Soon the weekly and monthly can flash a signal, aligning with the 2 month timeframe forecast, for the end of a trend by the end of April 2022, which I had anticipated back in July 2020. The last time we had this pattern was in December 2017, right before a fall from 20k to 3k over the course of 1 year. The monthly trend could turn down, and if so, predicts a move...
I think we are likely to see a massive move down in DeFi names, the contract issued by FTX is a nice way of riding the eventual move down, which can be magnified if we get some large protocol issue, or some unexpected black swan event causing a cascading decline of epic size as a gigantic levered bubble bursts. It is likely the best short in crypto, to profit from...
It's clear Nat Gas can gain traction fast here, I'm long since yesterday, via $UNG shares. Looking to add an options position here, since weekly charts are now bullish, I pre-emptively took a trade based on a daily signal, speculating on the weekly and eventually monthly kicking off. I commented about it in the Key Hidden Levels chatroom here and offered it to my...
I'm short $AMZN from here, I had briefly ridden a daily down trend signal before, but now we have a massive monthly topping pattern kicking in. I think it is a good market hedge, and might be a great long term pair trade to short it against energy longs as the ultimate reopening/end of the stay at home bubble trade. Bezos leaving was the kiss of death, antitrust...
The quarterly timeframe chart had a trend signal that formed when the market broke out of the range that formed before and after the pandemic shock and subsequent lock public health, fiscal and monetary policies impacted equities. The stimulus driven bonanza ended and the market topped as the world knew the Fed would embark in quantitative tightening to normalize...
I think $AAPL offers a great long term short opportunity here, I specially like the idea of being long $BRK.B and short $AAPL to nullify the exposure Berkshire contains as well...Valuation could come down substantially with the on-shoring theme materializing over time as China manufacturing fueled margins would suffer. We have seen demand slumping lately, with...
Quarterly charts look extremely appealing in various defense names, $CW is one example of a good valuation and technical setup being present in tandem, together with the right macro backdrop for long term appreciation in this stock. Price to sales is at reasonable levels vs margins here, and free cash flow yield is around 5.95%, with a 4.35% earnings yield (TTM)....
$SONO has a great short signal here, paired with a longer term down trend active, coming down from overbought readings in the daily timeframe, and below the most recent 'Key Earnings Level' from the 'Key Hidden Levels' suite of indicators developed by my mentor @timwest . A great setup considering possible implications and the state of affairs in the market these...
I think $PFE offers a tremendous opportunity here, good setup to enter a position with low risk vs reward potential. Could be a long term position as well, depending on how it evolves.
I'm long 12.07% here, risking a 3 times the daily ATR move against me for a 1% loss if it drops that much. Valuation is attractive and long term charts have a huge setup in $PFE,...
I've been thinking about it and the setup here is probably the best trade to take in crypto markets going into the end of the long term trend signals I had forecasted in $BTCUSD and $ETHUSD as far back as July 2020.
Weekly and daily charts, and also ratios vs $BTC and $ETH show $LUNA can perform incredibly going forward. We all are aware of Do Kwon's stunt, to...
I'm short here, hedging my long book. Got a few long term positions that should do well regardless of whether this is part of a larger relief rally in a bear market, or a new leg up with new highs coming...but also have some growth positions I bot to capture the oversold names turning up that I need to manage risk for. I will be closing the ones that fail, but...
Paypal has finally acted like it is forming a bottom, after a long and bloody decline that drove it down 70% from the top. I think the market is going to produce a substantially big relief rally, similar to the move that took place in the year 2000, from May to September back then. Equities then proceeded to roll over steadily, after triggering a monthly timeframe...
I suspect we are seeing a broad market relief rally in risk assets, including crypto. I bot my max allocation in $BTCUSD and $ETHUSD today, before US equities closed, with an 80/20% allocation to each respectively. I'm allocating 25% of my capital into it, whenever I want full exposure in crypto assets.
Daily technical charts show a trend signal kicked off here,...
Reward to risk was quite good to short Ethereum vs $Bitcoin as a pair trade, there's downside to 0.062 by March 8th, as long as price doesn't hold over 0.0715 before then.
Best of luck if taking a stab at it.
Best of luck if shorting it.
Cheers,
Ivan.
It's been a good while since the 2w timeframe chart flashed a massive signal in Gold...It's a reliable timeframe for gold historically, rarely confirms a trend for no reason. I'm long with 25% of my capital, as part of my defensive portfolio allocation.
Best of luck,
Cheers.
Ivan Labrie.
I really think we likely saw a long term top in equities and a major turning point in the various trends that we had since 2009 until recently. I copied the pattern from the high in the year 2000, to give us an idea of what to expect, since that was the last time a yearly timeframe Time@Mode pattern concluded, I think it can serve as a guide from here onwards....
The Kiwi dollar presents us with a high reward to risk long setup here. Set stops below 0.68 to be safe and let it ride until it hits 0.6974 for a 50% take profit, and exit the rest of the position by the close of Jan 27th, or if price hits 0.71295 before that date. Risk 0.25% minimum, and up to 1-2% of the account in this trade, you can calculate sizing based on...
$EURUSD has a nice confluence of factors suggesting a bottom here is possible, with it rallying back towards 1.17-1.18 over time. Weekly down trend signals have taken the Euro down for a long time now, both were 13 week long each time, with the latest 13 week decline signal expiring when the Euro hit a long term support level from where it had taken off after the...
