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Head and Shoulders

USDJPY: Very Bearish Setup ExplainedI spotted a lot of bearish confirmations on 📉USDJPY on a 4H time frame: A significant head and shoulders pattern was formed, and its neckline is broken. As the right shoulder formed, a distinct horizontal trading range emerged, which also saw support being violated. The neckline serves as an important horizontal support, and the market has broken through all of these levels. We can expect further declines, with the next support level at 143.
Short
by linofx1
6
Inverse Head & Shoulder Breakout - MAHSCOOTERTechnical Analysis: Current Price: ₹13,755 Target: ₹18,000 (significant potential upside) Bullish Patterns: Inverse Head and Shoulder breakout confirmation or Cup & Handle pattern formation/breakout (chart needed to confirm which is more dominant and the status of the breakout). Time Frame: 1 to 3 months. Updated Fundamental Considerations: High P/E (91.6): Suggests premium valuation, implying high growth expectations. Positive EPS Growth (YoY): EPS ₹188 vs. ₹174 indicates positive earnings growth over the past year. Strong Latest Quarter EPS (₹45.2): Significantly higher than the previous quarter, signaling a potential positive shift in profitability. Industry P/E (21.6): Highlights the substantial premium the market is placing on MAHSCOOTER compared to its peers.
NSE:MAHSCOOTERLong
by sara54654
Inside The Eye Of The Storm - $90 Target On TSMCIf you've seen my posts on Minds (particularly the board for NASDAQ:SOX ), it’s no secret that I’ve been bearish on semiconductors for some time. My bearish thesis is based on several factors: technical indicators, overvaluation of certain companies, and skepticism that AI-driven demand will result in broad-based prosperity. As the charts grow increasingly overbought, unfolding geopolitical developments could soon deliver a shock to the semiconductor sector, reinforcing the technical signals I’m observing. At the time of writing, the market is turning bearish. Futures are down over 1%, and the TVC:US10Y is up nearly 2%. Institutional investors remain cautious about the U.S. economy due to its high debt levels and efforts to raise the debt ceiling to accommodate an additional $2 trillion in debt-financed tax cuts. Meanwhile, on the trade war front, the U.S. and China have agreed to deescalate tensions, a surprisingly smooth shift after weeks of posturing and brinkmanship. Although SP:SPX surged over 2% on the news, something feels off—worthy of speculation. Recent articles in Foreign Affairs (www.foreignaffairs.com) and The Economist (www.economist.com) suggest that President Xi may now see his best opportunity to fulfill his longstanding goal of reunifying China. I encourage reading those articles if you're interested, but here’s my take—and how it relates to a low-risk/high-reward short trade in semiconductors. By striking a tariff-reduction deal with the Trump administration, China has removed a key obstacle that could have otherwise hindered military action against Taiwan. While Trump has flip-flopped on Taiwan over the years, he has previously threatened sanctions and tariffs as deterrents. But with the economy already strained, reimposing tariffs of 145% or higher would be self-defeating. This opens the door for China to escalate. Over the past month, we’ve seen “gray zone” tactics: military drills, suspicious Chinese fishing vessels dragging anchors near undersea cables, and reports that China may use its coast guard to “quarantine” vessels heading to or from Taiwan—potentially inflicting serious economic pain. Such moves would place the U.S. in a precarious position. To compound the risk, Taiwan imports 90% of its energy—mostly LNG—and just shut down its last nuclear reactor on Friday (5/16), which supplied around 4.5% of the nation’s power. In 2023, NYSE:TSM alone used more than 8% of Taiwan’s electricity, according to Business Insider. Any disruption to power or communications would halt production. This leads me to believe that China may attempt to annex Taiwan before 2027. (After all, why announce an invasion years in advance?) According to WIRED, NYSE:TSM produces at least 90% of the world’s most advanced chips, and Taiwanese companies control 68% of total global chip production. These fundamentals make Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company arguably the most vulnerable firm to any disruption in Taiwanese exports. I’ve covered the market’s broader setup in other posts, so I’ll keep the technical analysis here brief. On the weekly chart (right), NYSE:TSM ’s price rose from October 2022 to January 2025 in five distinct waves. That uptrend has now been broken, and the price appears to be in the right shoulder of a large Head & Shoulders pattern. While the downside potential is open-ended, we can estimate a target using technicals. I expect the price to slice through the entirety of Wave (3) and find support in the blue-box, which aligns with the volume profile and 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracements. A break below the weekly 200MA would be a very bearish sign. For now, I’ve set my target for NYSE:TSM at $90. Zooming in, the daily chart (right) shows numerous gaps and doji candles. The high-volume days were dominated by selling. On the 100R chart (left), including after-hours trading, the Fisher Transform oscillator shows bearish divergence. Although Friday closed flat (0.00%), the stock dropped nearly 2% after hours. I expect a move back to VWAP, especially if the broader market trends lower this week. To gauge how TSMC stacks up against the broader industry, let’s look at some peers. On the semiconductor index NASDAQ:SOX , there are two key gaps worth watching—similar to what we see in other indexes. The price is currently at the 0.618 retracement of Wave (A) and briefly peaked above the 200MA. I expect it to move lower from here, likely filling those gaps and setting new lows. For NASDAQ:NVDA , I’m seeing a Head & Shoulders pattern forming, with the price currently in Wave (B). Several downside price gaps exist, and more notably, there’s a volume gap between $95 and $102. On the 500R chart (left), Nvidia is clearly overbought and facing resistance at the upper VWAP band. A move to the 1.618 extension would be extreme—but there’s an order block around that level, along with a gap down near $31, visible on the daily chart (right). Such a steep drop would require a major catalyst. While it’s unclear how reliant NASDAQ:NVDA is on Taiwan, it’s reasonable to assume the leading AI chipmaker depends on a supply chain anchored by the company producing 90% of the world’s advanced chips. NASDAQ:AMD , another company heavily reliant on TSMC’s fabs, shows a very bearish setup on the weekly chart (right) when using a logarithmic scale. However, price action from the past year on the 500R chart (left) suggests it could move higher if basic Elliott Wave principles hold. AMD’s beta is 2.14 versus TSM’s 1.68, indicating lower correlation with the broader market. It may therefore be less compatible with wave theory, but it's still an essential ticker to monitor, especially as it diverges from NASDAQ:SOX and peers. To conclude, considering the current overbought level of NYSE:TSM , coupled with the broader market pivoting back to a bearish trend, and its unique position at the center of a geopolitical and trade crisis, I think shorting TSMC provides a low risk/high reward setup with a target of $90. All of this to say, I am not a coldhearted opportunist, and I hope Taiwan can remain a free, democratic, country that is able to withstand China’s grey-zone tactics. Unfortunately, we should be prepared for Xi to use this opportunity to find out just how committed to Taiwan the Trump administration is, and as we saw during the COVID shutdown and subsequent supply shortages, microprocessors are some of the most essential products in the world that just so happen to be produced in the most vulnerable country in Asia. I suspect that there is trouble afoot. Thank you for reading and let me know what you think.
NYSE:TSMShort
by ap769
1
TATA Tech Breakout: Inverted Head & Shoulder Targets ₹856+A bullish reversal pattern forming in Tata Technologies Ltd (TATATECH) on the daily timeframe. Pattern Identified: 📌 Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Left Shoulder: Price dips and recovers Head: A deeper dip followed by recovery Right Shoulder: A higher low and bounce Neckline: Resistance around ₹755 is tested multiple times Key Technical Insights: Breakout Above Neckline: Today's close above ₹755 confirms breakout Target Projection: Target = Neckline + Height (from Head to Neckline) Projected Target = ₹856+ Volume Confirmation (optional): Typically, volume should rise during breakout for stronger confirmation Sentiment: Reversal from downtrend to possible uptrend Bullish momentum expected to continue toward the ₹856+ zone
NSE:TATATECHLong
by TradZoo
EURCAD: Bearish Outlook For Next Week Explained🇪🇺🇨🇦 Earlier, I shared a very bearish outlook for EURCAD on a daily time frame. During the NY session on Friday, the price retested a broken support of the flag and formed a head and shoulders pattern on that. Its neckline violation provides a strong bearish confirmation. I expect a bearish continuation on Monday. Goal - 1.5505 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
4
Cup & Handle Pattern and Inverse Head & Shoulder Breakout - CDSLTechnical Analysis: Current Price: ₹1408.8 (Note: Live prices can fluctuate. As of the market close on May 16, 2025, CDSL closed around ₹1417.00 on the NSE). Target: Your target of ₹1800 suggests a significant potential upside. Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout: This bullish continuation pattern, if confirmed, indicates potential for a strong upward move. Inverse Head & Shoulder Breakout: This is a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting the end of a downtrend and the start of an uptrend. The confluence of these two bullish patterns adds strength to the potential upside. Time Frame: A 1 to 3-month timeframe is reasonable for these patterns to play out, assuming the breakouts are sustained. Confirming the Breakouts: Volume: It's crucial to assess if both breakouts were accompanied by a noticeable increase in trading volume. Strong volume adds conviction to the validity of the breakouts. Sustainability: Monitor if the price holds above the breakout levels in the coming trading sessions. Potential Upside: Target (₹1800): Represents a potential upside of approximately 27.8% from the ₹1408.8 level (or around 26.9% from the ₹1417.00 closing price). Quarterly and Yearly Results & EPS Comparison: Latest Quarter Result (March 2025): CDSL reported a consolidated net profit of ₹100.31 Crore, a decrease of -22.4% compared to the same quarter last year (March 2024). The total income for the quarter was ₹255.78 Crore, a decrease of -4.34% YoY. Yearly Result (FY2025): For the full fiscal year ending March 2025, CDSL's total revenue stood at ₹984.58 Crore, a growth of 32.53% compared to the previous fiscal year (FY2024). The profit after tax for FY25 was ₹462.10 Crore, a growth of 27.19% YoY. EPS Comparison: Quarterly EPS (March 2025): ₹3.86, compared to ₹4.66 in March 2024. Yearly EPS (FY2025): ₹22.11, compared to ₹34.77 in FY2024. The yearly EPS shows a decrease despite revenue and profit growth, which could be due to an increase in the number of outstanding shares or other accounting adjustments. P/E Comparison: Based on the closing price of ₹1417.00 and the TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) EPS of approximately ₹25.20, the current P/E ratio is around 56.23. Comparing this to peers like Computer Age Management Services (CAMS) with a P/E of around 43.73 and KFin Technologies with a P/E of around 55.97 (as of recent data), CDSL's P/E is in a similar range or slightly higher than some peers. Corporate Action: Dividend: CDSL has declared a final dividend of ₹12.50 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, subject to shareholder approval. The ex-dividend date and payment date will be announced later. In the quarter ending March 2024, CDSL declared a dividend of ₹3 per share. Key Factors to Monitor: Breakout Confirmation: Watch for sustained price action above the breakout levels with good volume for both the Cup & Handle and Inverse Head & Shoulder patterns. Earnings Impact: Analyze how the market reacts to the recent quarterly and yearly results. While the yearly revenue and profit showed growth, the decrease in quarterly profit and yearly EPS might be a point of concern for some investors. Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment and the performance of the financial services sector will influence CDSL's price. Dividend Announcement: Keep an eye on the record date and payment date for the declared dividend.
NSE:CDSLLong
by sara54654
5/16 Gold Trading Signals 🌇Good afternoon, everyone! Gold made a strong one-way rally from 3120 to above 3200 yesterday, perfectly achieving our bullish target with substantial profits. Today, after a slight uptick at the open, gold started to pull back and enter a consolidation phase. Technically, this is a normal correction after a $120 surge. However, the key question now is: 🔍 Is this just a healthy pullback, or a bearish continuation pattern? There’s some uncertainty in the current structure: On the larger scale, the market still appears to be forming a double top. On the shorter-term, this week’s pattern resembles a head and shoulders bottom, and price is now testing the neckline zone. 🧭 So, while the direction remains unclear, we can still identify key trading zones to act on. 🗞 News Watch: Several important U.S. data releases are scheduled during the New York session. They may provide crucial directional signals for gold. 📌 Today’s Gold Trading Strategy: 🟢 Buy Zone: 3176 – 3148 🔴 Sell Zone: 3265 – 3287 🔄 Flexible Trading Zones (watch for reversals or breakout plays): ▫️3187-3198-3209-3237-3258-3267 ✅ Reminder: With the structure being complex and direction unclear, avoid aggressive positioning. Focus on scalp or short-term trades near key zones and react to market post-data.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
$NVDA Hits Key Inflection Zone – Breakdown or Breakout?📍 We’ve arrived. NASDAQ:NVDA has reached the key reversal zone where sellers previously took control. This is the third touch, and markets rarely leave these zones without a fight. 🔍 Technical Setup: Price has retraced to prior breakdown level. MACD is trying to cross bullish — momentum building. Sellers should defend here… but the recent AI narrative and Gulf chip deals could fuel a breakout. If sellers fail to show up, we may blow straight through this level toward new highs.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by SmartSignalss
1