AAPL could range around 160-190 as the price continues to move lower, the spy is fading and mexico tariffs are coming. This will be bearish environment as the greater trend. The lesser trend in appl is also bearish and may move sideways now that the price has dropped lower.
155/160/190/195 Iron Condor, EXP July 19, Max gain/loss 154/346
I plan to take at...
Since PANW is very rich in premium right now with a high IV. It seems to have broken support and is going sideways. ER is May 30th I may decide to take off the trade before then however I may also want to take advantage of the IV contraction.
195/200/240/250 EXP June 21st $290/710 Profit/Risk
I plan to take the trade off at $150 profit which means I will risk...
Iron ore futures contracts have reached two-year highs driven by a dam collapse at a Vale mine in Brazil. The work of the mine was suspended, which affects the volume of supply in the market.
Such an accident is difficult to fix in a short time, and the market agrees. We see it in the prices of long term futures contracts.
Since the accident, the rise in the...
Kumba Iron Ore is a South African iron ore mining company and a subsidiary of Anglo American. The company is the largest iron ore producer in Africa and the fourth largest in the world. Kumba is a mining group of companies focusing on the exploration, extraction, beneficiation, marketing and sale and shipping of iron ore. Kumba produces iron ore in South Africa at...
Taking advantage of this quick rise in IV and VIX to sell some premium in INTC 43d short term play before earnings hoping for 25-50% decay
Tasty stats POP 55% P50 67% Theta 2.25 Delta -5.12 50/55 c 45/40 p A less risky version of this would be an IC in SMH which is also experiencing a nice
rise in IV today
Rio Tinto (RIO) is showing entry signal in buying, MACD, and CCI.
Supplier of iron oxide, bauxite for AL, titanium dioxide for paints, coatings, copper, diamonds, and uranium as large-cap mining stock.
Metal prices have been bottomed and starting to climb, along with domestic sourcing needs for steel and uranium will send this one
to $60. Currently $51.48 and...
EWZ still has high IV & IVR and looks to be finding some support at this level . Good value on a 31/26p 37/42 Iron Condor Selling for 2.36 cr max risk 2.64
Tasty stats POP 56% P50 62% Delta -1.95 theta 2.35
3 scenarios: 2 bull 1 bear.
1. Bullish upper trend-line break from first wave leading diagonal (T1 equal to or greater than $106 and T2 ~$139),
2. ABC correction (blue) following extended correction - we are currently in wave B triangle (T1 $106 for 1:1 wave A),
3. Downward breakout for additional corrective retrace.
At this stage scenario 2 looks the more...
Sold an Oct IRON condor on IWM today after taking profits on my Sept IWM IC for 35% max profit. 3 point wide on the wings here with hopefully enough cushion to make Jenifer Lopez jealous. 1.18 in credit for the option.
As $ITI has not exhibited an upward EW pattern before, all we have to go off for a fractal match is to overlay the first and second waves. This gives us a pullback from the current position back the to 61.8% fib (around USD64) and then a further run up to a high of USD96 before falling back again.
Of course, as always this depends on the Chinese economy, and now...
STLD's chart is massively bullish, the same as copper, iron ore futures, AUDUSD, and other correlated instruments. The setup here confirmed some time ago, but it's relevant as an analysis piece now. Most people are bearish on equities but I believe we're seeing the bottom here, or very close. Rising commodity prices seem likely going forward as well, which will...