ForexNickx | EURUSD: Institutional AccumulationEURUSD is currently exhibiting a textbook 'Staircase' accumulation pattern. Institutional algorithms are stepping in at every higher low, defending the ascending trendline.
⚠️ Important Note:
This setup aligns with my proprietary trend-following strategy, identifying institutional entries before the retail crowd chases the move. Key levels have been shared with my private group.
Why this setup matters:
We are clearly seeing price creating multiple consolidation ranges (marked in yellow), breaking out, and holding higher. This confirms that Smart Money is absorbing selling pressure and building long positions. The current resistance at 1.1680 is simply the next liquidity pool to be targeted.
Technical Confluence:
🧱 Market Structure: Classic Bullish structure with Higher Highs and Higher Lows clearly visible on the H1 timeframe.
📉 Trendline Support: The red ascending trendline is acting as a dynamic support floor for institutional entries.
🔄 Break & Retest: As drawn on the chart, we are anticipating a corrective pullback (retest) to the 1.1630 - 1.1650 zone to mitigate the imbalance before the next impulsive leg up.
Trade Plan:
We are waiting for price to tap into the demand zone (the top of the previous consolidation box). This offers a high Risk-to-Reward entry to ride the next bullish wave.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1680 (Current Resistance / Liquidity Pool)
🎯 Target 2: 1.1730 (Fibonacci Extension)
Traders, are you buying the dip or waiting for the breakout? Let me know below! 👇
IDEA
CLOV 1D - Health Is Back in TrendOn the daily chart, Clover Health (CLOV) has broken out of its descending channel and triangle, now pulling back for a retest near 3.27–3.43 - a key buy zone aligned with the MA50. Buyers are clearly regaining control, and the setup looks ready for continuation.
Technically:
– first clean breakout of the downtrend since January 2025;
– volume expansion on bullish candles, suggesting institutional accumulation;
– holding above the former resistance turned support.
Upside targets: $4.71 (local volume peak) and $5.98, offering +70% potential upside if momentum sustains.
From a fundamental perspective, Clover Health is stabilizing its business:
– a leading player in Medicare Advantage, with an expanding senior member base;
– Q3 results show 40% reduction in net loss and +18% YoY revenue growth;
– leveraging AI-driven healthcare analytics to improve efficiency and patient outcomes;
– with high short interest, a confirmed breakout above $4.70 could ignite a short squeeze.
Tactical plan: accumulation near 3.27–3.43, add above 4.70, targets 4.71 → 5.98. Sometimes the healthiest trend is the bullish one.
WLFI/USDT Analysis — Long Setup
Below the current price, strong seller volumes were accumulated. When price returns to the $0.157–$0.154 zone, it is reasonable to expect those positions to be closed at breakeven.
We consider a long setup if a clear bullish reaction occurs from this zone, with a target at $0.17.
This publication is not financial advice.
BITCOIN - PRESSURE BUILDING - SHORT SQUEEZE INCOMING?Traders,
Bitcoin might be preparing a short squeeze. Let’s walk through the flow, structure, math, and correlations step-by-step so you understand what is happening and why it matters.
1. What Happened
Bitcoin dumped from 96k → 80.6k last week. Price then bounced and is now trading around 87k.
Under the surface:
Stablecoin-Margined Futures (USDT-M)
Since 27 Oct:
OI increased from 225k → 280k contracts
That’s +55k contracts (~24% increase)
CVD went down, not up
Meaning:
These new positions were mostly shorts
The market added leveraged short exposure during the dump
Interpretation:
USDT-M traders attacked the move lower aggressively. Increasing OI + dropping CVD = new sellers dominating, not buyers.
Coin-Margined Futures (BTC-M)
Since 27 Oct:
OI and CVD both dropped from 7.41B → 5.90B
BTC-M is usually “higher conviction” demand
A drop in BTC-M CVD means
Longs closing
Capitulation
Reduced bullish positioning
Interpretation:
Native BTC longs stepped aside. Short-term leverage traders pressed the downside.
Spot + Futures CVD (27 Oct → 21 Nov)
Spot CVD ↓
Futures CVD ↓
Price ↓
All making lower lows and lower highs
This was a clean, correlated downtrend.
2. The First Major Shift: Spot CVD Divergence
Since 21 November:
Spot CVD:
Higher highs
Higher lows
Rising together with price
Indicates real demand stepping in
Stablecoin Futures (USDT-M):
Still making lower lows
Still pressing shorts
Still fighting the spot buyers
This is the key:
Spot = real money
Futures = leveraged speculation
Rising spot CVD vs falling futures CVD = absorption pattern
Meaning:
Strong hands buy
Weak shorts keep selling
Price rises anyway
The pressure builds
Shorts eventually run out
The squeeze begins
This is one of the cleanest pre-squeeze structures you can get.
3. The Math: Fibonacci Rotation Logic
Let’s break down the structure.
(A → B → C Structure)
A = 116k (27 Oct)
B = 98.710
C = 107.403 (retracement)
The retrace sits at 0.5.
The reciprocal extension is 2.0
The 2.0 extension lands exactly at the 21 Nov wick (~81k)
This is a perfect harmonic rotation.
(X → Z → A Extension)
X = 06 Oct high
Z = 18 Oct low
A = 27 Oct high
Fibonacci extension from X → Z → A:
1.618 extension = 80.544
It matches the 2.0 from the ABC structure
It matches the 0.886 retracement on the HTF
Three independent mathematical signals hitting the same level. This is extremely rare and confirms the 81k zone as a rotation completion.
4. Structure Break
Since the 10 Nov low:
4H is making higher highs & higher lows
The descending trendline from 11 Nov is broken
Trend shifted from controlled downtrend → early reversal
Structure now favors continuation upwards as long as higher lows hold
Interpretation:
Sellers who relied on the trendline no longer have control.
4.5 Intermarket Correlation: Why Bitcoin Dumped When ES Dumped
Another important factor:
Bitcoin dumped because ES dumped.
From 12 Nov → 21 Nov:
S&P500 (ES)
Dropped from 6900 → 6525
–5.43% correction
Bitcoin:
Dropped from 107k → 80.5k
–24.77% correction
BTC acted as a ~4.5× levered version of ES.
BTC acted as a ~4.5× levered version of ES.
Correlation Data:
Rolling BTC/ES correlation increased from 0.38 → 0.74
Meaning BTC traded almost in sync with equities during the selloff
Why?
Risk-Off Mechanics
When ES sells off:
Equity funds de-risk
Macro algos rotate out of high beta
Volatility spikes
Systematic funds reduce exposure
Crypto is treated as “high beta tech”
BTC amplifies the move by a factor of 3–5×
Bitcoin didn’t dump because crypto was weak — It dumped because macro markets were risk-off.
Why this matters now
ES has stabilized
BTC stopped following ES lower
Spot demand started rising
BTC/ES correlation is dropping again (from 0.78 → ~0.55)
USDT-M shorts didn’t adjust
This is exactly when short squeezes start on BTC:
Macro stabilizes
Crypto regains independence
Shorts remain positioned for risk-off
Spot buyers take control
Price accelerates upward
This is a classic intermarket correlation unwind.
5. USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Confirms Risk Rotation
USDT dominance has turned down, which means:
Traders are deploying capital
Less stablecoin sitting idle
More risk-on appetite
Historically aligns with BTC beginning new legs up after HTF rotations
When USDT.D falls at the same time spot CVD rises, the market is shifting capital into crypto.
6. Targets: 118.5k → 124k
These are the next liquidity magnets.
Target #1: 118.5k
Confluences with:
1.141 extension of the 11 Nov → 12 Nov move
First major liquidity pool
First real “decision point” for the market
Target #2: 124k
Confluences with:
A weak high that will be swept
1.618 extension of the same 11→12 Nov move
Natural squeeze exhaustion zone
Perfect location for a Swing Fail Pattern
Rotation Logic
Shallow retraces → larger extensions (1.618 → 2.0)
Deep retraces → smaller extensions (1.272 → 1.414)
BTC currently fits the shallow retrace profile → favors strong extension
7. Other Pivot Points
Marked on the chart:
Minor LVNs
Minor-imbalances
CME Gaps
Expect reaction at each point.
8. Invalidation & Bearish Pathway
My invalidation is clear:
Trading below 80k invalidates the squeeze setup.
Below 80k, the absorption breaks.
If 80k is lost, the downside extension levels become:
74k
70k
64k
These levels are:
The natural downside extension pathways from the 11 Nov → 21 Nov swing
They form the mirrored rotation of the bullish structure
Final View
We dumped because macro went risk-off
Bitcoin amplified the ES selloff
Shorts loaded heavily into the move
Spot buyers stepped in first
A clean absorption pattern formed
Mathematical rotation completed at ~81k
Structure flipped
Risk metrics like USDT.D turned down
Correlation with ES is now unwinding
If Bitcoin continues to hold above 80k and spot keeps leading, the squeeze toward 118.5k → 124k becomes the most likely path.
Abbreviation List
BTC – Bitcoin
ES – S&P500 E-Mini Futures
OI – Open Interest
CVD – Cumulative Volume Delta
USDT-M – Stablecoin-Margined Futures
BTC-M – Coin-Margined Futures
HTF – Higher Timeframe
LVN – Low Volume Node
AVWAP – Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price
PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone
SFP – Swing Fail Pattern
Fib – Fibonacci
CTA – Commodity Trading Advisor (systematic trend-following funds)
VIX – Volatility Index
Beta – Sensitivity of an asset’s movement relative to a benchmark
Risk-Off – Market environment where investors reduce exposure to risky assets
Risk-On – Market environment where investors increase exposure to risky assets
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If you enjoy this type of deep, data-driven breakdown—spot vs futures, CVD flow, intermarket correlation, and rotation math—drop a like and leave a comment. It helps me see whether these higher-level analyses bring value, and it motivates me to keep sharing them for free.
FUBO 1D is testing investor patienceFUBO is testing investor patience, yet it looks like a recovery candidate
FUBO is once again testing the major daily support zone between 2.90 and 3.00. This area is confirmed by rising volumes on pullbacks, consistent buyer reactions and a developing bullish divergence on oscillators. Recent price behavior suggests stabilization and the early phase of accumulation. The first confirmation of strength will appear after a breakout and close above 3.72. This level is the nearest structural resistance. Once price holds above it, the targets at 4.39 and 4.72 become active. As long as price stays above the support between 2.90 and 3.00, the primary scenario remains bullish.
FuboTV operates in the sports streaming segment. Recent results show revenue growth, rising average revenue per user and strengthening subscriber retention. The company continues to optimize expenses and expand partnerships across the sports broadcast ecosystem. Demand for live sports content remains strong which supports long term fundamentals.
As long as the support holds, the idea of a reversal base remains valid. A breakdown below 2.90 and 3.00 would open the door to deeper correction, yet the combination of volume and divergence signals increases the probability of a recovery.
Markets often whisper before they shout. The reaction at this support suggests that buyers are already preparing their voice.
NGAS 1D - bulls waiting for the green lightOn the daily chart, Natural Gas has broken out of a falling wedge, but price remains below the MA200, while EMA still hovers above it - a mixed signal showing short-term hesitation within a longer-term downtrend.
The 3.10–3.20 buy zone remains key - that’s where the retest area aligns with short-term support. If buyers can reclaim the EMA and push above the MA200, the next upside targets are 4.14 and then 4.92.
Volume on the breakout supports growing bullish interest, while fundamentals - like rising seasonal demand - may soon add more fuel to the move.
Tactically , watch how price behaves near MA200. Once EMA flips back on top, momentum could accelerate fast. Until then, the market’s like a gas burner waiting for that click - ignition pending
mij btc ideahis is my perspective on Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has fallen sharply in the last few weeks to $86,000-$87,000. There's a lot of fear in the market, which presents many opportunities. My idea is that Bitcoin will rise to its old alt-high or to $140,000 in the coming months to create liquidity so that retail traders will fully invest in crypto while hoarders will slowly take profits. After that, a bear market will emerge, and I see Bitcoin possibly falling back to around $60,000 or even lower in the next two years.
BLMZ - bottom building or just warming up before a move?BLMZ continues to hold the key 0.14 support zone, where the market has built a tight accumulation base after completing the previous descending channel. Volatility compression, multiple retests of the horizontal level, and persistent lower wicks indicate active absorption by buyers. A rebound from 0.14 opens the way toward the first structural target at 0.50 - the liquidity zone of the previous range and a confirmed breakout above it unlocks the next target around 0.65, aligned with the upper imbalance area of the prior structure.
Company: BLMZ (Harrison Global Holdings) is a holding entity focused on distressed and developing assets, investing in undervalued businesses and restructuring opportunities.
Fundamentally , as of November 15, the company remains in a restructuring stage with low revenue, minimal liabilities, and attempts to stabilize operating expenses. As a typical microcap, the stock combines weak financials with high sensitivity to news, low float, and thin volumes. The balance sheet structure - low debt, ongoing corporate reboot, and occasional institutional interest - creates potential for sharp upside moves if a positive catalyst emerges.
As long as price stays above 0.14, the accumulation structure remains valid. A move above 0.18 pulls the range toward 0.30, and a full breakout of the upper boundary sets targets at 0.50 and 0.65. Losing 0.14 returns the stock to an extended sideways phase, though the current formation increasingly resembles pre-impulse positioning.
The chart may be whispering for now, but whispers often turn into sudden moves in the microcap world.
GOLD approaches a critical inflection inside the triangleGold is compressing inside a large triangle on the four hour chart and has returned to the twenty four hundred seventy area which acts as the main sell zone at four thousand one hundred seventy to four thousand one hundred seventy five. The market still fails to break above this region and preserves a sequence of lower highs. A breakdown through the triangle support may open the path toward four thousand forty six three thousand nine hundred ninety seven and three thousand eight hundred eighty six where strong liquidity and the two hundred period moving average converge.
The fundamental picture as of November twenty fifth remains mixed. United States inflation is cooling more slowly than expected which keeps treasury yields elevated and limits the attractiveness of gold as a defensive asset. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in the first half of next year persist which supports the metal during pullbacks. Demand from Asian jewelry markets stays muted which adds pressure when yields rise.
Price is approaching a decision point. A rejection from the sell zone may send the market toward four thousand forty six three thousand nine hundred ninety seven and three thousand eight hundred eighty six. A confirmed move above four thousand one hundred seventy five will invalidate the bearish scenario and allow a possible breakout to the upside although the market still looks weaker than the seller for now.
Gold is precious without doubt but inside a triangle nothing shines too confidently until the market shows its choice.
BTC 1W: preparing a reversal or just stretching the correction?Bitcoin trades in the 85,500–86,000 area, moving steadily toward the key weekly MA100 around 83,200 - the primary dynamic support of this cycle and the level where prior corrections have consistently formed bullish reactions. As long as price respects the lower boundary of the rising channel, BTC maintains a controlled corrective structure: liquidity is being taken below local lows, setting up the conditions for a rebound into the major 104–109K supply zone. This area remains the central mid-term target for recovery, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci cluster, the upper boundary of the previous distribution range and the zone of prior large-scale selling.
Fundamentally as of November 21, the market is shifting from euphoria into redistribution: ETF and institutional flows have slowed, large holders are taking profits, and a strong dollar alongside elevated real rates is pressuring risk assets. Network strength remains intact - hashrate near all-time highs and miners still expanding capacity - even though their margins are tightening. This is a typical late-stage cycle environment: short-term downside pressure with long-term trend strength preserved.
As long as BTC has not yet touched the MA100, the base scenario remains a dip into 83K followed by a rebound toward 104–109K. A breakout above 110K restores bullish continuation, while a loss of 80K accelerates the move toward 70–75K and the weekly MA200. This correction is not the end of the cycle - it’s a cooling phase after an overheated expansion.
Bitcoin does what it always does: terrifies everyone near MA100, then moves exactly when most have given up waiting.
Planning a long swing based on these confluencesHi Traders!
In my opinion, GJ continues to be bullish. I posted a mind on Oct. 31st about how I thought GJ was in a retracement phase, and it seems to be trying to reverse out of that retracement.
A few confluences that stand out to me are- an attempt to make a Invert. Head and Shoulder, and a bullish 4HR CHOCH. Now, I'm looking to take a long swing, but in order for me to do that I need my confluences to be lined up to make the best logical decision.
My desired entry targets would be at 202 or 201.500. 201.500 would bring price to a 4HR OB/consolidation area that price broke out of on Friday, Nov. 7th.
However, if price doesn't make it to my desired areas, I may wait for a break above 203.200 with a strong candle close (Higher TF). That could confirm the bullish 4HR CHOCH.
I like to give GJ room to move, so if 203.200 is the case, my SL would potentially be just below 202/last higher low. This is all depending on how GJ moves. TP swing target 207-207.500 with taking profits in between.
Leave a comment, and let me know your thoughts!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
DXY 1D - dollar waking up, but patience is keyOn the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is showing the first signs of recovery: a falling wedge breakout and trendline breach hint that bulls are slowly reclaiming control. Price has moved above the EMA, a short-term bullish signal.
Still, MA200 remains above, reminding us that the broader trend is not yet flipped. The ideal play here - wait for a retest of the breakout trendline to confirm buyers’ strength before jumping in.
If price holds above 99.70, the next upside targets sit around 100.19, 101.31, and 102.63.
But keep in mind - DXY loves to test patience. False breakouts are its favorite sport.
Right now, the dollar looks ready to wake up, but maybe hit the snooze button one last time before the real move begins.
GRAB 1D - picking phones off the market floor again?GRAB pulled back exactly into the 4.90–5.10 buy-zone, where the wedge retest aligns with the MA200 - a major technical cluster that previously launched strong impulses. Oscillators show deep oversold conditions, candles print buyer tails, and the first resistance sits at 5.35, matching the 0.618 retracement. A breakout above 5.35 opens the path toward 8.65 (1.618), and a move above 6.80 could initiate a larger rally toward 11.92 based on the 2.618 extension.
Company: Grab Holdings is Southeast Asia’s largest super-app platform, combining ride-hailing, food delivery, fintech, payments, and micro-lending across Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam.
Fundamentally , as of November 19, GRAB continues to strengthen: gross profit and GMV grow, operational efficiency improves, and both ride-hailing and delivery segments have reached sustainable profitability. Fintech is expanding at double-digit rates, margins improve as subsidies are reduced, and operating losses continue to shrink. Cash flow strengthens, the path to full profitability is visible, and the overall digital-services boom across Southeast Asia remains a long-term driver for growth. Competition cooled, monetization improved - exactly то environment the company needed.
Technically , the bullish scenario holds as long as price stays above 4.90–5.10. A breakout above 5.35 activates the 8.65 target, and the major upside - 11.92 - becomes realistic once price gets above 6.80. A drop below 4.80 complicates the picture, but current structure still looks like a controlled reset rather than a trend break.
Grab acting like usual: discounts first, acceleration later - Southeast Asia likes this script.
BITCOIN | LONG BIAS | POTENTIAL REVERSAL AND KEY LEVELS TO WATCHTraders,
Bitcoin is now sitting inside a large falling wedge structure on the daily chart. Wedges of this type often form during trend exhaustion and can precede significant reversals when the lower boundary is reached. This pattern sets the stage for everything that follows in this analysis.
Below is the full breakdown of why I believe Bitcoin is positioned for a potential reaction and where the most important levels are located.
Recap of the Previous Bitcoin Analysis
In the previous IG:BITCOIN analysis
I mentioned two scenarios. Scenario one outlined the following sequence:
• Price pushes into 107k to 108k
• That move sweeps the weak high and taps the AVWAP anchor
• If spot CVD slows or perps shift into net selling, a rejection becomes likely
• That rejection sends price back toward the mid range and possibly into 101k to 102k
• Continuation into the higher timeframe LVN at 98k becomes possible
Every single step unfolded almost perfectly.
Current State of Bitcoin
Bitcoin is now sitting directly on the lower band of the AVWAP anchored from 7 April 2025.
What this means
AVWAP stands for Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price. It calculates the average position of market participants beginning from the chosen anchor point. The April low marked a major shift in trend structure. When price reaches the lower band of an AVWAP anchored to such a significant low, it often acts as dynamic support. This is because it reflects the average entry of early cycle buyers.
If price holds and begins reclaiming from this area, it signals that the strongest hands are defending their positions. If it fails, the market risks a deeper flush into lower demand clusters.
Value Zone Analysis with Fixed Range Volume Profile
To determine whether Bitcoin is inside a significant value region, we use a Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP). The range is anchored from the April low to the October high.
Zooming into the profile on the left, price has now re-entered the core value area of this entire swing. The red horizontal line marks the Point of Control, which is the level with the highest traded volume in the entire range. The current low sits almost exactly on this level.
Pixel perfect confluence.
Why this matters
When price returns to the value area after a distribution phase, two possible outcomes appear:
1. Reversal
Buyers defend value and price rotates back toward high volume nodes above.
2. Continuation breakdown
Price accepts below value, meaning even previous buyers are unwilling to re accumulate here. This opens the door to the next low volume pocket and lower demand zones.
Right now, the reaction at this level is critical because we have perfect alignment between the lower AVWAP band and the FRVP Point of Control.
Mathematical Levels and Fibonacci Structure
Now we collect the mathematical evidence. We are sitting at a core AVWAP level and a core FRVP level. Now we check if the market is stretched mathematically.
Bitcoin at the 1.618 Extension
On the four hour spot chart, I apply a Trend Based Fibonacci Extension from A to B and project it from C.
The placement rule
Ask yourself:
What was the last meaningful swing high that ended the previous trend and started the current reversal?
That swing becomes A to B. The first corrective lower high after that becomes C.
Using this structure, Bitcoin has now extended perfectly into the 1.618 level. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension is historically associated with exhaustion. Sharp downlegs often pause, take liquidity, or reverse at this point.
TOTAL at the 2.0 Extension
To confirm that this move is not isolated to Bitcoin, we check the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL crypto market.
TOTAL reflects the entire crypto market and shows equilibrium conditions.
When Bitcoin and TOTAL stretch at the same time, reaction probability increases.
Start with a retracement from A to B:
Price nearly hit the fifty percent mark but not entirely. Then reverse the tool from B to A. Doing so reveals the extension levels below. Price is now sitting exactly at the 2.0 extension.
Why the 50 percent connects to the 2.0
If a move retraces halfway, the remaining distance becomes the basis of the flipped extension. Doubling that distance gives the 2.0 level.
Because TOTAL did not fully reach the fifty percent retracement, there is a small missing portion. To visualise this, I draw a box between the actual retracement and the fifty percent level. Then I duplicate the box under the 2.0 extension.
The duplicated box lands perfectly on the current low, showing mathematical symmetry.
Additional Mathematical Check
I also check the structure that began after the 10 October crash.
By extending from B to A, the downside projections appear. Price tagged the 1.618 level perfectly.
Full symmetry
Bitcoin at the 1.618
TOTAL at the 2.0
Internal structure at the 1.618
When all three align, the move has reached market wide symmetry. These zones commonly produce strong reactions or reversals.
Summary so far
We now have confluence in four categories:
• AVWAP support
• FRVP Point of Control support
• Fibonacci extensions on BTC and TOTAL
• Mathematical symmetry across multiple swings
Next, we check the internal fuel of the move: order flow.
Order Flow Analysis
Spot CVD Divergence
On both the one hour and thirty minute charts, Spot CVD continues making lower lows while price holds steady. This means aggressive sellers are pushing market sell but price refuses to break down. This can only occur when passive limit buyers absorb the flow.
This is hidden absorption.
Coin Margined Futures CVD
Coin margined CVD shows the same pattern: lower lows while price stays flat.
This indicates aggressive shorting with no continuation.
Why coin margined matters
Coin margined futures use BTC as collateral. When price declines, the collateral loses value. When price rises, shorts lose even more because both their collateral and their position move against them. Coin margined shorts get squeezed harder and faster.
Open Interest
• Stablecoin margined OI: holding steady. Traders continue to open or maintain positions during sell pressure.
• Coin margined OI: compressed during the dump and is now flat. This means shorts are sitting in the market and can be forced out.
Summary
Price stable
CVD falling
OI steady
This is absorption combined with short build-up.
This often leads to a sharp reversal when price begins to lift.
Volume Analysis
Chart:
Accumulation and Distribution (A D Indicator)
The A D indicator shows whether volume flows into candles or out of them.
On the one hour chart, the A/D is trending up while price stays flat. This means buyers are stepping in during down-wicks and absorbing sell pressure. Price is not showing this strength yet, which is typical for accumulation phases.
On Balance Volume (OBV)
OBV measures directional volume flow.
On the last wick down, OBV actually moved up.
This means buyers absorbed the move rather than sellers pushing price down.
This is the classic bullish volume divergence after a liquidity sweep. Both Spot and Perps Confirm
These divergences appear on both spot and perpetual futures. Spot confirmation is the strongest form of validation because it represents real buying without leverage distortion.
The combination of A/D rising, OBV diverging, Spot CVD falling, and Futures CVD falling strongly supports that the sell pressure is being absorbed.
What Happens Next
Based on everything above, I expect Bitcoin to start by taking the weak local high at 99,862. Weak highs form when the wick structure is sloppy and no real sellers defended the level. On fine tick data, this high looks even weaker.
Taking that high breaks the current local structure and potentially triggers a short squeeze. If Bitcoin begins closing four hour candles above 106,200, the next important level is 108,500.
Main Thesis
Bitcoin pushes into the first target zone and performs a Swing Failure Pattern around 115,700. With strong momentum, the move could extend into the 17,300 to 18,000 region.
Invalidation and Downside
If Bitcoin loses support and spends meaningful time below 93,000, the next major support is 84,617. This is the next Point of Control from the AVWAP auction and an extremely important level to watch.
All relevant levels are marked on the charts.
Trade safe and manage risk.
From the depths of the sands,
ThetaNomad
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If you like my analysis, give it a like and leave a comment so more people can see real analysis without the noise.
DYDX/USDT – Working within the horizontal channel. Continuation.dYdX - is DeFi’s pro trading platform and a pioneer in decentralized finance, known for being the first to offer decentralized margin trading and derivatives, as well as inventing flash loans and DEX aggregators in 2018. Built on a custom Layer-1 blockchain using the Cosmos SDK, dYdX provides a professional-grade, decentralized trading experience with high leverage, deep liquidity, and low fees. Governed by the community through the DYDX token, dYdX is focused on delivering a transparent and user-driven financial system.
CoinMarketCap : #107
I've been working within this channel for about 2.5 years.
From my previous trading idea, two marked zones were reached:
1.6447 (+80%)
2.5007 (+176%)
The maximum squeeze reached +185.5%.
I'm continuing to work within the channel.
Last time, liquidity was accumulated below the support of the inner channel.
Now, liquidity is being gathered below the support of the outer channel—as always.
I've marked potential final liquidity grabs on the chart, as well as resistance zones where the price is likely to react.
The profit is significant, and if you work with compound interest, well… I'll just keep quiet—not everyone understands this and keeps waiting for the final rally.
A reminder:
Right now, fear dominates across all coins. This is the phase where nobody wants to buy or where many have already run out of funds. Why? Because, as always, most people buy at the top.
Take all of this into account in your trading strategy.
VSAT 1W – signal restoredOn the weekly chart, ViaSat (VSAT) finally broke out of a long-term falling wedge — a textbook bullish reversal pattern. After the breakout, price pulled back perfectly into the buy zone, confirming a clean retest on the weekly.
All moving averages (MA/EMA) now sit below the price - a clear sign that buyers are in control.
Technically, the setup looks strong:
✅ wedge breakout confirmed with volume;
✅ weekly retest completed;
✅ bullish momentum building up.
First target stands at 47.11, with higher resistances at 68.63 and 97.34 if the bullish structure holds.
Fundamentally, the company is stabilizing after a tough period - cost control, steady contracts, and renewed investor interest could all support the recovery.
After all, the ticker VSAT stands for communication - and right now, the market’s message seems pretty clear: “connection restored.”
ESPR 1W: cholesterol therapy for patients and investors alikeEsperion Therapeutics (ESPR) has broken its long descending trendline and retested the $2.4–$2.6 support area, forming a solid triple bottom with rising volume. The stock is now holding above key moving averages, signaling accumulation. While above $2.5, the technical setup points to a move toward $6.4, aligning with major resistance and the 200-week MA.
Fundamentally, the company enters one of its strongest phases in years. Following earlier liquidity struggles, Esperion has stabilized its operations and regained investor confidence. The core growth driver is Nexletol (bempedoic acid), a non-statin cholesterol-lowering therapy for patients intolerant to statins. In 2025, combined Nexletol and Nexlizet sales jumped over 45% year-on-year, surpassing $170 million for the first nine months. Recent safety data were positive, leading to new approvals across Europe and Japan - expanding partnerships and licensing revenues. Cash position strengthened via milestone payments from Daiichi Sankyo and Viatris, reducing debt and supporting R&D without new dilution. Challenges remain: profitability is still out of reach, as marketing and development expenses stay high, though liquidity provides breathing room. The broader biotech sector’s rebound amid rate-cut expectations adds tailwind to revenue-backed small caps like Esperion.
Tactically, holding above $2.5 keeps the bullish trajectory intact toward $6.4. A weekly close below $2.3 would negate the setup and re-test lower support, though current accumulation favors the upside.
Esperion helps reduce cholesterol - ironic that its chart still raises investors’ heart rate.
ASPN - cup, handle, and maybe the moonAspen Aerogels (ASPN) shows a textbook “cup and handle” pattern on the daily chart. The stock broke above the MA50 and MA200, forming a golden cross - a clear signal of trend reversal. The buy zone sits around 7.4–7.8 , where price has twice found support. Holding above 8.0 keeps the door open toward 11.3, 13.7, and possibly 16.0 - key supply levels from previous distribution.
On the fundamental side , ASPN benefits from strong interest in energy-efficient materials and aerogels used in green construction and EV insulation. With US policy support for clean tech, the company may catch a new growth wave.
Tactically , as long as price stays above 7.8 , the setup remains bullish. Break above 9.0 confirms further upside, while a drop below 7.0 cancels the pattern.
Every cup looks perfect until someone shakes the table - let’s see if this one stays steady.
FLNC 1D – The power comeback!On the daily chart, Fluence Energy (FLNC) shows a clean cup and handle formation followed by a golden cross (MA50 crossing above MA200) - a textbook bullish reversal setup.
Price broke out of the structure and is now pulling back into the buy zone ($14.57–$16.80) - a confluence of Fibonacci support and previous resistance.
✅ Golden cross confirms trend reversal
✅ Rising volume supports the move
✅ MAs below price - bulls are in control
The first target sits near $27.43, while the second projection extends to $40.28 if momentum continues.
Fundamentally, Fluence remains a leader in energy storage and grid technology - a hot spot for global investment as the renewable sector accelerates.
Let’s just say - this chart looks fully charged ⚡️
LULU 1D - stretching into a comebackOn the daily chart of Lululemon Athletica (LULU), a clean AB=CD pattern is forming, signaling a potential end to the correction and the beginning of a new upward wave. The price has tested the strong buy zone between 164–167, aligned with a major daily support level and rising volume - a classic setup indicating that buyers are regaining control.
Technically , the structure is highly symmetrical, RSI shows a bullish divergence, and the 50-day moving average is starting to turn upward - all suggesting a possible trend reversal. The first upside target for this pattern is $230, followed by a second target at $340, which corresponds to the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions.
From a fundamental standpoint, Lululemon remains a powerhouse in the premium activewear market, maintaining strong brand loyalty even amid competition from Nike and Alo. The company continues to expand its men’s line and footwear segment, which now accounts for over 25% of total revenue. International growth remains robust, with new stores opening in South Korea, the UAE, and Germany. Lululemon’s shift toward higher-margin online sales and more efficient logistics continues to strengthen its profitability.
In the latest quarterly report (September 2025), revenue grew by 9% year-over-year, and EPS came in above Wall Street expectations. High customer retention - over 90% repeat purchase rate - and stable gross margins create a solid foundation for a mid-term recovery in the stock.
Tactical plan: watch for entries within the 164–167 buy zone, consider partial profit-taking near $230, and target $340 if momentum extends. Just like in yoga, patience and balance lead to the best results.






















