Grab - Inverse H&S + Weekly LevelsUnusually high volume on this name lately.
I've been watching this name since it was in the $4-5 range and believe it will be a $10 stock in the near future.
The wider market may be just beginning to notice the opportunity here.
Personally, I've been in $5 2027 leaps and will be seeing where the stock takes me.
For now, my immediate target is $7(see inverse head and shoulders).
Additionally, with the heightened options volume, this could become a great name to trade intraday.
Fundamental Analysis
Forex pricing depending on TikTok Trade talks between the US and China are occurring this week, and a major topic of conversation could be how TikTok can be severed from its Chinese government and Chinese/ Hong Kong corporate interests.
How this plays out is could affect overall market sentiment in the U.S.–China trade relationship, which in turn could ripple through global risk assets. Forex pairs related to commodity exports or closely correlated with Chinese economic performance, like the Australian dollar (AUD), may see indirect effects.
AUD/USD is currently in an uptrend in the short‐term, trading within an ascending channel.
The latest candles show strong green closes with shallow pullbacks. That type of price action can indicates continuation rather than exhaustion, at least until the next key resistance zone.
Key resistance potentially lies at ~0.6687, with a more significant barrier at ~0.67485.
Support zones perhaps lie just below current prices: near the 9-day EMA. The 50-day EMA could provide a stronger support if the pair pulls back.
Tesla - Here we goooooo!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Finally, after a consolidation of four years, Tesla is attempting another all time high breakout. With the bullish triangle coming to an end, bulls are dominating this stock. It just comes down to the next couple of months but a triangle breakout remains far more likely.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Ethereum: The Long Game, The Smart AccumulationEthereum Long-Term Bull Thesis with Accumulation Perspective
Ethereum remains at the core of the smart contract revolution, and the long-term structure continues to validate the bullish thesis. With scaling solutions gaining traction, institutional participation increasing, and ETH’s utility expanding across DeFi, gaming, tokenization, and beyond, the macro case for higher valuations over the coming years is undeniable.
From a price-structure perspective, ETH has broken above critical resistance and is sustaining momentum near multi-year highs, underscoring the strength of the current cycle. I remain firmly bullish on Ethereum’s long-term trajectory, viewing it not just as an asset, but as the backbone of the evolving decentralized economy.
That said, corrections are part of any healthy uptrend. Should the market provide a pullback, I’m eyeing the $3,200–$3,500 zone as a major accumulation area. This range is reinforced by strong confluence of historical support, key trendline intersections, and prior consolidation bases visible on both the daily and 4H charts. In my view, this zone represents where value buyers will reload in anticipation of Ethereum’s next leg higher.
In essence, my outlook does not change with short-term fluctuations: I am a long-term believer in ETH’s growth story. A correction into the $3,200–$3,500 accumulation zone would not be weakness — it would be opportunity.
Summary: Long-term bullish, unwavering conviction. Any dip toward the $3,200–$3,500 range is a gift for accumulation in an asset that I believe will continue to redefine digital finance.
Forex fundamental analysis: Risk on bias remains in tact. Nothing has altered my view that the 'rate cut rally narrative' can continue, at least until Wednesday's FED decision.
The USD and JPY have continued to be weak today and continue to have a preference for long: AUD ,NZD, GBP or EUR.
Vs whichever out if the USD, JPY (or CHF) is the weakest.
I prefer to place a stop loss behind 1hr swing support.
Upcoming GBP and US data would be a risk to any trade but I currently like GBP JPY long. At least up to recent resistance (see chart above).
Still Bullish on Bitcoin — Loading the Dip at 98KBitcoin Long-Term Bull Thesis with Accumulation Perspective
From a macro perspective, Bitcoin continues to demonstrate its role as the premier hard asset in the digital age. The long-term structural trend remains intact — higher highs, higher lows, and a steady expansion of institutional adoption all reinforce the bullish thesis. As capital flows into the space and Bitcoin cements its narrative as “digital gold,” I remain a firm supporter of its trajectory toward significantly higher valuations over the coming cycles.
That being said, no uptrend is without healthy corrections. Markets breathe, and Bitcoin is no exception. Should we see a pullback, my eyes are firmly on the $98,000–$100,000 zone. This level aligns with a key confluence of prior trendline support and mid-range accumulation structure on both the higher-timeframe weekly chart and the lower-timeframe 4H structure. In professional trading terms, this is where value buyers are likely to step in, absorbing supply and reloading positions for the next leg higher.
In essence, my stance is unchanged: I remain a long-term Bitcoin bull. A correction, if it comes, is not a threat to the bigger picture — it is an opportunity. For those who understand the long-term story, the $98K area represents a strategic accumulation zone, a chance to strengthen positioning in an asset that I believe is only in the early chapters of its global adoption curve.
Summary: Long-term bullish, unwavering in conviction. If the market grants a correction, the $98K zone is where smart money will be waiting.
The first step towards 5k - ETH weekly update Sep 15 - 21thDear investors and traders,
Ethereum is currently in the second wave of the minute cycle within the larger third wave unfolding in the minor cycle.Zooming into the fractal structure of the mentioned second wave, we can easily recognize the double three pattern as shown on the chart. My primary expactation therefore is a combination of a flat structure as a minuette wave w and a following zig zag a minuette wave y. I have chosen this scenario, because it's typical for altcoins to retrace their wave two a bit deeper then assets do normally. Also, the flat structure hasn't corrected this second wave too far, making a larger pullback likely. The zig zag probably made his subminuette wave a and should retrace now to levels of around 4.6k. The alternative scenario would be, that this second wave is already completed and with that we would be looking forward to 5k. For the alternative scenario to be completed, we need ETH to climb higher than the previous high of the minuette wave x.
Moving on to the liquidity analysis, we can see why this is my primary scenario: A massive amount of liquidity sitting just above the with the red line shown low of the minor wave two. I think we are going to drop again in the direction of this liquidity, but I hope it is going to melt down as people fear to get liquidated. The drawn in price target surely isn't where the liquidity sits, but it's where most fibonacci levels come together. The Orderbook is relatively empty in nearer space, but there is a large amount of short orders sitting at 5k.
Derivative data shows us turbulent funding rates because of people trying to catch this drop with large leverage market orders and getting liquidated, making the funding rate apparently to come back, maybe because they fear to loose more money now. Open interest stagnates, which is on the one hand positive because there are no more short positions adding up but this also means on the other hand that there are no long positions coming in. One thing I also noted in relation to people trying to catch the drop and burning themselves is that the liquidations are declining, which is indicating the leverage is decreasing.
Coming to exchange flows, the exchanges currently record an inflow of ethereum meaning that people are probably moving their coins from wallets to the exchange to sell them, which is a bearish signal. Also notable is that the exchange reserve is increasing, also indicating that people sell their ethereum.
The seasonality of ethereum shows us that the current Q3 was doing exceptionally well for ethereum and looking forward Q4 is also going to be green with a probability of 60%. September in the past was rather bearish then bullish, flipping the probabilities to a 40% probability to get a positive result. Nonetheless, the average return of September is 7%, which sparks hope.
Looking to Blackrock and other whales and entities, we can clearly see that Blackrock sold a part of it's ethereum (10k ETH) just slightly before the top and not buying again till now indicating the bottom is not in yet. The ETFs is still getting inflows, showing institutions accumulating ethereum.
All in all I am long and I think that the anticipated lows are optimal prices to establish swing long positions. Crucial for a impulsive move and the transition from a minute wave two to a minute wave 3 is the decline of liquidity at the low of the minor wave two.
Tech giants ignite the market: NVIDIA — $4.3T, Oracle +40%...As of September 2025, #NVIDIA’s market capitalization is estimated at about $4.313 trillion, making #NVIDIA the most valuable publicly traded company in the world by market cap.
Across big tech, the backdrop has turned decisively positive: #Oracle shares have surged 40% on accelerating cloud revenue and AI contracts; #Apple unveiled a new device lineup led by iPhone 17; and #Google continues to climb on progress in AI tools, ad tech, and cloud services. Together, these catalysts are lifting demand for AI infrastructure and ecosystem services, reinforcing network effects between hardware vendors, platforms, and developers.
Key growth drivers for IT giants in 2025:
#Oracle — faster cloud revenue, major AI contracts, and expanded data-center infrastructure sparked a sharp 40% jump in the stock.
#Apple — the launch of iPhone 17 and an updated device lineup strengthens ecosystem cash flows, driving upgrade cycles and service monetization and supporting a positive re-rating of the shares.
#Google — gains in advertising and cloud alongside the rollout of generative AI, improvements in search and commerce products, and cost optimization for inference.
#NVIDIA — new chips and architectures (including Blackwell) cement leadership in AI compute, while data-center expansion and the MLOps stack support a robust order backlog.
Institutional demand — inflows into AI-themed funds and ETFs, plus strategic partnerships by corporations and governments, are sustaining premium sector valuations and fueling a broadening cycle of spend on AI infrastructure, devices, and platform services.
According to FreshForex, a prolonged AI demand cycle and scaling potential create conditions for further share-price appreciation. The parallel surge in #Oracle , product updates from #Apple , and #Google’s rally keep the spotlight on the sector and bolster expectations for AI-driven earnings — from chips to devices and cloud — while #NVIDIA’s lead in next-gen architectures secures its role as a key beneficiary of the trend.
WDC’s Not So Flash MemoryWestern Digital Corp. (WDC) has extended into a key resistance zone following a parabolic advance of more than 100% in recent months. Price action is showing early signs of exhaustion, with momentum flattening near the $104.60 level, which historically served as heavy supply.
This setup aligns with a classic mean-reversion short: shorting into an overextended rally at a confluence of resistance, with a clearly defined support zone below as the target.
Trade Idea:
Entry Rationale (Red Arrow)
Price has tagged $104.60, a resistance cluster reinforced by prior rejection levels.
Exit Strategy (Green Arrow at $88.99)
$88.99 represents a historically confirmed support level.
Orex Minerals (TSXV: REX) – Coneto ProjectPhase VI drilling at the Loma Verde vein confirmed continuity over 1.2 km strike with significant intercepts:
15 m @ 3.02 g/t AuEq (incl. 4.6 m @ 6.88 g/t AuEq)
4.5 m @ 4.05 g/t AuEq (incl. 1 m @ 13.35 g/t AuEq)
The JV with Fresnillo (61%) provides low-risk exposure to gold-silver growth in a prolific Mexican belt. Orex (38.8%) participates in potential resource expansion without major financing risk.
Takeaway: Coneto is a strategic junior option for exposure to high-quality Au-Ag resources with upside in a silver bull market.
TSLA Breakout Above $360 Opens Swing Trade SetupTesla broke the $360 resistance four days ago, a level that had been holding price down for the last 120 days. Once broken, price surged quickly toward the $420 zone.
In my view, if we get a chance to buy again near the 370 green support zone, it would be a great swing trade opportunity — especially with the rising trendline still intact.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Current Price: 420.95
360 acted as resistance for months, now flipped to strong support.
Green zone (360–375) aligns with the uptrend, key area to watch for re-entry.
🛡️ Support & SL
🟢 370 zone | SL: 345
🧭 Outlook
Bullish Case: Hold above 370 → continuation toward 450–475.
Bearish Case: Break below 345 → deeper correction.
Bias: Bullish while above 370.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
Valuation: Tesla trades at a relatively high P/E ratio (60–70 range) compared to traditional automakers, reflecting growth expectations rather than current earnings.
Revenue Growth: While margins have compressed due to price cuts, top-line growth remains supported by strong EV demand and expansion in new markets.
Innovation & AI: Tesla’s positioning in AI, autonomous driving, and energy storage continues to attract investor optimism beyond just vehicle sales.
Risks: Competition from other EV makers and margin pressure are key risks investors are watching.
✅ Conclusion
Tesla’s breakout above 360 ended months of pressure. A pullback into the green support zone would be a strong swing entry with trendline confluence. While valuation is stretched versus peers, bullish momentum and growth expectations continue to support the stock.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
Goldman Sachs - Too Cheap to Ignore?NYSE:GS and the general financial services sector as a whole has faced extreme trauma over this past month. However, one that particularly stands out is the "bad guy" of the industry who has taken the equivalent to a roundhouse kick to the face, and the chart shows it. But does this mean that someone looking for a dip shouldn't pick up strong equity on a discount? I say no, lets be greedy while other are fearful just like that one guy said. Warren something... I don't really remember his name.
Let's examine the numbers before we do the finance equivalent of astrology. This means that value investing and it's rather elementary techniques are going to give us some sort of indicator of a buy or a sell. Here's what you need to know.
1. Sachs has an attractive dividend yield of 2.14% ($11.50/share) and a gleaming dividend payout ratio (DPR) of 21.50%.
2. It is far from its high annual EPS sitting at 41.21 sliding from its high last December at 60.35.
3. It's price to earnings ratio (PE) is lounging nicely at 14.00 meaning we are at a generally cheap share price. This metric is what we're looking for.
4. Unfortunately, it has a rather higher price to book ratio (PB) at 1.64 which somewhat contradicts the PE ratio examined in #3.
5. Other metrics to keep in mind is an EV/EBITDA at 53.90 and a PEG at 16.23 which are both considered undesirable to investors.
So as far as statistics are concerned, Goldman is sending some mixed signals making a decision difficult at the moment. This means we're going to have to examine the general sector sentiment and general outlook.
Firstly, I'd like to point out Goldman's enterprise value. Sachs' EV is currently reported at 855.93 billion, 673 billion (78.63%) being debt (long term or short). This means NYSE:GS is a debt heavy company and we all know how debt works (the entity taking on the debt owes principal + interest). Well, this means that NYSE:GS is heavily going to be influenced by interest rates even considering their strong revenue. So, if we plan on interest rates being lowered long term (which I'm sure we all do), Goldman will be able to borrow from the Fed at a cheaper interest price while simultaneously owing account holders and bond holders less in interest (or APY yield for that matter). However, in the event that inflation runs wild and the Fed raises rates, NYSE:GS will face some turmoil along with the other commercial investment banks.
Great, so now for the fun part. Let's see what the charts have to say about this and what it could be implying.
Here is the 4H chart looking back into last October.
As you can see, Goldman posted a sweet rally followed by our current pullback. However, we are being flashed with various bullish technical patterns and a strong explanation for the drop (even considering the tariffs threats and indices pullback). In summary, we are examining a stock in gradual freefall towards what appears to be several safety nets.
On a psychological level, I find that most investors in the business of "smart money" wont let Goldman drop too low before they put their boot down. I also imagine this will happen pretty soon, but we need to hold the $540 price level.
As far as the MACD is concerned, we are experiencing weakness from the buyers are the bears are clearly on offense.
And lastly, the GS implied volatility shows that options traders aren't pricing in anything particularly unusual, and the most usual movement for the market is to climb higher so that's good news.
So, what's the conclusion. In my humble opinion, I believe that Goldman Sachs' stock is trading too low to not buy. Financially, the company is not showing anything particularly concerning and may just need to show some strength before the mass cash chases this play. As of right now, I am long on NYSE:GS considering the financial statistics, general industry sentiment, and technical analysis which was used as an assistance tool. This trade could be last anywhere from 1 day to 1 year, but I am prepared to hold for much longer.
Smart money concept (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – Bullish Trade Completed
✅ Fake Out + Rejection
Price first cleared liquidity with a fake out, then confirmed with a rejection at the 3,638–3,640 support zone.
✅ Bullish Confirmation
After holding support, the market showed strong bullish intent with impulsive candles and broke out of the distribution phase.
✅ Institutional Impulse
The breakout was clean and aggressive, validating institutional accumulation before pushing price higher.
✅ Target Achieved
The new Higher High at 3,675 was reached with precision, perfectly confirming the previous trade projection.
🔑 Lesson
Patience and discipline allow you to:
1. Identify fake outs.
2. Wait for support rejection.
3. Enter only with clear confirmation.
4. Stick to the plan until TP is hit.
GOOD JOB TRADERS ;)
U.S. Fed Rate Decision — Main Possible ScenariosThis Wednesday, September 17, we’re getting the most important event of recent (and upcoming) months — the one that will decide the direction not only for crypto but for all markets.
Here’s how I see the possible outcomes:
💜 Pink scenario — the most likely
We approach the meeting with positive price action → the Federal Reserve cuts rates → market spikes 1–2 candles up → then crashes hard.
Bitcoin goes to retest the lows at $107,000.
Why?
Because this rate cut is already priced in — that’s exactly what fueled the entire rally of the past few months.
Just like with the iShares Bitcoin Trust and Grayscale Ethereum Trust approvals — it’s the classic sell the news: everyone who wanted to buy has already bought, the catalyst plays out, and there’s nothing left to push price up.
Also: historically, every bear market started right after the Fed cut rates.
And this bull cycle is already one of the longest — almost 2 years.
💚 Green scenario — least likely
We again approach with positive sentiment → the Fed cuts rates → market rallies → somehow new liquidity appears → and we go to retest the ATH.
Personally, this “pink ponies” scenario seems unlikely — the market is extremely overheated, there’s been no fresh liquidity for months,
and this entire rally has run on declining volume.
It’s not that everyone suddenly wants crypto — it’s just that no one wants to sell.
But at some point… they will.
💙 Blue scenario — plausible
We approach with neutral/negative price action because insiders already know the decision and are positioning.
The Fed keeps rates unchanged → the market nukes, because this was the main catalyst priced in for months.
First target: $107,000,
and if that breaks — $99,000 comes fast.
This would likely mark the start of a new bear market.
📌 Drop a comment — which scenario do you think is coming?
Pegasystems (PEGA) — Growth via AI & Cloud PartnershipsCompany Overview:
Pegasystems Inc. NASDAQ:PEGA is a leader in enterprise software, specializing in business process management and customer engagement solutions. Its offerings enable organizations to enhance efficiency, scalability, and customer experience, positioning it well within the fast-growing digital transformation market.
Key Catalysts:
AI acceleration: The Pega GenAI Blueprint platform reduces development time, delivering stronger ROI for clients such as Vodafone.
Cloud expansion: Partnerships with AWS and Microsoft boost integration, sales reach, and co-selling opportunities—supporting revenue scale.
Industry recognition: Named a Leader in Forrester’s Q3 2025 Digital Process Automation Platforms report, reinforcing brand credibility and competitive edge.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $49–$50
Upside target: $85–$90, driven by AI adoption, cloud partnerships, and industry validation.
#PEGA #AI #CloudComputing #DigitalTransformation #EnterpriseSoftware #TechGrowth #Investing
Gold on the eve of interest rate cut: opportunity or trap?Gold Technical Analysis: Further analyzing gold's trend from a technical perspective, since its decline from the 3675 high, the daily chart has failed to show a clear unilateral direction. Instead, it has exhibited a pattern of alternating negative and positive fluctuations with narrowing amplitudes. Furthermore, the K-line chart continues to trade above the unilateral moving average. This pattern clearly points to a period of consolidation within a bullish trend, rather than a trend reversal. This week's daily chart should focus on two key support levels: the 3600 area represents a short-term watershed between strength and weakness. If broken, the market could shift from strong fluctuations to weak corrections. The 3500 area represents a medium-term bull-bear reversal line. A breach of this level could trigger a fundamental trend reversal. Therefore, 3600 should be the primary defensive line.
The 4-hour chart shows more volatile gold: the Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and the moving averages are highly converging. This indicates a complete lack of momentum needed for a unilateral rise or fall. For the time being, the 3615-3660 range is the preferred range. Based on cyclical patterns, the probability of a breakout of the Bollinger Bands on Monday and Tuesday is extremely low before the bands open. Therefore, high-certainty trading can be conducted on these two trading days around 3615 (lower support) - 3660 (upper resistance), without excessive expectations for a breakout outside the range.
Based on real-time trends, gold has completed a short-term correction since the opening. Based on the logic of oscillation, long positions can be established within the day based on support near the lower edge of the range: enter near 3625-3620 (aligned with the lower edge of the 4-hour range), targeting upward fluctuations. Focus on the 3650-3660 area (where the upper edge of the 4-hour range overlaps with key resistance on the daily chart). If the price rebounds to the 3660-3655 range and finds resistance, a small position can be used to test short positions, targeting a pullback to the 3635-3630 area, forming a closed-loop buy-low-sell-high strategy within the range. Note that after the adjustment, the current price is in the middle of the range. Direct entry is not recommended for now. Wait until the price approaches the -3625-3620 support level or the 3655-3660 resistance level before placing orders based on K-line stabilization/pressure signals to improve trading accuracy. Overall, the recommended short-term trading strategy for gold today is to primarily buy on dips, supplemented by higher rebounds. Focus on the 3655-3665 resistance level on the upside, and the 3625-3615 support level on the downside.
Solaris (SEI ) tempting an assault to a C&H at base 3Key points at the time of writing.
✣ We are at a new market cycle since June 2025
✣ Market Direction is Up 90%
✣ Stock Fundamentals are almost good, only missing yearly earnings for now.
✣ Institutional Ownership is 67% (marketbeat.com) (no quarterly data)
✣ Stock technically at base 3.
✣ TTM Performance of 193%
✣ Good Volume profile.
The stock shows evident signs of accumulation with a Highest Positive Volume Ever last week which broke the handle down trend.
I expect it to rally If the handle buy point is broke hopefully with good volume.