We can experiment with the opening here in the copper/gold ratio as commodity shortages begin to make the rounds as widely expected.
📌 Probably the most sensible response is to prepare for a slingshot into Copper with reversed flows in and out of Gold.
Shortages/
It seems to be an inflection point at an early stage in the crisis. I would have preferred...
The copper/gold ratio is traditionally viewed as a good proxy for bond yields, and that relationship has held mostly true of late. That said, we do not agree with all this exuberance over a topside "breakout". The ratio is sitting right in the middle of the recent range with heavily overbought RSI levels. Could go either way.
It looks like the Bond market hasn't priced in growth or we're going to see a nasty reversion trade in the materials sector and a bond pop.
The Copper / Gold pair is a great proxy for inflation due to the divergent properties of the 2 metals. Copper is purely an industrial metal and a proxy for inflationary growth so the 10yr reacts correspondingly. Gold, on...
