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Freightos Returns to Growth as Q2 KPIs Beat ExpectationsTicker: CRGO
Price at publication: $1.25
Target price: $1.78
Stop-loss level: $0.90
Freightos (CRGO)
Air Freight and Logistics
Preliminary Q2 KPIs suggest that activity on the Freightos platform is recovering significantly faster than management expected. The company exceeded its own guidance for both transaction volumes and Gross Booking Value, reinforcing the platform’s resilience amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
Key Arguments Supporting the Investment Thesis
Faster-than-expected return to growth
In Q2 2026, Freightos processed a record 458,000 transactions, up 15% year over year and above its guidance range of 437,000-444,000.
The main driver was a faster recovery in activity on routes to and from the Middle East.
Record GBV supports a stronger financial outlook
Gross Booking Value reached a record $422 million, up 33% year over year and significantly above management’s guidance of $388–393 million.
Growth was driven by the rebound in transaction volumes and persistently elevated air-freight rates.
Although a significant portion of Platform revenue comes from fixed per-transaction fees, the strong increase in GBV raises the likelihood that revenue and Adjusted EBITDA will come in near the upper end of management’s guidance range. This view is supported by stronger customer activity and sustained demand for Solutions.
Platform resilience remains a key strength
Despite ongoing disruptions in global logistics, Freightos once again demonstrated its ability to quickly shift volumes between carriers and routes.
The number of unique buyers increased to approximately 21,000, while the carrier network remained broadly stable in size despite normal fluctuations in activity among individual carriers.
Upcoming Q2 results are the key catalyst
Freightos is scheduled to release its Q2 2026 financial results on August 17, 2026.
Investors are likely to focus on three areas:
Growth in Solutions revenue
Progress on the cost-optimization program
Whether the company remains on track to achieve Adjusted EBITDA break-even by the end of 2026
Conclusion: Buy
With transaction volumes and GBV both exceeding expectations, Freightos appears to be returning to a sustainable growth path. The upcoming earnings release will be important in determining whether stronger platform activity is translating into improved revenue growth and operating leverage.
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$SYM: When Walmart pays you to automate WalmartLogistics was long considered a boring business. Then came robots, artificial intelligence and Symbotic. Today the company builds not just warehouses but a full scale operating system for the world‘s largest retailers, where the movement of every box is calculated by algorithms faster than a human can blink.
In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Symbotic reported revenue of 676.5 million dollars, up 23 percent year over year and above analyst expectations. GAAP net income came to 9 million dollars against a loss a year earlier, while adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to 78 million dollars. The balance sheet holds about 2 billion dollars in cash, free cash flow for the quarter reached 218 million dollars, and total backlog hit a record 22.7 billion dollars. Today 70 robotic systems are in deployment, with 52 already operating in real world conditions.
The main driver of the story remains Walmart. Much of the investment case is built around this partnership. Automation of distribution centers continues across the network of the world‘s largest retailer, and long term commercial agreements provide Symbotic with years of visibility. In 2026, Walmart continues its massive infrastructure automation program, making Symbotic one of the main beneficiaries of the digital transformation of global logistics.
That said, the market is not yet ready to completely ignore the risks. The company showed a profit, but the EPS result came in below analyst expectations. A securities class action lawsuit regarding disclosure and internal controls from prior periods continues. An additional factor remains large scale insider selling, which over the past year has significantly exceeded buying.
From a technical perspective, the picture looks much more interesting. On the weekly chart, a key demand zone is forming in the 40 to 41 dollar range. Here several strong factors converge: the Fibonacci golden pocket, a weekly fair value gap, the OTE zone and the 100 day moving average. Such convergence rarely goes unnoticed by large market participants.
As long as price holds above this area, the scenario of forming a medium term bottom remains valid. This zone looks most attractive for finding a reversal and the emergence of fresh demand. If buyers step in, the first target is the 59 dollar area, where significant resistance previously stood. The next target remains the 78 dollar area.
The market continues to value Symbotic as one of the most promising companies in industrial automation. Legal risks and insider selling create pressure, but the 22.7 billion dollar backlog, the strong balance sheet and the strategic link with Walmart make this one of the most interesting bets on the automation of global logistics. 
Long
$FDX Down 57% From Its High. Just Posted Its Best Quarter!FedEx reported Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings tonight, March 19, 2026, and beat on every metric that matters.
Revenue came in at $24 billion, up 8.3% year-over-year, beating analyst estimates of $23.51 billion by 2.1%. Adjusted EPS hit $5.25 against estimates of $4.13, a 27% beat.
Free cash flow margin expanded to 4.3% from 3.1% in the same quarter last year. Management raised full year adjusted EPS guidance to $19.30 to $20.10, up from the prior range of $17.80 to $19.00. The midpoint of $19.70 represents a 7.1% increase to guidance.
Revenue growth guidance was raised to 6% to 6.5%, ahead of analyst estimates of 5.6%. Network 2.0 cost savings are now expected to exceed $1 billion. The stock rose roughly 9% in extended trading.
FedEx opened 2026 on a tear, surging to an all-time high of $392.86 on February 27. Then the Iran war hit. Oil prices spiked. Growth fears took over. The stock fell approximately 11% from its peak as investors worried about the war's impact on global trade volumes and shipping costs.
Combined with the multi-year decline from the 52-week high, the pullback has created the monthly chart setup visible here.
The FedEx Freight spinoff is on track for June 1, 2026, when FedEx Freight will become a separate publicly traded company. Separating the freight business allows the market to value both businesses independently, and historically spinoffs of this nature have been positive catalysts for the parent company.
CEO Raj Subramaniam called out accelerating AI-driven digital solutions and automation as the primary drivers of efficiency gains. FedEx is scaling into healthcare and data center logistics, two of the fastest-growing verticals in 2026.
The Iran war context is direct. Every defense contractor, military supplier, and government agency mobilized by the conflict needs expedited freight. Every supply chain disruption caused by Hormuz closures creates premium-priced alternative routing that benefits the major carriers.
FedEx is the physical infrastructure of global commerce, and global commerce under geopolitical stress generates pricing power. Wells Fargo has a $430 price target. Barclays has $450. Analyst median sits at $362.50.
The monthly chart shows the full 20-year structure. After peaking at $392.86 in February 2026, price has retraced into two clean Fibonacci demand zones. The 52-week low sits at $194.29, representing the depth of the prior correction. The red SMA 200 is curling upward on the monthly as long-term mean reversion support.
🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($320.44 area)
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and prior horizontal support from 2024.
Stop: $22.15 below entry (3.792%) / $980 position
Qty: 1
Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.5
Target 1: +39.808% ($448 area / $1,209.98)
Target 2: +88.605% ($515.57 area / $1,398.70)
🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($273.36 area)
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the prior breakout base from 2023.
Stop: $12.15 below entry (4.445%) / $980 position
Qty: 1
Risk/Reward Ratio: 19.93
Target 1: +39.808% ($448 area / $1,209.98)
Target 2: +88.605% ($515.57 area / $1,398.70)
Key Levels:
🔑 Current Price: $356.11
🔑 Post Market: ~$388.90
🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$320.44
🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$273.36
🔑 52-Week Low: $194.29
🔑 All-Time High: $392.86 (February 27, 2026)
🔑 Q3 2026 Revenue: $24B (+8.3% YoY)
🔑 Q3 2026 Adjusted EPS: $5.25 vs $4.13 expected (+27% beat)
🔑 Full Year EPS Guidance: $19.30 to $20.10 (raised)
🔑 Freight Spinoff Date: June 1, 2026
🔑 Wells Fargo Target: $430
🔑 Barclays Target: $450
🔑 Analyst Median Target: $362.50
🎯 Target 1: $448 (+39% from Zone 1 / $1,209.98)
🎯 Target 2: $515.57 (+88% from Zone 2 / $1,398.70)
⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 1: $22.15 below entry
⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 2: $12.15 below entry
The bears had one argument going into tonight. That the Iran war would crush global trade volumes and hurt FedEx's top line. FedEx just reported 8.3% revenue growth and raised full year guidance by 7%.
That argument is now significantly weaker.
A 27% EPS beat. Guidance raised. Freight spinoff on track for June. Two monthly Fibonacci demand zones mapped. Down from its all-time high with tonight's post-market surge suggesting a strong open tomorrow.
That is the setup. Long 
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UPS 1W - delivery of a trend reversal is on the way?On the weekly chart, UPS is holding strong around the $82–90 support zone - a key level where buyers historically step in. The structure suggests the end of the long corrective channel and the potential start of a bullish reversal.
Technically, a confirmed breakout above the channel could trigger momentum toward $158, $176, and $202 - attractive targets for mid-term traders.
From a fundamental standpoint, UPS continues to streamline operations, improve automation, and prepare for peak season shipping. Growing e-commerce volumes and steady fuel costs may support stronger margins ahead. If earnings start to reflect these improvements, the stock could easily shift gears into a sustainable uptrend.
* UPS announced that it will report its Q3 results on October 28, 2025.
* The company is introducing increased seasonal charges and shipping rates starting October 26 ahead of the holiday season, which may temporarily reduce demand.
* UPS also announced plans to equip 5,000 of its trucks with air conditioning in the hottest regions of the US, a step to improve working conditions but at a cost.
* The high dividend yield (~7.5%) raises questions about sustainability, as the payout is almost equal to free cash flow.
Tactical play: as long as $82–90 holds, bulls have the initiative. Once the breakout is confirmed - the next big delivery might just be profits. 
Long
Is the Age of the Human Warehouse Over?Symbotic is no longer just a vendor; it is becoming the operating system of the industrial economy. The robotics leader saw its shares surge nearly 40% Tuesday following a fiscal fourth-quarter report that shattered expectations. With revenue hitting $618 million and system deployments doubling, Wall Street is finally waking up to a new reality. Symbotic’s entry into the $93 billion healthcare logistics market signals a structural shift. The company is transitioning from a retail solution to a critical infrastructure provider, insulating the supply chain from human volatility.
Geopolitics & Geostrategy: The Automation of Sovereignty
Symbotic’s rise is a direct play on "supply chain sovereignty." As global trade routes fracture, nations are aggressively prioritizing domestic logistics resilience. Symbotic’s technology allows the U.S. economy to maintain high-velocity distribution without relying on a fragile, shrinking labor pool. By automating the "middle mile," the company reduces exposure to demographic decline and migration policy shifts. Logistics capacity is no longer just a business metric; it is now a national security asset.
Industry Trends: The Healthcare Alpha
The partnership with Medline Industries marks a pivotal diversification moment. Healthcare logistics demands a level of precision with zero tolerance for error that general retail does not. Winning a contract with a medical supply giant validates Symbotic’s AI as "clinical grade." This move aligns with the broader "Intelligent Supply Chain" trend of 2025. Resilience and redundancy now outweigh pure just-in-time efficiency. Symbotic is positioning itself as the backbone for mission-critical distribution.
Technology & Science: Density as a Deflationary Force
Symbotic’s "Next-Generation" storage architecture is a feat of spatial physics. By reducing warehouse footprints by nearly 40%, the technology acts as a deflationary force against rising industrial real estate costs.
High-Tech Engineering: The system uses proprietary mobile bots that operate independently of specific racking, a radical departure from legacy automation.
Physics of Density: The proprietary design maximizes cubic density, allowing companies to store more inventory in smaller, cheaper spaces close to urban centers.
Macroeconomics & Economics: The Inflation Hedge
The macroeconomic thesis for Symbotic is the spread between the cost of capital and the cost of labor. Even with interest rates elevated, the long-term cost of human labor is rising faster than the cost of robot depreciation. Symbotic’s systems provide a hedge against wage inflation, offering a fixed-cost structure in an inflationary world. This creates a predictable operational expenditure model that CFOs crave in volatile economic climates.
Business Models: The "GreenBox" Evolution
Symbotic is evolving its business model from pure hardware sales to "Warehouse-as-a-Service." The company is democratizing automation, allowing diverse sectors to access enterprise-grade logistics without massive upfront complexity. This recurring revenue model creates a stickier, more predictable cash flow profile. It commands a higher valuation multiple from investors who now view the company as a software platform rather than a hardware manufacturer.
Management & Leadership: The Owner-Operator Edge
CEO Rick Cohen leads with a "three-comma" operator mindset. As the third-generation leader of C&S Wholesale Grocers, Cohen built Symbotic to solve his own problems, not just to sell a product. This "owner-operator" culture permeates the company. Their disciplined refusal to chase growth at the expense of functionality sets them apart. His focus on "monitoring speculative trading" reflects a management team focused on long-term industrial value rather than quarterly stock jukes.
Cyber & Patent Analysis: The Digital Moat
With a massive portfolio of issued and pending patents, Symbotic has built a formidable legal moat around its "structure-independent" bot technology.
Intellectual Property: The patent wall prevents competitors from easily replicating their high-density architecture.
Cyber-Physical Security: As logistics centers become digital nodes, they become targets. Symbotic’s centralized AI "brain" offers a consolidated defense point, crucial for protecting the physical flow of goods from cyber threats.
Conclusion: The Industrial Prime
Symbotic has proven it can scale beyond its largest retail patrons. The Medline deal is the "proof of concept" the market demanded. Investors are no longer buying a grocery logistics company; they are buying the premier industrial automation platform of the decade. The stock’s surge is a delayed recognition of a simple truth: in a world of labor scarcity, the robot is not a luxury; it is a necessity.
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UPS: From Delivering Packages to Delivering ValueAs you probably know by now, my strategy consists of finding cheap, deep-value, beaten-up, underdog stocks. This is the strategy I've been using for the last 5 years and that allows me to consistently outperform the S&P 500 by 2x to 3x every year.
This does not guarantee that all my analyses are correct. But if I'm correct 6 or 7 times out of 10, then I'm a rich man!
Now back to UPS!
Over the last 3 years, the stock lost 64% of its value. But... did sales or income decline by the same account? Did margins decline? Did the company decrease its fleet by 60%?
The answer to all these questions is NO, and this is why I think the stock is undervalued.
Yeah, the tariff war and Amazon's slowing of the UPS agreement hurt sales, but these are transient.
Overview
UPS stock is down 64% since its ATH in 2022.
P/S ratio is at 0.8, the lowest since 2009.
P/E ratio is at 12.6, the lowest in the history of the stock
The P/B ratio is at 4.58, the lowest since 2006.
Dividend yield is at 7.8%.
The CEO recently bought $1 million worth of UPS stock.
This data gives us some clues. The stock is obviously underpriced, despite the fact that UPS is still one of the market leaders and the sales are stable.
Financial performance
Revenue: TTM $90.69 billion (+1.3% YoY); Revenue is improving, but still 10% down since the $100 billion in 2022.
Profitability: Operating margin 9.4% (TTM), net margin 6.4%;
EPS is now at $7.70, which is a similar level to what it was in 2020 and 2021, when the stock price was at $120. However, now the stock price is at $85.
Balance Sheet: Debt $26 billion, debt-to-equity 1.45x, which is totally fine.
Growth prospects
UPS is cutting costs and jobs, targeting $3.5 billion in savings by 2026 via automation/AI (5-7% annual cost reduction).
E-commerce will sustain long-term growth.
The company is innovating with AI-improved routes, self-driving trucks, and drones.
Technical Analysis
The stock price is right above the $85 resistance level, which has been a support/resistance level since 2005.
My target
Considering the prospects, estimates, etc, I can see UPS going to $110 to $130 range in mid-2026, providing an upside of 30% to 40%. This level also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 level.
If the stock continues to drop, I will simply average down. I don't think it can drop much more from here, and it will definitely not go bankrupt.
I'm gonna invest approximately 1% of my wealth into this stock.
Remember, I'm just sharing my journey and this is not financial advice! 😎 Long 
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