TP hit on the previous short as Coffee C moved below the previous Lower Low at 112.00. The price is still on a long term 1W Channel Down (RSI = 41.160, MACD = -3.390, Highs/Lows = -2.5643, B/BP = -9.5600) with 1D now in need of printing a Lower High (Williams = -45.358, Highs/Lows = 1.2521) between 114 and 117.50. The next TP for our KCU8 short is 100.000.
Clear Channel Down on 1D within a greater bearish channel on the Monthly chart (RSI = 42.309, MACD = -6.170, B/BP = -9.6160). Having made a Lower High at 121.40, it is currently on the best spot for a medium term short to at least the previous Lower Low at 112.60.
you can wait fora breakout of this but could be faked out
there's solid accumulation in the bottom of this range specifically.
this might not start a bull run (but its looking good tho), at least looking good af for those targets
It appears we had a touch and fail at the base of the swing zone. Based on 2016, looks like another trip through the accumulation zone (Yellow Rectangle) is ahead, with a possible dip into the final shakeout region (Green Rectangle) before another attempt on the swing zone. In 2016, we saw 3 failed touches/peeks into the swing zone followed by chop back into the ...
In Singapore where i lived, there is more coffee shops to satisfy the most sophisticated drinker! From the most expensive to the local delight, we have a wide variety. I used to drink 7-8 cups a day until I became a vegetarian and stopped drinking. What is the monthly chart telling us ?
1. A triple bottom - 1975, 1992 and 2001 all lands at price level of 44.05. ...
Long term looks very bearish
- Supportive trend line (green) from started in 2002... broke down last year
- H&S pattern set up
- H&S neckline touched up but 1870 not taken out yet
Looking at potential pull back to broken trend line (green), up into 3000
Coffee is already almost hitting the trendline formed on the Daily chart.
It broke the 4-hourly trendline some days ago so a bit of extra caution is needed; however, the Risk-Reward-Ratio looks quite promising.
Watch for the opening of the next 4H chart!
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
In percents away from all-time high & low by last close (32 Commodities)
https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B1BNHee3opcVeGNmZVlMdThDYk0
Best regards :)
Aaron
This time, after a good sell, technical side is showing some signals for long opportunity.
Position is open from 154,6-155,4 levels; stop below lows (154).
Will closely watch for a next couple of days to get confirmation or denial.
I am bullish Coffee since a series of bullish momentum divergences started to develop in February, March and April. As with other commodities, I am convinced that the early 2016 lows were important cyclical lows. I am therefore bullish Coffee long-term. The weakening US Dollar should further support the entire commodities complex.
The latest correction brought ...
