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Fundamental Analysis

Gold (XAU/USD) – Technical Outlook for TodayGold continues its short-term recovery after last week’s sharp selloff from the 4,400 zone. On the 1H timeframe, price has shown early signs of stabilization above the 4,070–4,080 support area, where strong buy-side reaction appeared. The market is now attempting a corrective move toward the 4,150–4,160 resistance zone, a key structure level that previously acted as support before the breakdown. A successful retest of this area could determine the next directional bias: Bullish scenario: If buyers can reclaim and hold above 4,160, we may see further upside extension toward 4,300–4,350, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous down-leg. Bearish scenario: Failure to break 4,160 may attract renewed selling pressure, possibly leading to another retest of 4,050 or even 4,000. Technical confluence: EMA20 turning upward, signaling short-term momentum recovery. RSI recovering from oversold territory, supporting a potential retracement. Key resistance zone: 4,150–4,160 Key support zone: 4,070–4,000 In summary, gold is currently in a pullback phase within a broader correction. Traders may look for short-term buy opportunities toward resistance but should watch price behavior closely around 4,160 before deciding the next move. Follow for more high-probability setups and daily strategy updates.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 23, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is declining against the US dollar amid persistent demand for safe-haven assets and expectations for US inflation data. Investors note that delays in the release of official US macroeconomic data caused by the government shutdown do not resolve the question of the price trajectory: the market is still repricing the timing and scale of monetary easing in the US, which supports the USD. Taken together, this keeps the pair around 1.16000 and caps attempts to rise. Additional pressure on the euro comes from uneven signals from the euro area’s real sector and the regulator’s cautious tone on growth prospects, while US Treasury yields remain relatively high. In the short term, the risk balance for EURUSD is tilted toward further declines, especially in the absence of positive surprises in US price dynamics and signs of acceleration in the eurozone economy. In October the euro’s vulnerability to deteriorating global risk sentiment and US news flow was also evident. As of today this remains relevant: the dollar retains an advantage thanks to expectations around Federal Reserve rates and its role as a funding currency, while the euro is exposed to the region’s political-economic risks. Given these inputs, a strategy of selling from round levels looks justified. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16050, SL 1.16250, TP 1.15450
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
GOld SellsGOLD: - Rate cut bets are being priced in,. -Trade war headlines are being priced In and any further Fear headline don’t hold much weight anymore since Trump just comes back saying its going to be ok and he will have a meeting with Xi. -So unless we have any further FUD, or signalling of rate cuts or new Trade war fears. We probably cant expect Gold to reach the ATHs again especially considering that the Big players are doing their profit taking now from the highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jawad_Khalili1
Finally 5k? - ETH weekly update Oct 20 - 26thWelcome to my very shortterm analysis on Ethereum. Currently, I think the most probable scenario is that we are in a wave 3 of the intermediate cycle and a wave 2 in the minor cycle. This structure is part of the first wave of the primary cycle. Alternatively, This structure could also potentially be a triple three pattern or a triple three with a triangle as the last pattern, as drawn into the chart. Those two alternatives are not my main scenario, because the structure of the X is clearly a five-parter and no valid pattern has this characteristics. Moving on, as you can see I expect the wave 2 of the minor cycle to be deeper than normal, because Liquidity is sitting just above the start of the minor wave 1 and as second waves in crypto often move a bit further, I do expect them to do that here to. It is only important to keep an eye on the chart, because as Ethereum breaks the low of the minor wave 1, the scenario will be invalidated. As price evolves it is also critical that Ethereum sustainably breaks the high of the minor wave 1. Indicators for the ending of the second wave could be negative or low funding rates, a low RSI and liquidity forming above the first wave's high because traders expect the price to drop further and open leveraged positions. Speaking of liquidity, the ETF shows more outflows than inflows and on-chain data is also showing large funds distributing they're Etehreum. This could also be a part of the fifth and last wave of the cycle, where institutionals sell and the retailers being the exit liquidity. Till next update have a successful week, see ya✌️.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Phillipklh
Gold price analysis October 23GOLD UPDATE – Prioritize SELL strategy in the short term The downward correction of gold continued to extend in yesterday's session, showing that the sellers are still clearly dominant. In the short term, the downtrend may continue, leading the price to lower support zones. In today's session, the strategy of waiting for SELL following the downtrend is still prioritized. The 4145 zone – the important resistance level of the previous session – will play a key role. If the price cannot overcome this zone and a price rejection signal appears, the possibility of further decline will be reinforced. Trading strategy: 🔸 SELL trigger when there is a price rejection at the resistance zone of 4145 – 4227 🎯 Target: 3946
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold extended losses, trading near $4,060–$4,070 after its biggest one-day drop in five years. Immediate support zone is around $4,060–$4,070, while the resistance zone lies at $4,132–$4,141. The current chart suggests a potential rebound scenario from support, with upside capped at resistance. Failure to hold $4,060 could expose the next leg lower toward $4,020–$4,000. 📌 Trade Setup Entry (Long): $4,070 (near support zone) Stop Loss: $4,053 (below support) Take Profit: $4,132 (resistance zone retest) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.26 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains under heavy pressure after two days of sharp selloff, even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened slightly near 98.80. The move reflects profit-taking following gold’s record rally, while traders are cautious ahead of Friday’s US CPI data (Core CPI expected at 3.1% YoY). At the same time, Reuters reported that the White House is weighing new export curbs on China’s tech sector, intensifying trade uncertainty. Despite near-term weakness, gold is still up 54% YTD, supported by market bets that the Fed will cut rates by 50 bps at its final two policy meetings this year, with additional easing priced in for 2026. Thus, while short-term volatility may persist, macro drivers still favor dip-buying strategies. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,132 / $4,141 Support: $4,060 / $4,070 Upside Target: $4,132 Downside Risk: $4,020 / $4,000 📋 Trade Summary Gold is consolidating near $4,060–$4,070 support, with technicals hinting at a short-term rebound opportunity toward $4,132 resistance. However, the broader tone remains cautious ahead of the US CPI release and potential new US-China tech trade restrictions. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold weighs Trump and Fed Decisions Spot gold plunged by up t o 6.3%, falling below $4,100 per troy ounce in its steepest intraday decline since 2013. Silver also saw a sharp drop of over 8%, marking its worst single-day performance since 2021. This dramatic downturn was driven by a combination of factors: easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and technical signals indicating that both metals were in overbought territory. But what's next for Gold? Two factors of sentiment that can influence the next move on the upside. 1. President Donald Trump has once again rattled global markets by threatening to impose a staggering 155% tariff on Chinese imports starting November 1, 2025 . The announcement, made during a high-level meeting at the White House, has ignited fierce debate across Wall Street, Beijing, and other global financial centers, fueling concerns of a potential market meltdown just weeks before the year ends. Trump cited decades of "unfair trade practices" by China and responded to Beijing’s recent move to tighten export controls on rare earth minerals. The proposed tariff hike—up from the current 55%—marks a dramatic escalation in trade tensions and has already triggered volatility in equities and commodities markets. 2. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely anticipated to lower interest rates below 4% at its upcoming meeting on October 29 . According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s a 97% probability of a rate cut, based on signals from fixed income markets. Forecasting platforms echo this expectation. With these factors on the verge of release Gold will balance its sentiment based on Tariff Threats (Fear) and Rate Cuts (Dollar drawdown). If safe haven kicks in again, I am expecting gold to come up as high as 4250 and possibly can prepare itself to a new ATH on November. Traders, what's your sentiment on gold?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LestradePh