President Trump Speaks, Israel Strikes—What’s Gold Gonna Do?Hey Guys,
It’s been a while since I dropped a gold chart. Got a ton of requests—so here’s a fresh swing setup for you.
Fundamentally, President Trump recently said “Trump says his patience with Putin is running out.” That kind of statement adds fuel to gold’s upside. Plus, Israel’s attacks in the Middle East are also pushing gold higher.
Right now, gold’s in a resting phase. But I’m expecting a move toward $3700 either this week or next.
Technically, I’m seeing a clean bull flag pattern.
I always work with both fundamentals and technicals. That’s why my swing target is $3700.
Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
Harmonic Patterns
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
Gold has entered a corrective phase after printing a new high and is currently consolidating within a clearly defined channel.
The price is fluctuating inside this channel and may even test the lower boundary before continuing higher.
As long as gold remains within the channel, sideways to slightly downward movement can be expected in the short term.
A bullish breakout above the channel would likely act as a trigger for the next impulsive move, potentially leading to a new all-time high.
This week, the U.S. interest rate decision will be in the spotlight, which could significantly impact gold’s next move.
Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering long. Premature entries within the range may face choppy action.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
USDCAD Weekly Range Model 2Bearish setup from the weekly range retest from the key level.
Weekly Range manipulated
Price dropped down and created double bottom = Liqudity
Pullback to the Premium liquidity
Rejection + Breaker
Targeting 50% of Range and Double bottom , then Range low
Note: FOMC this week. it can be volatile.
Good luck
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
How to Close a Losing Trade?Cutting losses is an art, and a losing trader is an artist.
Closing a losing position is an important skill in risk management. When you are in a losing trade, you need to know when to get out and accept the loss. In theory, cutting losses and keeping your losses small is a simple concept, but in practice, it is an art. Here are ten things you need to consider when closing a losing position.
1. Don't trade without a stop-loss strategy. You must know where you will exit before you enter an order.
2. Stop-losses should be placed outside the normal range of price action at a level that could signal that your trading view is wrong.
3. Some traders set stop-losses as a percentage, such as if they are trying to make a profit of +12% on stock trades, they set a stop-loss when the stock falls -4% to create a TP/SL ratio of 3:1.
4. Other traders use time-based stop-losses, if the trade falls but never hits the stop-loss level or reaches the profit target in a set time frame, they will only exit the trade due to no trend and go look for better opportunities.
5. Many traders will exit a trade when they see the market has a spike, even if the price has not hit the stop-loss level.
6. In long-term trend trading, stop-losses must be wide enough to capture a real long-term trend without being stopped out early by noise signals. This is where long-term moving averages such as the 200-day and moving average crossover signals are used to have a wider stop-loss. It is important to have smaller position sizes on potentially more volatile trades and high risk price action.
7. You are trading to make money, not to lose money. Just holding and hoping your losing trades will come back to even so you can exit at breakeven is one of the worst plans.
8. The worst reason to sell a losing position is because of emotion or stress, a trader should always have a rational and quantitative reason to exit a losing trade. If the stop-loss is too tight, you may be shaken out and every trade will easily become a small loss. You have to give trades enough room to develop.
9. Always exit the position when the maximum allowable percentage of your trading capital is lost. Setting your maximum allowable loss percentage at 1% to 2% of your total trading capital based on your stop-loss and position size will reduce the risk of account blowouts and keep your drawdowns small.
10. The basic art of selling a losing trade is knowing the difference between normal volatility and a trend-changing price change.
EURUSD – Bullish Technical Outlook Still Intact👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of FX:EURUSD ?
As of now, EURUSD is moving as expected, with the pair trading around 1.174 at the start of the week.
EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone around 1.1800, with the first target at 1.176 already tested. From a technical standpoint, the pair is in a clear uptrend, supported by the trendline and two EMA lines, with strong bullish momentum in play, following the trajectory of an Ascending Triangle pattern.
The target to break through remains 1.1800. If the price breaks this level, we could see the next leg of the rally towards 1.1900 or even higher. Watch for a solid confirmation before entering the trade for a safer position.
What do you think about EURUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments!
Good luck!
Don't go crazy with gold, please be rationalGold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655.
The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)?
Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome.
From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise.
Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up.
For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups.
I believe many of my friends who followed me made money during this gold rally, but some new friends must have gotten stuck with their orders or had their accounts wiped out! This market is like this; it can bring both wealth and disaster! So even if you've wiped out your account, don't lose heart or get crazy. Calm down. Gold will fall.
USDJPY — Signed by Tilki: Precision, Emotion, Discipline!Hey traders,
Here’s my USDJPY setup based on the 30-minute chart:
🟢 Buy Entry: 147.402
🔴 Stop Loss: 146.987
🎯 TP1: 147.567
🎯 TP2: 147.788
🎯 TP3: 148.239
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
Every single like you drop is fuel for me to keep sharing these setups.
Big thanks to everyone standing by and supporting the journey.
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
USD/JPY has been oscillating within a defined range for several weeks, bouncing between key support and resistance levels.
Price action remains choppy and directionless within the current range.
Potential Scenario:
• A break below the support zone could trigger a downside move toward the next identified targets.
• For a more confident entry, it’s recommended to wait for a confirmed breakdown below support before entering short positions.
Upcoming FOMC and BoJ policy meetings could act as catalysts for the next directional move.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Could price be setting up for a bullish reversal?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 146.62
1st Support: 144.86
1st Resistance: 150.96
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Technical Roadmap: 147,930 Breakout to 150,000+Small Update
The larger structure on the weekly chart still remains a harmonic Three-Drive Pattern with overall targets up to 151,500+ (see my previous posts).
Smaller Picture
We moved from the AB=CD into the 0.618 DC correction bands.
On the second attempt, the Deliberations Pattern should break through the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Key breakout zone: 147,890–147,930.
Setup
Stop Loss: 147,289
A breakout above 147,930 → impulsive moves are very likely (order blocks get triggered).
First target: 148,620
After that, SL should be trailed dynamically.
Conclusion
Technically, I still expect the market to reach the 150,000+ liquidity zones.
Only after that, I see potential for a move back down toward the 144,500 area.
Therefore, caution is advised on both sides with proper risk management.
Wishing everyone much success!
XRP PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $3.06XRP PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $3.06
Currently $3.06
Targeting $3.01 or Down
(Trading plan IF XRP go up to $3.14
will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
BITCOIN Will it pull back??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just formed a 4H Golden Cross, technically a bullish pattern, which usually emerges at the start of uptrends.
Such a formation emerged on both main Channel Up patterns since the April 07 Trade War bottom. The interesting feature however is that, following every 4H Golden Cross, the price always pulled back to its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
With BTC having started the week on the back foot, the 4H MA200 currently stands at $113600. Ahead of the Fed Rate Decision this week, a 'volatility' pull-back would align the news with this technical need.
Do you think we'll get that pull-back? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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DOGE rejected on its 6-month Resistance. What's next?Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) eventually made the bullish break-out we talked about on our last analysis above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle but got emphatically rejected on its 6-month Higher Highs trend-line.
That is the main Resistance holding since March 03. Last time it delivered a rejection that tested the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) before a new rebound. As a result, if the price closes a candle below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it is more likely to see a new 1D MA50 test around 0.23000 before the decisive rebound that might attempt to break above the 6-month Resistance.
If the 4H MA50 holds, we could go for the Resistance break-out immediately. In either case, our 0.4100 medium-term Target stands.
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Now the key question: Is Gold done correcting? My answer: Not yet.
Here’s why:
1. The 550 pip drop from the top is barely scratching the surface compared to the 3500 pip rally in the last two weeks.
2. Yesterday’s daily candle is a bearish pin bar. While this pattern is weaker in strong uptrends, it can still trigger continuation.
3. Structurally, the market looks like it’s forming an ABC correction. The current rebound may be wave B, with wave C expected to target the 3570 zone.
4. Confluence supports act like magnets once corrections begin. The zone I’m watching aligns with the 23% Fibonacci retracement, which fits perfectly with the correction scenario.
Trading Plan:
As long as 3675 holds, I remain bearish in the short term. The best strategy is to sell rallies against the ATH, targeting deeper retracement levels.
MANA Faces Resistance at 38 Cents With Key Break PendingMana’s recent rally has paused at an important daily resistance. The level’s historical rejection highlights the need for conviction before upside can resume.
Key Technical Points:
- Daily resistance at $0.38 tested again.
- Breakout requires influx of strong bullish volume.
- Next resistance aligns with value area high and 0.618 Fibonacci.
Price action has met resistance at $0.38, the same zone that rejected a prior rally. The retest is significant — if broken with momentum, it would flip a major barrier into support and open the path toward higher levels.
The next target lies at the value area high, which also aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. This confluence makes it a high-probability zone for sellers to defend, reinforcing the importance of strong volume to drive through.
Currently, momentum is building, but confirmation will come only from a sustained breakout above $0.38. Without that, MANA risks further consolidation below resistance.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
Traders should watch for a decisive breakout above $0.38. If backed by volume, the path opens toward higher-timeframe resistance. Failure here would keep MANA consolidating beneath resistance until more demand emerges.
ETH PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $4650ETH PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $4650
Currently $4650
Targeting $4560 or Down
(Trading plan IF ETH go up to $4720
will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
XAUUSD - CPI and Unemployment Claims Support Gold!The XAUUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe shows a strong upward trend, with gold continuously making higher highs and higher lows within an ascending price channel. The support level at $3,608.000 is solid, and if the price breaks the resistance at $3,720.000, the next target could be $3,760.000.
Today's CPI data shows that core CPI m/m and CPI month-over-month both increased by 0.3%, higher than the previous month's forecast of 0.2%. This could fuel expectations that the Fed will maintain a high-interest-rate policy, strengthening the USD and potentially putting pressure on gold. However, the actual unemployment claims were 237K, close to the forecast of 235K, suggesting that the economy remains stable but not strong enough to push the USD higher, which continues to support gold.
Despite the rising CPI data, the stability in unemployment claims keeps gold in an upward trend. Therefore, the Buy strategy remains the priority. Be patient and manage risk carefully when entering trades!
Bullish bounce from support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
pivot: 0.5902
1st Support: 0.5789
1st Resistance: 0.6122
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
HYPE/USD – Breaking Downtrend🔴 SHORT below $53.00 – target $52.00
Hyperliquid trades at $52.80, sliding below SMA200 ($54.61). Resistance sits at $54.60, support at $52.00. RSI weak at 28, deeply oversold, but bearish pressure remains. Any bounce likely corrective unless $54 breaks.
📖 Keywords: #HYPEUSD #Hyperliquid #CryptoSelloff #AltcoinBearish #ShortSetup