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AUD/USD at Key Resistance – Breakout or Rejection Ahead?AUD/USD is currently consolidating around the 0.6600 zone, testing a key descending trendline resistance near 0.6619 – 0.6625, which is also marked as a weak high. The price has shown both bullish and bearish structures in recent sessions, but a possible inverse head and shoulders pattern indicates buying pressure building up. If bulls manage to break and sustain above 0.6619, momentum could carry the pair towards 0.6647 and possibly higher. On the downside, immediate support lies at 0.6590, while a stronger demand zone is seen at 0.6573 – 0.6582. A failure to hold above these levels would expose the pair to a deeper correction towards 0.6546. Overall, the pair remains at a critical juncture, where a breakout above resistance may fuel bullish momentum, while rejection could trigger fresh selling pressure. 📌 Key Levels to Watch - Immediate Resistance: 0.6619 – 0.6647 - Immediate Support: 0.6590 – 0.6573 🚀 Buy Zone and Trigger Buy Zone: 0.6590 – 0.6592 Buy Trigger A clean break and 30m candle close above 0.6619 (weak high + trendline resistance) will be the buy trigger. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Long
by SibiSh
GOLD POWERS HIGHERThe U.S. dollar has been absorbing heavy flows for weeks, yet gold keeps ripping higher for the fourth straight week—a rare split that tells its own story. Softening U.S. Data – CPI and retail sales came in lighter, pushing Fed cut expectations higher and weighing on real yields. Central-Bank Buying – Emerging-market reserve managers continue record gold purchases for diversification. Safe-Haven Demand – Energy market jitters and ongoing geopolitical tension keep institutional bids under the metal. Dollar Liquidity Games – Despite dollar absorption, funding markets remain loose enough to support alternative stores of value. Gold shows no sign of daily-chart weakness. It’s a “buy mode” Market makers continue to press higher; every small-timeframe dip finds buyers. My approach: trail stops behind each daily low.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
Portfolio EducationPortfolio Education: Strategy Breakdown 1. Core Structure of Portfolio 10% BSV (Vanguard Short-Term ETF) This portfolio follows the guidelines that Warren Buffett has written in his will for his wife's trust in the 2013 letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. They state that the trustee should invest 90% in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund (VOO), with the remaining 10% invested in a short-term government bonds fund. The basic strategy is to own a major slice of all American businesses that are bound to grow in total. Buffett believes this portfolio is "superior to those attained by most investors - whether pension funds, institutions or individuals." Role: Dividend Yield, diversification outside traditional assets. 50% Equities (Primary Plays) Growth + Value core holdings. TQQQ/Growth: TQQQ/FANG+ is a smart portfolio that consists of 10 of today’s most traded tech giants. It has Meta (META, formerly Facebook), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Netflix (NFLX), Alphabet (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Snowflake (SNOW) (rotation slot, sometimes replaced by others). I swap SNOW with Broadcom, Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent, Robinhood, or Coinbase depending on index methodology/BTC Cycle. VTV/Value = Tilted toward financials, energy, healthcare, and industrials. Consists of dividend-paying stocks that could generate constant money flow in the long term. I use APD, CL, EMR, IBM, JNJ, KMB, KO, MMM, PG, and WMT as a leveraged bet. TQQQ, provides compounding and exposure to economic expansion. TQQQ Breadth: If only 2–3 names are carrying index gains (like NVDA & MSFT), risk of correction is higher. Value investing is about buying securities for less than their intrinsic value, then holding them until the market recognizes that value. Key Metrics: Price-to-Earnings (P/E) → low P/E may mean undervalued. Price-to-Book (P/B) → useful for banks/asset-heavy firms. Price-to-Sales (P/S) → for low-profit companies. Dividend Yield / Payout Ratio → sustainable income source. PEG Ratio (P/E ÷ Growth) → checks if valuation is fair vs growth rate. Free Cash Flow Yield. (FCF/Market Cap) → shows true cash generation. I would look for 3/6 to be good before buying. Rule of thumb (forward P/E too high = Risk) adds a macro filter. I prefer a PEG of 2 or less for Large-Caps and 1 or less for Mid-caps. When they pay dividends, I use PEGY over PEG. A ROA >6% and ROE > 8% are very crucial. A strong balance sheet has an Gross Margin > 20~40%, Operating Margin > 5~15%, and a Net Margin 10~20%. Interest Coverage is moat proxy, anything above 3~5 is works. Optionally, FCF is good if >0. P/S < 5, or <20 for Pharmacy/Biotech. P/B < 1.5, better for banks/sector. I avoid small-caps, but when I buy one I first check the Debt/Revenue ratio. 40% Cash/Options/Futures/Futures Options Futures: ES (S&P 500), NQ (Nasdaq), YM (Dow) for intraday or short swing trading. Options: directional and hedging overlay. Start via the Wheel. Cash buffer allows tactical pivots (gold, silver, REITs, etc.). 2. Futures Trading (Main Arena) Preferred Instruments: ES, NQ, YM → highly liquid index futures. Approach: Funded accounts = less personal margin risk. Commodities: Gold: Held overnight in rally phases (safe-haven demand). Natural Gas: Overnight trades (volatile, seasonally spiky). ⚠️ Key Risk: Overnight NG is notorious for gaps; good to size very small relative to ES/NQ. WTI moves 1 dollar up or down in average every afternoon. 3. Hedging Framework DXY vs WTI/HO Inverse Play If DXY rises → WTI/HO usually falls, but edge lies in catching synchronized moves (both rising or falling). Expect the opposite move for WTI that DXY performed the following day, and plan accordingly. These conditions are more common on “down days,” particularly Thursdays. Practical Tip: Track inventory reports (EIA on Wed/Thurs) and macro dollar drivers. Friday Hedge Rule Buy gold equities (WPM, AEM, etc.) on Friday. Sell Monday open. Works best in “inflammatory” macro periods (rate hikes, inflation scares, high valuations). 4. Metals Seasonality Gold vs Silver Timing Silver tends to outperform gold: Dec–Feb: winter demand + industrial rebound. Jul–Aug: summer volatility + monetary policy lull. Gold outperforms during inflationary panic or when equities look stretched. Practical Rule: Winter/Summer → overweight silver. Panic macro (e.g., VIX stretched/elevated) → switch to bonds, gold, and other safer assets. 5. REIT Allocation Logic Optimal Entry Condition: When yields < 2–4%. Lower yields → cheaper borrowing → REITs rally. Trend Filter: Only enter if above 21 SMA (trend confirmation). Style: Slow movers, better for weekly charts & trend following. Role: Defensive equity exposure; bond proxy with dividend yield. 6. Options Overlay Tactical Use: Selling premium (income) in high IV environments. Buying calls/puts for directional plays (funded futures act). Macro Filter: High VIX → collect more premium. I would match my % allocation to VIX levels. Earnings season → buy options for directional volatility plays. 7. Portfolio Risk Management Sizing: 10% → BSV. 50% → Equities (core growth + Value/REITs). 40% → Tactical cash (options/futures/hedges). IEF/TLT 40/60 Portfolio can work as well. Correlation Awareness: ES/NQ/YM → move together, pick one to trade; hedge with DXY, WTI, Gold. Metals and REITs can diversify during equity drawdowns. Crypto is uncorrelated in some regimes, but can collapse in risk-off (-70%). Altcoins peak either during summer or during winter, check before hand. Meme-coins fall off -99% every 2 years, so I would check for something else to invest. Other: Good for V-shaped Corrections: 40% PGR, FICO 22%, LLY 16%, VST 10%, NRG 4.5%, ACGL 4.5%, IRM 3%. Better than holding APY = BOXX 10%, BIL 2%, TBIL 13%, BILS 29%, SGOV 46%. ETF: CSPX.AS 30%, IUT.L 20%, ISX5.L 20%, IWDA.L 25%, EIMI.L 5%. Execution Cadence: Daily: ES/NQ/YM futures. Weekly: REIT trend checks. Seasonal: Silver vs Gold switches. Macro triggers: TLT hedge when valuation chatter spikes.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by GabrielAmadeusLau
HIMS may be preparing its next push up!This one is getting my attention too. It's among the best performers TTM and was digesting its last year push in the recent quarters but that could soon change if it breaks again that somehow chaotic handle. Nothing is granted in life but I think that all the ingredients are there for it to make it happen. Relevant points at the time of writing: 1. We are at a new Market cycle since June 25. 2. Market direction is UP some 90% 3. Stock fundamentals are good with a strong RS Rating of 94. 4. We are at Base 1 just after a reset. 5. Good volume profile with signs of institutional Accumulation
NYSE:HIMSLong
by AL26
XAUUSD – Gold Faces Strong ResistanceTechnical Outlook Main Trend: Gold has been rallying within an ascending channel since late August but recently broke out and is now consolidating below resistance. Key Resistance: 3,665 – 3,670 USD. Price has been rejected multiple times here, showing strong selling pressure. Key Support: 3,600 – 3,605 USD. A break below this zone may trigger further bearish omentum. EMA & RSI: Price is testing short-term EMAs while RSI shows bearish divergence – signaling potential downside pressure. Fibonacci Levels: The 3,600 zone aligns with the 38.2% retracement of the latest bullish leg, making it a critical pivot. Trading Strategies Bearish Scenario (Primary Setup) Look for Short opportunities if price fails at 3,665 – 3,670. Target 1: 3,630 Target 2: 3,600 Stop Loss: Above 3,675 Bullish Scenario (Alternative Setup) If price closes above 3,670 (H1/H4 with volume confirmation), bullish momentum could resume. Target: 3,700 – 3,720 Conclusion Gold is currently testing a major resistance area. A short-term correction toward 3,600 is likely before the next clear direction develops. Watch price action closely at 3,665 and 3,600 for confirmation of entry. - Follow for more intraday strategies and save this analysis if you find it useful.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
SPY's Final Wall: The Bearish ThesisRight now, SPY is facing the most significant confluence of resistance trend lines it has seen in years. Think of this as the ultimate ceiling—a multi-layered wall that the bulls have to smash through. The market's parabolic move has pushed the price to this critical point. But here's the thesis: the combined strength of these converging trend lines is just too much. The buying power is exhausted. We believe this is a classic rollover setup. Instead of a breakout to new highs, we expect a strong rejection from this level. The price will hit this solid wall of resistance and turn over, leading to a significant pullback. The current price isn't a simple pause; it's a test of strength that the bulls are likely to fail. Day Trade/Swing Trade Idea: Short at red arrow and cover at the green arrow
AMEX:SPYShort
by GoldenTraderz_2025
1
AUD/USD touches new ten-month highAUD/USD knocked into another new ten-month peak yesterday, clocking in an intraday peak above 0.6650 for the first time since last November. The Australian Dollar (AUD) rose around three-quarters of one percent against the US Dollar (USD) for the day, bringing its latest bullish swing from its last swing low to nearly 4%. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose again in August, with headline CPI inflation rising to 2.9% YoY, while core CPI inflation held steady at 3.1% YoY. US money markets have fully priced in three quarter-point rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) before the end of the year. The Fed is broadly expected to deliver an initial 25 bps rate cut at its rate meeting next week, with two more rate cuts fully priced in for the October and December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The AUD/USD is bullish in the near-term, with the 4-hour chart showing a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) attracting buyers on dips. The SMA currently stands at around 0.6600. . The pair peaked at 0.6635 earlier this week, the immediate resistance level. Further advances expose the 0.6670 area en route to the 0.6700 mark. Support below the 0.6590 intraday low surges at 0.6550.
Long
by Blueberry
Buy if price breaks above 3,670 with confirmation, target around1. Main Trend Gold remains in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. The rising channel (red trendlines) is still intact, though price is now testing a strong resistance zone. 2. Resistance Zone & Upside Target Key resistance area: 3,650 – 3,670 USD/oz (blue box on the chart). If price breaks clearly above 3,670, the next target will likely be 3,700 – 3,720 (psychological level and Fibonacci extension zone). 3. Pullback Scenario If price fails to break resistance, a pullback may occur toward Fibonacci retracement levels: Fib 0.786 ≈ 3,574 USD (nearest support). Fib 0.618 ≈ 3,509 USD (major support, aligning with previous demand zone – red box). Fib 0.5 ≈ 3,463 USD (intermediate support). The 3,500 – 3,510 USD zone is a critical support area; if broken, a deeper correction could unfold. 4. Technical Signals Price is forming a small triangle/pennant pattern right at resistance → suggesting a strong breakout is likely soon. RSI/Momentum (not shown here but typically at these levels) may be in overbought territory, increasing the chance of a short-term correction before resuming higher. 5. Trading Scenarios Bullish case (preferred): Buy if price breaks above 3,670 with confirmation, target around 3,700 – 3,720. Bearish case: If price gets rejected at resistance and breaks below the rising trendline, short-term selling may target 3,574 – 3,510. 📌 Summary: The main trend remains bullish, but the 3,650 – 3,670 zone is the decision point. A confirmed breakout → 3,700+. Failure to hold → correction toward 3,574 or deeper to 3,510.
TVC:GOLD
by AstronautPioneer
If gold stays above 3,585 and breaks 3,680, it could target 3,70 External News Factors Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, which continues to drive safe-haven inflows. Additionally, geopolitical tensions (Russia–Ukraine, Middle East) and concerns over the U.S. debt crisis (interest payments surpassing $1.1 trillion, fiscal deficit nearing $2 trillion) further strengthen gold’s bullish momentum. The U.S. dollar is showing slight weakness, adding more fuel to gold’s upside. Overall Trend Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong uptrend, clearly shown by the steep rally from the support area around ~3,420 USD. Price has already broken through several key Fibonacci retracement levels and is now testing the upper resistance zone (~3,650 – 3,680 USD). Key Support and Resistance Main Resistance: 3,650 – 3,681 USD (red zone on the chart). This is a strong supply zone where price is consolidating. Nearest Support: Around 3,585 – 3,517 USD (Fibo 0.786 and 0.618 levels). Major Support: 3,420 USD (aligned with Fibo 0.382 and the previous consolidation area marked “SUPPORT”). Price Pattern Within the resistance zone, price is showing signs of forming a triangle/sideways accumulation pattern. A breakout to the upside could confirm a continuation pattern (trend continuation). Trade Scenarios Bullish Scenario (preferred): If gold holds above 3,585 and breaks through 3,680, the next target would be the psychological level of 3,700 – 3,720 USD. Bearish/Correction Scenario: If price fails to hold 3,585, it could retrace deeper to 3,517 or even 3,420 before buyers step in again. 👉 In summary: The main trend remains bullish. Gold needs to consolidate and decisively break above 3,680 to aim for 3,700+. If it fails, a pullback towards 3,585 – 3,517 is likely before another buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
GOLD rebounds strongly, supported by US dataGold prices were volatile during the New York trading session on Thursday (September 11) due to the influence of the US CPI index and initial data on unemployment benefits applications. OANDA:XAUUSD price has recovered strongly during today's Asian session (September 12) and is currently trading at 3,647 USD/oz. Very weak initial U.S. jobless claims data eased concerns over inflation data. The likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week remains high, supporting gold prices and recouping most of the day’s losses. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed the consumer price index (CPI) rose more than expected in August from the previous month, but the year-over-year increase was in line with expectations. The data showed that the CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, beating the 0.3% forecast by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. However, the 2.9% year-over-year increase was in line with expectations. Moreover, the core CPI, which excludes the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.3% month-over-month and 3.1% year-over-year, both in line with Dow Jones' forecasts. Meanwhile, the US labor market is showing signs of slowing: weekly jobless claims unexpectedly jumped on Thursday after jobs growth data was revised down earlier this week. In the week ending September 6, initial jobless claims rose 27,000 to a seasonally adjusted 263,000, the highest since October 2021, far exceeding market expectations of 235,000. Initial data on unemployment claims 'saved' OANDA:XAUUSD Gold rallies after finding support at the 0.382% Fibonacci extension trendline note to readers in yesterday's issue. The rally has now just cleared the 0.50% Fibonacci level, which provides the initial conditions for a possible retest of the all-time high at the 0.618% Fibonacci level. The technical structure has not changed much with the uptrend dominating the market, from the uptrend channel as the main trend, the main support from EMA21 while RSI has not shown any signal for the possibility of a price decrease. Therefore, the technical chart summary is completely uptrend and the notable price points during the day will be listed as follows. Support: 3,613 - 3,600 USD Resistance: 3,645 - 3,677 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3682 - 3680⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3686 →Take Profit 1 3674 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3668 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3530 - 3532⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3526 →Take Profit 1 3538 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3544
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
ES (SPX) Futures Analyses for tomorrow Sep 12Overnight Expect balance 6586–6596 with a modest bullish tilt. If ON accepts >6596.5, drift toward 6603–6606 is likely before NY. Tomorrow (NY session) Base case: Early range, then acceptance >6596.5 (close + clean retest) → expansion to 6606 → 6612 → 6616–6619 (HTF extension band). Failure path: Rejection at 6596–6600 and acceptance <6586 → rotate 6581 → 6577; deeper only if 6577 fails (then 6566/6556). Fundamentals (times ET) 10:00 — Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Prelim, Sep). This is the only major macro print on deck; expect a 2–5m whipsaw around the release, then directional follow-through after displacement. Today’s context: CPI (Aug) came in +0.4% m/m, +2.9% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, and Initial Jobless Claims rose to 263k (week ending Sep 6). Together: inflation still sticky but labor softening—into tomorrow this supports “range→up unless 6586 breaks.”
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MyAlgoIndex
1
ETHUSD: Can Strong Fundamentals Push ETH From 4100 Toward 5200?Fundamental Institutional demand for ether is expanding, with over more than 130 mln USD of inflows across ether ETFs seen yesterday, and more than 90 bln USD locked in DeFi protocols, including staking solutions. Meanwhile, anticipated Fed cuts and easing inflation expectations support a broadly bullish sentiment. Network upgrades such as the Pectra upgrade have improved scalability and staking efficiency, and Layer 2 adoption now exceeds 19 bln USD, helping to lower fees and boost throughput. On-chain metrics show daily transaction volume near 1.8 mln, active addresses at four-year highs, and declining exchange reserves, signaling reduced sell pressure and robust, long-term holder commitment. Near-term volatility remains possible, with periodic dips in fee revenue and ongoing macro uncertainty, but underlying fundamentals favor further upside. Technical ETHUSD retreated from recent highs, but the uptrend persists, with higher swings and a bullish Ichimoku Cloud formed within the ascending channel. If ETHUSD rebounds from support at 4100, the price could resume its uptrend and approach the channel's upper bound and 100% Fibonacci Extension at 5200, upon breaking 4800. Conversely, a break below support at 4100 may prompt a deeper retracement toward the following support at 3400. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by lixing_gan
Gold Bulls Eye Fresh Highs Amid Fed Cut Bets 📊 Technical Structure Gold (XAU/USD) is attempting to reclaim upside momentum after bouncing from the $3,632–$3,636 support zone. Price broke above the descending trendline, signalling potential bullish continuation if sustained above the support. Key resistance lies at $3,655–$3,658, aligning with prior rejection levels. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,633–$3,636 (Support retest zone) Stop Loss: $3,632 Take Profit: $3,655 / $3,658 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~1 : 4.95 🌍 Macro Background Gold edged lower to $3,630 earlier in the Asian session as profit-taking and a stronger USD weighed on the metal. However, Fed rate cut expectations remain strong, with markets fully pricing in a 25bps cut in September and Barclays projecting three consecutive cuts by year-end. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to underpin safe-haven demand — Poland intercepting Russian drones and Israel’s strike on Doha highlight rising risks. This backdrop suggests dips could remain well-supported as traders await the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for further cues. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,655 / $3,658 Support: $3,633 / $3,636 Major Support Zone: $3,620 📝 Trade Summary Gold remains underpinned by Fed easing expectations and geopolitical risks despite short-term profit-taking. The break above the trendline favours buying dips, with upside potential toward $3,655–$3,658. However, failure to hold $3,632 may trigger a retest of $3,620. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD (GOLD) M15 TIME FRAME CHART ANALYSIS Here’s the breakdown of your XAUUSD (Gold Spot) chart in English 👇 Current Price: 3641.81 (right at the sell area). Resistance zones: 3645.262 3649.425 3653.137 (strong resistance). Strong Sell Area: This is the zone where sellers are expected to take control, so chances of price dropping are high. Support zones / Targets: 3630 – 3627 3620 – 3615 (major support area). Projection: According to the chart, price is expected to reject from resistance and move downward, with a possible target around 3615 – 3613. 👉 In simple words: Gold looks bearish from this level. As long as it doesn’t break above 3649–3653 resistance, sellers have an advantage and the price could fall toward 3615. Do you want me to suggest a safe trade plan (entry, stop loss, targets) for this setup?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WilliamCrook99
Gold will it be the Bull/ bears with upcoming Retail Sales m/m Today's reading on the CPI didn't move the Market as expected, as the reading came in neutral. I am waiting for next week's Tuesday Retail Sales Data This will be my spark plug. If Retail Sales come in hotter than the last reading of 0.5 % yields and the gold will have to mitigate the 3,600–3,565 zone. But if the reading comes in coller than the previous reading of 0.5 %, then bulls will take over the bullion and drive it all the way to our 3,660–3,680. handle Bulls setup will be (if price holds above 3,620 and breaks 3,642) Trigger: 4H close above 3,642 (RTO zone). Buy pullback into 3,635–3,642. Targets: TP1 → 3,660 TP2 → 3,675–3,680 (liquidity zone) Stop: Below 3,620 (fair value gap invalidation). But if the reading on Tuesday comes in Hotter than the previous reading of retail sales This will be my bearish setup (if price rejects 3,642 and breaks 3,620) Trigger: Strong rejection from 3,642 OR 4H close below 3,620. Entry: Sell pullback into 3,620–3,630. Targets: TP1 → 3,603 (discount zone retest) TP2 → 3,565 (unmitigated liquidity zone) Stop: Above 3,642. Note will still be waiting for the Fed cut on the 17th. That said, if Gold does what it does and mitigates the liquidity, I think on the 17th, we will have enough fuel to rocket to the Moon
TVC:GOLD
by que