PLATINUM The Bull Cycle still has some room to go.Platinum (XPTUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 16 2020 market bottom. With the support of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it's been on its technical Bullish Leg since the April 07 2025 Higher Low.
The previous Bullish Leg peaked on a +135.93% rise. With the 1D RSI sequences among the two Bullish Legs similar, we also expect the current one to have one final push to give before completing a +135.93% rise at the top of the Channel Up. Our Target before that happens is $2000.
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Harmonic Patterns
XAUUSD update 1h Chart The price is in a short-term ascending channel, marked by your blue parallel lines. The candles show consistent higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish momentum.
2. Key Levels Highlighted on Chart
Upper resistance zone: ~ 4265–4280
(Thick purple zone at the top; price is approaching this area)
Lower support zone: ~ 4160–4180
(Thick purple zone at the bottom)
These zones indicate past strong reactions (buying and selling pressure).
3. Price Reaction Expectation
The blue drawing shows two potential scenarios:
Scenario A – Bullish breakout
If price breaks above the channel + resistance zone, then:
This signals continuation of the uptrend.
Next upside target would likely be 4300+.
Scenario B – Bearish reversal (most likely according to your structure)
Your blue arrows suggest:
The price may touch the upper resistance, then reject.
A decline toward the 4204 area first (minor support).
Further drop into 4160–4180 (major support zone).
This aligns with:
The rising wedge–like structure (which often breaks down)
Exhaustion at a high-timeframe resistance.
4. Indicators on Chart
Red arrow signal at prior top → selling pressure.
Green arrow signal near bottom → buying pressure.
These confirm that the purple zones are strong supply/demand.
5. What the Structure Suggests
The pattern looks like a bearish rising wedge, which typically breaks downward. If price stalls or prints long wicks near the 4260–4280 zone, a correction is likely.
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📉 Summary
Most probable path:
✔ Price tests upper resistance → rejects → drops toward 4200 and then 4170 support.
Alternative:
✔ Strong breakout above 4280 → bullish continuation.
APPLE Just formed its Cycle Top. Best sell opportunity is here.Almost 3 months ago (September 19, see chart below), we gave a buy signal on Apple Inc. (AAPL), which recently hit our final $290 Target:
This week we go back to the long-term 1W time-frame as the Bullish Leg (green) since the April 07 bottom just hit the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 4-year Channel Up.
The 2023 Bullish Leg also peaked on its 1.236 Fibonacci extension and eventually corrected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), hitting its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at the same time. The 2022 and early 2025 Bearish Legs even broke below the 1W MA50 and bottomed after a minimum -32.05% decline. The April 2025 bottom even hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
All of those Channel Up (Cycle) Tops have taken place while the 1W RSI broke above the overbought level (70.00). This has already taken place since last week and we also se the 1W MACD to start reversing, which is something that has also happened every time after a Top.
Based on all the above evidence (1.236 Fib hit, Channel Up top hit, 1W RSI overbought, 1W MACD reversing), we expect Apple to start a long-term correction (Bear Cycle), technically the new Bearish Leg of the 4-year Channel Up and initially make contact with the 1W MA50 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $236.00. If the price closes a 1W candle below the 1W MA50, then we expect a second Target to be fulfilled at the bottom of the Channel Up at $200, below the 1W MA200 but still almost -32.00% from the top.
The most efficient long-term buy signal is perhaps given by the 1W RSI again, when it hits the 33.20 Support. Use that to time your buy entry accordingly.
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BITCOIN — THE MARKET IS APPROACHING ITS REAL DECISION POINTTraders,
We dumped. Now Bitcoin is grinding through a controlled recovery. The important question is not simply if we move higher. The real question is where the market will reveal its true intention. The chart is giving us a very clean map and the next major decision point is already forming.
1. The structure so far
Bitcoin sold off aggressively, found real buyers, and reclaimed the breakdown wick. That reclaim shows that the low was bought by spot demand rather than mechanical short covering.
Price is now pushing into a zone where the next expansion will be decided. The recovery itself is not the interesting part. The levels above and below are.
2. The major checkpoint above: 104k to 105k
This zone is extremely important. Two strong pieces of confluence meet here:
The 0.886 of the A to B retracement
The 1.618 extension of the impulse move you marked with the arrows
This creates a clean Potential Reversal Zone.
What this means:
If the market rejects 104k to 105k structurally, the next major destination becomes the lower imbalance cluster around 64k. That would be a true higher timeframe unwind because the entire path down is filled with thin volume and inefficient price action.
If Bitcoin breaks above 105k with flow support, then the next magnets open up immediately.
3. Targets above
If price accepts above the 104k to 105k PRZ:
First target area
Around 116k to 118k where we have a liquidity pocket and HTF inefficiencies.
Second target area
123k to 125k where a swing failure pattern is very likely. This is a weak high with resting liquidity and a natural magnet for price during bullish expansions.
At target two I expect the first serious reaction because of the liquidity sitting above the weak high.
4. Order flow confirms accumulation not distribution
Looking at the CVD grids:
Spot CVD is trending lower while price holds steady. This is a sign of absorption because someone is taking the other side of the selling.
Stablecoin margined CVD continues lower but without price following.
Coin margined CVD is sweeping lows with no breakdown in price.
This creates a hidden bullish divergence across the board.
Open interest also supports this view:
Stablecoin margined OI remains high which means traders did not exit during the dump.
Coin margined OI is slowly building which often appears before directional expansion.
This is not the profile of a market preparing for distribution. It is the profile of a market preparing for a move.
5. CME chart: AVWAP support from the last major swing
On CME, the AVWAP anchored from the previous major swing low to swing high is still holding as support. CME often leads during inflection zones. As long as this AVWAP holds, the market is positioned in a continuation PRZ rather than a breakdown PRZ.
If CME loses this AVWAP, the cascade scenario strengthens. As long as it holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
6. What happens if we break down instead
if Bitcoin fails to reclaim structure and breaks back down, the following levels become active:
83k to 84k
This is the shallow retrace zone and the first structural catch.
81k to 82k
This area contains the 1.113 extension and a previously unfilled FVG.
79k to 80k
This is the 1.272 level and a strong imbalance pocket.
72k to 73k
This contains the 1.414 extension and the next clean liquidity cluster.
64k
This is the 1.618 extension and the final major downside target. It aligns with the strong HTF imbalance that has never been fully tested.
A rejection from 104k to 105k can eventually lead price through these levels in sequence because the entire zone from 90k down to 70k contains thin volume. There is not much structural support built on the way up.
7. Real time confirmation tools
Watch these signals when we approach the 104k to 105k decision zone:
Spot CVD rising means continuation likelihood increases
Funding staying negative means shorts are still stuck
OI rising with price means momentum is building
CVD stalling or rolling over at 104k to 105k means rejection risk is high
CME AVWAP reclaim or failure will guide direction
If buyers hold flow above 105k, the path to 117k and then 124k is clean.
If buyers fail and we reject 105k with aggressive selling, the path down becomes active.
Final view
Bitcoin is approaching one of the most important technical levels on the chart.
We dumped on real flow.
We recovered on spot demand.
Now the market is converging toward the 104k to 105k PRZ where a true decision will be made.
Break above and the next magnets are 117k and 124k with a likely swing failure at the second target.
Reject and the lower zones activate with 64k as the eventual HTF destination.
This is the map. The levels are clear.
TLDR
BTC is recovering with spot support
104k to 105k is the major PRZ
Break above: targets at 116k to 118k and 123k to 125k
Reject here: downside levels at 83k, 82k, 80k, 73k and 64k
Order flow is showing hidden bullish divergence
CME AVWAP is holding which keeps the bullish narrative alive
The market leaves its footprints long before it shows its direction. Read the sands, follow the flow and stay prepared.
- ThetaNomad
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If you enjoy this style of analysis feel free to leave a like or comment. It lets me know you find value in these deeper structural and flow based breakdowns.
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XAUUSD – Breakout → Retest → Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has broken above previous liquidity highs around 4,247 – 4,255, confirming bullish strength after a strong upward continuation.
Price is now retesting the fresh demand zone around 4,240–4,242 — as long as this support holds, upside continuation remains valid.
Bullish Setup
📍 Entry Zone: 4,240 – 4,242 retest
🎯 Target 1: 4,255
🎯 Target 2 (Final): 4,263+
❌ Invalidation: Clean break below 4,229 support
Structural Notes
Liquidity grab above previous ATH → bullish sentiment
Break, retest and continuation pattern cleanly visible
Demand unmitigated beneath price = buyers still active
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
$GLD – Multiple Breakouts Converging: Flag + Trendline + Gap FilGold ( AMEX:GLD ) is triggering one of the cleanest breakout setups on the entire market right now. We're getting a flag breakout, a longer-term trendline break, and we’re pushing straight into a gap fill from October 20th — all at the same time.
This is the kind of confluence I dream about.
🔹 The Setup (Perfect Storm):
Flag breakout: Tight consolidation resolving to the upside.
Major trendline break: Longer-term resistance finally giving way.
Gap fill trigger: Entering the October 20th gap — once inside, price often accelerates.
Rising EMAs underneath = structural momentum.
This is big-time swing trade stuff.
🔹 Why This Chart Matters:
The entire precious metals complex is heating up.
Silver already broke out — gold often follows and trends harder.
Macro tailwinds (inflation whispers, deficits, dollar wobble) are fueling demand.
🔹 How I’m Trading It (Progressive Exposure):
1️⃣ Starter Position: Bought $400 GLD calls last week.
2️⃣ Futures Position: Long AMEX:MGC for premarket flexibility.
3️⃣ Pyramiding Plan: As the setup improves — more confirmation, more levels break — I add to the trade.
I don’t go full-size at entry.
I scale in as the trade proves itself.
This is the exact progressive exposure method I’ve used for 15+ years.
🔹 Risk:
Stop beneath the 9 EMA on the daily for my futures position.
GLD calls are defined-risk by nature.
This is the real deal — the type of breakout where gold can trend for weeks.
The upward trend of the euro has continued to strengthen.(I) Policy Divergence: "Fed Dovish + ECB Stable" Pattern Continues to Strengthen
Policy differentiation between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) has emerged as the core driver of the euro's upside. The Fed implemented a 25-basis-point rate cut in October, and market pricing now implies an over 80% probability of another cut in December. Multiple key Fed officials have released explicit easing signals: New York Fed President John Williams confirmed the possibility of a December rate cut, while San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly emphasized the need to guard against risks of a deteriorating labor market, firmly supporting a rate cut next month.
In contrast, the ECB has kept its key interest rate unchanged at 2% for three consecutive meetings. ECB President Christine Lagarde clearly stated that "current interest rate levels are sufficient to drive inflation back to the target," and Governing Council member Gediminas Šimkus stressed that discussions on rate cuts are "premature." Institutions predict the ECB may maintain the 2% rate until 2027. The continuous convergence of U.S.-Eurozone interest rate spreads has steadily eroded the dollar's interest rate advantage, providing sustained policy support for the euro's short-term strength.
(II) Technical Pattern: Bullish Structure Takes Shape After Breakthrough Confirmation
EUR/USD has displayed clear bullish signals on the technical front. On the daily chart, the exchange rate successfully broke through and retested a descending wedge pattern, currently firmly standing above the 21-day moving average (a dynamic support level), with the 100-day moving average emerging as a key short-term resistance awaiting a breakthrough.
From an indicator perspective: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has rebounded to the 55 range, reflecting an optimistic yet non-overheated state with room for further upside; the MACD has turned positive near the zero line, with red histograms gradually expanding, indicating sustained improvement in momentum signals.
In terms of key levels: 1.16500 has broken above the upper edge of the previous consolidation range, with the 1.1600–1.1620 zone converting into strong support. The effective retest after the breakthrough has laid a solid technical foundation for short-term gains.
Critical Recovery Phase with Solid MomentumBitcoin Technical Analysis: Critical Recovery Phase with Solid Momentum
Bitcoin is in a pivotal technical recovery stage: On the daily timeframe, BTC has rallied over 15% from its $80,500 low, establishing a clear short-term uptrend and successfully holding above the key $90,000 psychological level—breaking free from the weak trading range.
Indicator Confirmation of Upward Momentum
RSI: Rebounded strongly from the oversold zone to around 55, moving well away from downside pressure while remaining below the overbought threshold (70), leaving ample room for further upside.
MACD: A bullish golden cross has materialized, with the green histogram fully contracting. This signals continuous accumulation of upward momentum, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Clear Support & Resistance Structure
Support Zones:
Immediate support: $90,000 (recent high-volume trading cluster), serving as the primary defense level.
Strong support: $84,000 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement level), forming a robust secondary risk buffer.
Resistance Levels:
Near-term resistance: $95,000 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level), a key technical hurdle.
Major resistance: $100,000 (psychological milestone + 50% Fibonacci retracement level), a high-impact level for market sentiment.
Healthy Volume-Price Validation
Trading volume during the rebound has surged 62% above the 5-day average, reflecting strong buying interest. The positive volume-price synchronization confirms the validity of the uptrend, indicating that the recovery is supported by solid market participation rather than speculative momentum alone.
In a volatile market, accurately grasp the market segments.Capital Flows: Coexistence of Institutional Underpinning and Short-Term Speculative Game
Global central banks have maintained vigorous gold-purchasing momentum. They achieved a net gold purchase of 220 tons in the third quarter, representing a 28% quarter-on-quarter increase. Central banks including that of China have continued to increase their gold holdings, establishing a long-term rigid support for gold prices.
In terms of institutional capital, global gold ETF holdings have increased by 222 tons in the first three quarters. Demand for gold bars and coins has exceeded 300 tons for four consecutive quarters, indicating steady demand for institutional allocation. However, short-term speculative funds on COMEX have shown signs of profit-taking, triggering a pullback after gold prices surged. The game between bullish and bearish capital has intensified short-term market volatility.
Geopolitical Risks: Persistent Risks Serve as a Downside Cushion
The peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have been fraught with setbacks. Meetings between senior representatives of the United States and Ukraine failed to yield substantial progress, and the conflict remains in a stalemate. The situation in the Middle East is fraught with hidden dangers, keeping the geopolitical risk index at a high level.
Historical data shows that geopolitical risks drive basic safe-haven buying for gold, limiting the room for price corrections. Nevertheless, the lack of new triggers for conflict escalation in the short term makes it difficult for gold prices to break out of the oscillatory range.
Update NZDCADThe summary of our analysis on this pair was that the price had entered a compression zone, and the probability of a breakout was high. The past trend has been bearish, so our preference was a downside breakout. We didn’t react to yesterday’s long move, and last night I mentioned that I see weakness in the trend.
If the price returns to the compression zone, it might even be possible to enter a short position earlier, hoping for a downside breakout. However, since the market will close in a few hours, I don’t suggest entering now. We’ll wait and see how the market starts next week.
Update on XAUUSDThis week, all our analysis was bullish on gold, and it’s still possible to enter — but not for this week, only for next week.
There are two risky entry options for next week: one is entering now, hoping for a resistance breakout and higher prices, and the other is waiting for the breakout and then confirming it. Since today is over, we’ll leave it for next week and analyze it in the weekly watchlist.
CHAINLINK – LONG - A WHISPER BEFORE THE BREAKOUTTraders,
I believe BINANCE:LINKUSDT is quietly setting up for another leg up. Let me walk you through the logic.
HTF structure - wedge breakout and retest
Price has broken out of a HTF falling wedge that has been guiding price action for weeks. A falling wedge is a compression pattern where:
Highs and lows are both trending lower
The upper trendline is steeper than the lower one
So sellers are still in control on the surface, but every push down is getting less effective. Once price breaks above the upper wedge line with an impulsive move, it usually means:
Most of the aggressive sell pressure inside the pattern has been absorbed
New buyers are willing to chase higher outside of that structure
That is exactly what I see on $LINKUSDT.
After the breakout, price rotated back down and is currently testing an imbalance zone around 13.75. This area:
Is the origin of the last impulsive leg up
Lines up with a clean Fib potential reversal zone on the LTF
So from a pure structure point of view this is a classic breakout → retest → potential continuation setup.
Order flow - hidden bull divergence and absorption
To see if the idea is backed by real flows, I zoomed into the CVDs and open interest.
On the pullback into 13.7 to 13.8:
Aggregated CVD Spot makes lower lows
Aggregated CVD Futures (stablecoin margined and coin margined) also print lower lows
While price holds a higher low compared to the previous swing
That is a hidden bullish divergence between price and CVD. In simple language: more market selling is hitting the books, but price refuses to break down. This usually means:
Sell pressure is being absorbed by passive buyers
Strong hands are using the dip to accumulate rather than distribute
Open interest supports that idea:
Stablecoin margined OI bled lower during the pullback, which suggests late longs getting flushed and some short covering
Coin margined OI is starting to curl up from the lows, which often signals new directional positioning right where CVD is making new lows and price is holding
That combination looks more like reloading than topping.
Targets and TPO weak highs
Now to the upside magnets. On the HTF and weekly TPO I am watching a series of weak highs that have not been properly tested:
1. 19.03 area - weekly TPO weak high
Formed with very little excess on the profile
Built mostly outside RTH, so it carries less conviction
These kinds of highs often get swept for liquidity before any real reversal happens
2. 20.20 area - second weekly TPO weak high
Similar story, clean horizontal high, thin rejection
Again, not much time spent there, so it looks more like an unfinished auction than a completed top
In my view, both of these levels are liquidity pools rather than solid resistance. If the current wedge breakout plays out, I expect price to at least probe and likely run these highs. From there, my HTF roadmap looks roughly like this:
Major Target 1: sweep the 19.0 weak high and push into the 20.0 to 20.2 block
Major Target 2: extension toward the 10 October liquidation event local high, which I have marked on the chart, and beyond that into the 22.7 to 23.6 region if momentum really kicks in
I also believe that altcoins as a group are eyeing that 10 October liquidation event local high. Many charts show similar untested spikes there, so a broad alt sweep of that zone would fit nicely with this BINANCE:LINKUSDT structure.
Invalidation
No setup is complete without an invalidation. For me the idea loses its edge if:
Price accepts back inside the broken wedge, not just a wick, but clear trade and structure back under the upper wedge line
Especially if that happens with CVD rolling over and OI expanding to the downside
If we get that, it would tell me that the breakout was a trap and that the current demand at 13.7 to 13.8 was not strong enough to hold.
Until that happens, as long as price is holding above the wedge and above the imbalance, I treat this as a constructive continuation setup with unfinished business at those weekly weak highs and the October local high.
As always, the market speaks softly before it moves loudly . Listen well, Nomads.
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Abbreviation List
HTF – Higher Time Frame
LTF – Lower Time Frame
CVD – Cumulative Volume Delta
OI – Open Interest
TPO – Time Price Opportunity
PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone
RTH – Regular Trading Hours
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
The GBPUSD pair has successfully broken above a key bearish trendline and cleared a resistance zone, signaling a shift in momentum toward the upside.
At the moment, price is reacting to a minor resistance level, where some hesitation and short-term fluctuations are visible — a natural behavior following a strong impulsive move.
After a brief consolidation or minor correction in this zone, we expect a continuation to the upside, with price likely pushing through this resistance and heading toward the next target levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Update on the Bitcoin analysisAs long as the price is below 96–97K, we haven’t received any signal indicating a trend reversal, and we are still sellers.
For now, I don’t have any new analysis because there hasn’t been any significant movement since yesterday.
We’ll analyze it in more detail next week in the watchlist.
XAUUSD Forming Falling WedgeXAUUSD continues to show strong bullish interest as buyers remain in control despite minor corrective phases. The current structure fits a falling wedge pattern that has already shifted momentum upward, with a clean breakout that supports further upside continuation. The market is currently reacting from a short-term rising support trendline, but if price pulls back deeper, the major demand zone below remains a key area where strong bullish reactions are likely to re-enter the market.
Fundamentally, gold remains one of the most attractive safe-haven assets as uncertainty continues around global economic conditions and expectations of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Lower interest rate expectations weaken the US Dollar and improve demand for gold. Investors are also increasing exposure to gold as central banks continue to accumulate reserves, reinforcing buyer confidence in XAUUSD. This mix of risk sentiment and macro drivers continues to support upward pressure.
Short-term, price may retest liquidity levels below to collect more orders before the next strong bullish wave begins. That deeper discount zone aligns with the ideal confluence for high-probability continuation setups. Once buyers confirm support, I expect a strong impulsive rally targeting the next significant highs, maintaining gold’s bullish trajectory in the current macro environment.
The overall trend is bullish and fundamentals remain supportive. As long as the key demand zones hold and buyers stay active, XAUUSD looks set to push higher and continue delivering profitable upside movement.
Update on EURCADWe've been waiting for almost 14 days for the price to either get supported or break the support, and now at the end of the week it’s finally making a very weak penetration. But for us, it’s already too late since the week has ended. We’ll analyze it again in next week’s watchlist, hoping that the move finally begins next week.
Update on the CADCHF analysisIn a higher-cycle downtrend, as I’m writing this update, the price has managed to make a slight push above the top of the range. We now need to see whether it can break the channel top with a strong confirming candle, or if this is going to turn into a fake breakout.
We were waiting for a sell trigger on this pair since the higher-cycle trend is strongly bearish. In any case, the week is over, and we’ll review everything again next week and mark the new entry triggers.
AUDUSD Forming Bullish ContinuationAUDUSD has been showing a strong bullish continuation recently, and the current structure fits well with a falling wedge breakout that has already shifted momentum upward. Buyers stepped in with strong volume once price reclaimed the major resistance zone, turning it into fresh support where the market is now consolidating. This kind of price behavior usually represents a bullish continuation base before the next impulsive leg higher.
Fundamentally, AUD is benefiting from improved sentiment around the Australian economy and a softer outlook on the US Dollar due to shifting Federal Reserve expectations. Inflation trends and labor market stability in Australia continue to provide positive backing for AUD strength. Meanwhile, the USD side is facing cooling economic momentum, giving AUDUSD room to extend upward. These macro drivers are aligning perfectly with what price action is signaling.
Right now, the market is forming a tight consolidation phase, creating liquidity hunting behavior around the breakout area. Whether price holds this mini-range or retests the next deeper demand zone below, both scenarios still favor bullish continuation targeting higher highs. Traders are watching this structure closely as the breakout momentum remains strong and trend direction stays cleanly bullish.
As long as buyers hold these key demand levels and higher-timeframe structure remains intact, AUDUSD looks positioned for further upside continuation. The trend is clear, fundamentals are supportive, and the breakout setup is already active. With expanding bullish order flow, I expect this pair to continue delivering profitable upward movement from current or slightly discounted pricing zones.
#LEVER/USDT Potential liquidity sweep and pump#LEVER
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 0.00001560. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again.
We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement.
Entry price: 0.00002021
First target: 0.00002080
Second target: 0.00002156
Third target: 0.00002252
Don't forget a simple principle: money management.
Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
GBPJPY Forming Bullish ChannelGBPJPY continues to move inside a clear bullish channel formation, and the current structure aligns with a falling wedge breakout behavior we often track in crypto markets before strong continuation moves. Price recently retested a demand zone where buyers stepped back in aggressively, showing that the market is protecting bullish momentum. With clean higher highs and higher lows intact, the pair is positioned for another leg upward as long as this zone continues to hold.
Fundamentally, the Pound remains supported due to reduced recession fears in the UK and stabilizing economic projections, while the Japanese Yen keeps weakening because of the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary stance. That divergence keeps smart money flowing into GBPJPY and favors further upside. Today’s rate expectations data still reflect strong bullish sentiment for GBP against JPY, which matches the technical strength showing on the chart.
This current pullback looks like liquidity accumulation inside a falling wedge-type micro structure within the trend. Once price clears the minor consolidation, there is a clear path toward the channel upper boundary where the next premium area sits. Price action traders recognize this kind of compression phase as a signal of potential bullish expansion once momentum kicks in.
Overall, GBPJPY is showing consistent bullish interest, with technical demand confirmation and macro catalysts aligned. As a crypto-focused trader, this setup offers the same high-probability continuation concept: structure support, liquidity sweep, and trend momentum ready to extend. As long as buyers hold the channel midline and demand zone, the market remains positioned for profitable upside continuation with breakout momentum toward new highs.
Gold Trend AnalysisGold continues to maintain a robust upward structure, with higher highs and higher lows. The recent break above the 4,200 USD level further confirms the bullish trend, indicating that buyers are still firmly controlling the market rhythm. Notably, a series of FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) appear consistently below, showing that proactive buying is absorbing most corrective moves.
1. Technical perspective: Uptrend remains dominant
Gold formed a higher low around 4,120 – 4,140 and broke through the 4,200 barrier, which had held for nearly 10 days. FVGs at 4,165, 4,120 – 4,135, and 4,080 – 4,100 serve as potential retracement zones where the market may revisit to regain bullish momentum. Volume Profile also shows heavy activity around 4,150 – 4,170, suggesting a pause before the next leg upward.
2. Forecast for gold’s next move
The bullish structure remains clear. Therefore, a mild pullback before further ascent is the dominant scenario. From the 4,215 zone, gold may retreat to 4,180 – 4,165 to form a base, then rally towards 4,240 – 4,260. If buying remains strong, further targets could reach 4,300 – 4,320.
An immediate surge is also possible, particularly if the USD weakens or macro news supports it. In such a case, gold could push directly to 4,240 – 4,250, though this type of rally is usually prone to quick profit-taking.
3. News perspective: The market supporting gold
At the US close, gold eased slightly to 4,159 USD/oz—a healthy cooling after a strong rally. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley continues to target 4,500 USD in 2026, supported by the strongest ETF inflows since 2020, net purchases from central banks, and expectations of lower interest rates—all reinforcing the long-term uptrend.
However, short-term risks remain, such as rising real rates or a USD rebound. These could create pressure, but overall, the trend still favours buyers.






















