Future Nearing.Been peeped Silver since 2023, watch as price rally above $42 soon. Especially with Gold topping out above $3K. The future, full of robotics and humanoids, is nearing. Who’s ready? Who’s scared? Who’s taking advantage of this opportunity?
Whatever happens, do not fomo, stay calculated.
Fundamental Analysis
Backtesting on TradingViewBased on the massive feedback from our previous article about backtesting we decided to make a follow up on how to backtest your strategy.
Every trader talks about strategy.
Few actually test it.
Backtesting is where ideas meet data — and TradingView makes it surprisingly simple.
Whether you code your own system or use built-in tools, backtesting shows you how your logic performs before you risk a single dollar.
1. Open the Strategy Tester
Start by opening the chart of the asset you want to test.
Click “Strategy Tester” at the bottom of the screen.
This activates TradingView’s built-in engine that simulates your system’s historical trades automatically.
You’ll see three tabs appear:
Overview: a summary of your results.
Performance Summary: key stats like profit, drawdown, and win rate.
List of Trades: every single historical trade your strategy executed.
2. Load or Create a Strategy
Go to the Indicators & Strategies tab.
TradingView separates indicators from strategies — only strategies can trigger trades for backtesting!
You have two options:
Use a built-in or public strategy: like “MACD Strategy” or “Moving Average Crossover.”
Paste your own Pine Script strategy: under “Pine Editor,” then click “Add to Chart.”
Once applied, TradingView automatically calculates historical trades based on your logic.
Tip: Indicators are for signals, strategies are for testing execution.
3. Adjust the Test Parameters
To make your test realistic, click the ⚙️ icon next to your strategy name.
In the Properties tab, you can define:
Initial capital (e.g. $10,000)
Position size (fixed or percent-based)
Commission and slippage
Pyramiding (how many positions can stack)
Then set your date range in the Strategy Tester — for example, test from 01-01-2022 to 01-01-2024.
The goal is to simulate what your system would have done under real conditions.
4. Analyze the Results
Once the test runs, TradingView gives you a detailed breakdown:
Net Profit (%) — your total gain or loss.
Max Drawdown — your biggest loss from peak to trough.
Win Rate & Profit Factor — how often you win and how much you win versus lose.
Average Trade — the mean result per trade.
Equity Curve — how your balance evolved over time.
Scroll through the List of Trades to see how each entry and exit behaved.
If you spot clusters of losses, note the pattern — that’s where improvements start.
This is the part where you analyze and think why did a trade fail and how can I avoid it.
TradingView also enables you to export data in excel so its super easy to analyze and look for improvement.
5. Refine and Forward-Test
Once you’ve seen how your system performs historically, make small adjustments.
Change one parameter at a time — like EMA length, RSI threshold, or stop-loss distance — and rerun the test.
When you find consistent results across timeframes or markets, move to paper trading mode.
Forward-testing confirms your backtest logic under real conditions, including live volatility and execution timing.
If your live and backtested results align closely, you’ve built something solid and you are ready to make money.
A big tip here, even a small thing such as a change in stop loss or timeframe change from 15 minutes to 14 minutes can make a huge difference so try out different conditions.
AU Short hit stop loss, just part of the gameI was looking for a short on AU this week, as my criteria's they were showing signs for a short on the 15m.
Not everything is perfect. The only thing you can do is follow your plan, risk management and criteria's. If you do so, it doesn't matter if it's a loss or a win, eventually this are the trades that will make you profitable.
Always follow your plan no matter the result!
Current Forex thoughts: Tuesday 11 November The positive environment has been dented slightly by NVIDIA falling (thanks to SoftBank selling shares) and the ongoing US / CHINA 'rare earth grapple'. But it hasn't dented my view of looking for 'risk on trades'.
The GBP recovered from disappointing EMPLOYMENT data, perhaps propped up by its relatively high interest rate, also, positive SWISS / US tariff talk seems to have boosted the European currencies. But I suspect it could be a bumpy road ahead for the GBP.
Currently, I'm awaiting fresh confidence in a 'risk on trade'. Which would be any 4hr resistance on USD or JPY charts being broken. Or continued tests of 1hr support holding.
Finally, despite higher than forecast NZD inflation data, I still consider AUD NZD long viable at 4hr support.
Planning a long swing based on these confluencesHi Traders!
In my opinion, GJ continues to be bullish. I posted a mind on Oct. 31st about how I thought GJ was in a retracement phase, and it seems to be trying to reverse out of that retracement.
A few confluences that stand out to me are- an attempt to make a Invert. Head and Shoulder, and a bullish 4HR CHOCH. Now, I'm looking to take a long swing, but in order for me to do that I need my confluences to be lined up to make the best logical decision.
My desired entry targets would be at 202 or 201.500. 201.500 would bring price to a 4HR OB/consolidation area that price broke out of on Friday, Nov. 7th.
However, if price doesn't make it to my desired areas, I may wait for a break above 203.200 with a strong candle close (Higher TF). That could confirm the bullish 4HR CHOCH.
I like to give GJ room to move, so if 203.200 is the case, my SL would potentially be just below 202/last higher low. This is all depending on how GJ moves. TP swing target 207-207.500 with taking profits in between.
Leave a comment, and let me know your thoughts!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
#LINKUSDT:minor correction first | major bullish move towards 40The LINKUSDT price is expected to decline to a range between 11.72 and 14.72 before resuming its upward trend. This price range has historically seen significant trading volume, indicating that a drop within this range is likely in the near future.
Once a trading position is initiated, there are three primary targets to consider. The first target is set at 25, which is highly achievable due to its proximity to the current price levels. The second target is at 35, which is also within reach with favourable market conditions.
The final target is at 45, which may require more time to achieve and will depend on strong fundamental support and positive market developments.
Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
Continuation form in NY. UC Melted on ASIA and LondonThis was the idea that we had on UC, price grab liquidity after taking us out in Break Even.
Leaving a new range for Fibonacci from high to low, giving all the necessaries criteria's to try a new short leaving a R;R 1:4. I didn't manage to enter on the second trade and price just melted hitting out potential TP.
I was a missed trade but a valid analysis for me. Despite the result of no trade following my plan and criteria's makes me feel good.
Netflix Inc Eyes Video Podcast Expansion Amid Platform EvolutionNetflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) appears ready to expand its media ecosystem once again — this time, into the growing world of video podcasts. Following its recent partnership with Spotify that introduced 16 video podcasts to the platform, Bloomberg now reports that Netflix is developing its own lineup of original video podcasts to be featured exclusively on its streaming service.
The move aligns with Netflix’s ongoing strategy of diversifying beyond traditional film and TV content. Sources familiar with the plans suggest Netflix has already reached out to creators to produce original podcast shows, while also negotiating licensing deals with major audio players like iHeartMedia and SiriusXM. The company’s early licensing strategy appears experimental, offering one-year deals, some reportedly valued under $10 million, as Netflix gauges consumer interest and platform performance in this new category.
Internally, Netflix is said to be redesigning parts of its mobile app interface to better highlight podcast content, indicating that management sees potential in expanding the discovery experience beyond scripted or reality-based programming. This could allow the company to position itself as a one-stop entertainment hub, uniting streaming, documentaries, live events, gaming, and now, video podcasts, under one user ecosystem.
Technically, the stock chart for NASDAQ:NFLX shows price action consolidating near the $1,100–$1,150 zone, supported by a long-term ascending trendline. If this level holds, a rebound toward $1,341 previous highs could be the next leg higher, consistent with Netflix’s broader narrative of innovation-driven growth.
With audio-visual storytelling becoming an increasingly dominant medium, Netflix’s entrance into video podcasts could mark another pivotal moment, one that reinforces its dominance not only in streaming entertainment but also in the creator-driven content landscape.
EUR/USD – Alligator Indicator Signals Potential Downtrend.Technical Overview:
The Alligator Indicator is showing early signs of a bearish phase. The Lips (green), Teeth (red), and Jaw (blue) have recently crossed downward, confirming that the Alligator has “awakened” and may start feeding on a developing downtrend.
Price action is currently holding below all three moving averages, which reinforces short-term bearish momentum. Additionally, the pair failed to break above the 1.1590 resistance level, forming a lower high — a strong indication that buyers are losing control.
Key Observations:
Lips (green) < Teeth (red) < Jaw (blue) → bearish alignment
Price trading below the Alligator structure
Lower high formation around 1.1590
Volume remains moderate, showing no clear bullish recovery
Market Outlook:
As long as EUR/USD remains below 1.1570, the probability favors a continuation toward the 1.1500 – 1.1470 support zone.
A confirmed break below 1.1530 would likely strengthen this move.
On the other hand, a sustained recovery above 1.1570 – 1.1590 could invalidate the bearish setup and open the door for a short-term rebound toward 1.1600.
📉 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Targets: 1.1500 – 1.1470
❌ Invalidation: Break and close above 1.1570 / 1.1590
The Alligator has awakened — price may soon decide its next feast. Stay patient and follow the structure.
USD/JPY bears need to do more to turn the tideThe USD/JPY eased off earlier highs on the back of the ADP weekly employment report before bouncing back a tad. Key resistance in the 153.30-154.50 area was still holding at the time of writing. But the bears will need to see some real downside follow-through soon and the breakdown of key support levels such as 153.50 and 153.00 before the tide turns bearish on this pair. So, more action is needed from the bears despite rising concerns about the US labour market and expectations of a December cut.
Earlier, the ADP report confirmed what many analysts had anticipated following recent announcements of major layoffs at several large companies. However, the magnitude of the decline came as a surprise, catching FX traders off guard and sending the US dollar lower. With growing concerns that the labor market may be weakening further, traders raised their expectations for another 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
According to ADP, “for the four weeks ending October 25, 2025, private employers shed an average of 11,250 jobs per week, indicating that the labor market struggled to generate consistent job growth in the latter half of the month.”
The data suggest that Federal Reserve officials may now start to sound more concerned about the labor market slowdown than Chairman Powell indicated at the FOMC press conference a couple of weeks ago. This could pave the way for additional rate cuts, particularly if inflation continues to ease, an outcome that seems likely amid a slowing economy.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Cisco Just Hit a 25-1/2 Year High. What Does Its Chart Say?Cisco NASDAQ:CSCO hit a 25-1/2-year high the other day, with the tech giant up some 20% year to date -- beating a 16% gain for the S&P 500 SP:SPX during the same period. Let's see what CSCO's technical and fundamental analysis says as the firm prepares to release quarterly results this week.
Cisco's Fundamental Analysis
Once an old-school networking company, Cisco has been trying to turn itself of late into a new-school networking/optics solutions/security-tech giant.
Its shares rose early last week to $74.84 -- Cisco's highest price since April 2000 -- after the firm announced the launch of a new "Unified Edge" platform.
Unified Edge aims to address capacity constraints related to agentic and generative artificial intelligence as Cisco focuses on its latest business, Contact Center and Platform as a Service software (or CPaaS).
Meanwhile, Cisco plans to release fiscal Q1 results after the closing bell Wednesday, with the Street looking for $0.98 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $14.8 billion of revenue.
That would represent a 7.7% gain from the $0.91 in adjusted EPS that Cisco recorded in the year-ago period, plus roughly 7% growth from the $13.8 billion quarterly revenue recorded 12 months ago.
Thirteen of the 20 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover Cisco have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while two have cut their numbers. (Five analysts have made no changes.)
Cisco's Technical Analysis
Now let's take a look at CSCO's chart going back some seven months and running through Thursday afternoon:
Readers will first note that Cisco rallied into a rising-wedge pattern of bearish reversal from April into August, as marked with a red box, two diagonal lines and pink shading at the chart's left.
The stock then broke down from that pattern, but caught itself over the late summer and put in a double-bottom pattern of bullish reversal, as denoted with green boxes and diagonal green lines at the chart's right. This pattern has a $70 pivot.
Since then, CSCO rallied into October (as almost all tech stocks did), but has since run into some turbulence.
Still, Cisco has enjoyed some support at its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line above). This likely came from the swing-trading crowd.
As a result, Cisco's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," denoted with a blue line), hasn't come under fire since early October. Incidentally, 50-day SMA is often where many portfolio managers focus with a stock.
As for Cisco's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is close to neutral and appears to be losing some steam.
Similarly, Cisco's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is sending mixed messages -- or maybe even a non-message overall.
The histogram of Cisco's 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is resting close to zero after having been in positive territory for some time.
Meanwhile, the 12-day EMA (the black line) has run into the 26-day EMA (the gold line) after having been riding higher for weeks. These are neither bullish nor bearish technical signals.
All in, CSCO's recent high near $75 looks like the stock's upside pivot, while Cisco's 50-day SMA (the blue line at $69.20 in the chart above) likely represents its downside pivot.
An Options Option
An options trader who's willing to get long or short on Cisco but hopes to possibly get paid to do so might use a strategy known as a "strangle."
That's where the trader forecasts a decrease in volatility and isn't especially interested in which direction the stock moves.
In this case, the trader is fine with getting paid to do nothing should the stock stagnate through the option's expiration, which might happen given that Cisco's technical indicators are rather neutral.
Alternatively, the trader might end up getting long CSCO at a discount or short at a premium depending on what the stock does by the strangle's expiration date.
Here's an example using Cisco's recent price of around $71.50:
-- Sell (write) one CSCO $70 put with a Nov. 14 expiration (i.e., after Wednesday's earnings release). This put carried about a $1.50 price at recent trading levels.
-- Sell (write) one CSCO Nov. 14 $73 call for roughly $1.45.
Net Credit: $2.95.
Should CSCO remain between the two options' strike prices through expiration, the trader would pocket the entire $2.95 credit.
However, should the stock trade above $73 at expiration, the trader would end up short 100 shares at a $75.95 net basis.
And should CSCO trade below $70 at expiration, the trader would wind up long 100 shares at a $67.05 net basis.
That said, investors should understand that although Cisco isn't historically an especially volatile stock, the hypothetical loss here is extreme. After all, any stock can theoretically fall to zero -- or in the other direction, go to the moon.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in CSCO at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request.
Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved.
Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy.
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Ye chart kuch kehta hai : Hindustan CopperShort-term outlook: Positive momentum supported by strong quarterly results and market interest. A breakout above ₹348 could trigger further upside in the near term.
Medium-term outlook: Dependent on successful ramp-up of production targets and copper price stability. Continued margin improvement and revenue growth will be key fundamental triggers.
Technical triggers: Sustained trading above ₹348–350 with volume support signals bullish continuation; a fall below ₹326 could be a warning of short-term correction.
Fundamental triggers: Improvement in operational efficiency, successful mitigation of production issues, and any positive announcements regarding capacity expansion or government policy support.
HCA - Precision Swing Long (Consistent Technical Alignment)🎯 Ticker: HCA (NYSE)
📈 Type: Swing Long
⏰ Timeframe: Daily (D1) & 4H
📊 Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis:
Daily Trend: BULLISH ✅
Technical Alignment: BUY Signals Across All Timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H)
Key Support: $450-455 zone (Confluence of SMA 20 & previous resistance)
Momentum: RSI (57.6) shows healthy momentum with room to run
💡 Trading Thesis:
HCA presents a high-quality technical setup supported by strong fundamentals:
PERFECT TECHNICAL ALIGNMENT:
Rare "Triple Buy" signal across daily, 4H, and 1H timeframes
Trading above all key moving averages in clear uptrend
Recent breakout above $455 resistance now acting as support
SOLID FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP:
Moderate Growth Profile: Steady revenue and earnings growth
Attractive Valuation: Fair P/E (17.7) and P/S (1.4) ratios
Sector Strength: Healthcare services showing resilience
INSTITUTIONAL SUPPORT:
Strong volume on up days confirms institutional accumulation
Healthcare sector benefiting from demographic tailwinds
⚡ Precision Trading Plan:
🎯 Entry: $462.87 (Optimal risk-reward entry zone)
🛑 Stop Loss: $440.64 (Below key support cluster and SMA 50)
💰 Profit Target: $508.97 (Previous highs + measured move extension)
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.8 (Exceptional for swing trade)
📉 Risk Management Notes:
Stop loss strategically placed below critical $450-455 support zone
Consider partial profit taking at $495-500 area
Monitor healthcare sector sentiment for broader market moves
Only 2% maximum portfolio risk per position recommended
Conclusion: HCA offers a clean technical setup with perfect alignment across timeframes and strong fundamental support. The exceptional risk-reward ratio makes this a high-probability swing trade opportunity.
Trade with discipline and proper position sizing!
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research and manage risk according to your personal tolerance and strategy.
#HCA #SwingTrading #Long #Healthcare #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #HCAHealthcare
Gold price analysis November 11Gold continued to move as expected in yesterday's session, bringing impressive profits to traders who followed the previous strategy.
Currently, the resistance zone of 4150 is acting as an important barrier as buying pressure starts to slow down. There is a high possibility that the market will see a short-term correction around this area.
Current strategy:
SELL GOLD (Scalping) around the resistance zone of 4145, expecting a short-term price reaction.
When the buyers return and create a confirmation signal around the 4076–4106 area, wait to BUY in line with the main trend, with a further target towards ATH 4375, where the liquidity zone above is still empty.
📈 The overall trend is still up – the correction is only temporary for the market to gain momentum for the next wave.
Ye Chart Kuch Kehta hai - MTAR TechMTAR Technologies has shown strong near-term growth potential based on recent stock price movement and financial outlook. The stock recently reached a 52-week high and is trading above key moving averages (5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day), indicating strong bullish momentum. In the last month, the stock price has gained about 38.5%, and over the year it has returned around 62%, outperforming broader market indices.
Financially, MTAR projects 30%-35% year-on-year revenue growth for FY26, which is an improvement over previous guidance of 25%. Revenues in Q2 FY26 were ₹135.6 crore with EBITDA margins around 21%, and management expects revenue to nearly double in the second half of the year compared to the first half. This strong operational outlook alongside strategic merger plans suggests positive momentum for future earnings growth.
Technically, the stock currently trades near its 52-week high of around ₹2319 with significant support from moving averages, implying good technical strength for further upside.
Key pointers for near term growth potential in MTAR Tech stock price:
Strong recent price rally with consistent gains above all key moving averages
Solid financial growth forecast with revenue expected to grow 30-35% YoY in 2026
Expected operational improvement and margin expansion in H2 FY26
Stock trading near all-time high, suggesting positive market sentiment
Momentum supported by strategic corporate restructuring and additional order inflows
While valuations appear elevated, the growth profile and technical strength support a positive near-term outlook for MTAR Technologies stock
SELL GBPUSD RIGHT THINK ?This is 30min chart setup .
Price retest monday high.
Price test VWAP week - consilodation with VWAP behaviour
Volume profile POC is building up situation
If VP of POC has sideway 2-3 session(2-3 days) ,that is very strong signal to down market - hold time is coming.
SELL Counter trend target near POC .
This setup 60-70% win probabily.
i dont know but .i put 0.5% risk for this order
NEAR Protocol – AI Sector Strength & Breakout SetupStrength is rotating back into the AI and Web3 sectors, and NEAR is starting to show leadership. We’ve seen a clean breakout above consolidation, with volume confirming bullish intent. This could mark the beginning of a new leg up if the structure holds.
💡 Trade Idea
Entry Zone: $2.20 – $2.30 (support retest)
Take Profit Targets: $2.80 / $3.20
Stop Loss: $2.04
A pullback into the highlighted zone offers a high-probability entry, as prior resistance flips to support. The setup provides a solid R/R ratio for momentum continuation.
📊 Technical Outlook
Breakout confirmed with volume
Retest in progress or upcoming
Momentum shifting into AI narratives across crypto and equities
Watch closely for confirmation on the retest. As always, manage risk carefully.
🔔 Set alerts around the support zone for potential entry timing.
Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Centuri Holdings NYSE:CTRI is a leading North American utility infrastructure services provider focused on gas and electric grid modernization. It gives investors direct exposure to the energy transition, infrastructure resilience, and climate-hardening of aging utility networks.
Key Catalysts:
Contract Momentum:
Secured $950M+ in new awards (July–Sept 2025) tied to utility capital plans, grid hardening, and electrification.
This materially expands Centuri’s backlog and revenue visibility and reinforces its positioning as a go-to partner for grid reliability.
Post-Spinoff Flexibility:
After its full separation from Southwest Gas, Centuri now has a cleaner capital structure and more strategic flexibility to pursue M&A and regional expansion across a $100B+ utility services market.
Execution & Growth:
Q2 2025 revenue up 7.7% YoY to $724M.
Management raised FY25 guidance to $2.7–$2.85B, citing strong demand for high-margin electrification and modernization projects.
Why It Matters:
Utilities are spending heavily on grid upgrades, undergrounding, storm hardening, and EV-related infrastructure — Centuri sits right in that flow.
Secular tailwinds (electrification, resiliency, clean energy interconnects) support multi-year growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $17.50–$18.00
Upside target: $30–$32
Supported by backlog strength, post-spin growth optionality, and exposure to long-cycle utility capex.
📢 CTRI — building the modern, climate-resilient grid. ⚡🏗️






















