OCT 8: MMT + VOLUME PROFILE LOL LET'S SEE HOW IT GOESOCT 8: MMT + VOLUME PROFILE LOL LET'S SEE HOW IT GOES
Kinda getting lazy putting these descriptions here, or maybe I just don't want to at this point in time. just check the latest long position I made here and check it for yourself why I came to that conclusion lol.
but if not then here's the idea:
- TARGET/BIAS = WEEK TARGET + LVN + FVG (that price didn't fully mitigate/take over/ breakthrough etc)]
- NARRATIVE = FVA coming off of previous high breakout and continuation supported by RSI & CVD, + AVWAP FLIP
- ENTRY = FVA RE-TEST
That's it.
FVA
oct 7 : adding CVD and FRVP(LVN & POC) to confluence... oct 7 : adding CVD and FRVP(LVN & POC) to confluence...
kinda confusing? we'll see how it goes.
Idk why I entered long despite the orderflow and divergence showing bearish signs.
oh wait i know.
because of price action theories (old sweep + divergence, then IFVG + BB breakout)
So uhh, we'll see how it goes?
SEPT 25: WELL THIS JUST HAPPENED, SO HELL YEAH I GUESS.SEPT 25: WELL THIS JUST HAPPENED, SO HELL YEAH I GUESS.
SO... What did I do right?
1. Followed my trading plan - just calmly analyzed shit, seen that price has dumped massively and seen it sweep and stopped somewhere around an old POI (ORB, fvg, etc). So I looked for a possible reversal. My pattern showed up and I entered.
2. Conservative TP point - yeah I guess this is good. although i do have to do this for a while to see if it's consistent.
3. Recording - I guess this helps too, to be consistent with the way I analyze the chart.
This is a win. I'll have to keep doing this consistently to see if it's effective long-term.
Perfect Setup AnatomyPERFECT SETUP ANATOMY: Sept 17, 2025
OBVIOUS LIQUIDITY SWEEP(SSL) AREA, OF COURSE PRICE WILL TAKE IT OUT LOL.
i THOUGHT ABOUT PUTTING AN ENTRY HERE JUST IN CASE MY INITIAL FVA RESPECT
ENTRY WAS TAKEN OUT, BUT I WAS OFF THE PC BY THAT TIME SO I DIDN'T.
WELL, THERE WAS A BULLISH DIV + SWEEP + FVA RESPECT AT THIS POINT,
SO I DID WHAT ANY SANE PERSON WOULD DO, RE-ENTER.
Price moved as follows:
1.) TRENDLINE LIQUIDITY GATHERING
2.) ACCUMULATION BEFORE TRENDLINE BREAKOUT. This is where sweep+div+cisd+fvg+fva happened. "PDA accumulation"
3.) FVA RESPECT/RE-TEST
4.) PRICE HITS ORIGINAL DAY EQH TARGET
5.) I SHOULD HAVE PUT THIS ON 1:3RR,
BUT I'M GOING TO TRY 1:1RR FIRST
(TO INCREASE WINRATE = INCREASE CONFIDENCE IN THE STRATEGY),
WITH A TRAILING STOP THAT STARTS AT 1.5RR USING MT5.
LOGIC IS, SO IT FULL TPs AT 1RR MINIMUM,
AND RIDE THE TREND IF THE PRICE RUNS FARTHER.
-
so, here's what's required again for a trade to start being considered:
0. HTF Target (EQH/EQL) + HTF OF Alignment
1. Previous Orderflow Liquidity Sweep
2. Accumulation of BUY/SELL Arguments (Trendline Liquidity & FVA = recent sweep+div+CISD+FVG) / PDA ACCUMULATION
3. Respect of FVA
4. Entry
Bias - uptrend, day eqh
Narrative - sting into htf fvg = ltf ssl
Context - ssl to eqh
Entry - fva respect & retest
Swing Setup: (1D+4H) POI + 5min DIVERGENCE + FVA RESPECT So I did my top down analysis, saw a 1D FVG and price respected it, so I looked for divergences and i found it on the 5min, saw price made an FVA and displaced through it so I decided it was time to enter that because a 4H and 1D FVG is a strong POI, and the fact that price did not burst through it meant it was getting respected.
So I think it was at this time that I saw the FVA has formed and has been respected so I looked for an entry.
For the actual entry, I think there was a small bullish FVG there above the FVA so I took that.
Since price was at a 1D + 4H FVG, I considered it as the Internal Range Liquidity(IRL) and therefore targeted the External Range Liquidity (ERL). I put my SL quite far, at the bottom of this sting into the FVG. It got me 2.8RR I think, and that's good enough.
I made this trade on friday, and it only resolved the next trading day, which was monday.
TL;DR, 4H and above POI(IRL), once you see it getting respected (with an FVA + FVG), take it as a sign, enter without hesitation, and target the ERL.
I Think I Should Just Trade This SetupI Think I Should Just Trade This Setup
So long story short, I just:
0. Assess whether price has Seeked Liquidity, or Rebalanced Fair Value to get a clue of current price intention.
1. Wait for Overextended Price (Bearish or Bullish), Higher TF = Better
2. Wait for 4HR up to 15min Divergence + Oversold/Overbought, at least 2 TF with same divergence
3. On 15min, plot your FVA (PDA must be respected).
4. Look for your FVG entry once price has left the FVA.
5. Target nPOCs that align with divergence + price action direction (ex. npoc below price + bearish div + premium array respected + bearish orderflow leg)
I've been winning "random" trades like this, no TradingView needed, just MT5, and has saved my funded account from imminent death lol. But here's how, if I looked back on those trades, I entered.
I mean, this makes sense. Combine Price Action(PDA + FVA Respected) with Volume Momentum.
Oh, and just to add. I think nPOCs from previous sessions give a good clue about where price wants to go.
For example, npoc below price + bearish div & overbought + premium array respected + bearish orderflow leg = target nPOC.
I might have to track tradingview entries to see if this actually works.
POLKADOT- BUY HIGH, SELL HIGHERIn the midst of chaos, I've decided to increase my position in Polkadot, as I've been holding since $5.82. The structure continues to show bullish signals, and we’re still in a bull market. Moreover, the Christmas and New Year rally hasn’t even started yet.
For traders feeling anxious right now, it's better to step away from the screen and avoid making impulsive decisions. For those focused on knowledge and strategy, there’s no better moment to consider opening a long position—fully aware of the possibility that your stop-loss might be hit.
Trade Management:
Entry: $7 or market price
Stop-loss: $6.31 (keeping the previous position intact)
Remember to control your emotions and avoid overtrading. Maintaining liquidity is crucial—don’t put all your capital at risk. Protect your psychology and trust your skills. Don’t let the market shake your confidence in what you know works.
I’m sticking to my plan, as mentioned in my previous idea. Nothing changes if you follow your plan.
May God bless you all.
Jay
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes
Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls.
During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts.
Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included:
Weekly Bearish FVG respected
Daily Bearish FVG respected
Trendline retest confirming the break
Current Bearish Arguments:
PMH & PML respected
PWH & PWL respected
Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected
4H swing highs/lows respected
4H Bearish FVG respected
Strategy:
Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market.
Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters.
Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation.
God bless you.
-Jay
ATOM- BULLISH MOMENTUMEyeing Altcoins Near Their March 2024 Highs
BINANCE:ATOMUSDT
I focus on setups where altcoins are approaching their potential March 2024 peaks. These trades are straightforward in strategy but challenging emotionally, as we can expect turbulence and liquidation cascades along the way.
Bullish Arguments
PMH being disrespected
PML being disrespected
PWH being disrespected
PWL being disrespected
PDL being disrespected
PDH being disrespected
Bearish Arguments:
4H swing high being respected
4H swing low being respected
Trade Management
I keep a tight SL to protect capital in case the market hunts liquidity. If stopped out, I’ll reassess and re-enter if price action confirms. TP is around the March 2024 zone, but partial profits may be taken earlier.
A Word of Caution
As futures trading intensifies, we’ll encounter frequent liquidation cascades and stop hunts. This is where discipline and resilience truly matter. The hardest phase starts now.
Trade wisely, stay focused, and take care.
POLKADOT - Strategic Patience for the Next MovePolkadot: Strategic Patience for the Next Move
I've been holding Polkadot since $5.82 and still have my trade open. While I haven’t taken profits yet, this time I plan to secure gains once it approaches $10 again, as I anticipate a correction around December 18th. This pullback could last until December 23rd, where I aim to significantly increase my position.
📈 Scalping Opportunities:
For now, patience is key. However, scalpers will find plenty of opportunities leading up to December 17–18. Be vigilant during those dates, as volatility may spike.
💡 Swing Trading Insight:
Any swing trades entered on December 23rd or the early hours of the 24th could offer exceptional returns.
⚠️ Key Advice:
Always stick to your plan.
Don’t let greed cloud your judgment—secure partial profits to maintain liquidity.
From January onward, the market's psychological and analytical demands will increase. Be prepared and don’t get distracted by noise.
🔑 Closing Thoughts:
This market rewards discipline and foresight. Stay sharp, stay humble, and remember: the best opportunities often come to those who are patient and prepared.
May your trades be fruitful.
God bless you.
—Jay
ETHEREUM - BULLISH AFEthereum: A Technical Masterpiece with a Psychological Challenge
Ethereum's price action showcases remarkable technical precision. However, the real test lies in managing emotions: impatience and impulsive decisions often lead traders to quick losses.
📈 Projection:
Expect a steady climb toward $4,300 until around December 17–18. At that point, a correction of -15% to -30% is likely, though the exact scale will depend on market conditions.
📅 Key Date:
By December 23, ensure your positions are set. As the market evolves, navigating increased difficulty will require discipline—this phase is not for the unprepared.
📊 Comparison:
The current price movement mirrors Ethereum’s 2020 trend, proving that while history doesn’t repeat, it often rhymes.
⚠️ Plan Ahead:
Approach the market with a clear strategy. Maintain well-defined entry and exit plans, and avoid emotional decision-making. Recklessness has no place here.
🚀 Looking Ahead:
January promises explosive growth, likely peaking around mid-month. This period demands focus and resilience—those who stay disciplined stand to benefit the most.
💡 Takeaway:
Ethereum’s journey is more than just price action; it’s a test of patience and strategy. Stick to your plan, trust the process, and let the market work for you.
💼 Upcoming Trade:
I’m about to open a new trade, which I’ll share with you here—just like the one I posted at $3,100. Now’s the time to make money and stay laser-focused. Don’t hesitate to follow me and keep an eye out for updates!
Stay sharp, stay grounded, and may the odds be in your favor.
God bless you.
—Jay
Ethereum time to shine-Swing trading LONGEthereum: Your Time to Shine
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum, it’s your moment. You’re in a prime setup for traders, where psychology is playing a crucial role. As Bitcoin consolidates sideways, Ethereum is retesting a key zone, preparing for what could be its true breakout.
This is your time to shine.
Remember, this is not financial advice. Always use a responsible risk management strategy. My trade is targeting the ATH zone, where I plan to take profits and wait for a similar setup to reposition myself strategically
STELLAR BULLISH MOMENTUM-XLMCRYPTO:XLMUSD
XLM Continuation Rally: An Analysis
Bullish Arguments:
PMH (Previous Monthly High) disrespected
PML (Previous Monthly Low) disrespected
Weekly Bullish FVG respected
PWL (Previous Weekly Low) disrespected
PWH (Previous Weekly High) disrespected
PDL (Previous Daily Low) disrespected
4H swing low disrespected
4H Bullish FVG respected
Bearish Arguments:
PDH (Previous Daily High) respected
4H swing high respected
Bullish 81.82%- Bearish 18.18%
Trade Management:
This setup involves high risk and requires close monitoring of price action. Use a tight stop-loss (SL) to manage risk, and aim for a take-profit (TP) near the 2021 ATH zone. Staying alert to market movements is critical for this trade
FXS- BULLISH MOMENTUMClear Path for Long Positions Until January 20th
We have a green light to focus on long setups leading up to January 20th, but emotional Discipline is critical—avoid letting euphoria or emotional demons dictate your decisions.
BINANCE:FXSUSDT is a standout candidate for a strong rally based on my criteria:
Monthly and Weekly Structure supported by FVG (Fair Value Gaps).
PMH and PML (Previous Monthly High/Low) being disrespected.
PWH and PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) being disrespected.
PDH and PDL (Previous Daily High/Low) being disrespected.
4H Swing Highs and Lows also being disrespected.
At this moment, I see no valid reasons to adopt a bearish stance. The primary risk lies in potential liquidity spikes. To mitigate this, a solid Stop Loss is essential to safeguard your position and allow for re-entry if price action justifies it.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 9.53
Stay focused and protect your trades.
EURUSD-TIME FOR REVERSAL- SWING TRADEReversal Opportunity Amid a Bearish Bias
FX:EURUSD
The EUR/USD is showing potential for a reversal, although the overall probabilities remain bearish. This setup offers an opportunity with a possible 3RR.
Trade Management:
Today's FED meeting could cause sharp and unexpected market movements. It’s crucial to keep a tight SL to protect against liquidity hunts, especially near the November PML wick. The TP is set at the bearish FVA, but if the price reaches this area, it could signal a higher probability of continued upside.
Stay cautious and adapt to market conditions. Manage your risk and remember: capital preservation comes first.
Let's get higher this week POLKADOTPolkadot: Rising from the Ashes
BINANCE:DOTUSDT
Polkadot appears to be breaking free from its prolonged downturn. Comparing to Cardano, its about time to reach the fibonacci 1.62 and the buyside liquidity. The charts suggest strong bullish potential, but it’s crucial to stay grounded—corrections are part of the game. In my view, a significant pullback may happen when geopolitical events, such as TRUMP's potential return to the White House, create waves across the markets.
For now, the focus should be on crypto over the coming weeks. Avoid over-leveraging or taking excessive risks. Remember, the market will always present opportunities—it's often your mind that gets in the way. Discipline is key: master your fears by following your trading plan without compromise.
Success isn’t about how much you make in one trade; it’s about consistently executing a solid plan. Over time, this approach allows you to grow your capital as if you’re your own bank. Stay committed, keep learning, and protect your mental clarity by managing risk wisely.
I currently have an active trade on Polkadot and am holding steady.
Let’s see how this plays out!
FANTOM BULLISH-POTENTIAL 6.39RRFantom (FTM): A Bullish Opportunity with Controlled Risk
BINANCE:FTMUSDT
The current price action of Fantom presents an attractive setup for taking calculated risks. Here are the key bullish arguments supporting this perspective:
Previous Monthly Low (PML - November): Disrespected, signaling strength.
Previous Monthly High (PMH): Disrespected, further affirming bullish momentum.
Monthly Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG): Holding so far; confirmation expected by early Sunday morning.
Previous Weekly High (PWH): Disrespected.
Previous Weekly Low (PWL): Disrespected.
Daily Bullish FVG: Being respected, showing demand at this level.
4H Swing High: Disrespected.
4H Swing Low: Disrespected.
Bearish Arguments:
Previous Daily High (PDH): Respected, a minor resistance to watch.
Previous Daily Low (PDL): Respected.
Trade Management:
Stop Loss (SL): $0.84–$0.82
Take Profit (TP): $1.90–$1.88
Entry Zone: $0.9951–$0.9683
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.39
I am using Quantfury to manage this trade, a platform I find effective for precise execution.
Final Thoughts: The market appears poised for further upside, but stay disciplined and avoid being influenced by noise. The next five months are crucial for crypto, requiring full focus and adherence to your own strategies. Remember, every lesson comes from experience, not just from external opinions.
Stay patient, trade smart, and blessings to all!
POLKADOT, TIME TO LEAVE THE HELLAltcoin Time: Polkadot Bullish Swing Trading
Polkadot is showing several bullish signals:
PML being disrespected
PWL being disrespected
PWH being disrespected
PDL being disrespected
PDH being disrespected
Daily Bullish FVG being respected
4H Bullish FVG being respected
4H Swing Low being disrespected
Bearish Argument:
4H Swing High is being respected
Altseason seems to be brewing, but as day or swing traders, we must remain cautious about short-term movements. Ignore the noise on social media and rely on your analysis and experience.
Risk management is everything. If you risk more than you can afford to lose, you’ll end up emotionally drained. Protect your mindset by applying proper risk management techniques.
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 5.2
SPX 500 day trading LONGAnalysis: Market Structure & Probabilities
OANDA:SPX500USD
PML (Previous Monthly Low) has been broken, moving higher than last month's low.
PMH (Previous Monthly High) has also been broken, pushing beyond last month’s high.
PWH/PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) similarly breached, with price moving higher than the previous month's range.
PDL (Previous Daily Low) and 4H Swing High/Low have also been surpassed.
These indicators suggest a strong bullish bias, with an 87.5% probability of further upside movement vs. a 12.5% bearish scenario (reflected in PDH, as the price dipped below yesterday’s high).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.14
Simple as that.
FILECOIN LONG-SWING TRADINGI’m starting to go long on altcoins, beginning with Filecoin. I see a realistic target before the weekend, ahead of a potential breakout.
BINANCE:FILUSDT
This is a swing trade setup, with the plan to close it by the weekend or on Sunday at the latest.
Entry Strategy:
OTE (0.705) + FVA + FVG + Overlapping Defense
Trade Management:
Consider taking the first profit at the 1.62 Fibonacci level. However, with altseason on the horizon, I'm aiming higher—targeting the 2.62 level to close the trade if all goes as expected.
Altseason is approaching. Stay calm; there’s still time to position yourself for solid entries at good prices before December.
LINKUSD- Scalping-Day trading- NO SWINGI'll be closing it by day’s end. I prefer not to hold any positions with U.S. elections on the horizon. This feels like the calm before another storm.
Setup details:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3R
Risk Capital: 3%
Take Profit: Partial profits at the first target; once hit, I'll move the stop-loss to breakeven (BE).