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Harmonic Patterns

BTC RetracementThis is the first time I publish BTC analysis. I estimated BTC will attack that red box you see in on the chart from the green box but since I dont trade BTC I didnt publish that instead played with Eıgen and now I regret it. That analyse would be cool :) this time I waiting for pullback to 112 800-112 500 liquidation level. But anyway I wont trade it. GOOD LUCK Always manage your own risks this is not a investment advise I am not responsible neither your loss nor profit.
Short
by BayirKurdu
UKOIL H4 | Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 67.65, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 68.69, which is a swing high resistance level. Take profit is at 65.78, which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:UKOILShort
by Tradu
DXY 4H Outlook – Key Levels & Potential Scenarios💡 DXY 4H Outlook – Key Levels & Potential Scenarios Price is currently testing an important supply zone (97.7 – 98.0) after showing a strong recovery. From here, I’m watching two possible outcomes: 🔼 Bullish Scenario If buyers manage to hold above the 97.7 – 98.0 supply zone, we could see continuation toward the next major resistance between 98.2 – 98.6. Break & retest of 98.0 would be a strong confirmation for buyers. 🔽 Bearish Scenario If the 97.7 – 98.0 area rejects strongly, price could reverse back down toward the demand zone (96.4 – 96.6) for liquidity grab. This zone has previously acted as a strong reaction point. ⚔️ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 98.0 | 98.2 | 98.6 Support: 97.4 | 96.6 📊 This setup gives both bulls and bears opportunities depending on how price reacts at these zones. ✅ If you enjoy this type of analysis, make sure to follow me so you don’t miss the next updates. 💼 For those who want account management services (personal or funded accounts), feel free to reach out – I can help you grow consistently with risk management and proven strategies.
TVC:DXYLong
by ntulilwageophrey
GBPJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 200.05, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 201.22, which acts as a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 198.03, which is a multi swing low support that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
ETHUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on Ethereum? Ethereum has recently broken above the key resistance area near 4100, printing a new high slightly above the previous peak. After this breakout, price action has entered a corrective phase, suggesting a healthy pullback. This correction is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, which may act as a continuation setup. As long as ETH remains above the highlighted support zone, the bullish scenario remains valid. A confirmed breakout from the flag formation could trigger the next impulsive wave, potentially leading to fresh all-time highs. Keep a close eye on the flag breakout and watch for bullish momentum to resume once the consolidation completes. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
24
KIWI H4 | Could we see a bullish reversal?The price is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the upside. Buy entry is at 0.5837, which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 0.5784, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 0.5913, which is a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish reversalThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside. Buy entry is at 0.6567, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6511, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6636, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY H4 | Approaching major resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards the sell entry which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection, and could reverse from this level to the take profit. Sell entry is at 148.84, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss is at 150.72, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 147.44, which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
USDCHF H4 | Bearish reversalUSD/CHF is rising towards the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and oculd reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 0.7985, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.8066, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 0.7918, which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
USDJPY – Three Drives with Smart-Money InsightsMost traders only recognize the classic, symmetrical Three Drives pattern. This chart clearly shows how asymmetrical variations occur: Drive 1 & 2 → highs almost perfectly aligned with classic Fibonacci levels → symmetrical Drive 3 (final low) → market reverses earlier than the ideal symmetrical zone (1.272–1.618 extension), here around the 0.990 extension → asymmetric Meaning: The structure remains valid, only the last drive is shortened. Typical in Smart-Money-driven markets – liquidity gets absorbed before the “perfect” Fibonacci target is reached. Trigger Zone: The 147.770 zone (from my older chart) acts as a key level (neckline / demand zone). As long as this holds, the bullish scenario remains active with targets at 149.1 – 150.5. Takeaways for traders: Symmetrical = classic Fibonacci zones Asymmetrical = Smart-Money variations, market reacts early False breakouts = not a failure, part of market structure Visual cues for followers: Symmetry lines → Drives 1 & 2 Asymmetric line → Drive 3 pivot Rectangle → trigger zone Arrows → potential impulsive move upwards
Long
by WERKTrader
2
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish drop from resistanceGBP/USD is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 1.3512, which is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss is at 1.3911, which is a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.3394, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
"Don't Fade This Rejection! FVG Confirms the Drop"Based on the provided chart and the concept of Fair Value Gaps (FVG), the primary target for this short setup would be the bottom of the FVG itself. Traders who use this strategy believe the market will act as a "magnet" and pull price down to "fill" or "rebalance" the inefficiency created by the gap. Therefore, the most logical and immediate target is the price level at which the FVG is considered "filled." A more ambitious target could be a lower liquidity zone or a subsequent FVG below the current one. However, the initial and most conservative target is the bottom of the visible FVG. Key level are : Target 1) 1.3412 Target 2) 1.3380 Target 3) 1.3363 Educational setup and Guidance only.
Short
by SmartEdgeTrading
EURUSD H4 | Bearish drop confirmedEUR/USD has reacted off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and oculd drop from this levle to the take profit. Sell entry is at 1.1773, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.1867, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% FIbonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.1678, whichis an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Understanding Currency Derivatives: Types and Trading Roles1. Types of Currency Derivatives Currency derivatives come in several forms, each designed to serve specific purposes. The main types are: 1.1 Currency Forward Contracts What they are: A forward contract is a private agreement between two parties to exchange a specific amount of currency at a predetermined rate on a future date. Key features: Customized terms (amount, rate, settlement date) Traded over-the-counter (OTC), not on exchanges Use in trade: Companies use forwards to hedge against currency fluctuations. For example, an exporter expecting $100,000 in 3 months can lock in a rate today, ensuring revenue stability regardless of market movements. 1.2 Currency Futures What they are: Futures are standardized contracts to buy or sell a currency at a fixed price on a future date. They are traded on exchanges, unlike forwards. Key features: Standard contract sizes Daily settlement (marked-to-market) Reduced counterparty risk due to exchange involvement Use in trade: Futures allow both hedgers and speculators to manage risk. For example, an importer can lock in costs for future purchases in foreign currency using futures contracts. 1.3 Currency Options What they are: Options give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a currency at a specific price within a certain period. Types: Call option: Right to buy Put option: Right to sell Use in trade: Options are popular for hedging with flexibility. For example, an exporter may buy a put option to protect against a falling foreign currency while still benefiting if the currency rises. 1.4 Currency Swaps What they are: A swap is a contract to exchange cash flows in one currency for cash flows in another over a period. Key features: Can involve both principal and interest Often used between banks or large corporations Use in trade: Swaps help companies obtain foreign currency loans at better rates than borrowing directly in foreign markets. 1.5 Cross-Currency Contracts What they are: These contracts allow the exchange of currencies without involving a common base currency like the USD. Use in trade: Useful for companies trading between countries whose currencies are not widely paired, e.g., INR and JPY. 2. Role of Currency Derivatives in Trade Currency derivatives serve multiple roles in global commerce: 2.1 Hedging Against Currency Risk Companies engaging in international trade face unpredictable currency movements. By locking in exchange rates using derivatives, businesses stabilize revenue and costs. Example: An Indian IT company exporting to Europe can hedge against the euro weakening against the rupee. 2.2 Speculation Traders and investors use currency derivatives to bet on currency movements to make profits. Speculation adds liquidity to the market, which indirectly benefits businesses by making it easier to execute hedging strategies. Example: A trader may buy USD futures if they anticipate the dollar will rise against the rupee. 2.3 Arbitrage Opportunities Arbitrage involves exploiting price differences in the same currency across different markets. Currency derivatives allow arbitrageurs to profit from mismatches while keeping markets efficient. Example: If EUR/USD is slightly higher in one exchange than another, a trader can simultaneously buy low and sell high. 2.4 Portfolio Diversification Investors use currency derivatives to diversify their portfolios by gaining exposure to foreign currencies. This can help mitigate risks from domestic market volatility and improve returns. Example: A mutual fund in India may use currency options to reduce risk exposure from foreign investments. 3. Market Participants The main participants in currency derivatives markets include: Hedgers – Companies or institutions aiming to reduce currency risk. Speculators – Traders aiming to profit from currency movements. Arbitrageurs – Market participants exploiting price differences across markets. Market Makers – Entities providing liquidity, ensuring smoother trading operations. 4. Regulatory Framework In India, currency derivatives are regulated by: SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India): Ensures transparency and fair trading practices. RBI (Reserve Bank of India): Ensures participants have genuine foreign currency exposure to prevent excessive speculation. This regulatory framework ensures the market remains safe, transparent, and reliable. 5. Advantages of Currency Derivatives Risk Management: Protects businesses against unexpected currency fluctuations. Flexibility: Especially with options, businesses can choose to benefit from favorable movements while limiting losses. Liquidity: Standardized contracts in futures and options provide liquidity to the market. Efficient Global Trade: Reduces uncertainty in cross-border transactions, encouraging international business. 6. Challenges and Risks Market Risk: Currency values can be volatile; wrong predictions can lead to losses. Counterparty Risk: In OTC contracts, one party may default. Complexity: Some derivatives like swaps are complex and require expertise. Regulatory Constraints: In some countries, rules may limit derivative usage or impose restrictions. Conclusion Currency derivatives are indispensable tools for modern international trade. They allow businesses to manage risk, stabilize cash flows, and plan effectively. At the same time, they provide opportunities for traders and investors to profit from currency movements and engage in arbitrage. By understanding and using these instruments responsibly, companies can reduce uncertainty in global transactions, while financial markets benefit from improved liquidity and efficiency. With increasing globalization and cross-border trade, the importance of currency derivatives will continue to grow, making them a critical part of financial markets worldwide.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Global Trade Policies & Tariffs1. Understanding Global Trade Policies Global trade policies are essentially the rules of the game for international commerce. They define how countries engage with one another in importing and exporting goods, services, and capital. At their core, trade policies serve three key purposes: Promote growth: Encouraging exports to stimulate domestic industries. Protect interests: Safeguarding local businesses, farmers, and workers from foreign competition. Manage relationships: Using trade as a diplomatic tool to strengthen alliances or apply pressure. Key Elements of Trade Policies Tariffs: Taxes on imports or exports. Quotas: Limits on how much of a product can be imported. Subsidies: Government support to domestic producers to make them more competitive. Standards & regulations: Rules on safety, health, environment, or labor to control imports. Trade agreements: Formal pacts between countries to lower barriers. Every nation designs its trade policy according to its economic priorities, political ideology, and stage of development. For instance, emerging economies often protect infant industries, while developed economies push for free trade in areas where they hold an advantage. 2. Evolution of Global Trade Regulations Trade has always been political. From the mercantilist policies of the 16th–18th centuries, where nations hoarded gold and silver through strict trade control, to the modern era of globalization, trade policies have continuously evolved. Key Historical Stages Mercantilism (1500s–1700s): Governments restricted imports and promoted exports to accumulate wealth. Colonies were forced to trade only with their mother countries. Free Trade Movement (1800s): Thinkers like Adam Smith and David Ricardo argued for specialization and comparative advantage, paving the way for free trade ideologies. Post-WWII Era (1945 onwards): To avoid economic conflicts that caused wars, nations built institutions like the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), later replaced by the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995. Globalization Wave (1990s–2000s): The collapse of the Soviet Union and rise of China fueled rapid global trade expansion. Free trade agreements like NAFTA (North America Free Trade Agreement) became common. Trade Wars & Nationalism (2010s–2020s): Countries like the U.S. and China used tariffs strategically, sparking disputes. This era saw rising skepticism about globalization, leading to “reshoring” and “friend-shoring.” 3. The Role of Tariffs Tariffs are one of the oldest and most powerful tools in global trade policy. They are essentially taxes placed on imported goods (and sometimes exports). Types of Tariffs Ad Valorem Tariff: A percentage of the value of the good (e.g., 10% tax on imported cars). Specific Tariff: A fixed fee per unit (e.g., $5 per imported smartphone). Compound Tariff: Combination of both (e.g., 5% + $2 per unit). Objectives of Tariffs Protect domestic industries: By making imports more expensive, governments encourage people to buy local products. Revenue generation: Historically, tariffs were a major source of government income. Strategic leverage: Tariffs can be used as bargaining chips in trade negotiations or political disputes. Example: U.S.–China Trade War In 2018, the U.S. imposed tariffs on billions of dollars worth of Chinese goods to address trade imbalances and alleged intellectual property theft. China retaliated with tariffs on U.S. agricultural exports. This trade war disrupted global supply chains and showed how tariffs can reshape international business strategies. 4. Free Trade vs Protectionism Trade policies are often framed as a tug-of-war between free trade and protectionism. Free Trade Encourages open markets with minimal restrictions. Benefits consumers through lower prices and wider choices. Promotes efficiency as countries specialize in what they do best. Examples: WTO principles, EU’s single market, NAFTA/USMCA. Protectionism Uses tariffs, quotas, and regulations to shield domestic industries. Helps safeguard jobs and nurture emerging industries. Can prevent economic dependence on foreign nations. Examples: India’s tariff policies on agricultural goods, U.S. steel tariffs. In reality, most countries adopt a hybrid model — promoting free trade in areas of strength while protecting vulnerable sectors. 5. Modern Trade Agreements Trade agreements are vital in today’s interconnected world. They aim to reduce trade barriers and set common rules. Types of Agreements Bilateral Agreements: Between two countries (e.g., U.S.–Japan Trade Agreement). Regional Agreements: Among groups of countries (e.g., European Union, African Continental Free Trade Area). Multilateral Agreements: Global deals under organizations like the WTO. Notable Trade Agreements European Union (EU): A single market allowing free movement of goods, services, capital, and people. NAFTA/USMCA: A pact between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, updated in 2020. RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership): The world’s largest trade pact involving Asia-Pacific nations, including China, Japan, and ASEAN members. CPTPP (Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership): Another major Asia-Pacific deal excluding the U.S. after its withdrawal. Such agreements often go beyond tariffs, covering intellectual property, digital trade, environmental standards, and labor rights. 6. Economic & Social Impact of Trade Policies Trade policies and tariffs directly influence economies and societies. Positive Impacts Economic growth: Exports create jobs and stimulate innovation. Consumer benefits: Access to affordable and diverse products. Global cooperation: Trade agreements often improve diplomatic ties. Negative Impacts Job displacement: Cheaper imports can hurt domestic industries (e.g., U.S. manufacturing jobs lost due to Chinese imports). Inequality: Benefits may concentrate in certain sectors or regions. Trade wars: Retaliatory tariffs can escalate into global slowdowns. 7. Challenges in Today’s Trade Environment The global trade landscape faces new challenges beyond traditional tariffs. Geopolitical Tensions: U.S.–China rivalry, Russia–Ukraine war, and Middle East conflicts affect trade flows. Supply Chain Disruptions: Pandemic and climate events exposed vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Technology & Digital Trade: E-commerce and data flows need updated trade rules. Environmental Concerns: Policies like the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) link trade with climate action. Rise of Protectionism: More nations are reconsidering free trade in favor of national security and resilience. 8. Future of Global Trade Policies & Tariffs The future of trade is being reshaped by three key forces: Technology: Digital trade agreements, blockchain-based customs, and AI-driven supply chain management. Sustainability: Green tariffs, carbon credits, and trade policies linked to climate goals. Geopolitical Realignment: Regional blocs like BRICS+ and RCEP may challenge Western dominance in trade. We may see a world where: Tariffs are replaced with non-tariff barriers like environmental or digital standards. Supply chains shift toward “friend-shoring” (trading with allies) instead of global dependence. Trade policies integrate AI, data security, and green technology standards. Conclusion Global trade policies and tariffs remain one of the most powerful tools in shaping the world economy. They reflect a balancing act: protecting domestic interests while engaging with global opportunities. From the mercantilist era to modern digital trade, these policies have continuously evolved to match economic priorities, political pressures, and technological changes. The story of tariffs and trade agreements is not just about economics — it is about power, security, and survival in a rapidly changing world. As countries move toward a future of green economies, digital commerce, and geopolitical realignments, trade policies will continue to decide winners and losers in the global marketplace.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Emerging Market Impact1. Defining Emerging Markets The term “emerging markets” (EMs) was first coined in the 1980s by Antoine van Agtmael of the International Finance Corporation to describe developing countries that offered investment opportunities. Key Features of Emerging Markets: Rapid Economic Growth – Higher GDP growth rates compared to developed economies. Industrialization – Transition from agriculture-driven economies to manufacturing and services. Urbanization – Large-scale migration from rural to urban areas. Expanding Middle Class – Rising income levels and consumer demand. Financial Market Development – Stock exchanges, bond markets, and banking systems are evolving. Volatility & Risk – Political instability, weaker institutions, and external dependence. Examples: China & India: Asia’s powerhouses, shaping global trade and technology. Brazil & Mexico: Latin American giants with commodity and manufacturing influence. South Africa & Nigeria: African leaders in mining, oil, and population growth. Turkey & Poland: Bridging Europe and Asia with strategic significance. 2. Economic Impact of Emerging Markets Emerging markets are no longer just the “junior players” of the global economy—they are becoming growth engines. Contribution to Global GDP In 2000, EMs accounted for about 24% of global GDP. By 2025, they contribute nearly 40–45% of global GDP, with China and India leading. Consumption Power By 2030, EMs are expected to account for two-thirds of global middle-class consumption. Rising disposable incomes mean demand for cars, housing, technology, and branded goods. Labor & Demographics EMs often have younger populations compared to aging developed economies. India, for instance, has a median age of around 28, compared to 38 in the U.S. and 47 in Japan. This “demographic dividend” fuels productivity and innovation. Industrial & Tech Transformation China became the “world’s factory” over the past three decades. India has emerged as a global IT hub. Countries like Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Mexico are rising as new manufacturing centers. 3. Financial Impact Emerging markets play a huge role in global financial markets, attracting foreign investment while also creating risks. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) EMs attract trillions in FDI, driven by cheaper labor, large markets, and natural resources. For example, multinational giants like Apple, Tesla, and Unilever rely heavily on EM production bases. Stock Market Growth Exchanges like Shanghai, Bombay, São Paulo, and Johannesburg have grown rapidly. MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a benchmark followed by global investors. Volatility & Risk EM currencies (like the Indian Rupee, Brazilian Real, Turkish Lira) are prone to fluctuations. Debt crises (Argentina, Turkey) show vulnerabilities. Political instability often creates market shocks. Capital Flows EMs depend heavily on global liquidity. U.S. interest rate hikes often lead to capital outflows from EMs, weakening currencies and causing crises (e.g., 2013 taper tantrum). 4. Trade & Globalization Emerging markets are deeply tied to global trade flows. Supply Chains China dominates electronics, steel, and textiles. Vietnam and Bangladesh are global clothing suppliers. Mexico and Poland are key auto manufacturing hubs. Commodities Brazil and Argentina are agricultural superpowers. Russia, South Africa, and Nigeria export oil, gas, and minerals. This creates a commodity cycle linkage: when EM demand rises, commodity prices soar globally. Trade Balances Many EMs run surpluses due to strong exports (China, Vietnam). Others run deficits due to import dependency (India, Turkey). 5. Social & Development Impact Emerging markets impact society in profound ways. Poverty Reduction: Millions lifted out of poverty in China and India. Urbanization: Creation of megacities like Shanghai, Mumbai, São Paulo. Education & Skills: Expanding universities and digital adoption. Technology Leapfrogging: Africa moving directly from no-banking to mobile payments (M-Pesa). Health Improvements: Longer life expectancy and reduced infant mortality. However, inequality persists—rapid growth often benefits urban elites more than rural poor. 6. Geopolitical & Strategic Impact Emerging markets are not just economic stories—they influence geopolitics. China’s Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) expands infrastructure and political influence. India plays a balancing role between the U.S. and China. BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) aims to counter Western dominance. EMs often act as swing players in global institutions (IMF, WTO, UN). Their rising clout is shifting the balance of power from West to East and South. 7. Environmental & Sustainability Impact Emerging markets are at the heart of the climate challenge. They are major contributors to carbon emissions (China is #1). At the same time, they are most vulnerable to climate change—floods, heatwaves, droughts. Many EMs are investing in renewables (India’s solar parks, Brazil’s ethanol, China’s EVs). ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) investing is influencing EM companies to adopt greener practices. 8. Risks of Emerging Markets While EMs offer opportunities, they also carry risks: Political Instability – Coups, corruption, weak institutions. Currency Volatility – Sharp depreciations can trigger crises. Debt Burden – External borrowing creates vulnerability. Trade Dependency – Heavy reliance on exports makes them vulnerable to global slowdowns. Regulatory Uncertainty – Sudden changes in policies discourage investors. Geopolitical Conflicts – Wars, sanctions, and trade wars hit EM economies hard. 9. Opportunities in Emerging Markets For investors, EMs present high-growth opportunities: Consumer Markets: Rising middle class drives demand for luxury goods, smartphones, healthcare, and education. Infrastructure Development: Roads, ports, power plants—huge investment needs. Digital Economy: E-commerce, fintech, mobile banking booming. Energy Transition: Renewable energy projects are scaling fast. Venture Capital: Startups in India, Africa, and Latin America are attracting global funding. 10. Future Outlook By 2050, many emerging markets could dominate the global economy. China: May remain the largest economy. India: Could surpass the U.S. in GDP by mid-century. Africa: With the fastest population growth, could be the new frontier. Latin America: If political stability improves, it could rise as a major supplier of food and energy. However, the path will not be smooth. EMs must balance growth with sustainability, strengthen institutions, and manage geopolitical tensions. Conclusion The impact of emerging markets is one of the most important forces shaping the 21st century. They are no longer passive participants but active shapers of trade, finance, technology, and geopolitics. Their rise has created new opportunities for businesses and investors but also introduced new risks and uncertainties. In simple terms, the story of emerging markets is the story of the future of the global economy. They bring growth, innovation, and dynamism—but also complexity and volatility. Anyone interested in trade, finance, or policy must pay close attention to these rising economies, because their impact is already being felt everywhere—from Wall Street to Silicon Valley, from African villages to Asian megacities.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
ZKUSDT — Descending Triangle Key Support, Breakout or Breakdown?Full Analysis On the 2-day timeframe, ZKUSDT is forming a very clear descending triangle pattern: Downtrend line (yellow) shows sellers’ dominance with consecutive lower highs. Horizontal support zone (yellow box 0.0366 – 0.0531) is still being defended multiple times, showing that buyers are not giving up. Price is now moving near the triangle apex, meaning a major decision point is approaching soon. 📉 Traditionally, descending triangles lean bearish, but in crypto markets, bullish fakeouts often happen when buyers step in strongly around critical demand zones. --- Pattern and Market Dynamics 1. Volatility Compression: Price range is narrowing, volume decreasing — a build-up phase before an explosive move. 2. Buyer Defense: The 0.0366 – 0.0531 support zone has become a crucial demand area. Each dip has been absorbed by buyers. 3. Seller Pressure: Meanwhile, sellers consistently push price lower, creating the descending trendline. 4. Apex Zone: The convergence of trendline and support will decide the next major direction. --- Bullish Scenario If price closes a 2D candle above the descending trendline with strong volume, then: Immediate upside targets: 0.0653 (minor resistance) 0.0800 (psychological level & supply zone) 0.0943 (strong resistance) Extended targets: 0.1094 → if the altcoin market recovers further 0.1451 → confirmation of a medium-term reversal From the current level, upside potential could reach +170% if the bullish scenario fully plays out. --- Bearish Scenario If price closes below the support box (0.0366 – 0.0531) and confirms with selling volume, then: Initial target: 0.0366 (recent low) Next target: around 0.0200 (psychological zone) Extreme case: down to 0.0100 if panic selling occurs From current levels, downside risk could be as deep as −80% in a worst-case breakdown scenario. --- Pattern Conclusion Descending Triangle = Neutral–Bearish bias, but no breakout yet. Price is entering the “last squeeze” phase — the market is about to decide direction in the coming weeks. Breakout or breakdown with volume will be the ultimate confirmation. --- Strategy & Risk Management Conservative traders: Wait for breakout/breakdown confirmation on the 2D close, enter on the retest with a tight stop-loss. Aggressive traders: Can start accumulating near support with SL below 0.0366, targeting 0.0653–0.0800. Reminder: Fakeouts are common in descending triangles — do not over-leverage without confirmation. --- ZKSync (ZKUSDT, 2D) is standing at a major crossroad. A descending triangle is nearing its apex, with sellers pressing down and buyers defending the key 0.0366 – 0.0531 support. Bullish case: breakout above trendline → targets 0.0653 – 0.1451 Bearish case: breakdown below support → targets 0.0366 down to 0.0200 or even 0.0100 🚨 The next move will decide: is ZK ready for a major rally, or a deeper fall? Watch the 2D close + volume for confirmation. #ZKSync #ZKUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #Altcoins #DescendingTriangle #CryptoBreakout #SupportResistance
Long
by CryptoNuclear
Heading into major resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 148.88 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 150.74 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level. Take profit: 147.08 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets