GBPUSD, inside hr after new high longThis trade looks so silly that suggests chasing GBPUSD after a 250pips rally.
While in terms of inside bar after new high trade, the only indicator to define whether it's too extended to long is 8EMA,
if the 8EMA is able to catch up the inside bar low, it's still not too crazy to trade!
Again, I only want to long in such a uptrend, so I won't take the short if it breaks to the downside; if the breaks to the downside first, than this trade doesn't exist anymore.
*For educational use only
Inside Bar
TEVA, A potential both-sided inside day.It's really tough for TEVA investors since 2016, everything seems so bad for this generic drugs giant.
They finally got a new CEO and got good news from FDA, which enabled the stock price to bounce 20% in 2 days.
Here we got this inside day after such a big movement, so the direction it broke becomes so important to the following sentiment on this name.
Trading this inside day directly is also an OK idea, but I would more like to find intraday trade in 5/15/30 minute chart as I don't really want to swing this name unless I have a very successful day-trade.
*For educational use only
NEM Daily butterfly pattern and 40 fig combination.Gold price has rallied from 1200 to 1320 within 2 months, while at the same time there were a little different story in the gold miners.
NEM showed the best relative strength to rally about 25% in the same time period ; GG was the lagger that only rose for less than 10%.
I also expect there might be a little bit catch-up play among the gold miners.
The North Korea news happened just now may lead to a gap for gold price on Monday, and probably so as these gold miners.
I WON'T turn bearish until I see any clear reversal sign, but if there is one, it might still be a good trading opportunity.
43 is the best SL as it's the gap, fig, and 1.618 extension, while if the reversal sign is strong enough,
I don't mind to use it as my out to make it easier getting my 1:1 1st kick.
GBP/CAD Bullish GBP/CAD Has finish a inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern have a strong 4hr support at 1.59406.
You also have a inside bar formation on the 4hr my entry is at top of the dominant bar and stops are at the 50% of the dominant bar. risk to reward is good.
Fundamentally you have consumer price index coming out for the pound which is predicating to be positive.
lets see how this plays out
WB, Inside day after new high and fig breakout combination.WB is definitely one of the most explosive stock this 2 years, rallied from 9.00 to more than 100.00 , and there are still people like me willing to chase it lol.
For stocks like WB, fundamental analysis is not really very helpful as the stock price contains too many expectation and the P/E ratio is just crazy.
While it doesn't mean chasing the price above 100.00 is foolish at all, as people may have the same discussion when it reached 50.00,60.00,70.00,80.00 ..........
, and all the people who were brave enough to long then were still able to make lots of money.
So everything is about trend and trading set-up, I always like to long the inside day after new high as no one knows how far can stocks go.
WB has an inside day after new high with a high @ 107.00, it created a little more power when the inside day high is right at the figure.
I'm willing to take the trade as it provides great risk-reward ratio with little risk.
*For educational use only
USDJPY Daily bearish bat patternUSDJPY has a daily bearish bat pattern (not really a perfect one in terms of the parameter and the X point)
It's a daily chart set-up but it's only 20-30 pips risk, and it's still too early to be optimistic on US dollar.
Therefore, a bearish set-up to short USDJPY with reasonable risk provides great risk-reward ratio;
while I still need a confirmaiton entry to enter the trade:
1. double top / 2618
2. inside bar breakdown
3. shooting star
One of the above sign formed in time frame larger than 30 min chart may be the cue to enter the trade.
The SL will be slightly higher than 109.40.
DIS, Daily bullish patternDIS got hit on their 2017 earning forecast, which accelerates to finish this bullish bat pattern.
DIS -TWTR deal is another huge factor to its stock price.
Based on the chart, this bat suggests a 93 entry with a 89.80 out, reasonable risk.
I'll be waiting for reversal sign there to look for potential long opportunity.
*Educational use only
USDCAD, CLASSIC inside bar tradeIf I'm asked about what is the most interesting part for inside bar trade, my answer is "trailing".
1st kick is only for risk management purpose to make me able to deposit the risk to other trades, the outstanding risk-reward ratio is about the other half of the positions.
The other half is very important so I need it to run as much as possible, so I NEVER put sell limit order for the other half of the positions, I would more like to change my out only.
With trailing in mind, I never have to worried about whether to sell or not, all I need to do is to wait for pivot to put my out (LH/HL).
This inside bar trade is a multi-reason combination itself
1. 1st inside bar after the rate hike (both direction trade)
2. inside bar after new low (short)
3. the more inside bars in a row the better
It literally was a MUST trade for all the inside bar traders.
AUDUSD inside day trading plan
Last week I posted this inside week long for AUDUSD, although it almost stopped me out, it held and it was able to make new high to get my risk-reward stop.
Today there is an inside day for AUDUSD, I DON'T recommend trading the long this time as it's not realistic to expect the 1:1 kick at a new high level, and there is a bearish bat ahead.
Putting the out of the long position to the inside day low is a good idea, and maybe a good flip to take part in a potential double top.
DDD, daily bat pattern and a inside day combinationActually it could be a weekly bat pattern with weekly hammer combination, but I like this inside day a little more.
3D Systems got slumped after its poor 2Q result, and it consolidated for almost a month.
It's a relatively higher risk trade as I am not really that bullish on its fundamentals,either;
but as a harmonic patterns and price action believer, it's a nice trade set-up.
If it breaks down 12.63 before it breaks out 13.00 fig level, then this trade doesn't exist anymore.
JNJ, a 75 cents risk daily bullish Bat Pattern. (MCD FTF trade)Both of JNJ and MCD are stocks that I want to have in my retirement portfolio, they are typical stocks that worth the easiest buy and hold strategy.
While it doesn't mean they are not tradable at all,since if I don't really want to risk 10-20% for a mid-term investment, I may turn to some tiny risk short-term trading opportunities.
Here JNJ got a daily bat pattern with a suggest entry near 130.30.
Also, 130 fig support itself is usually strong enough to rely on, so I would like to buy off the support with this 2 strategies' combination.
JNJ is a stock that worth more than 10% risk, if I can trade it with only 75 cents risk, I can trade much much more shares if I'm willing to risk the same amount of money. (for sure I won't risk as much though)
Of course less rooms mean lower winning percentage, and being stopped out in such a name with such tiny risk sounds silly.
While my purpose for day-trading is always to create longer term swing positions, and I don't mind if the trade failed as it's the risk I'm willing to lose, and it will be very good positions if the trade succeeds.
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On the other hand, the MCD 160 breakout is another trade that I'm very willing to get involved.
It has tried several times and consolidate a lot in front of it , which should accumulate much power for the breakout. 156.95 might be a good out for the swing trade with 162.95 1st kick.
160 level could be a intraday FTF trade (I believe no one knows FTF trade, since I invented it lol)
FTF trade: find a 5 minute or 15 minute out for the day traders who trade the breakout , put a buy limit 1:1 to their risk, put the out to the previous pivot low in the given time frame.
EX: if the potential out is 159.80, the 160 breakout's risk are 20 cents, so FTF trade will put a buy limit @ 159.60.
*the potential out is the out day traders may use if they are involved with the breakout, so think about where they will put the out to find the potential out.
Logic:
If the 1st try of the breakout fails, the traders who traded the breakout will be stopped out and it created extra, unnecessarily selling pressure that causes slippage.
The people who can benefit from the slippage are the people who already put their buy limit there.
It's a trade that I invented after suffering slippage a lot and I tried several times back then I day-traded a lot.
ATVI, Great relative strength inside day !I'm a big fan of HearthStone and Warcraft III was my favorite game back to my senior high.
That's not really important in terms of investment and trading, while it does create some preference bias for me lol.
Yesterday the market was slumped almost 1%, stocks that are able to have an inside day showed great relative strength, as most stocks may break the previous low in such a day.
For ATVI, it finished price correction to 8EMA and gives an inside day, I am willing to long the inside day breakout in such an uptrend.
NZDUSD Hourly bearish bat pattern and supply zone combinationNZDUSD has a bearish bat pattern and supply zone combination that indicates to short near 0.7200.
It's 3 harmonic patterns in a row, but it's already the second touch of the supply zone.
As always , I need a confirmation in 15/30 minute or hourly chart like to short:
(1) inside bar breakdown
(2) shooting star
(3) double top
AUDUSD Inside week breakout tradeMany currency pairs including the Gold have inside weeks that broke to the upside (both EURUSD and XAUUSD inside week breakout were AWESOME!!).
AUDUSD showed relative weakness among them but still able to break the inside week.
Therefore I would like to play some catch-up with it to trade this inside week breakout to take part in the non-USD rally.
This BTCUSD Inside day after new high was HUUUUUUGE!I posted this inside day trading plan on the Chinese version of tradingview on Wednesday. ()
The trade looks scary as it still suggest to buy at such a high level; while the idea of inside day after new high trade is all about trend continuation and momentum.
If the momentum of the inside day breakout is able to take me to get my 1:1 1st kick, I create a FREE long position to join any possible follow through like now.
I believe this is one of the very few trading techniques that is able to take part in such a rally logically (at least more logical than JUST BUY NO OUT strategy lol).
And I got the 4810 1st kick and I still got the other half of my positions with my out @ 4800 , which creates opportunity for me to join the potential 5000 breakout without any pressure.
What a great teaching materiel to show how effective the inside day trade is !!
SBUX bullish Cyper pattern with an inside day breakout.SBUX has an weekly cypher pattern and the entry point is right here, yesterday it was an inside day breakout but it didn't give great follow through.
With regard to weekly level harmonic pattern, a small inside breakout may not be good enough to take as a confirmation entry.
So my game plan will be:
1. pay attention to the intraday price movement to find an uptrend in smaller time frame and try to long.
2. create a long position with an out at 49.95, and a mid-term trade.
3. wait reversal sign like hammer and double bottom here as confirmation entry.
Let's see how it goes and I'll update the trade here.
XAUUSD inside day, a better short than the long case.XAUUSD has an inside day after an important shooting star, if it's able to break to the upside, it means the uptrend remains intact.
While there will be a bearish Gartley pattern in 4hr chart with a potential short entry @ 1297, so even if if it's able to break to the upside,
to long this inside day means we can only get the 1:1 1st kick above 1300 level, which is not really a good idea.
On the other hand, if it's able to break to the downside, it can easily break 1280 as the short selling continuation, and I think it's a better trade as the 21ema is still @ 1273,
so we can put the 1st kick bid around 1273 to play the price correction, although it's still less than 1:1, we can turn to smaller time frame to look for a better entry and better out.
USDCAD long, an 0.618, structure, and inside bar combinationUSDCAD has several reasons to long here,
1.it's the first time to test 0.618 since the bounce from 1.24;
2.there is a demand zone structure at 1.2555-1.2585;
3. it broke 2 inside 4 hr to the upside (the 1st one is a failed breakdown)
My plan is to put a buy limit @ 1.2585 with an out @ 1.2548, 1st kick @ 1.2622, let's see how it goes!
JD, Bullish Cypher patternJD.COM rallied from 20 to 49 within a year, and after it failed to break 49 fig level in 8/8 in addition to the earnings report in 8/8, it plunged about 20%.
JD is one of the most competitive competitor with BABA, as this BABA rocket keeps on surging to the sky, JD should also be attractive to those who are too scared to buy BABA above $165.
Based on this bullish Cypher pattern, it suggests to buy around 40.
While as always, I need at least one more reason to convince me, so I'll focus on if there are
1. Hammer
2. Double bottom
3. inside bar breakout
happened here , I don't mind if it happens on smaller time frame.
If so, it might be a good try to long and the potential out is below 38.50.
XAUUSD inside 30, a potential both sided trade.XAUUSD just started another round of beast mode.
It gave an inside 30 here and it's very extended, so I would like to long if it's still able to break to the upside, and I don't mind to short if it broke to the downside.
Let's wait for which way it breaks !
ps: when it comes to "break", I think it should break at least 2 pips to avoid getting in fake breakout
XAUUSD Harmonic Patterns, Inside bar, and structure combination XAUUSD rallied since the FED announcement, while the price here I got several reason to give the short a shot.
The Bat pattern is not a perfect one as B point didn't retrace enough to 0.382 of XA, while when there are 3 reasons combination, it's good enough for me.
Plan: Short @ 1287.40 with an out @ 1290.40 , 1st kick @ 1284.40
Let's see how it goes
US30 Inside 4hr, a both-sided tradeUS30 gave an inside 4hr after being slumped yesterday; at this spot I'm willing to take the trade both sided.
Reason:
If it breaks to the upside, it means that the 21800 support tries to play some rebound here, so my target price could be 8EMA around 21930;
If it breaks to the downside, it means the selling pressure and the downtrend remain strong, so participating in a trend is always my trading philosophy.