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Gold Price Analysis: Sideways Now, Big Move After Fed Rates?Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading near 3645 levels, consolidating inside a contracting wedge after its recent strong bullish rally. The overall trend remains positive, but momentum has slowed as markets await the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision on Wednesday, which is expected to bring volatility. If the Fed signals further easing or a dovish stance, gold could attempt another push higher, breaking the 3675 resistance and aiming toward 3700–3730. However, if the Fed maintains a cautious or less dovish tone, profit-taking may accelerate and trigger a pullback. The key level to watch on the downside is the 3625–3600 support zone; a clear break below this area could open the door toward 3565 and 3531, with deeper correction possible to 3498. Traders should stay cautious and wait for confirmation: a break above 3675 would confirm bullish continuation, while a drop below 3600 would favor short setups targeting lower support levels. Until then, gold remains in a neutral-to-bearish consolidation phase, with the Fed decision likely to provide the breakout trigger. 📊 Trend Analysis - Overall trend since late August has been strong bullish, but momentum has slowed in the past few sessions. - Price is now consolidating in a wedge/triangle formation. - Current price action is sideways-to-bearish within consolidation, indicating possible pullback/reversal setup if support breaks. - As long as 3675 isn’t broken decisively, risk of retracement remains toward 3565 – 3530 area. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch - Resistance: 3670 – 3680 - Support: 3625 – 3600 🎯 Trade Setup - Sell Bias (Short-Term): - If price fails to break 3645–3650 resistance and breaks below 3625–3600 support zone, it can trigger a sell trade. - Sell Trigger: Break & close below 3600. - Targets: 3565 → 3531 → 3498. 👉 Trend Right Now: Gold is in a short-term consolidation / bearish bias inside the wedge. The major bullish rally has already slowed down, and price is struggling to break above 3645–3650 resistance. Unless gold decisively breaks 3675, the current move looks more like a distribution phase before a pullback. - So, near-term trend = sideways-to-bearish (towards 3600 → 3565 → 3530) - Long-term trend = still bullish, as long as price holds above 3530–3498 support. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
NAS100 - Stock market awaits Federal Reserve meeting!The indicator is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn upward trajectory is maintained, I can expect the future to continue as it has in the past. In case of a valid breakdown, its downward path is to the specified range, which can be approached with a reward for buying. Last week’s economic data painted a mixed picture of the U.S. economy. On the one hand, new jobless claims rose to 263,000, above the market forecast of 235,000, signaling labor market weakness. On the other hand, the August inflation report came in hotter than expected, though most of the increase stemmed from housing costs rather than tariff pressures. Rents rose 0.34%, marking the fastest gain since December 2024, while shelter costs climbed 0.39%, the sharpest jump since January 2025. Still, real-time housing indicators suggest that prices are adjusting, which will likely be reflected in official data in the coming months. Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury fell below 4% for the first time since April—a sign that markets are reacting more to labor market weakness and the prospect of Fed rate cuts than to inflation concerns. CIBC, analyzing the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, stated that while the data came in slightly above expectations, it was not strong enough to dissuade the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) from delivering a 25-basis-point cut next week. Ali Jafari, an economist at the bank, wrote: “There was little in the report to prevent a September rate cut. More importantly, the labor market needs support, and a weaker jobs market implies softer demand-side inflationary pressures ahead.” On a yearly basis, core inflation held steady at 3.1%, while headline inflation rose two-tenths to 2.9%, both in line with forecasts. More troubling, however, are signs that price increases are spreading into new sectors. The report noted: “Tariff pass-through effects intensified this month, with core goods prices rising at the fastest pace since broad tariffs were imposed. Today’s report also showed the first notable increase in new car prices, suggesting that tariff impacts may now be extending to higher-ticket items, though overall car price gains remain modest.” CIBC expects the Fed to cut rates in September and October, pause afterward, and then deliver two additional cuts in the first half of next year. The bank added: “The overall U.S. inflation picture remains notably above target, but the Fed is willing to tolerate this for now, given growing concerns about a weakening economy and a labor market showing signs of fatigue.” Separately, U.S. President Donald Trump once again criticized the Fed in an interview with Fox News, saying the central bank “always acts late on interest rates.” He added: “We have the best stock market in history. Inflation has come down, equities are climbing, so rates should be lower.” These comments come as the Fed is widely expected to cut rates at Wednesday’s meeting. While such a move could reduce borrowing costs in the short term, analysts caution that lower short-term rates do not necessarily translate into lower long-term yields. Morgan Stanley now projects that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining meetings this year—an upgrade from earlier forecasts of only September and December cuts. The bank also expects three additional 25-basis-point cuts in January, April, and July of 2026. At the same time, Standard Chartered has revised its outlook and now anticipates a 50-basis-point cut in September—double its previous forecast. The shift followed weak August jobs data showing employment growth had slowed sharply and unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest since late 2020. The bank described labor market conditions as “dramatic,” noting that in just six weeks the market shifted from “strong” to “weak.” It characterized the larger cut as a form of “catch-up” to align monetary policy with economic realities. This week is set to be pivotal for global markets, with a series of central bank decisions and key economic releases. Monday will see the Empire State manufacturing index, followed by Tuesday’s August retail sales report. On Wednesday, housing starts and building permits will be released, along with the Bank of Canada’s rate decision. The highlight of the week, however, will be the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell’s press conference. On Thursday, the Bank of England will announce its policy decision, followed by U.S. jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey. The busy week will conclude Friday with the Bank of Japan’s policy announcement.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
ETHUSDT → Correction and hunt for liquidity ahead of growth BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing positive dynamics and breaking through the resistance conglomerate (consolidation boundary and downward correction line). The fundamental background is positive, and bulls are generally quite confident... The cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin, and altcoins are awaiting a batch of positive news. Traders are waiting for interest rates to fall, which could attract additional capital to the cryptocurrency market, especially ETH. The breakout of the correction resistance and consolidation resistance gives the market hope for growth. The global trend is bullish, and the fundamental background is positive. If the bulls hold their defense above 4488-4450, ETH may strengthen. Resistance levels: 4661, 4783 Support levels: 4488, 4450 Technically, I expect a false breakdown of support (retest of the liquidity zone). If this maneuver ends with the price closing above 4488 and the formation of a confirming bullish pattern, then in this case, we can consider the continuation of growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
29
XAUUSD H4 Weekly Outlook – Sep 15–19, 2025The higher you climb, the sharper the fall... unless you know where the trap is. 👋 Hello traders, We’re heading into a critical week for Gold, with price currently testing the ceiling of an aggressive bullish leg. In this H4 outlook, we’ll break down the 3 key supply zones above price, the demand layers below, and what to expect from market structure, reaction points, and sniper entries. Let’s map it out 👇 🔸 1. H4 Structure & Trend ✅ Trend: Still bullish – price is printing higher highs and higher lows after a strong BOS ⚠️ However: We're now inside a key supply zone, with signs of momentum exhaustion EMAs are still locked, but flattening – indicating early compression 🔸 2. Supply Zones (Above/At Price) 🔴 3640–3666 – Active H4 Supply (Price Inside Now) ‣ We are currently consolidating inside this premium zone ‣ Multiple EQHs indicate inducement ‣ A strong rejection here may trigger pullback toward demand ‣ A clean break above → confirms bullish continuation 🟠 3692–3720 – Inducement + FVG Zone ‣ Matches 1.272 Fibonacci extension ‣ Imbalance + wick gap + low resistance ‣ Likely to act as a trap zone for breakout chasers if tested 🔴 3745–3785 – Final Expansion Supply Zone ‣ 1.618–2.0 fib projection + HTF inefficiency ‣ High-probability reversal zone if price extends bullish without pullback ‣ Only reachable if bulls dominate and structure confirms breakout above 3720 🔸 3. Demand Zones (Below Price) 🟦 3600–3580 – First Pullback Demand ‣ Minor OB + FVG from previous impulse ‣ Likely to hold first tap if 3640–3666 fails ‣ Watch for bullish reaction 🟦 3544–3520 – Internal OB + EMA50 Zone ‣ Structure-support zone + previous BOS origin ‣ Stronger continuation setup if 3580 fails 🟦 3500–3470 – Full Reaccumulation Zone ✅ ‣ Clean OB + deep discount pricing + last institutional demand ‣ EMA100 confluence ‣ Final valid long zone before major sentiment shift ‣ If broken, trend may flip to bearish 🔸 4. Confluences ✅ EMA 5/21/50: Locked bullish, but flattening – signs of slowing trend ✅ RSI: Cooling off from overbought → early warning of exhaustion ✅ Equal Highs: Inducement logic building below 3666 ✅ FVGs: Gaps both above and below → price remains imbalance-driven ✅ Fibonacci: 1.272 → 1.618 extensions align with supply zones above 🔸 5. Scenarios for the Week 📈 Bullish Scenario ‣ If price breaks and holds above 3666, we expect a push toward 3720, and possibly 3745–3785 ‣ Ideal reentry long zones: 3600 and 3544, with confirmation ‣ Trend remains bullish above 3520 📉 Bearish Scenario ‣ Rejection from 3640–3666 or EQH sweep = short-term top ‣ Target pullbacks: 3580 → 3544 → 3500–3470 ‣ Only a break below 3470 flips sentiment into correction mode 📍Price now inside 3640–3666 → this is the battlefield for the early week. 🔚 Final Thoughts This week’s setup is clear: Gold is inside a live decision zone. Watch how price reacts — breakout or rejection will decide the next 300+ pips. Don't get baited by the EQHs... precision and confirmation are everything. — 👉 If this clarified your map for the week, drop a LIKE to support the effort, FOLLOW GoldFxMinds for more daily sniper-level updates, and let’s stay sharp, structured, and two steps ahead all week long 💥🔥🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
ETH Bullish Trend The chart shows a potential "ABC" corrective wave pattern, often seen as part of a larger bullish trend. Wave (A): The initial strong upward move from around $3,000 to over $4,800. Wave (B): A subsequent correction or consolidation phase, where the price pulled back and appears to be finding support around the $4,200 - $4,300 area (highlighted by the yellow line and the brown box). This area seems to have acted as both previous resistance and now potential support. Wave (C): If the bullish trend continues, the expectation is for a new impulse wave upward, potentially targeting the area between $5,600 and $6,000, as indicated by the white box and the projected line. This would represent a breakout above the previous high of Wave (A). In essence, the idea is: The recent pullback (Wave B) has found support, and if this support holds, the cryptocurrency could be poised for another significant upward move (Wave C) towards new highs. Please note that this is a technical analysis interpretation based on the provided chart and is not financial advice.
CAPITALCOM:ETHUSDLong
by aljawadri
Gold H1 📊 Gold H1 Analysis On the H1 timeframe, we spotted a clean setup: ✅ First, an FVG formed and later flipped into an Inversion FVG. ✅ Price is now approaching the CRT (Continuation Rejection Test) zone. ✅ Once CRT is tested, we’re looking for a buy entry to ride the bullish momentum. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: • Inversion FVG Zone • CRT Support Level 💡 This is a textbook example of how Inversion FVG + CRT can provide a high-probability entry. Patience here is key — wait for the test, then execute with confidence.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ict_smc_chartist
Webull Chart - Robinhood Competitor?Calling all matadors, we got a bull to corral. I've charted some levels of interest for a speculative hold. Many view webull as a potential competitor for robinhood, although fundamentally, bull is in no-where near in the financial position that hood is in terms of free cash flow and expenses (or innovation as far as I've seen). This could make a great swing trade on pure technicals. If the brokerage industry sees a period of exuberance(like we've seen in the quantum space), bull could catch a bid. This could also occur if we see a rotation out of hood. I would love to pick up some shares or calls if the name completes a look below and fail of the anchored volume profile's value area low(around $12.28). or a LBAF of the box bottom @ $10.20. So far webull has been consolidating. I believe a hold above the VPOC (volume point of control @ $15.43), a breakout of the lower boxes and reclaim of the larger upper box around $18.33-$18.87, could see a push to the mid 20s and 30s at least. If we are following box rules for that potential trade, then I would not be surprised if bull goes to the box midpoint @ $48.97. If this thing holds above the VPOC around $15.43 or does a LBAF of either $12.28 or $10.20 it's ripe for picking imo. Now this is pure speculation, and my analysis could be a shack of shit, who knows, BUT if these set ups present themselves, I would like to roll the dice. ~ The Villain
NASDAQ:BULLLong
by The_Villain_777
SPX: rte-cut hypeJust a week before the September FOMC meeting, the S&P 500 reached another fresh, new all-time highest level at 6.594 at Friday's trading session. The index managed to gain another 1,6% for the week. The latest move is sort of gearing-up for the forthcoming FOMC meeting, where the market is expecting to see a 25 bps cut by FED officials. The jobs and inflation figures posted during the week, showed further stabilisation in inflation levels, but also weakening of the US jobs market. Both figures are supportive of the Fed to make a decision over a quarter-point rate cut. However, analysts are noting that the tone and rhetoric of Fed Chair Powell in after the meeting press conference on September 17th, will be crucial for the next move of US equity markets. Certainly, this will mark the most important day for financial markets in the week ahead. Tech companies are again the ones that are driving the market to the higher grounds, TSLA gained 7,36% on Friday, continuing a recent upward trend. Despite no major announcements from Tesla, the stock has gained nearly 12% over the past week, driven by investor optimism that declining interest rates could boost car sales. The artificial intelligence tech firm Super Micro Computer jumped 6% after announcing it had begun volume shipments of its Nvidia Blackwell Ultra solutions to customers globally. Warner Bros Discovery rose nearly 8%, building on Thursday’s 29% surge, after reports in the news indicated that Paramount Skydance is preparing a takeover offer.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
NVDA at a Crossroads: Battle Between TrendlinesNVIDIA is currently consolidating in a tight range, locked between an ascending green trendline of support and a descending red resistance trendline. This setup signals that a breakout is near, with the next directional move likely to bring strong momentum. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current Price: 176.74 Structure: Triangle squeeze between rising support and falling resistance. The ascending trendline from June continues to provide strong bullish structure, but the red downtrend capping recent highs must be broken to regain upside momentum. 🛡️ Support Zones (with Stop-Loss): 🟢 170.85 | SL: 163.74 – 1H Support (Medium Risk) 🟢 144.78 | SL: 141.34 – 4H Support (Low Risk, strong base) 🔼 Resistance Levels: 🟥 Red downtrend line near 180 – Breakout above confirms renewed bullish impulse. 🧭 Outlook Bullish Case: Hold above 170.85 and break the red downtrend → momentum push toward 185–190. Bearish Case: Failure to hold 170.85 could trigger a deeper pullback into 163 or even 145. Bias: Neutral to bullish as long as price stays above the green trendline. 🌍 Fundamental Insight While NVDA remains a market leader in AI and GPUs, recent earnings have highlighted slowing revenue growth compared to prior explosive quarters. This has cooled investor enthusiasm, making technical levels even more important for short-term direction. ✅ Conclusion NVDA is at a decision point: stuck between trendlines, awaiting a breakout. Bulls must defend 170.85 while bears eye resistance around 180. A resolution here could set the tone for the coming weeks. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by husseindergham
Gold continues to fluctuate before the US interest rate decisionGold, after last Friday's continuation of the previous day's bottoming out and rebound, continued to fall into a range-bound oscillation mode, and after opening today, it continued to retreat to around 3626 before rising. Although there is no breakthrough between the bulls and bears at present, it is still in a tug-of-war, and the support below will also be maintained near the low point of 3626. This position is also the first watershed related to whether gold can continue to fall in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained near the previous secondary high point of 3655. This position is also the key suppression point for the recent retracement after multiple touches. It is also the shoulder position of the head and shoulders top, which also plays a role. It plays a connecting role, and once this position continues to suppress, gold may be under pressure again in the later period. If it does not break through again this week, gold may retreat again next week to test the support level of 3610. Although the daily line is still in a high sideways trend, the upward momentum has also declined significantly. If it bottoms out and rebounds, it needs a secondary definition of the European session, which is also an advance forecast of the US session. If gold rebounds to 3645-3655 during the day, short it and target around 3630-20. The strength of the European session may also determine the direction of the US session.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook – September 15–19, 2025Hello traders, Gold set a new ATH at 3674, pushing into premium territory. The higher timeframe remains bullish, but price sits above a wide imbalance with untouched OBs below. With FOMC this week, the decision is clear: breakout continuation or correction. 🔸 Weekly Structural Zones (real, wide 30–50$) 🟥 Weekly Supply 3670–3720 (ATH zone): Liquidity pocket around the all-time high. Key decision area for breakout or rejection. 🟥 Weekly Supply 3770–3800: Next untested supply block, aligns with extension targets. 🟥 Weekly Supply 3850–3920: Higher supply area, untouched liquidity cluster above. 🟦 Weekly Imbalance 3590–3450: Wide clean imbalance left behind by the bullish leg. Main corrective magnet. 🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3340–3290: Untouched institutional order block, first major support below imbalance. 🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3180–3120: Deeper valid order block, aligning with retracement confluence. 🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3050–2980: Extreme deep discount order block, still valid on HTF. 🔸 Confluences EMA Stack (5/21/50/100/200): Bullish lock, EMA50 sits near 3450 inside imbalance. RSI (Weekly): Overbought → exhaustion risk near ATH supply. Liquidity: Resting pools above ATH 3674 and under imbalance 3450. Fibonacci (2640 → 3674 swing): Extensions (3750, 3880) align with upper supply zones. Retracements overlap with weekly OBs, confirming validity. 🔸 Weekly Scenarios 📈 Bullish Expansion Breakout above 3670–3720 supply → next liquidity magnets at 3770–3800 and 3850–3920. Dovish FOMC could drive this continuation. 📉 Bearish Correction Rejection at ATH sends price into 3590–3450 imbalance. If fully rebalanced → first real support at 3340–3290 demand OB. Deeper correction possible to 3180–3120 or 3050–2980 demand OBs if macro turns hawkish. 🔥 Summary: Weekly Supply Zones: 3670–3720, 3770–3800, 3850–3920 Weekly Imbalance: 3590–3450 Weekly Demand OBs: 3340–3290, 3180–3120, 3050–2980 Market stretched at ATH → FOMC will decide breakout or correction. 📌 Gold is at a turning point: breakout above ATH into 3700, 3800+, or correction to rebalance the 3590–3450 gap. Which scenario do you lean toward? Drop a comment below 👇, like and follow GoldFxMinds for precision weekly maps.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
$UNH This Behemoth Is Not Going Anywhere and I am Loading Up United HealthGroup is extremely Appealing to me at these valuations. Health Insurance Is something all people need. I Don't See Medicaid/Medicare Cuts affecting NYSE:UNH To the extent People believe it will. Legislation can be temporary, This Company Produces 20B Plus in Free Cashflow Every single Year Let alone 420B in Revenue its a behemoth controlling more than 30% of American Health Insurance in terms of Market Share. The United States could never afford to socialize Healthcare the way Europe Or Canada does. Social Security/Health/Medicare already eat up 49% Of GDP. The United States is almost dependent on companies Like United Healthgroup to provide its services. This Could almost Give Companies like NYSE:UNH an opportunity to offer plans to gain more customers who before had Government assisted health insurance. While more downside is almost Guaranteed I see nothing more then even better discounts for the long-term. This is not a question of If UNH Can recover its only a question of how long will it take. We are back at Prices Pre Covid-19. --------------------- Possible Reasons for the Major Drops: The Big Beautiful Bill DOJ Lawsuits Rising Medicare Costs Rising Expenses on Insurers Swapped CEO Twice Swapped CFO Once Lawsuits Scandals --------------------- NYSE:UNH Fundamentals: Price To Sales: 0.5x Price To Earnings:10.3x Price to Book: 2.2x --------------------- Balance Sheet: Cash: US$32.02b Debt: US$104.78b Total Liabilities: US$203.79b Total Assets: US$308.57b --------------------- Management Efficiency: ROE: 21.1% ROCE: 15.5% ROA: 8.2% --------------------- Dividend Safety: Dividend Yield: 3.7% Payout Ratio: 37% of Profits --------------------- I recently Began Acquiring Shares around the $260 Mark and plan on continuing to load up for the long-term. --------------------- This is not financial Advice, Just what I am doing on my own as an investor. I do not give Buy/Sell/Hold Signals.
NYSE:UNHLong
by BullishCanadianInvestor
2
Gold on the eve of interest rate cut: opportunity or trap?Gold Technical Analysis: Further analyzing gold's trend from a technical perspective, since its decline from the 3675 high, the daily chart has failed to show a clear unilateral direction. Instead, it has exhibited a pattern of alternating negative and positive fluctuations with narrowing amplitudes. Furthermore, the K-line chart continues to trade above the unilateral moving average. This pattern clearly points to a period of consolidation within a bullish trend, rather than a trend reversal. This week's daily chart should focus on two key support levels: the 3600 area represents a short-term watershed between strength and weakness. If broken, the market could shift from strong fluctuations to weak corrections. The 3500 area represents a medium-term bull-bear reversal line. A breach of this level could trigger a fundamental trend reversal. Therefore, 3600 should be the primary defensive line. The 4-hour chart shows more volatile gold: the Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and the moving averages are highly converging. This indicates a complete lack of momentum needed for a unilateral rise or fall. For the time being, the 3615-3660 range is the preferred range. Based on cyclical patterns, the probability of a breakout of the Bollinger Bands on Monday and Tuesday is extremely low before the bands open. Therefore, high-certainty trading can be conducted on these two trading days around 3615 (lower support) - 3660 (upper resistance), without excessive expectations for a breakout outside the range. Based on real-time trends, gold has completed a short-term correction since the opening. Based on the logic of oscillation, long positions can be established within the day based on support near the lower edge of the range: enter near 3625-3620 (aligned with the lower edge of the 4-hour range), targeting upward fluctuations. Focus on the 3650-3660 area (where the upper edge of the 4-hour range overlaps with key resistance on the daily chart). If the price rebounds to the 3660-3655 range and finds resistance, a small position can be used to test short positions, targeting a pullback to the 3635-3630 area, forming a closed-loop buy-low-sell-high strategy within the range. Note that after the adjustment, the current price is in the middle of the range. Direct entry is not recommended for now. Wait until the price approaches the -3625-3620 support level or the 3655-3660 resistance level before placing orders based on K-line stabilization/pressure signals to improve trading accuracy. Overall, the recommended short-term trading strategy for gold today is to primarily buy on dips, supplemented by higher rebounds. Focus on the 3655-3665 resistance level on the upside, and the 3625-3615 support level on the downside.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel