ISM Manufacturing & ISM Services PMI Combined show trigger levelISM Manufacturing and ISM Services PMI Combined 🪢
This week the ISM PMI's were released as follows:
🚨ISM Manufacturing PMI = 47.2 (contractionary)
✅ISM Services PMI = 51.5 (expansionary)
With both metrics offering mixed signals, I decided to make a chart that combines the ISM Manufacturing and ISM Services PMI into one dataset on the chart.
Interestingly it provided a clean chart with many patterns to observe, and useful forward looking trigger levels to keep an eye on. Don't forget you c
Ismmanufacturingindex
ISM Manufacturing PMI Remains Contractionary ISM Manufacturing PMI (released today).
Rep: 47.2 🚨Below Expectations & contractionary🚨
Exp: 47.5
Prev: 46.8
Anything below 50 is considered contractionary.
ISM Services PMI
ISM Services PMI is released this Thursday 5th Sept 2024. ISM Services is currently expansionary at 51.4. Lets see what Thursday brings.
Macro Monday 34 ~ S&P PMI Composite FlashMacro Monday 34
S&P PMI Composite Flash
This S&P PMI “Flash” Composite is a very useful and relatively new data set made available since Nov 2013 that is particularly useful at providing an advance indication of the ISM Purchasing Managers Index (ISM PMI Index) which is released a week later.
We are aware from prior Macro Mondays that the ISM PMI index is based on data collected through surveys of over 800 companies in the U.S. and covers variables such as sales, new orders, employment, in
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Macro Monday 13~Purchase Managers IndexMacro Monday 13
ISM Purchasing Managers Index
The ISM Purchasers Managers Index (PMI) measures month over month change in economic activity within the manufacturing sector.
The PMI is a survey-based indicator that is compiled and released each month by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The survey is sent to senior executives at more than 400 companies in 19 primary industries, which are weighted by their contribution to U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
A PMI above 50 represent
ISM Manufacturing New Order IndexMacro Monday (6)
United States ISM Manufacturing New Order Index - ECONOMICS:USMNO
This week I have honed in on the Institute of Supply Management Manufacturing New Orders Index (ISM New Orders Index) as it is the largest component of the headline Purchaser Managers Index(PMI) making up 30% of that index. I also make the case below for how it can act as leading indicator of demand by way of trend projection.
The ISM New Orders Index is an indicator of U.S. economic activity based on a
Macro Monday 22 - ISM Services Vs PMI US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (ISM Services)
Next Release: 5th December 2023 (released on third business day of each month)
The U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Index (“ISM Services”) encompasses a wide range of services across various industries.
The index is designed to measure the economic activity and health of the services sector in the United States some of which are professional services (accounting, legal, etc.), healthcare (hospitals, clinics & other p
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ISM New Orders vs Consumer SentimentISM New Orders Vs Michigan Consumer Sentiment index
ISM New orders provide an indication of current consumer demand. Utilising a chart of New Orders readings we can attempt to understand the trend of consumer demand forward. ISM New Orders could be considered an additional gauge of consumer sentiment because if businesses are reporting increases in orders month over month, this demonstrates consumers have the consistently had the resources and the desire to spend. If this continues over months
ISM Manufacturing Index has peakedThe ISM manufacturing index or purchasing managers' index is considered a key indicator of the state of the U.S. economy.
It indicates the level of demand for products by measuring the amount of ordering activity at the nation's factories.
The PMI number, which is announced on the first business day of each month, can greatly influence investor and business confidence.
An index of more than 50 indicates an expansion in the manufacturing segment of the economy in comparison with the previous mon
MShort
Wilshire 4500- You are not in the crystal ball businessWhat a crazy time we are in. 5 months ago, all was gloom and doom. Last month, almost every asset class was up except USD.
SP500 has been above 3200 for one month and Nasdaq has been hitting ATH for 3 straight months.
How do you explain this market irrationality?
One possible reason is that pension, endowment funds and investors are forced to invest in equity market in the ultra low-interest environment.
According to AAII (American association of individual investors) asset a
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