Fundamental Analysis
GOLD (XAU/USD): SHORT SETUP — RIDING THE FINAL BEAR LEG!1. MACRO VIEW: THE FED STALEMATE
The Gold market is being pulled in opposing directions:
Bearish Pull (USD Strength): Positive news on the US-China trade deal reduces safe-haven demand.
Bullish Push (Gold Support): Near-certainty of a 25bps Fed rate cut on Wednesday weakens the USD. Plus, escalating US-Russia geopolitical tension maintains risk appetite for Gold.
Bottom Line: While a weaker USD supports Gold, Technical Analysis suggests a deeper correction must complete first.
2. TECHNICALS: STRUCTURE IS DECIDEDLY BEARISH
Trend Shift: After a strong rally, Gold has broken major support structure, confirming a Bearish Shift in the short-term trend.
Scenario: We anticipate a technical pullback (Pullback) to retest the new resistance level. Once the retest is complete, selling pressure should resume to finish the corrective move.
3. 💡 TRADE STRATEGY (THE SHORT)
We are primarily SELLING (SHORT), positioning for the completion of the corrective cycle:
Ideal Entry Zone (Entry): 3,949.849 (Retesting the broken prior Support, now Resistance)
Take Profit (TP1): 3,929.793
Take Profit (TP2): 3,878.287 – 3,811.333 (Major Demand Zone Target)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 3,949.849 (Above Confirmed Resistance)
⚠️ Warning: Wednesday’s FED rate decision will cause extreme volatility. Risk management is paramount!
Where do you think this final drop will bottom out? Let me know below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #FOMC #TradePlan
USDJPY sellWith the second rejection off the weekly level forming a double top pattern, combined with a gap to fill below and slight weakness evident in the dollar index, this setup presents an interesting opportunity. The trade idea may gain traction if the dollar continues to exhibit weakness. Please note that this is not financial advice, and it's essential to manage risk accordingly if considering this setup.
Can the Euro Break Free From the Dollar's Grip?The EUR/USD currency pair is extending a modest winning streak, nearing 1.1670 as the US Dollar (USD) underperforms ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement. This marks the fifth consecutive day of gains for the pair, largely fueled by a cooling USD sentiment due to the prolonged US government shutdown and a cautiously dovish outlook from the Fed. Despite this short-term momentum, a sustained rally remains elusive. The pair is currently searching for a stronger catalyst, with the upcoming monetary policy meetings from both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) expected to provide the necessary spark for clearer directional movement. Immediate resistance levels are flagged around 1.1728 and 1.1778, while initial support rests at the October low of 1.1542.
The underlying technical picture suggests that while the broader positive trend holds above the crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), momentum is weak. Key indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting just over 47 and the Average Directional Index (ADX) around 15, imply that the current upward move lacks conviction and leaves the door open for potential renewed losses. Investors are keenly focused on a potential shift in the narrative. A dovish surprise from the Fed, a reduction in the appetite for US assets, or a more encouraging stance from the ECB could provide the requisite lift for the Euro. Furthermore, any genuine progress in easing US-China trade tensions would also likely weigh on the USD and benefit the currency pair.
The fundamental backdrop is characterized by the Washington stalemate and a cautious approach from both major central banks. The nearly month-long US government shutdown continues to erode business confidence and negatively impact growth expectations, contributing to the USD's drift lower. Meanwhile, the Fed is largely anticipated to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut at its upcoming meeting, maintaining a flexible, "meeting by meeting" policy approach as it balances softer job data against lingering inflation. Across the Atlantic, the ECB is opting to stay patient, with President Christine Lagarde expressing confidence that policy is "in a good place" and future adjustments will be entirely data-dependent, a signal that the European easing cycle may be largely concluded, at least for now.
Bitcoin Analysis - Bulls vs ResistanceBitcoin triggers have been activated just as expected. Personally, I don’t think it’s a bad idea to hold current positions — we’ve got some solid entry points already.
📈 Bitcoin is showing a bullish trend, and as we approach the upcoming interest rate decision, momentum could build even more.
Above the $116,000 zone, we could see a long trigger, but personally, since I already have two open entries from lower levels, I won’t be adding new ones for now.
💡 If the interest rate is lowered, there’s a chance we’ll see a few red candles initially, but overall, it should be positive for the crypto market.
Right now, Bitcoin is facing a key resistance zone — breaking above it could confirm a bullish continuation on higher timeframes. 🚀
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Larry D.Kohn
DXY — The Market UpdateDXY — The Market Therapist’s Take
🧭 Context
The U.S. Dollar sits between 98.613 and 98.143 — the high and low from Tuesday, October 21.
That zone still controls the market’s psychology.
Price is absorbing every order above and below it — a quiet accumulation phase that looks like chaos, but isn’t.
The question isn’t “where next,” it’s “who’s still trapped inside.”
📐 Technical Map
Daily structure remains bullish range, while weekly and monthly dynamic maps stay bearish.
Four months straight, price has rotated through the same rhythm — collecting both buy and sell stops across cross-assets.
It’s not indecision; it’s design.
If 98.613 breaks, we open expansion higher.
If 98.143 gives way, next pivot becomes the target.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
The dollar’s not crashing — it’s unwinding its old story.
For two years, the script was simple: high yields, safe haven, strong America.
Now, traders are rewriting the plot.
Prediction markets show a 40% chance of a U.S. recession in 2025.
Rate-cut expectations jumped from one to three.
Meanwhile, Germany’s €500 B infrastructure and defense plan signals a new fiscal identity for Europe — and money follows that kind of momentum shift.
📊 Volume & Order Flow Map
Volume tools mark 98.197 as the month’s Volume Key line.
Close above it, and the bias turns bullish — potential for expansion.
Close below, and we remain in a controlled range.
This is no accident — it’s liquidity engineering.
Volume flow reveals the intention behind every candle.
🎯 Plan
Price symmetry holds mid-range, trapping traders chasing both sides.
In this kind of terrain, in-and-out execution is survival, not fear.
Stay inside structure until the market itself declares direction.
The currency game isn’t random — it’s orchestration.
When you can’t hold bias, hold discipline.
When price hides intent, follow volume.
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO BEFORE FOMC LiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO BEFORE FOMC - $3840 Level Awaits Bottom Fishing Reaction Wave
Hello traders community,
The Gold market is showing a strong and sustainable downtrend. We are witnessing a crash after prices broke through key support zones. With the upcoming FOMC event, our strategy is to seek Buy opportunities at deep liquidity zones and continue Selling when prices recover to retest the broken trend.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS & CASH FLOW CONTEXT
Gold is currently under dual pressure:
Downward Pressure 🔴: Optimism about the US-China trade progress has significantly weakened the demand for Gold, a safe-haven commodity. Spot Gold prices have fallen below $3950, hitting a three-week low, down about 0.78% on the day (28/10).
Short-term Support 🟢: Bets on the possibility of a Fed rate cut continue to weaken the US Dollar (USD), which is the only factor that could potentially support this precious metal.
Conclusion: This tug-of-war makes it difficult to determine the bottom. The bearish scenario remains the top priority.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: THE DOWNWAVE CONTINUES
Based on the H4 chart (image_5fa7fa.png):
Current Trend: The price has successfully broken through the key liquidity support zone near $3950 and is continuing its downtrend.
Current Fibonacci Level: The price is touching and reacting at the 1.618 Fibonacci zone (around $3950).
Next Level: The next level Gold is targeting will be the 2.618 Fibonacci zone (around $3840), which is a large liquidity area expected to see a strong reaction.
Main Strategy: We focus on two scenarios: Bottom fishing reaction at 3840 and continuing to Sell when the price recovers.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
We have two detailed scenarios based on the current price level:
🟢 BUY Reversal Scenario
We wait for the price to hit the deep liquidity bottom zone of 3840 to execute a buy order with the expectation of a technical recovery.
Entry Zone: 3840
Stop Loss (SL): 3832 (tight SL)
Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $3872 | TP2: $3898 | TP3: $3925 | TP4: $3950
🔴 SELL Retest Scenario
If Gold recovers without breaking the downtrend structure:
Entry Zone: Watch for a Sell retest at $4091
Stop Loss (SL): $4099
Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $4065 | TP2: $4033 | TP3: $4004 | TP4: $3965
SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)
Gold is in a strong fall ahead of the FOMC, with significant volatility expected. Capturing deep Fibonacci and Liquidity zones is key.
Note: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. Capital management is the number one priority, risking only 1-2% of the account per trade.
Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade under bearish pressure, dropping to the $3,980–3,940 range, marking its lowest in three weeks. The chart highlights:
Resistance Zone: $3,975 – $3,981 (aligns with a descending trendline).
Support Zone: $3,936 – $3,943, with $3,930 as key downside level.
Price action shows lower highs, suggesting sustained bearish momentum. A corrective bounce into the resistance zone could be met with fresh selling interest.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,975 – $3,981 (near resistance & trendline)
Stop Loss: $3,986
Take Profit 1: $3,945
Take Profit 2: $3,936
Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 3.72
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s decline is largely driven by renewed US–China trade optimism, which has reduced safe-haven demand. As reported, officials from both sides agreed on a trade deal framework ahead of Trump–Xi talks this week, pressuring gold prices despite weaker USD and dovish Fed expectations. Meanwhile, traders remain cautious ahead of the FOMC meeting (Oct 28–29), where markets have priced in a 96% chance of a 25 bps Fed rate cut.
Adding to the downside pressure, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) paused gold purchases, while China’s imports fell 17.6% in September, further reducing demand support. However, US Treasury yields remain soft, and JPMorgan projects long-term bullish momentum for gold, forecasting an average $5,055/oz in Q4 2026.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,975 / $3,981
Support: $3,943 / $3,936
Breakdown Target: $3,900
📋 Trade Summary
Gold remains under pressure, trading below $4,000 with bearish momentum intact. Short-term rallies toward resistance offer opportunities to sell, targeting the $3,930–3,940 support zone. Market focus shifts to the FOMC decision and US–China talks, which could define gold’s next breakout direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Where the rally starts - SOL weekly update Oct 28 - 03rdAfter a pretty enduring phase of complex corrective movement, Solana presents itself with impulsive bullish structure today.
As I said in my Ethereum analysis, the macro environment seems to be very bullish with rate cuts and a tariff deal between the United States and China may be incoming. So with that said, I think the upside opportunity in mid- to long-term could be large.
But for short-term, the current market structure looks similar to Ethereum as we are unfolding a rather complex intermediate wave 2. For now therefore, I expect Solana to drop to around $182.10. This scenario is supported by the liquidation heatmap as it shows liquidity built up throughout the latest move up. Indicators like the RSI already showed overbought prices by the end of the move up, which is untypical early for a starting third wave. Not to forget the overall structure being rather slow whilst moving up, which also doesn't fit in the impulsive characteristics of the third wave. So the alternative would be, that this is the third wave, but as I said I think this is very unlikely for me.
Overall Solana provides us a short setup. If you want to take that trade I recommend putting the stop loss at the latest local high or one percent above if you want to be sure and the take profit at the 0.764 retracement level.
LC 1W: When the Market Spreads Its WingsOn the weekly chart of LendingClub (LC) , a “golden cross” has formed - the MA50 crossing above the MA200 from below, confirming a medium-term trend shift in favor of buyers. The current price of 15.30 is trading within the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci zone (14.54–15.32), which now acts as a key support after the breakout. Structurally, the asset is moving within a broadening ascending channel, suggesting potential for increased volatility and range expansion.
Technically, the market shows strength: the upward impulse was accompanied by an abnormal spike in volume, both MA50 and MA200 are positioned below the price, and the nearest resistance is at 17.26 (1.0 Fibonacci level). A breakout above this area opens the way to the 1.618 extension at 22.95–23.02. The scenario is invalidated if the price closes below 12.65, which would pull it back into the previous descending structure.
Fundamentally, LendingClub benefits from easing tensions in the US debt market and moderate growth in consumer lending. Positive earnings momentum and the resilience of its business model add further confidence to the bulls.
Tactical plan: as long as the price holds above 14.54–15.32, the medium-term growth scenario remains valid, targeting 17.26 and 23.02. The optimal entry would come after confirming the support hold and spotting a local reversal candlestick pattern on the daily timeframe.
As they say, a golden cross isn’t just an indicator - it’s a first-class ticket to the trend league. Just make sure you don’t miss the flight.
Gold Price Analysis - Gold Breakout Levels 4200 vs 4040Gold is trading inside a tightening rising channel after forming a strong higher timeframe rejection from the ATH which pushed price into a corrective phase. Buyers have repeatedly defended the strong support zone near 4000-3980 creating a false breakout low followed by a controlled recovery showing that demand remains active.
However, each rally into the weak-high resistance at 4160-4200 has shown fading momentum meaning sellers are still protecting this zone aggressively. Until price breaks out with a clean close and retest above this resistance gold will remain in a neutral to slightly bullish consolidation phase driven by stop hunts and choppy movements inside the channel.
A successful breakout above 4200 can trigger a bullish continuation toward 4240 then 4320-4360 and possibly back to the ATH zone while a breakdown below 4040 rising support would shift the structure bearish again exposing the 3980 demand and potentially a deeper drop to 3900 if buyers fail there.
In simple terms buyers still control support, sellers still control resistance and the next big move will come once one of these critical levels breaks with strength.
✅ Option 1-Strong Bullish Bias
Gold is still respecting the rising channel and defending the strong support zone around 4000-3980. As long as price stays above the rising trendline bullish structure remains valid. A clean breakout above 4160-4200 will confirm continuation toward 4240 → 4320 → ATH retest. Buyers are still in the game, waiting for the breakout.
✅ Option 2-Neutral to Bullish
Gold is consolidating inside a rising channel after rejecting the ATH. Support remains strong around 4000-3980 while sellers continue to defend 4160-4200. A breakout on either side will define the next major move. Above 4200 bullish continuation toward 4240 and 4320+. Below 4040 deeper pullback toward 3980 and possibly 3900.
✅ Option 3-Neutral to Bearish
Gold is struggling to break above 4160-4200 showing seller strength at the top of the range. If price fails again and breaks below the rising channel near 4040 downside can accelerate toward 3980 and 3900 for liquidity. Bulls must hold support to avoid a deeper correction.
Gold remains trapped between 4040 support and 4200 resistance inside a rising wedge. Buyers holding strong at the bottom but sellers still defending the top. Break above 4200 bullish continuation toward 4320. Break below 4040 bearish move to 3980-3900. Still a range waiting for breakout confirmation.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
IBIT: ready for liftoffOn the daily chart, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) trades at $62.97, testing the key 0.705–0.79 Fibo zone ($61.63–63.87). This area marks a breakout and retest line, forming a clear buy zone. The technical structure remains bullish: after breaking out and pulling back, price holds potential to move toward $69.39, with Fibo extensions targeting $76.54 and $85.63. Volumes confirm buyer activity on dips, and the bullish flag pattern supports the continuation of the upward trend.
Fundamentally , the main driver is bitcoin itself, with institutional demand for BTC ETFs staying strong. Large funds continue accumulating positions, while expectations of a softer Fed tone add pressure on the dollar, fueling capital inflows into crypto. This strengthens the bullish case for IBIT.
Tactical plan: watch $61.6–63.8 as the key entry zone. Holding above opens the path toward $69.3, followed by $76.5 and $85.6. The scenario breaks only if price falls below $61.
And let’s be honest: IBIT isn’t just a ticker - it’s the “accelerate bitcoin” button for your portfolio.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 28, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is supported by expectations ahead of this week’s FOMC decision: fresh September inflation data in the United States came in moderate, reinforcing the scenario of rate cuts and a softer dollar as price pressures normalize. At the same time, the euro area’s central bank communication remains cautious but without signs of emergency tightening, which eases pressure on business activity and supports risk appetite.
Demand for the euro is also strengthened by improved global risk sentiment and stable U.S. Treasury yields: growing interest in equities and commodities typically reduces the need for the dollar as a defensive asset. This week, markets focus on the Fed’s comments about the policy path into year-end and early 2026: a gentler tone increases the probability of a weaker dollar and continued EURUSD upside.
For the short-term fundamental setup, it is notable that U.S. risks (slowing inflation, debate over fiscal constraints) weigh on yields, while Europe faces no new energy-price shocks. In this configuration, the balance of factors tilts toward moderate euro appreciation against the dollar unless the Fed signals a stricter stance on rates and balance sheet.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16650, SL 1.16350, TP 1.17100
Upcoming End of the Fed’s Quantitative Tightening?This Wednesday, October 29, 2025, could mark a decisive turning point for U.S. monetary policy and, by extension, for global markets.
All eyes are on the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is expected to announce a cut to its main interest rate.
But investors are paying even closer attention to another key question: the potential end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) — the process through which the Fed reduces the size of its balance sheet.
1) What is QT, and why might the Fed slow it down again?
Since 2022, the Fed has been implementing QT to gradually withdraw the excess liquidity injected during the post-Covid period.
In practice, this means allowing part of its Treasury and mortgage-backed securities holdings to mature without reinvesting the proceeds.
As a result, the amount of dollars in circulation declines, credit conditions tighten, and global liquidity contracts.
Several signals now point toward a shift in stance.
The U.S. economy is slowing, some regional banks are showing renewed signs of stress, and inflationary pressures are easing.
In this environment, the Fed may conclude that it’s time to ease financial conditions to avoid an excessive economic slowdown.
Ending QT — or even slowing its pace further — would effectively inject liquidity back into the financial system.
This would mean bank reserves rising again, facilitating credit flows and encouraging risk-taking in the markets.
2) A positive impact on risk assets
Historically, each time the Fed stopped shrinking its balance sheet, equity markets rebounded.
The logic is straightforward: more liquidity in the system typically leads to higher asset prices.
A slower QT would likely come alongside lower bond yields and a weaker U.S. dollar — two factors that generally favor stock market rallies and risk asset performance.
This support seems all the more crucial today, as the S&P 500 remains near its all-time high valuations.
The chart below shows the QT program since 2022, with a gradually declining monthly pace since 2024.
3) Jerome Powell’s key message
Finally, Jerome Powell’s speech will be critical.
Markets will react not only to the policy decisions themselves but also to the tone:
• What pace for balance sheet reduction?
• What flexibility in responding to inflation?
• What outlook for 2026?
If Powell hints that the Fed is preparing to end QT, the message will be clear: liquidity is returning, and with it, a renewed appetite for risk across financial markets.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
BTC PA Report 28/Oct -> 01/Nov# Bitcoin Technical Outlook – October 28, 2025
According to last week’s report, market momentum has unfolded in alignment with over **80% accuracy** relative to the projected macro trend up to **October 15**.
Prior to **October 13**, the market successfully confirmed a short-term trend and moved into a corrective phase — precisely as anticipated in my prior outlook — both within the **crypto sector** and the **broader financial market**.
On **October 23**, BTC saw an upward retracement that pulled price back into the required range, avoiding an early **trend-reversal confirmation** from uptrend to downtrend between **108K–114K**.
This move indicates that the market is **not yet ready to enter Phase 1** of a confirmed reversal and still reflects **broad optimism** toward both **crypto** and **BTC**, suggesting potential for a **stronger bullish leg** in the near future.
In addition, **positive macroeconomic developments**, including progress around **ETF approvals** and the **anticipated SEC rate-cut decisions**, could provide the fundamental backdrop for a **stronger bullish expansion**.
However, one must not forget — before major uptrends, markets often produce **even stronger shakeouts**, clearing liquidity and setting the stage for more aggressive waves ahead.
---
## Current Market Assessment
*(Based on data and sentiment as of October 28, 2025 – 12:22 UTC+7)*
1. **BTC has exited its initial reversal confirmation phase**, but there remains a high probability of a **retest** of key support at **111K–112.5K (SP1)**.
A deeper correction could extend toward **102K–108K (SP2)**.
If the market maintains stability **above SP1 for at least one week**, we can expect consecutive bullish moves targeting a breakout through the **critical resistance zone at 114K–118K**.
2. At present, BTC is likely to **continue its corrective move**, ranging between **114.1K–110K** to **re-validate market strength** around these zones.
As marked on the chart, these **two pivotal levels** will dictate BTC’s short-term trajectory.
My bias still leans toward another **retest around 109K** before any sustained upward momentum resumes.
3. I expect a **major impulse wave** to emerge **between November 12–18, 2025**, likely following a period of accumulation and volatility expansion.
This phase should define the **next directional momentum**, as price will be testing or hovering near key **support/resistance levels** outlined above.
---
## Key Influencing Factors
1. **Smart money inflows** remain cautious yet steady — there are **no signs of large-scale distribution**.
This suggests that institutional positioning still anticipates **further upside potential** for crypto assets.
2. **Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations** remain elevated, with markets widely pricing in an additional **cut cycle** ahead.
3. **Technical indicators** confirm that BTC has exited its short-term reversal setup, but **momentum remains insufficient** to sustain a prolonged uptrend without further structural validation.
---
## Conclusion
1. **BTC must retest its nearest support zones** before confirming the next directional leg.
2. Expect a **significant breakout or breakdown** phase between **October 28 – November 20, 2025**, most likely during **November 12–18**, to define whether BTC will continue the uptrend or shift into a broader corrective cycle.
3. For the current trading week (**October 27 – November 1, 2025**), BTC is expected to **continue its corrective movement** within **114.1K–110K**.
Short-term **bullish attempts** may occur between **October 31 – November 2**.
---
**Major Support:** 108K–110K
**Major Resistance:** 114K–116.8K
FFL Weekly Breakout & Earnings SetupFFL has broken above its weekly supply zone and is currently retesting the breakout area. The increase in quarterly earnings supports a potential bullish trend. A buy at the current market price is recommended, with a stop loss below the last low, partial profits around the recent high, and final targets at the all-time high (ATH) .
ASML Holding | ASML | Long at $680.00NASDAQ:ASML Holding, a developer and servicer of advanced semiconductor equipment systems for chipmakers, dipped backed into my overall, long-term selected simple moving average (SMA). From here, stocks typically bounce or drop, but given the AI boom is far from "over", I anticipate another bounce to eventually close the gap near $1,060. It may show some minor weakness to close the gap in the low $600s and get the bears excited. But, unless the economy further shows major weakness in the semiconductor space, NASDAQ:ASML is in my personal "buy zone" at $680.
Target #1 = $730.00
Target #2 = $915.00
Target #3 = $1,060.00
EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 28, 2025EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 28, 2025
Bullish Channel Intact | Buyers Target 1.1670 Zone
The EUR/USD pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel on the 15-minute timeframe, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. After several sessions of sideways accumulation around 1.1630–1.1645, price has regained momentum and is currently heading toward the upper boundary of the channel near 1.1670.
From a technical perspective:
Trend structure: The pair respects a clear bullish channel, with dynamic support near 1.1620 and resistance around 1.1670–1.1680.
Momentum: RSI remains firm above the 50-level, suggesting ongoing buying pressure.
EMA alignment: Short-term EMAs (20-50) point upward, confirming intraday bullish momentum.
Liquidity zone: The previous consolidation block near 1.1630 may now act as strong support for potential pullbacks.
- Trading Plan Suggestion:
Buy on dips toward 1.1635–1.1640 with stop loss below 1.1620.
Take-profit targets: 1.1670, and extended target 1.1690 if bullish momentum accelerates.
Invalidation: A breakout below 1.1620 could shift short-term bias back to neutral.
As long as EUR/USD stays above the channel’s midline and the U.S. dollar remains under moderate pressure, the path of least resistance favors the upside.
Stay tuned for more actionable setups — follow to get daily strategies and precision entries.
AUB AU ( AUB Group Limited) LongAUB Group Limited is a major Australian insurance brokerage and underwriting group, a component of the ASX200 index
Principal activities:
-Insurance Brokerage: AUB Group acts as an intermediary between clients (primarily small and medium-sized businesses) and insurance companies
-Underwriting agencies: The company develops, distributes and manages insurance products on behalf of licensed insurance companies
-International operations: Following the acquisition of the UK company Tysers in 2022, AUB Group significantly strengthened its presence in the UK market, engaged in wholesale and retail brokerage
-Partner network support: AUB Group holds stakes in partner brokerage businesses
Quotes are beating the market. We expect an approach to historical highs, as the company shows:
- strong financial results:
1. In FY25 reached 200.2 million Australian dollars, which is significantly higher than the FY24 figure of 171 million dollars.
2. The declared dividend increased by 15.2% to 91 cents per share
The acquisition of Tysers not only expanded the geographical presence, but also diversified the income. The international segment (mainly UK) now accounts for about 30% of the group's profit.
3. Under the leadership of CEO Michael Emmett, the company has been consistently fulfilling its stated strategic goals. The recent statements by the management about the focus on further optimization and growth in FY26 were also positively received by the market
We also expect a consistent increase in dividends in the coming years
The company's balance sheet is consistently growing, which is also positively received by the market
We are waiting for a local resistance breakout
USDJPY – Double Top Forming | Bearish SetupWe’re seeing USDJPY make a bearish move, showing signs of a double top formation — a classic reversal pattern.
Fair Value Gap: Around 152.598 — we expect price to fill this FVG before rejecting.
Take Profit 1: 149.728
Take Profit 2: 146.633
Overall Bias: Bearish
Once the FVG is filled and rejection confirms, we’re looking to sell and ride the drop.
Stay disciplined, follow structure, and let price do its work.
🔥 “Drop it like it’s hot.”
Happy trading!






















