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Harmonic Patterns

Gold Price Movement Analysis and Trading Strategies for Next WeeCore Support for the Bulls: Three Key Factors Solidify the Foundation for Medium- to Long-Term Rise 1.95% of Central Banks Collectively Purchase Gold, Forming Rigid Bottom Support: A recent survey by the World Gold Council on January 24th showed that 95% of over 100 central banks worldwide plan to continue increasing their gold holdings in the coming year, a near-decade high. Poland's plan to purchase 150 tons of gold, the People's Bank of China's 14 consecutive months of reserve increases, and Brazil's cumulative 43-ton increase in three months, all demonstrate this. Central banks' average monthly gold purchases of 60-70 tons are four times the normal level, and their purchasing behavior remains unchanged regardless of short-term gold price fluctuations. This creates non-price-elastic buying below 4850, acting as a "ballast" for gold price corrections. 2.Weakening Dollar Credit + Normalization of Geopolitical Games, Continued Demand for Safe-Haven Assets: The dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves has fallen below 60%, a multi-decade low. The Greenland sovereignty dispute and tariff standoff between the US and Europe remain unresolved, and Danish pension funds are even planning to liquidate their US Treasury holdings. Market concerns about the creditworthiness of dollar assets are rising. Gold has surpassed US Treasury bonds to become the world's largest reserve asset for central banks. Its absence of sovereign credit risk makes it the optimal choice for hedging geopolitical and currency risks, attracting a continuous influx of safe-haven funds. 3.Expectations of a Fed rate cut have not completely subsided, and holding costs are low: Despite hawkish rhetoric, dovish leader Bowman emphasized the fragility of the labor market, and core inflation near the 2% target leaves room for further easing. The market still prices in a 50 basis point rate cut in 2026. CME Group tools show that although the first rate cut has been delayed until June, it has not disappeared. The opportunity cost of holding gold remains at a historically low level, supporting long-term allocation. Gold trading strategies buy：4950-4960 tp:4980-5000-5050
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Daniel-Foster
Short selling to lock in the downside potential within the rangeKey Bearish Factors (Bearish Logic) 1.Escalating Geopolitical Tariff Risks: With Trump's proposed 10% tariffs on the EU imminent, global risk appetite remains under pressure. The total market capitalization of the crypto market is shrinking, and Bitcoin, as a risk asset, is also suppressed. The Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 24, indicating extreme fear in market sentiment. 2.Accelerated ETF Outflows: Bitcoin spot ETFs have experienced a period of net outflows. Institutional investors are cautious in their entry, and insufficient new funds are making it difficult to support a price breakthrough above the key $90,000 level. 3.Heavy Selling Pressure at the $90,000 Level: $90,000 is a psychological watershed for the market and also a previous area of ​​concentrated consolidation. When the price rebounds to this range, short-term profit-taking and short-term selling pressure surges, making a significant breakout difficult without sufficient volume. 4.Bearish sentiment in the derivatives market: The Bitcoin long/short ratio on major exchanges has fallen back to around 1.64, indicating a rise in short-term bearish sentiment in the market. Open interest in options has increased, volatility has rebounded, and the divergence between bulls and bears has widened, but bears have the upper hand. Bitcoin trading strategy sell：89000-90000 tp:88000-87000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Daniel-Foster
TSLA BEFORE EARNIGSTSLA (1D) printed a clear rejection into the 500 area, with heavy sell-side supply flagged around ~497 (distribution). Price is now pivoting back above the 435 weekly support, suggesting buyers are absorbing dips while the trendline support remains intact. Institutional read (flow/volume): ~497–500: supply/distribution zone (notable sell print). ~435: weekly support acting as absorption; holding this keeps the upside scenario active. ~400: daily support + open gap area; if 435 breaks, this becomes the first magnet. Targets Target (up): 500 first. Clean reclaim/acceptance above 500 opens 580. Target (down): Loss of 435 targets 400 (gap/daily support). Below 400 = 350, then 330–300 demand.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TWMMPRO
#Bitcoin Sunday Update $BTC is currently trading around 89k. #Bitcoin Sunday Update CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently trading around 89k. It has been nearly five months since I flipped bearish, and my view remains unchanged. I am continuing to hold my short positions. Why? Geopolitical Tensions: I expect global instability to rise again, which will likely cause the stock market to drop while Gold and Silver continue their pump. FOMC Meeting: All eyes are on the Federal Reserve this week. We’re seeing "insiders" selling non-stop at these levels. 😂 Right now, BTC is holding the 1W99EMA (around 86,400) quite strongly. However, once we get a candle close below that level, my next target is the 72k region. I have already added to my shorts at 97k and will look to add more if the market provides higher entries as you can see in the chart.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal
1
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold has experienced a fast and impulsive rally over the past weeks, reaching the psychological $5,000 level. While this move highlights strong bullish momentum, buying at these levels carries elevated risk. From a technical perspective, the overall trend remains bullish, with price still trading within a well-defined ascending channel. However, as price approaches the upper boundary of the channel, a corrective move (pullback) is increasingly likely. Probable Scenario: After this sharp rally, price is expected to correct toward the key support zone. This area could provide a more favorable low-risk buying opportunity in line with the dominant trend. A bullish reaction from this support may pave the way for new all-time highs. In the short term, this week’s FOMC meeting could have a significant impact on gold’s price action and may increase volatility. The bullish trend remains intact, but chasing price at current levels is not recommended. Waiting for a pullback and confirmation around support levels would be the smarter strategy.. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
TVC:GOLDLong
by HAMED_AZ
33
MSFT AFTER EARNINGSMSFT is still trading inside a corrective structure after a clear rejection into the 554–555 supply zone (noted as heavy sell-side distribution). Price is now reacting off the 450–440 demand band, where bids are absorbing sell pressure and defending structure. Institutional flow read Distribution/supply: 554–555 (major sell-side inventory overhead). Absorption/demand: 450–440 (buyers defending; if this fails, liquidity likely flushes into the lower imbalance). Key levels Support: 450–440 (pivot demand) Breakdown trigger: < 440 Resistances: 480, then 500–510 (key reclaim area) Upper imbalance: ~520–530 (gap zone) Major supply cap: 554–555 Targets Upside target (if 480 reclaims and holds): 500–510 first, then 520–530 (gap fill), extension to 554–555 (supply) Downside target (if 440 breaks): 420–390 (gap magnet), then 343 area as the next larger support
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TWMMPRO
GE AFTER EARNINGSGE (1D) is in a clear uptrend, but price just got rejected from the 306–333 supply band, signaling active distribution overhead. The sell impulse back into 290–280 puts the spotlight on whether this is a controlled pullback (absorption) or the start of a deeper reset. Key structure Major rejection/supply: 306–333 (failed acceptance above 306 and sharp rotation lower). Near-term decision zone (demand/absorption): 290–280. Next support (if 280 fails): 271, then 265–255 (larger demand pocket). Open downside magnet if momentum accelerates: 200 (gap), then 193–195 (heavy distribution marker). Institutional read (distribution vs absorption) The 306–333 area behaves like an inventory unload zone: repeated pushes higher were sold and price could not hold the highs, followed by a decisive drop. 290–280 is the first place where you want to see absorption: tighter candles, failed breakdowns, and quick reclaim above 295. If buyers are real, they defend 280 and force price back into the 295–306 range. A clean daily close below 280 suggests sellers still control liquidity and are likely driving price toward 271 and the 265–255 pocket to reload. Scenarios & targets Bull scenario (pullback holds / absorption confirmed) Trigger: reclaim and hold 295–296 after defending 290–280 (ideally with a strong close back above 295). Upside targets: 295–306 (first re-test / resistance reclaim zone) 333–335 (major supply re-test) Extension if trend resumes: 345+ (only after acceptance above 333) Bear scenario (support breaks / distribution continues) Trigger: daily close below 280 (failed reclaim) = sellers keep control. Downside targets: 271 (first stop/liquidity) 265–255 (next demand pocket; expect reaction here) 200 (gap fill magnet if 255 fails) 193–195 (deeper distribution marker) Invalidation / risk framework For longs: 280 is the line in the sand. Below 280 on a daily closing basis, the probability shifts to a move toward 271 → 265–255. For shorts: 306 is the key reclaim level. Acceptance back above 306 weakens the bearish thesis and increases odds of a 333 retest.
NYSE:GE
by TWMMPRO
TheGrove | GBPUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified Breakout zone GBPUSD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance area.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
7
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) 15-Min Chart – Bullish Continuation SetupGold is trending bullish within an ascending channel after a clear break of structure (BOS) and multiple change of character (CHoCH) confirmations. Price is currently holding above key support around 4930–4922, with upside targets near 4987 and 5098. Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a possible retracement zone before continuation higher. Overall bias remains bullish unless price breaks below the highlighted support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by marcomr
Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB) – Macro Reversal Setup (3D Timeframe)hi traders This technical analysis evaluates the 3-day (3D) chart of GRAB, identifying a potential long-term trend reversal following a significant period of accumulation at historical lows. 1. Technical Setup: The Structural Bottom Since its peak, GRAB has undergone a massive correction and has spent the last several years carving out a definitive floor. Ascending Support: The chart shows a well-defined ascending trendline that has been supporting the price since mid-2022. Every touch of this line has resulted in higher lows, indicating steady accumulation by long-term buyers. The Breakout Pivot: Price is currently pushing through a local consolidation zone around the $4.58 level. A decisive close above the recent local highs confirms that the momentum has shifted from bearish/sideways to bullish. Momentum (RSI): The RSI (14) is trending upward, currently sitting around 45.41. There is ample "room to run" before the stock reaches overbought territory on this macro timeframe. 2. Fibonacci Profit-Taking Targets Based on the Fibonacci retracement levels plotted from the $18.00 high to the $2.27 low, we have identified the following key targets for this recovery cycle: Target 1 (0.786 Fib): $5.64 – Initial major resistance and a psychological level. Target 2 (0.618 Fib): $8.29 – The "Golden Pocket" target, indicated by the red arrow on the chart. This is a high-probability zone for a significant trend test. Target 3 (0.500 Fib): $10.15 – A critical mid-point target marked with a flag, representing a return to double-digit pricing. Target 4 (0.382 Fib): $12.02 – Major structural resistance level. Target 5 (0.236 Fib): $14.32 – Final major target before a potential retest of the all-time highs. 3. Fundamental Context Grab continues to strengthen its position as the leading "super-app" in Southeast Asia. With the company reaching sustained profitability and showing strong growth in both its deliveries and mobility segments, the fundamental floor is now firmly established. This technical breakout aligns with the market's shifting perception of GRAB as a mature, profitable growth entity rather than a speculative startup. Conclusion The 3-Day setup on GRAB presents a classic "rounding bottom" or "ascending triangle" breakout. With the stock successfully holding its macro trendline and beginning to clear local resistance, the path of least resistance points toward the $8.29 and $10.15 Fibonacci levels in the coming quarters.
NASDAQ:GRABLong
by vf_investment
TheGrove | USDJPY Buy | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Long
by TheGrove
1
Copper (HG) – The Macro Breakout (Weekly Timeframe)hi traders If you missed GOLD and SILVER, don't miss on COPPER. This analysis evaluates the long-term price action of Copper, identifying a historic breakout that aligns with a broader commodities supercycle. 1. Market Context: The Metals Bull Run The commodities sector is currently experiencing a powerful synchronized rally. We expect Copper to follow the lead of the Gold and Silver bull markets. As investors seek hedges against monetary debasement and industrial demand for the "green energy transition" intensifies, Copper is positioned to be a primary beneficiary of this capital rotation. 2. Technical Setup: Decades of Consolidation The chart shows that Copper has spent nearly 15 years (2011–2025) consolidating within a massive structural base. The Breakout: Price has decisively cleared the critical $5.92 resistance (marked as the '1' level on the Fibonacci chart). Support Confirmation: We are currently seeing a "breakout and hold" formation. This transition from a decade-long resistance to new support is one of the most powerful bullish signals in technical analysis. Volume: The volume profile indicates significant institutional accumulation over the last several years, providing the "fuel" for the projected upward move. 3. Fibonacci Extension Targets (Next 2-5 Years) Based on the Fibonacci extensions applied to the macro structure, we have identified several high-conviction targets for the coming years. Every level shown is a strategic profit-taking zone: Target 1 (1.618 Fib): $8.39 - The initial objective for the first major leg of the breakout. Target 2 (2.618 Fib): $12.37 - A major structural target where the bull market enters its parabolic phase. Target 3 (3.618 Fib): $16.36 - Long-term value objective. Target 4 (4.236 Fib): $18.82 - The ultimate target for this secular cycle. 4. Fundamental Drivers Supply Deficit: Global copper inventories remain at historical lows while new mining projects face significant lead times. Monetary Correlation: High correlation with precious metals (Gold/Silver) suggests that as long as the broader "hard assets" theme continues, Copper will likely outperform equities. Conclusion Copper is currently "breaking the chains" of a 15-year range. With a confirmed breakout above $5.92 and a supportive macro environment for metals, the path of least resistance is significantly higher. Investors should view the Fibonacci levels up to $18.82 as the roadmap for the next several years of growth.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERLong
by vf_investment
Bitcoin harmonic theory and pathThere's a lot going on in the chart, for now this is my theory. Right now I see an anti Gartley on the chart, we run down into the B area and then bounce, the bounce could take us up into the mid $90Ks which would then close the small CME gap between $92,940 and $93,045 which then forms a Head and shoulders with B being the neckline. As I said above, this is a theory of mine right now, we could also just keep running it down into the D point of the harmonic, but nothing goes up and down in a straight line. My previous post on btc hit on the button and is now closed for me at this point. This isn't financial advice, stay safe.....
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by azda71
8
BTCUSD – Bitcoin / U.S. DollarBTCUSD – Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar Timeframe: 4H Current Price Area: ~88,200 Market Structure The primary structure was bullish, supported by the main ascending red trendline. Price has broken below the red trendline and continued lower, confirming a structural weakness. The descending green trendline now defines the active bearish structure. This is no longer a pure bullish environment. The market is in a corrective / transition phase. Trendline Status (Critical) Red trendlines (bullish structure): First red trendline → broken and closed below ✔ Second lower red trendline → currently acting as major support Green trendline (bearish control): Price is respecting it as resistance No break above yet → bearish pressure remains active According to your rules: 👉 Sell bias remains valid until a confirmed break and close above the green trendline. Key Levels Major support: 85,447 Structural support + lower red trendline confluence This is a make-or-break zone Near resistance: 88,200–89,000 Previous structure + trendline interaction zone Scenario Analysis 🔻 Bearish continuation (still valid) As long as price stays below the green trendline, downside pressure remains. A 4H close below 85,447 would expose deeper continuation lower. 🔺 Bullish recovery (conditional) A clear 4H break and close above the green trendline, followed by holding above it, would: End the bearish correction Open the path for a recovery move toward the upper red trendline area No entry before confirmation. Conclusion Structure: Corrective / Bearish pressure active Trendline bias: Bearish until proven otherwise Key level to watch: 85,447 Strategy: Patience — confirmation only, no anticipation This is a decision zone. Bitcoin is testing structure, not offering easy trades. — Avo.Trades
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by Avo-Trades
FIX – Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE)FIX – Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE) Timeframe: 1D Current Price Area: ~1121 Market Structure The market is in a clear bullish structure. Price is respecting a multi-layer ascending red trendline system, confirming strong institutional accumulation. Higher highs and higher lows remain intact — no structural damage so far. This is a trend continuation market, not a reversal environment. Trendline Status Primary red trendline: Main bullish structure → fully respected. Secondary red trendlines: Acting as dynamic support during pullbacks. Price is currently consolidating above trend support, which is a healthy pause after expansion. No bearish break is present on the daily timeframe. Key Levels Major resistance: 1222.19 Previous high and supply zone. This is the next upside objective once price completes consolidation. Current decision area: ~1120–1140 Acceptance above this zone keeps bullish momentum intact. Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) As long as price holds above the main red trendline, the bullish structure remains active. A daily close with strength above 1120–1140, followed by continuation, opens the path toward 1222.19. Pullbacks toward the red trendlines are structural retracements, not weakness. Invalidation Scenario A daily close below the main red trendline would: Break the bullish structure Shift the market into a corrective or bearish phase Until that happens, selling pressure is considered counter-trend. Conclusion Structure: Bullish Trend condition: Strong continuation Bias: Upward toward 1222.19 Strategy: Follow structure, wait for confirmation after consolidation This chart shows controlled bullish expansion, not exhaustion. — Avo.Trades
NYSE:FIXLong
by Avo-Trades
META – Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ)META – Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ) Timeframe: 1D Current Price Area: ~658.8 Market Structure The primary structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the main ascending red trendline. Price has been in a corrective phase under the descending green bearish trendlines. The correction has compressed price into the red trendline, which is a key structural support area. This is a classic bullish structure + bearish correction setup. Trendline Status Red trendline: Long-term bullish support → still respected. Green trendlines: Bearish corrective pressure → price is approaching a potential break zone. No confirmed daily close above the green trendline yet → bullish continuation is not confirmed, only anticipated. Confirmation is mandatory. Key Levels Major resistance: 761.37 Previous high and strong supply zone. This level is the next upside objective only after confirmation. Current reaction zone: Around the red trendline This is where buyers must defend structure. Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) A daily close above the descending green trendline would confirm: End of the corrective phase Continuation of the primary bullish trend Once confirmed, price can rotate higher toward 761.37 with normal pullbacks along the way. Invalidation Scenario A clean daily close below the red trendline would: Break the bullish structure Shift the market into a bearish/neutral phase Until that happens, bearish continuation is not structurally justified. Conclusion Structure: Bullish (active but corrective) Trendline state: Waiting for confirmation Bias: Bullish continuation after daily break above green trendline Patience required — no anticipation, only confirmation This chart is structurally clean. The market is at a decision zone, not an entry-by-emotion zone. — Avo.Trades
NASDAQ:METALong
by Avo-Trades
TMC – The Metals Company Inc. (NASDAQ)TMC – The Metals Company Inc. (NASDAQ) Timeframe: 4H Current Price Area: ~9.40 Market Structure The broader structure remains bullish. Price is holding above the primary ascending red trendline, which is acting as long-term dynamic support. The descending green trendline (bearish pressure) has been cleanly broken and closed above on the 4H timeframe. This break indicates a shift from corrective phase to bullish continuation. This is not a random breakout — it happens exactly at the intersection of structure support, which adds strong technical validity. Trendline Logic (Key Point) Red trendlines = bullish structure (respected) Green trendline = bearish control (now broken) Break + 4H close above the green trendline = bullish confirmation No entry on the first touch — confirmation already occurred Structure is doing its job correctly. Key Resistance & Upside Objective Major horizontal resistance: 12.55 This level is a previous high + supply zone. As long as price holds above the broken green trendline and above the red trendline: The market remains technically bullish Bias stays upward toward 12.55 Intermediate pauses are normal, but structure favors continuation. Invalidation Scenario A 4H close back below the broken green trendline would weaken the bullish case. A clean break and close below the main red trendline would invalidate the bullish structure entirely and flip bias bearish. Until then, bearish setups are not justified. Conclusion Structure: Bullish Trendline status: Confirmed bullish break Bias: Continuation toward 12.55 Market behavior: Healthy impulse after structural break This is a textbook example of trendline break + structure support alignment. Patience is required — no chasing, no emotional entries. — Avo.Trades
NASDAQ:TMCLong
by Avo-Trades
BTC Rejected at $91K, $80K Range Low Now in Focusitcoin continues to show weakness after a low-volume bounce failed into the $91,000 resistance, reinforcing bearish control at the top of the current range. Price is now trading below the Point of Control (POC), which signals that the market is accepting lower value rather than building strength for a breakout. Key Levels to Watch: - $91,000: resistance zone where the bounce failed - POC: key pivot now acting as overhead pressure - $80,000: range-low liquidity target and next major magnet From a technical perspective, the bounce into $91K lacked conviction. The absence of strong bullish volume confirms that buyers are not stepping in aggressively at the current highs, making the recovery attempt look corrective rather than impulsive. When price fails to reclaim the POC, it often signals that demand is weak and that sellers remain in control of the range. This structure keeps the downside scenario active. With BTC trading below value and unable to regain acceptance, the probability increases for a continued rotation lower, targeting $80,000, which represents the range low and a major liquidity zone. Unless Bitcoin reclaims the POC and holds above it with volume-backed follow-through, the market remains vulnerable to deeper downside expansion in the coming weeks.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
1