Market has been narrowing awaiting the OPEC meeting. Trading volume has declined going into tighter trading ranges (red triangle). This is a great example for a symmetric triangle. Breakout direction to be determined. Also, the greater picture shows a slowing uptrend leading into a very long term triangle. Patience is required. My bias would be leading to the...
It seems we had more complex distribution schematic than expected. After FOMC USDCAD is going down. Strategy would be to wait for pullback to ICE and if "no demand" or upthrust, take a short.
Looks down to the 140 area for a test. However as long as the orange or blue trends hold, the upwards trend is still intact IMHO. short call spreads above 165 in Dec or January might be a good idea. I would buy any puts as downside seems limited for the moment and option volatility might decline during a sell off diminishing returns on long option strategies....
Looking for 130 area as a target of the recent decline in coffee prices. Overall uptrend as indicated in upsloping orange trendline hasn't been broken yet Spreads are weak as well.
Pro Long (Chart): - RSI and Stochastik created buy signal - Orange support line Pro Long (Physical): - ICE warehouse stocks new lows - spreads tightening ever so slightly Contra (Chart): - still in middle to upper end of trend channel - room to go in terms of lower Bollinger band - long term trend still down - risk/reward for long position not there IMHO I...
*EDIT in text quote on left of chart - *Synchronicity in between I have created an equally weighted portfolio of 5 sustenance based commodities including Soybean, Soybean Oil, Sugar, Wheat, and Maize (continuous fwd contracts). This is an update to the first chart I have published (rough rice) which isn't updating for some reason but if you see the RR1! graph on...
This chart could provide short term direction for the crude oil price.
Short is much more possible on this commodity according to channel and bears on the market. On downtrend we have 2 more support areas. But always market decides the way we just follow it :)
Possible short trade idea with a stop @ 15.12+spread
Waiting 884 to break to enter long on platinum for long term
Coffee still in Bearish trend in weekly and monthly basis. So its time to take this action to make some profit. I'm watching coffee index and its almost 100% correlated with other coffee futures.
Still bullish SB as it appreciated over the past month. It really gained momentum has it had to break out from oversold conditions. What happened over the course was the term structure (future spreads) are now in backwardation for the entire next year. This leaves me with remaining bullish as it foreshadows supply tightness coming out of Brazil. Also the USDBRL...
I still do not like longs on most of ags, unless you aim short term and get orthodox with your stops. Since my previous post about one month ago (see link below), SB11 is keeping its pace moving downstairs. At this point in time I see no signs of reversal, instead, my reading says we are about to “dive the five”. What comes after that remains to be seen. It is...