Gold price analysis todayXAUUSD Update — Hold the structure, wait for a quality BUY setup
Currently, the gold chart has no major structural changes — the market is in a correction phase at an important resistance zone. This is a “consolidation” phase before the next trend becomes more obvious, so the priority is to be patient and wait for a high probability setup.
If you are holding a SELL position from the resistance zone, the current strategy is to hold the order and manage profits — wait for a reaction at the support zones to decide to close/open more. For those looking for BUY opportunities, wait for signs of price rejection (rejection / wick / bullish price action) at the indicated support zone before entering the order.
Important zone: 4075 — 4031 (support zone to find BUY signal)
Strategy: Enter BUY when there is a clear price rejection signal + volume/price action reaction.
Target: 4300
Risk management: stoploss placed below support zone if price action breaks and closes deep below.
Fundamental Analysis
Labor Force Participation Rolling Over👷♂️ U.S. Labor Force Participation Rolling Over — Again
The labor force participation rate is sliding once more, continuing a long-term decline that started back in 2000.
People love to blame it on retiring Boomers — but that excuse doesn’t hold up anymore.
Millennials are a larger demographic group, yet participation still can’t recover.
Something deeper is at play: structural weakness, stagnant productivity, or simply a shift in incentives.
Whatever the cause, fewer people working means lower potential growth and higher dependency on credit-driven demand.
The trend is still down. The economy is weakening under the surface while markets are at all-time highs.
Click boost, follow, comment nicely for more authentic, no BS, raw analysis. Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
BTCUSD testing the channel's resistance, potential decline seenBitcoin prices hovered near recent lows as onchain data showed that the Total Supply Held by LTHs has declined by around 390k BTC since Jul's peak, signaling ongoing distribution.
ETF outflows have persisted through Nov, with only minor inflows offering a limited offset, underscoring waning demand.
Bitcoin prices may remain under pressure as risk appetite softens and investor conviction weakens.
From a technical perspective, BTCUSD is testing the upper bound of the descending channel, which coincides with the 106,500 resistance. The Ichimoku cloud is also indicating bearish pressure. If BTCUSD breaks the psychological support level at 100,000, the price may extend its decline toward the 93,000 support level. Conversely, a bullish breakout of the channel may prompt a retest of the resistance at 115,000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) extended its advance, reaching $4,147–$4,156, its highest level in over two weeks. The structure shows a bullish bias as the price consolidates above $4,120, with buyers likely to defend the Support Zone at $4,105–$4,111.
The Resistance Zone at $4,147–$4,156 aligns with a short-term overbought area where some profit-taking may occur. However, as long as the price remains above the $4,111 support, momentum favours a continued push toward the upper boundary of the channel.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy near support, targeting a retest of resistance at $4,150–$4,156.
Entry: $4,111 – $4,106
Stop Loss: $4,105
Take Profit 1: $4,147
Take Profit 2: $4,156
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 6.53
A confirmed break below $4,105 would invalidate this setup and may trigger a correction toward $4,092.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold’s momentum remains firm, buoyed by rising Fed rate-cut expectations and soft U.S. labour data, even as the U.S. government shutdown nears resolution.
FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn noted, “Gold extends gains toward $4,150 as weaker U.S. jobs data and dovish expectations lift investor sentiment.” 【FXStreet】
Labor Market Weakness: According to ADP data, U.S. private-sector job creation fell by an average of 11,250 jobs per week in late October — signalling a slowdown in labour demand after the firm previously reported gains. This reinforces expectations that the Fed could deliver another rate cut by year-end.
Fed Outlook: The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 68% probability of a 25 bps rate cut in December, and nearly 80% odds by January 2026, supporting gold’s medium-term bullish tone.
Government Shutdown Update: Bloomberg reported that the U.S. Senate passed a temporary funding measure backed by centrist Democrats, expected to end the record-long shutdown. This could marginally reduce safe-haven demand but is unlikely to shift gold’s structural momentum, as macro risks persist.
Fed Speakers Ahead: Comments from Fed officials John Williams, Christopher Waller, Raphael Bostic, and others later today may offer further guidance on the December policy path. Any dovish tone could extend gold’s rally beyond $4,156.
In short, while the resolution of the shutdown could momentarily weigh on gold’s safe-haven appeal, soft employment data and high odds of a December rate cut remain powerful bullish drivers.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,147 – $4,156
Support: $4,106 – $4,111
Psychological Level: $4,150
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains supported above $4,110, with strong upward momentum likely to retest $4,147–$4,156. A buy-on-dip strategy near $4,111–$4,105 remains preferred as long as support holds. The bullish bias persists while the Fed cut outlook strengthens.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD Trading Plan- 12th Nov, 2025Market Bias:
Slightly Bullish with Intraday Pullback Possibilities
The current structure shows a minor retracement after testing the upper resistance. Price is consolidating below $4,145–$4,160, suggesting a possible retest before continuation higher.
✅ 1. Primary Strategy – Most Probable Scenario (Bullish Bias)
✅ BUY ZONE #1 –
• Entry: $4,122 – $4,128
• Stop Loss: $4,108
• Take Profits:
• TP1 → $4,145
• TP2 → $4,162
• TP3 → $4,188
Reason:
Price is forming a higher-low structure with MACD histogram shifting from red to grey (decreasing bearish momentum). Volume tapering after a dip suggests buyers re-entering near short-term support. A break above $4,145 confirms continuation toward $4,160+.
✅ BUY ZONE #2 –
• Entry: $4,095 – $4,102
• Stop Loss: $4,078
• Take Profits:
• TP1 → $4,125
• TP2 → $4,145
• TP3 → $4,165
Reason:
This zone aligns with previous hourly demand and minor consolidation support. If price retraces deeper, it provides a high-risk-reward re-entry opportunity with clear invalidation below $4,078.
✅ 2. Counter-Trend Strategy – (Bearish Pullback)
✅ SELL ZONE #1 –
• Entry: $4,158 – $4,165
• Stop Loss: $4,178
• Take Profits:
• TP1 → $4,138
• TP2 → $4,122
• TP3 → $4,102
Reason:
Strong intraday resistance between $4,160–$4,165 with prior rejections visible. Short-term exhaustion likely before any sustained breakout. A quick fade possible if the hourly candle fails to close above $4,165.
✅ SELL ZONE #2 –
• Entry: $4,188 – $4,195
• Stop Loss: $4,210
• Take Profits:
• TP1 → $4,162
• TP2 → $4,138
• TP3 → $4,120
Reason:
This zone coincides with higher-timeframe supply and overextension area. Good setup for counter-trend traders targeting mean reversion.
✅ 4. Final 24-Hour Expected Range
📉 $4,095 – $4,195
(A breakout beyond $4,195 or breakdown below $4,095 will define the next directional leg.)
✅ 5. Recommended Approach
• Short-term bias: Buy dips toward $4,120 and $4,100 zones.
• Avoid chasing price above $4,160 unless volume expansion confirms breakout.
• Switch bias to bearish only if $4,095 fails to hold on hourly close.
#XRPUSDT: Bullish Reversal Coming With Price Heading Back To 3.5## XRPUSDT Analysis: Long-Term Perspective
In the long term, we anticipate the XRPUSDT price to revert to its all-time high of 3.5. From a fundamental analysis standpoint, we maintain a positive outlook, with the potential for the price to surpass 3.5. We have identified a favourable trading opportunity, as illustrated in the chart.
Our approach is neutral, as the trend remains undecided. Based on the duration of your positions, you can set two targets:
1. **Short-Term Target:** If you intend to hold your positions for a short period, aim for a price level above 3.5.
2. **Long-Term Target:** For long-term investors, a target price of 4.0 or higher is plausible.
We are committed to providing comprehensive analysis and support. Should you have any inquiries or require further clarification, please do not hesitate to contact us.
Additionally, we would appreciate your insights on which cryptocurrency pair you would like to explore next.
Regards,
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD :Is it a Correction Or a start of Major Bearish Trend? Gold has plummeted from 3550 to 3270, and it’s been falling steadily. We firmly believe that the price could reverse from either of our entry points, but given its significant drop, it raises concerns among traders. If the trend has shifted to bearish, it will likely continue to target buyers’ stop losses. In these market conditions, we strongly advise trading with utmost caution and prioritising risk management.
Good luck and trade safely.
Thanks for your support! 😊
If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️
Will $Aradel Aradel Fractal Setup Repeat? Down -18% from ATHARADEL’s Fractal Setup — Will History Repeat?
Is Aradel ( NSENG:ARADEL ) moving in repeating fractals? — a pattern of strong rallies, quick pauses, sharp pullbacks, and steep recoveries. Each dip in this sequence has so far created the foundation for the next rally leg, showing how market psychology often mirrors itself on the chart. Current price: 710naira/share
---
The First Fractal
The first major pattern appeared when price rallied from **₦520 → ₦689 (+29%)**, followed by a mild correction of about –13%.
That retracement found support around the moving average zone, after which the stock continued its steady climb — confirming strong buyer re-entry at lower levels.
---
The Current Setup
This latest fractal looks even more aggressive.
Price surged from ₦580 → ₦869 (+49%) before pulling back sharply — already down roughly –18%.
Currently, the ₦710 zone is acting as a short-term support level.
If this area holds, it could mark the end of the correction and the start of the next bullish swing.
The Fractal Projection
If history rhymes once more, the next upward leg could target the **₦950–₦1,000** resistance range — a natural extension zone aligning with prior swing highs.
However, a decisive breakdown below **₦624** would invalidate the fractal and signal a deeper retracement phase, possibly toward the longer-term trend support.
Summary
* Current support: ₦710 (key pivot)
* Fractal invalidation: ₦624
* Next potential target: ₦950–₦1,000
* Trend bias: Bullish if ₦710 holds; neutral-to-bearish if ₦624 breaks.
Fractals don’t predict price — they simply hint where institutional interest and historical rhythm may align. #ARADEL #NGX #NigerianStocks #PriceAction #FractalPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingNigeria
EURAUD: Institutional Buying Pressure & Bullish November SetupThe pair has broken out of the descending channel and is now forming a new ascending structure.
Price reacted strongly from the 1.7550–1.7600 demand zone, which aligns with a key structural support and an oversold RSI area.
The current consolidation phase is unfolding below a daily inefficiency (gap) around 1.7800–1.7920, which represents the first bullish target.
If the bullish structure holds, we could see a three-wave move towards 1.7920, with a potential mid-term pullback to 1.7700 before the next impulsive leg.
🔹 2. COT Report
Euro (EUR)
Non-commercials: 252k long vs 138k short → net long
Commercials: strongly net short
Weekly change: +2.6k shorts / -789 longs → slightly reduced bullish momentum
➡️ EUR remains fundamentally strong, though speculative momentum has slightly cooled.
Australian Dollar (AUD)
Non-commercials: 42k long vs 101k short → deeply net short
Shorts increased by +10k this week, indicating renewed institutional bearish pressure.
➡️ AUD remains weak with a clear bearish bias.
👉 Overall COT bias: favors EUR strength and AUD weakness, supporting a bullish view on EURAUD.
🔹 3. Seasonality
EUR typically strengthens in November, especially during the last 10 days of the month (+0.003 / +0.004 average).
AUD historically shows November weakness across 10Y, 5Y, and 2Y averages.
➡️ Seasonal patterns support the bullish case for EURAUD, aligning with COT positioning.
🔹 4. Retail Sentiment
70% short vs 30% long
➡️ Retail traders are heavily short, providing a contrarian bullish signal.
📈 Conclusion
The medium-term bias remains bullish on EURAUD, with potential upside extension toward 1.7920, and possibly 1.8050 if macro momentum persists.
The key support to defend lies at 1.7600 / 1.7550.
A daily close below this level would invalidate the bullish scenario and reopen the path toward 1.7400.
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
The market is turning bullish following the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, along with the proposed $2,000 incentives for U.S. citizens. These factors could create strong inflows into equities and improve short-term sentiment.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price moved sharply higher on Monday, reaching the 681 level as expected (see my previous SPY outlook). The 681 level remains a strong resistance zone, and we have already seen a rejection from that area.
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, the market may turn short-term bearish today. After rejecting 681, the price could target the 675 level and possibly though not necessarily reach 671.5.
My plan is to short the market toward 675 and observe if a bounce occurs. If it does, I will look to buy calls, expecting a move toward new highs around 685.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
How to Trade and Make Extra Income with a Full-Time JobAt QuantSignals (QS), we’re proud to have a diverse global community — members from every country, every profession, and every walk of life.
Some of our traders dedicate their full day to the markets, while others are working professionals with limited time who still want to build wealth and generate extra income through trading.
This article is for the latter group — the busy professionals who want to trade smartly and efficiently without sacrificing their full-time careers.
Below are three proven approaches to trading successfully while working a full-time job.
1️⃣ The “Morning Power” Strategy — Trade the First Hour
If your schedule allows, the first hour after the market opens is often the most volatile and active period of the day.
Overnight news, economic data, and institutional orders all hit the tape at once — creating strong directional moves.
This is where the #💹live-kline-signal from QS shines.
Our proprietary AI, trained on billions of price action data points, provides a 2-hour prediction window, giving traders a clear picture of the potential move ahead.
All you need to do is:
Enter when the market starts moving in the direction of the kline prediction.
Manage or close the trade within one hour.
💡 Time commitment: Around 1 hour
💡 Goal: Capture morning volatility with AI precision
💡 Edge: Use data-driven forecasts instead of emotions
Repeat this consistently with proper risk management, and it can become a powerful daily income routine.
2️⃣ The “Evening Income” Strategy — Trade the Last Hour or Overnight
If you can’t trade in the morning, the final hour (“power hour”) is another prime opportunity.
Liquidity returns, institutions position for the close, and volatility picks up again.
You can apply the same #💹live-kline-signal strategy for short-term trades.
But there’s also a way to earn while you sleep — using the #💰live-credit-spread-signal.
This screener selects the top 9 credit spread trade ideas each day. After the market closes, volatility tends to drop, creating ideal conditions for income through time decay (theta) and IV collapse.
💡 Time commitment: 30 minutes before or after the close
💡 Goal: Generate passive overnight income
💡 Edge: Make the market work for you while you rest
It’s not about catching every move — it’s about leveraging time and stability.
3️⃣ The “Set & Forget” Strategy — Swing and Long-Term Trading
For those who prefer not to watch the market daily, QS offers several mid-to-long-term AI signal channels:
#📈live-swing-signal – typically 2–4 week trades
#💼live-stock-signal – directional stock ideas
#🚀live-leap-signal – long-dated options plays (6–12 months)
These strategies let you “set and forget,” checking in occasionally while the AI tracks and updates the signals automatically.
💡 Time commitment: Weekly or monthly review
💡 Goal: Build wealth passively
💡 Edge: Leverage institutional-grade AI for timing and selection
Final Thoughts
Trading doesn’t have to be a full-time profession — it can be a structured side income stream when powered by the right technology.
With QS, you can choose the trading style that fits your lifestyle:
Morning trader — capitalize on volatility.
Evening trader — earn while you sleep.
Swing investor — grow long-term wealth passively.
The key is discipline + data + consistency.
QS gives you the AI advantage to trade smarter, not longer.
Natural Gas - The Short SqueezeNatural gas had another stellar rally today.
Bouncing hard off the 7 day moving average and making new weekly highs.
We have completed the measured bull flag move in the near term so an extra rally from here is pure shorts getting cooked in my opinion.
With price action rallying so far so quickly we pared back and secured some profits on our natural gas equity positions.
We sold our RRC December calls for 115% gain.
We trimmed our AR January calls for 65% gain.
We still have equity exposure and positions in profit so now it becomes a game of managing protecting profits.
In the near term I would not be surprised to see a minor pullback or 1-2 weeks of consolidation.
BTC/USD 1D Chart🧭 Overall Market Picture
Bitcoin is in a medium-term downtrend, as confirmed by:
a descending channel (marked with white lines),
lower highs and lower lows,
price below the key EMA and SMA.
The price is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel, so it will be crucial whether it manages to break out of it to the upside or rebounds further down.
🔹 Key Price Levels
Support:
$100,650 — short-term support, previously seen price reactions.
$98,550 — next demand level from late October.
$96,950 — lower boundary of the descending channel, potential target for continued declines.
Resistance:
$106,300–$106,500 — current resistance (upper boundary of the channel + SMA100).
$109,700–$110,000 — strong resistance converging with the EMA200 and SMA200.
$112,000+ — channel breakout and trend change.
🔸 Technical Indicators
1. MACD
The histogram is starting to turn positive (descending red).
The MACD line is attempting to cross the signal from below — a potential bullish signal, but not yet confirmed.
➡️ Indicates a possible short-term upward correction within a downtrend.
2. RSI (14)
Value: ~40.5 — low, but has rebounded from oversold levels.
No bullish divergence, but the RSI is rising from below, suggesting a potential technical bounce.
➡️ Still more upside than downside before entering the overbought zone.
🔹 Moving Averages
EMA50 (~109,970 USD) and EMA200 (~110,380 USD) are above the price, confirming the downtrend.
The EMA50 < EMA200 cross holds – a classic death cross.
SMA100 (~106,300 USD) has just been tested – a key level that could determine the direction of the coming days.
🔸 Short-Term Scenarios
🟩 Bullish (30–40% chance)
Breakthrough of the upper channel line (~106.5k USD) + daily close above 107k USD.
Confirmation of the MACD and RSI signal > 50.
Targets: 109,700 → 111,500 → 113,800 USD.
➡️ A medium-term trend reversal is then possible.
🟥 Bearish (60–70% chance)
Bounce from the upper channel line and fall below 102k–101k.
Continuation of the downtrend.
Targets: 100,600 → 98,500 → 96,900 USD.
➡️ In this scenario, the market will maintain a lower high/lower low structure.
⚙️ Summary
Trend: Down, but with a short-term rebound attempt.
Key moment: reaction to the 106k–107k USD level.
If the channel with volume breaks, a bullish reversal.
If a rebound, a new low around 97k–99k USD is very possible.
Space/Defense NASDAQ:VELO has quite the interesting history ended up being saved from bankruptcy by SpaceX. The company serves major clients like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and Relativity Space, with a focus on scaling production for space exploration and defense with 3d metal printing. I saw today only on X that they strategically moved from CA to Texas directly adjacent to $TSLA. I havent confirmed from any other sources so not sure if this is accurate. SpaceX i believe is there biggest client so it would make sense that they start working with tesla. There's plenty of 3d printing competition that makes good money they burn a fair amount of cash and are not profitable for now will likely need to continue raising cash to expand there newly aimed rapid pace production. Those will be the opportunities I take in the future to buy if it tanks on offerings. Im currently holding shares from around $5 as long as that conties to hold i see good upside to 8 resistance area and much higher once they start gaining some traction. New management recently has changed the trajectory of the company in a major way and will hopefully be able to scale quickly. Earnings are coming up soon so that should give us some good info. Pretty low volume big swings but I think theres pretty big potential here also, especially long term.
Mastercard Expands Fintech Footprint Through Globba Partnership Mastercard Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:MA ) continues to reinforce its leadership in global payment infrastructure with the launch of Globba™, a next-generation cross-border payment solution developed in collaboration with FNB and RMB Private Banking. Powered by Mastercard Move, the platform simplifies international money transfers for South Africans, offering fast, transparent, and traceable transactions to over 120 countries.
Fundamentally, this partnership highlights Mastercard’s growing footprint in Africa’s rapidly digitizing economy. The continent’s cross-border remittance flows have expanded sharply, with Mastercard research noting that 60% of South Africans sent money abroad in 2024, up from 59% in 2022. Globba™ integrates Mastercard Move’s reach across 200+ countries and 150+ currencies, reflecting the company’s commitment to inclusion and financial connectivity. This positions Mastercard as a key enabler in Africa’s G20-aligned modernization of payment systems, potentially driving new revenue streams in both consumer and B2B remittance corridors.
Technically, Mastercard’s stock ( NYSE:MA ) shows a strong long-term uptrend despite recent consolidation. The daily chart indicates support around the $510 zone, with a possible short-term pullback before rebounding toward resistance near $602, as outlined by the yellow projection curve in the chart. Sustaining above $540 could trigger bullish momentum, targeting a retest of all-time highs above $600. Rising volume and consistent higher lows underscore accumulation within a strong structural uptrend, suggesting long-term investors may see continued appreciation aligned with Mastercard’s expansion into emerging digital economies.
As Mastercard combines innovation with global scale, its fundamentals remain strong and its chart poised for potential breakout momentum into 2026.
US100 – Bullish Reversal Setup-H4: Turning bullish with a new high at 25,667.
Pullback: Formed a lower high, now H1 shifting bullish again.
Plan: Looking for buys above 25,542, SL below last H1 LH.
Adjustment: If another H1 LH forms and breaks upward, trail SL for tighter risk.
-Fundamental: Shutdown-end hopes , supporting the bullish scenario.
Perfectly grasp the rhythm of gold trading.Gold has maintained a strong upward squeeze this week, steadily climbing and breaking new highs. Currently, we are watching the 4145-4150 level as short-term resistance. A pullback and consolidation are needed to break through this level. The moving average system shows a bearish divergence, and the price has stalled at higher levels, failing to break through. There are currently no good entry points. Although the market outlook is bullish, we should wait for a pullback to the 4125-4110 area before considering long positions. The technical indicators need correction, so chasing the upward trend is not advisable. We should patiently wait for a pullback before looking for opportunities to go long!






















