The Yen is sitting near an important trend line going back to late 70's.
Could be near an important turning point. A break in the current downtrend similar to 90' and 98' could be the start of an extended rally in the yen.
FXY is the corresponding ETF to watch.
US Dollar showing signs of distribution as evidenced by accumulation in E6 Euro, J6 Yen and A6 Australian Dollar. #1 Short term excess supply signal has been flashing on/off today signalling a high probability of more selling. Note: no new cyclical support or resistance levels have calculated and printed at this time. This distribution will most likely take a...
Accumulation. Near term swing low is within sight. $DX_F DXY US Dollar is encountering supply from $88 - 92 at the same time. $J6_F $USDJPY Japanese Yen is near support. All the major currencies are displaying a near term change in trend. More confirmation needed. Seeing early signs.
Please see chart notations. This is a continuation of a previously published chart. Pitchforks are drawn on trend changes marked with The Larks LMA indicator. The last LMA trend change marked allowed for the upward pitchfork to be drawn. Current price is still within the green bullish price action box but will continue to sell off and slide to the 137.45 price...
The J6 is definitely weak and now has broken the April lows. This doesn't fair well for equities. If it stays below the most recent swing high then we could see more upside on the equities. The J6 didn't pull back far enough for us to initiate a short so we will keep looking for entries.
Will this level hold? The J6 has been dancing around for while now and I am sure it has eaten many accounts. However, now she has come down to test April lows. From this point we will nibble (small size) on any bounces looking for a break (and hold) below the April lows.
The J6 has broken down...but is this yet another head fake? We are not in this trade and choose to sit on the side lines. If you look at the weekly chart we are technically not out of the woods. We will watch for any reversals back into the chop...they could present a retest of the upper channel. For now we watch.