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Fundamental Analysis

Nasdaq slides down as markets wobbleNasdaq is being pushed down, driven by raising concerns about valuations of AI companies despite strong earnings from NVDA and other giants. Volatility (VIX) stays near 20 but the hard landing for Nasdaq might boost it and lead to another several days of bearish rally as shown at the chart. According to statistical studies, bearish swings for Nasdaq rarely last for more than 19-20 days, so if it continues to move down, it might reverse in 5-10 days at the statistic support level, as shown at the chart. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDShort
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
Gold faces a test at 4100; time to prepare for positioningGold’s Downtrend Intensifies: The decline in gold has accelerated, with the previous support at $4,150 now decisively broken. Based on prior price action, the next key support is located near $4,100, a level that the market tested twice during the earlier consolidation phase but failed to break, indicating strong structural support. At the same time, the ascending trendline also converges near this area, adding further reinforcement to the support zone. Therefore, $4,100 can be considered the key pivot level going forward. Should this level be breached, gold could face deeper downside risk, with a potential move back toward the $4,000 psychological level not out of the question. However, as noted, the $4,100 area carries significant support, so monitoring the price reaction closely will be crucial. If this level holds, long positions may be considered. If $4,100 breaks decisively, I believe momentum shorts (trend continuation trades) become viable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by James_AU
TSLA Slips Despite Record Q3 Deliveries AI Growth Play?TSLA – Financial Performance & SWOT Analysis TSLA Slips Despite Record Q3 Deliveries AI Growth Play? (1/9) Good Morning, folks! TSLA is pulling back 📉, at $ 436.33 up 7.85% YTD per October 10, 2025. AI integration shakes up this EV play , let’s dive in! 📊🔥 Tag a friend who needs this investing hack! (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE • Last day: $ 436.33, down slightly pre-market 📉 • YTD 2025: up 7.85%, lagging S&P 500 🔄 • Q3 2025: record deliveries, but stock dips 🚀 This EV stock’s volatility, AI hype pops! 💥 (3/9) – MARKET POSITION • Market Cap: $ 1.45T, industry giant 🏆 • Avg Volume: 88.96M shares, high liquidity 💧 • Trend: high P/E amid growth expectations 👑 This asset’s dominance, holding tight! 🔒 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS • Q3 deliveries: record highs, beat estimates 💰 • Stock dip: despite beats, tax credits end 🏭 • AI focus: Robotaxi event Oct 22, autonomy push 📈 This EV move, AI-driven surge! ⚡ (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS • High volatility: beta 2.09 swings ⚠️ • Subsidies end: EV tax credit phaseout 🆚 • Market liquidations: $700M crypto-wide impact 📉 This ticker’s exposure, watch these twists! ⚠️🔄 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • EV leadership (deliveries.): market share 🌟 • AI integration (FSD/Robotaxi.): growth edge 🤖 • Institutional demand (ETFs.): sentiment boost 👥 This asset’s edge, built tough! 💪 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: high valuation, subsidy reliance ⚖️ • Opportunities: AI boom, EV rebound 🌍 Can this ticker beat the odds? 🎲 Reply with your take! (8/9) – POLL TIME! TSLA’s $ 436.33 value, your vibe? • Bullish: $500+ soon, AI beats 📈🚀 • Neutral: Steady, risks balanced ⚖️🛡️ • Bearish: $400 looms, subsidy hits 📉⚠️ Chime in below! 💬 Tag a friend for this poll! (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY TSLA’s $ 436.33 position shows resilience 💪, AI fuels it ⚡. Risks bite 🦈, yet dips are DCA gold 💎. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust? not advice, just our spin! #TSLA #Investing #Markets #Trading #Finance #ETF #Commodities #DCA #Trends TSLA is mixed as of October 10, 2025, at $ 436.33, up 7.85% YTD per TradingView. Q3 deliveries shape its path in the EV space. Here’s a factual financial and strategic breakdown. **Financial Performance** Price Movement: YTD at $ 436.33, up 7.85%. Broader period shows pullback from highs. Q3 adds upside, with record deliveries. Volume & Market Cap: Avg volume 88.96M shares. Market cap at $ 1.45T. Key Metric: Trailing P/E 256.20, forward P/E 172.41. **SWOT Analysis** Strengths: - Record Q3 deliveries. - AI and autonomy integration. - Institutional interest. Weaknesses: - High valuation multiples. - Subsidy phaseout impact. - Recent stock pullback. Opportunities: - AI and Robotaxi growth. - EV market rebound. - New model launches. Threats: - Intense competition. - Market corrections. - Regulatory changes. **TSLA vs. SPY: Key Comparisons** | Aspect | TSLA | SPY | |--------|------|-----| | Purpose & Scope | EV and AI focus | Broad market index tracking | | Dynamics | Beta 2.09 volatility vs. lower 1.00 | Steady benchmark | | Market Position | Up 7.85% YTD, high P/E vs. S&P gains | Stable exposure | **Investor Considerations: DCA** Dollar Cost Averaging: TSLA’s volatility suits dip-buying. At $ 436.33, $10,000 buys ~23 shares; a 10% dip to $ 393 nets ~25 shares. Time in the market, not timing it, wins. **Outlook & Risks** TSLA’s $ 436.33 position shows AI edge, with delivery beats. Subsidy ends loom, yet dip grabs turn volatility into gains. AI or EV growth could sway it, but time’s our edge. Gem or fade? Depends on autonomy adoption.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by DCAChampion
Gold Weakness Showing – Sell Below 4210Gold is currently struggling to hold above the rising trendline and is trading around a key rejection zone near 4190-4200. The chart shows liquidity taken at the top and a clear weakness forming after breaking the minor structure. If price fails to reclaim and hold above 4210-20 the next move is likely a drop toward 4160 and deeper toward 4140 where the next liquidity pocket and trendline support sit. Upside remains limited unless price breaks clean above 4235-45. Bias: SELL (below 4210) Sell Zone: 4195-4210 Stop Loss: 4235 Take Profit: 4160 - 4140 If price breaks and sustains above 4245 only then bias flips to BUY. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
BTC at HTF Shelf: Execute Only on ≥2H Reversal__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ Risk-off momentum drove Bitcoin into a dense multi-timeframe demand shelf, where price is probing for a reaction after losing 98k–100k. The next impulse likely comes from the battle around 95.8–95.9k and whether buyers can stage a clean reversal. Momentum: Bearish drive into HTF demand; intraday trend remains down while daily is mixed-to-up in the background. Key levels: - Resistances (12H/1D): 97,300–98,200; 100,000; 101,600–103,000 - Supports (2H/4H/12H/1D): 95,820–95,920; 95,200–95,000; 92,000 Volumes: Very high on 12H and below (sell waves); normal on 1D — momentum is flow-driven, not a pure volume vacuum. Multi-timeframe signals: 12H/6H/4H/2H/1H downtrends; 1D uptrend — execution should respect 12H Down unless ≥2H prints a confirmed reversal at 95.8–95.9k. Harvest zones: 95,900 (Cluster A) / 95,000–95,200 (Cluster B) — ideal dip-buy zones for inverse pyramiding if a ≥2H reversal confirms. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: Neutral Sell — confirms the risk-off push and argues for patience on longs unless the cluster defends with real follow-through. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ We operate in a corrective, risk-off tape pressing into HTF demand; take a tactical stance and let ≥2H confirmation lead. Global bias: Neutral Sell while under 98,000–100,000; key invalidation for shorts = reclaim and close above 98,000 with follow-through. Opportunities: - Buy: Only on a ≥2H bullish reversal from 95,800–95,900; target 96,600–97,000 then 97,800–98,200. - Breakout: Reclaim >98,000 with momentum → ride into 100,000 then 101,600–103,000. - Tactical sell: Fade failed retests at 97,800–98,200 or a ≥2H close below 95,800 with a failed retest. Risk zones / invalidations: A sustained ≥2H close below 95,800 would invalidate the bounce idea and open 95,200–95,000, then 92,000. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): Heavy spot ETF outflows reinforce risk-off; global equities in broad risk-off; upcoming FOMC/CPI could shift dollar/liquidity and the crypto beta. Harvest Plan (Inverse Pyramid): - Palier 1 (12.5%): 95,900 (Cluster A) + reversal ≥2H → entry - Palier 2 (+12.5%): 92,100–90,100 (-4/-6% below Palier 1) - TP: 50% at +12–18% from PMP → recycle cash - Runner: hold if break & hold first R HTF (97,800–98,200 zone) - Invalidation: < HTF Pivot Low 95,000 or 96h no momentum - Hedge (1x): Short first R HTF on rejection (97,800–98,200) + bearish trend → neutralize below R __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ HTF uptrend (1D) conflicts with intraday downtrends, placing the burden of proof on buyers at the 95.8–95.9k shelf. 12H/6H/4H/2H/1H/30m/15m: Downtrends with very high sell-side volume; repeated tests of 95.8–95.9k raise risk of a flush if it fails, while failed breakdowns can spring sharp squeezes into 97.3–98.2k. 1D: Still up but losing momentum; the 95.8–96.0k cluster aligns with multiple prior pivot lows — a defendable shelf if buyers print a clean reversal and reclaim 97.8–98.2k. Divergences/confluences: ISPD DIV = BUY at the cluster while Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Neutral Sell — confluence for reactive bounces only, not blind catching; wait for ≥2H confirmation. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro risk-off and ETF outflows pressure BTC; the path hinges on whether flows stabilize and the 95.8–95.9k shelf holds. Macro events: Global equities are risk-off; energy/geopolitics keep volatility elevated; upcoming FOMC/CPI loom as catalysts that can swing liquidity and risk appetite. Bitcoin analysis: Breakdown below 100k with a six-month low near ~97k; weekly close vs ~101k is pivotal. Heavy ETF outflows and liquidations weigh unless key resistances are reclaimed. On-chain data: Long-term holders have been distributing, but sellers show signs of exhaustion — a setup for relief if flows stabilize and levels reclaim. Expected impact: If the shelf holds and outflows cool, a relief bounce toward 97.8–98.2k and 100k is likely; otherwise, a clean failure risks 95.0k then 92k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ We are in a corrective, high-volatility test of a dense demand cluster. - Trend: Intraday bearish within a mixed HTF context; respect 12H Down unless ≥2H prints a clean reversal. - Best setup: Reactive long only on a ≥2H reversal at 95.8–95.9k; otherwise fade failed retests at 97.8–98.2k. - Macro factor: ETF outflows are the main headwind; watch FOMC/CPI for a regime nudge. Stay patient, let the shelf prove itself, and treat each move like a boss fight — confirm the phase before committing.
Long
by Ox_kali
NASDAQ-100 (USTEC) | Elevated risks arise Sentiment: - Extreme Fear in the market (F&G = 23) - Investors are bearish (49% bearish vs 37% bullish) - Volatility elevated but not extreme (VIX 20) - Higher Put activity and an elevated put/call ratio (1.11) - Hedge funds unwinding crowded AI longs (50% market cap concentration) - Record institutional options activity positioning for Q4 2025-Q1 2027 - COT report: No latest data due to the US government shutdown Interpretation: - Put hedge elevated = cautious as institutional hedging and distributing stocks to retail - Extreme Fear + High Bearishness = Potential buying opportunity (later stage) - When sentiment is this negative, often near bottoms Fundamental: - Valuation Concerns: - 24-25x Forward P/E - vs 20-22 for 5-year average - 3.08-3.37x P/S ratio - 2.35-2.41 for 5-year average - Dec Fed cut probability is declining Technical: - USTEC broke the ascending trendline and EMA21, indicating potential mean reversion to EMA78, which is just above the support cluster at around 24000. - Breaking below 24000 may prompt a decline to the following support cluster at around 23000, which is a prominent zone for sentiment contrarians step into the market if market fear remains at an extreme level. My take on this: - The distributing process may last for a while before reaching more extreme panic sentiment, prompting consideration of a contrarian approach based on technical levels. - Therefore, we need to watch the price action to determine the best entry setup for the Long position. Then, for now, short-term pressure is the better take. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
CITYINDEX:USTECH100CFDShort
by DatTong
Bitcoin Sinks to May Low Under $96,000. When Buy the Dip?Because sometimes the dip just keeps on dipping. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD can’t seem to catch a break. The flagship crypto slid below $96,000 on Friday, a level last seen in May, and traders aren’t exactly rushing to buy the dip. The decline caps a tough few weeks for the OG coin, now lower by about 24% from its record high of $126,000 . The selloff hasn’t been contained to just Bitcoin. The whole crypto market has been slammed. Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD stumbled into the low $3,100s, while Solana COINBASE:SOLUSD fell to the mid-$140s. The entire digital asset space looks winded, and this time, the usual quick rebounders and sharpshooters are sitting on their hands. What’s going on? In short — traders are nervous, the data floodgates are about to open, and the Federal Reserve isn’t giving anyone the all-clear just yet. 🧨 Buy Dip or Wait for Data? The end of the US government shutdown should’ve been good news — until investors remembered what comes next. All the pent-up economic reports that couldn’t be released during the freeze are about to hit the tape: jobs data, inflation numbers, and other key reads that could shape the Fed’s next move. The bad news: December rate cut isn’t guaranteed. Markets had been leaning heavily on that expectation to justify the monthslong risk-on rally. Now, with the data torrents about to test that narrative, traders are hedging their bets — and Bitcoin’s getting caught in the crossfire. If the upcoming reports show the economy is still running hot, the Fed might delay cuts. And higher-for-longer rates are basically kryptonite for speculative assets. 💀 Liquidations and Leverage: A Familiar Story Bitcoin’s latest slump wasn’t just about macro nerves — it was also a good old-fashioned liquidation cascade. As prices dipped under key technical levels, margin traders got squeezed out in a hurry. According to data from liquidation trackers, over $220 million in crypto positions were wiped out in just one hour. In the past 24 hours? North of $600 million gone. In previous dips, you’d see traders rushing to scoop up discounted coins, confident that the bounce would follow. The hesitation this time speaks volumes: sentiment’s shifting, and traders are more cautious after months of euphoric rallies in both AI stocks and crypto. 🌡️ The Contagion Spreads Crypto weakness isn’t isolated anymore — it’s part of a bigger story. Risk assets everywhere are under pressure. The AI trade is cooling, tech stocks are wobbling , and volatility is creeping back into markets that had gone eerily calm. In short, when traders start treating crypto like a growth stock proxy, Bitcoin stops being a hedge and starts acting like the Nasdaq on leverage. 🪙 So… When to Buy the Dip? That’s the million-satoshi question. Historically, deep Bitcoin drawdowns during otherwise healthy macro backdrops have rewarded patience. But this time, the setup’s trickier. The next few weeks should bring a barrage of data that could redefine everything from rate expectations to risk appetite. What can you do now? Watch the data, respect the trend, and don’t fight momentum. Notice how the long-term upside swing on the daily is still there. But as they say, past performance isn't an indication of future results. The Fed’s next move, coming early December, will likely decide if this dip becomes a real buying opportunity. Off to you : Are you looking to buy the dip or you’re waiting for the dip of the dip? Share your strategy in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
56
Carrier: The AI Infrastructure Winner Hiding in Plain SighHey TradingView community! I see Carrier as a company that can highly benefit from the AI data center expansion, while at the same time not being exposed to the AI potential downside. Why? Because Carrier is an air conditioning and cooling giant that has a strong commercial and residential business no matter whether we are in an AI bubble or not. Also, it's a 100-year company that is not going belly up anytime soon. THE OPPORTUNITY Carrier Global is not a pure AI stock, but it is a critical AI infrastructure enabler through its leadership in high-efficiency cooling for data centers and AI-powered building energy management. Carrier is quietly becoming a picks-and-shovels play in the AI buildout, without the valuation froth of chip or software names. AI data center cooling demand surging → Carrier’s liquid cooling investments makes it the number one choice. They help AI scaling with cooling → 650M kWh saved, 437K tons CO₂ reduced. Commercial HVAC + Service = Recurring Moat → 15–20% organic growth in data center vertical Viessmann integration on track → Europe heat pump can be huge Balance sheet deleveraged → Net debt/EBITDA ~2.0x post-divestitures THE NUMBERS Current stock price: $55.16 DCF model values CARR at ~$80/share 2.36x Sales, and 42x TTM P/E (P/E is high due to the amortization of their big Viessmann factory in Europe EV/EBITDA ~16.5x Dividend yield 1.5% Among its competitors (Trane, JCI and Vertiv), Carrier has the lowest EV/EBITDA at 16.5x EBITDA margin 16.5% TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The stock is currently sitting at the $55 resistance level, which seems to be a good entry point. RSI shows oversold. Since July this year, the stock has dropped 32%, giving it a good discount. I see a potential upside of 40% to 50% over the next year, and a maximum drawdown of 25% My final thought is that the market is pricing Carrier as a cyclical HVAC company. It’s actually a defensive AI infrastructure play with a 100-year brand, recurring revenue, and a seat at the data center table.
NYSE:CARRLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
Oil Under Pressure!Crude oil futures rose more than 1% toward $60 per barrel on Friday, heading for an end to a two-week losing streak, supported by supply risks linked to geopolitical tensions. The impact of U.S. sanctions also began to appear early, as major Russian companies announced reductions in their oil-trading activities. Analysts warned that a large portion of Russia’s seaborne oil exports may face disruptions due to rerouted shipments and slow unloading, while purchases from some Asian countries have declined. Meanwhile, bearish pressure persisted as the International Energy Agency projected a growing supply glut, with global output expected to exceed demand by around 2.4 million barrels per day this year and 4 million next year. OPEC data also indicated a surplus in the third quarter, alongside rising U.S. production and increasing inventories. On the technical front, crude oil prices continue to trade in a overall downtrend, forming lower lows and maintaining a negative structure, with the next target located at $58.93. The downtrend would shift to an uptrend if the price rises above $61.403 and forms a higher high on the 4-hour timeframe.
CFI:WTI
by CFI
XAUUSD: Focus on trading opportunities at these two levels todayMarket Review: Yesterday, the U.S. government struggled back into operation, and gold reacted with a sharp spike followed by an equally sharp reversal. During the U.S. session, prices once again tested the $2,240–$2,250 resistance zone, but failed to break through and subsequently plunged, giving back the entirety of the day’s gains. In yesterday’s trading strategy, I highlighted the $2,240–$2,250 resistance area, noting that failure to break above would provide a short opportunity. The nearly $100 price drop that followed should have allowed anyone who followed the strategy to secure substantial profits. Market Analysis: On the 1-hour chart, the key short-term resistance for gold is around $2,210—the rebound high from last night and also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. As long as $2,210 fails to break, gold is likely to maintain a range-bound to bearish bias today, offering opportunities to position on the short side. Key support lies at $2,150, which coincides with a previous swing high and the lowest point of yesterday’s retracement rebound. If prices pull back to this level without breaking below, it provides a potential long entry setup. Trading Strategy: The strategy is straightforward $2,210 and $2,150 are today’s critical levels. As long as these levels hold, each offers an entry opportunity. It’s best to avoid chasing breakouts; instead, focus on selling high and buying low within the defined range. Overall, short setups from higher levels appear more favorable for today’s market conditions.
TVC:GOLDShort
by James_AU
gold in side waysin day gold price reach abv fibo premium zone day correction of buy(sell) it gave abv -50 points(day confrm point) drop so 75% confrms sell so use mid lot for sell what entry i marked 100% selling confrms once 4093 cross now market give +50point up and again +25point confms on 4hrs fibo discount area abv 4093 so 4hrs trnd has confrms that buy contuies so use high mid lot for buy what i marked in chart ath this point selling 60% possible,75% buying posssible,85% side ways possible
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY
GOLD → Correction and retest 4150 FX:XAUUSD still retains its bullish structure. The price is entering a correction phase within the trading range. The key support level that may attract the attention of MM is 4150. The probability of a decline in December fell to 51% (from 63% the day before) after hawkish statements by Fed officials. Government bond yields are rising. These factors are putting pressure on gold. However, a weak dollar, a flight to safe assets amid global market sell-offs, and uncertainty surrounding US data (September reports may be published, but October data is likely to be lost) are providing support for the bullish trend. Gold retains its growth potential due to macro risks. A short-term correction is possible due to profit-taking ahead of the weekend, but the $4150 level remains key support. Resistance levels: 4211, 4239 Support levels: 4161, 4150, 4100 Within the current trading range, the focus is on support at 4161 - 4148. A false breakdown and bulls holding prices above key levels could trigger a rebound and growth to local resistance levels... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
IBM Accelerates the Quantum RaceIBM Accelerates the Quantum Race: Technological Revolution or Premature Promise? By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades IBM is once again at the center of the technology debate after unveiling two breakthroughs that could redefine the future of quantum computing. Its new experimental chip “Loon” and the “Nighthawk” processor reveal an ambitious roadmap: achieving useful quantum computers by 2026 and fault-tolerant systems before 2029. If successful, this endeavor could transform fields ranging from artificial intelligence to cybersecurity. The Loon processor integrates error-correction algorithms inspired by mobile technology, an unusual approach aimed at addressing one of the main challenges in quantum computing: the fragility of qubits. However, building it is far from trivial. It requires more qubits and an increasing number of quantum connections, significantly raising manufacturing complexity. At the same time, IBM introduced Nighthawk, a chip designed to run more complex quantum circuits, which, according to the company, could outperform classical computers in specific tasks by 2026. This technological duo positions IBM in a race alongside giants like Google and specialized startups that are already attracting billions in funding. Fundamental: A Business Reinventing Itself, But Not Without Challenges Beyond the media impact, IBM continues to consolidate its transition toward a software-, AI-, and hybrid-cloud-focused model, areas that provide higher margins. Its more traditional divisions—such as infrastructure—continue to pressure growth, forcing the company to rely on emerging segments and disruptive technology to support its narrative. Quantum progress today is a driver of expectations, but it does not yet generate direct profits. Mass commercialization will take time, and competition does not stand still. Nevertheless, IBM maintains solid cash flow and an investment strategy aimed at capturing technological advantage in the coming years. Technical: Key Levels and Mixed Signals From a technical perspective, IBM shares display a constructive structure. The price is holding above the support that acted as an impulse zone during the last clear bullish movement. The range $262.57–$301.46 was breached, and its upper boundary now serves as a new floor for the current accumulation zone after reaching historical highs of $324.90 on Wednesday, November 12. Currently, the RSI sits at 56.12%, and the MACD entering a negative histogram seems to indicate a consolidation phase. This construction zone needs to be solidified before moving toward $330. The previous impulse marks a Point of Control (POC) at $281.84 within the prior range, while the bell-shaped formation appears to be creating a third formation centered around yesterday’s price of approximately $305, serving as the current midpoint, relatively close to yesterday’s close. A bearish scenario could push the price back toward the mid-range of the prior trading range. Finally, the ActivTrades US Market Pulse indicates neutrality leaning toward RISK OFF, suggesting that this general market correction could trigger increased pre-holiday institutional liquidation flows. Raising the Bar on Expectations IBM combines tradition and innovation at a critical moment: its quantum announcements reinforce a narrative of technological leadership while raising the bar of expectations. If Nighthawk and Loon meet the announced timelines, IBM could position itself at the forefront of the next computing revolution. Until then, the market will continue observing a stock with potential, albeit still dependent on execution and the internal transition of its core business. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NYSE:IBM
by ActivTrades
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction! Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the ascending channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price has not broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure. If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may fall to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where it will prioritize finding buy signals according to the main trend. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) H1 Ascending Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce is likely if the selling force is weak. Strong Resistance: 4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm an increase. 4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have strong reactions. Important Support: 4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline. 4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs. Market Signal: Weak candles in the 4180–4190 area indicate gold is waiting for USD information before making a move. 📈 Daily Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority) Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support) SL: 4120 TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198 Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x. Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend) Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + retest fails Entry: 4174–4176 SL: 4182 TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110 Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term scalping order. Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest) Entry: 4212–4216 SL: 4202 TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285 🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee...). Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs. This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term. ⚠️ Invalid Conditions H1 closes below 4120 → loses upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100. H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying on breakout. Which price area are you observing? Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
EURUSD → Correction for consolidation before growth FX:EURUSD is in a “liquidity hunt” phase, testing an intermediate support level, and may continue to rise if the dollar's decline intensifies... On the daily timeframe, the price is within a wide trading range, but at the same time, it is breaking through the resistance of the local downtrend, which allows us to observe bullish sentiment in the market. The trend is changing, and there are local confirmations of the presence of bulls in the market... Without reaching the resistance level of the range, the price is consolidating and correcting, testing the key support level of 1.1618. If the bulls hold this area, the price will continue to rise to 1.1667 - 1.1728. Support levels: 1.1618, 1.1577 Resistance levels: 1.1667, 1.1728 A false breakdown and price consolidation above 1.1618 could lead to a continuation of the bullish momentum and the achievement of the first key target of 1.1667. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
Natural Gas Prices Hover Near a Three-Year HighNatural Gas Prices Hover Near a Three-Year High As the XNG/USD chart shows today, natural gas prices are trading close to the March peak, which is the highest level since December 2022. According to Trading Economics, the rise in gas prices has been driven by several factors: → Despite short-term warming in the US, weather models point to colder conditions ahead. → LNG exports remain elevated, as European buyers continue seeking alternatives to Russian gas. In November, average shipments across the eight major US terminals reached 17.8 billion cubic feet per day, exceeding the previous record of 16.7 billion in October. → The International Energy Agency expects global demand for oil and gas to continue rising until 2050, reflecting uncertainties surrounding the pace of the energy transition. At the same time, chart analysis suggests that the upside potential may be limited. Technical Analysis of XNG/USD Price action is approaching a major resistance area, formed by: → the upper boundary of the channel, widened after the bullish breakout in late October; → the psychological level of $5.000 per MMBtu; → the previously mentioned March high. Meanwhile, the more than 50% rally since early autumn has been significant, and long-position holders may be tempted to take profits. Therefore, if the price attempts to break above these resistance levels, it may result in a false bullish breakout (a buyer’s trap) followed by a pullback. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
1