platform to a full-stack technology infrastructure provider, positioning itself to dominate the next era of computation through proprietary hardware and breakthrough scientific discoveries. The company's vertical integration strategy centers on three pillars: custom Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) for AI workloads, quantum computing breakthroughs with verifiable advantages, and Nobel Prize-winning drug discovery capabilities through AlphaFold. This approach creates formidable competitive barriers by controlling foundational computational infrastructure rather than relying on commodity hardware.
The TPU strategy exemplifies Google's infrastructure lock-in model. By designing specialized chips optimized for machine learning tasks, Google achieved superior energy efficiency and performance scaling compared to general-purpose processors. The company's multibillion-dollar deal with Anthropic, deploying up to one million TPUs, transforms a potential cost center into a profit generator while locking competitors into Google's ecosystem. This technical dependence makes migration to rival platforms financially prohibitive, ensuring Google monetizes a significant portion of the generative AI market through its cloud services regardless of which AI models succeed.
Google's quantum computing achievement represents a paradigm shift from theoretical benchmarks to practical utility. The Willow chip's "Verifiable Quantum Advantage" demonstrates a 13,000-times speedup over classical supercomputers in physics simulations, with immediate applications in molecular structure mapping for drug discovery and materials science. Meanwhile, AlphaFold delivers quantifiable economic impact, reducing Phase I drug development costs by approximately 30% from over $100 million to $70 million per candidate. Isomorphic Labs has secured nearly $3 billion in pharmaceutical partnerships, validating this high-margin revenue stream independent of advertising.
The geopolitical implications are profound. Google holds the second-highest number of quantum technology patents globally, with strategic IP covering essential scaling technologies like chip tiling and error correction. This intellectual property portfolio creates a technical chokepoint, positioning Google as a mandatory licensing partner for nations seeking to deploy quantum technology. Combined with the dual-use nature of quantum computing for both commercial and military applications, Google's dominance extends beyond market competition to national security infrastructure. This convergence of proprietary hardware, scientific breakthroughs, and IP control justifies premium valuations as Google transitions from cyclical advertising dependence to an indispensable deep-tech infrastructure provider.
GBPUSD Approaching Key Resistance Near 1.3245GBPUSD Approaching Key Resistance Near 1.3245 — Possible Bearish Rejection Ahead
GBPUSD is showing a strong recovery after last week’s drop, but the overall structure remains bearish.
Price is approaching the 1.3245 resistance area, aligned with a bearish pattern, which has acted as a major barrier multiple times. This is evident on the left side of the chart, where a major resistance area is located around the current price level.
If buyers fail to push above this zone, a bearish rejection could follow, leading to a potential pullback toward:
🎯 1.3030 (first target)
🎯 1.2900 (second target)
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Nasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US ShutdownNasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US Shutdown
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index has started the week on a positive note amid growing expectations that the longest government shutdown in US history may soon come to an end.
According to Reuters, a bill has been introduced in the Senate proposing amendments to extend government funding until 30 January. The news acted as a bullish catalyst for equity markets. Still, the question remains – is the risk truly behind us?
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100
Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 4 November, we:
→ Drew an ascending channel;
→ Noted signs of momentum exhaustion, as mentioned in our previous headline.
Since then, price action has evolved as follows:
→ The lower boundary of the channel provided support (1), prompting a brief rebound;
→ The 25,770 level acted as resistance (2) on two occasions, strengthening the bears’ confidence to push for a downside breakout — which ultimately succeeded.
The index’s subsequent movements have now more clearly outlined the formation of a descending channel (shown in red).
From the demand-side perspective:
→ After a false bearish breakout below 24,680 (showing characteristics of a Liquidity Grab pattern), the market staged an aggressive rally from point B;
→ Today’s session opened with a bullish gap, and the price has moved above the red median line.
From the supply-side perspective:
→ The 25,500 level, where sellers gained control during the previous channel breakout, may now act as resistance;
→ If the A→B move is viewed as an impulse, today’s rally appears to be a corrective rebound consistent with Fibonacci proportions — suggesting that downward momentum could resume within the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold 30m Outlook: Fundamentals Meet Technical Crossroads1. Fundamental Overview
The price of Gold (XAU/USD) has recently jumped to a two-week high, buoyed by expectations of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December and growing global growth concerns.
Reuters
Key drivers:
Weaker U.S. economic data (job losses, retail weakness) are reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold (non-yielding asset).
Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty and central-bank buying.
Head-winds:
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) showing strength and rate-cut expectations being questioned.
Recent profit-taking after strong rally: gold corrected about 11% from its October highs.
Structural outlook remains bullish for medium-term, according to some institutions: large central-bank purchases, de-dollarisation flows, and weak growth support gold over time.
Fundamental bias summary: Neutral-to-bullish overall, conditional on macro data and Fed policy. Short-term risk of correction is present because of recent excesses.
2.Technical Analysis (30-Minute / Short Term)
On the 4-hour and daily charts the price remains below several key moving averages: e.g., 20 SMA ~ USD 4,002, 100 SMA ~ USD 4,105.
Price is in a consolidation range around USD 4,000–4,050, forming a temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
According to short-term technical snapshots:
Upside target if momentum builds: USD 4,050+ zone.
Downside risk if breakdown: USD 3,950-3,900 support area.
Key pivot/resistance level appears near USD 4,050–4,060. If price fails here, it may lead to a sharp pullback.
Momentum indicators (RSI, volume) show weak conviction, suggesting range-bound or corrective phase rather than strong trending.
Technical bias summary: Tilt slightly bullish only if price breaks above ~USD 4,050 with volume. Otherwise, downside risks and range trapping remain higher-probability.
3. Trade Plan & Key Levels
Entry Strategy (30-minute timeframe):
Bullish Scenario: Enter long if price closes above USD 4,050 and retests it, with momentum.
Stop: ~USD 3,995 (just below support)
Target: First leg ~USD 4,150, stretch to ~USD 4,250 if strong.
Bearish Scenario: If price rejects near USD 4,050–4,060 and breaks below ~USD 3,990, then short.
Stop: ~USD 4,070
Target: USD 3,900–3,850 zone.
Avoid/Wait: If price remains stuck between ~USD 4,000-4,050 without clear trigger—better skip until directional clarity.
Support & Resistance Levels to Note:
Resistance: USD 4,050-4,060
Support: USD 3,950-3,900
Intraday pivot: ~USD 4,000
Risk Management:
Given the 30 m timeframe and gold’s volatility, keep position sizes conservative, place stops strictly, and avoid chasing breakout without confirmation.
4. My View for Today
Given the current fundamentals and technicals my preferred bias is slightly bullish if we see a trigger. The macro backdrop supports gold (rate-cut hopes, safe-haven flows), but the technicals demand a breakout for momentum. If no breakout, the default is sideways to mildly bearish (range or pullback). I’ll lean long only after breakout above ~USD 4,050. Otherwise treat any rally as potential short opportunity.
📈 Stay patient – gold is near a key decision zone. Wait for clear 30 m confirmation before entering trades.
#Gold #XAUUSD #SignalAndAnalysis30m #GoldTrading #AthensBySahan #ForexSriLanka #SmartTrading #PriceAction
Indra Strengthens Its Defense Leadership Indra Strengthens Its Defense Leadership Amid Talent Exodus from Santa Bárbara
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Indra has intensified its commitment to the defense sector with a strategic move that marks a turning point in the Spanish industry: the recruitment of more than 15 executives from Santa Bárbara Sistemas, a subsidiary of General Dynamics, with around twenty more in the process of joining. This move comes amid fierce competition for defense talent, consolidating the Spanish tech company’s leadership in the land sector with its new division, Indra Land Vehicles.
Fundamental: Growth, Diversification, and Industrial Autonomy
Indra’s decision to compete independently in the development and production of armored vehicles is part of its Leading the Future 2030 strategic plan, aimed at strengthening its role as a national integrator in defense, security, and dual-use technology. The acquisition of the El Tallerón plant (Gijón) from Duro Felguera for €3.6 million, along with an additional investment of over €40 million to transform the facility, demonstrates a clear focus on vertical integration and technological autonomy.
The announcement of the delivery of 57 8x8 “Dragón” vehicles by year-end represents a key milestone after delays and internal disputes within the Tess Defence consortium. In addition, Indra has secured nearly 90% of public funding allocated to the Special Modernization Programs (PEM) in defense, ensuring resources to expand its presence in vehicle projects, command and control systems, and electronic capabilities.
From a financial perspective, the company maintains expanding operating margins and a strong order book, driven by contracts in defense, digitization, and air traffic management. This repositioning of its land business strengthens medium-term growth potential and reduces exposure to the civil sector.
Technical: Uptrend and Key Consolidation Levels
From a technical perspective, Indra (BME: IDR) has maintained a sustained uptrend since early 2024. After several upward impulses, the stock has continued its positive momentum throughout 2025, accumulating a year-on-year gain exceeding 35%. After reaching highs around €51.25, the stock entered a consolidation phase supported by the 50-day moving average (€46.67), respecting the main uptrend line. Currently, the control point is around €38.58, corresponding to the previous accumulation zone before the latest upward impulse.
Technical indicators show strength but suggest a potential short-term adjustment:
The RSI remains in overbought territory, stabilizing above 60%, indicating a technical pause after strong gains.
The MACD is approaching a bearish crossover, with the signal line above the indicator and the histogram entering negative territory, potentially signaling a short-term correction.
The 50-day moving average acts as the first significant support, with the next key level at €41.36. A break below this level could take the stock back to the control point at €38.58.
On the upside, a sustained break above the current highs (€51.25) would open the door to new targets around €55, keeping the underlying bullish structure intact.
Offensive in the Armored Vehicles Sector
Indra’s offensive in armored vehicles and its ability to attract strategic talent from Santa Bárbara reinforce its position as a central player in the Spanish defense ecosystem. In a context of increasing European military spending and a push for industrial sovereignty, the company consolidates a long-term vision based on innovation, technological independence, and operational efficiency.
With solid fundamentals and a robust technical structure, Indra stands out as one of the most attractive stocks in the defense sector in the Spanish market, maintaining the interest of both institutional and retail investors in the coming quarters.
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S&P long amid positivity on US Gov shutdownPossibly long on S&P as positivity around the potential reopening of the US government.
Markets gap higher Sunday open on the news and provides a good area to trade off.
4hr chart
- Rejected off fib retracement
- Broken counter trendline and resistance
- Fill of gap and retest of trendline provides good area of support
Would require confirmation on lower TF breakout
Caution around earnings and missed data to be released upon the government reopening.
Bitcoin Daily Outlook: Support and Resistance in FocusHey Guys,
Looking at Bitcoin on the daily chart, the 105,000 to 98,000 levels are strong support zones. This means that as long as the price does not fall below these levels, a sharp decline in Bitcoin is unlikely.
The price touches these areas, but whales prevent it from breaking lower with strong buying, pushing it back up again.
The 113,000 – 116,000 levels are strong resistance zones.
As long as Bitcoin does not fall below 98,000, my target remains 113,000.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at 105,887. Once my target is reached, I will provide updates.
Every single like I receive from you is my greatest motivation to share these analyses. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.🙏
Bitcoin is looking like November in 2017Bitcoin’s current price action mirrors its 2017 cycle structure , suggesting potential for a major breakout.
Chart Structure and Pattern Recognition
This chart highlights the classic Elliott Wave five-wave pattern seen in Bitcoin’s 2017 bull run: a strong impulsive sequence (waves 1, 3, and 5) bracketed by healthy corrections (waves 2 and 4).
The move culminates in a dramatic breakout above key resistance, followed by an aggressive rally and sharp post-peak correction, capturing both trend acceleration and market psychology at a cycle top.
Implications for 2025
Bitcoin’s price structure today closely resembles the 2017 formation — both cases show a multi-month consolidation leading to breakout, followed by a parabolic fifth wave.
If this fractal repeats, Bitcoin may see another substantial rally after consolidation, echoing the euphoric breakout of Q4 2017. This suggests traders should watch for a decisive break above resistance and be mindful of rapid trend reversals near cycle highs.
Bitcoin Daily Analysis #12 — November 10, 2025
Bitcoin has triggered our entry setup 🔔
As I mentioned before, fear during FOMO candles means nothing — what truly matters is structure and confirmation.
It seems that Bitcoin has found support around the $100,000 zone and could be starting a new bullish leg 🚀
Any higher low above $104,000 will serve as a confirmation of an uptrend ✅
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Larry D.Kohn
EURJPY – Bullish Setup Building MomentumEURJPY – Bullish Setup Building Momentum
EURJPY is creating a bullish continuation pattern after a strong bullish recovery.
The price is currently testing short-term support, and a bounce from this zone could trigger another upward move.
As long as the support holds, the bullish structure remains valid.
I’m watching for a continuation toward the next resistance levels.
Targets:
🎯 177.40
🎯 177.90
A break below support would transform this short-term bullish outlook into something larger and probably bullish again.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
SP 500 long after correctionSP 500 after new price highs It's making a new healthy correction.
-It's not sure yet If the SP 500 will go lower than this support level, most probably we will see it tomorrow or next week It's also probably that market makers will start soon to buy the dip.
-If the price will go lower than this support level we should check to enter long there with a SL as showed in the chart.
Important: Carefully at this price market makers could open a long order, anytime and the price will go aggressively up!!!1






















